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20 Dialog: A Journal of Theology . Volume 43, Number 1 .

Spring 2004

What is Happening to Global


Christianity?
By Viggo Mortensen
Abstract: Following Philip Jenkins’s analysis of ‘‘the next Christendom’’ it is argued that when the centre
of Christianity is moving southwards Christianity will change. As a translation movement, Christianity is
a religion made to travel. The consequences of this development are dramatic. In the West and North the
mainline churches are in decline. The diversification within Christianity will continue in a certain tension
to a trend towards uniformity. This leads to new priorities in mission. The discipline, theology of religions,
will gain in importance as the churches are confronted with the life and death choice between a ‘‘clash of
civilisations’’ or a peaceful multicultural and multireligious co-existence.

Key Terms: Christian-Muslim, clash of civilisations, ecumenism, interreligious dialogue, mission, modernity, Philip
Jenkins, secularisation, theology of religions.

‘‘But I have this against you, that you have Today—after a tumultuous history, half of its
abandoned the love you had at first. Remem- time church, half of its time mosque—the place is
ber then from what you have fallen, repent and a museum, and there are no or very few local Chris-
do the works you did first. If not, I will come tians in sight; officially 99% of all inhabitants of
to you and remove your lamp stand from its
present day Turkey are Moslems. Thus the Hagia
place, unless you repent.’’ Revelation 2:4 (RSV)
Sofia bears witness to the fact that Christianity is a
Recently I was standing in the Hagia Sophia in religion on the move. Because a certain region and
Istanbul. Although the building is in bad shape people have accepted the gospel, it is not at all
and in need of restoration, one is struck with awe sure that it will stay Christian. As the Seer noticed:
and admiration. The building goes back to 537 The lamp stands can be removed. Christianity is a
when the emperor Justinian thought he had beaten historic religion. Normally we would consider this
King Solomon in erecting this temple in what strength. Christianity has a beginning. Does it also
should be the new Rome. The dome spans 31.33 have an end?
meters in diameter and towers 56 meters above the
floor. When my forefathers, the Vikings, a couple of
hundred years later came down in their small boats The Next Christendom
from their one storey wooden structures in the cold
North they must have been flabbergasted. This edi-
fice bears witness to the fact that it is the product of It is difficult to predict, especially the future, a
a society that puts its enormous technological skill in Danish saying goes. That is also the case when it
the service of a vision for Christian spirituality and comes to the future of Christianity. Reviewing state-
ecclesial power. A monument for global Christianity ments from academics and social commentators
if ever there was one. about the future of Christianity, one is torn between

Viggo Mortensen, professor of systematic theology. He holds a chair in Global Theology and Ecumenical Concerns at the Theological Faculty,
University of Aarhus, Denmark. He is director of the Centre for Multireligious Studies, the Danish Pluralism Project and coordinator of the
Network for the Study of Religion in Contemporary Europe (NetSoRCE). 1991–99 he served as director for the Department for Theology and
Studies in The Lutheran World Federation in Geneva.
What is Happening to Global Christianity? . Viggo Mortensen 21

pessimism and optimism. Only one thing seems Christians competition for souls. Jenkins would not
clear: The scene is changing and changing fast and hesitate to say that these predictions might not come
there is little sense of direction. true. On the other hand, like most futurologists, he
In my contribution to a recent book1 I argue that we extrapolates on the basis of the present tendencies.4
in Western Europe are going through a period of What are these tendencies? In short: Christianity has
religious change. The British sociologist of religion, become global and it is undergoing transformation.
Grace Davie, is saying the same when she states: ‘‘The
‘keystone’ of the arch of European values is crumb-
ling . . . Europe is in the process of removing the ‘key- Christianity on the Move
stone’ in the arch of its value system, without being
altogether clear about what should be put in its place.’’2
In this issue of Dialog the starting point is taken Christianity is a religion that is not bound to time
from another analysis, that of Philip Jenkins.3 In and space. It is a religion made to travel. History
view of the demographic changes that will be hap- documents it. Whereas Christianity was the preva-
pening, Jenkins describes how the future Christen- lent religion in Europe and America until about a
dom will probably look. By the year 2050, at least hundred years ago, the 19th and 20th centuries have
six nations, i.e., Brazil, Mexico, the Philippines, seen the revolutionary change that Christianity has
Nigeria, Congo and the US will have more than become global. The reason for this is the Christian
100 million Christians. Africa south of Sahara will missionary movements. The slogan at the famous
long before have overtaken Europe in the number of World Missionary Conference at Edinburgh in
Christians. Brazil will have 150 million Catholics 1910 was this: Christianisation of the world in this
and 40 million Protestants. And more than a billion generation. Looking at the figures, we must admit
Pentecostals will spread their version of Christianity. that this has not been achieved. The world is not
In the southern hemisphere we will see a wave of now Christian. Christianity has increased, but only
non-democratic states with theocratic tendencies. more or less concurrently with the growth of the
These will compete for regional superiority. If these population. The Christian missionary movement,
Christians can manage to avoid fighting between however, called other religions into engagement.
themselves, they will gang up against the common This religious encounter, which grew out of the
enemy, Islam. 20 out of the 25 largest states will missionary movement, radically transformed Chris-
either be Christian or Islamic and at least 10 will be tianity; it now became one of the world’s many
the scenes of bloody conflicts. Even though there religions. It became itself a global religion.
may be a nominal majority of Christians, Islam will Having won the Jewish-Roman war in the year 70,
have the upper hand in these third-world wars, often the Roman emperor Titus, in proof of having con-
supported by the industrialized states in the North, quered Jerusalem with the Jewish temple, took the
which, because of the harsh economic facts, will tone seven branched candlestick, the Menorah, and
down their emotional preference for Christianity. brought it back to Rome in triumph. How this hap-
Extremists within both religions will still make sure pened can still be seen at the Arch of Titus. We all
that women’s rights, freedom of religion and other know about the disastrous and far-reaching conse-
wild ideas of the secularised North will not gain quences of this for the Jewish people, who since
ground. At the same time, leading countries in then have constructed an identity as a people living
Africa and Asia are developing a considerable mili- in diaspora. But, in a way, it affected the first
tary potential. These prospects for the future might Christians just as much. As we learn in the first chapters
very well make the 16th century’s deadly religious of the Acts of the Apostles, they lived as a Jewish sect,
wars look like a Sunday school excursion. whose lives centred around the cult in the temple of
Philip Jenkins considers this prospect of the future Jerusalem. ‘‘Every day they continued to meet together
to be due to the Third World’s demographic explosion, in the temple courts’’ (Acts 2:46 NIV). After the year
the poor slum dwellers’ hope of rescue, and the Muslim- 70, it became clear to them that they would never
22 Dialog: A Journal of Theology . Volume 43, Number 1 . Spring 2004

again ‘‘continue to meet together in the temple.’’ They But this is a natural development of all religions.
would never again hear the psalms of David being All religions in the world are being transformed by the
sung in Hebrew in the right way. They would soon economic and cultural movement which we designate
disobey the ritual rules of clean and unclean and start as ‘globalisation’. Religions have become fluid and are
eating pork as the most natural thing in the world. Yes, on the move. Christianity moves south. Islam goes
the lamp stand had indeed been removed. And the first west and the eastern religions spread all over the place.
great Christian exodus started. Exiting Judaism, Chris-
tianity made its home in the neighbourhood of Greek-
Hellenistic culture and the Roman law and religion. What does all this mean to us, who see
My claim is that today we are in a situation that ourselves as Church of the North?
can be compared with that of the first Christians in
the year 70, when they had to find their way out of a It means, first of all, that we have to face the
situation which had deprived them of their natural ecumenical problem in a quite new and down-to-
spiritual basis. Even for us, the lamp stand is being earth way. ‘‘Ecumenic’’ originates from the Greek
removed. Where to? This it not a simple question, oikumene, which means the whole inhabited globe.
but at least towards the South. If we look for growth, And it is therefore not sufficient to look at the
activity and commitment within Christianity, we position of religion and Christianity in Europe. To
certainly have to look south. understand what is going on, we must involve the
entire inhabited globe. The development in Europe
has been described by means of various terms, of
Transformation of Christianity which I prefer the term ‘‘multireligiosity.’’ The
meaning of this term is not just that we are being
inundated with new religiosity and new religions,
Following Lamin Sanneh5 I would argue that at its but that all religions are under change and omnipresent.
core, Christianity is not a religion; it is a ‘translation What we are facing right now is nothing less than
movement’. When Christianity reaches new people a change of religion. This may sound rather dra-
groups, the Bible has to be translated. People have matic. I am postulating this, however, to make us
not received the gospel before they have a copy of realize certain features in the cultural development
the Bible in their native language. With every trans- which we are going through right now.
lation of the Bible, God is given a new name, i.e., Which precedents can be cited in support of reli-
the name of God in the given culture. This process gious change? Not the Reformation, as it stands for
of translation is therefore a stage in the serial story of making reforms, changes within the existing frames, in
God. By the very fact that God is given many new order to go back to an earlier original stage. No, if we
names, there is a transformation of Christianity. It want to compare to a religious change, we must go
enters into a new context and it cannot help being back to the only known and well-documented reli-
affected by this context, which results in a change. gious change, so far, in our culture, namely when the
Therefore it should not come as a surprise to us to people of the North and the West accepted Christian-
learn that the current movement of Christianity is ity. It was a religious change from above. The King
also a transformation, which is indeed the case. took the new belief and changed the ritual; the shift
Originally, Christianity as we know it found its was from the top down and it was authoritarian; but
shape in a dialogue with Greek and Roman culture on the ground it was gradual.
and religion. Christianity is now facing a dialogue This time the religious change does not happen
with philosophical and religious tendencies in the by way of a dictate from the ruling powers. It
South, which may result in just as radical changes. happens on the individual and personal level.
From this encounter, new shapes of Christianity will Because it has been prepared with the modern
develop, which we sometimes find difficult to recog- emphasis on the individual, it happens by means of
nize as Christian in our interpretation. changes in the individual’s religious conviction. It
What is Happening to Global Christianity? . Viggo Mortensen 23

does not mean the extermination of Christianity. On of a more general redistribution of beliefs, in a
the contrary, it grows and changes. But the form of society made structurally uncertain, because of the
Christianity practiced in the North is facing great primacy it gives to innovation and change.6
problems. Secularisation was the most important issue of
Is Europe an exceptional case? This is in fact what debate among the generation of theologians following
the aforementioned British sociologist of religion World War II. Many grew up under the impression
Grace Davie argues. In her book she advocates the that religion was a thing of the past. But the epoch
thesis that Europe is indeed something special. This was wrong, as we can see today. There are basic
means that the development that Europe has gone phenomena, which will always require a religious
through will probably not repeat itself anywhere else interpretation. Because we believed—with the
in the world, something we have usually with pride epoch—that religion was a thing of the past, the
presumed. What we are talking about here is the awakening to the actual experiences of the power of
secularisation thesis. religion to change the world became especially rude.
From the point of view of systematic theology,
secularisation was an exciting concept, which facili-
The Relation Between tated new and exciting attempts to preach the Chris-
tian gospel. But as far as the Church was concerned,
Modernization and secularisation led to de-christianisation, which in the
Secularisation long run made it difficult for the Church to survive
as anything more than a service institution. The
Protestant ideal of the relation between the gospel
The secularisation thesis presumes that economic and society is ‘‘like sugar in water.’’ The gospel is the
and social modernization leads to secularisation, herb that, when dissolved, gives flavour to the drink.
which in this connection is defined as the with- On the whole, it has worked like that. Something,
drawal of religion from the public sphere. Not neces- however, has not been taken into consideration,
sarily from the private sphere; secularisation may, on namely that, if one wants the flavour to remain in
the contrary, lead to privatisation of religion and the drink, one must keep and store a reservoir of
greater influence on the personal level. herbs, a supply of undiluted flavour, which can
We usually draw a line from the Reformation, provide the herbs needed when the course of society
over the Enlightenment, to modern times. The has to be adjusted. This was omitted, and therefore
Reformation starts the development by questioning secularisation resulted in de-christianisation.
the authority of the Roman Catholic Church. This is Statistics show this development in a slackening
done by emphasizing the individual, the pro me of of the institutional discipline. People are not actively
creation and salvation. What is the meaning of the involved with the institutional church, but they do
Creation? It means that God created me and all not abandon their affiliation. People have not
other creatures, says Marin Luther. This leads to an stopped believing, but they have stopped letting
individualism, which again questions our common faith form their lives. Faith becomes a private mat-
basis for religious faith. In addition rationality takes ter; something personal, which does not exist in the
its toll on the religious traditions. public space.
This is the beginning of the end of the sacred As Christianity was the prevalent religion in
canopy, which had so far circumscribed the society. Europe, this also meant a de-religionisation or, at
Individualism and reason are emphasized further by least, a dilution of religion to such an extent that it
means of the Enlightenment. This leads to increased was not always sufficient to satisfy the religious feel-
pluralism and secularisation. Secularisation in itself ing, which was the reason why people looked around
does not lead to a general loss of religion in a to have the empty space filled up. Secularisation and
globally rationalized society, but to a more general the appearance of the new religious movements thus
reorganization of the forms of religiosity, itself part became interrelated.
24 Dialog: A Journal of Theology . Volume 43, Number 1 . Spring 2004

How do these new conditions affect the role Believing is deciding or inventing that we are
of Christianity? engendered.
(2) The spreading of relativism, which follows from
the symbiosis between religious pluralism and
First of all, like everything else in a consumer society,
the modern culture of the individual, tends to
religion becomes a choice. The peculiar thing about
create or recreate a new call for denominational
pluralism is that it leads to relativisation. When more
identification.
than one faith is recognized, all religions are relativised,
Others mention that we have lost our common
which again leads to secularisation and indifference.
discourse. What might replace such a common dis-
Pluralism brings an increased supply of options, gives
course? We can observe what is on people’s minds:
people a choice and thus stimulates ‘‘sale’’. Religion is
That is money, sex, pop culture and sports. Con-
no longer a matter of necessity, but about choice and
sumerism is in many ways the new religion, but
like and seen in connection with choice of life style.
most people can only satisfy their hunger once, so
Sometimes people make the choice in the dark or they
they start looking around for things to fill the empty
may even take over something by tradition. At other
space. Especially, sports and entertainment are
times people will—like in other consumer cases—make
becoming to many a replacement for religion.
an informed choice, by which the function of the
Sport arenas around the world are today the scenes
religion in the modern society plays an important role.
of great solidarity and roar of atmosphere, and we
Scholars of sociology have brought forward the terms
see innovations in the rituals that have to do with sports.
that religion may take care of the ‘‘collective memory’’,
This still leaves the unsolved question: What
the ‘‘common discourse’’ or the ‘‘social capital’’.
provides the coherence of societies? Can consumer-
The Christian religion, now one choice among
ism and entertainment fulfil that role? Panem et
many, must advertise its spiritual wares to persuade
circenses (bread and entertainment) was also the
religious shoppers to invest in this faith, not another.
order of the day in the late Roman empire; and we
The Christian faith must sell itself to the human
know how they fared. Religion has in many societies
heart, not to public institutions.
played the role of giving coherence and identity to a
given society. The church used to and can in certain
cases still administer part of this social capital in
Religion as a Collective Memory, today’s society, but the share is declining and declin-
ing fast because faith does not lead to commitment
Common Discourse or Social and taking responsibility. People are believing with-
Capital out belonging. This development co-exists in the
Nordic countries with a parallel growing tendency
of belonging without believing. People stay in the
The French anthropologist Hervieue-Léger sees religion church, pay their church tax, but do not really care.
as a form of collective memory. When societies become Lutheranism has become in countries such as
less based on religion, then, according to Hervieue- Denmark a sort of civil religion.
Leger, they are not able to keep the collective memory.
She refers to such societies as ‘‘amnesic societies,’’ socie-
ties with amnesia.7 This is the basis for my thesis: We And the Future?
live in a post-Christian culture with amnesia.
Hervieue-Léger sees two trends emerging from
this description: I have rehearsed how I interpret the situation in
(1) The growing importance of small groups in the order to have a basis for qualified speculations on
shaping of religious identities. Such small groups how the development will proceed. The future
provide the individual believers with communal depends on the choices we make now. And the
confirmation of their own meaning system. most obvious choice we are confronted with is a
What is Happening to Global Christianity? . Viggo Mortensen 25

choice between a future characterized by a clash of society and individualized life forms. I do not see
civilisations or a peaceful, multiethnic, multicultural the church has a choice. It needs to respond to
and multi-religious coexistence. the different segments of society, and thus in
In Western Europe the mainline churches are in responding to these different segments it takes on
decline, sometimes in a dramatic decline. Both St. different shapes. (2) Another trend will lead to a
Peter in Rome and St. Pauls Cathedral in London certain kind of uniformity. What is characteristic of
have the same ground plan as Hagia Sofia. Right McDonald’s is its efficiency, calculability, predict-
now we are far from a situation where St. Peter and ability and control. So we will see churches that very
St. Paul are confronted with the same fate as their efficiently try to market their message in calculable,
sister church in Constantinople/Istanbul. It was predictable and controlled ways.
turned into a mosque three days after the Ottoman
siege in 1453. But in a hundred to two hundred
years time span? Taking into account the dramatic
changes that have taken place within the latest 40 From consensus ecumenism to theology of
years one could not be altogether sure. religions
Although Christianity is declining in the West,
we see major growth in Asia (Korea, China), resur- Plurality we have; unity we seek. This old adage in
gence in Africa, and transformation in Latin America. the ecumenical movement is strengthened in the
The pattern is similar: Forms of Christianity origin- future. Ecumenical theology among Christians will
ally planted in the region by Europeans or North expand to ecumenic theology among the world’s
Americans were taken over by an indigenous leader- religions.10 Not the old consensus oikoumene. Select
ship and went on to flourish in new forms. There- theologians coming together and producing texts
fore—and that is our first conclusion concerning the that are of relevance for nobody; that activity will
future of global Christianity—it is unlikely that diminish. As denominational differences diminish
there will be one normative Christianity at the global there will be an urgent need to widen the ecumenic
level; rather Christianity will experience very differ- perspective and include other religions. Of course
ent futures in its various global manifestations.8 there will be churches refusing to have anything to
do with each other and other religious communities.
By this approach a specific group can have the
From Luther to McDonald’s benefit of maintaining a doctrinal integrity and
thus protect a Christian orthodoxy, but in the long
What trends will then be formative in the next run it will be detrimental also to the group’s survival.
church? Therefore the only option left is that one acknowl-
Bishop Henry Newman is reported to have said: edge the differences and, in spite of those differences,
If the church is to remain the same, it must change. be open to collaboration—if only on a limited
So we should not be afraid of change. It will natur- number of issues. The importance of doctrinal differ-
ally be a different church that will survive. For ences are bound to diminish in view of the attacks on
instance, the traditional denominations will be of Christian belief from secularism, consumerism, materi-
less importance? As a community of nondenomina- alism and other religions.
tional character the next church will eschew the The religious encounter happens everywhere, and
Byzantine labyrinth of ecclesiastical standpoints and the churches need to be ready to discuss all the
politics. The influence of globalisation will contri- inherited doctrinal formulations. We are in a posi-
bute to the marketing of Christianity and the tion not very different from the situation in which
McDonaldization of the church.9 From this follow Christianity found itself in the year 70 in Anthio-
two trends: (1) One will lead to diversity and variety. chia. This development revitalises the discipline,
Contemporary sociology describes how modern theology of religions. What are we going to think
societies are fragmented in state, market, civic of the religious ‘‘other’’ as we speak to them?
26 Dialog: A Journal of Theology . Volume 43, Number 1 . Spring 2004

Plurality we have. Some may prematurely infer dynamic; it is open to God’s transformative action.
that if society is pluralistic then everything is relative. The eschatological nature of Christian faith frees
Others will opt for a syncretistic form of Christianity Christians from all forms of narrow definitions of
arguing—with a certain right—that Christianity has identity and forms of cozy or neurotic belonging to
always been syncretistic. Others again will favour their tradition. They do not need to be afraid to
fundamentalistic reactions. It is one of the most meet their own otherness or the otherness of others,
disturbing points in the present situation that fun- for their ultimate project is not to stabilize their own
damentalism is growing within all the major world selves but to belong to God and one another in
religions. Christ and prepare themselves for Gods’s transform-
ative actions in all of their life as well as in the entire
universe.’’12 This is a description of a new spiritual-
Toward Dialogue ity we could be longing for: grounded in our own
tradition and open towards the other.
To belong to God and one another in Christ and
If we do not think fundamentalism, relativism or prepare ourselves for God’s transformative actions,
syncretism is the right answer for the future of global this is the underlying basis and the ultimate goal of
Christianity, we must work for alternatives now. In an authentic Christian existence. People are adrift;
this endeavour dialogue must be central—dialogue everything seems to be in flux. And yet, the essence
between cultures and dialogue between religions. of the gospel—for our time and in the future—is
But dialogue conducted out of a firm conviction that God is in charge despite all appearances to the
and clear priorities in mission. In a recent book11 contrary.
I have proposed and argued for the following prio-
rities:
- Living together and witnessing to one another
- Strengthening the Christian identity Endnotes
- Renewing a Christian spirituality
- Developing a sound theology of religions
1. For All God’s People: Being Church in Multireligious Societies. In Viggo
With this a demanding agenda is set before us. As Mortensen (ed.) Theology and the Religions: A Dialogue (Grand Rapids: Wm.
Lutherans we share this agenda with all Christians. B. Eerdmanns, 2003) p. 465–479.
From the Lutheran tradition we are not given any 2. Grace Davie, Europe: The Exceptional Case. (London: Sarum Theo-
logical lectures, 2002) p. 147.
readymade answers how to work with these priorities.
3. Philip Jenkins, The Next Christendom: The Coming of Global Chris-
But there is a certain perspective that we as Lutherans tianity (New York: Oxford University Press, 2002).
want to bring to the table and to the common discus- 4. ‘‘Such extrapolations of the present, whether retrospective or predic-
sion. We Lutherans take (1) a certain view of the tive, are potentially dangerous and misleading. But they are also interest-
ing—which is presumably why so many people do it.’’ Alister E. McGrath,
human life in this world that is a life not excluded The Future of Christianity (Oxford: Blackwell Manifestos, 2002) p. 72.
from the life of God. Society is the place for God’s left 5. Lamin Sanneh, Translating the Message: The Missionary Impact on
hand work; and a Christian has a vocation to channel Culture (Maryknoll: Orbis, 1992).
love for the neighbour through the institutions of 6. Daniéle Hervieu-Léger, ‘‘Secularization, Tradition and New Forms
society. We take (2) a certain view of the church as a of Religiosity: Some Theoretical Proposals,’’in Eileen Barker & Margit
Warburg eds. New Religions and New Religiosity (Aarhus: Aarhus University
community of believers, all under God, where all the Press, 1998) p. 31.
faith full are called to the priesthood. We hold (3) a 7. ‘‘Modern societies seem to be more and more unfamiliar with reli-
basic trust that we as sinners are saved by God’s grace gion; but it is not, as classical secularization theory claims, because they are
more and more rational; it is because they are more and more amnesic,
through faith in Jesus Christ and we can live our lives because they are less and less able to develop a living collective memory as a
confident that God in Christ is reigning. source of meaning for the present and orientations for the future.’’ D.
Hervieu-Léger, 1998, p. 38.
In order to stress that we are in this together let me
8. ‘‘Christianity, while surviving the twenty-first century, will undergo major
conclude with a quote from a Catholic theologian changes, most significantly as a result of the continued expansion of Christianity in
working in Sweden: ‘‘Christian belonging is always the non-eastern world and its likely diminishing role in the west . . . . Its future lies
What is Happening to Global Christianity? . Viggo Mortensen 27

in the largely unreported growth in Africa and Asia. In the west we may hear little ‘‘ecumenic’’ refers to engagement beyond the church, to cooperative unity
more than the melancholy low roar of an ebbing tide. Yet elsewhere the tide is among the religions and secular society.
flowing and new possibilities emerging.’’ Alister E. McGrath, The Future of
11. Viggo Mortensen, ed., The Role of Mission in the Future of Lutheran
Christianity (Oxford: Blackwell, 2002) p. 118f.
Theology (Aarhus: Centre for Multireligious Studies, University of Aarhus,
9. John Drane, The McDonaldization of the Church: Spirituality, Crea- 2003) p. 213ff.
tivity and the Future of the Church (London: DTL, 2000).
12. Werner G. Jeanrond, in Catherine Cornille ed., Many Mansions?
10. Dialog readers are acustomed to using ‘‘ecumenical’’ to refer to Multiple Religious Belonging and Christian Identity (Maryknoll: Orbis, 2002)
Christian ecumenism aimed at uniting the Body of Christ. The term p.118.

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