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media 50 distribucion normal
desviacion estandar 5 media 50
rango 1 hasta 50 Des.vest 5

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126 44.3712003
127 43.7300019
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129 42.673124
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141 46.7680814
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146 43.0331445
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149 46.8297826
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151 44.486474
152 47.493259
153 50.6497549
154 45.8461899
155 53.6074716
156 61.8114904
157 46.7859167
158 58.9581057
159 56.5218975
160 51.9996971
161 57.7285722
162 42.7559826
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166 53.7160136
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191 49.7849777
192 45.4867823
193 46.1745409
194 58.1862022
195 52.1464479
196 58.4586831
197 44.7821295
198 52.9920307
199 41.9239682
200 59.0164442
 Distribucion Exponencial Distribucion Uniforme
media 50 limite superior 50
limite inferior 1

Este gráfico no está disponible en su versión de Excel.

cel. Este gráfico no está disponible en su versión de Excel.
Si edita esta forma o guarda el libro en un formato de
de archivo Si edita esta forma o guarda el libro en un formato de
archivo diferente, el gráfico no se podrá utilizar.
archivo diferente, el gráfico no se podrá utilizar.

1 59.996211 1 37.7631108
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 69 19.2648879 69 28.7645593
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101 7.69185776 101 42.0561321
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104 30.2009234 104 14.8381649
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107 5.48329031 107 15.758662
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147 0.75712535 147 8.87152953
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149 33.4500827 149 19.900295
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151 19.5771838 151 34.8987009
152 21.8102456 152 8.88715398
153 23.8742831 153 11.3478185
154 13.5828637 154 29.1814104
155 29.7014982 155 14.1250285
156 97.6809441 156 34.720052
157 207.162122 157 13.438632
158 38.6627814 158 49.3953424
159 88.7178259 159 1.5942317
160 84.8401228 160 16.1089909
161 1.69284561 161 22.6752918
162 69.7652213 162 42.1158175
163 32.7774668 163 27.8893984
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168 11.3911546 168 16.2011175
169 21.417669 169 1.30674041
170 26.8467538 170 7.44858135
171 35.2649688 171 26.3757962
172 31.2625607 172 22.3544004
173 79.9254174 173 31.9648859
174 4.80642635 174 36.4488449
175 6.4343053 175 32.526014
176 69.0794054 176 49.6927908
177 17.3200046 177 14.6895473
178 3.1414372 178 42.7232594
179 78.5525564 179 39.6309749
180 31.3849003 180 35.3473514
181 8.86426894 181 39.5468569
182 65.7613109 182 35.6998562
183 86.1280929 183 12.7995582
184 128.188732 184 32.8068441
185 83.0795175 185 23.5112669
186 24.4319468 186 7.89292009
187 64.9830921 187 6.63240502
188 80.3656765 188 44.1811
189 68.5509075 189 45.3158797
190 78.5525564 190 7.35503941
191 158.334149 191 19.4454343
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193 73.3558479 193 15.9722647
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195 119.975999 195 47.8554295
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199 36.8822711 199 12.1046784
200 45.0945971 200 6.28699498
ible en su versión de Excel.

a el libro en un formato de
o no se podrá utilizar.
 4. Desarrollar el siguiente caso estableciendo una simulación en Excel:
Se desea simular la llegada y descarga de barcos en un muelle para determinar el número
promedio de barcos que se retrasan para ser descargados al siguiente día, los datos para
realizar la simulación son los siguientes:

Barcos que Barcos que

llegan por Probabilidad llegan por Probabilidad
día día
0 15% 1 7%
1 18% 2 13%
2 14% 3 45%
3 21% 4 22%
4 18% 5 13%
5 14%

Considerando un valor (Alfa = 0.10); y un error de 0,5 barcos.

Determine:
a.       Modelo de simulación de 30 días de operación incluyendo grafico de estabilidad.
b.      Calculo del número de corridas necesarias para estabilizar la variable de interés.
c.       Adecuar el número de corridas según el caso del modelo del punto a.
d.      Generar 15 corridas del modelo y calcular el intervalo de confianza.
e.      Establecer conclusiones y recomendaciones del caso, por cada integrante del grupo.