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Business models are changing ever more rapidly as the share thing of the past. Instead, the focus has shifted to developing
of digitally induced added value grows. This has consequences strategy work with a sustainable orientation. Especially in large
for how companies work on and with their strategies. An irre- companies, the chief strategy officer (CSO) and strategy de-
versible paradigm shift is underway. From strategy as a project partment will play an even more important role both as driver
to the development of strategic capabilities. From lengthy in- and catalyst of strategy work of the future.
tervals between strategy development projects to continuous Porsche Consulting derived four capabilities, each with three
strategy development and deployment in real time. In order characters, that will be crucial for strategy work in the future.
to identify and understand external and internal strategic im- High performance enterprises will incorporate these characters
pulses on a continuous basis, companies need comprehensive into their strategy-related work in order to secure competitive
strategic capabilities. Large-scale strategy projects that aim advantages.
to completely anticipate developments in coming years are a
Humans think in linear terms—but the current environment within short periods of time. One example of the typical pattern
is showing dynamic patterns. Technologies with exponential of exponential growth would be AI-based smart speakers such
growth rates are finding their way into nearly all of our products as Alexa and Siri. They are penetrating markets at considerably
and services. Given their scalability, digital business models are higher rates than previous technologies such as televisions, com-
especially able to change our environments in significant ways puters, or even smartphones.
5
Color TV 1955
0 Time (years after
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 market entry)
Figure 1. Driving forces of a disruptive environment
SA L
TI ON ES
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TODAY TRADITIONALLY TRADITIONALLY TODAY
Interestingly, only very few companies are undertaking similar tives, and rolling it all out as a documented new strategy. After
radical changes in their strategy-related work—one of the tasks only a few months, the underlying hypotheses are frequently
most closely linked to the future. At regular intervals, strategy out of date, and significant corrections need to be made to the
development appears on the agenda of top management, who strategic course. Leading companies tackle this issue by devel-
then attempts the Herculean task of exhaustively anticipating oping strategy-related skills in order to succeed in disruptive
the next five to ten years, translating it into targets and initia- environments.
Strategy work at companies in the future will focus on system- Consulting therefore seeks to challenge companies to develop
atically promoting development of the requisite strategic struc- these characters in suitable ways, in order to enable them to re-
tures and skills. Four capabilities with twelve corresponding spond effectively to new strategic impulses and thereby achieve
characters have been derived as key factors for success. Porsche long-term success in a constantly changing world.
Sets targets, Facilitates long-term Detects Makes strategy Designs structures to Prevents biases
DESCRIPTION
tracks status and planning, uncovers fundamental approachable build up future from unfolding
ensures success of gaps and develops risks & for all stakeholders capabilities and and negatively
strategic measures new measures opportunities ensures succession effecting decisions
Figure 3. Four strategic capabilities and twelve characters in Porsche Consulting’s strategy work for the future
Each of the four capabilities addresses a particular strategic Yet these capabilities need to be supplemented by continuous
challenge: where to play & how to win/battle planning; how to monitoring of the environment and short-cycle decision-mak-
invest/investment banking; how to deliver/scoring; and how to ing on strategic options. The capability investment banking,
change/behavior management. This does not mean that the which is needed to implement and finance strategies, is often
content of traditional strategy-related work is obsolete. Defin- underrepresented in strategy departments. That can render
ing a vision and mission and identifying relevant strategic goals, many strategies, whose development requires considerable ef-
for example, are subsumed into the battle planning capability. fort and resources, effectively worthless. For example,
Twelve characters will be crucial in strategy work of the future. combustion engines. When this point is reached in the foresee-
Each of the four capabilities contains its own three archetypal able future—along with sufficient range and charging possibil-
characters. ities—a strategic implication will arise. Distribution channels
and production infrastructure will then be required to adapt at
Characters in the battle planning capability the right time to meet an abrupt rise in demand for electric cars.
The first capability, that of suitable battle planning, has three Initial applications show that artificial intelligence will be used
distinct character archetypes. The first character is the insight in the foreseeable future to increase the speed and accuracy of
generator, which continuously monitors the environment, per- tipping-point observation and work with a trend radar.
forms market and customer analyses and issues proactive early The ability to adjust a strategic course, which sometimes needs
warnings when the threshold values of defined tipping points in to be done very quickly, requires access to existing alternative
certain focal areas are exceeded. The results of business envi- plans that take new opportunities and risks into account. The
ronment analyses are divided by STEEP factors1 and displayed second character, scenario strategist, is responsible for devel-
on a trend radar so they can be regularly discussed with top oping different scenarios within the strategic planning frame-
management and internal experts and translated into concrete work. Strategic planning that covers only one possible future
recommendations for action. When predetermined threshold development represents a considerable risk. Companies like
values are exceeded, an alarm triggers a result-based evalua- Shell develop scenarios for different sustainability demands on
tion of and adjustment to the strategy. The insight generator the energy mix as a result of climate change, in order to identify
therefore lays the foundation for agile adaptation of the strate- suitable strategic options.2 Consistent analyses of these new
gic course to external influences. impulses derived from the tipping points in scenarios lay the
One example: companies in the automotive industry can ob- foundation for rapid and successful action. Moreover, consis-
serve the tipping point for electromobility. When the electric tent attention to scenarios ensures that top management is
vehicle range, charging infrastructure density, and total cost of prepared to handle changing environments and can develop
ownership (TCO) all reach an acceptable level for customers, more robust strategies.
the demand for electric cars will rise steeply within a short pe- Lastly, the strategy formulator is responsible for actually deter-
riod of time. Concrete and observable variables can be derived mining the strategy and making decisions in response to the
for forecasting, for example, the total cost of ownership (TCO). associated questions. In addition to formulating classic defini-
When costs for battery cells and modules fall below a certain
level, electric vehicles can be sold profitably at prices that en- 1
social, technological, economic, environmental, political
able end consumers’ TCO to go below that for vehicles with 2
www.shell.de
Insight Scenario Strategy Portfolio Alliance Business Performance Planning Regulatory Strategy Organizational Decision
generator strategist formulator re-allocator dealmaker incubator manager orchestrator monitor communicator developer bias challenger
1 2 3 4 5
Customer, Com- Vision and mission Budget definition Target & KPI Management-
petitor & Company formulation definition oriented
analysis communication
6 7
Strategic impera- Progress
tives definition tracking & target
BASIC
achievement
12 13 14 15 16
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Regular trend & Scenario Business scoping Steering new Implementation of Integrated Employee Talent
competitor review simulation & quantification businesses strategy initiatives long-term road-shows development
financial planning
ADVANCED
17 18
27 28 29 30 31 32
Foresight and Capital allocation Conducting M&A Uncovering Successsion Bias and effect
predictive analytics fundamental risks management analysis
33 34 35 36
NEXT LEVEL
37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45
“Tipping-points” Strategic war Continuous Competence Screening Mentoring Detection of Skill & capability Nudging of biases
& competitor gaming decision-making allocation of targets start-ups systemic conversion
monitoring opportunities
08
Figure 4. Maturity model with 45 tasks for Porsche Consulting’s strategy work for the future. Each maturity level from basic via advanced to next level comprises specific tasks.
Identifying missing strategic characters in three steps
The utilization of all twelve character archetypes ensures that Step 2: Defining the target state of strategy work
the capabilities needed for continuous strategy work are ade- The second step is to stipulate which capabilities and charac-
quately represented. Not every character has to be housed in a ters should be anchored more strongly in the target state for
central strategy department. Certain characters can of course the strategy work of the future. It is not necessary to insert
be covered by the collaboration model with other corporate every character ad hoc and strive for the highest level of ma-
functions such as the finance department. For implementation turity. Depending on the company’s situation and the dynamic
to be successful, it is crucial that the capacities of all those aspects of its sector, partially developed character archetypes
involved are actually used for strategy work. An initial assess- can be sufficient for the time being (as exemplarily shown in
ment can be done in three steps. figure 5).
Step 1: Creating awareness for strategy work of the future Step 3: Prioritizing fields of action
The first step is to work with the strategy department involved The third step consists of prioritizing the missing skills in the
to check the current state of capabilities, characters and tasks, context of current strategy work and consolidate them into a
(as shown in figure 4) and to determine which of the twelve set of measures. The result is the starting point for your journey
characters are represented in the status quo of strategy work. toward strategy work of the future.
It is essential to create awareness for the fact that strategy
work in the future will cover a considerably broader perspec-
tive than it does today.
Portfolio
re-allocator Regulatory
monitor
Strategy
formulator Strategy
communi-
cator
Where to play
& how to win How to change
Scenario
strategist Organi-
zational
developer
Insight
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Figure 5. Client example of character maturity in current (grey area) and target states (red line)
The twelve characters of strategy work and the corresponding 45 tasks provide a powerful framework to evaluate your
missing capabilities as well as your structured roadmap for strategic work transformation. This will be crucial to defend and
further expand your competitive advantage.
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+49 711 911 - 12116
roman.hipp@porsche.de
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