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Kill Zones
Kill zones are really liquidity events. Many different market participants often
come together and act around these events. The activity itself may be event driven
(margin calls or options exercise related activity), portfolio management driven
(buy-on-close and asset allocation rebalancing orders) or institutionally driven
(larger players needing liquidity to get filled in size) or a combination of
any/all three. The point is, this intense cross current of activity at a very
specific point in time often occurs near significant technical levels and trends
established coming out of these events often persist until the next Kill Zone in
approached/entered.
Specifically, there are three Kill Zones and each has its own
importance/significance.
1. Asian Kill Zone (1900 – 2300 EST) Considered the “institutional” zone, this zone
represents both the launch pad for new trends and also too a reloading area from
the post American session. It is the start of a new day (or week) for the world and
as such it makes sense this zone will often set the tone for the rest of the
world’s trading day. Since it is very wide (4 hours) one should pay attention to
the Tokyo open (2100 EST) the Beijing open (2120 EST) and the Sydney open (0650 EST
previous day).
2. London Kill Zone (0200 – 0400 EST) Considered the center of the financial
universe for more than 500 years, Europe still carries a lot of influence within
the banking world. Many larger players use the Euro session to establish their
positions. As such, the London open often sees the most significant trend
establishment activity through any given trading day. Indeed, it has been suggested
80% of all weekly trends are established through Tuesday’s London Kill Zone.
3. New York Kill Zone (0830 – 1030 EST) The United States is still by far the
world’s largest economy and so by default New York’s open carries a lot of weight
and often comes with a big injection of liquidity. Indeed, most of the world’s
trade-able assets are priced in US dollars which gives even more significance to
political and economic activity within this region. Because it comes relatively
late in the globe’s trading day, this Kill Zone often sees violent price swings
within it’s first hour leading to the time tested adage “never trust the first hour
of North American trading.
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