EXERCISES CHAPTER 14

14-15 LUNDBERG'S CAR WASH (A) AND (B)

NUMBER OF CARS FREQUENCY PROB CUM PROB RAN NUM INT

3 0 0 0
4 20 0.1 0.1 1--10
5 30 0.15 0.25 11--25
6 50 0.25 0.5 26--50
7 60 0.3 0.8 51--80
8 40 0.2 1 81--100
9 OR MORE 0 0 1
200 1

EXERCISE 14-21 DUMOOR APPLIANCE CENTER

DEMAND (WEEKS) PROB. CUM PROB RAN NO INT

0 0.2 0.2 1--20
1 0.4 0.6 21--40
2 0.2 0.8 41--80
3 0.15 0.95 81--95
4 0.05 1 96--100

LEAD TIME (WEEKS) PROB. CUM PROB RAN NO INT

1 0.15 0.15 1--15
2 0.35 0.5 16--50
3 0.5 1 51--100

STOCKOUT COST =$40.00 PER STOCKOUT (TOTAL LOST SALES)

HOLDING COST = $1.00 PER TOTAL ITEMS HELD IN END INVENTORY
ORDER QUANTITY=10 REORDER POINT =5
(1)WEEKS (2)UNITS REC. (3) BEG INV (4) RAN NO (5) DEMAND (6) END INV
 1 0 5 52 1 4
2 0 4 37 1 3
3 0 3 82 3 0
4 0 0 69 2 0
5 10 10 98 4 6
6 0 6 96 4 2
7 0 2 33 1 1
8 0 1 50 1 0
9 0 0 88 3 0
10 10 10 90 3 7
23

STOCKOUT COST: $40(5)=$200.00 HOLDING COST$1.00(23)=$23.00

EXERCISE 14-25 THREE HILLS POWER COMPANY

HISTORICAL DATA TABLE 14.2

(1)TIME BETWEEN (2)NO TIMES (3)PROB (4) CUM PROB (5)RAN NO INT
REC MACHINE FAILS OBSERVED
0.5 5 0.05 0.05 01--05
1 6 0.06 0.11 06--11
1.5 16 0.16 0.27 12--27
2 33 0.33 0.6 28--60
2.5 21 0.21 0.81 61--81
3 19 0.19 1 82--100
TOTAL 100 1

REPAIR TIME TWO REPAIRPERSONS

REP TIME PROB CUM PROB RAN NO INT

0.5 0.28 0.28 1--28
1 0.52 0.8 29--80
1.5 0.2 1 81--100
1

14-25 ANSWER
(A) SIMULATION OF PROPOSED MANTENANCE SYSTEM CHANGE OVER A 15-GENERATOR BREAKDOWN PERIOD

(5)Time
Repairperson (6)Random
(2) Random (3) Time Free to No. For
(1) Breakdown Number for Between (4) Time of Begin Repair
Number Breakdown Breakdowns Breakdown Repair Time
 1 69 2.5 2:30 2:30 37
2 84 3 5:30 5:30 77
3 12 1.5 7:00 7:00 13
4 94 3 10:00 10:00 10
5 51 2 12:00 12:00 2
6 36 2 14:00 14:00 18
7 17 1.5 15:30 15:30 31
8 2 0.5 16:00 16:00 19
9 15 1.5 17:30 17:30 32
10 29 2 19:30 19:30 85
11 16 1.5 21:00 21:00 31
12 52 2 23:00 23:00 94
13 56 2 1:00 1:00 81
14 43 2 3:00 3:00 43
15 26 1.5 4:30 4:30 31

(B) THREE HILLS CURRENT SIMULATED MAINTENAMCE COST WITH ONE REPAIRPERSON PER SHIFT IS $4,320.00. BY ADDING
COSTS ARE LOWERD TO $2,820.00. THREE HILS SHOULD ADD A SECOND REPAIRPERSON IN EACH SHIFT.
COST LABOR:
2 REPAIRPERSON $30.00/HR EACH=$60/HR
HRS. DAY 1 (00:00-24:00) 24
HRS. DAY 2 (00:00-5:30) 5.5
TOTAL HOURS 29.5

$60.00(29.5) $1,770.00

COST DOWNTIME:
HRS.DOWN 14
COST PER HR. $75.00
$75.00(14) $1,050.00

COST OF LABOR $1,770.00

COST OF DOWN TIME $1,050.00
TOTAL COST $2,820.00

EXERCISE 14-27: DR. MARK GREENBERG

WILL DR. GREENBERG BE ABLE TO MAKE THE FLIGHT?

Patient Arrival Prob Cum Prob Ran

1 20 mins early 0.2 0.2 0–20
2 10 mins early 0.1 0.3 21–30
3 On time 0.4 0.7 31–70
4 10 mins late 0.25 0.95 71–95
5 20 mins late 0.05 1 96–00
1
 Expected Finish Time Prob Cum Prob Ran
1 .20 less than expected 0.15 0.15 0–15
2 In the expected time 0.5 0.65 16–65
4 .20 more than expected 0.25 0.9 66–90
5 .40 more than expected 0.1 1 91–100
1

Patient Appointment
Adams 9:30
Brown
Crawford
Dannon
Erving
Fink
Graham
Hinkel
 14-15 ( C )

HOUR RAND NO SIM ARRV'S

1 52 7
2 37 6
3 82 8
4 69 7
5 98 8
6 96 8
7 33 6
8 50 6
9 88 8
10 90 8
11 50 6
12 27 6
13 45 6
14 81 8
15 66 7
105

AVERAGE 15
(J22/J7)

RDER POINT =5
(7) LOST SALES (8) ORDER? (9) RAN NO (10) LEAD TIME
 0 NO
0 NO
0 SI 6 1
2 NO
0 N0
0 SI 63 3
0 NO
0 NO
3 NO
0 NO
5

0(23)=$23.00

WN PERIOD

(9)Number
(7)Repair (8)Time Hours
Time Repair Machine
Required Ends down
 1 3:30 1
1 6:30 1
0.5 7:30 0.5
0.5 10:30 0.5
0.5 12:30 0.5
0.5 14:30 0.5
1 16:30 1
0.5 16:30 0.5
1 18:30 1
1.5 21:00 1.5
1 22:00 1
1.5 0:30:00 1.5
1.5 2:30 1.5
1 4:00 1
1 5:30 1
14 14
S $4,320.00. BY ADDING A SECOND REPAIRPERSON PER SHIFT