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This model allows users to assess the financial returns of up to three upstream oil/gas fields, a pipeline and LNG pla
these projects individually, the users can compare the returns of the main structures that are used in LNG projects
tolling fee for its services, and an equity sale structure, whereby the gas is sold from the upstream stage to the LNG
Objectives
This model has been developed for training purposes. It models the gas value chain from the upstream project to th
power generation. It allows users to assess the different LNG structures that can be considered when producing LN
Related Party Plant Owner/Buyer Model. It provides various fiscal regime options for the upstream and mid-stream
private take returns. It also allows for users to add additional upstream fields to the LNG project and understand w
shared.
NAVIGATING THE MODEL
This model contains several tabs:
Cover Present tab, which gives background information on how to operate this model.
Assumptions & Results Assumptions are inputted and key results are presented graphically
Field 1 Depr Depreciation schedule of the capital expenditure of Field 1
Field 1 Fiscal Computation of the fiscal terms paid by upstream gas investors of Field 1
Field 1 Investor Calculation of the financial return of the investor and of the government take for Field 1
Field 2 Depr Depreciation schedule of the capital expenditure of Field 2
Field 2 Fiscal Computation of the fiscal terms paid upstream gas investor of Field 2
Field 2 Investor Calculation of the financial return of the investor and of the government take for Field 2
Field 3 Depr Depreciation schedule of the capital expenditure of Field 3
Field 3 Fiscal Computation of the fiscal terms paid by upstream gas investor of Field 3
Field 3 Investor Calculation of the financial return of the investor and of the government take for Field 3
Gas PL Economics, financial returns and government take of the gas pipeline
LNG Equity Computation of LNG project economics of Equity/buyer structure, whereby LNG owners
the LNG plantof
Computation owners are theeconomics
LNG project upstream of
operators)
tolling structure, whereby the LNG plant does
LNG Tolling purposes
Consolidated LNG Equity Consolidation of the economics of all 3 elements of the projects (upstream, pipeline and
Consolidated LNG Tolling Consolidation of the economics of all 3 elements of the projects (upstream, pipeline and
The cells are color coded:
Light blue Input variables that can be changed by the user. Price, production, cost and fiscal inputs s
be analysed can be chosen in cell C155 of that tab
Light green Section dividers
Yellow Checks that allow the user to see whether errors have occurred in the model. This color h
which results are valid and invalid.
Red
White
Key results
Distribution of projected 2015 petroleum receipts
Fields that are linked by a formula in the model and should not be changed by inexperien
Red font Explanatory notes within the model
DISCLAIMER
This has been prepared for educational purposes and is not meant to give an accurate picture of the impact of a fis
a need for a more sophisticated model taking into account additional cost variables. The model is only meant to giv
OPEN LICENSING
This work is licensed under the Cre
To view a copy of this license, v
Feb-16
and government. These estimates are based on fiscal, market, technical and corporate input variables, many of
mine whether to go ahead with a particular investment. Governments use models to compare their fiscal regimes
te coffers from a particular project.
oil/gas fields, a pipeline and LNG plant project. Apart from being able to assess the financial flows from each of
tures that are used in LNG projects - namely a tolling regime whereby the LNG plant charges the upstream users a
rom the upstream stage to the LNG stage (either between related or unrelated owners) and is taxed separately.
hain from the upstream project to the use of gas under the form of LPG, LNG or as feedstock for local industrial or
n be considered when producing LNG: the tolling structure, the Independent Plant Owner/Buyer Model and the
ns for the upstream and mid-stream sectors to understand the impacts of changes on the government take and the
the LNG project and understand what impact this has on the LNG economics when the processing facilities are
he projects (upstream, pipeline and LNG facility) under the LNG Equity model
he projects (upstream, pipeline and LNG facility) under the LNG-Tolling structure
, production, cost and fiscal inputs should be all edited in the 'assumptions and results' worksheet. The structure to
e occurred in the model. This color has also been used to highlight which model structure is activated and therefore
curate picture of the impact of a fiscal regime on government take and project profitability. To do so, there will be
bles. The model is only meant to give an indication of the magnitude of impacts and trends.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
versity of Houston.
t variables, many of
re their fiscal regimes
b. PRODUCTION:
Choose whether LPG extracted and sold by: Upstream Investors = 1, LNG Owners = 2, or no LPG extracted =
0
c. CAPITAL EXPENDITURES:
1. Field/Block 1 Capital Expenditures - UPSTREAM
Development Drilling
Feasability and Engineering
Offshore Platforms
Gathering Lines
LPG Extraction Plant (only if built by upstream partners and upstream fiscal terms)
Other
Total Upstream Capital Expenditures Block 1
e. Pre-Project Cost Recovery and Tax Loss Carryforward (only recovery items and not counted as costs in economics)
Field 1 - Cost Recovery & Tax Loss Carryforward Allowed from pre-project costs
Field 2 - Cost Recovery & Tax Loss Carryforward Allowed from pre-project costs
Field 3 - Cost Recovery & Tax Loss Carryforward Allowed from pre-project costs
g. DISCOUNT RATES
Upstream Field 1
Upstream Field 2
Upstream Field 3
Gas pipeline
Tolling LNG
Equity LNG
Government
h. MODEL : Independent or Related Party Plant Owner/ Buyer ("LNG Equity") or Tolling?
Choose Whether: LNG Plant Charges Toll to Upstream = 1 (Tolling model), Gas Purchased by or Title Passed
to LNG Owners (LNG Equity) = 2*
*If Tolling, Pipeline Tariff & Tolling Fee paid by Upstream; if LNG Equity model, Pipeline Tariff paid by LNG
h. Sensitivity analysis
Production Field 1
Prices
% FOB Price for transfer pricing
Tolling fees
Capex Upstream Field 1
Capex LNG
Take (%)
Investor
Government
Take (%)
Investor
Government
3) Investor IRR
Tolling model
LNG Equity model
4) SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Tolling model
Gas Production
Tolling fees
Capex Field 1
Gas Production
Capex Field 1
Capex LNG
Transfer price
2020
MMCF/Day 1650
2050
% 97%
MMCF/Day - - - - 825 1,650
MMCF/Day 0 0 0 0 825 1650
MMCF/Day - - - - 825 1,650
MMCF/Day - - - - - -
% of Gas Production 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
% of Year 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
% of Gas Production 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
% of Gas Production 0% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
Bbls per MCF 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250
$MM - - - - - -
$MM - - - - - -
$MM - - - - - -
$MM - - - - - -
$MM
$MM - - - - - -
$MM - - - - - -
$MM 2 - 30.0 - - - -
$MM 2 - 450.0 600.0 - - -
$MM 2 - 65.0 45.0 - - -
$MM - 545.0 645.0 - - -
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00 VALID
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00 VALID
costs in economics)
$MM 1,000.0
$MM 1,000.0
$MM -
1
0 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 4
% 10% 20% 20% 30% 30% 50% 60%
mmscf/day 300
mmscf/day 600
mmscf/day 900
mmscf/day 1200
mmscf/day 1500
% 30.0%
% 35.0%
% 37.5%
% 40.0%
% 45.0%
% 50.0%
% 10%
% 10%
% 10%
% 10%
% 10%
% 10%
% 10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% 19%
VALID
% 19%
% Err:523
% 11%
% NA Project Economics - Tolling
% 13%
% 67% 15,000
% 67%
10,000
Project Economics - Tolling
15,000
% #DIV/0!
% 32% 10,000
% NA
% 30%
% 67% 5,000
% 67%
Million USD
% #DIV/0!
% 69% 0
% NA 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 3 6 38 40 42
% 52% 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
-5,000
OMPONENTS
-10,000
$MM 36,374.0
$MM 7,704.5
$MM 10,620.6 -15,000
$MM 1,500.7
Revenue (left axis) OPEX (left axis)
$MM 23,446.5
CAPEX (left axis) Cash flow (right
$MM 79,646.3
2,000
$MM NA
1,500
1,000
500
0
VALID
16 0 18 0 20 0 22 02 4 0 26 0 28 0 30 0 32 0 34 03 6 0 3
20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Not Applicable
29%
0 10% 29%
179847.4 24235.7
186331.0 30760.8 46%
129579.4 22543.3
Undiscounted Discounted
104% 127% 2%
72% 93% 13%
10%
% 15%
% NA
VALID
Not Applicable
3076076.31% 40%
30%
Capex LNG 60% 80% 100% 120% 150% 20%
72.05% 10%
$22,543 0%
60% 80%
NA NA NA NA NA NA
Perce
3076076.31% 34556.3 32674.3 30760.8 28829.4 25882.7
3076076.31%
Starting Date 2018 2020 2022 2030 2040
72.05%
$22,543 70%
60%
NA NA NA NA NA NA
50%
$ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25
50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50
$75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00
1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650
1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650
1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650
- - - - - - - - - -
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
100% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 100% 100% 100%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
$ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25
$ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00
$ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00
$ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00
$ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08
$ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00
30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
- - - - - - - - - -
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0
15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 0% 0% 0%
5 6
60% 60%
ALID Not Applicable
6,000
4,000 10,000
2,000
onomics - Tolling Project Economics - LNG Equi
8,000
15,000
6,000
4,000 10,000
2,000
5,000
0
Million USD
Million USD
-2,000
0
30 0 32 0 34 03 6 0 38 0 40 0 42 0 44 0 46 0 48
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 -4,000 0 16 0 18 0 20 0 22 0 24 0 26 0 28 0 30 0 32 0 34 0 36 038 0 40 0 4
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
-6,000 -5,000
-8,000
-10,000
-10,000
-12,000
-15,000
xis) OPEX (left axis)
Revenue (left axis) OPEX (left ax
) Cash flow (right axis)
CAPEX (left axis) Cash flow (r
Govt. Revenues
Govt. Revenues - LNG Equit
6,000
5,000
4,000
Million USD
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
28 0 30 0 32 0 34 03 6 0 38 0 40 0 42 0 44 0 46 0 48
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 0 18 0 20 0 22 0 24 0 26 0 28 0 30 0 32 034 0 36
20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ome Tax Upstream Income Tax Upstream Royalties
LNG Income Tax Pipeline Income Tax
LNG special tax Upstream Royalties
VALID
Impact of gas production Impact of C
70% 16000.0 70%
60% 14000.0 60%
50% 12000.0 50%
IRR/ Govt Take
50%
IRR/ Govt Take
Not Applicable
Impact of gas production Impact of
70% 45000.0
40000.0 70%
60%
35000.0 60%
50%
IRR/ Govt Take
NPV (US$)
40% 30500.0 Investor IRR 40%
30% 30000.0 Government Take NPV 30%
20% 29500.0 investor NPV 20%
10% 29000.0 10%
0% 28500.0 0%
60% 80% 100% 120% 150% 50% 100% 200% 30
Percentage of Base FIeld 1 Capex % of FOB price
2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041
$ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25 $ 4.25
50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40 $ 40
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50
$75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00
1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650
1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650
1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650 1,650
- - - - - - - - - -
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
100% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 100% 100% 100%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.250
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
$ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25
$ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00
$ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00
$ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00 $ 1.00
$ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08 $ 0.08
$ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00
30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
- - - - - - - - - -
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0
15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Applicable
10,000
onomics - LNG Equity
15,000
10,000
5,000
Million USD
0
8 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48
20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20
-5,000
-10,000
-15,000
6 28 0 30 0 32 034 0 36 0 38 04 0 0 42 0 44 0 46 0 48
20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
NPV (US$)
5000.0 Investor IRR
0.0 Government Take NPV
Investor NPV
-5000.0
-10000.0
2020 2022 2030 2040
Delay in production start
NPV (US$)
20000 Investor IRR
15000 Government Take NPV
10000 Investor NPV
5000
0
% 100% 200% 300% 400%
% of FOB price
2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 TOTALS
- - - - - - - 1,300.0
- - - - - - - 1,100.0
- - - - - - - 2,500.0
- - - - - - - 200.0
-
- - - - - - - 190.0
- - - - - - - 5,290.0
- - - - - - - 1,300.0
- - - - - - - 1,100.0
- - - - - - - 2,500.0
- - - - - - - 200.0
-
- - - - - - - 190.0
- - - - - - - 5,290.0
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
-
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - 30.0
- - - - - - - 1,050.0
- - - - - - - 110.0
- - - - - - - 1,190.0
- - - - - - - 668.0
- - - - - - - 1,002.0
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - 15,030.0
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - 68.0
- - - - - - - 16,768.0
$ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25 $ 0.25
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Capital Depreciation Schedule for Upstream Field 1
Year:--> 2016 2017 2018
Depreciation Life Straight Line 4
Capital Expenditures from Upstream sector only $MM 200.0 420.0 850.0
Year of Expd:
Depreciation of Capex ($MM) made in Year: --> 2016 50.0 50.0 50.0
2017 105.0 105.0
2018 212.5
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
Total Depreciation by Fiscal Year $MM 50.0 155.0 367.5
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,900.0 1,650.0 270.0 - - - - - - -
50.0 - - - - - - - - -
105.0 105.0 - - - - - - - -
212.5 212.5 212.5 - - - - - - -
475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 - - - - - -
412.5 412.5 412.5 412.5 - - - - -
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
842.5 1,205.0 1,167.5 955.0 480.0 67.5 - - - -
2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
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- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
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- - - - - - - - - -
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- - - - - - - - - -
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- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
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- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
TOTALS
5,290.0
-
-
5,290.0
200.0
420.0
850.0
1,900.0
1,650.0
270.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5,290.0 -
Cross Check VALID
Gas Field 1 - Computation of Fiscal Terms by Upstream Gas Investors
YEARS---> 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total Revenues $MM - - - -
Less: LNG Tolling Fee $MM - - - -
Equals: Net Revenue for Profit Gas/CR $MM - - - -
Capital Eligible for Upstream Depreciation* $MM 200.0 420.0 850.0 1,900.0
R-FACTOR BASED
Accum Cash Receipts (Conc Profit Gas+Cost Gas-Ope$MM - - - -
Accum Investment Expenses $MM 200.0 620.0 1,470.0 3,370.0
Ratio of Accum Receipts to Accum Investments - - - -
Govt Profit Gas Share % 10% 10% 10% 10%
PRODUCTION BASED
Daily Production rate Gas 0 0 0 0
Tranche 1 - - - -
Tranche 2 - - - -
Tranche 3 - - - -
Tranche 4 - - - -
Tranche 5 - - - -
Tranche 6 - - - -
Govt Profit Gas share 0% 0% 0% 0%
1,650.0 270.0 - - - - - - -
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2
1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,561.2 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,561.2
- - - - - - - - - -
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2
- - - - - - - - - -
136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4 129.6 136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4 129.6
13,885.4 15,052.1 16,218.7 17,052.1 17,879.9 18,713.2 19,546.5 20,379.9 21,213.2 21,875.5
5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0
2.6 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.1
30% 30% 30% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 60%
1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0
39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39%
1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,655.6 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,655.6
500.0 500.0 500.0 833.3 827.8 833.3 833.3 833.3 833.3 993.4
1,166.7 1,166.7 1,166.7 833.3 827.8 833.3 833.3 833.3 833.3 662.2
1,030.3 1,030.3 1,030.3 697.0 698.2 697.0 697.0 697.0 697.0 532.7
- - - - - - - - - -
1,030.3 1,030.3 1,030.3 697.0 698.2 697.0 697.0 697.0 697.0 532.7
329.7 329.7 329.7 223.0 223.4 223.0 223.0 223.0 223.0 170.5
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048
4,545.2 4,545.2 4,545.2 4,545.2 4,319.4 4,545.2 4,545.2 4,545.2 4,545.2 4,545.2
2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 1,917.6 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7
2,420.4 2,420.4 2,420.4 2,420.4 2,401.9 2,420.4 2,420.4 2,420.4 2,420.4 2,420.4
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 1,053.8 1,053.8 1,353.8
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 1,053.8 1,053.8 1,353.8
1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,561.2 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3 1,573.3
- - - - - - - - - -
753.8 753.8 753.8 753.8 746.2 753.8 753.8 1,053.8 1,053.8 1,353.8
- - - - - - - - - -
136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4 129.6 136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4 136.4
22,542.1 23,208.8 23,875.5 24,542.1 25,204.4 25,871.0 26,537.7 27,084.4 27,631.0 28,057.7
5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0 5,290.0
4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3
60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650 1650
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0
39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39%
1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,655.6 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,366.7 1,366.7 1,066.7
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 993.4 1,000.0 1,000.0 820.0 820.0 640.0
666.7 666.7 666.7 666.7 662.2 666.7 666.7 546.7 546.7 426.7
530.3 530.3 530.3 530.3 532.7 530.3 530.3 410.3 410.3 290.3
- - - - - - - - - -
530.3 530.3 530.3 530.3 532.7 530.3 530.3 410.3 410.3 290.3
169.7 169.7 169.7 169.7 170.5 169.7 169.7 131.3 131.3 92.9
TOTALS
128,408.9
59,519.2
68,889.7
22,645.0
5,290.0
5,290.0
28,935.0
44,778.3
3,693.7
28,935.0
3,852.3
47,025.0
39,954.7
18,187.0
21,767.7
17,915.4
17,915.4
5,310.3
Upstream Gas Investors Field 1 - Financial Returns and Government Take
YEARS---> 2016 2017
Total Upstream Capital Expenditures Block 1 $MM 200.0 420.0
Price for gas sold to LNG Plant Owners (under Equity Case) or for
Export Buyers (under Tolling Case) $/MCF $ 8.50 $ 8.50
Revenue from Domestic Dry Gas $MM - -
Revenue from LPG (if sold by upstream) $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Lng Plant Owners $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Export buyers (Tolling case) $MM - -
Total Revenues $MM $ - $ -
Other Costs
Upstream Operating Costs $MM - -
Maintenance and Decommissioning Costs $MM - -
Pipeline Tariff $MM - -
LNG Tolling Fee $MM - -
LPG Operating Costs (if operated by Upstream) $MM - -
Costs to deliver to Dom Gas pipeline entry point $MM - -
Total Other Costs $MM - -
Government Take
Total to be Shared - Cash Basis $MM (200.0) (420.0)
Total to Govt $MM - -
% to Govt % 0.0% 0.0%
Total Government Revenue 27,349.5
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% 4,282.8
Total Government Take Undiscounted 67%
Total Government Take Discounted 67%
NOTE: In situations where special fiscal incentive arrangements may have been agreed,
the Cash Flows and NPV for Upstream Investors include the fiscal benefits of taking cost recovery or
tax depreciation from an agreed portion of the capital invested by other segments.
But all of the cash OUTFLOWS from those expenditures are counted against the
financial returns of those other segments, either Gas PL or LNG.
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
850.0 1,900.0 1,650.0 270.0 - - - -
Year of Expd:
Depreciation of Capex ($MM) made in Year: --> 2016 50.0 50.0 50.0
2017 105.0 105.0
2018 212.5
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
Total Depreciation by Fiscal Year 50.0 155.0 367.5
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,900.0 1,650.0 270.0 - - - - - - -
50.0 - - - - - - - - -
105.0 105.0 - - - - - - - -
212.5 212.5 212.5 - - - - - - -
475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 - - - - - -
412.5 412.5 412.5 412.5 - - - - -
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
842.5 1,205.0 1,167.5 955.0 480.0 67.5 - - - -
2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
TOTALS
5,290.0
-
-
5,290.0
200.0
420.0
850.0
1,900.0
1,650.0
270.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5,290.0 -
Cross Check VALID
Gas Field 2 - Computation of Fiscal Terms by Upstream Gas Investors
YEARS---> 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total Revenues $MM - - - -
Less: LNG Tolling Fee $MM - - - -
Equals: Net Revenue for Profit Gas/CR $MM - - - -
Capital Eligible for Upstream Depreciation* $MM 200.0 420.0 850.0 1,900.0
R-FACTOR BASED
Accum Cash Receipts (Conc Profit Gas+Cost Gas-Ope$MM - - - -
Accum Investment Expenses $MM 200.0 620.0 1,470.0 3,370.0
Ratio of Accum Receipts to Accum Investments - - - -
Govt Profit Gas Share % 10% 10% 10% 10%
PRODUCTION BASED
Daily Production rate Gas 0 0 0 0
Tranche 1 - - - -
Tranche 2 - - - -
Tranche 3 - - - -
Tranche 4 - - - -
Tranche 5 - - - -
Tranche 6 - - - -
Govt Profit Gas share 0% 0% 0% 0%
1,650.0 270.0 - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - 5,290.0
- - 5,290.0
27,631.0 28,057.7
5,290.0 5,290.0
5.2 5.3
60% 60%
Price for gas sold to LNG Plant Owners (under Equity Case) or for
Export Buyers (under Tolling Case) $/MCF $ 8.50 $ 8.50
Revenue from Domestic Dry Gas $MM - -
Revenue from LPG (if sold by upstream) $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Lng Plant Owners $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Export buyers (Tolling case) $MM - -
Total Revenues $MM $ - $ -
Other Costs
Upstream Operating Costs $MM - -
Maintenance and Decommissioning Costs $MM - -
Pipeline Tariff $MM - -
LNG Tolling Fee $MM - -
LPG Operating Costs (if operated by Upstream) $MM - -
Costs to deliver to Dom Gas pipeline entry point $MM - -
Total Other Costs $MM - -
Government Take
Total to be Shared - Cash Basis $MM (200.0) (420.0)
Total to Govt $MM - -
% to Govt % 0.0% 0.0%
Total Government Revenue 27,349.5
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% 4,282.8
Total Government Take Undiscounted 67%
Total Government Take Discounted 67%
NOTE: In situations where special fiscal incentive arrangements may have been agreed,
the Cash Flows and NPV for Upstream Investors include the fiscal benefits of taking cost recovery or
tax depreciation from an agreed portion of the capital invested by other segments.
But all of the cash OUTFLOWS from those expenditures are counted against the
financial returns of those other segments, either Gas PL or LNG.
ment Take
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
850.0 1,900.0 1,650.0 270.0 - - - - -
Year of Expd:
Depreciation of Capex ($MM) made in Year: --> 2016 - - - -
2017 - - -
2018 - -
2019 -
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
Total Depreciation by Fiscal Year - - - -
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
-
- - - - - - - - - -
2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 TOTALS
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - -
- -
- - - - - - - - - -
Cross Check
-
VALID
Gas Field 3 - Computation of Fiscal Terms by Upstream Gas Investors
YEARS---> 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total Revenues $MM - - - -
Less: LNG Tolling Fee $MM - - - -
Equals: Net Revenue for Profit Gas/CR $MM - - - -
R-FACTOR BASED
Accum Cash Receipts (Conc Profit Gas+Cost Gas-Ope$MM - - - -
Accum Investment Expenses $MM - - - -
Ratio of Accum Receipts to Accum Investments - - - -
Govt Profit Gas Share % 10% 10% 10% 10%
PRODUCTION BASED
Daily Production rate Gas 0 0 0 0
Tranche 1 - - - -
Tranche 2 - - - -
Tranche 3 - - - -
Tranche 4 - - - -
Tranche 5 - - - -
Tranche 6 - - - -
Govt Profit Gas share 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
2047 2048 TOTALS
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
-
- - -
- - -
- - -
- -
- - -
- -
- -
- -
10% 10%
0 0 -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
0% 0%
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- -
- - -
- - -
Upstream Gas Investors Field 3 - Financial Returns and Government Take
YEARS---> 2016 2017
Total Upstream Capital Expenditures Block 3 $MM - -
Price for gas sold to LNG Plant Owners (under Equity Case) or for
Export Buyers (under Tolling Case) $/MCF $ 8.50 $ 8.50
Revenue from Domestic Dry Gas $MM - -
Revenue from LPG (if sold by upstream) $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Lng Plant Owners $MM - -
Revenues from selling to Export buyers (Tolling case) $MM - -
Total Revenues $MM $ - $ -
Other Costs
Upstream Operating Costs $MM - -
Maintenance and Decommissioning Costs $MM - -
Pipeline Tariff $MM - -
LNG Tolling Fee $MM - -
LPG Operating Costs (if operated by Upstream) $MM - -
Costs to deliver to Dom Gas pipeline entry point $MM - -
Total Other Costs $MM - -
Government Take
Total to be Shared - Cash Basis $MM - -
Total to Govt $MM - -
% to Govt % #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Total Government Revenue -
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% -
Total Government Take Undiscounted #DIV/0!
Total Government Take Discounted #DIV/0!
NOTE: In situations where special fiscal incentive arrangements may have been agreed,
the Cash Flows and NPV for Upstream Investors include the fiscal benefits of taking cost recovery or
tax depreciation from an agreed portion of the capital invested by other segments.
But all of the cash OUTFLOWS from those expenditures are counted against the
financial returns of those other segments, either Gas PL or LNG.
ment Take
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2045 2046 2047 2048 TOTALS
- - - - -
- - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
0 0 0 0 -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Gas Pipelines from Upstream to Onshore Base and LNG Plant
YEARS---> 2016 2017 2018 2019
Government Take
Total to be Shared $MM - (545.0) (645.0) -
Total to Govt $MM - - - -
% to Govt % #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% #DIV/0!
Total Government Revenue 1,500.7
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% 219.4
Total Government Take Undiscounted 32%
Total Government Take Discounted 69%
NOTE: In situations where special fiscal incentive arrangements may have been agreed,
the Cash Flows and NPV for Upstream Investors include the fiscal benefits of taking cost recovery or
tax depreciation from an agreed portion of the capital invested by other segments.
But all of the cash OUTFLOWS from those expenditures are counted against the
financial returns of those other segments, either Gas PL or LNG.
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
297.5 161.3 - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
90.3 90.3 90.3 90.3 85.8 90.3 90.3 90.3 90.3 85.8
- - - - 15.0 - - - - 15.0
602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1
602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1
- - - - - - - - - -
1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,144.3 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,144.3
150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0
150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0
- - - - - - - - - -
301.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 286.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 286.1
- - - - - - - - - -
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2
- - - - - - - - - -
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3
143.3 143.3 143.3 143.3 126.0 143.3 143.3 143.3 143.3 126.0
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3
32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
90.3 90.3 90.3 90.3 85.8 90.3 90.3 90.3 90.3 90.3
- - - - 15.0 - - - - -
602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3
602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 572.1 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3 602.3
- - - - - - - - - -
1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,144.3 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5 1,204.5
150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6
150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 143.0 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6 150.6
- - - - - - - - - -
301.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 286.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 301.1 301.1
- - - - - - - - - -
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8
- - - - - - - - - -
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5
143.3 143.3 143.3 143.3 126.0 143.3 143.3 143.3 143.3 143.3
210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 185.2 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8 210.8
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5
32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%
TOTALS
1,190.0
1,190.0
2,552.0
75.0
17,013.6
17,013.6
-
34,027.1
4,253.4
4,253.4
-
8,506.8
1,190.0
4,689.7
(4,562.4)
4,689.7
1,500.7
3,189.0
4,689.7
1,500.7
32.0%
LNG Owners Take Title to Gas from Upstream and Sell to 3rd Parties (whether the LN
INVALID NOTE: This Spreadsheet Only V
YEARS---> 2016
Capital Costs
Total LNG Capital Costs $MM 17.0
LNG Equity Capex from above permitted for Upstream Cost Recovery or Tax $MM -
Net Capex deductible under LNG Equity Fiscal Terms $MM 17.0
Annual Costs
LNG Plant Annual Operating Costs $MM 0
LNG Plant Maintenance Costs $MM -
LPG Plant Operating Costs (if operated by LNG Plant owners) $MM -
Pipeline Tariff (if paid by LNG plant owners) $MM -
LNG Tanker Charter Hire Costs (only if sold on DES basis) $MM -
Total Opex, including Input items $MM -
Government Take
Total to be Shared $MM (17.0)
Total to Govt $MM -
% to Govt % 0.0%
Total Government Revenue 73,379.6
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% 13,758.3
Total Government Take Undiscounted 32%
Total Government Take Discounted 34%
NOTE: In situations where special fiscal incentive arrangements may have been agreed,
the Cash Flows and NPV for Upstream Investors include the fiscal benefits of taking cost recovery or
tax depreciation from an agreed portion of the capital invested by other segments.
But all of the cash OUTFLOWS from those expenditures are counted against the
financial returns of those other segments, either Gas PL or LNG.
ties (whether the LNG Plant is owned by the upstream operators or not)
TE: This Spreadsheet Only VALID IF CELL C156 in "Assumptions & Results" = 2
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
- - 100.0 - - - - 100.0 - -
170.0 170.0 161.5 170.0 170.0 170.0 170.0 161.5 170.0 170.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,170.0 1,170.0 1,261.5 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,261.5 1,170.0 1,170.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,062.4 1,062.4 1,009.3 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,009.3 1,062.4 1,062.4
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
85.0 85.0 80.7 85.0 85.0 85.0 85.0 80.7 85.0 85.0
8,307.7 8,307.7 7,892.3 8,307.7 8,307.7 8,307.7 8,307.7 7,892.3 8,307.7 8,307.7
21.2 21.2 20.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 20.2 21.2 21.2
$75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00
1,593.6 1,593.6 1,513.9 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,513.9 1,593.6 1,593.6
9,901.3 9,901.3 9,406.2 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,406.2 9,901.3 9,901.3
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
- - - - - - - - - -
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0
5,937.3 5,937.3 5,538.4 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,538.4 5,937.3 5,937.3
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0
32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%
2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
- - 100.0 - - - - 100.0 - -
170.0 170.0 161.5 170.0 170.0 170.0 170.0 161.5 170.0 170.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,170.0 1,170.0 1,261.5 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,170.0 1,261.5 1,170.0 1,170.0
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,062.4 1,062.4 1,009.3 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,009.3 1,062.4 1,062.4
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
$ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50 $ 8.50
85.0 85.0 80.7 85.0 85.0 85.0 85.0 80.7 85.0 85.0
8,307.7 8,307.7 7,892.3 8,307.7 8,307.7 8,307.7 8,307.7 7,892.3 8,307.7 8,307.7
21.2 21.2 20.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 20.2 21.2 21.2
$75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00 $75.00
1,593.6 1,593.6 1,513.9 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,593.6 1,513.9 1,593.6 1,593.6
9,901.3 9,901.3 9,406.2 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,901.3 9,406.2 9,901.3 9,901.3
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
- - - - - - - - - -
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0
5,937.3 5,937.3 5,538.4 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,937.3 5,538.4 5,937.3 5,937.3
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,731.3 8,144.7 8,731.3 8,731.3
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0
32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%
2046 2047 33 TOTALS
- - - 16,768.0
- - - -
- - - 16,768.0
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - 16,768.0
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,901.3 229,311.2
- - -
8,731.3 8,731.3 8,901.3 229,311.2
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,848.4 73,379.6
Annual Costs
LNG Plant Operating Costs $MM - - -
LNG Plant Maintenance Costs $MM - - -
Pipeline Tariff (if paid by LNG plant owners) $MM - - -
LNG Tanker Charter Hire (Not Applicable for Tolling) $MM - - -
Total Opex, including Input items $MM - - -
Government Take
Total to be Shared $MM (17.0) (3,858.0) (5,862.0)
Total to Govt $MM - - -
% to Govt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Government Revenue 23,446.5
Government Revenue NPV @ 10% 3,527.0
Total Government Take Undiscounted 30%
Total Government Take Discounted 52%
t Only VALID IF CELL C156 in "Assumptions & Results" = 1
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
7,031.0 - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - -
3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5
- - - - - - - - -
3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5
1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0
- - 100.0 - - - - 100.0 - -
- - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,100.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,100.0 1,000.0 1,000.0
531.2 531.2 479.4 531.2 531.2 531.2 531.2 479.4 531.2 531.2
531.2 531.2 479.4 531.2 531.2 531.2 531.2 479.4 531.2 531.2
- - - - - - - - - -
1,062.4 1,062.4 958.8 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 1,062.4 958.8 1,062.4 1,062.4
2,124.7 2,124.7 1,917.6 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 1,917.6 2,124.7 2,124.7
2,124.7 2,124.7 1,917.6 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 2,124.7 1,917.6 2,124.7 2,124.7
- - - - - - - - - -
4,249.5 4,249.5 3,835.2 4,249.5 4,249.5 4,249.5 4,249.5 3,835.2 4,249.5 4,249.5
- - - - - - - - - -
3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5
- - - - - - - - - -
3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5
1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8
2,209.6 2,209.6 1,859.9 2,209.6 2,209.6 2,209.6 2,209.6 1,859.9 2,209.6 2,209.6
3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 2,735.2 3,249.5 3,249.5
1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8
32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0%
2046 2047 2048 TOTALS
- - - 16,768.0
- - - 16,768.0
3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 73,270.4
- - -
3,249.5 3,249.5 3,249.5 73,270.4
1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 23,446.5
-
2,209.6 2,209.6 2,209.6 49,823.9
Net Cash Flow after Tax and Govt Shar $MM (417.0) (5,243.0) (8,207.0) ###
(3,300.0) (540.0) - - - - - - -
(2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,568.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,568.7)
- - - - - - - - - -
7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 6,897.7 7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 6,897.7
1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,666.7 1,655.6 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,986.7
272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2
272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2
- - - - - - - - - -
3,520.9 3,520.9 3,520.9 3,307.5 3,112.5 3,307.5 3,307.5 3,307.5 3,307.5 3,006.5
659.4 659.4 659.4 446.1 446.9 446.1 446.1 446.1 446.1 340.9
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3
4,793.6 4,793.6 4,793.6 5,246.9 5,027.2 5,246.9 5,246.9 5,246.9 5,246.9 5,252.4
7,481.8 7,481.8 7,481.8 7,028.5 6,614.0 7,028.5 7,028.5 7,028.5 7,028.5 6,388.8
2,701.2 2,701.2 2,701.2 2,247.8 1,870.5 2,247.8 2,247.8 2,247.8 2,247.8 1,645.3
64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 70.0% 72.9% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 76.1%
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048
9,961.5 9,961.5 9,961.5 9,961.5 9,466.4 9,961.5 9,961.5 9,961.5 9,961.5 9,961.5
(2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (2,568.7) (2,466.7) (2,466.7) (3,066.7) (3,066.7) (3,496.8)
- - - - - - - - - -
7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 7,494.8 6,897.7 7,494.8 7,494.8 6,894.8 6,894.8 6,464.7
2,000.0 2,000.0 2,000.0 2,000.0 1,986.7 2,000.0 2,000.0 1,640.0 1,640.0 1,280.0
272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7
272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7
- - - - - - - - - -
3,200.9 3,200.9 3,200.9 3,200.9 3,006.5 3,200.9 3,200.9 3,124.1 3,124.1 3,101.7
339.4 339.4 339.4 339.4 340.9 339.4 339.4 262.6 262.6 185.8
67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5
2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,606.3 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,794.0 2,848.4
5,473.6 5,473.6 5,473.6 5,473.6 5,252.4 5,473.6 5,473.6 5,036.8 5,036.8 4,654.4
6,801.8 6,801.8 6,801.8 6,801.8 6,388.8 6,801.8 6,801.8 6,638.6 6,638.6 6,591.0
2,021.2 2,021.2 2,021.2 2,021.2 1,645.3 2,021.2 2,021.2 1,858.0 1,858.0 1,810.4
73.0% 73.0% 73.0% 73.0% 76.1% 73.0% 73.0% 73.1% 73.1% 72.0%
TOTALS
281,427.5
(73,042.1)
(28,538.0)
179,847.4
36,374.0
7,704.5
7,704.5
-
85,500.9
10,620.6
1,500.7
73,379.6
129,579.4
186,331.0
50,268.0 ERROR
72.0%
Consolidated Results - Upstream, Gas Pipeline, LNG Tolling Arrangement
VALID NOTE: This Spreadsheet Only VALID IF CELL C156 in "Assumptions & R
YEARS-- 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Total Net Revenues $MM - - - - 4,545.2
Net Cash Flow after Tax and Govt Share $MM (417.0) (5,243.0) (8,207.0) ### (124.3)
(2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,407.2) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,407.2) (2,296.8) (2,296.8)
(540.0) - - - - - - - - -
6,253.6 6,793.6 6,231.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,231.6 6,793.6 6,793.6
169.4 169.4 168.1 338.9 338.9 338.9 338.9 904.4 1,000.0 1,000.0
272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7
442.1 442.1 427.3 672.4 1,453.5 2,354.1 2,372.1 2,613.6 3,039.4 3,039.4
5,811.5 6,351.5 5,804.3 6,121.1 5,340.1 4,439.5 4,421.5 3,618.1 3,754.2 3,754.2
5,811.5 6,351.5 5,804.3 6,121.1 5,340.1 4,439.5 4,421.5 3,618.1 3,754.2 3,754.2
7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 9.9% 21.4% 34.7% 34.9% 41.9% 44.7% 44.7%
2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
9,090.4 9,090.4 8,638.9 9,090.4 9,090.4 9,090.4 9,090.4 8,638.9 9,090.4 9,090.4
(2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,407.2) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,296.8) (2,407.2) (2,296.8) (2,296.8)
- - - - - - - - - -
6,793.6 6,793.6 6,231.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,793.6 6,231.6 6,793.6 6,793.6
1,000.0 1,666.7 1,655.6 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,666.7 1,986.7 2,000.0 2,000.0
272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7 272.7 272.7 259.2 272.7 272.7
1,766.7 1,553.4 1,381.4 1,553.4 1,553.4 1,553.4 1,553.4 1,275.4 1,446.7 1,446.7
659.4 446.1 446.9 446.1 446.1 446.1 446.1 340.9 339.4 339.4
67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5 67.5 67.5 59.3 67.5 67.5
1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 1,039.8 875.2 1,039.8 1,039.8
3,039.4 3,492.7 3,296.2 3,492.7 3,492.7 3,492.7 3,492.7 3,521.3 3,719.4 3,719.4
3,754.2 3,300.9 2,935.4 3,300.9 3,300.9 3,300.9 3,300.9 2,710.3 3,074.2 3,074.2
3,754.2 3,300.9 2,935.4 3,300.9 3,300.9 3,300.9 3,300.9 2,710.3 3,074.2 3,074.2
44.7% 51.4% 52.9% 51.4% 51.4% 51.4% 51.4% 56.5% 54.7% 54.7%
2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 TOTALS
9,090.4 9,090.4 8,638.9 9,090.4 9,090.4 9,090.4 9,090.4 9,090.4 256,817.8
- - - - - - - - (28,538.0)