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ules
'estment?
N CHAPTERS 8 and 9. rve developed a process for estimating hurdle rates for pro.l-
ects and for measuring the earnings and cash flows from new investments. The hur-
d1e rates and earnings are not directly comparable, however, since the hurdle rates
are percentage returns and the earnings and cash flows are dollar values. Knowing,
for instance, the right hurdle rate to use for the Boeing SuperJumboJet project and
the earnings and cash flows on the prqect over its .25-year life does not teil us
whether accepting the project will create va1ue forBo'eing. In this chapter, we com-
plete the process of investment analysis by looking at different investment decision
rules that can be used to compare hurdle rates rvith the expected earnings and cash
florvs on a project.
arnings and cash
\X/e begin our discussion r,vith accounting decision rules. In particuiar, w'e iook
at how accounting earnings can be used to compute returns on equirv and capital
and to make investrnent decisions.'We then turn our attention to cash flolv-based
rules, such as payback and how the shift to cash flows can change decisions. The
ot in significant
fina1 and most detailed part of the chapter looks at investment decision rules that
,ril1 the iootnotes
not only consider incremental cash flows but also time-weight them. The most
widel,v used of these rules are the net present value and the internai rate of return.
We consider their manv similarities as well as their significant differences, and whv.
we might choose one approach over the other. We complete the discussion with a
revier,v of the rules firms actuallv use to make investment decisions.
and Seurity Analysrs,
285
286 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISIoN RULES
' First, a good investmenr decision rule has to maintain a fair balance between
ing a manager analyzing a prqece ro bring in his or het subjectiue assessffenrs
inls ti Figfie 10
decision and ensuring that different projects arejudged consistently, Thus, an on capita
inveo
ment decision rule that is too mechanical (by not arlowing for subjective inpur,i,i- lnventory
too ma11eab1e (where managers can bend the rure ro march their biases) ;, Managen
good ru1e. ";;
second, a good investmenr decision rule will allow the firm to further our :
stated
objecrive in corporate finance, which is to n.taximize the ualue of thefrm. proj.",irro
.i
are acceprable, using the decision rule, should increase rhe vaiue of*r. fi.*
....ft_ ;
ing them, while projects rhat do nor meet the requirements lvould a"rooy ,aoi'lr
i
' Third. a good invesrnrenr decisron ruie shouid work across a uariety oJ inveument5.
Invesrments can be revenue-generating rnvesrments isuch as The uo-a
Dapot
opening a new store), or they can be cost-saving investments (as would be the
case .
if Boeing adopred a new sysrem ro manage inventory). Some project, hrr. 1r.g.
uf_
front costs (as is the case r,vith rhe Boeing SuperJumbo),..vhereas othe. prolects
rx*y
haic cc;;s spread out across time. A good investment rule will provide ,r, *r*.,
oi i
all of these di{ferent kinds of invesrments
Does there have to be onl,v one invesrment decision rule? Although many firrns
tnalyze projects using a number of different investment decision rules, one rule
has to
dominate. In other r,vords, when the investmenr decision rules lead to di{Ierent con-
clusions on whether rhe prgect should be accepted or rejected, one decision rule
has
to be the rie-breaker and can be viewed as the primary ruie.
cr 10.1: Firms with good managers do not need investment decision rules. lsthis
statement true? Why or why not?
tr(eturn on Capital when pro3ect analysis rs based on rhe return on capiral, the
afler-tax return on capital is compared to the cost of caprtal. If it exceeds tne cost of
capital, the projecr is view'ed as a good project. The expecied returfl on capital oo a
CAIEGORIZING INYESTMENT DECISION RULES 287
rlance between allow-
:iue assessments into th. Figure 10.1 Return Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) = $30O,OOO.
on capital on 1
tently. Thts, an i
lnventory
,r subjective inputs)
Management System
L their biases) is
Book Value (BV) = $1 ,000,000 Salvage Value = $800,000
Nthough these calculations are straight{bnvard lor this one-year investment, they
become more involved for multiyear projects, for which both the operating income
I accounting earnings; and the book valre of the investment change over time. In these cases, either the
liscussion w-ith time- return on capital can be estimated each year and then averaged over time, or the aver-
s in this section paral-
age operating income over the life of the project can be used with the average invest-
;-based decision rules, ment during the period to estimate the average return on capital.
>f time-weighted cash Consider, for instance, a four-year inve5tment by Broderbund in a new children's
computer game. The investrnent will require an initiai investment of $1,500 miliion,
and the investment will have the operating income over time shown in Figure i0.2.
The book value of the capitai decreases over time, as the assets are depreciated down
uies have been drawn
to a salvage value of $700. The return on capital (ROC) can be estimated each year
jounting and then averaged over time as depicted in Table 10.1. The arithmetic average pre-tax
measures of
;tors (i.e., net income), return on capital over the four years is 41.94ol,,while the after-tax return on capital is
26.96%.
re return is compared
12.869/0 + 20.00% + 30.00% + 45.0096
rvorthwhile. Arithmetic Average after-tax ROC = 26.96%
4
return on crpital, the The geomerric averages are 43.58Yo for the pre-tax return on capital and 26.40%{or
'it exceeds the cost of the after-tax return on capital.
. retuln on capital on t
Geometric Average after-rax ROC = [(1.1286) (1.20) (1.30) (1.45)]1ir - I = 26.40%
288 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
Pre.tax
Return on Capital =300/1,400 =40011,200 =s00/1,000 =600/800
21.43% 33.33% 50.00% 75.000/"
The return on capital can also be estimated from the average operating income
and
rhe average book value of assets over time:
so6o
$360
4
6 s[ BI a* ffe-mmtiss €ffi"$: Elurdle Rales lon Prolerts
ln Chapter 8, we developed a process for estimating the costs of equity and capital for
projects and investments. Applying this process to the three projects which we will be ana-
ri iyzing in this chapter: we estimate the costs of equity and capital as follows:
$700 . For the lnfoSoft Online store, we will not use the costs of equity and capital that we
estimated for lnfoSoft as a firm, since they were based on software companies. Because
the cost of equity and capital should reflect the riskiness of the project being analyzed,
800 rather than that of the firm doing the analysls, we will use the averagb beta of 1.725 of
0o/o retail companies that derive all or the bulk of their revenues from online commerce as
the beta for equitY:
Cost of Equity = 5o/o + '1.725 (5.5%) = 14'49o/o
pre-tax
Using the debt ratio of 6.520/o that we used for lnfosoft as a firm and lnfoSoft's
cost of debt of 7Vo, we can estimate the cost of capital for the online store:
. For the Boeing Super Jumbo, we used the cost ot capital estimated for the commercial
$600 aircraft division, estimated in Chapter 8 to be 9.32%.
$800 r For The Home Depot's new store, we will use the cost of equity of 9,78% estimated in
7s.00% Chapter 7 for the entire firm, on the assumption that its investments are almost entirely
45.00% in home imfrovement stores.
:
Super Jumbo Jet. We will estimate the retuln on capital on this investment in this
)0 million
Table 10.2 Return on Capital for Boeing Super Jumbo
Begining
-iV' ' Capital Ending Avgrag.e ryo'flng Return on
y.., eeff (t - t) rxpe;iditures oepreciation eook VaTue Book Value Capitgl CaPital"
(? 7a? 33 4.15%
1 $(140.83) $3,000.00 4.$1,000
^^^ ralr <7
$216.67 $3,783 1? {? ?q1 67
$3,391 67
4,377'50
$0.00
000
2 (202.58) 3,783.33 1,500 311.67 4,971'67 -4'53
3 (290.66) 4,971.67 1,500 M7.17 6,024 50 5,498'08 0',00 -529
(359.93) 6,024.50 1,000 569.12 6,455.38 6,239'94 0 00 -s 93
4
Lted depreciation
5(18.77)6,455.38250628.876,0765',15,265'951',000',00426
6509.286,076'51250607.655,718'865,897.692,575,007.19
rf the return on 7651.825,718.86250588.555,380.3,]5,549'582,652.257.95
8694'025,380'31250571.365,058.945,219.632,731.828.73
g736.045,058.94250555.894,753.054,906.002,813.779.53
to a hurdle rate 10778.014,753.05250541.974,461.084,607.062,898.1910.37
d using the pre- 11820.064,461.08250529'444,181.644,321'362,985,13|1.22
12852.324,181.64250518.163,913.474,047.553,074.6812.11
it can be viewed 13904'893,913.47250508'013,655.463,7uA73,166.9313.02 3',261',93
14 947.88 3,655.46 2s0 498.88 3,406 58 3,531 02 13'9s
the cost ofcap-
,
15ggr,:s:,aoo.sa25o490-653,165.923,286.253,359.7914.92
161,'143.843,165.920316.592,849333'007633',460'581768 40
11 1,204.91 2,M9.33 0 284.93 2,564'4Q 2,706 86 3',554 19 21
.e project 18].265.132,564.400256.442,307.962,436.183,571.3320.11
191,324.762,307.960230,807'077'162,192'563',781'472218 3,894,9?
e project 20 ,384.00 1 2,077 ,16 o 2o7 .72 1;869.45 ,973.30 1
23.58
211,]30'161,869.450,186.94,1,682.501,175.973,209'4122.67
:apital of l2%,rt 221,179,861,682.500168'251,514.251,598.383,305.7024.06
23 1,229.47 1,514.25 0 151 43 1,352'83 1,438'54 3'404'87 25 38
il7hen choosing 0 136.28 1,22654 1,29468 3'507 01 2664
24 1,?79.15 1,362.83
with the higher 251,329.041,226.540122.651,103.891,155.223,512.2221.82
a Return on Capital = EBIT (1 - t)/(Average BV + Working Capital)
29A CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
illustration. ln Table 10.2, we estimate after-tax operating income. average book value
of capital, and return on capital for the Boeing Super Jumbo investment. The book
value of capital includes all capital investments made by Boeing in the Super Jumbo]eq
net of depreciation, and includes working capital investments in the project. The aver-
age after-tax return on capital, using the arithmetic average, is 12.75o/o.1 Here, thd
return on capital is greater than the divisional cost of capital for the commercial aircraft
division that we estimated to be 9.3270. Note that in computing the return of capital,
we have used the entire book value of the investmenl including the $2.5 billion in
research and development costs that are sunk.
The cosr ofequiw should reflect the riskiness ofthe project being considered and the
financiai leverage taken on by the firm. In the preceding example, for instance, assume
that Arnerica Online has a cost of equiry of I4%. The investment in the new e-mail
service yields a return on equiry that is higher than the cost of equiry and rvould
therefore be considered a good iru-estment.'W.hen choosing between mutually exclu-
sive projects of similar risk, the firm choosing ber',veen the prqects will view the prq-
ect r,vich the higher return on equiry as the better proJect.
BV of Equity $8oo
1 If we use the arcrage operating income an.i book vah'e oi capital over the period to compute the return on
capital, we.estimate rt to be 12.411l0.
i
CATEGORIZING INVESTMENT DECISION RULES 291,
je* AssessingAccountingReturnApproachesHolt.weLldojccountingreturns
decision rule? In
measure up to th. three criteria that *'e listed for a good investment
rnsidered and the
terms of maintaining balance betr,veen allorir'ing managers to
bring into the analysis
' instance, assume
analysis' the
r the new e-mail
their judgments abouc the project and ensuring consistency betrveen
accounring returns ,ppro*.h fal1s short. It fails because it is significantly
aft-ected by
luity and would deprecia-
accounting choices. For instance, changing trom straight-line to accelerated
mutually exclu- time, thus altering returns'
tion affects both the earnings and the book value over
il1 view the proj- proj-
Unless rhese decisions are taken out of the hands of individual managers assessing
If the cash rerurn on capital > Cost of Capirai -+ Accept the project
If the cash return on capital < Cosc of Capital -, Reject the project
This approach can be generaiized to ipok at
the rerurn ro equlty investors. The cash
equiw income can be estimated uy depreciation and bther noncash charges
net income: "Jairrg to
Cash Equity Income = Net Income * Depreciation and other Noncash Charges
CATEGORIZING INVESTMENT DECISION RULES 293
we a significant i The cash return on equiq/ can be computed by dividing this cash equity income by
rsequence. the ar,'erage book value of equiry:
are visiblein the Cash Equity Income
Cash ROE =
tiate berween Average Book Value ofEquiry
-l
gj.) brl.hon is shown
This cash return on equiry can be compared to the cost of equiry to yield our deci-
ofthe assets decreases
sion rule:
rg rncome rises,
,ensirive to the depre_ If the cash return on equiry > Cost ofEquiry -+ Accept the project
chedule will increase If the cash return on equiry < Cost of Equiry -) Reject the project
Those who use this measure argue that it preserves the simplicity of the accounting
rrn endure in invest_
return measures, while using a more reasonable measure of earnings.
rwiliingness offinan_
nplicirrT and intultive
and equiry research
of firms, these same H *m ffirmmtEcm tffi.4: Sash ffi{!8fos,tsoelltg $uper Jum[u lmuestmnnt
Tabte 10.4 presents the after-tax operating income that we used to estimate the return on
capital for the Boeing Super Jumbo in the last section, and contrasts it with the cash oper-
ating income, obtained by adding back the depreciation and amortization each period.
Note that the cash return on capital for the project'is 18.59o/o,,higher than the 12.75% we
rte irom cash flows, obtained with accounting earnings. When compared to the cost of capital of 9.32%, this
result would suggest that Boeing should accept the project.
be used to measure
rent decision rules.
so that we nleasure
he second is a pay- Table 10.4 Cash Return on Capital: Boeing Super Jumbo Jet
,vs to cover the ini_ Depreciation Cash
Noncash Operating
and Average BV Cash Return
Year EBIT (t - t) Charges lncome of Capital on Capital
1 $(141) 5217 t76 $3,391.67 2.24o/o
rodification to the 2 (203) 3',t2 109 4,377.50 2.49
r to compute ) (2s1) 447 157 5.498.08 2.85
these
4 (370) 559 199 6,239.94 3.19
counting e,tpenses 5 (1e) 629 510 7,265.95 8.40
6 609 608 1,217 8,472.69 14.36
7 652 589 1,240 8,201.83 15.12
rncash Charges I 694 57'l 1,265 7,951.44 15.91
9 736 556 1,292 7,719.77 16.74
k value of capitai 10 774 542 1,320 7,505.25 17.59
tt 820 529 1,350 7,306.49 18.47
12 862 518 r,380 . 7,122.24 19.38
Capital 13 905 508 1,413 5,951.39 20.33
14 9rt8 499 1,M7 6,792.95 21.30
o yield our deci- 15 991 491 1,482 6,646.04 22.30
lo 1,'lM 317 '1,460 6,468.21 22.58
17 1,205 285 1,490 6,271.27 23.76
't8 1,25s 256 1,522 6,1 07.51 24.91
project
19 1,325 231 1,556 5,974.03 26.04
prqject 20 1,384 208 1,592 s,868.22 27.12
21 r,'130 187 1,317 4,985.39 26.42
/-estors. The cash )') 1,180 168 1,348 4,904.O7 27.49
23 1,229 151 't,381 4,W3.40 28.51
ncash charges to
24 1,279 136 1,415 4801.70 29.48
25 1,329 123 1,452 4,777.44 30;39
Average 1,164 6,257.78 18.69
rsh Charges
294 CHAPTER TEN i INVESTMENT DECISIoN
RULES
investment
t l'+;=@
$1,c00
2Thisassumesthatcashflowsoc.l,rtlni+l.-L.^..^.._
weeks oreach year, ior Ir 50% or rhe cash liows occur
insrance, ,i:'r]}lt:jff;:::;':L::: in the rast rwo
CATEGORIZING INVESTMENT DECISION RULES 295
tep frorn account- thev cover the total inrtial investment. To estilnate payback just for the equity
lcash expenses are investors, tl're cash flor.vs to equiry are cumulated until they cover the initial equiry
as capital mainte- invesrrnent irr rhe project.
.ubtracted. Conse-
rs. In addition, rhe
c not indicate rhat
in the project.
ffiil* fiy,*s:iia;* iffi.fi: {.rtfrntt*ffaffi F*vhasiq {x;a-t*cw !re$m$mffi
4 back rule restricts decision rnakers loo rluch b,v preventing thern from bringing inlo
rhe decision their assessment of rvhat might happen after the inirial inr':srment is
4 recovered. This is a significairt shortcoming r.vhen deciding betr,veen mutuallv exclu-
sive projects. To provide a sense of the rbsurdities rhis can lead to, asslime thal ,vou have
$1 million and are choosing betrveen tu,o projects. The first project requires an invest-
ased on the cash ment of $1 million in hnd and buildings,:rnd ploduces renlrl incotne of $300.000 in
the t-irst rwo 1,sx1s :rnd $-100,0011 in the next.two years. The original investment of $1
all claim holders million c:rn be recovered lt the end oiVear.l r,vhen the rerl estate is sold. The second
nvestors. To esti- project requires rhe same investment of $l million initrally in compllters that rvril be
cumulated until leased to businesses. The computers generate cash income of $500,000 in the first two
years and $100,000 in the next two,vears and rre expected to have no value at the end
of the tourth,vear. The cash florvs on the lwo investnrenrs are shown in Figure 10.'{.
occur in the last tlvo
On the basis oithe payback alone,investing in computers is preferable to rnr-esting in
296 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENI DECISION RULES
lnvestment $1,OOO
Payback = 3 years
Computer lnvestment
$5oo $500 $100
Cash Flow 2
1
3
investment $1,000
Payback = 2 years
'f ',, -
Npv of proiec,
- = ,-.',''
(t f /)'
Initial Investmenr
$1,400 t=1
4
+ where
CF, = Cash flow' in period
r = Discount rate
r
flows generated
The key is to remain consistent in matching discount rates with cash flor"r's. Once
the net prelent value has been computcd, the decision rule ts simple srnce the dis-
.n the early years
count rate already factors in what the firm needs to make on the investment-to
low payback break even.
;h a
rst is that-money Decision RuleJor NPVfor lndependent Projects
+l
: internal rate of lnvestment $1,000
$268
; the sum of the
ue that occur
$31 I
-
is as foilows:
$356
$381
NPV = $324
298 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISIoN RULES
Table 10.6 Future Cash Flows to the Firm from lnfoSoft Online
Cumulated PV of Future
Cash Flows Cash Flows Cash Flows
Year to Firm to the Firm to the Firm
0 $(s,4s0,000) $(s,4s0,000) $(5,4s0,000.00)
I.508,000 (3,942,000)
w
1
1,325,164.42
2 1,773,100 (2,1 68,900) 1,369,210.06
3 1,897.910 (270,990) 1,287,895.29
4 2,753,941 2,482,951 1,642,208.65
NPV
174,479.41
The net present value of this project suggests that it is a Eood project that will earn about
iltt f,mfe$uft $4 billion in surplus value for Boeing.
rws to lnfoSoft, a5 6
st of capital of 13.80%
In the last rwo illustrations, rve estimated net present value from the firm's stand-
ted in ln Practice 9.5, point b1, discouniing cash flows to the firm by the cost of capital. The net present
s a net present valug I value can also be estimated from the equity investors'standpoint bv discounting cash
the projected cash I1ows to equiry at the cost olequiry and netting out'the equiry investment in a proj-
ect. The nvo approaches will generally result in the same decision in terms of the net
Snline present values being positive or negative. The net present values using the two
approaches can be different if the financing mix used for the project is different from
PV of Future
Cash Flows that used for the overall firm.
to the Firm
l(5,4so,ooo.oo)
1,325,164.42
&N $m ffipmmx*mm
1.369.2 10.06
1,287,896.29
1,642,208.65
€ffi"ffi trFll[r,om tfie fquily lnuestors'$tandpoilll
Ihe llome 0eilot $lsre
-
174,479.41
The net present value is computed from the equity investors'standpoint for the proposed
store for The Home Depot, using the cost of equity of 9.78o/o for Home Depot as a firm,
in Table 10.8: The cash flows were estimated in ln Practice 9.8. The net present value of
glk B{lsi'l$'s $4,101,613 suggests that this is a good croject for The Home Depot. The new store, will
create value for the firm.
I Net present value has severai important properties that make it an attractive deci-
;
sion ru1e.
I
) 1. Net present ualues are additive. The net presen! values of individuai projects can
)
be added to arrive at a total net present value for a business or a division. No other
;
investment decision rule has this properry The properry has a number of implications.
)
' The value of a firm can be expressed in terms of the net present values of the proj-
)
ects it has aiready taken on as rvell as the net present values of prospective future
; projects.
i
Value of a Firnr =E Prescnr V'.rlue oiProjects in Place - I NpV of expected tuture projects
The first term :in this equation captures the vaiue tI assets-in-plare, and the second
;
:
term measures the value o{ expected Juture grouth. Note that the present value of
r.'l 6 projects in place is based on anticipated future cash florvs on these projects.
.
L
3OO CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
when a firm terminates an existing project thar has a negative present value
on antrcipated flrture cash flows, rhe value of the firm will increase by the
a
of the negarive NPV Thus, if The Home Depot decides to close 50 unp
stores that were generating negative cash flows and a negative n., p..r.rr,
of
million, the value of the firm will increase by rhat amounr. Similarly, when
a
accepts a new project r,vith a negative net present value, the value or th.
fi.m ,r11 , .
decrease by that amount. -.
'when a firm ;;
divests itself of an existing asser, rhe price received for that asset
wt
affect the vaiue of the firm. If the price received exceeds the present value
to 1\s .
firm of the anticipated cash flows on thar project, the value oithe firm *il lr.*rr. ',
with the divestiture; otherwise, it will decrease. As an example, assume thrt no.ini :.
decides to sel1 its defense business for $4.5 biliion, and the presenr vaiue
of thl I
expected crrhtflo*,s that Boeing wouid har,:e generared from keeping ,rr. u"rir.*
* ,
$'1billion. The value of Boeing as a firm will increase by $o.s biliion on the divesri-
ture. a,
2. Intermediate cash flows are inuested at the hurdle rate. Irnpilicit in all present value
calculations are assumptions about the rare at which cash flou,s that occur during
the
project liGtime, that is, intermediate cash flows, get reinvested. The net present i.alue
rule assumes
rsrL dJJulrlrr that !d)rr lruw5
LlrdL cash florvs chat occur betrveen
Lrlal Occur the lnltlahon
Dettrveen ane initiarion and end of the project
prqect
are reinvested at the hurdle rale, wirich is the cosr of capital ilthe cash flows are ro
ihe
firm,
firm, and the cost of equiw
eouiw if il:rhe
the cash r.. to
flour< are
cesh flor,vs ra equitv
cn,rirr: investors. 1t;-.^- 11-.-r
inrrocr^-" Given thar L^.1
both
the cost of equiry- and the cost of ca,oital are based on the returns rhrt can be
made on
alternative investments of equivaient risk, this assumption should be a reasonable one.
3. NPV calculations allow-fbr expectetl term structure and interest rate shiJts. In all the
examples in this chapter, we have assumed that the discounr rate remains unch.rnged
over time: This is not ah.l-ays the case, horvever; the net present value can be com-
puted using time-varying discount rates. The general formulation for the Npv rule ..
is rs foiiorr-s:
CF. CFz
NPV ot'Prqecr = -
(1 + r,) (1 + 11) (1 + r)2
Cr"
t (1 + /1) (1 + r2)2 (1 + r:)3 . (1 * r),,
- Irritial Investment
where
CF, = Cash flor.v in period r
r, = One-period discount rate that applies to period r
fi - Llre oI tne projcct.
The discount rates Inav vary across time for three reasons. First, the level of inierest
rates may change over time. Second, the risk characteristics ol the prgect
r*ay be
t
CAIEGORIZING INVESTMENT DECISION RULES 301
$iscsunt fiates
ved for that asset that you are analyzing a four-year project that requires investing $'! billion in
Assume
-' present value to .o*prt", ,oft*"r" development today. The proiect will generate cash flows of 5300 rnil-
in year 4' The
the firm wrll i lion in year I, $/t00 million in year z, $ioo million in year 3, and $600 million
associqted with the
e, assume that Boeing cost oicapital for year t is tO"Z", but the technological uncertainty
year 2, 12o/o in.
present value of the software industry leads to higher discount rates in future years - 11o/o in
year 3, and 13% in Year 4.
ieeping the business rs ' The present value of each of the cash flows can be computed as follows:
billion on the divesti-
$300
PV of Cash Flow in Year , = 1272'72
e present value of the
=
lr,
luivalent of accepting PV of Cash Flow in year 2 = --140t = $327'50
in va1ue. The drop in -
they announce acqui-
at they are paying too PV of cash Flow in year 3 = ---!:00-
(1.10) (1.11) (1.12)
= $365'63
$600
it in all present value PV of Cash Flow in Year 4 = = $388.27
(1.10) (1.11) (1.12) (1.13)
lhat occur during the
The net present value NPV of Project =i272.72 + $327.60 + $365'63 + $388'27 - $!'000'00 = $354'23
tnd end of the project
CC tO.S: Assume that for ln Practice'!0.9 you had been asked to use
: flows are to the one discount
cash I
rate that wouid yietrd the sarne flIPV a
stors. Given that both rate for all of the cash flows. ls there a discount
s that can be made on as the one above? lf yes. how would you interpret this discount rate?
I be a reasonable one.
I
The net present value rule srtislies many of the conditions we laid out for
good
st rate shifts. In all the
investment decision rule. It allows managers who are assessing projects
to bring their
ie remains unchanged
nt value can be com- judgments about them into the discount rate and the cash flo1'rrs. By allowing for a ter-
the NPV
ion {br the NPV rule minai value that captures expecrations beyond the time horizon of the analysis,
very long-term a way of bringing that value into
rule gives managers assessing Projects
the analysis. Ar the same time, the rule that only prqects that have net present values
greater than zero applies across all investments and brings consistency
lo the process.
Because net presenr values are additive, the net present value rule is rhe decrsion
proj-
rule most consisrenr wirh the objective of maximizing present value' Accepting
- Initial lnvestment
ects wich a positive ner present value wili increase firm vaiue, and
accepting projects
Jr
with negative net Present value will decrease firm value'
prqects
Finally, the net present value rule can be used to analyze all kinds of -
revenue-generating projects, cost-saving projects' projects requiring up-tiont costs' and
prqects with costs spread over time. It is flexible enough to allow for time-varying
used? when
Given these advantages, why is rhe net present vaiue rule not ahvays
rt, the 1evel of interest Two problems
access to ne.r capital is unrestricted, we rvouid argue that it should
be.
rf the project rnav be
302 CHAPTER TEN / INVEST,MENT DECISIoi.i 1ILILES
trnternal rtate of R.eturn The internal rate of return (lRR) is rhat discounr
rate
that makes the net present value zero. Intuitively, it is the measure
of the ret,rn that
yolr are earning on an investment, considc-ring both how much the cash
tlorvs on the
lnr'rstments will be and when thev r'vi1l be received. It is the discounted
cash florv .rna-
log to the accounting rates ofreturn. To illustrate. consider again the
project described
at the beginning of the ner presenr value discussion (Fieure 10.5).
lnvestment $
j,OO0
IRR = 24.89%
At the internai rate of relurn. the netpresent value of this project is zero. The linkaee
betrveen the net presenl vr.lue and the internal rate of leturn
rs nrost visible rvhen the
net present value is graphed as a function of the discollrr,.rr" in
r net present value
profile' A net presenr value profile for the project described is rllustrared rn Fieure
10.6. The discounr rare is varied, keeping cash florvs fixed,
lrom 0?6 co 3r,)9/0, and the
ner present value is computed at elch discount rlte.
The ner present value profile provides several insrghrs intc the project\ viabiliry
First, the internal rate oirerurn is crear.. fiom the graph
Wt*
capbudg.xls. al
it is the poi,.,, r, *,irich the to estimatl
profi1e crosses the r-axis- Second, the profile provides a-n')easlrre
You
of horv selsitive rhe internal rate 01
NPV and, b,v exrension, the project clecrsron based on cash.
- is to chlnses in the discount rare. the firm on a p
The slope of the NPV profi1e x a me:lsure ot the- discount rare sensitivrw
of the pro-i*
ect- Third, when m,ruailv excl,sive proje.ts are being rnalr,.zet1, qraphing
borri Npv
profiles together provides a measure oi the brerkeven discount r..,.
the ,re ;]t
which rhe decision maker rviir be rnditTerent ber*eerr rhe r*o projecrs.-
one advantage touted for rhe rnternal nce oi return is thrt ii .an be used even
v','hen rhe discount rate is unknorvn..while this is trr:e for the
calculation of rhe IRR.
it is not rrue when the mrnager has to use rhe IRR ro t1eci.le r,vherher or nor ro
underteke a project. At thar stage in the process, rhe internal
rare of retr:rn ira-. to be
CAIEGORIZING INVESTMENT DECISION RULES 303
o
5
300
As the discount rate increases,
hould be accepte<1 G the net present value decreases.
> 200
that rhe film can tr
o
extent that a firm o
E 100
. Thris, a firn'r that o.
o
3cts rhar ,vield the z0
ect that has a pos_
(1 00)
(200)
that discount rate
cf the return Discount Rate (%)
that
cash florvs on the
ed cash florv ana-
project described
compared to the discount rate. If the IRR is grearer than the discount rate, rhe projecr
is a good one;if the IRR rs less than the discount rate, the project should be rejected.
$600
Like the net present r,'alue, the internal rate of return can be computed in nvo w-ays:
4
' The IRR can be calcuiated based on the cash flows to the firm and the total invest-
@d ment in the project. Then ir is compared to rhe cost of capiral.
IRR is computed on cash_flotus to theJirm
!
!:
-E--
304 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
(s,000) r
12 14 16 ,18 20
22 24 26 28 30
Dlscount Rate {y.)
Figure 10'8
NPV
Profile: The Home $30
DePot
25
620
c
g
E1s
t0
t10
o
\ lnternat rateof return
=
,Eo \./
o 8 10 12 | 2A 22 24 26 28
cz (5)
(10)
\
(15)
sults are consistent Discount Rate (o/o)
ing in the new jet.
IIU$ l0 [uuity: The biggest problem with the internai rate of return measure is that there are
entire classes of investments where the internal rate of return cannot be assessed cor-
rectly. In particular:
equity investment . some investments can have more than one internal rate of return, in which case it
w store. The inter-
1 cost of equity of is not clear which IRR should be used in the decision making;
PV rulg which also ' the internal rate of return cannot be reasonably assessed on an investment that does
not have an up-front cost. If a firm is abie to spread its up-front cost over time and
cash flow rule in end up with positive cash flows in every period, there is no internai rate of return.
)assour test for a Mathematicaily, the internal rate of return is the root (or roots) of the present value
e internal rate of equation for cash flows.
who are assessing
rd the cash flows, I ,.1o'' =o:Solveforr
r=u (r r r)'
RR is compared
For a conventional project, there is an initial investment and positive cash l1ows there-
ral rates ofreturn after (i.e., cash flows go from negative to positive and stay positive), and only one IRR.
:onclusions. 'When
there is more than one sign change in the cash flows, that is, cash flows go from
c than the hurdle
negative to positive and go back to negative, there will be more than one internal rate
but there are sig-
of return.5
y exclusive, pick- Lest this be vierved as some strange artifact that is unlikely to happen in the real
mize firm value.
world. note that manv long-cerm projects require substantial reinvesrments ar inrer-
i value.for a frm
mediate points in the project and that these reinvestments may cause the cash flows in
those veais to become negative. For instance, Boeing, on its SuperJumbo investment,
intermea*. p.rio*
back to the present. Another is to construct an Npv profile. In
either .rr", i, i, friil l
ably much simpler to estimate and use the net present value. :
i lnvestment $1,000
The net present value profile for this project (Figure 10.9) reflects the problems that
arise
with the IRR measure.
-, Arthe
since
you can see, this project has two internal rates of return
hurdle rate falls between these two lRRs, the decision - 8.607o and 3G,55%.
whether or not to
accept the project will change depending on which IRR is used.
ln order to nrake the
right decision on this,project, Matter wouid have to rook at the Npv profile-
rf, as in this
the net present value is positive at the hurdle rate, Mattel should make
case,
the invest-
ment' lf the net present value is negative at the hurdle rate, the proj;
should be
rejected.
Table 10.9 H(
B Leads to firm
o.- tzot value maxi-
$ t+01 mization
= {oo)
(80)
(r00)
'Works
{120) on all
rypes of prg-
ects
COMPARINGINVESTMENTDECISIONRULES 307
g plants af some dme
.When cr '10.2: Do discounted cash flow rules require
more information than accounting
at period. this income-based rules? lf yes, what additional information do they require?
the same set of cash
1a popular children,s
e of12o/o, a fouryear
Net PresentValue and Internal Rate of Return: A
rrk has to be licensed, Closer Look
Although net present value and rhe inrernal rate of return are viewed competing
0 <$2,200>
as
investment decision rules, they generally yield similar conclusions in most cases. The
differences belween the two rules are most visible when managers are choosing
berween mutually exclusive projects.
-{
e problems that arise Differences in Scale The net present value of a project is stated in dollar terms
and does not consider the scale of the project. Thus, a net present value of
.6.600/o and 36.55%. $50 mil-
l whether or not to lion on a $100 million investment could be compared to a net present value of g75
1 order to rnake the million on a billion dollar investment. The internal rate of return, by contrast, is a per-
/ profile. lf, as in this: centage rate of return, which is standardized for the scale of the project. When we are
,uld make the invest-'
e project should be
Balance Not enough A little more Too inflexible, Good balance Good balance
benveen flexi- consistency consistent, since rvhat berween flexi- between flexi-
biiiry and con- across projects; since deprecia- happens after bility and con- biliry and con-
sistency accounting tion cannot be prqect ends is sistency sistency
decisions can used to change ignored
change returns returns
Leads to firm Not necessar- Not necessarily; Not necessar- if the firm
Yes, Yes, ifprojects
value maxi- i1y; focuses on not ful1y
does ilv; does not has access to are not being
mization earnings and consider cash consider all capital compared to
does not con- flows and does cash flows or each other
srder cash flows not reflect time time value of
or time value value of money money
Works on a1l No.'Works No. Works No. Wbrks Yes No. Needs at
types ofproj- only on proj- only on proj- only on prq- least one sign
ects ects with initial ects with initial ects r,vith initial change in the
investments investments investments cash flows
308 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
RE$re Fs'mmtise t$.1$: f,trpu and lftE lor Fnojecrs of ,iffernnl $eales
7
and IRR -
'Reinvestn
lnvestment $1,OOO,O0O
Assumptir
NPV = $467,937
IRR = 33.667.
NPV = g;1,359,664
IRR = 29.667
i."
&._
COMPARING INYESTMENT DECISION RULES 309
investrnents, the dii:
:ad to very different flows.7 As pointed out earlier, the net present value rule assumes that intermediate
cash flows are reinvested at the discount rate, whereas the IRR rule assumes that inter-
mediate cash flows are reinvested at the IRR. fu a consequence, the two rules can
yield different conclusions, even for projects with the same scale. For instance, assume
that The Home Depot were choosing bewv'een rwo sophisticated computed systems,
fleremt $cales
with the same initial investment, but di{ferent expbcted cash flows as illustrated in Fig-
ru are comparing twq ure 10.11. In this case, the net present value rule ranks System B higher, while the
rf a simple computer=
IRR rule ranks System A as the better investment. The differences arise because the
nd produces the cash
;tment of $10 million
NPV rule assumes that intermediate cash flows get invested at the huidle rate, which
Juce the much higher is 15%. The IRR rule assumes that intermediate cash flows get reinvested at the IRR
)th investments. of that project. Aithough both projects are affected by this assumption, it has a-much
tcts. The net present greater efilbct for System A, which has higher cash flows earlier on. The reinvestment
rject, while the inter. assumption is made clearer if the expected end balance is esrimated under each rule.
e results are not sur-
End Balance for System A with IRR of 21.41% = ($10,000,000) (1.214D4 = $21,730,887
I constraints faced by
End Balance for System B with IRR of 20.88% = ($10,000,000) (1.2088)4 = $21,353,6i3
r has the capacity to
he net present value To arrive at these end balances, however, the cash flows in years 1, Z,'and 3 will have
r picked over the less
to be reinvested at the IRR. If they are reinvested.at a-lower rate, the end balance on
e firm can raise and
these projects will be lower than the values stated above, and the actual return earned
he rejection of other
may provide the bet- will be lower than the IRR, even though the cash flows on the project came in as
ail in Chapter 12. anticipated.
Tire longer the term of the project and the higher the IRR, the more serious are
gh the dift-erences the consequences of the reinvestment rate assumption made by the IRR rule. This is
us, there is a subtler so because the IRR rule implicitly assumes that the 6rm has'and will continue to have
f intermediate cash a fountairi of projects yielding returns similar to the returns earned by the project
under consideration.
+ $750,000 Figure
and IRR
10.11
-
Reinvestment
Assum.ption
NPV
Cash FIow
Compuler System A
$5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,200,000 $3,000,000
lnvestment $10,000,000
NPV = $1,191,712
IRR = 21.4'lelo
@ry4":* | )
lnvestment $10,000,000
NPV = $1,3s8,664
IRR = 20.88o/o
7
See Meyer (1979).
310 CHAPTERTEN ,, INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
$600
$575
$529
$456
Terminal Value g2,1GO
=
Internal Rate of Return
= 24.gg/"
Modified lnternal Rate of Return 21.2i,/o
=
Periodic surveys of financial managers have been conducted to find out which
inveslment techniques lhev use. These surveys serve two useful purposes. First, they
provide a sense of what practltioners are using at anv point in titre. Second, compar-
isons of surveys across time provide a measure of changes in the process of investment
analysis. The survev reported in Table 10.10 was done in 1976 nd focused on the
)0
,5 financial managers of some of the largest companies in the United States.
'o
This survey provided several interesting insights into the state ofthe art ofinvest-
;6
ment analysis in 1976. First, it demonstrated the enduring populariry of accounting
t return measures, such as return on equiry and assets, in spite of the emphasis placed
60
on cash florvs over earntngs in textbooks on investment analvsis. Second, even u'hen
discounted cash flor.v measures were used, the internal rate of return was much more
1ikely to be used as a primary decision technique than was net present va1ue. Notwith-
standing the problems r,vith multiple internal rates of return and faulty reiil'estment
rate assumptions, managers preferred a scaled measure of investment performance to
oes, that the inter- an unscaled one as a prrmarv decision ru1e. Third, a surprisingly large number of
ial rather than the respondents claimed that they used the pa1'back period as the primarv investment
decision rule, despite all of its limitations and problems. Finall1'. most respondents used
:e :lssunlption is to more than one investment analysis measure in deciding on projects
ra[e The survey was expanded and updated in 1986. The results are summarized in
-if they are of
the cost
pital Table 10.11. Fronr this survey, it is clear that the net present value rule gained a sig-
ro
inttial investment nificant proportion of adherents in the intervening decade, mostly at the expense of
rodified internal the accounting measures. Although this shift to discounted cash flow models over time
uestment, the con- can be explained as a logical shift to more sophisticated investment analysis techniques
and maV be attributed to a recognition of the importance of value maximization, a
intermediate cash
puzzling anomaly emerges frorr these findings in the doubling of lhose respondents
terminal value of
r-rsing the pavback period as their primar,v investment rule. This finding is confirmed
d internal rate of
b1, Ross (1986), r,vho examined the capital budgeting practices of 12 large manufac-
turing firms and found that the pal.back method .^-as widely used, especialiy among
srnaller firms. Some have suggested that this situation may have arisen beceuse of the
1 1 1L).
increased leverage taken on by some Iirms in the 1980s, which, in turn, increased the
nal rate of return need for curreilt or near-term cash flows to meet debt obligations.
oi 15o,'o instead of Wfrile this survev has not been updated recentl.v, anecdotal evidence and the pop-
ularitv of value cnhancement measures like EVA suggest a shift to the net present
a mix of the NPV value approach in recent years.
on a project is r
he hurdle rate the
Table 10.10 A Survey of Investment Decision Techniques in 1976
635h fl61y5 ghs
Primary Secondarv
Technique Number Percent Number Percent
Internal Rate of Return 288 49.0 70 15.0
Accounting Rate of Return 47 8.0 89 19.0
Net Present Value 123 21.0 113 24.0
Payback Period 112 19.0 164 35.0
Benefit/Cost Ratio t7 3.0 JJ 7.0
Total Responses 587 100.0 169 100.0
Source: Kim, Crick, and Kim (1986).
None of the surveys mentioned here will ever end the debate
on the right invest-
ment analysis technique, but collectively they provide some
useful lessoru. First, it is
dangerous to insist dogmatically that one and only
one technique is right and that all
others are flawed. All investment analysis techniques have
limitaiioor,.rid no one tech- Question
nique works equally well for all firms. Second, the techniques
managers use in invest-
ment analysis may go beyond t"lle mere theoretical pros ,od 1. You are a
.orr i"rr"lop.d in this initial inv
chapter and may depend on a number of real-worlJ
concerns, including it . t irrory have an al
of the business and the compensarion mechanism employed of
by the firm.ihird, while assets
fitqo may use more than one technique in analyzing projects, one value of I
technique still has
to be the primary technique in making decisions. has a cost
accepting
Et at 10.4: ln the t980s and 1990s, the attractiveness of net present value as an 2. You orvn
g investment decision rule increased, relative to other decision.rutes.
what might sion possi
account for this shift? million t<
this anrot
The expa
*:::: tax opera
r","aw;;;;i;*;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;,"_* Assuming
rnent, est
An invesrment decision rule is a rule that allows us to differentiate
sis' n-rent. (Tl
between good
and bad investments. A good investment decision rule
maintains a good balance 3. \6u have
berween flexibiliry and consistency, leads to firm value project.,r
maximization, Jrd works on
all kinds of projects. investmer
Investment decision rules are categorized on the basis ofaccounting ating inc<
earnings, cash
flows, or discounted cash flows. The accounting rate depreciat:
ofreturn mersr..i s,r.h as return
on equiry or return on capitd, generally work befter for projects Estimate
that have large ini- has no c
tial investments, earnings that are roughly equal to the cash
ho*s, ,.rd level earnings How lvo
over time. For most projects, accounting returns will increase
over hime, as the book nance exi
value ofthe assets is depreciated.
4. You are a
There are two cash flow-based rures: the cash return on capitar
and payback. The of $100 r
cash return on capital is an improvement on the
accounring ..r.rrn on capital, but it $25 milli,
does not fully adjust for all cash flows. The payback, ect has a
whichlooks at how iurckly the
cash flows-on a prcject cover its initial investment, 10%, esti
is a useful seiond..y *".r# of
assuming
QUESTTONS 313
P:oblems
In the problems belorv' you can use a market risk Piot the n
premium of 5.590 and f, tax rate of 4Lt%
where none is speci.ed. is the inte
1' You have been given the following
information on - capital of
proJect: a 4. under what conditions rvill the return on
.nrrr.- accept thi
project be equal to the internal
:*^ rate of rerurn, esti-
' It has a five-year lifetrme' mated from cash Ilows to equiry- investors, 8. You have
on the same project:
' The initial investmenr in the projed will project?
be g25
million' and the investment u'ilL be depreciared 5. You are provided with the projected
Year
straight line, down to a salvage value income srare-
of $t0 miliion me.rts foia project: 0
ar the end ofthe fi{ih year.
year 1
1
2
except lbr the depreciadon method, b. Estimate the payback period lor investors
rvhich ,, ,*it.f;.J in the 3
to an accelerared method with the firm.
ibllorting depreci- +
ation schedule: c. Estimate the net present value to invesrors
in the a. Estimar
o/o
of DeprcciableAsset firm if rhe cost of capital is 12%. would
Yo'
1 vou assumir
+0 accepr the project?
ter pro-
z 14
6' Estimate the internal rate of return
3 u.q to investors
in the firm. would you accepr the project?
b. Estimai
4 fi3 ect. Wl
5 6. Consider the project described rn problem
13.J 5. Assume c. What r
each
Depreciabre Asset = initiar investmenr - Sarvage varue :*:T,j;:JjT:[i":ffi,iXUI*'J:'j::t;i future
or
r
a Estimate the pre-tax return on a. Estimate the free
capital, by year and cash llow to equiry for each of the d. What
on average, for the project. four years. each ot
b. Estimate the o
after_tar on capital' bv vear and the pavback period for equirv investors 11, You have
on average, *, ,n. o:.T.T,:n it:'ffi rn
investmen
c' If the firm faced a cost of capital of c. Estimate the net present value to equirv the projec
12o,o,shou.ld it
^- investors if
take this project? the cosr of equiw is 16%. would ect? Why
accepr the
1.ou
3. Consider again the project described
in problem 1: Project? 12. Businesses
(Assume that the deprecianon
reverts ro tr.ri;;i;".i d. Fstimate the internal rate of return shouid us
Assume that 40% of the initial to equity
inrestment"fo, the invesrorsinrhefirm..wouldyouaccepttheproject? Explain.
project will be financed with debt,
,,,ith an a.rnual .7. You are provided with X3. You have
interest rate of 10% and a^ balloon the following cash rlows on a
pry_*, prqecr: ProJecrs w
principal at the end ofrhe fifth year. "i,i"
a. Esrimate the return on equiry by year Year Cash Flops to Firm Year
and on aver- 0 _ $10,000,000
age, for this project. 0
b. If the 1 4,ooo,ooo 1
cost of equiry- is 15%, shouid rhe 6rm take
thisproject? 2 5,000,000 2
" 3 6onnnno
PROBLEMS 315
Plot the net present value profile for this project.'What The cost of capital is 12%.
is the internal rate ofreturn? Ifthis firm had a cost of a. Which project would you pick using the net pres-
capiral of 10% and a cost of equiry of 15%, would you ent value rule?
turn on equiry on accept this project?
a b. Which project rvould you pick using rhe internal
rate of return, esti_ 8. You have estimated the following cash flows on a rate ofreturn rule?
vestors, on the same proj ec r:
c. Hor.v would you explain the diilerences benveen
Year Cash Flows to Equity the rwo rules? Which one rvould you rely on to
cted income state- 0 - $4,750,000 make ,vour choice?
1 4,000,000 14. You are analyzing an jnvestment decision in which
34 2 4,000,000 you r,r,ill have to make an initial investment of $10
)00 $12,000 $13,000 3 -3,000,00{,) million and you rvi11 be getrerating annual cash flows
100 4,800 5,200 Plot the net present value profile for this project. W'hat to the lirm of $2 million every year, grou'ing at 5ok a
)00 2,000 1,000 is the internal rate of return? If the cost of equiry rs year, forever.
)00 5,200 6,800 16%, rvould you accept this project? a. Estimate the NPV of this project if the cost of cap-
9. Esrimate the modified internal rate of return for the ital is 107;.
ial investment of project described in Ploblem 8. Does it change your b. Estimate the IRR of this project.
:ment of $2,000 at decision on accepting this prqect?
15. You are anailrzing a project with a 30-year lifetime,
10. You are analyzing nvo mutuaJ1.v exclusive projects u ith the [ollowing rharacteristics:
I to be 10% ofrev- w'ith the following cash florvs: . The project will require an initial iru-estment of 920
vestment has to be Year A B million and addrtional investments of $5 mrilion in
eriod. 0 -$.+,000,000 -$.1,000,000 year 10 and $5 million in year 20.
the firm for each 1 ) OOO n00 1,000,000 . The project will generate earnings before interest and
) 1 i{l0 n(l(l 1.s00,000 taxes of $3 million each year. (The tax rate is 40%.)
br investors in the I I 250 000 1,700,000
, The depreciation will amount to $500,000 each yeiq
I 1,000,000 2,400,000
and the salvage value of the equipment rvi1l be equal
to investors in rhe a. Estimate the net present value ol each project, to rhe remaining book value ar the end ofyear 30.
12%. Would you assuming a cost of capital of 10%. Which is the bet- . The cost of capital is L2.5%.
ter project?
a. Estimate the net present value of this project.
'eturn to investors b. Estimate the internal rate of return tbr each prol-
ect. Which is the better project? b. Estirnate rhe inrernal rate ofrerurn on rhis proj-
the project?
ect. W-hat might be some of the problems in esti-
roblem 5. Assume c. What reinvestment rate assumpti.olls are made by
mating the IRR for this project?
of its net capital each of these rules? Can you shorv the etTect on
future cash flows of these assumptions? 15. You are trying to esdmate the NPV of three-vear
eds rvith debt.
project, r.vhere the discount rate is expected to change
ity for each ofthe d. What is the modified internal rate of return orr
over time.
each of these prqects?
Year Cash Flowsto. Firn Discount Rate
:quiry investors in 11. You have a project that does not require an initial
invesament but has its expenses spread o',.er rhe 1i{b of r, $15,000 Q.5oo
the project. Can the IRR be estimated tor this proj- 1 5,000 10.5
equiry investors if ect? Why or why not? 2 5.000 1 1.5
d ,vou accept the 10,000 t2.5
12" Businesses with severe capital rationing constraints
a. Estimate the NPV of this project. 'Wou1d vou take
should use IRR more than NPV Do .vou agree?
:eturn to equity this project?
Expiain.
ccept the project? b. Estimate the IRR of this project. Hou' would you
13. You have to pick benveen three mutually exclusir.-e
3 cash flows on a use the IRR to decrde whether or not to take this
projects rvith the following cash flows to the firm:
proj ect?
Year Project A Projea B Project C
17, Barring the case of multiple internal rates of return, is
0 -$10,000 $s,000 -$1s,000 it possible for the net present value ofa project to be
1 8,000 5,000 10,000 positir,-e, w'hiie the internal rate of return is less than
7,000 -8,000 10.000 rhe di\iounr rare? Explain.
316 CHAPTER TEN / INVESTMENT DECISION RULES
18. You are helping a manufacturing firm decide whether over the 1O-year lifetime ofthe project. Although the References
it should invest in a new plant. The initial invesrment cost of capital is only 12%, you have concerns about
is expected to be $50 million, and the plant is using the return on capital as an investment decision Arcicles and Books
expected to generate after-tax cash flo'ws of $5 million rule. Would it make a difference if you knew that the Gimun. L.J., andJ. I
a year lor the next 20 years. An addirional invesrment project was employing an accelerated depreciation geting Techniques
of $20 million will be needed to upgrade the plant in method to compute depreciation? Why? mefi 6,66-71.
10 years. If the discount rate is 10%, HirshleifelJ., 1958,
20" Accounting rates of return are based on accounting
Decisionl'Joumal ,
a. Esrimate the net present value of the project. income and book value of investment, whereas inter- H., T. Cric-k
Kirr, S'
b. Prepare a net present value profile for this proje*. nal rates of return are based on cash flolvs and take dce What Acadt
into account the time value of money. lJnder what 49-52.
c. Estimate the rnternal rate ofreturn for thrs project.
conditions will the rwo approaches give you similar Lorie,J. H., and L.J.
Is there any aspect ofthe cash flows that may prove
estimates? Cagitali'Joumal oJ
to be a probiem for caiculating IRR?
Meyer,R. L., 1979,"
19. You have been asked to analyze a projec in u,hich the the Reinvestment
analyst has estlmated the return on capital to be 3796
Objective
To decide r,vhich decision ruie your firm should be using in investmenr analysis.
lent analysis.
ojects?
:menls?
r'estments?
consistent with
, be very differ-
ds?)