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Financial Weekly
I am a believer in the power of equities to create wealth and change life outcomes for
investors. But I believe there are few reasons which prevent investors from benefiting from
the power of equity investing. The most important one is the inability to keep patience and
understand the nature of cycles. Equity markets are cyclical and hence equity investment
products’ return profile is inherently cyclical.
One of the key reasons preventing investors from creating wealth in equities is lack of
awareness and appropriate education about equity investing from neutral third parties in
absence of any product related agenda. The discussion around promoting passives basis
alpha or the lack of it is one of futility and wastefulness for precisely the same reason. It is of
little relevance in the investment matters of the uninitiated where they are looking for basics
around getting started in the process of building their pot of wealth to achieve certain goals
while industry personnel load their prescient but irrelevant convictions and beliefs on these
investors.
The biggest dis-service to development of passive products in India is done by the obses-
sive debate throwing around data on alpha or the lack of it. To say you will have no alpha
basis recent performance is the absolute equivalent of promoting equity products basis past
performance and both do equal harm to the process.
There is a lot more to passive products, which is not as obvious as the alpha discussion…let
the process play out and while the alpha story is destined to play out, we don’t need to wait.
There is a plethora of reasons for investors to keep passives front and centre.
Increasing awareness and education amongst investors, especially influence of western
experiences and literature – irrespective of how the experience here in India pans out there
is a lot of literature and experiences emerging out of the USA which shows the prowess and
penetration of passives and the reasons for the same in the USA. The USA is the mecca for
the investing world and their influence on investment thinking is undeniable.
Long story short, if you are someone who loves simplifying decision making and love to
follow trends, passive funds should surely be on your consideration set in some measure
and then you decide which way to tilt significant portfolio of your assets as experience plays
out with time.
Financial Weekly
HIKAL : Rs 129
Market Cap Rs 1600
- Hikal name comes from Hiramath and Kalyani who manage this company.
- Its an R&D focused API and Agro Chemicals intermediate manufacturing com-
pany and supplies to many customers on a global scale.
- It developed new API for Pregabalin (CNS) using an enzymatic process and
would start adding revenues in FY20
- Hikal very few companies who does CRAMS for global MNC's patented prod-
ucts (HIGH MARGINS BUSINESS)
- Hikal is world's largest supplier of Gabapentin API for Neuropathic use
- Has clients like Pfizer, Bayer, Alpharma and over 25 such clients
- New product launches to help 25% of total sales over next 2-3 years
- Hikal is also into Biocides business which has strong potential as regulatory
requirement no other Indian company is there and its an import substitute
- Similarly potential in enzyme catalyst is also high with limited competition
- Hikal has completed pilot testing for Animal Health product for a Japanese
customer
- Files 3-4 DMF every year
- last 5 years capex of Rs 500 cr
- Will spend another 350 cr in next 18-24 months in panoli facility for both CP
and Pharma business. Can do Rs 525 cr post this capex
- Company imports 35% of raw material from China (capex also does back-
ward integration so dependence on China would go low)
- We find Hikal to have a great long term prospects.
Financial Weekly
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Cont...
Financial Weekly
United Breweries
Buy at CMP 1245 - for the Targets of 1350 -1590 ,
SL - 1090 Time Frame - 5 Months to 24 Months (Add in Dips)
United Breweries Holdings Limited or UB Group is an Indian conglomerate company headquar-
tered in UB City, Bangalore in the state of Karnataka, India. Its core business includes beverages,
aviation and investments in various sectors.
United Breweries Limited is synonymous with innovation and aggressive marketing that is
complemented by a strong
distribution network which encompasses an impressive spread of owned and contract manu-
facturing facilities across the country.The company was bought by the late Mr. Vittal Mallya in
1947, and since then, has consistently tasted success and never looked back.
Today, each one of the 89,763 outlets selling beer in India, sell atleast one brand from United
Breweries
Their flagship brand 'Kingfisher', has achieved international recognition consistently, and has
won many awards at international beer festivals. Our most popular beer, Kingfisher Premium La-
ger beer, is currently available in 69 countries and
leads the way among Indian beers in the international market.
UB GROUP - BUSINESSES
PROFITABLE SUBSIDIARIES
The company owns many successful companies, like the United Breweries Limited (UBL) which
is a market leader in its field. It controls over 50% of the Indian beer market. Again, we have to
mention its biggest brand Kingfisher which reached the markets of 52 countries. The company is
very progressive with the acquisition of other smaller companies which led them to set up a mo-
nopoly in India. Still, legal troubles and indebtedness led the company under the ownership of
Heineken, which owns 43% shares of UBL since 2016.
Cont...
SMART
BUY OF THE WEEK
Dark Horse
PIX TRANSMISSIONS
(500333) (125.7) (Face Value Rs.10)
Incorporated in 1981, PIX Transmissions Ltd is the Particulars Qtr. Ended
leading manufacturer of Belts and related mechanical Q3FY20 Q3FY19 % Var.
Power Transmission products in India. The Company Sales 83.58 75.23 11
PBT 9.96 4.88 104
features state-of-the-art Belt manufacturing units as well PAT 7.74 3.02 156
as a completely automated Rubber Mixing facility in EPS 5.68 2.22 156
Nagpur. The company offers various industrial, textile,
automotive, agricultural, lawn and garden, construction, Latest High September 2018
High price 284.4
hi-power rated, and special application belts for various
CMP 125.7
applications. It also provides a range of pulleys, bushes, Discount from high 56%
couplings, and bespoke products under the PIX-
PowerWare brand name; and accessories, such as laser guided pulley alignment tools, digital
tension meters, belt length measurement products, analog tension testers, pulley gauges, ploy-V
belt wear gauges, belt cutting machines, and belt profile gauges, as well as service kits and drive
design software. The company has overseas subsidiary operations in Europe, and Middle-East, in
addition to over 250 committed Channel Partners in over 100 countries worldwide.
Company is having capacity of 90,000 belts per day and it is largest in India, 3rd largest in Asia.
It is one of top 10 belt manufacturer in the world. It has an equity base of just Rs.13.63 crore that is
supported by reserves of around Rs.209.11 crore. The Promoters hold 61.30%, FIIs hold 1.43%
while the investing public holds 37.22 % stake in the company. Promoters are increasing their
stake from buying shares from open market which is very good sign. Its share book value stood at
Rs.156.84 and stock is available at P/BV ratio of just 0.82x.
For Q3FY20, its net profit soared 156% to Rs.7.74 crore against Rs.3.02 crore on 11% higher
sales of Rs.83.58 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.5.68.
It is regular dividend paying company. It paid 15% dividend for FY16, 20% for FY17, 25% for
FY18 and paid 27.5% for FY19. Currently, the stock trades cheap at a P/E of 5.7x and at 56%
discount to its September 2018 high of Rs.284.4.
Investors can accumulate this stock with a stop loss of Rs.96. It may give very good re-
turns in medium to long term.
Financial Weekly
NITTA GELATIN
(506532) (124.3) (Face Value Rs.10)
Incorporated in 1976, Kochi based Nitta Gelatin In-
Particulars 9 Month Ended
9MFY20 9MFY19 % Var. dia Limited manufactures and sells gelatin, ossein,
Sales 266.49 215.9 23 dicalcium phosphate (DCP), and collagen peptide pri-
PBT 17.52 4.08 329 marily in India. The company offers gelatin, an ingre-
PAT 12.33 0.83 1386
dient used in the drug delivery systems, such as two
EPS 13.58 0.91 1392
piece hard capsules, soft capsules, tablets, coated tab-
Latest High January 2018 lets, mini, micro capsules, etc.; and in the edibles com-
High price 284.9 prising confectionery, gelatin desserts, dairy products,
CMP 124.3 meat products, and beverages and juices. It also pro-
Discount from high 56%
vides collagen peptide, a hydrolyzed form of collagen,
which is a fibrous protein present in the extracellular matrix of living cells for application in healthcare,
personal care, and food products. In addition, it manufactures ossein for use in the production of
gelatin; and produces and supplies DCP to poultry farms and animal feed manufacturers. Further,
it provides Chitosan, a polysaccharide that is used in various applications, such as pharmaceuti-
cal, medical, cosmetic, food and agriculture, veterinary, pulp and paper, textile, water treatment,
etc. Additionally, the company offers NutriGold, a foliar spray for various crops to farmers; Seed Aid
to enhance germination of the seedling; and CartiPep, a protein supplement for cartilage and joints.
Nitta Gelatin India Limited also exports its products.
It has an equity base of just Rs.9.08 crore that is supported by reserves of around Rs.146.66
crore which is 16 times higher than equity. It has a share book value of Rs.168.71 & price to book
value ratio is just 0.73 which is highly impressive. The Promoters hold 74.48% (Nitta Gelatin Inc
JAPAN holds 42.96% while Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation holds 31.53%) while
the investing public holds 25.40% stake in the company.
During 9MFY20, its PAT zoomed 1385.54% to Rs.12.33 crore as against Rs.0.83 crore on 23.43%
higher sales of Rs.266.49 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.13.58. It has recorded 255.33% higher profit
against FY19 in just first nine months of FY20.
Currently, the stock trades at a P/E of 7.5x. It paid 15% dividend for FY19.
Its recent high rate was Rs.285 which was formed in January 2018. Stock almost corrected 56%
from recent high.
Investors can accumulate this stock with a stop loss of Rs.100. It may give very good
returns in medium to long term.
Financial Weekly
Stock Buzz
Subramanian Mahadevan
dolphincapital@gmail.com
- Subramanian Mahadevan
Financial Weekly
Every Sunday Every Wednesday
Jignesh R Mehta
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
E-mail : support@kiranjadhav.com
Website : www.KiranJadhav.com
Phone: 9327 11 3344 / 9328 11 33 44
Twitter: @jigneshrmehta
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Trading Results
Scrip Name BSE Code Buy / Enter at Did High/ Remarks
Sell Low
Apollo Hos. 508861 Sell 1820 1731 Target Achieved
Muthoot Fin. 533398 Sell 945 871 Target Achieved
SRF 503806 Sell 4187 3847 Target Achieved
Torrent Ph. 500420 Sell 2265 2096 Target Achieved
Trading Buy
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Amaraja Battery 500008 643 595/605 615 625 585
Glenmark 532296 277 265/270 280 295 255
Kotak Bank 500247 1622 1585/1590 1605 1625 1570
NMDC 526371 90.35 85/90 95 105 82
Yes Bk. (Delivery) 532648 28.8 25/28 36 45 20
Trading Sell
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Apollo Hospital 508861 1743 1820/1825 1800 1770 1845
MFSL 500271 576 625/635 615 605 645
Torrent Pharma 500420 2141 2255/2275 2235 2205 2295
Note : All calls are momentum calls based on technical analysis and all levels as per future prices (If
scrip not available in futures then BSE Cash price). All these calls are given based on daily charts but intra-
day signals are equally important to enter the trade in a timely manner. Timing is very important and we at
shareinfoline.com give you timely calls based on intra-day charts. Read Disclaimer at
ShareInfoline.com
Financial Weekly
RBL BANK
close price-290
This week domestic and interna-
tional markets are falling badly . In ev-
ery sector we seen big selling. On daily
chart RBL BANK Trading in down trend
channel from Dec. 2019 . Today this
stock made bearish pattern on daily
chart as per this pattern stock may
more fall in coming days. Short this
stock for Targets of 260 with Stop loss
of RS 300 on daily close basis, Time
frame - 9 days.
DIVIS LAB
Close Price- 2107
This company is leading company from
Pharma sector. This stock is continuous in
uptrend from last 4 months now a days in-
creased fear of CORONA virus in China and
another many countries Pharma companies
will get benefits of such situations. On daily
chart this stock taken good support also this
stock not fallen down in this week with index.
Looking strong to buy in range of RS 2075 to
2100 with Daily close base Stop loss of RS
2050 . Target will be 2240.
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short
/ Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or
may not be substainedin future "
(Dilip K. Shah)
Research Analyst
SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
Golden quote :-
The body achieves what the mind believes
Financial Weekly
Dilip Davda
e-mail Expert’s Eye
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com
DIVIDEND ANNOUNCED
Alufluoride (20%), AMJ Land (10%), Anuh Pharma (55%), Avanti Feeds (500%), Bajaj Auto
(1200%), Bajaj Finance (500%), Bajaj Finserv (100%), Bajaj Holding (400%), Bharat Forge
(100%), Coastal Corp (15%), Exide (250%), Gravita India (35%), Gulshan Poly (70%), L G
Balkrishna (50%), Linde India (75% + 25%), Maharashtra Scooter (500%), Pee Cee Cosma
(30%), Pudumjee Paper (20%), Quick Heal (40%), Rishiroop (10%), Sacheta Metal (2%), Sahyadri
Ind (25%), Tech Mahindra (200%), Vesuvius (87.4%), Asahi Songwon (30%), Asian Paints
(715%), Bharat Bijlee (125%), Dr. Lal Pathlabs (60%), Elantas Beck (50%), Kama Holdings
(300%), Kovai Medi (30%), Navin Fluorine (200%), Plastiblends (75%), Sanofi India (1060% +
2430%), Stovec Ind (600%), Wonderla Holiday (18%), Apollo Tyres (300%), Carborundum Univ
(275%), CCL Prod (75% + 75%), Cholamandalam Fin (65%), Cholamandalam Inv (35%),
Mahanagar Gas (95%), PTL Enterprise (125%), Sharda Crop (20%), Sonata Soft (1450%),
Sundram Fasteners (280%), Transpek Ind (100%), Ador Fontech (90%), Chemcrux (30%), Finolex
Ind (100%), JK Paper (40%), Jubilant Foodworks (60%), Jubilant Life (500%), KRBL (280%),
KSB Ltd (80%), Lincoln Pharma (15%), Maithan Alloy (60%), Manappuram Fin (27.5%), NLC
India (70.6%), Relaxo Footwear (125%), Vedanta (390%), UFO Moviez (150%), Apar Ind (95%),
Deccan Cements (80%), IMPAL (100%), JK Cement (75%), Manaksia (375%), Motherson Sumi
(150%), PVR Ltd. (40%), Shanthi Gears (200%), Sudarshan Chem (25% + 290%), Supreme Ind
(500%), Tube Inv (350%), Valiant Org (60%), Visaka Ind (50%) etc.
Financial Weekly
Colgate (Rs. 1284.00) (Code : 500830) :- Colgate Palmolive has reported a 3.6 percent
jump in its third quarter net profit at Rs 199.1 crore versus Rs 192.1 crore in the same quarter last fiscal. The
company’s revenue rose 5.9 percent at Rs 1,147 crore against Rs 1,083.7 crore, YoY. EBITDA were up 5.8
percent at Rs 316 crore against Rs 314.5 crore and margin was down at 27.5 percent versus 28.6 percent,
YoY. The company reported a net sales growth of 4.1% despite category headwinds in both rural and
urban. The relaunch of its flagship brand, Colgate Strong Teeth has helped gain household penetration and
its new Charcoal variant has seeing early traction. For the nine months ended ended December 31, 2019,
net sales recorded at Rs. 3,425.2 crore, an increase of 4.2% over the same period of the prior year. The
stock corrected in recent months. It is a good opportunity to enter into this counter. Buy. Buy more on
decline.
Lumax Industries (Rs. 1226.00) (Code : 517206) :- Despite significant weakness
within the industry, Lumax continues to bag new orders. In the PV (passenger vehicle) segment, it got new
orders from Tata Motors for supplying various components to multiple cars. It has also bagged orders from
Maruti for multiple upcoming models. In the 2W (two-wheeler) segment, it bagged the order for M&M Jawa
and Honda Shine SP125. Also, it secured the order for new Honda Active 6G.. LED penetration in India is
still very low (15-20 percent) and hence, there is a huge potential for the company both in terms of sales
growth and margin expansion. LEDs are high-value and high-margin products for the company and contrib-
ute around 32 percent of its sales. The management has set a target for LED sales to reach 50 percent of
revenues eventually.The Bharat Stage (BS) VI rules are set to be implemented by April 2020 and require
vehicles to be more energy efficient, which is expected to lead to faster adoption of LEDs. The stock is
worth accumulation.
Havells India (Rs. 613.00) (Code : 517354) :- Havells India, a leading fast-moving
electrical goods and consumer durables company, is betting big on smart innovation in its products and
aspires to extend its smart and Internet of Things (IoT) enabled portfolio beyond fans and water heaters to
other small domestic appliances too. Currently, Havells has smart products in fans and water heaters. It
recently launched its first smart product in fans, Carnesia-I, dubbed an “intelligent fan” at Rs4,500. These
fans sense the temperature and humidity in the room and accordingly adjusts the fan speed, along with
other such ‘smart’ features.Going forward, investments will be directed towards increasing the manufactur-
ing capacity for fans at its plant in Haridwar, Uttarakhand by 25-30 per cent. The current production capac-
ity of the plant is more than 10 million fans annually. Havells India is also looking at entering new categories.
The stock, after making 52-week low of Rs.586 in the beginning of the February, has bounced back almost
10 per cent. It is a good stock to bet on.
Atul Ltd. (Rs. 5118.00) (Code : 500027) :- Atul classifies its business under two major
heads: (A) Life science chemicals which covers crop protection and pharma & aromatic and from which it
derives 32 per cent of revenues. (B) Performance & other chemicals, which covers aromatics and derives
68 per cent of revenue. Bbulk chemicals, colors and polymers are also pruduced under this category.With
4 manufacturing facilities, the company caters to more than 6,000 clients and generates nearly 50 per cent
of revenue from exports. Both the business segment had fairly strong growth resulting in overall revenue
CAGR of 12 per cent over FY14-19. Atul is expanding capacities in various segmentsAtul’s Ebitda margins
have expanded 530bps over the last five years, standing at 19 per cent as on FY19.It is fundamentally very
strong stock. Buy.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may
have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent
family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have
positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated
sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Inves-
tors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them.
The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
NOCIL (Rs. 94.00) (Code: 500730) :-Shares of this specialty chemicals company are
listed in the A Group, and have face value of Rs. 10. The shares touched a high of Rs. 150 and low
of Rs. 74 in the last 52 weeks. Promoter holding in the company is 33.73%. It had paid 25% divi-
dend last year, and dividend yield works out at more than 2%. NOCIL's equity is Rs. 165.42 crores,
while it has surplus reserves of Rs. 983.42 crores. For December quarter, NOCIL reported income
of Rs. 194.31 crores, operating profit of Rs. 35.69 crores, and net profit of Rs. 20.67 crores. Oppor-
tunities are growing for the company in the US and Russian markets, even as demand is slowing
down in the domestic and Chinese market. Domestic tyre manufacturers' capex of Rs. 150-180
billion, and global capex of $10 billion, provide long-term growth opportunities. A part of Arvind
Mafatlal Group, NOCIL is likely to gain from the Corona Virus woes of China. The stock is trading
at a P/E multiple of 10.20, and can deliver 20-25% returns in the short term.
JK Paper (Rs. 115.00) (Code: 532162) :- Shares of this B Group listed paper and
paper products company touched a 52-week high of Rs. 155 and low of Rs. 93 in the last 52
weeks. Promoter holding in the company is 48.40%. This JK Group company makes office paper,
packaging boards, printing & writing paper, and specialty paper. It has two plants with a total ca-
pacity of 4,55,00 tonnes per annum. It has recently acquired a plant in Telangana for Rs. 375
crores. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's plans to curb single-use plastic will benefit paper compa-
nies. The company's products are exported to over 60 countries. For Q3, JK Paper's consolidated
income declined 5.60% to Rs. 820 crores, while profit increased 18.3% to Rs. 31 crores. The com-
pany is benefiting from levy of anti-dumping duty on uncoated copier paper imported from Thai-
land, Indonesia, and Singapore. The stock can be seen at Rs. 125 in the short term, and a new 52-
week high price in the medium to long term.
JB Chemicals (Rs. 536.00) (Code: 506943) :- Shares of the A Group listed pharma
sector company have face value of Rs. 2. The shares touched a 52-week high of Rs. 599 and low
of Rs. 307. The company has positive cash-flow, and it is completely debt-free. JB Chemicals is
expected to benefit from the increase in prices of 21 drugs by NPPA. Metronidazole is one of the
compounds for which the price has been hiked. JB Chemicals makers four formulations based on
this compound, which account for 10% share of the company's revenue. For December quarter,
the company reported income of Rs. 385 crores, and profit of Rs. 62.17 crores. The stock is trading
much cheaper compared to its competitors.
Prism Johnson (Rs. 65.00) (Code: 500338) :- Shares of this A group listed cement
company touched a 52-week high of Rs. 104 and low of Rs. 58. Promoter holding in the company
is 74.87%. Prism is an integrated cement company, and produces cement, ready to mix concrete,
tiles, bath products and kitchen products. It has three divisions, viz. Cement, H&R Johnson and
RMC Readymix. The company's market cap is Rs. 3219 crores. For December quarter, Prism
Johnson reported income of Rs. 1374 crores, and profit of Rs. 7.59 crores. The income was Rs.
1434 crores in the same quarter of last year, while profit was Rs. 19.02 crores. The company had
reported loss in September quarter, which means it has recorded turnaround position in December
quarter. The stock can be seen trading in three digits in the coming quarters.
SIS (Rs.550.00) (Code:540673) :- The company is associated with security and facility
management including cash logistics, electronic security, mechanized cleaning, pest and termite
control,etc. It has presence in 29 states of India and some of the foreign countries. It came up with
IPO in August 2017 at price of Rs815. The stock prices touched nearly 1400 after listing. In first
nine months of 2020, the company's income increased from Rs5138.42 crore to Rs6275.42 crore,
while profit increased from Rs142.33 crore to Rs229.36 crore. As against equity of Rs73.32 crore,
the company has reserves of Rs1377 crore. It paid 35% dividend for 2019. It can be considered for
investment as the stock may witness bullish trend once midcap and smallcap market sentiment
improves.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the
stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or
sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in
their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to
be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We
assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or
financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
NIFTY :- For next week NIFTY has strong support around 11085 levels. Break will take it to
10950 levels. On the upper side NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 11385 levels, cross over with
volume and close above will create short covering at take NIFTY up to 11455-11540 levels…
BANK NIFTY
For next week BANK NIFTY has strong support around 28920 levels. Break will take it to 28600-
28500 levels. On the upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 29550 levels, cross over
with volume and close above will create short covering at take BANK NIFTY up to 29725-29950
levels…
INVESTMENT IDEAS…
AMINES & PLASTICIZERS LTD (506248) (31.6) (Face Value Rs.2) :-
Incorporated in 1973, Mumbai based Amines & Plasticizers Limited produces and sells various
chemicals in India. Company is the pioneer and one of the largest producers of Ethanolamines,
Alkyl Alkanolamines, Morpholine Derivatives like NMMO 50% & Gas Treating Solvents in India.
APL has also now diversified its activities into producing various Specialty Ethoxylates and
Propoxylates, Block polymers and Co-Polymers of EO and PO besides Fatty Alcohol Ethoxylates
and Propoxylates, PPG's (of various molecular weights like 425, 900, 1020, 2000 & 4000), Ce-
ment Grinding Aids, TIPA 85%, DEIPA 85%, Phenoxyethanol of High Purity and Oil field Chemi-
cals such as H2S scavengers, Demulsifiers, Acid Corrosion Inhibitors, Flow improvers / Pour point
Depressants for Crude oil as well as Lube oil, Bactericides, Emulsifiers & Mud Surfactant, Dispers-
ant for Oil spills etc.In the field of Ethanolamines and Alkyl Alkanolamines, APL is serving approxi-
mately 75-80% of the total demand of the Indian Market and is regularly exporting its products to
over 50 countries globally including USA, Canada, Germany, New Zealand, South Korea, South
East Asia, Japan, Australia and the Middle East countries etc. Company is having manufacturing
facility in Navi Mumbai.
It has an equity base of just Rs.11crore that is supported by reserves of around Rs.81.67crore.
The promoters hold 73.17% while the investing public holds 26.83% stake in the company.
Company has reported fantastic numbers for 9MFY20. For 9MFY20, PAT zoomed 81% to
Rs.18.59crore on sales of Rs.298.96crore fetching an EPS of Rs.3.38. Currently, the stock trades
at a P/E of just 7x. It paid 15% dividend for FY19. Its recent high rate was Rs.109.9 which was
formed in January 2018. Stock almost corrected 71.25% from recent high. Everyone, whose finan-
cial advisor is allowing to trade in this stock for medium to long term can watch with stop loss of 26.
MAHINDRA EPC IRRIGATION LTD (523754) (124.45) (Face Value Rs.10)
:- MEIL is one of the pioneering companies in India in the micro-irrigation space and one of the
major players in organized segment. It currently operates through a wide network of dealers and
sells agriculture irrigation systems, landscape irrigation systems, industrial pipes, pumps and pro-
tected cultivation solutions. The products from MEIL are known for their high quality and technol-
ogy. MEIL has grown to become one of the top five companies in India in the micro-irrigation space.
It has an equity base of just Rs.27.75crore that is supported by reserves of around Rs.124.92crore.
The Promoters hold 54.58% while the investing public holds 45.42% stake in the company.
Company has reported fantastic numbers for Q3FY20 and 9MFY20. For Q3FY20, PAT zoomed
Financial Weekly
Disclosures: At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have
positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family
members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in
above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
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Financial Weekly
Corona Virus mayhem in China leads to crumbling of share markets thus Primary Market is also in trouble
The primary market that became vibrant with the first IPO of 2020 of SBI Cards will be pushed in long vacation
Primary Market is all set to welcome SBI Cards IPO: Robust response in anchor investor category
Antony Waste's mainboard IPO with price band of 295 to 300 will open on March 4
SM Auto Stamping's BSE SME IPO with fixed price of Rs18 will enter the market on March 3
JM Fin Products NCDs issue got 1 time subscription: Issue will close on March 9
Muthoot Vehicle's NCDs issue got 2 time subscription: Subscription may close ahead of schedule
SBI Cards: How will be subscription in retail and HNI? When and How will be listing and allotment?
Rossari Biotech's Rs700 crore issue gets SEBI approval
Will Antony and SM Auto face problems due to bearish trend and fancy in SBI Cards issue?
What will be the strategy of SBI Shareholders in SBI Cards IPO?
With announcement of SBI Cards IPO, primary market pundits believed that the first IPO of
Calendar year 2020 will lead to long queue of mainboard IPOs in the market. However….
The investors are in shock due to the change in environment in last one week, where in Nifty
has crumbled by 880 points and Sensex by 2875. More than 36 countries in the world have been
engulfed by Corona Virus that emerged from China. There is a panic due to Corona Virus, which is
leading downfall not only in share markets across the world but also in crude oil, metal, bond yield,
current and other segments.
It seemed that the Indian companies will jump into the market to reap benefit of post budget
market once SBI Cards IPO tests the mood of the market. However, this may not turn out to be true
and primary market may be pushed into a long vacation.
This week three IPOs are entering into the market and two NCDs issues are present in the
market.
* This week's IPOs :- Out of three IPOs hitting the market, the two except SBI Cards may face
troubles.
• SBI Cards :- Rs10,354 crore IPO will enter the market on March 2. However, the anchor in-
vestment segment opened on February 28 has got robust response at upper price band. It is be-
lieved that around 74 bidders have been allotted shares at this price.
The anchor investors include leading fund houses, PE investors and pension funds like Gov-
ernment of Singapore, Government Pension Fund, Nomura, Kuwait, HDFC, Birla, ICICI Pruden-
tial, L&T, Edelweiss, Goldman Sachs India, DSP, Tata Mutual Fund, etc.
How will be subscription : Taking into consideration the current situation, it may get 1.5 to 2
times subscription in retail segment and 60-80 times in HNI.
Shareholder category :- As there is no minimum allotment in this category, the allotment will
be propose net. Shareholders can apply in general and shareholder both categories. It is believed
that there will be huge influx of Rs2 lakh application so allotment will be tough.
HNI Category :- The banks and NBFCs are likely to charge 15 to 17% interest rates for 9 days
go up to Rs1150 if the market takes 'U-Turn'. As there will be many investors who are looking for
listing gain and book profit, there will be temporary correction in the share prices. The investors
holding it for long term may get benefit.
* Antony Waste Handing Cell :- The issue has suddenly decided to enter the market so may
face problems due to bearish trend in the market and fancy in SBI Cards issue. As the issue size is
less than Rs250 crore, it will get listed in 'T' group. There is hardly any possibilities of higher
premium in the issue.
* SM Auto Stamping - BSE SME IPO :- Rs6.91 crore issue with fixed price of Rs18 will open on
March 3 and close on March 5. The investors have kept distance from SME IPOs for quite some
time. Therefore, it may not get good response. Moreover, the track record and fundamentals are
poor and offer price is aggressive. It will be advisable to keep distance from the issue.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Subscription figure of
* This week's NCDs issues:-
J.M. Fin. Products NCDs • JM Finance Products :- The issue with bas price of Rs100
Category No. of Bond Issue crore and shelf limit of Rs300 crore has got 0.98 times subscrip-
Offered/ Subscribed tion, so it needs around Rs200 crore more.
Reserved 28-2-2020 • Muthoot Vehicles :- The issue with base price of Rs100
Cat. 1 QIB 1,00,000 0.00x
Cat. 2 NII 1,00,000 0.26x crore and shelf limit of Rs200 crore has got 2.04 times subscrip-
Cat. 3 HNI 4,00,000 0.34x tion on February 28, so it may close ahead of schedule.
Cat.4 Retail 4,00,000 2.03x * Upcoming mainboard IPOs:-
Total 10,00,000 0.98x • Rossari Biotech :- Specialty chemical company plans
Subscription figure of Rs700 crore IPO. It will issue new equity shares worth Rs1.50
crore and will also offer one crore share of promoters. The com-
Muthoot Vehicle & Asset
pany will use the proceedings for catering to the working capital
Category No. of Bond Issue
need, debt repayment and other general corporate purposes.
Offered/ Subscribed
Reserved 28-2-2020
Cat. 1 QIB 1,00,000 0.00x
Cat. 2 NII 4,00,000 3.07x
Cat. 3 HNI 5,00,000 1.62x
Total 10,00,000 2.04 ***
IRB Infra (Rs. 83.00) (Code: 532947) :- IRB Infrastructure will repay bank loans after
its private infrastructure investment trust (InvIT) received Rs. 3800 crores from Singapore-based
sovereign fund GIC. The company will use Rs. 3000 crores to repay loans and Rs. 800 crore to
fund construction projects. The company also bagged the Mumbai-Pune Expressway project re-
cently.
Indian Hotels (Rs. 134.00) (Code: 500850) :- There is movement in this share even
in a weak market. The company plans to adopt an asset-light model to expand its presence. The
company is also focusing on its basket of food related brands.
Navin Fluorine (Rs. 1430.00) (Code: 532504) :- This commodity chemicals com-
pany has signed a multi-year contract of Rs. 2900 crores with a global company.
Bandhan Bank (Rs. 382.00) (Code: 541153) :- The RBI has lifted the ban it had
placed on this private bank on opening of new branches. Moreover, the share has been included in
the F&O segment with effect from February 27.
India Cement (Rs. 96.00) (Code: 530005) :- The shares of this South India based
company have rocketed 40% after D-Mart promoter Damani family acquired a large number of its
shares. Gopikishan Damani has acquired 85 lakh shares or 2.85% stake in the company.
ITD Cementation (Rs. 53.00) (Code: 509496) :- Rating agency ICRA has removed
the 'rating watch with developing implication' and assigned stable outlook on credit instruments
worth Rs. 4900 crores.
Sanofi India (Rs. 7289.00) (Code: 500674) :- Shares of this pharma company are in
focus since a week. The company reported nine percent increase in income and 23% rise in profit
for the third quarter.
Thomas Cook (Rs. 46.00) (Code: 500413) :- The company has announced buy
back of shares worth Rs. 150 crore at Rs. 57.50 apiece. There is a difference of more than 20% in
the current price and the offer price.
Chola Invest (Rs. 306.00) (Code: 511243) :- The share is up 5% in 2020, and is
likely to rise further. According to analysts, the company has raised Rs. 1200 crores which will
allow it to report strong growth in the coming 2-3 years.
SpiceJet (Rs. 83.00) (Code: 500285) :- The nearly 25% decline in crude prices in the
last one month will lead to significant cost reduction for the company's operations. Moreover, the
airline is set to launch flights on 11 more routes from March 11.
Lasa Super Generics (Rs. 45.00) (Code: 540702) :- This healthcare sector com-
pany has recently taken over Harishree Aromatics & Chemicals. This will allow it to increase its
market share and diversify into new products.
NLC India (Rs. 60.00) (Code: 513683) :- Known as Neyveli Lignite earlier, the com-
pany has presence in lignite mining and power generation. The shares surged after the company
announced dividend of Rs. 7.06 for 2019-20.
Alphageo (Rs. 191.00) (Code: 526397) :- The company has won a Rs. 184 crore
order for 2D and 3D Seismic Data Acquisition services in Assam from Vedanta.
V-Mart (Rs. 231.00) (Code: 534976) :- This retail company has 260 stores in 195
cities. It plans to invest Rs. 70 crores to open 40 more stores in 2020-21.
Cont.....
Financial Weekly
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recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising
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Financial Weekly
2nd and 3rd March 2020 : Moon in the house of Venus taking its position in the its
own star (Rohini) brings good movement of stock prices by influencing the investor's mindset.
Railways stocks such as IRCTC, RITES, IRCON, Parag Milk, Waterbase, Mindtree, Kiroloskar
Brothers, Rallis India, Carieer Point may outperform
4th March 2020 : Venus in the house of Mars - Aries, Saturn along with Mercury in
Capricorn may bring volatility in the markets. Investors of Fertilizers, Chemicals, cement,
automobile, iron ore , steel, coal, natural gas must remain patience to reap good gains in
future. IRCTC, Rites, Apex Frozen, JK paper, India Glycol, Balkrishna Industries may show
good growth in stock prices.
5th March 2020 : Moon in the house of Mercury- Gemini along with speculative planet
Rahu impacts the investor's mindset by creating a situation dilemma about their stock in-
vestments which tends to create volatility in the markets on this day. Investors of agro
based stocks, automobiles, chemicals, banking and financial sector, consultancy firms, en-
tertainment based firms, telecommunication sector, Information technology need to wait to
see reasonable returns on the investments in future. IRCTC, Rites, IRCON, Granulles India,
Abbott India, GSK Consumer, Mahindra EPC may outperform.
6th March 2020 : Moon taking its seventh position in the star of Jupiter towards the
house of Jupiter - Sagittarius where Jupiter, Mars, Ketu takes its position may favour the
market to certain extent. Investors of Health, Pharmaceuticals, sugar based firms, solar
energy based firms, and railway based sector like RITES, IRCTC, consumer durables may
gain to certain extent. Timken India, Torrent Pharma, Ajanta Pharma, n. Ugar Sugar, Shakti
Sugar, Balrampur Chini, KEC International are likely to gain
Financial Weekly
4th March 2020 :Venus in Aries and the conjunction of Mercury and Saturn in Capri-
corn may create volatility in the bullion markets.
5th March and 6th March 2020 : The conjunction of Moon and the speculative
planet Rahu in Gemini taking seventh position towards the house of planet of wealth and lord
of Gold - Jupiter (Sagittarius) where Jupiter occupies its position in its own house along with
mars and Ketu may tend to impact the bullion market creating volatility in the gold prices.
Financial Weekly
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