Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 5

The Solar eclipse of August 21, 2017 in Honduras:

Evidence of the impact on the power system operation


Wilfredo C. Flores Pablo Meraz, José Berrios Dalton Melara, Carlos Barahona Wilfredo Sifuentes
Facultad de Ingeniería y Facultad de Ingeniería y Facultad de Ciencias Espaciales Comite de Operación Económica
Arquitectura. Departamento de Arquitectura. Departamento de Universidad Nacional Autonoma del Sistema Interconectado
Ingeniería en Energía. Ingeniería en Energía de Honduras, UNAH. Nacional del Perú, COES
Universidad Tecnologica Universidad Tecnologica Tegucigalpa, Honduras Lima, Perú
Centroamericana, UNITEC. Centroamericana, UNITEC. melaradalton@yahoo.com wsifuentes@gmx.net
Tegucigalpa, Honduras, 11101 Tegucigalpa, Honduras, 11101
wilfredo.flores@unitec.edu.hn pablo.meraz@unitec.edu.hn

Abstract—During the solar eclipse of August 21, 2017, the


Honduras’s electric power grid operation experienced changes.
In this work, evidence of impact on power generation was found.
Although the eclipse in the country was partial, with only 28.9%
of photosphere’s darkening, operation of the electrical power
system was affected, mainly because of 409 MW photovoltaic
power are installed in the country´s power system. It is
equivalent to approximately 17% of installed generation
capacity. Hence, an over cost due to re dispatch of power
generation during the solar eclipse was found. Due to the results,
it is noted that the coming eclipses will have a greater impact on
the operation of the power system of Honduras and Central
America, due to the increase of non-conventional, solar and wind,
renewable energy in Honduras and the rest of the region.

Keywords—Economic dispatch, photovoltaic dispatch, solar


eclipse. Fig. 1. Solar potential in Central America [1].

The two main characteristics currently driving investment


I. INTRODUCTION
in the Honduran energy sector are the annual population
Honduras is located in the middle of Central America, with growth of 2% and the 5% annual growth of electricity demand
a population of approximately 9 million people, the country is [3].
rich in natural resources for energy production, ranging from
hydropower, which is the most abundant, to geothermal Although nowadays Honduras does not have a long-term
energy, which is currently in its initial development. Figure 1 energy policy, the energy sector has undergone major changes
shows the map of Honduras’s solar potential [1]. Also, in the last eight years, mainly due to changes in public policies
Honduras's power system is electrically connected to Central caused by the 2009 coup d'etat. These changes have led the
America through three interconnections of 230 kV, with a sector to rapidly develop investments in renewable energy. The
capacity of 300 MW each [2]. result of this policy has been the incorporation of more than
400 MW of installed capacity of photovoltaic panels, plus
As is seen in fig. 1, due to the main solar resource is located others that will be added to the power system in the coming
in the southern part of the country, large photovoltaic power years [4]. Also, the number of concession areas for
plants (PVs) investments have been installed in that area. hydroelectric energy projects have increased.
Installation of these PV power plants in the Honduran Mainly, the changes in the energy sector have been oriented
electricity grid has produced a new way of operating the grid. towards the creation of incentives through regulation, by means
Hence, during nighttime more than 400 MW are out of the of decrees, such as 70-2007, Law on Promotion of Electricity
power system. Also, during cloud-passing events, a large Generation with Renewable Resources, and 138-2013, Reform
amount of energy stops flowing into the network, causing the to Law of Promotion to the Generation of Electric Energy with
increase of uncertainty in power grid operation. On the other Renewable Resources, which specifies the incentives that are
hand, the voltage levels of the grid in that zone improved after offered in Honduras to the generation of energy with renewable
the installation of these PV plants, mainly due to the capacity resources. These incentives include the following [4]:
of PV inverters to supply power reactive [16].
• Priority of dispatch for renewables.

978-1-5386-5844-4/18/$31.00 ©2018 IEEE


• Tax exemptions of a different nature, including the import most of the time, but as the wind and PV injection is
of equipment. concentrated in a relatively small area, the high share of non-
conventional renewable energy results in an increase in reserve
• An economic incentive of 10% over the Base Price during demand.
the first 15 years of commercial operation, for all the
renewables and an additional incentive of 0.03 USD / kWh • Non-conventional renewable energy increases the demand
for PVs. for secondary reserves by introducing additional fluctuations
into the system. With the capacities of this kind of technology
The aforementioned incentives have caused not only the installed in 2016, a maximum of 22 MW of additional
installation of PVs in the country, but also that the “Honduran secondary reserve is needed to balance wind energy, and an
Sun” be the most expensive worldwide, since bidding in other additional maximum of 120 MW is needed to balance PV.
countries has reached offers lower than USD 0.18 / kWh,
which is currently paid to some PVs in Honduras. • Wind power plants must have fault capabilities to
stabilize the grid during short-circuit events with strong wind
Despite the above, the country is under recurrent outages energy injection.
due to lack of investments in distribution and transmission.
Although the distribution has been recently granted for a In the same way [2] shows that the Central American
limited time to a private company, with the aim of reducing power grid remains operative in the event of failures of large
losses and improving reliability, investments in new generators. In the case of Honduras, evidence is shown that the
transforming capacity have not been yet done and many power outage of large generators causes important oscillations, but the
transformers are congested and working to its limit, greatly grid remains operational.
reducing the grid reliability [5].
Looking at the previous scenario, Honduras is currently one TABLE I. PV INSTALLED IN HONDURAS
of the Latin American countries with the highest investment in PV power plant Power (MW)
PV, although with minimal investment in the distribution grid. Enerbasa 24
It is for this reason that the analysis of the impact on the share Marcovia 35
of PV in the Honduras's electricity grid has become important, Cohessa 50
considering the variability of PVs and the uncertainty Soposa 50
Mecer 25
associated with this technology.
Llanos del Sur 14
This document is divided as follows: PV plants installed in Los Pollitos 20
Honduras and a summary of their impact on the Honduran Fotersa 20
Cinco estrellas 50
power grid are shown in section II; section III shows data of
Choluteca Uno 20
the power system operation during the solar eclipse; in section Choluteca Dos 30
IV data of the next solar eclipses that will be observed in this Prodersa 50
latitude are shown; finally, section V shows the conclusions. Pacific (Nacaome 1) 21
Total 409
II. PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER PLANTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON
THE ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEM IN HONDURAS Fig. 2 shows the share of each PV power plants in
Honduras is located in a geographical position which favors Honduras for 2016 [4].
the investment in PV projects. In the country, 15 PV power
plants have been installed in only two years. These have
delivered a total of 881 GWh in 2016, approximately 10% of
the total energy generated that year [4]. 409 MW of PV power
is installed in the country's power system, equivalent to 17% of
installed generation capacity. Table I shows the PV plants that
are installed in Honduras.
Also, the Honduras' generation expansion plan establishes
that in the 2015-2019 period a total of 1041.52 MW of non-
conventional renewable energy will be installed, of which
657.52 MW will be PV and 384 MW will be wind. Thus, it is
planned that by 2019 the Honduran generation system will
incorporate 30.86% of non-conventional renewable energy
(18.47% PV and 12.39% wind) [6].
On the other hand, recently have been found the main Fig. 2. Share of each PV power plant in Honduras for 2016 [4]
issues regarding the impact of PV and wind on the electricity
grid in Honduras [4]: As has been shown, the problems related to the share of
non-conventional renewable energy in the Honduran power
• Reserves are sufficient to cover the loss of a large systems have been identified. However, impacts due to solar
generation unit (40 MW or more) and fluctuations in demand eclipses have not been analyzed yet.
Following, the results of the observation of the
astronomical phenomenon of August 21, 2017, and its effect on
the operation in the electricity grid of Honduras are shown.

III. THE SOLAR ECLIPSE AND THE POWER SYSTEM


OPERATION
Literature on solar eclipses and their relation to terrestrial
phenomena is ample [7-12]. In the same way, and because
many power systems worldwide now have a high participation
of PVs, it has become important to analyze the impact of solar
eclipses on the power grid. It is due to this that system Fig. 3. Average irradiance in southern of Honduras during solar eclipse
operators previously analyze the impact on their networks due (W/m2)
to the passage of solar eclipses [13], with the aim of identifying
risks and solutions to mitigate grid impacts. Also, it has
become necessary to analyze the cost of re dispatch due to the
path of solar eclipses.
From the above and because Honduras is a leading country
in Central America in the installation of PVs, the analysis of
power operation during the passing of a solar eclipse is
necessary.
Following, data of the power operation during the eclipse Fig. 4. Honduras energy demand curve of August 21, 2017
are shown. Towards the end, the economic impact of the
eclipse is shown, due to the re dispatch of power plants in the c) Re dispatch of the generation during the solar eclipse
Honduran power system. On the other hand, fig. 5 shows the power generation curve
of the PV plants for August 21, 2017.
Table II shows data of the eclipse passage through
Honduras. In Honduras the solar eclipse was partial.

TABLE II. DATA OF THE PASSAGE OF THE ECLIPSE THROUGH HONDURAS


First contact Maximum Last contact
(Honduras) eclipse

Local Hour 11:43:41 13:03:06 14:15:23


o o
Height of the 87.1 72.5 54.9o
Sun

Magnitude 0.00 0.402 - Fig. 5. PV’s generation curves for August 21, 2017

Darkening 0.0% 28.9% -

source: http://www.heavens-above.com

a) Solar Radiation
During the transit of the eclipse on Honduras, solar
radiation was measured (W/m2). Hence, fig. 3 shows the
average irradiance measured in the area where the PVs are
located (southern area of Honduras).
Fig. 3 shows that when the darkness was maximum due to Fig. 6. PV’s generation curves for August 22, 2017
the eclipse, at approximately 13:00 hours (see Table II), the
radiation fell to a minimum (145.18 W/m2). It is observed that during the beginning of the eclipse the
larger plants (50 MW), along with some smaller ones,
b) Total Demand Curve decreased their generation. In spite of the above, and with the
Fig. 4 shows the demand curve of August 21, 2017. This is fact that demand continued rising, the System Operator had to
a characteristic curve of demand in Honduras, with two peaks, increase the generation in other plants available in the electric
one at 11:52, of 1372 MW, and the other at 19:11, of 1437 power system. With the aim of comparing a typical day, fig. 6
MW. It is observed that the demand continued its usual path shows the typical behavior of the PVs one day later. Hence,
during the astronomical event. when comparing both figures, the power not generated by the
PVs due to the eclipse was approximately 310.28 MW.
Thus, the System Operator chose to increase the generation Algebraic Modeling System, GAMS, with the purpose of
of the largest hydroelectric power plant in Honduras (300 MW) performing the optimal economic dispatch and thus determine
(see Fig. 7.a). The generation of the hydroelectric power plant the costs of generation dispatched with eclipse and without
was 123.76 MW at 11:00 p.m. and 187.83 MW at 1:00 p.m., eclipse for a specific day. It is assumed that an optimal
having an increase of 64.07 MW during the passage of the economic dispatch is carried out in the dispatch of power
eclipse on Honduras. generation in Honduras.
In the same way, in Fig. 7.b it is observed that during the
eclipse the two wind plants installed in the Honduran power
grid reduced their generation to zero. The authors estimate that
this behavior was due to the fact that in other eclipses a high
variation of wind velocity, as well as variability in its direction
has been observed [14]. Therefore, the System Operator
estimated that, in order to avoid uncertainties associated with
the wind, it was better to stop both wind plants installed in the
Honduran grid.
For the thermal power plants, fig. 7.c shows that ENERSA
and LUFUSSA III increased their generation before the
eclipse.
Fig. 7.c. Generation curves for thermal power plants for August 21, 2017
The change of LUFUSSA III is evident, since it initially
increased 29 MW at 10:00 AM and increased 123.91 MW at Economic dispatch was made considering the minimization
11:00 am, totalling 152.61 MW, power levels that were of generation costs for each generator of the power system.
maintained during and after the eclipse. Also, losses, demand and restrictions on transmission are
considered in the model.
Thus, the optimization problem is established as follows:
Min Cost = ∑ih (∑igen (aigen*g2igen,ih + bigen*gigen,ih + cigen)) +
Total Deficit * Cost of Deficit (1)
s.t.
0 ≤ gih ≤ Pmax, for each generator i, in hour h (2)
∑h gih ≤ Energyi, for each generator i, in hour h (3)

7.a. Generation curves of the state owned hydroelectric power plants for
gn,h = fn,h + dn,h for each generator i, in hour h (4)
August 21, 2017. |Pi,j,h| ≤ Pmax,l (5)
Equation (1) is the objective function to minimize and
represents the total generation cost which is the sum for each
one of the generators during each hour of generation analysis,
in MW. Coefficients a, b and c are the coefficients of
polynomial generation costs of thermal-generating units [15].
PV and wind power have fixed generation costs.
The constraints are from equations (2) to (5). Equation (2)
limits the generation of each generator i, for each hour, h.
Equation (3) is the plant factor of renewable generators, of
7.b. Generation curves for wind power plants for August 21, 2017. each generator i, for each hour, h.
Equation (4) is interpreted as follows: for each n nodes and
On the other hand, the power system’s frequency was each hour the energy injected to the node due to one or more
between 60.08 Hz and 59.96 Hz, with which frequency no generators must be equal to the demand of electricity at the
showed significant deviations during the solar eclipse. node, plus the sum of all the powers flowing from that node to
other nodes. Finally, equation (5) establishes that each
d) Economic impact due to the re dispatch of the transmission line has a limit on the amount of energy that can
generation originated by the solar eclipse flow through it. The optimization is performed considering a
In order to determine the economic impact on dispatch of DC power flow.
electricity generation due to the transit of the solar eclipse in
In order to compare the economic cost of August 21, 2017,
Honduras, a comparison of the generation dispatch without
the economic cost of dispatch is also calculated for a similar
eclipse and with eclipse, as observed in the previous section,
day, but without eclipse (August 22, 2017), obtaining the
was performed. To do this, an application was designed in
results of table No. III. For both cases an economic dispatch is increase in the total cost of electric power generation, which
evaluated. was USD 17 100, according to the results obtained with the
GAMS optimization model presented in this work.
TABLE III. RESULTS OF THE OPTIMIZATION WITH THE DISPATCH MODEL IN Non-conventional renewable energy is expected to increase
GAMS in the near future, so the impact will be greater. It is necessary
Daily economic dispatch with Daily economic dispatch for the country to be prepared for future events of this nature.
eclipse without eclipse Regional electrical studies are needed to avoid problems in the
August 21, 2107 August 22, 2017 Central American regional transmission power grid, mainly
Total daily power generation: Total daily power generation: because the next two eclipses are expected to show their effects
24,772.4 MWh 24,772.4 MWh
Marginal cost Average: 99.23 Marginal cost Average: 98.54
directly on the Central American region.
$/MWh $/MWh [1] Solargis, 2018. 2017 The World Bank, Solar resource data: Solargis,
Total cost of generation Total cost of generation available in: https://solargis.com/maps-and-gis-data/overview/
dispatch: 2,458,100 USD dispatch: 2,441,000 USD [2] Flores, W. et al, 2017. An Approach Based on Remedial Action Scheme
to Increase Resiliency Under Failures in the Central American Power
As is shown in the table above, the difference among the Grid, 2017 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference -
two scenarios is USD 17 100. Therefore, this was the over cost Latin America (ISGT Latin America). Quito, Ecuador. doi:
10.1109/ISGT-LA.2017.8126725
of the electricity generation in Honduras due to the solar
[3] Wilfredo C. Flores, et al, 2011. Sustainable energy policy in Honduras:
eclipse of August 21, 2017, according to the optimization Diagnosis and challenges, Energy Policy 39, 551–562.
model developed in this work. doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2010.10.020
[4] World Bank, 2016. Análisis Técnico y Económico de Máxima
IV. UPCOMING ECLIPSES Penetración de Energía Eólica y Solar en la Red Eléctrica de Honduras,
World Bank Report, August 2016.
On October 14, 2023, Central America will experience an [5] Flores, W., 2016. Some Issues Related to the Regulatory Framework
annular solar eclipse. In the same way, on April 8, 2024, the and Organizational Structure of the Central American Electricity
region will experience a total solar eclipse. The annular solar Market, Transmission & Distribution Conference and Exposition-Latin
eclipse will obscure much of the Sun's photosphere (89.2% America, 2016 IEEE PES, Morelia, Mexico. doi: 10.1109/TDC-
LA.2016.7805635
obscuration), so it would be expected that the impact on the
operation of the electric power system will be greater than [6] CRIE, 2015. Proyección de la generación intermitente en el mercado
eléctrico regional para el periodo 2015-2019, Comisión Regional de
during the partial sun eclipse of 2017 (27.8% obscuration). Interconexión Eléctrica, CRIE. Available in: http://crie.org.gt/wp/wp-
Therefore, considering that power demand in Honduras grows content/uploads/2013/12/Proyecci%C3%B3n-de-generaci%C3%B3n-
5% per year, by 2023 total demand at the peak hour in the solar-y-e%C3%B3lica-2014-2019.pdf
afternoon will be 1853 MW approx. (35% more than in 2017). [7] S. Romano, T. et al, 2017. Solar eclipse of 20 March 2015 and impacts
In addition, by considering that by 2019 the Honduran on irradiance, meteorological parameters, and aerosol properties over
generation system will incorporate a total of 30.86% of non- southern Italy, Atmospheric Research 198, 11–21.
conventional renewable energy (18.47% PV and 12.39% wind [8] D.D. Krezhova_, A.H. Krumov, T.K. Yanev, 2008. Spectral
investigations of the solar radiation during the total solar eclipse on
energy), it becomes a necessity to consider, mainly in the March 29, 2006, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
medium term, the impact for 2023 due to the annular eclipse. 70, 365–370.
This high share of PV and wind power will have its effects in [9] Ibrahim Reda, 2015. Solar eclipse monitoring for solar energy
the operation of the network. Also, it is necessary to take into applications, Solar Energy 112, 339–350.
account that in Central America until now there are no studies doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.12.010
or tools that define how this technology will be handled under [10] A.H. Krumov and D.D. Krezhova, 2008. Imaging of the total solar
solar eclipses. eclipse on March 29, 2006, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-
Terrestrial Physics 70, 407–413.
Due to its high share of PV, Honduras must be warned due [11] E.F Nymphas, T.A.Otunla, M.O.Adeniyi, E.O.Oladiran, 2012. Impact of
to future events of this kind, in order to properly coordinate the the total solar eclipse of 29 March 2006 on the surface energy fluxes at
operation of the system, thereby avoiding an increase in Ibadan, Nigeria, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
80, 28–36. doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2012.02.024
generation costs and problems in the national and regional
[12] M. Libra, et al, 2016. Roof photovoltaic power plant operation during
power grid. the solar eclipse, Solar Energy 140, 109–112.
[13] California ISO, 2017. 2017 Solar Eclipse Report, California Independent
V. CONCLUSION AND FUTURE WORK System Operator, may 2017. Available in:
https://www.caiso.com/Documents/Briefing_SolarEclipse-ISOReport-
This work shows the close relationship that now exists May_2017.pdf
among a solar eclipse and the power grid operation in [14] E.F.Nymphas, M.O.Adeniyi, M.A.Ayoola, E.O.Oladiran, 2009.
Honduras. It has been shown that during the partial solar Micrometeorological measurements in Nigeria during the total solar
eclipse in Honduras it was necessary to redispatch electric eclipse of 29 March, 2006, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-
power generation, starting other kind of technological Terrestrial Physics 71, 1245–1253. doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2009.04.014
machines, specifically a PV-hydrothermal redispatch was [15] Wood, A. and Wollenberg, B., 1984. Power Generation, Operation and
carried out. The latter implied reducing the generation of Control, Second Edition, Wiley & Sons INC., 1984.
installed PVs in the country and increasing hydrothermal [16] Weckx, S. and Driesen, J., 2016. Optimal local reactive power control
by PV inverters, IEEE Transaction on Sustainable Energy, vol. 7, issue
generation. The redispatch had its consequences, such as the 4, oct. 2016. doi: 10.1109/TSTE.2016.2572162.

Вам также может понравиться