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Received 4 January 2011; accepted after revision 4 May 2011; online publish-ahead-of-print 28 July 2011
Introduction Sudden cardiac death (SCD) in young people is a rare but devastating event for families and communities. Ireland has
previously had no measure of the incidence of SCD in young people. We report the incidence and causes of SCD in
persons ,35 years of age.
.....................................................................................................................................................................................
from 0.93 per 100 000 person-years (in persons aged 14 –35
Introduction years)10 up to 6.2 per 100 000 person-years (in persons aged
Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the commonest mode of death in 20 –40 years).11 A recent national survey from Denmark has
the developed world, accounting for two-thirds of all cardiovascu- described an incidence rate of SCD in 1 –35-year olds of 1.9 –
lar deaths.1 – 9 International guideline groups estimate an incidence 2.8 per 100 000 person-years, depending on methodology used.12
of SCD of 36 –128 deaths per 100 000 person-years with the vast The causes of SCD in the young are diverse. While atherosclerotic
majority of events due to coronary disease.7 – 9 In the younger age coronary artery disease (CAD) remains a significant contributor to
group, previous studies have shown incidence rates of SCD ranging SCD in the young, a significant proportion of deaths are due to
* Corresponding author. Tel: +353 1 8034367; fax: +353 1 8034417, Email: joseph.galvin1@gmail.com
Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. & The Author 2011. For permissions please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.
1412 R. Margey et al.
inherited cardiomyopathies or channelopathies.13,14 This has impli- the possibility of an underlying heart condition that resulted in a
cations for identification of these disorders in surviving relatives, fatal arrhythmia it was considered preferable to exclude such
who may also be at risk of the same disease, with prior studies deaths to avoid inclusion of cases that were possibly non-cardiac.
suggesting that these disorders can be identified in 25 –50% of surviv-
ing relatives.15,16 In 4–5% of all SCD, a cause of death cannot be Case selection
ascertained, even after comprehensive post-mortem, toxicology From the CSO-provided list of all deaths in this age group, persons
screen, and cardiac pathologic examination. These are classified as with the following ICD codes were selected as possible cases of
sudden arrhythmic death syndrome (SADS).14 – 16 SCD. International Classification of Diseases-9 codes (used in
In the Republic of Ireland, a number of high-profile SCD events 2005 and 2006) were (i) disease of the circulatory system 390–
in young persons have focused attention on this condition. A single 459.7; (ii) other heart disease 420–423; and (iii) sudden death
retrospective study in 2005 of death certificate-registered SCD in 798–799. International Classification of Diseases-10 codes (used
persons aged 15 –35 years estimated an SCD incidence of 3.18 per in 2007) were (i) disease of the circulatory system I00-I99 and
100 000 person-years.17 This unexpectedly high estimate has high- (ii) ill-defined and unknown causes of mortality (including sudden
lighted the need to monitor the incidence of this condition in death) R95–99. Subjects with serious non-cardiac or terminal
Ireland. In this report, we describe the incidence and causes of illnesses were excluded. The Republic of Ireland has a coronial
out of hospital SCD in persons aged 14 –35 years in the Republic system for the investigation of sudden or unexplained deaths.
of Ireland from 2005 to 2007. We also describe the methodologi- For all such deaths, post-mortem evaluation is performed as
cal considerations when extrapolating incidence rates from the requested by the coroner, unless he or she determines that
death registration system. there is sufficient evidence to determine the cause of death
without such an examination. Post-mortem results are not held
centrally in the Republic of Ireland, but rather with the investigating
Methods coroner or pathologist. For each suspected case of SCD identified
This is a retrospective death registration study of SCD in persons through the CSO registration system, the relevant pathologist or
aged 15–34 years inclusively. coroner was identified, and full post-mortem and toxicology
From this, the overall incidence of SCD and the incidence of modelling. The statistical package used was Intercooled Stata 9
specific cardiac diseases per 100 000 person-years were estimated. (StataCorp, TX, USA).
Confidence intervals were estimated using Poisson distribution
Ethical approval
Ethical approval was obtained from the Department of Health and
Table 1 Population census numbers divided by gender Children and the CSO to obtain the dataset of registered deaths
and age group adapted from the Central Statistics and the post-mortem and inquest results from the coroners and
Office of Ireland national population census 2006 pathologists throughout the country.
Age group (years) Males Females Total
................................................................................
0 –4 154556 147696 302252
Results
5 –9 147984 140341 288325
Cases identified to the Sudden Cardiac
10– 14 140504 133368 273872
15– 19 148241 142016 290257
Death in the Young Registry
20– 24 172766 169709 342475 Figure 1 outlines the case selection process of the potential cardiac
25– 29 189252 183826 373078 cases from the cases identified. For the period 2005–2007 inclus-
30– 34 177487 171874 349361 ive, there were a total of 342 cases selected from the death regis-
Total 1130790 1088830 2219620 tration files of the CSO fulfilling the ICD-9 or ICD-10 cardiac or
sudden death criteria. Fifty cases (14.6%) were in persons aged
,15 years and were omitted from the final rate calculations. Of
39 post-mortems not
located (39/292, 13.4%), 90 non-cardiac cases
7 with insufficient data excluded by panel SUDEP* 24.4% (22/90)
(7/292, 2.4%), (90/292, 30.8%)
40 no post-mortem
performed (40/292, 13.7%)
Drug or Alcohol related
21.1% (19/90)
Pulmonary embolism
13.3% (12/90)
Figure 1 Flow diagram of case selection processes performed by the Sudden Cardiac Death in the Young Registry of potential sudden unex-
plained or cardiac deaths for 2005 – 2007 inclusive. *SUDEP, sudden unexplained death in epilepsy; †‘Other’ denotes deaths as a result of
trauma/accidents, infections, organ failure, neurologic causes, aortic dissection and deaths not otherwise categorized.
1414 R. Margey et al.
these 50 cases, 39 (66.1%) were deemed to be due to cardiac Incidence of sudden cardiac death and
aetiology on review of their death registration and post-mortem incidence of the various identified causes
data. Eleven cases were referred for adjudication by the expert
Over the period 2005– 2007, the incidence of SCD in the
panel to the pathology collaborators. Tables 2 and 3 show how
15 –35-year-old age group was 2.85 per 100 000 person-years
cases identified to the registry were classified.
(95% CI 2.05, 3.93). This equated to an incidence of SCD in males
Case status was not ascertainable for 29.5% (86 of 292) of the
of 4.36 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 3.06, 6.4) and an incidence
possible events identified. This was because no post-mortem
of SCD in females of 1.3 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 0.62,
evaluation was undertaken in 40 of 86 (46.5%), insufficient or unsa-
2.56). The incidence of SADS in the 15–35-year-old age group
tisfactory post-mortem details in 7 of 86 (8.1%), an inability to
was 0.76 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 0.35, 1.40) with an inci-
ascertain the correct coroner for that event (inaccurate coroner’s
dence in males of 0.96 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 0.41, 2.10)
jurisdiction listed by the CSO) in 18 of 86 (20.9%), or because the
and an incidence in females of 0.54 per 100 000 person-years (95%
coroner or pathologist did not forward the post-mortem details to
CI 0.16, 1.5). The incidence of sudden death due to coronary disease
the registry despite multiple requests in 21 of 86 (24.4%). These
cases have a mean age of 24.9 + 6.4 years and are 65%:35% mal-
e:female gender distribution, similar to the population included in Table 3 Demographic characteristics and cause of
our study below. Of the 79 CSO registered sudden deaths on sudden cardiac death cases
which post-mortem reports were either unavailable or not per-
formed, 20 (25.3%) were non-cardiac (as described on death cer- Variable 2005 2006 2007 Total
................................................................................
tification) and the rest were felt to be cardiac in aetiology, with 33
Number 42 35 42 116
(41.8%) being attributed to congenital heart disease (ConHD) and
Male gender 37 (88.9%) 21 (60%) 32 (76.1%) 90 (77.5%)
an additional five cases listed as SADS deaths (Table 4).
Age mean, (SD) 24.9 (6.8) 26.6 (5.7) 26 (6.4) 25.8 (6.3)
A total of 116 deaths (39.7% of the total of 292 cases available
Cause of sudden death
for examination) were considered by the panel to represent true
SADS 8 10 13 31 (26.7%)
SCDs. Most deaths occurred in males, with an average age of
HCM 10 4 3 17 (14.7%)
Table 2 Case selection and categorization by the Table 4 Death certificate causes of death in the cases in
Sudden Cardiac Death in the Young Registry which post-mortem results were either unobtainable or
not performed (total n 5 79)
Variable 2005 2006 2007 Total (%)
................................................................................ Cause of death Year of death Total
CSO identified 122 92 128 342 registration
cases ...............................
2005 2006 2007
Omitted due to 27 7 16 50 (14.6%) ................................................................................
age ,15 years
Cardiac-related causes
Potential cardiac 95 85 112 292
Congenital heart disease 22 4 7 33
cases adjudicated
Cardiomyopathy 2 2 1 5
Cardiac cases as 42 35 42 119/292 (40.7%)
adjudicated by SCDYR Ischaemia 0 3 0 3
Non-cardiac cases as 14 27 49 90/292 (30.8%) SADS/primary arrhythmia 1 1 2 4
adjudicated by SCDYR Othera 2 1 3
Incomplete PM/missing cases 39 24 23 86/292 (29.7%)
a
Other, cardiac sarcoidosis (1) and myocarditis (2).
Sudden cardiac death in 14- to 35-year olds in Ireland from 2005 to 2007 1415
Anom coronary
2% Duchenne MD Ao Aneurysm
1% 1%
Myocarditis SADS
MVP
6%
1% Inf Endo
Acute rejection SADS HCM
1%
Sarcoidosis 1% 26%
3% CAD
ARVC LVH
2%
DCM
Congenital
3%
HD
DCM
Congenital HD ARVC
9%
HCM Sarcoidosis
14%
LVH Myocarditis
10%
CAD
20%
was 0.59 (95% CI 0.26, 1.20) per 100 000 person-years [1.01 (95% CI
0.60, 2.50) per 100 000 person-years in males and 0.14 (95% CI 0.04,
Cause of death by gender 2005-2007 0.84) per 100 000 person-years in females]. The incidence of sudden
35
Female Male
death due to HCM was 0.41 (95% CI 0.16, 0.96) per 100 000 person-
30 years [0.67 (95% CI 0.24, 1.70) per 100 000 person-years in males
25 and 0.14 (95% CI 0.04, 0.84) per 100 000 person-years in females).
20
Non-cardiac sudden death cases
15
Figure 1 outlines the selection of potential cardiac cases from the
10 overall number of deaths registered. From the cohort of potential
5 cardiac cases, on expert panel consensus, a total of 87 cases were
0 attributed to non-cardiac causes. The commonest cause of death
SADS
CAD
HCM
LVH
CONGEN
Myocard
Ao Diss
DCM
Sarcoid
ARVC
Anom Cor
Other
30 2007 total
2006 total
25
2005 total
20
No.
15
10
r
EN
rd
d
ss
VC
Co
DS
er
M
M
D
oi
ca
CA
HC
LV
DC
th
Di
NG
rc
AR
SA
om
yo
O
Sa
Ao
CO
An
Cause of death
Figure 4 Cause of death by year and number. X-axis, cause of death; Y-axis, number of cases; SADS, sudden adult death syndrome; CAD,
coronary artery disease; HCM, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; LVH, left ventricular hypertrophy; Congen, congenital heart disease; Myocard,
myocarditis; Ao Diss, aortic dissection; DCM, dilated cardiomyopathy; Sarcoid, sarcoidosis; ARVC, arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyo-
pathy; Anom Cor, anomalous coronaries; Other, infectious endocarditis, Duchenne muscular dystrophy, aortic aneurysm, mitral valve prolapse,
acute rejection.
well known to have high frequencies of gene carriage for inherited then expert cardiac pathological and electrophysiological opinion
conditions such as haemochromotosis and cystic fibrosis.24,25 One should be sought. Previously, Irish pathologists would consult
putative explanation for this apparent international variation in with an international expert on cardiac pathology, and this
disease incidences may be a similar ‘founder gene mutation’ occurred in 5 of 204 of the post-mortems reviewed. Through
effect. Comparison of SADS rates and specific gene mutation experts in the Faculty of Pathology, and the national SCD in the
rates between different countries would be a major undertaking Young Taskforce, specialized guidelines for post-mortem evalu-
but would be helpful in giving a more complete picture of the con- ations in cases of SCD are now available for Irish pathologists.
tribution of genetic disease not just to SCD in young people but
also potentially to determining vulnerability to lethal ventricular Study limitations
arrhythmias in later life in the setting of ischaemic heart disease. The authors acknowledge that a major limitation of this study is the
This study highlights the many challenges in estimating SCD and lack of adequate or available autopsy reports in 86 of 292 cases of
SADS events from routine national data collection. Similar to the death among the target population. Indeed, 40 of 292 of these
Behr study, the incidence of SADS is higher than that available missing cases did not actually undergo autopsy examination.
from the official national statistics service. Behr et al. 14 estimated Despite multiple requests for the other 39 reports, these missing
the incidence of SADS mortality at 0.16 per 100 000 persons cases were ultimately not available for inclusion in the analysis.
per annum compared with 0.10 per 100 000 persons per annum The likely bias resulting from the missing data is an underestimation
from the National Office for Statistics. Using our study method- of the true incidence of SCD in our population. This has been
ology, we estimated a SADS incidence rate for 2006 which was addressed for future surveys by planned prospective collection
five times higher than that estimated using national CSO coding of data and by raising awareness among coroners and pathologists
alone (0.14 deaths per 100 000 persons per year). Indeed, SADS through the national Faculty of Pathology.
cases were varyingly coded as ‘unascertained’, conduction disorder We used the CSO classification of causes of death for the initial
(426), cardiac dysrhythmia (427), heart failure (428), ill-defined identification of potential cases. This caused inclusion of inap-
descriptions and complications of heart disease (429), propriate (non-cardiac) cases, and therefore possible exclusion
Wolff-Parkinson-White, and ‘special symptoms of syndromes not of some relevant cases because of mis-coding. We have minimized
registry, and we did not have ethical permission to contact families 4. Tokashiki T, Muratani A, Kimura Y, Muratani H, Fukiyama K Sudden death in the
general population in Okinawa: incidence and causes of death. Jpn Circ J 1999;63:
for further clinical information on either the victim or other family
37 –42.
members. As a result, no further clarification of underlying channe- 5. Chugh SS, Jui J, Gunson K, Stecker EC, John BT, Thompson B et al. Current
lopathy diagnoses can be included in the SADS cases. burden of sudden cardiac death: multiple source surveillance versus retrospective
death certificate-based review in a large US community. J Am Coll Cardiol 2004;44:
1268 –75.
6. Moore MJ, Glover BM, McCann CJ, Cromie NA, Ferguson P, Catney DC et al.
Conclusion Demographic and temporal trends in out of hospital sudden cardiac death in
Belfast. Heart 2006;92:311 –5.
The incidence of SCD in Ireland was 4.36 per 100 000 person- 7. Escobedo LG, Zack MM Comparison of sudden and nonsudden coronary deaths
years (95% CI 3.06, 6.4) for males and 1.3 per 100 000 person- in the United States. Circulation 1996;93:2033 –6.
years (95% CI 0.62, 2.56) for females. The commonest finding at 8. Cobb LA, Fahrenbruch CE, Olsufka M, Copass MK Changing incidence of
out-of-hospital ventricular fibrillation, 1980 –2000. JAMA 2002;288:3008 –13.
autopsy was a structurally normal heart followed by CAD 9. Zheng ZJ, Croft JB, Giles WH, Mensah GA Sudden cardiac death in the United
and HCM. States, 1989 to 1998. Circulation 2001;104:2158 –63.
The incidence of SADS after careful examination of postmortem 10. Wisten A, Forsberg H, Krantz P, Messner T Sudden cardiac death in 15 –35 year
olds in Sweden during 1992 –1999. J Int Med 2002;252:529 – 36.
and toxicology reports was more than five times the incidence 11. Shen WK, Edwards WD, Hammill SC, Bailey KR, Ballard DJ, Gersh BJ Sudden
reported by the Irish CSO. unexpected nontraumatic death in 54 young adults: a 30-year population-based
study. Am J Cardiol 1995;76:148–52.
12. Winkel BG, Holst AG, Theilade J, Kristensen I, Thomsen J, Ottesen G et al.
Acknowledgements Nationwide study of sudden cardiac death in persons aged 1–35 years. Eur
We thank the Faculty of Pathologists and the Coroner’s Society of Heart J 2011;32:983 –90.
13. Corrado D, Basso C, Schiavon M, Thiene G Screening for hypertrophic cardio-
Ireland and their respective members for their co-operation and myopathy in young athletes. New Engl J Med 1998;339:364 –9.
provision of post-mortem materials to the registry and we also 14. Behr E, Casey A, Sheppard M, Wright M, Bowker TJ, Davies MJ et al. Sudden
thank the Central Statistics Office, Sudden Infant Death Register, arrhythmic death syndrome: a national survey of sudden unexplained cardiac
death. Heart 2007;93:601 – 5.
and Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Registry for their assistance. 15. Behr E, Dalageorgou C, Christiansen M, Syrris P, Hughes S, Esteban MTT et al.
Sudden arrhythmic death syndrome: familial evaluation identifies inheritable
Funding heart disease in the majority of families. Eur Heart J, 2008;29:1670 –80.