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Paper presented at the 5th ECPR Grad Student Conference, Innsbruck, July. 3-‐5 2014.
PhD Fellow, Institute of Administration and Organization Theory, University of Bergen
Introduction
The
two
terror
attacks
22nd
of
July
2011
(hereby
22/7)
put
Norway
in
a
crisis
situation,
the
government,
the
emergency
agencies
and
the
society
as
such
faced
an
enormous
task.
Not
since
the
9th
of
April
1940
have
the
political
authorities
been
affected
as
when
the
car
bomb
exploded
at
Regjeringskvartalet
at
15.25
pm,
22/7
(NOU
2012:17).
And
seldom,
if
ever
in
the
Postwar
period,
has
a
shooting
massacre
by
one
single
gun
man
caused
so
many
lives
as
the
shootings
on
the
island
of
Utøya
only
hours
later
the
same
day.
The
two
attacks
occurred
at
different
locations
within
a
time-‐
span
of
three
hours.2
The
two
attacks
launched
the
largest
rescue
operation
in
Norway
since
the
Second
World
War.
The
response
mobilized
resources
not
only
from
the
local
area
but
from
quite
distant
regions
of
Norway
and
even
cross-‐border
from
Sweden
(Rimstad
et
al.
2014,
5).
69
persons
were
killed
and
60
injured
by
the
shootings
at
Utøya,
while
eight
persons
were
killed
and
112
persons
were
injured
by
the
bomb
in
Regjeringskvartalet
(Refsdal
2014).
From
2001
and
onwards
there
have
been
several
major
terror
attacks
in
the
“Western
world”.
9/11
in
2001,
the
Madrid
bombings
in
2003
and
the
suicide
bombings
in
London
in
2005.
These
terror
attacks
were
all
conducted
by
islamistic
terrorists.
Furthermore,
Spain
and
United
Kingdom
have
a
long
history
of
terror
attacks
domestically,
e.g.
via
the
terror
groups
ETA
and
IRA.
United
States,
as
the
only
superpower
(formerly
as
one
of
two)
and
often
involved
directly
or
indirectly
in
armed
conflicts
abroad,
the
fear
of
terror
attacks
is
always
present.
Thus,
the
risk
of
terror
attacks
have
historically
been
considered
high
in
Spain,
United
Kingdom
and
USA
and
emergency
preparedness
and
terror
preventing
measures
have
been
a
political
priority.
Given
these
countries
experience
with
terror
attacks,
armed
conflicts
and
risk
scenarios
in
accordance
with
this
gives
reason
to
expect
they
have
functioning
and
well-‐known
systems
and
routines
when
it
comes
to
internal
and
societal
security,
hereunder
contingency
plans,
crisis
management
etc.
Furthermore,
their
risk
awareness
is
high
–
a
terrorist
attack
is
a
realistic
scenario,
something
imaginable.
1
This
paper
is
an
outline
of
my
PhD
project,
how
it
is
thought
conducted
for
the
time
being
(started
on
my
PhD
mid-‐March
this
year).
2
The
shootings
at
Utøya
started
appr.
at
17.15
(Stormark
2012:132)
and
the
gunman
was
reported
arrested
at
18.36
(NOU
2012,
121).
1
Along
these
lines
Norway,
at
least
prior
to
22/7,
can
be
described
as
diametrically
different
from
the
three
abovementioned
countries.
Norway
is
generally
regarded
as
a
peaceful,
open
and
robust
democracy,
and
had
limited
previous
experience
with
terrorism
(Rykkja,
Lægreid,
and
Fimreite
2011).
To
expect
Norway
to
be
the
next
scene
for
a
major
terror
attack
in
the
“Western
world”
prior
to
22/7
was
not
very
probable.
In
this
sense,
the
terror
attacks
in
Norway
can
be
classified
as
a
“least
likely
case”,
least
likely
to
expect
major
terror
attacks.
Furthermore,
being
a
peaceful
country
Norway
seldom
experience
shootings,
armed
conflicts
and
alike.
Consequently,
it
is
reason
to
believe
Norwegians
risk
awareness
(when
it
comes
to
armed
attacks)
are
low.
Experiences
with
major
domestic
rescue
operations
are
also
limited.
Therefore,
the
terror
attacks
on
22/7,
was
a
new
and
unexpected
event,
also
for
the
personnel
in
the
emergency
services.
For
many
of
them
it
was
also
an
unexpected
scenario.
In
this
respect
it
would
not
be
surprising
if
the
emergency
services
showed
signs
of
not
putting
up
to
the
test.
How
did
the
emergency
services
respond
to
the
terror
attacks
and
why
did
they
respond
as
they
did?
These
empirical
questions
are
the
starting
point
for
my
PhD
project
that
will
study
the
crisis
management
of
the
emergency
services
under
the
terror
attacks
in
Norway
22/7.
Crisis
management
is
here
understood
as
the
sum
of
activities
aimed
at
minimizing
the
impact
of
a
crisis.
Impact
is
measured
in
terms
of
damage
to
people,
critical
infrastructure,
and
public
institutions.
Effective
crisis
management
saves
lives,
protects
infrastructure,
and
restores
trust
in
public
institutions
(Boin,
Kuipers,
and
Overdijk
(2013)).
The
time
horizon
for
the
empirical
analysis
is
from
the
time
of
the
bomb
explosion
at
Regjeringskvartalet
to
the
level
of
readiness
was
lowered
to
moderate
by
the
government
authorities.3
The
aim
of
the
project
is
to
study
the
more
theoretically
intriguing
question:
what
were
the
organizational
and
behavioural
conditions
behind
the
crisis
management
of
the
emergency
services
on
22/7?
From
a
crisis
management
perspective
a
crisis
contains
five
key
management
tasks:
i)
sensemaking
–
grasping
crises
as
they
unfold,
ii)
decision
making
–
critical
choices
and
their
implementation,
iii)
meaning
making,
iv)
end
games,
and
v)
learning
from
crisis
and
the
politics
of
reform
(Boin
et
al
2005).
This
study
focus
on
the
two
first
phases.
Thus,
the
overall
question
for
this
study
–
what
were
the
organizational
and
behavioural
conditions
behind
the
response
of
the
emergency
services
on
22/7?
–
is
limited
to
sensemaking
and
decision
making.
The
documentation
of
what
happened
on
22/7
is
vast,
both
from
the
national
level
(DSB,
2012;
KAMEDEO
2012;
Lereim
et
al
2012;
NOU
2012;
Sønderland
et
al
2012),
and
on
the
local
level
from
the
participating
organizations
and
governmental
bodies
(Lien,
Ørn,
Øye,
Skille,
&
Solberg,
2011;
Oslo
University
Hospital,
2011;
Tomlinson,
Rosenlund,
Hammer,
Hovland,
Hallgren,
&
Salhus,
2012).
But
studies
looking
into
why
things
happened,
which
is
the
aim
of
this
PhD
project,
are
scarce.
As
the
“what
happened
here”-‐question
is
well
documented
this
frees
us
to
the
more
interesting
why-‐
questions.
The
project
will
use
this
dramatic
case
of
crisis
management
as
a
window
to
view
more
fundamental
organizational
issues.
It
is
also
worth
mentioning
that
some
of
the
best
contributions
from
organizational
research,
with
lasting
theoretical
insights,
is
in
fact
case
studies
of
crisis.
Examples
include
the
analysis
of
the
Cuba
crisis
by
Allison
(Allison
1971),
analysis
of
the
Challenger-‐disaster
by
Vaughan
(Vaughan
2009),
the
3
I
haven’t
the
exact
time
yet,
but
the
main
point
is
to
focus
on
the
time
period
of
the
terror
attacks
and
until
the
readiness
level
was
lowered,
i.e.
some
hours
after
the
gunman
was
captured.
2
analysis
of
the
accidental
shootdown
of
two
U.S.
helicopters
over
Iraq
by
Snook
(Snook
2000)
and
Weicks
analysis
of
the
Tenerife
air
disaster
in
1977
(Weick
1990)
and
the
fire
accident
in
Mann
Gulch
(Weick
1993).
As
pointed
out
by
Carroll
(1995,
in
Snook
2000,
9)
unusual
organizational
events
and
subsequent
“incident
reviews
are
central
to
the
systematic
development
of
organizational
theory”.
My
project
will
take
part
in
this
research
tradition.
The
study
will
do
this
by
using
analytical
perspectives
from
organizational
theory
when
studying
the
relevant
organizations.
The
study
will
apply
two
perspectives
from
organization
theory,
instrumental
and
institutional.
The
instrumental
perspective
focus
on
the
formal
structure
of
an
organization,
keywords
are
hierarchy,
laws
and
rules
as
well
as
formal
routines
(Egeberg
1989:189;
Christensen
et
al
2004:33-‐34).
Essential
in
the
institutional
perspective
is
the
idea
of
the
appropriate,
an
individual
acts
based
on
previous
experiences
of
what
has
functioned
well
and
what
is
considered
as
acceptable
and
reasonable
within
the
environment
where
the
actor
operates
(March
and
Olsen
1989;
Selznick
1957).
When
studying
key
actors
(individuals
and
groups)
in
the
organizations
the
study
will
draw
heavily
on
the
sensemaking
concept
in
particular,
and
more
generally
on
established
explanations
of
human
behaviour,
e.g.
the
extensive
literature
explaining
why
most
people
find
it
very
hard
to
process
and
share
information
under
conditions
of
stress
and
deep
uncertainty
(Reason
1990,
Kahneman
2011;
Coates
2012)
in
Boin,
Kuipers
and
Overdijk
2013,
82).
Sensemaking
is
defined
as:
”the
ongoing
retrospective
development
of
plausible
images
that
rationalize
what
people
are
doing”
(Weick
2008:1403),
and
is
especially
visible
in
handsoff
situations,
i.e.
a
crisis
which
is
characterised
by
low
probability/high
consequence
(Weick
1988:305).
The
sensemaking
approach
view
organisations
as
”loosely
coupled
systems”
(Weick
1976:1).
In
order
to
understand
how
organizations
function
we
need
to
shift
focus
from
organisational
outcome
to
the
process
of
organizing,
from
decision
making
to
meaning
(Mills
2003:39-‐40;
Weick
1993:635).
Decision
making
is
a
dependent
variable
in
sensemaking.
The
argument
is
that
to
”decide”
presupposes
previous
consideration
of
a
matter
causing
doubt
(Weick
1988:305).
Thus,
the
sensemaking
approach
(i.e.
Mills
2003;
Sutcliffe
and
Weick
2005;
Tsoukas
and
Chia
2002;
Weick
1995)
offers
a
theoretical
framework
for
explaining
(a)
individual
differences
in
the
way
events
are
understood,
(b)
how/why
3
those
differences
are
translated
into
’sensible
interlocking
behaviours’,
(c)
the
relationship
between
identity
construction
and
organisational
outcomes
(Mills
2003:35).
Previous
research
clearly
shows
that
what
emergency
services
and
their
employees
have
done
prior
to
major
crises,
e.g.
exercises
and
scenario
thinking
(organizational
level)
and
former
experience
and
professional
background
(individual
level),
is
of
great
importance
with
respect
to
how
well
they
will
succeed
in
their
crisis
management.
Thus,
in
order
to
explain
the
organizational
and
behavioural
conditions
behind
the
crisis
management
of
the
emergency
services
on
22/7
we
need
to
describe
not
only
the
formal
and
informal
structure
of
the
emergency
services
(cf.
organisational
theory),
but
should
look
into
what
the
emergency
services
had
done
of
exercises
prior
to
22/7.
Hypothesis
The
study
is
primary
explorative
in
its
form.
Still,
drawing
on
the
abovementioned
literature,
general
knowledge
of
the
events
of
22/7
and
prior
research
some
simple
hypothesis
can
be
formulated.
1. The
difference
in
crisis
management
performance
on
22/7
between
the
emergency
services
was
because
of
structural
differences
in
the
organisations
formal
structure.
E.g.
formal
structure
in
the
police
force,
especially
when
in
large
sharp
operations,
are
characterised
by
rule
and
command,
strong
hierarchy
and
SOPs
(standard
operating
procedures),
whereas
the
health
care
services
are
more
characterised
by
flat
structure
and
professional
discretion.
2. The
difference
in
crisis
management
performance
on
22/7
between
the
emergency
services
was
because
of
institutional
differences
in
the
organisations.
E.g.
the
fire
department
have
normally
much
more
exercises
and
drills
than
the
police
department.
Firefighters
in
Norway
have
appr.
50
percent
of
their
working
hours
for
exercises,
drills,
going
through
routines
etc
while
an
ordinary
policeman
in
Norway
have
fourty
hours
a
year
for
training
and
exercises
(NOU
2012).4
3. The
difference
in
crisis
management
performance
on
22/7
between
the
emergency
services
was
related
to
the
different
tasks
they
are
assigned
to
do.
4. The
difference
in
crisis
management
performance
on
22/7
between
the
emergency
services
was
because
of
qualitative
differences
in
their
technical
infrastructure
Research
design
Inspired
by
Snook
(2006)
analysis
of
the
shootdown
of
two
U.S.
helicopters
in
Iraq
1994
I
want
to
give
an
explanation
across
levels.
Starting
on
the
ground,
at
the
incident
scenes
of
Regjeringskvartalet
and
Utøya
I
want
to
explain
why
the
incident
commanders
acted
as
they
did,
e.g.
why
did
not
the
incident
commander
at
Regjeringskvartalet
communicate
at
all
with
the
operation
leader
for
the
first
35
minutes
of
the
operation?
Despite
the
fact
that
the
written
guidelines
for
the
police
underlines
the
importance
of
close
cooperation
and
communication
between
the
operation
leader
and
incident
4
I
am
not
hundred
percent
sure
on
the
numbers
yet,
but
that
there
is
a
big
difference
is
beyond
doubt.
4
commander,
especially
in
acute
crises
(p.
113).
Here
the
dependent
variable
is
individual
action/inaction.
Shifting
up
one
level
of
analysis
from
individuals
to
groups,
I
want
to
explain
why
central
groups
acted
as
they
did,
e.g.
why
the
incident
command
post
(consists
of
incident
commander
(police),
fire
commander
and
medical
commander)
at
Utøya
were
able
to
relocate
and
take
decisive
actions
on
their
own
behalf
without
checking
with
their
superiors
first
(Rimstad
et
al.
2014).
Or
why
the
stab
in
the
Oslo
Police
district
never
formally
overtook
the
role
of
the
operation
leader
making
it
hard
for
the
operation
leader
to
know
what
her
own
responsibilities
were
in
the
transition
from
one
organizational
structure
to
the
other
(NOU
2012).
Here
I
will
use
what
we
know
from
prior
research
on
how
groups
perform
in
emergency
organisations
in
extreme
situations.
Here
the
dependent
variable
is
group
action/inaction.
Shifting
up
one
level
of
analysis
I
will
explain
more
general
qualities
and
flaws
of
the
crisis
management
of
the
emergency
services,
e.g.
why
the
Oslo
police
district
were
reluctant
to
call
for
extra
resources
and
why
the
police
seemed
unprepared
for
the
task
they
were
given
whereas
this
was
not
the
case
for
the
health
care.
Here
concepts
and
general
knowledge
from
organizational
theory
and
organizational
research
will
be
central.
In
the
foregoing
I
have
been
talking
about
the
emergency
services
and
giving
explanations
across
levels,
on
an
individual,
group
and
organizational
level.
The
numbers
of
individuals
and
groups
involved
in
the
crisis
management
of
the
emergency
services
on
22/7
are
numerous.
It
is
not
possible
to
cover
all
these
actors
and
elements
in
a
fruitful
way
within
the
scope
of
a
PhD
project.
Thus,
I
have
to
narrow
the
scope
of
my
analysis.
In
the
table
below
I
have
listed
what
actors
at
the
organizational,
group
and
individual
level
I
plan
to
include
in
my
analysis.
The
selection
of
actors
is
aiming
to
fulfill
the
following
two
criterias:
i)
relevance,
actors
that
had
a
crucial
role
should
be
included,
ii)
feasibility,
several
data
sources
on
the
crisis
management
of
this
actor
are
available.
Regarding
the
organizational
level
I
think
an
account
differentiating
between
police,
health
care
and
fire
department
would
be
to
simplistic,
e.g.
there
is
huge
differences
between
Oslo
and
Nedre
Buskerud
Police
District
when
it
comes
to
resources,
competence
and
experience.
Furthermore,
they
both
had
to
act
on
their
own
in
the
first
phase
of
the
action
at
respectively
Regjeringskvartalet
and
Utøya.
It
should
also
be
mentioned
that
the
main
focus
is
on
the
police
and
the
health
care.
The
Fire
Department
is
included
mainly
because
it
is
one
of
the
three
emergency
services
that
has
a
defined
role
at
any
incident
scene
in
Norway.
They
did
not
play
a
dominant
role
on
22/7,
but
they
were
one
of
the
three
main
actors
at
the
incident
scenes
and
should
therefore
be
included
in
the
analysis.
5
National
Police
Directorate
Norway
Regional
Health
Authority,
Oslo
University
and
Vestre
Viken
Hospital
Trust
and
in
the
National
Health
Directorate
Individual
Leader
of
the
stab
in
OPD
and
NBPD
Operation
leader
at
the
Fire
commander
at
Utøya
Operation
leader
in
OPD
and
NBPD
AMK-‐central
in
Oslo
and
and
Regeringskvartalet
Incident
Commander
at
Drammen
Regjeringskvartalet,
Utøya
island
and
Medical
commander
and
main
land
ambulance
commander
at
Utøya
and
Regeringskvartalet
Table
1.
Actors
at
the
organizational,
group
and
individual
level
that
are
subject
to
analysis.
Research
questions
Note
to
reader:
Hoping
to
clarify
the
goal
of
the
analysis
I
have
decoupled
the
overall
research
question
in
more
refined
and
specific
questions,
cf.
list
below.
Some
of
the
research
questions
are
descriptive
and
some
are
explanatory.
The
aim
of
the
descriptive
research
questions
is
to
describe
relevant
aspects
of
the
case,
whereas
the
explanatory
research
questions
links
the
answers
to
the
descriptive
research
questions
to
the
overall
research
question.
Descriptive
“Prior
to
the
case”-‐questions
1. What
was
the
formal
structure
of
the
strategic,
operative
and
tactical
level
in
the
emergency
services,
hereunder
what
are
their
role
and
tasks
under
normal
circumstances
and
under
extreme
crisis
situations?
2. What
was
the
informal
structure
of
the
strategic,
operative
and
tactical
level
in
the
OPD
and
the
NBPD?
3. What
was
the
informal
structure
of
the
strategic,
operative
and
tactical
level
at
the
actors
in
health
care
(those
listed
in
table
1)?
4. What
characterised
the
technical
infrastructure
of
the
communication
system
and
operation
and
alarm
centrals
in
the
emergency
services?
Case-‐specific questions
1. How
(through
what
channels)
was
the
bomb
explosion
reported
to,
and
within,
the
emergency
agencies,
and
what
was
the
content
of
the
reports?
2. How
(through
what
channels)
was
the
shootings
at
Utøya
reported
to,
and
within,
the
emergency
agencies,
and
what
was
the
content
of
the
reports?
3. What
was
the
formal
background
and
working
experience
of
the
policemen
and
health
care
personnel
at
the
operative
and
tactical
level
in
Oslo
and
Buskerud
working
on
22/7?
4. How
did
the
Oslo
Police
(personnel),
health
care
(personnel)
and
Fire
Department
at
the
strategic,
operative
and
tactical
level
respond
to
the
bomb
explosion?
a. What
assessments
were
done
regarding:
i. Detection
(The
scale
and
type
of
attack,
including
number
of
culprits)
ii.
Mobilizing
more
resources
iii. securing
own
personnel,
and
critical
objects
(vital
buildings,
technical
infrastructure
etc)
b. What
orders
and
instructions
were
given
(primary
focus
will
be
on
coordination
and
communication)?
6
5. How
did
the
Oslo
and
Buskerud
Police
(men)
and
health
care
(personnel)
at
the
operative
and
tactical
level
respond
when
they
started
receiving
reports
of
shooting
at
Utøya?
a. What
assessments
were
done
(cf.
4a)?
b. What
orders
and
instructions
were
given
(cf.
4b)?
Explanatory
1. How
can
characteristics
of
the
formal
structure
in
the
emergency
services
explain
their
crisis
management
in
Oslo
and
Utøya
on
22/7?
2. How
can
existing
informal
structures
in
the
emergency
services
explain
their
crisis
management
in
Oslo
and
Utøya
on
22/7?
3. How
can
characteristics
of
the
technical
infrastructure
of
the
communication
system
and
operation
and
alarm
centrals
explain
explain
their
crisis
management
in
Oslo
and
Utøya
on
22/7?
4. How
can
differences
in
what
tasks
the
emergency
services
were
assigned
to
explain
their
crisis
management
in
Oslo
and
Utøya
on
22/7?
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