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Risky
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News and Views
U
sing 3D models of the subsurface derived from
geophysical data is standard practise for guiding
exploration in the petroleum industry and has the
potential to improve success rates for mineral explorers.
But because geophysical inversion models can
provide the same response for different geological
scenarios, they can introduce ambiguity into the resulting interpretation.
The latest thinking, and technology, has focused on the key factors
required to generate 3D models with greater ease and confidence,
making their output more reliable and informative as an aid for
mineral exploration.
Topping the list of requirements is the ability to integrate as many
constraints as possible - including gravity and magnetic data, surface
geology and borehole logs. The resulting complete earth model is more
likely to pick up nuances in physical rock properties and provide a truer
rendering of what lies beneath the surface.
“We’ve got to start thinking about the shades of grey,” says Dr. Bill
Morris, a 3D modelling expert and professor at McMaster University’s
School of Geography and Earth Sciences. With direct detection of ore
bodies becoming increasingly rare, geoscientists must “get past the
bull’s eye approach and, instead, put all our little clues together to
get the big clue,” he says. “We need to have more physical property
databases, and we need to be able to link physical property variations
to geological reality.” Geological map for Baie Verte Peninsula overlain on greyscale image of
Eventually, as the number of constraints in inversion models aeromagnetic data. Numerous disagreements between trends in magnetic
increases, geoscientists will be able to map regions of alteration in data and geology suggest map needs revision.
proximity to ore bodies, Morris and his co-authors predict in a recent
paper entitled Integrating geological constraints in geophysical models.
From the technology side, the ability to rapidly create, modify,
iterate and combine data within project timelines is essential for making
geophysical modelling a more practical and reliable aid for exploration.
The challenge has been developing lighter workflows for what
are currently resource and time intensive modelling algorithms. While
3D inversions using voxel earth models have been available for years,
it takes highly trained specialists with powerful computing capacity to
produce them. And the associated workflow required to define and
introduce constraints is time-consuming.
The newest inversion modelling technology, introduced by Geosoft
in April, was developed under the lead of modelling expert Dr. Robert
Ellis, a co-founder of the UBC Geophysical Inversion Facility, and relied
on input from industry collaborators to address these challenges.
Usability and “lighter workflows” were the primary drivers in the
development of VOXI, which also harnesses cloud computing to allow
geophysicists to work with ever-larger models.
In a recent post in the Exploring with Data blog, Chief Technologist
Ian MacLeod tells the development story behind the cloud-based Orthographic projection shows results of 3D geological models of the Baie
VOXI Earth Modelling service that took over three years and required Verte Peninsula developed from individual GM-SYS profiles and how they
the work of 29 people to create. VOXI provides tools for making intersect with one another. (Bill Spicer, MSc Thesis, McMaster University)
interpretation of 3D inversion models faster, more accurate and
accessible to a broader range of explorers, and includes a new
Magnetization Vector Inversion (MVI) technique.
Read online at www.earthexplorer.com Seeing the Shades of Grey in 3D inversion. Earth Explorer 5
The service allows geoscientists to convert magnetic and gravity
data directly into 3D models that can be integrated with other project
data. Better yet, they can do this in the cloud using Microsoft’s Azure
cloud computing platform rather than relying on the limited processing
power of their own computers. “Building a multi-core cloud-based
algorithm is very different from building a program that runs on a
workstation or local cluster,” says MacLeod. “The effort to re-engineer
VOXI for Azure took us most of a year to get right.”
Making the software usable is a challenge in its own right, notes
MacLeod in his post. “We worked very hard with our collaborators
VOXI Gravity Inversion, Podolsky Ni deposit, Canada. Known deposit is in purple.
over two years to design and improve the VOXI interface,” he says, “so
At left, unconstrained VOXI gravity inversion produces high-density
that everything would work as smoothly as possible and fit within an
feature in green.
explorer’s natural workflow.”
At right, gravity inversion constrained by the magnetic inversion using VOXI Speed in generating 3D inversions is one of the essential ingredients
Iterative Reweighted Inversion method shows more accurate high-density
location in pink and yellow. (Gravity Case Study of the Podolsky Deposit, that will allow geoscientists to use these tools routinely, enabling them
Sudbury Basin: Elizabeth Baranyi, Dr. Robert Ellis) to iteratively improve models as they add constraints and learn more
about their projects.
One early adopter says a modeling exercise that took him four
hours to complete using his current desktop modelling program, took
just two minutes using the VOXI service.
The future of mineral exploration using 3D inversion models
looks even brighter under the lens of better and more plentiful data
sets that can be used to constrain inversions, especially borehole
geophysical data.
“We have a whole suite of new tools that are giving us information
that we have never received before,” say Morris. “The other big key is
that we are now seeing integrated geological and geophysical model
development platforms.”
This will allow geoscientists to move more comfortably between
the three main geophysical models (discrete body, lithologic surface
and voxel mesh inversion), incorporating elements of each one into a
fully constrained inversion.
“The systematic use and development of 3D models for each
Portiguar Basin, Brazil: VOXI inversion of magnetic data with weak fault
discontinuity interpreted from seismic section produces a geologically mining camp will certainly lead to the discovery of new resources in
consistent magnetic property model. (Non-Uniqueness in Potential Field many of the older mining camps,” he predicts. o
Inversion: Dr. Robert Ellis)
BOOK review
T
here was no path to guide field mapper their strength as well as their secrets and their
Mary Albanese through the Alaskan truth. The rocks never lie.”
wilderness. Only brush, trees, and rocks— Deciphering the geological history of Sugar
an unchartered, seemingly endless stretch of Loaf Mountain, Jumbo Dome, and the Buzzard
rocks. Her memoir Midnight Sun, Arctic Moon: Creek Maars for her master thesis remains one of
Mapping the Wild Heart of Alaska is the story her proudest accomplishments.“ I just went back
of Albanese’s life and journey as an arctic to the geology department at the University of
geological explorer. Alaska in Fairbanks to see how it has changed and
The book chronicles her survival against the was told that my geochronology and tectonic
Alaskan elements and the extreme conditions assessment of those rocks still stands up, and that
of a remote explorer. A strong undercurrent is all the research in that region in the past 30 years
Albanese’s connection with rocks, and passion has only re-confirmed my analyses. That was a
for the region’s rock formations. “Rock units are pretty good feeling.”
the building blocks of the earth’s crust, intricately
Read the full story on EarthExplorer.com.
merged together to provide the solidity in our
world,” says Albanese. “Most people don’t ever Find Midnight Sun, Arctic Moon on
think of it that way, but it’s true. I like rocks for www.epicenterpress.com.
W
h en g e o p hy si cis t following up this year.”
Hernan Ugalde was The episode points up a valuable lesson for
contracted by a junior mining companies intent on launching a drilling
mining company to program in short order after looking at remote
help define drilling sensing data alone; which often happens when
targets, he thought eager investors want to see some action.
himself fortunate the company had an Ugalde suggests starting from the
exploration vice president who believed regional, then going into more detail. He
there was more to it than choosing purple stresses the importance of field work, mapping
anomalies on remote sensing maps. and measurement of rock properties by the
“It was an iron exploration project in geologist and geophysicist, who should
[Canada’s] Northwest Territories,” recalls the work in tandem. He says in the NWT example
Senior Consulting Geophysicist at Toronto-based “without that, we wouldn’t have been able to
Paterson, Grant & Watson Limited. The mining recognize the different geological units that
company had flown the magnetics, planning to were the base of the model, instead of the
use map anomalies for direct detection of iron usual blocks with no geological interpretation.”
deposits. Since iron is magnetic then the large Key is to take time for the geology. “The main
anomalies should be important targets, went challenge is to get the message beyond the
the reasoning. Ugalde and the VP Exploration ‘can you find me a target?’ stage,” says Ugalde.
examined the magnetic data, but to improve “It is quite common to see a mining company
confidence, recommended ground field work operating with only one geologist, who is either
follow-up. It was fortunate they did. “The field too busy dealing with all the admin and raising
work recognized that the Fe-formation was funds, or doesn’t have the background to know delineation on areas where access is difficult
hematite, which is non-magnetic,” says Ugalde. what to expect from geophysics.” and/or have not been mapped completely),
“Instead of throwing out the data and claiming Some numbers help drive home his point. they realize that there is great value in doing
that the survey didn’t work, we used a think-out- “Airborne geophysics with 50 metre line this kind of remote sensing mapping.”
of-the-box approach and modeled 2D sections.” spacing typically provides a resolution of just The big picture is often overseen. “When
He says working with a structural geologist 10 metres per pixel making definition of precise companies jump stages on the large-to-
helped him to separate what was geologically drilling targets difficult,” he says. “However, small-scale approach, they sometimes lose
reasonable from what wasn’t. “We ended up once you can make the company understand track of what factors they did use to filter in/
with very detailed models that provided the the value behind the data beyond the drilling out some areas and often end up making
company with targets, on which they will be frenzy (i.e. extensive structural and lithogical an inefficient use of resources,” says Ugalde.
“There is a big rush to produce an NI 43- explorer side. “In my experience of small cap magnetic data, in 2D sections. The key here
101 [national instrument for the Standards explorers, there is way too much drilling before was having me working together with Cees
of Disclosure for Mineral Projects within there is any understanding of geoscience,” van Staal, GSC’s structural geologist who knew
Canada] with proven/inferred reserves.” It he says. “Shareholders buy on rumor and sell the way the faults were dipping, and how
requires sampling—drilling—at 50 m, and on fact and there is a perception that ‘drilling many folded sequences did we need to put
in the rush to comply, Ugalde says it’s not equals rumor’ and the day traders and punters on.” Combining van Staal’s knowledge of the
uncommon that structure is overseen and pump the stock when drilling is underway and area with the resolving power of geophysics,
therefore boreholes are placed where there results are pending.” He considers the rush to they ended up not only with a great 3D model
shouldn’t be any, or at an inefficient attitude/ drill is driven by a financial imperative: explorers based on geophysics, but one that made
geometry. “To give you an idea, I have seen often lack the ability to communicate their geological sense too.
projects with <100 km of drilling where the exploration strategy without delivering some “The geological input from Cees was
general structure was totally overseen, but headline results for shareholders and investors. invaluable,” says Ugalde. “Modeling is a non-
once you plotted the grades it was quite Vose says that as a CEO and engineer he unique problem, so you can put an infinite
evident that there was a structural control relies upon geoscientific information and number of geometries and still fit the data.
(folding).” Taking some extra time to analyze advice and often finds geologists differ on Having someone who knew what was feasible
the structure would have definitely improved their interpretations. “I think that what good and what wasn’t was very important.”
the efficiency of that large drilling program. geologists do well is to gather evidence Software plays a big role but needs to
In the specific case of geophysics, results can before advancing a theory or a model,” he be applied properly, cautions Ugalde. “We
be misleading unless the whole story behind says. “In particular geophysics, geochemistry, have software that makes life way easier and
them is addressed. For example, “if borehole structural geology and geochronology are that almost anyone can operate,” he says.
planning is based on the wrong information critical to finding mineralization.” “However, knowing how to use the software
(e.g. K-anomalies associated to lithology Though not a junior investment situation, is not a replacement for knowing what you
instead of alteration; not addressing magnetic Ugalde uses another example of the value of are doing from the geoscience perspective.”
inclination and/or remanence; overseeing that ground control when interpreting geophysical While a powerful aid, he sees a trend where
in an alteration zone you are interested in the data: the Bathurst Mining Camp. A producing available software is not being used to its full
magnetic low around the large purple “blob”), mine from the 1950s, it was pretty much closed potential, mostly because of a lack of control
then you’re missing the whole story and this and the Geological Survey of Canada (GSC) on what is actually being done or what is the
can lead to the waste of those boreholes,” says funded a new survey; new geophysics. He overall goal. “More access to sophisticated
Ugalde. “It’s easy to just say geophysics did not describes the entire area as 60 x 60 km with very tools needs to be balanced with proper
work, rather than understanding the overall fit.” few outcrops. “So we had lots of geophysics training and field experience.”
Chris Vose, CEO of Brisbane -based but little matching ground control,” he recalls. To help provide this balance it’s equally
Murrumbo Limited, has seen it directly from the “We did some modeling of gravity and important from the software development
Example of GM-SYS modeled sections from the magnetic (top panel) 3D data integration of the 2D modeled lines)
and gravity data (middle panel).
10 Earth Explorer
NWT Iron Ore Exploration
This was a Fe-exploration project in Canada’s Northwest. The target was an iron
formation within the Rapitan Group, interbedded with thin mixtite beds and extensive
large exotic clasts.
The company flew magnetics on the assumption that because Fe is magnetic, large
anomalies should be important targets and direct detection should work. However
ground follow-up fieldwork recognized the Fe formation was principally hematite,
which is non-magnetic. Instead of throwing away the data, 2D sections were modeled
using the magnetic data and a geology map with the location of the known IF.
Susceptibility measurements allowed determination of the range of values to use on
each unit. Basic stratigraphic principles plus required susceptibilities allowed placing of
the required units on the surface. Key again was working with a structural geologist to
help separate what was geologically reasonable from what wasn’t.
Example of GM-SYS 2D modeled sections from the magnetic data. Blue: non magnetic
carbonates; pink: high magnetic conglomerate; white: non-magnetic iron formation;
yellow: moderately magnetic conglomerate unit.
“If the company had drilled directly on the airborne results, they most likely would have
intersected areas where the IF was already eroded and the anomaly obeyed only to
magnetic conglomerates,” says geophysicist Hernan Ugalde, who worked jointly with the
company’s VP Exploration. “They might have got lucky with a few holes on areas where
the IF was underneath, but without a thorough modeling analysis behind it they would
Final product of the modeling exercise: depth to the not have known what was where.” It emphasizes the importance of fieldwork, mapping
top of the Iron Formation, obtained from the modeling and measurement of rock properties—to recognize the different geological units that
and field mapping. It also shows the location of the were the base of the model. In the end, drilling recommendations were defined.
modeled lines.
Risky business:
Balancing the risk and rewards
in greenfields exploration
By Dan Zlotnikov
M
any are pointing to a efforts focus on brownfields, exploring next supply, harder and harder to find resources.”
serious misalignment to known deposits or re-evaluating previously He continued by pointing out that projects
in mineral exploration uneconomical projects. approval timelines were getting longer, and
between the demand This has industry experts expressing the approvals themselves have become
for quality greenfield concerns about the long-term future of less certain. All this led Albanese to make a
finds and the industry mining: Brownfields discoveries tend to be prediction:
focus on brownfields, and are wondering smaller in size, lower in quality, and their total “The next five years is going to be a supply
what it will take to get the right balance to number is ultimately limited. If greenfields story; the last five years has been a demand
satisfy both current market realities and future exploration activity continues to flag over the story.”
requirements. long term, the industry as a whole may find Yet despite the industry’s growing
At the surface level, it’s quite simple. On itself with a bad case of “all dressed up and awareness of the issue and its seriousness, it’s
the one hand there is rising need for high nowhere to go.” equally clear that there are no easy answers
quality deposits to meet global demands, The concern reaches all the way to the top: or quick solutions for reinvigorating the
and this requires the industry to detect and at a conference in Sydney earlier this month, greenfields side of exploration.
develop new greenfields deposits. Yet on the Rio Tinto CEO Tom Albanese acknowledged Neil Briggs, whose more than 40 years of
exploration side, most of the spending and that “it is getting harder and harder to find mining experience have been split roughly
LEFT PAGE: With its rich geological history, and diversity of mineral deposits, Greenland is one of the countries offering
greenfield exploration opportunities. ABOVE: New Opportunities specialist Neil Briggs, shown in Albania, helps junior
explorers raise funds.
evenly between major firms, a Crown the companies are so big that to affect their capital, most often without positive cash flow,
corporation, and junior companies, now works bottom line, you need something that’s truly greenfields exploration firms have always
as a New Opportunities Specialist, helping huge,” he says. been seen by investors as a risky proposition.
junior explorers raise funds. Briggs says there The recent comments to investors Even Briggs, who’s been working with juniors
are a couple of factors at work. First is the made by Rio Tinto’s Albanese support Briggs’ for 16 years, is leery of investing in straight-up
recent economic upheaval, which has caused position, but Albanese also highlighted a greenfields projects.
many investors to shift toward lower-risk different issue the majors face: Investors “When structuring a new deal, we try to
opportunities. are looking askance at massive capital include a component of work on a known
According to Briggs, “in this lousy market expenditures, and are pressuring the industry’s deposit, or a known good showing, with a
environment, you have to generate some leaders to instead pay out more in dividends greenfields project in the same vicinity. You
excitement to raise money, but brokers and and share buybacks. can get money for one and be dangling the
investors aren’t excited about grassroots “But what that means, and we are carrot of the other,” he says. Hardly a surprise
projects. They want to hear about a project hearing it, we know our peers are hearing then that so much exploration activity of late
somewhere with all these wonderful numbers. it, there is going to be less supply coming has been focused on the less uncertain—but
That’s what gets them excited, gets the share in,” Albanese said. This further increases the smaller—rewards offered by brownfields sites.
price up, and allows juniors to raise money.” majors’ motivation to focus on only the largest, So what is there to do for greenfields
This isn’t a new challenge, but Briggs offers highest-return projects—the same ones that companies that don’t have such an investor-
a key historical insight: It used to be the majors, are becoming harder and harder to find. pleasing pairing on hand? Is their only
not the juniors, who did the greenfields Targets that don’t have the requisite option to forge ahead and hope they make
exploration work. This is where the second size potential frequently will not see any a discovery before they run out of money?
factor comes into play: A company’s size. exploration activity. These may eventually be Fortunately, the answer is “not quite.”
For a large company, Briggs explains, it’s sold off to juniors and end up as profitable,
not enough for a deposit to be economically if smaller, projects. But the majors’ focus on Safety in Numbers
viable to mine; it also has to be large enough larger, much less common, finds also means It’s been so long since Brian Cellura has had
to have a noticeable impact on the company’s further uncertainty for the sector as a whole: to put a drill hole in that he takes a moment to
overall revenues. As the majors kept getting Imagine what would happen to copper prices remember how much the process might cost.
bigger, so did the size threshold of a deposit if new deposits of the metal were only found This is a rather surprising admission, given that
they’d be willing to develop. once a decade, but each was twice the size of Cellura is a senior geologist at Miranda Gold,
Today, the majors might “do a very broad Oyu Tolgoi. a junior exploration company. But the notion
regional program, only looking for very big With the majors’ narrowed focus, it’s the of drilling not being part of the company’s
targets. They’ll ignore good-looking targets junior companies that must take up the slack exploration activities is central to the Project
that don’t have the size potential. Some of of greenfields work. But can they? Limited in Generator approach Miranda is taking.
14 Earth Explorer
says Cellura, lies in that crucial point in a to cut loose projects before significant cares to count, he’s seen rising commodity
junior’s evolution: The decision to start drilling. money is expended that negates much of prices boost greenfields exploration, as
“Drilling is what kills a lot of junior the risk of greenfields exploration. Being investors once more flock to the mining
companies. It’s the cost that does them in. able to do so at a rapid pace is also why sector. “A rising tide floats all boats,” he says.
An average drill hole will cost you upwards of both Cellura and Briggs feel that juniors Briggs also points out that the definition
$50,000. So to put a decent drill hole program have the advantage when it comes to doing of what is and what is not pure greenfields
in, 10 drill holes, you’re talking half a million greenfields work. Larger companies, despite isn’t cut and dry: In some of the less
dollars, and that’s a big chunk of a junior’s their greater resources, simply can’t react as developed nations there may be areas with
budget.” By contrast, Miranda’s cash outlay on quickly to new opportunities. a number of historical mines, but little to
a single property tends to be around $20,000. The majors “go through exercises to no regional exploration work done. A junior
Cellura explains that Miranda does all the ‘prioritize’ the best targets, whereas most might do well to look for targets, “not directly
work leading up to the decision to drill—and juniors just look for an excuse to drill,” says adjacent to the known mines, but maybe
then looks for a joint venture partner who Briggs. In Miranda’s case, being able to skip within tens of kilometres.”
would take on the actual drilling. Partners the drilling stage allows them to achieve truly At the same time, Miranda Gold serves
can earn a 60% ownership in the project by impressive throughputs. to remind explorers that one can get pretty
spending around $10 million on exploration “The average evaluation period for a far before needing major investment. Nor
and associated fees, Cellura says. If the project, depending on how good it is, will is the decision to try the Project Generator
project were to go on to become a mine, be two-three months, maybe four at the route an irreversible one: Cellura says
Miranda would remain a non-operating most. So over a four-month period, because Miranda Gold itself isn’t dismissing the
partner, focusing its efforts on exploring new we’re rotating projects around, we can get possibility of eventually transforming from
properties and finding new drill targets. through 20-25 different projects. That allows explorer to producer.
Cellura adds that it’s also important to us to cherry-pick what we think are the best “We haven’t yet found the discovery
know when to let a project go, something projects. It’s very hard for a major to run at this that would do that for us,” he says. Until that
Miranda does regularly—and why its portfolio speed with this sort of efficiency,” Cellura says. day comes, he continues, Miranda will gladly
today is just 16 projects, not 60.
continue defining new areas and feeding
“At some point we’ll say, it’s a bit of a
money sink. If we can’t get another company Waiting For The Big Wave its partners new drill targets. In today’s
greenfields-shy world, this is likely to remain a
interested in, we’ll let it go and move on to Briggs does offer some good news for
much-needed service. o
something else,” he says. the pure greenfields explorers: Having been
According to Cellura, it’s this willingness through more boom and bust cycles than he
A
For juniors constrained by limited junior exploration company’s path to success is
fraught with risks and upsets; and opportunities are
resources, usable and inexpensive constrained by their limited resources. With each
diamond drill hole costing $50,000 or more, a junior
government survey data is often can only have so many miscalculations before it will
find itself with no money, no promising discovery, and
key to stimulating and advancing no way to continue the work.
greenfields projects. Given the risks a junior must already accept, anything that serves
to relieve the risk and reduce unnecessary expenditure of limited funds
is welcome. What if, to pick a not very random example, some of the
By Dan Zlotnikov large-scale, regional sampling and surveying was already done? Better
yet, what if the resulting data were made available for free?
This is exactly what happened in the case of Bowgan Minerals,
an Australian exploration company working on two joint-venture
properties with Mega Hindmarsh. Gary Price, Bowgan’s chairman and
Manager of Geology, explains that the data gathered by the Geoscience
Australia has proven very helpful to the partners.
“The bulk of our targets have been generated after in-house
analysis of government data,” he says. Some of the targets being worked
on were identified during the company’s own exploration activities, but
the majority were recommended by “a very good geophysicist at Mega
Hindmarsh,” gleaned from the government data.
Price adds that the database includes not only data gathered
directly through government-funded programs, but also results of
previous exploration work done in the area by private firms.
“Once tenements are surrendered or work is discontinued, within a
period of time that data is collated into a usable format and also made
available to the public,” he says.
Higher quality deposits, with reduced physical, social and environmental footprints, are required to reinvigorate mineral supply.
T
he Earth Explorer team recently for 2006-2030 is projected to exceed the sum greenfields funding. At a success rate of
viewed a presentation by total of all copper produced in human history below 1%, greenfields projects are much
Campbell McCuaig, Professor up to that point. The situation is generally riskier investments than brownfields, causing
and Director at Australia’s Centre similar in other commodities, he said. investors to shy away. McCuaig pointed to this
for Exploration Targeting (CET), An underlying cause, McCuaig explained, brownfields bias at the expense of greenfields
on the challenges facing today’s is the ongoing depletion of the industry’s exploration as one of the major reasons for the
exploration companies—and, by extension, the traditional search space. industry’s current difficulties. He also pointed
mining industry as a whole. McCuaig and other “Mankind, over thousands of years, has out that rising commodity prices alone are not
colleagues have told the same troubling story become pretty good at finding an ore body if a panacea for bridging the resource gap by
many times before. The presentation begins it sticks out of the ground,” he said. The largest bringing on lower quality marginal resources—
with the certainty that: The world’s mining deposits nearest to the surface are easiest such projects are continually challenged.
industry is facing a worsening resource gap, to discover, meaning the trend has been
and unless industry leaders take steps now, the one of huge returns for the first explorers in Looking deeper under cover
industry’s future is under threat. an area and a steady decline in the value of
subsequent, brownfields, discoveries. So what can the industry do to address
The reasons for concern are plain: The
McCuaig added that as an area gets the shortfall? CET’s proposed solution, and
amount being extracted has outstripped new
mined out, new discoveries aren’t just smaller research focus, is redefining the search space:
discoveries at the same time as demand for
and lower in quality—they’re also more costly looking deeper under cover.
commodities is predicted to keep growing.
to find in the first place: In the 1960s, $1 of The problem with this is cost: Not only
Addressing the shortfall is going to require
exploration investment returned an average will a discovery require greater outlay, you will
significant changes in the way the industry
of $105 in discovered gold. By the 2000s, that have to pay more to even make the attempt.
operates—and according to McCuaig, these
$1 only averaged an $11 return—despite gold This is a major challenge, said McCuaig, but not
changes have been slow in coming.
prices rising from $400 to $900/oz. The same an insurmountable one: Just look at how the
loss of exploration effectiveness is seen across Gulf of Mexico changed in the last 50 years.
Depletion of the
all metals. “If you talk to oil people, they didn’t even
traditional search space Despite the rising cost and diminishing believe that there were reasonable deposits
The need for new finds is undeniable: return, the trend has been in favour of deep in the basin,” he said. “So there was a
McCuaig pointed out that copper demand brownfields projects, at the expense of conceptual leap, from ‘why even bother to
Read online at www.earthexplorer.com Redefining the Search Space for Minerals. Earth Explorer 19
H IG H
C am p scale d ecisio n
D E T E C T IO N A lte ra tio n h a lo s
E F F E C TIV E NE SS
H ig h d e fin itio n
R E L AT IVE
g e o p h ysic s
D rillin g
G e o c h em istry
P R E D IC T IO N
LOW
B R O A D R E G IO N A L PROSPECT SCALE
SCALE
M c C u a ig a n d H ro n s ky 2 00 0
H ronsky, 2011
left: A physical process based mineral system model. RIGHT: A multi scale approach with different scale requiring different tools.
40 km
Moho
look there’ to ‘how are we going to visualize be deployed more selectively. The challenge, Of course, there is plenty of room to further refine
it?’” Today, the Gulf holds some of the largest then, is identifying worthy targets for in-depth these techniques—or develop entirely new ones.
offshore oil fields in existence. exploration, and doing so at a regional scale. One organization working toward that
McCuaig said the mining industry is poised McCuaig’s presentation described three goal is the CET itself: Established in 2005 as
at the same crossroads as the oil industry was approaches: An integrated 3D model using a partnership between the Government of
30 years ago. Today’s high commodity prices geophysics data (seismic, gravity, aeromagnetic), Western Australia, the University of Western
provide incentive for investment in innovation. stratigraphic and structural mapping was Australia, Curtin University, and members
It’s this innovation that holds the key to analysed by a human expert-driven mineral of the mineral exploration industry, the CET
bringing down the cost of making new, deeper, systems approach, a conceptual computer- conducts international research and applied
discoveries and securing future resource supplies. driven approach and an empirical computer- projects aimed at developing better exploration
Exploration under cover will be in areas calculated correlation between predictor maps targeting models and new technology
blind to many of the industries standard and known gold showings. packages for predicting deposits. The Centre
detection technologies. While improved sensing While none of the approaches eliminate has highlighted greenfields-related research as a
technologies will allow us to look deeper, the uncertainty, the combination of all three allows focus, aiding current and future industry efforts
added cost means these technologies must for better, more accurate targeting, says McCuaig. to look deeper. o
Eni Oil Bouri DP4 in Bouri Field is the biggest platform in the Mediterranean Sea.
P
eak Oil theories aside, it’s no probably be enough to go around, but it’s is the deep and ultra-deep offshore: the east
secret that the world’s easily- ever-increasingly located in more expensive coast of South America, the east and west coasts
found petroleum reserves have and complex frontier locations. So that’s where of Africa, and the Gulf of Mexico for example.
mostly been discovered already. the exploration is trending. Brazil is reported to have nearly 48 billion barrels
And as the planet continues to New technology such as horizontal drilling of oil in water deeper than 600 meters. One field
consume at the rate of nearly and multistage fracturing is already unlocking alone—the Lula—holds probably 6.5 billion
1,000 barrels a second they are depleting. vast new production levels from fields long barrels. Africa’s offshore west coast is where
Exploration companies are pushing further into abandoned as uneconomic—North America’s the world’s most active deepwater fields are
frontiers where environments are harsher, or Bakken formation for example, which is found—primarily Angola and Nigeria.
were hitherto limited by technologies of the day. expected to soon be producing a million The Gulf of Mexico, with more than
The International Energy Agency predicts barrels a day. These ‘tight’ and shale plays are 3,400 offshore production facilities, has been
that oil will continue its dominance of the skyrocketing in countries around the world producing for decades. But further out, 300 or
world energy scene well through 2035. By and will help advance world production so kilometers from shore, the water is deeper
then, the organization projects, daily global numbers. But it’s the frontiers where the big and the geological formations are older.
consumption will have increased 18 percent new elephant fields are being discovered. Esteemed energy research firm IHS CERA has
to 99 million barrels per day. There will Leading the new frontier exploration trend suggested there’s nearly 13 billion barrels of
recoverable deepwater oil out there yet. And of the reflected energy can’t be recorded. This looking beneath salt layers. “Explorers were able
already Shell’s Perdido production platform creates problems especially in the imaging of to better look beneath salt,” he says, “which still
is on location producing from deposits 2,400 the salt flanks and in the formations below salt. poses imaging difficulties, but less than before.”
meters below the surface. Leading the technological frontiers that Those advances included better processing
Knowledge of these deposits’ existence have been unlocking the ‘salt barriers’ and through PSDM, RTM and better data gathering
has been around for some time. Geological making the discoveries possible is a handful using WAZ, MAZ, and coil shooting says
theory suggested the reservoirs were out there of world companies. One who has developed Mapelli. PSDM, or Prestack Depth Migration, is
in sedimentary units past the offshore deltaics the expertise is global player Eni. a model-based seismic imaging methodology.
and into the turbidites. But the technology to Luca Mapelli, Potential Data Team Leader at Compared to conventional time migration
explore and produce them wasn’t. Eni, explains how progress was made in seismic image processing, which assumes that seismic
Holding back seismic exploration was modeling that led to the breakthroughs. “First waves are propagated in straight rays, PSDM is
largely the presence of massive salt layers you search for easy targets, then when you pricier and slower but the payoff is more precise
which can be over two kilometers thick, laid need to increase the reserves you start looking determination of reservoir structures. RTM, or
down millions of years ago as ancient oceans for difficult targets,” he says. As these targets Reverse Time Migration, can boast simplicity
evaporated. These high velocity media, with became the deep offshore, improved seismic and superior imaging quality by using a full
strong lateral velocity contrasts, induce such processing capabilities were coming to the fore solution 2-way wave equation—it makes no
intense bending in the seismic waves that lots over the past decade, which opened up ways of approximations limiting the direction in which
Eni’s use of Geosoft GM-SYS software demonstrates the With new density model support available in Geosoft GM-SYS 3D, voxels can
integration of potential field data with independent constraints, be used to define the 3D density variation within GM-SYS 3D model layers. This
such as seismic and well data, to better constrain the provides more direct integration with 3D seismic data as the generated density
interpretation process. Shown here is a GM-SYS 3D model cubes may be used directly in the GM-SYS model. This Hybrid 3D model shows
constrained by well data and a seismic reflection profile. three types of density distributions: Constant (top), Voxel (3D), and Density-
Depth distribution (bottom). A lateral density distribution is not shown.
Christina McCarthy:
Mining the capital markets
Geologist and mining
specialist Christina McCarthy
turned a market crash into a
capital opportunity.
I
t sounds ironic but when Christina McCarthy lost her field
geologist job in the 2008 market crash she quickly turned to
that very market for her next career.
Now a Mining Specialist with Toronto’s Euro Pacific Canada,
McCarthy was working with Blackstone Ventures at the time: in
Norway and Sweden on VMS and nickel-copper deposits.
“I was working on different properties and had a great mentor,”
she recalls. “But after about two years, the markets crashed,” and she
found herself laid off.
It had been her first full-time position following graduation and just
what she had been looking forward to as a budding field geologist.
Born and raised in Hamilton, Ontario, McCarthy remembers her
earliest interest in the profession. “In high school they didn’t teach any
type of geology courses so I wasn’t introduced to geology until I went
to university,” she says. She started as a psychology major at Brock
University, but when she got into Geology 101 she was hooked. “I
immediately fell in love with geology which led to my degree and I
became a geologist.”
The Scandinavia job after graduation was a great experience. She
learned hands-on how to do advanced exploration of VMS, nickel-
sulphide and IOCG deposits through core logging, detailed mapping,
sampling, geophysics, data analysis and presentation. She was loving
it. When the market foundered and she was laid off she went back
to Toronto thinking, “what am I going to do now? I couldn’t picture
doing anything other than geology.”
But her Type-A personality proved to be the solution. “I’m a
communicator,” says McCarthy, “and I realized that I could still do
what I loved—geology—in the capital markets.” But it was 2008
and no one on Bay Street was hiring. “So I went to an investor
relations company that worked mainly with resources and worked
for free for the first five months. I just wanted to learn the industry.”
Shortly afterwards she caught the attention of the Equicom Group
which recruited her for their resource team. “There were only two
of us on the resource team—myself and my partner Joanna Longo,
a veteran in the capital markets who became a great mentor to
me,” she recalls. “We worked many late nights together, building
the business, and eventually we thought: why not hang out our
own shingle?”
The two of them went off and started their own investor
relations company under the BayFront Capital umbrella called ‘Terre
Partners’.“We ran our business out of a coffee shop in downtown
Toronto,” says McCarthy. “With our combination of capital markets
experience and technical background, we had new clients and a
successful business within a few months.” In addition to IR, they
worked alongside the merchant bankers who raised the capital for
resource companies. “My role was to look at exploration companies,
going through a detailed check list of what made the company great,
and great enough to introduce to our clients. When you’re asking
investors for those million-dollar cheques, you have to find the best
Christina McCarthy in the field, mapping and sampling at the Jervas project projects out there in a competitive market.”
in Northern Sweden.
24 Earth Explorer
That experience prepared her perfectly for her present position
with Euro Pacific Canada. It’s often hands-on again, at field sites, all
over the world. “I fly to Timmins, Mexico, Ethiopia, Bulgaria, wherever
the project is, and look at it. I look at the potential and the prospectivity
of the project, to determine if it’s something our clients would want to
get involved in.” It’s a detailed look: favourable geology, jurisdiction,
historical production, cross-sections, the drill core data, detailed maps,
engineer and technical reports—everything that’s available.
The position is one of a mediator says McCarthy. “We introduce
them to the investors who are going to give them the capital to
advance their projects and ultimately get it to the mining stage.” So
she sees the needs of both sides.
Today’s investors are sophisticated; they know what to ask.
McCarthy uses the example of a prospective gold deposit. “Investors
want to know the mineral grades, metallurgy, recovery and strip ratios.
Is the deposit comprised of oxide material or is it a sulfide deposit?”
she says. If it’s an oxide gold deposit they know it has the potential to
be a heap-leach operation, whereas if it’s a sulfide or nickel deposit,
smelting and refining may be involved—which may mean a higher
capex. Similarly, if there is a high strip ratio and the grades are not high
enough, the deposit may not be economic.
“Questions will include: is this a good grade deposit, do you have a
mining Major around you? A lot of investors want to know if there’s
potential to have a big enough deposit that you might be taken over
or be partnered with someone,” she says. Another investor concern
is location. In a mining jurisdiction such as the Timmins—Kirkland
Lake Gold Camp, which has exceptional infrastructure and favourable
geology with over 150 million ounces of historic gold production, will
be attractive. Government or political risk can’t be overlooked, either. “I fly to Timmins, Mexico,
And “they want to know about mining laws, permitting, geopolitical
and environmental risks,” says McCarthy.
Ethiopia, Bulgaria,
What else do investors need to know about exploration wherever the project is,
companies? “I would say there is a checklist,” she offers. First of all,
“drilling is the truth serum. That’s the only thing that’s really going and look at it. I look at
to tell investors what is there. But drill targets need to be backed up
with the right geoscience.” She cites a small explorer in Southern the potential and the
Mexico’s Guerrero Gold Belt along the trend of a major’s mine. “They
are doing all the right things first: mapping, soil samples, soil lines, grid
prospectivity of the
lines and trenching. They’re taking all the steps to try and correlate the
geophysics with soil samples and trenching; if they are coincident you
project, to determine if
have a drill target.” An experienced management and technical team it’s something our clients
are very important as “people buy management”.
McCarthy says many companies try and talk up potential when would want to get
they don’t have all the necessary work to back it up. “A company
that has done all that work, has the coincidental geophysics with
involved in.”
soil sampling and trenching, has two check marks to define that
drill target.” Investors need the comfort of knowing companies have – Christina McCarthy
a good target and are approaching it systematically so they know
shareholders’ money won’t be wasted. “Because ultimately the goal is
to prove up a reserve and build a multi-million ounce mine.” o
Amityville
weapon resurfaces
Almost 40 years after one of America’s
most famous mass murders, a second
weapon is detected and recovered
with marine geophysics.
By Graham Chandler
I
t was the perfect horror classic. With stars like Rod Steiger, James
Brolin and Margot Kidder, and driven by the horrific true murder
story behind it, 1979’s The Amityville Horror was just one of a
series of blockbusters, most of them based on the subsequent
haunting of the house where it all happened. But of the original
1974 crime investigation by New York’s Suffolk County police
department, one thing was missing—a second murder weapon.
Now thanks to some sleuthing by documentary producer Ryan
Katzenbach and a detailed underwater electromagnetic survey
conducted by US-based Aqua Survey Inc, it has surfaced, quite literally.
Katzenbach is producing a three-part feature series entitled
Shattered Hopes, about the murders to which Ronald “Butch” DeFeo
Jr. confessed the day after. The official story is that he acted alone, in
a heroin- and alcohol-fuelled rage, in killing six members of his family
in their beds with just a .35-caliber Marlin rifle. Methodically, starting
with his abusive father. But other versions of the story are much more
complicated: it was hypothesized by some that Butch acted along
Aqua Survey Inc (ASI) was contracted by LA-based documentary-maker Ryan with his sister Dawn—who was shot by Butch the same night. For
Katzenbach who had been researching the infamous 1974 DeFeo family mass this to happen there must have been another murder weapon. And
murder in Amityville, New York. supporting that theory, among some discarded evidence found nearby
When Seismic is not enough – Exploit the Potential of Gravity and Magnetic Data
Learn how and when to use your magnetic and gravity data to further leverage your seismic data,
improving depth models and defining or constraining geometry in challenging areas.
Birgit Woods Integrating Gravity and Magnetic Data into your Geophysical Portfolio
Technical Analyst,
Discover how you can seamlessly integrate, map and model your gravity and
specializing in Geology,
Geosoft Inc. magnetic data with your seismic data for greater discovery success. Explore proven,
low cost techniques to meet the growing demand for oil and gas supply.
Dr. Michal Ellen Ruder
President, Wintermoon
Geotechnologies Inc.
Maximize the value of your exploration data with Geosoft Target
Discover how Geosoft simplifies the life of today’s earth explorer by
providing access to data and a powerful set of mapping and analytical
Darren Mortimer tools with dynamic viewing capabilities in a 3D environment.
Technical Analyst,
specializing in Geophysics, Maximize the value of your exploration data with Target for ArcGIS
Geosoft Inc.
Learn how you can use Geosoft Target for ArcGIS to visualize drillhole
and borehole geology data and quickly integrate it with exploration
data within your ArcGIS environment.
Andrew Long
Technical Analyst,
specializing in Geophysics,
Geosoft Inc.
Watch Now
www.geosoft.com/seminars
28 Earth Explorer
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