Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 104

ECO364 - International Trade

Chapter 3 - Heckscher Ohlin

Christian Dippel

University of Toronto

Summer 2009

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 1 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

Difference To Ricardo

I In Ricardo:
I everyone wins from Trade.
I there is only one factor of production
I outcome is complete specialization
I This is very simplistic
I The Heckscher-Ohlin model aims to remedy some of these
shortcomings.
I It is more complex than Ricardo but gives far more subtle and
nuanced predictions.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 2 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

Framework

I 2x2x2 Model: 2 Countries, 2 Goods (Outputs), 2 Factors (Inputs).


I No productivity differences. All countries share the same technology.
I Identical Homothetic Preferences.
I Output can be produced with different input mixes (depending on
relative input prices).
I Factors are mobile across sectors.
I Countries differ in the relative abundance of factors. This is the key
of Comparative Advantage in the HO Model.
I HO is often referred to as the factor proportions theory.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 3 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

Preview of Insights to Come

I Factor Abundance determined at Country Level


I Factor Intensity determined at Industry (=Sector) Level
I Specialization according to both Factor Abundance and Intensity
I Countries gain from Trade but Industries may loose and Factors may
loose
I Trade has Subtle Effects on Industrial Restructuring
I Under certain conditions, Factor Prices (e.g. wages) are equalized
across countries

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 4 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

I Recall patterns of specialization from the first class:

Table: Trade by Commodities (1995)

Type of Goods Canada China Thailand United States

Machinery 0.383 0.230 0.382 0.472


Food and Live Animals 0.066 0.045 0.190 0.072
Chemicals 0.059 0.041 0.031 0.109
Misc. Manufactures 0.049 0.455 0.196 0.113
Source: Robert Feenstra, “World Trade Flows”

I Canada and the United States specialize in skilled labor/capital


intensive goods while China and Thailand specialize in goods that use
unskilled labor relatively intensively.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 5 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

Set-Up Again

1. Two countries.
2. Two goods.
3. Two productive factors
I Because of (1)-(3), this is referred to as the 2x2x2 model.
4. Constant returns to scale
5. Perfect competition (all agents are price takers).
6. Countries differ only in terms of their (relative) factor endowments.
7. Factors are immobile across countries but mobile across sectors.
8. Identical Homothetic Preferences

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 6 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

We first set up the equilibrium relations between goods prices, factor


prices and factor inputs
1. Derive relationship between relative factor prices and relative factor
demand.
I Based on firm profit maximization.
I FF curves (to be derived).
2. Derive relationship between relative goods prices and relative factor
prices.
I Based on iso-value and iso-cost curves from Lerner diagram (to be
derived).
I SS curve (to be derived).
3. Use (1) and (2), derive three-way relationship between relative factor
prices, relative factor demand and relative goods prices (see slide
33/98 for an application).

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 7 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

This is a General Equilibrium (GE) Framework. It is important to


remember what GE means (as opposed to Partial Equilibrium):
1. Firms maximize profits
2. Consumers maximize utility
I Utility/Preferences stay in the background throughout the analysis
I Because of homothetic preferences: Relative Demand unaffected by
income
3. Labor markets clear
I This is the basic set-up for any GE Framework!
I The equilibrium is a set of (factor market clearing) factor prices,
(goods market clearing) goods prices and sector-specific factor
allocations.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 8 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Model Set-Up

We consider a small open economy where prices are exogenously given and
predict:
1. What happens to equilibrium relative factor prices and factor demand
if goods prices change (can be interpreted as movement from autarky
to free trade).
I Stolper-Samuelson Theorem and Jones Magnification.
2. What happens to equilibrium relative factor prices and the production
structure (sectorial composition) if the distribution of productive
factors changes (can interpret as immigration).
I Factor Price Insensitivity and Rybczynski Theorem.
3. Who specializes in what:
I Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 9 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I To determine the optimal factor-intensity, we use the iso-value and


iso-cost lines in the following Lerner Diagram.

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 10 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I The iso-value curves map combinations of capital and labor that


yield $1 of output.
I Start with 1 = p x F x (K , L).
I For a given value of p x , what values of K and L produce $1 of output?

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 11 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Some iso-value schedules where px,3 < px,2 < px,1 ... (at a lower
price, firm needs more inputs to yield $1 of input)

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 12 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I The iso-cost curve gives combinations of capital and labor that (as a
bundle) cost $1. Values of w and r are taken as given. It is derived
from the following equation

wL + rK = 1
1 w
K= r − r L

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 13 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 14 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I If w and r rise by the same proportion, the iso-cost curve shifts in


parallel. Using less K and L now costs $1

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 15 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

With zero profits, both revenue and costs are equal to 1. Therefore, K and
L must lie on both curves.

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 16 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Equilibrium has to be at point of tangency (demonstrated on next few


slides)
I The straight line from the origin to the point of tangency is called the
Output Expansion Path (OEP)
I The slope of the OEP gives us the factor intensity in a sector.
I A flatter OEP in our graph means a sector is more labor intensive

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 17 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Value of output is $1 and costs are less than $1. Positive profits (firm
entry). Not an equilibrium.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 18 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Could use a different mix of K and L to attain positive profits. Not


an equilibrium.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 19 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Could use a different mix of K and L to attain positive profits. Not


an equilibrium.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 20 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Value of output is $1 and costs are more than $1. Negative profits
and firm exit. Not an equilibrium.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 21 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I With a second good of another factor intensity, we can add a second


iso-value curve.

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 22 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I The preceding slide determines equilibrium factor intensities ( KLTT , KLCC )


in both sectors
I for a given set of goods prices pC , pT
I and a given set of input prices w , r
I These goods prices and input prices are an equilibrium because both
iso-value lines are tangent to the iso-cost curve

I Suppose that pT increases. In order to produce $1 worth of textiles,


fewer inputs are needed.
I Consequently, the iso-value curve T shifts in while the iso-value
curve C does not move

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 23 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 24 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I Now, there are profit opportunities in the textile sector because costs
are unchanged but revenue has increased.
I Capital and labor flow into the textile sector.
I Because textiles are relatively labor intensive (flatter OEP), labor’s
wage is bid up more than capital’s rental rate.
I (w /r ) rises in response to pT /pc increasing.
I Importantly, r actually falls in this case to allow for non-negative
profits in the Computer-sector
I Intuition: for every unit of labor that shifts from the Computer to
Textile-sector, Computer-firms want to free up more capital than
textile-firms are demanding.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 25 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I note that r has to fall if pC is fixed.

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 26 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

This relationship between goods and factor prices is represented in the SS


curve:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 27 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I This SS curve gives us the relationship between goods prices and


factor prices
I What about the relationship between factor prices and factor
intensities?
I We saw that a rise in PT /PC raises w /r
I This makes labor more expensive and naturally leads to substitution
effects where each firm demands a higher K /L ratio
I Note that for markets to clear this has to imply that the labor-intensive
sector expands (intuition: PT rises)
I There is therefore a positive relationship between w /r and K /L in
both sectors

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 28 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

restructuring if w /r increases

Figure: Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 29 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I There is therefore a positive relationship between w /r and K /L in


both sectors
I Supposing computers are relatively capital intensive (F C F C is below
and to the right of F T F T ):

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 30 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I We can soon combine the graphs on slides 27 and 30 to have a


graphical representation of the General Equilibrium in a Small Open
Economy (with prices exogenous)
I But first, let’s make this more formal through the firm’s profit
maximization problem.
I In competition, the nominal wage paid to a factor in production of
good X equals its marginal revenue product such that where w is the
wage and r is the rental rate of capital

w = px mpl(K , L) r = px mpk(K , L)

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 31 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

We can divide these two expressions such that

w px mpl(K /L) mpl(K /L)


= =
r px mpk(K /L) mpk(K /L)

Because the marginal product of labor is increasing in and the marginal


product of capital is decreasing in K /L, we can rewrite the right hand side
into a single expression that is increasing in K /L.

w ∂ wr
= f (K /L) , = f 0 (K /L) > 0
r ∂(K /L)

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 32 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

Example: Suppose that computers are capital intensive and textiles are
labor intensive with Cobb-Douglas production functions.

QT = K 1/3 L2/3 QC = K 2/3 L1/3

Firms producing X maximize PX QX − wLX − rKX


First Order Conditions (FOC) give {KC , KT , LC , LT } as functions of
{w , r , pC , pT } :
1/3 −1/3 2/3 −2/3
(1) w = pT 23 KT LT (3) w = pC 13 KC LC
−2/3 2/3 −1/3 1/3
(2) r = pT 13 KT LT (4) r = pC 23 KC LC

But {w , r } are also unknown so we need 2 more equations given by the


endowments. (5) KT + KC = K (6) LT + LC = L

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 33 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

w KT w 1 KC
Dividing (1)/(2) and (3)/(4) gives us: r = 2 LT r = 2 LC
pT KT −1/3 KC 2/3
Setting (1)=(3) (or (2)=(4)) gives us: pC 2 = ( LT ) ( LC )
Combining these expressions gives us a solution for w/r (as a function of
pT 1/3 which we can plug back in to solve for
prices): pC = (w /r )
{KC , KT , LC , LT }

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 34 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I We can now combine these two graphs into one picture.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 35 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

I For a given set of relative goods prices, we can now predict:


I Relative factor prices
I Factor intensities
I For a given set of relative factor prices, we can now predict
I Relative goods prices.
I Factor intensities
I In a small open economy (where prices are exogenous) we predict
relative factor prices and factor intensities given output prices.
I This can be represented in the following picture:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 36 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model General Equilibrium in a Small Open Economy

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 37 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I The SS curve is the graphical representation of the


Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
I As the relative price of a good increases, the nominal wages of the
factor used relatively intensively in that good increase relative to the
nominal wages of the other factor.
I Jones Magnification is an important corrollary that the real wages
of the factor used relatively intensively in that good increase and the
real wage to the other factor decreases.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 38 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I Example 1: If pT rises relative to pC , then the relative return to


labor over capital rises, the real wages of workers increase and the
real return to capital falls.
I Example 2: If pT falls relative to pC , then the relative return to
labor over capital falls, the real wages of workers falls and the real
return to capital rises.
I Using “Jones’ Hat-Notation”, denote a change in x by x̂
I Then it can be shown for Example 1, that: ŵ > p̂T > p̂C > r̂

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 39 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

pT
Figure: The Price of Textiles Rises Relative to the Price of Computers pC ↑

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 40 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

pT
Figure: The Price of Textiles Falls Relative to the Price of Computers pC ↓

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 41 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I If the price of textiles rises and the price of computers stays


unchanged, how do we know...
1. that the nominal wage of labor rises and falls for capital?
2. that the real wage of labor rises and falls for capital?

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 42 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Figure: nominal wage changes follow from the Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 43 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I We now know that r falls and w rises.


I But how do we know that the real wage of labor rises and falls for
capital?
w w
I
pC and pT are not real wages!
I If consumers consume both goods, the price level that consumers face
will be a combination of the price of textiles and computers.
I e.g p = 21 (pC + pT )
I If pT rises and pC stays unchanged, the aggregate price level (p) that
consumers face must go up!
r
I Because r falls, p must fall!

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 44 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I How do we know that the real wage of labor rises?


I Label the cost share of labor in textile production as α and the cost
share of capital in textile production as (1 − α) (see Question 2c on
2nd HO Problem Set)
I Recalling “Jones’ Hat-Notation” from previous slide and with zero
profits, we have:
I p̂T = αŵ + (1 − α)r̂
I Because r falls, w has to rise by more than pT
w w w
I Therefore pC and pT must both rise and p must rise!

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 45 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I The results on real wages and return to capital are an extension to


the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem called Jones Magnification.
I Jones Magnification holds very generally (i.e. without holding PC
constant) but that is harder to show.
I Jones Magnification matters because it is real wages (i.e. purchasing
power) that determine welfare!
I It can be shown more generally than here but the algebra gets a bit
involved.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 46 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I We will now derive a very important result called the Rybczynski


Theorem.
I To do this, we will use an Edgeworth Box...
I First, note that LT + LC = L and KT + KC = K .

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 47 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 48 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Figure: The Textile Sector is Relatively Large

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 49 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Figure: The Computer Sector is Relatively Large

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 50 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I Remember from the “relative prices graph” that we know the ratio of
K to L in each sector.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 51 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I For given factor and goods prices, the Lerner Diagram gives us the
ratio of K to L (slope of OEP) in each sector.
I We can use this information in the Edgeworth Box.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 52 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I Combinations of capital and labor in each sector must lie on the rays
below:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 53 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I These curves only intersect at one location.


I Therefore we know what inputs will be in each sector (and, therefore,
what output will be).

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 54 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I How do production patterns change if we increase one of the


endowments?
I To do this, we simply expand the Edgeworth Box along the dimension
whose factor has increased in quantity
I Suppose we increase the amount of labor in the economy.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 55 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 56 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

I Labor and capital employed in computers both fall.


I Labor and capital employed in textiles both increase.
I Production of computers falls and production of textiles increases.

I Rybczynski Theorem: As endowments of one factor change, a


country will produce more of the goods that use that factor
intensively and less of those that don’t
I A corollary is that Migration leads to industrial restructuring because
it changes relative factor abundance

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 57 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Factor Price Insensitivity

I Notice that the OEP’s did not change slope as we expanded the
Edgeworth Box. This means that w/r did not change and this
irresponsiveness of w/r with respect to changes in factor endowments
is referred to as Factor Price Insensitivity (FPI) .
I When does it hold? Intuitively, w/r cannot change in the Lerner
diagram because goods prices are exogenously given to a SOE.
I The only way w/r can change is if the country specializes in only one
good.
I This implies that the condition for FPI is that both countries are
diversified (produce both goods).

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 58 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Diversification vs. Specialization

I The discussion of FPI is a good point to check your understanding of


production functions in the Ricardian and HO Model.
I Why is there a tendency to fully specialize in the Ricardian Model but
not in the HO Model although both models have CRS production
function?
I The reason is that the HO Model is a two-factor model and the
production function has declining marginal products in each factor
(despite being CRS - make sure you get the difference).
I This implies that as one sector expands at the expense of the other,
the marginal product of the scarce factor will eventually tend to
infinity in the shrinking sector.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 59 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Stolper Samuelson and Rybczynski Theorems

Recap

I We have learnt how wages and factor intensities respond to price


changes
I This is Stolper Samuelson
I ... and how factor intensities and industry structure (how much labor
employed in each sector) respond to factor endowments
I This is Rybczynski
I Now we learn about the patterns of specialization.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 60 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I Unlike the Ricardian model, the PPF in the HO model is bowed out
to reflect imperfect substitutability across sectors...

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 61 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I Optimal output will be attained when the value of output is


maximized.

V = pC QC + pT QT

We can rewrite this as


V pc
QT = pT − pT QT

We can also think of this as an isovalue line that keeps the value of
production constant while varying the composition of production. Utility
will be maximized when the value of production is maximized and this
curve is as far up and to the right as possible.
Do not confuse this isovalue line with the isovalue curve in the Lerner
diagram.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 62 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I Value, and consequently utility, is higher as these curves shift up and


to the right

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 63 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I A key insight is that, when there is no trade (autarky), the


consumption bundle must lie on both the iso-value line and the PPF.
I This is similar to the Ricardian model in which a consumption bundle
must lie on both the PPF and the budget constraint.
I Of course, in autarky, the production point is actually determined by
tangency of PPF and indifference curve and the price ratio adjusts to
be equal to the slope of both.
I In autarky, an economy can only consume what it produces.
I But under trade, the iso-value line can be thought of as a budget
constraint in that it gives all the consumption bundle that a country
can afford.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 64 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I As ppTC increases, the economy produces more computers relative to


textiles.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 65 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I This also gives us a relative supply curve for the two goods

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 66 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I Combine with Relative Demand

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 67 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I The relative supply (RS) curve comes from the PPF and the iso-value
lines.
I The relative demand (RD) curve comes from utility maximization as
in the Ricardian model.
I Two countries in autarky:
I Because preferences are identical and homothetic, the relative
demand curve is the same in both countries in autarky.
I Using the Rybczynski theorem, we know that the relative supply curve
for the North is to the left of the relative supply curve for the South
in autarky. To see this:..

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 68 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I With free trade in goods, both pT and pC must equate across


countries. Therefore ppTC must equate across countries.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 69 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 70 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I With free trade and perfect competition, relative prices equate across
countries. The relative price of a given good will rise in one country
and fall in the other.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 71 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I For a given good, there will be excess relative supply in one country
and excess relative demand in the other country. This good will be
exported by the first country and imported by the other.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 72 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I We can use the PPF graph to present the same information and to
illustrate the gains from trade.
I The following equation presents a country’s balanced trade condition:

PC CC + PT CT = PC QC + PT QT

This can be rewritten as


pc
CT − QT = pT (QC − CC )

This is a budget constraint in that the value of goods consumed must be


no greater than the value of goods produced.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 73 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I Looking at the South, recall that in Autarky, consumption equals


production.
I In equilibrium in autarky, we see production and consumption occur
at the point where the indifference curve is tangent to the PPF.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 74 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 75 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I However, with trade, countries are no longer constrained to QC = CC


and QT = CT . Now, they can trade at any point along their budget
constraint.
I pT rises ( ppTC falls) in the South. pT
falls ( ppTC rises) in the North.
pC pC

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 76 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I For the South:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 77 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I For the North:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 78 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I In the above example, the price of computers relative to textiles rises


in the North and falls in the South.
I More generally, the relative price of the good that intensively uses the
relatively abundant factor rises. The relative price of the good that
intensively uses the relatively scarce factor falls.
I By the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem, the abundant factor wins and
the scarce factor loses.
I “Society” gains in each country because consumers can attain higher
indifference curves
I This can be easily seen on the last two slides

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 79 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher Ohlin

I The Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem: Under all of the previously stated


assumptions, a country will export the good that relatively intensively
uses its relatively abundant good. The same country will import the
good that relatively intensively uses its relatively scarce factor.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 80 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I Stolper-Samuelson tells us what happens to relative factor prices in


each country.
I Owners of each country’s relatively abundant factor win as its factor
wage rises.
I Owners of each country’s relatively scarce factor lose as its relative
factor wage falls.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 81 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 82 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 83 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I How far does this factor price convergence go?


I With Factor Price Equalization (FPE), goods price equalizing
across countries leads to factor prices equalizing across countries.
I Relative factor prices converge across countries even though factors
are immobile across countries!
I This is a striking result but when is it true?
I The next slides show that FPE will happen as long as endowments are
not “too” different.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 84 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I Recall the Lerner Diagram

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 85 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I ... and the Edgeworth Box.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 86 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I Equilibrium Allocations can be found in two equivalent ways. Points


A and B are equivalent.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 87 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

The “Integrated Equilibrium Approach”

I So far, we have considered how factors are divided across sectors in


one country.
I Now, let’s engage in a thought experiment:
I Suppose we combine 2 countries and drop all barriers between them
(we have already assumed free trade and ignore financial flows so the
only addition is free migration)
I The two countries are now “like one” and there will be a unique
General Equilibrium set of goods and factor prices.
I This can again be represented in an Edgeworth Box that looks exactly
like before.
I The boundaries given by the OEP’s mark the “Cone of
Diversification”.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 88 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

Figure: the Cone of Diversification

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 89 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I We can pick a factor allocation anywhere in the Edgeworth box to


slice the country into two (drawing national boundaries).
I Claim: Any factor allocation inside the Cone of Diversification will
lead to FPE.
I FPE is equivalent to saying the OEP’s in the two countries are the
same.
I The goods prices have to be the same under free trade
I Also, countries have the same technology.
I Together, this implies the iso-value curves in each country’s Lerner
Diagram are the same.
I The OEP’s can then only be the same under FPE (only then are the
iso-cost curves the same)

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 90 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I Allocation α lies inside the Cone of Diversification and FPE is attained

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 91 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I More intuitively, factor prices will be equalized if endowments are not


too different.
I Endowments that are similar lie inside the Cone of Diversification
because it is “centered around the diagonal” in the Edgeworth Box.
I Free Trade between Canada and the USA is likely to erase
wage-differences.
I But Free Trade between Canada and China? The endowments are
likely too different.
I Let’s say the last point α sliced the world into Canada and the US.
I Instead, let’s slice the world into Switzerland and Bangladesh:

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 92 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Price Equalization

I The North runs out of labor and the South runs out of capital

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 93 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Volume of Trade

Volume of Trade

I With identical preferences, all countries consume on the diagonal of


the global Edgeworth-Box (understand this!)
I The factor content of trade is determined by the endowment point
and the factor prices.
I To see this, note that Home is capital-abundant if its endowment lies
above the diagonal.
I It exports capital-intensive goods and imports labor-intensive goods.
I factor content of trade is the labor and capital embedded in these
good-flows.
I Home exports good B and imports good A. Can read the imported
and exported labor and capital of the Edgeworth-Box.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 94 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Volume of Trade

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 95 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Volume of Trade

The aggregate volume of trade is larger, the more different endowments


are.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 96 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Size and Gains from Trade

Size and Gains from Trade

I the integrated equilibrium graph suggests that the volume of trade is


larger if countries are more similar in size (as you get to the corners of
the box, the boundaries of the cone get closer to the diagonal)
I Hoe does country-size relate to gains from trade?

I Assertion: small countries gain more from the movement from


autarky to free trade than do large countries.
I Recall that the gains from trade come from free trade prices being
different than autarky prices.
I The more different free trade relative prices, the larger the gains from
trade.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 97 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Size and Gains from Trade

I In autarky, relative factor prices are determined by aggregate relative


factor endowments in each country.
I In a free trade equilibrium, relative factor prices are determined by
world relative factor endowments.
I The larger a country, the closer its relative endowments are to world
relative endowments.
I Suppose we look at the two countries as Canada and China...

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 98 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Size and Gains from Trade

I Let’s look at a couple of examples...

Table: Size and Equilibrium Factor Prices

Large Canada Large China


K L K /L K L K /L
Canada 200 100 2 20 10 2
China 5 20 0.25 50 200 0.25
World 205 120 1.71 70 210 0.33

I (integrated) World equilibrium factor prices will more closely resemble


autarky factor prices in the large country than in the small country.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 99 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Size and Gains from Trade

Figure: Size and Factor Prices: Large Canada

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 100 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Size and Gains from Trade

Figure: Size and Factor Prices: Large China

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 101 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Wrapping Up

Wrapping Up

I Unlike the Ricardian model, there are winners and losers from trade
liberalization.
I Owners of the scare factor lose because they become relatively less
scarce.
I Owners of the abundant factor win because they become relatively
more scarce.
I Winners win by more than the losers lose due to the gains from
specialization.
I In order for “everyone” to gain from trade, we must see transfer
payments from the owners of the relatively abundant factor to the
owners of the relatively scarce factor.
I Aggregate gains from trade come from the fact that consumers can
attain a higher indifference curve.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 102 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Wrapping Up

I Combining the Rybczynski and Heckscher-Ohlin theorems, a


country will export the good that relatively intensively uses its
relatively abundant factor and will import the other.
I As a country moves from autarky to free trade, the relative price of
the good that relatively intensively uses its relatively abundant factor
increases.
I As a country moves from autarky to free trade, the relative price of
the good that relatively intensively uses its relatively scarce factor
falls.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 103 / 103
The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Wrapping Up

I As a country moves from autarky to free trade, we can use the


Stolper-Samuelson theorem to show that the nominal wages of a
country’s relatively abundant factor rise and the nominal wages of the
country’s relatively scarce factor falls.
I Jones Magnification shows that the same is true for real wages.
I This will lead to owners of the relatively scarce factor ”losing” and
owners of the relatively abundant factor ”winning.”
I However, winners win by more than losers lose so trade can lead to
gains for everyone.
I For everyone to gain from trade, there must therefore be transfer
payments from the winners to the losers.
I Factors of production are immobile across countries but goods are
mobile. Trade in goods is enough to lead to factor price
convergence.

Christian Dippel (University of Toronto) ECO364 - International Trade Summer 2009 104 / 103

Вам также может понравиться