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on
Submitted to
Faculty of Management
By
Vishwa Patel(201800620012678)
Vishal Sagar(201800620012696)
Batch: 2018-20
Company Certificate
i
Company Certificate
ii
Institute Certificate
Faculty of Management
This is to certify that Mr/Ms. Vishwa Patel Enrolment No. 201800620012678 and Vishal Sagar
Enrolment No. 201800620012696, student of faculty of management has successfully completed
his/her Summer Project on ―Role of risk and return in investment selection and portfolio
management‖ at ―Shah Investors Home Ltd.‖ in partial fulfillment of the requirements of MBA
Programme of GLS University. This is his original work and has not been submitted elsewhere.
_______________ ____________________
Dr. Hitesh Ruparel Dr. Sneha Shukla
Dean Professor
Date: _________________
Place: Ahmedabad
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DECLARATION
We, Vishwa Patel (Enrollment number 201800620012678) & Vishal Sagar (Enrollment number
201800620012696) student of Faculty of Management hereby declare that the report for
dissertation entitled ―Role of risk and return in investment selection and portfolio management‖
is a result of my own work and my indebtedness to other work publications, references, if any,
have been duly acknowledged.
Place: Ahmedabad
Date:
_____________
Vishwa Patel
_____________
Vishal Sagar
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PREFACE
As a part of the MBA Curriculum and in order to gain practical Knowledge in the field of
management, we are required to make a report on ―Role of risk and return in investment
selection and portfolio management‖. The basic Objective behind doing this project report is to
get knowledge of tools of risk and return.
In this project report we have included various measures of risk and return of stocks and
portfolio.
This project report helped us to enhance our knowledge regarding the role of risk and return in
investment selection and portfolio management. Through this report we come to know about
importance of team work and role of devotion towards the work.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
SIP is one of the very good experiences to learn corporate environment and working company
culture. To complete this programme and research on ―Role of risk and return in investment
selection and portfolio management‖, we got big support of many internal as well as external to
complete this programme.
We are extremely thankful and pay our gratitude to our internal guide Dr. Sneha Shukla for her
valuable guidance and support on completion of this project.
We would also like to thank our external guide Mr. Ajay Trivedi (Branch manager of Shah
Investors Home Ltd.), Trupti Shah (Director of Shah Investors Home Ltd.) and Amritha Mashar
(Technical Analyst) who gave us their valuable time and knowledge in our Summer Internship
Programme.
We would also like to thank Dr. Hitesh Ruparel , Dean of FOM and all other Faculty members of
GLS University who helped us to complete this important Programme and Research.
We are thankful to all those people who gave small participation in our research. We have built a
great contact with the corporate world during the Summer Internship Project.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The project studied in shah investor’s home ltd was ―role of risk and return in investment
selection and portfolio management‖. Shah investor’s home ltd is a leading broking firm with an
extensive client base
Stock market investors take their investment calls based on risk and return. Risk and return of
different stocks were calculated. After calculating risk & return and fundamentals 10 portfolios
were suggested.
After making portfolios 5 ratios were calculated and ranks were given to the portfolios. Based on
this analysis top 5 portfolios were suggested for the investment.
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INDEX
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Automobile Sector .................................................................................................................... 62
It Sector ..................................................................................................................................... 72
Consumer Durables ................................................................................................................... 81
Chapter 5 Analysis And Interpretation .......................................................................................... 90
Tools And Techniques Used In The Analysis ........................................................................... 91
Suggested Portfolios ............................................................................................................... 102
Calculation Of Certain Ratios of Suggested Portfolios .......................................................... 105
Chapter 6 Findings .......................................................................................................................114
Chapter 7 Recommendations .......................................................................................................116
Chapter 8 Conclusion ...................................................................................................................119
Bibliography ............................................................................................................................... 121
Annexure ..................................................................................................................................... 123
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List of Tables
Table 5. 1 Risk, Return & Beta of FMCG Sector ......................................................................... 92
Table 5.5 Risk, Return & Beta of Consumer Durables Sector................................................... 100
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List of Figures
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Chapter 1
Research Methodology
1
Research Methodology
Introduction
Risk refers to the fluctuation of potential returns associated with a given investment. Risk, along
with the return, is a noteworthy consideration in investment decisions. The investor must
compare the expected return from a given investment with the risk connected with it. Higher
levels of return are required to compensate for increased levels of risk. In other words, the higher
the risk undertaken, the more ample the return – and conversely, the lower the risk, the more
modest the return.
Risk aversion also plays an important role in determining a firm’s required return on an
investment. Risk averse is the depiction of an investor who, when looked with two investments
with a comparative anticipated return, lean towards the one with the lower risk. For example, a
risk-averse investor may put his or her money into a bank account with a low yet ensured interest
rate, rather than into a stock that may have high anticipated returns, but also includes a chance of
losing value.
Portfolio management is the art and science of making choices about investment mix and policy,
matching investments to objectives, resource assignment for individuals and institutions, and
adjusting risk against performance. Portfolio management is all about discovering strengths,
weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the choice of debt vs. equity, domestic vs. international,
growth vs. safety, and numerous trade-offs encountered in the attempt to boost return at a given
appetite for risk.
Portfolio management can by either passive or active, in the case of mutual and exchange-traded
funds (ETFs). Passive management simply tracks a market index, usually referred to as indexing
or index investing. Dynamic management involves a team of managers who attempt to beat the
market return by effectively managing a fund's portfolio through investment decisions based on
research and decisions on individual holdings. Closed-end funds are generally effectively
managed.
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The way to compelling portfolio management is the long-term mix of assets. Asset allocation
depends on the understanding that various types of assets do not move in concert, and some are
more unpredictable than others. Asset allocation seeks to optimize the risk/return profile of an
investor by investing in a mix of assets that have low relationship to one another. Investors with a
more dynamic profile can weight their portfolio toward more volatile investments. Investors with
a moderate profile can weight their portfolio toward more stable investments.
The only certainty in investing is it is difficult to reliably foresee the winners and losers, so the
prudent approach is to make a basket of investments that give broad exposure within an asset
class. Diversification is the spreading of risk and return within an asset class. Because it is
difficult to know which particular subset of an asset class or sector is likely to outperform
another, diversification seeks to capture the returns of all of the sectors over time but with less
volatility at any one time. Proper diversification takes place across different classes of securities,
sectors of the economy and geographical regions.
Literature reviews
(Gautami & Kalyan, 2018) Examined that in primary market companies float shares to the
general public in an initial public offering (IPO) to raise capital. When new securities have
been sold in the primary market, they are traded in the secondary market. In India, the
secondary and primary markets are governed by the Security and Exchange Board of India
(SEBI).If a stock is listed on an exchange then only it can be bought or sold. Bombay Stock
Exchange and National Stock Exchange are india's premier stock exchanges. The Stock
exchange provides not only free transferability of shares but also makes continuous
evaluation of securities traded in the market. Risk may be characterized as the chance of
variations in actual return. Return is characterized as the gain in the value of investment.
(Soni, 2017) Found every investor wants to maximize return with minimum risk. The target
is to optimize the risk and return. A resource which has potential to provide benefits in
future is an asset. An asset class is a group of financial instruments with similar
characteristics. Different asset classes perform differently at different points of time and it is
affected by micro as well as macroeconomic parameters. Equity, bonds, fixed deposits, real
estate, gold, cash equivalents are some of the asset classes available to investors in India.
Equity represents ownership in a company and is also known as stock. Investors categorize
equities into growth stock and value stock. Real estate provides stable income returns
besides it also provides partial protection against inflation. It is diversifier in portfolio. Gold
is another asset class which has moderately low correlation with investments in other asset
classes. Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) is a professionally managed fund allowing
investors to gain exposure to gold without holding physical gold. Before making an
investment investor considers risk and return attached to asset class. Return measures the
gain or loss on any investment over a specified time period. The amount of return is
anticipated based on historical data. There is possibility of difference between actual return
and expected return which is known as risks. The risk which is inherent to the market as a
whole is known as the systematic risk or market. Such risks contribute to the market
volatility and are un-diversifiable, mostly unpredictable and not completely avoidable. If the
risk is specific to an issuer or security, it is known as unsystematic risk or business risk and
can be diversified with the help of a well balanced portfolio.
(Aliu, Pavelkova, & Dehning, 2017) Found that investors attempt to keep in their portfolio
those securities that are less correlated or negatively correlated. Less correlated assets
reduce portfolio exposure to risk. Constructing a portfolio, which gains superior returns in
the market, is every day aim of portfolio managers. Risk in portfolio management is mainly
measured through the uncertainties of returns, which in itself involves: correlation
4
coefficients, weights of each security in the portfolio, and the variance of returns. Each of
these factors are influential in increasing or reducing portfolio risk. Some studies concluded
that portfolio more than 50 uncorrelated stocks fully completes risk reduction. Investments
in the same sector cannot diversify risk completely.
Satyanarayana, Sidhu, & Maruthi, 2015) Discovered Portfolio Management is the total
holdings of a person in financial markets. Security analysis is a tool for efficient and
effective portfolio management. The portfolio analysis is thus an analysis of risk return
characteristics of individual securities in the portfolio and changes that may occur in blend
of individual securities in the portfolio and changes that may take place in combination with
other securities due cooperation among them and impact of each on others. It is a dynamic
and adaptable concept and involves regular and systematic analysis, judgment and action.
The objective of this service is to help the unknown and investors with ability of expert in
investment portfolio management. Investment in TCS and ANDHRA bank are
recommended on the basis of standard deviation.
(Abdeldayem, 2015) Concluded that behavioral finance is an integral part of the decision
making process as it greatly affects investors’ behavior regarding decision making. Risk
perception can be managed if the investors are aware of their level of risk perception.
Portfolio management concerns the constructions and maintenance of a collection of
investment. It is investment of funds in various securities in which the total risk of the
portfolio is minimized, while expecting maximum return from it. It mainly involves
reducing risk rather than increasing return.
(Kapoor, 2014) Described that portfolio is combination of security such as Stocks Bonds
and Money market Instruments. The process of blending together the wide Asset classes so
as to obtain optimum return with least risk is called portfolio management. Diversification
of investments helps to spread risk over numerous assets. The objective of portfolio
management is to invest in securities is securities in such a way that one maximizes one’s
returns and minimizes risks in order to achieve one’s investment objective.
5
(Brindha, 2013) Found that making an investment on shares, debenture, and bonds is
profitable. It requires analytical skills as it involves high amount of risk. To make profit
securities, investor must have considerable financial acumen as well as capable of facing
risk. Portfolio management refers to diversification of investment to minimize the risk and
maximize the return. Portfolio management is all about strengths, weaknesses, opportunities
and threats in the decision of debt vs. equity, domestic vs. international, growth vs. safety.
(Malik & Saini, 2013) Discovered portfolio management helps in reducing risk without
sacrificing returns. There are two approaches in the construction of the portfolio of
securities :- Traditional approach, Markowitz efficient frontier approach. Traditional
Approach involves following steps in selection of portfolio analysis of constraints,
determination of objectives, selection of portfolio, risk and return analysis, diversification.
Markowitz approach includes stocks are selected on the basis of risk and return analysis not
on the basis of need of income or appreciation. In this approach, the last advance is the
distribution of benefits process that is to pick the portfolio that meets the prerequisite of the
financial specialist. Portfolio presently incorporate household securities as well as outside.
The basic objectives of portfolio are current income, constant income, preservation of
capital, capital appreciation. As per the objective of portfolio whether it is a stock portfolio
or bond portfolio or combination of both is to be decided.
(Vaidehi & Pandian, 2013) Encountered the security has comprehensive of shares, scripts,
bonds, debenture stock or some other marketable securities of like nature in or of any
debentures of an organization or body corporate, the government and semi government body
etc. Portfolio is a blend of assets or it consists of collection of securities. Modern security
analysis depends on the fundamental analysis of the security. Fundamental analysis is a
logical and systematic approach to estimating the future dividends & share price as these
two constitutes the return from investing in shares. Technical analysis includes a study of
market-created data like prices and volumes to choose the future direction of price
movement.
(Fathi, Zarei, & Esfahani, 2012) Concluded that risk causes actual and direct loss to the
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organization through decreasing income flow and capital loss. Financial institutions can
have an important effect on economy-wide crisis as it plays an important role of financial
markets in the architecture of an economy. Crisis on macro level increases the cost of socio-
economic development and in micro level leads to business management uncertainty and
bankruptcy. The risk of loss arising from the default of the counter–party is credit risk, that
is the failure to meet its legal obligations in credit quality that affect the value of financial
instruments. Operating risk is a risk related to direct or indirect losses that rise from
incorrect processes inside the organizations, individuals, systems or events outside the
organization. Based on changes and fluctuations of market factors such as foreign exchange
rate, interest rate, stock price and etc is known as market risk.
(Sulaiman, 2012) Discovered that over the years a positive pattern between income of
individual investors and their financial risk tolerance has been observed. Financial risk
tolerance of an individual investors decreases with their age. The study agrees that higher
levels of formal education increases one’s ability to assess risk and therefore gives a higher
financial risk tolerance. The study found positive relationship between income of individual
investors and their financial risk tolerance.
Research Objectives
To recommend the best company from each sector by using appropriate statistical tools.
The study is limited to a time period of five years starting from 2013 to 2018.
The study attempts to analyze investment strategies taking into account parameters of
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risk and return.
The study covers 8 stocks each from FMCG, Auto, IT, Banking and Consumer durables.
The research will help the investors to understand the risk-return relationship involved in
investment selection and portfolio management.
The study will help Shah Investor’s home Ltd. to suggest portfolio to its clients.
Research design
Our research design is Analytical.
Limitations
The research is conducted on 5 sectors and hence similar study can also be conducted on
other sectors.
The analysis is conducted on predefined parameters and hence similar analysis can be
done using different parameters.
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Chapter 2
Introduction to Stock
Broking Industry
9
Stock Broking Industry
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depression was severe and long, the 1860s share mania created some positive effects.It led to the
establishment of a regular and liquid securities market, developed an equity cult among
investors, and helped make Mumbai the chief center of India's money and capital market and
financial capital.
The boom and burst also had an impact on share brokers. During the share mania period, the
number of brokers increased significantly and stood at 250 in 1865. The downturn also brought
many failures to the brokers. This brought together brokers in Mumbai to form the first formally
organized stock exchange in the country The Bombay Stock Exchange. It was formed in 1875 as
a society called the Native Share and Stock Brokers Association. Subsequently, stock exchanges
were established in 1894, 1905 and 1908 respectively at Ahemedabad, Kolkata and Madras.
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structure and functioning of the country's capital market, and it remained more or less repressed
during this period.
The demand for long-term funds was not significant during the 1950s and 1960s, partly due to
the weak industrial base and partly due to the low saving rate. Also, this period did not witness
substantial progress in terms of investor participation. However, this period was characterized by
the enactment of a number of basic legislation covering various aspects of the securities market,
i.e. the Capital Issues (Control) Act, 1947 ; the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 ; the
Companies Act, 1956 ; and the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA), 1975.The FERA
legislation restricting the shareholding of foreign firms in joint ventures to 40% made many well-
managed multinational firms offer their equity to the public at the regulated low prices during the
1970s.Encouraged by the good response to such issues, a large number of domestic limited
public companies offered new capital issues for public subscription. Accordingly, the stock
market showed an upward trend with high floatation share prices (Misra, 1997).By the end of
1980, the number of exchanges increased to nine with 2265 companies listed on them and the
market value of the listed capital was aggregated at Rs.6,750 crore. For the first time, common
investors were made aware of the potential of equity investments as a hedge against inflation and
a source of higher earnings compared to other forms of investment. The number of shareholders
as a proportion of the total population registered a nominal increase from 0.12 per cent in 1955 to
0.36 per cent in 1980.
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Securities Contracts Act of 1996 and the Depository Act of 1996.The Government and the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) have framed rules and regulations under these
laws for the registration and regulation of market intermediaries and for the prevention of unfair
trade practices (ISMR, 2005).
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2.2.4 The Depositories Act, 1996
It provides for the establishment of securities depositories to ensure the transferability of
securities with speed, accuracy and security. For this purpose, three provisions have been made:
(a) the free transfer of securities of public limited companies subject to certain exceptions ; (b)
the maintenance of ownership records in book entry form; and (c) the dematerialization of
securities in depository mode, In order to streamline the settlement process, the act envisages
transferring ownership of securities electronically through book entry with out moving the
securities physically.
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trade clearance and settlement. There are currently 24 stock exchanges in the country, 21 of
which are regional exchanges and others are national exchanges (OTCEI, NSE and ICSE). The
latest in the list-The Capital Stock Exchange, Thiruvananthapuram, has yet to begin its
operations.
15
stock trading. Regional exchanges have been established across the country to enable investors to
access the stock market. Until recently, a company was obliged to list the local stock exchange
closest to its registered office. However, this restriction has been removed and today's companies
have an option to choose from any of India's existing stock exchanges to list their securities.
Regional exchanges are now free to expand their operations to any other geographical location of
their choice. Accordingly, many of them have already expanded trade terminals to different parts
of the country. With the increased use of information technology, all stock exchanges trading
platforms are accessible from anywhere in the country through their trading terminals. This has
greatly expanded the exchange reach for investors.
However, the advent of the NSE and BSE nationwide trading networks and their enormous
liquidity and order depth of large exchanges have affected the fortunes of many regional
exchanges and reduced their relevance (Misra, 1999).Very few regional stock exchanges have the
depth or breadth necessary to give investors the kind of choice that the NSE or BSE can provide.
The turnover on many exchanges is too low to raise long-term doubts about the viability of
operating separate exchanges in different cities.Only five viz. exchanges. NSE, BSE, CSE
(Calcutta Stock Exchange), ASE (Ahemedabad Stock Exchange) and UPSE (Utter Pradesh Stock
Exchange) registered sufficient returns in 2003-04.Of which NSE and BSE account for 68
percent and 31 percent of the country's total return, respectively. With the fall in turn, the
financial health of regional exchanges is also deteriorating. While regional exchange income is
decreasing, their expenditure is increasing due to higher administrative and maintenance costs.
Internationally, most small exchanges have either merged with larger ones, worked out alliances,
or developed niche markets that they can profitably serve. The Committee for Studying the
Future of Regional Stock Exchanges chaired by G. Anantharaman has made a number of
recommendations, including consolidating regional exchanges.
In 1998, the Inter-connected Stock Exchange of India Limited (ICSE) was promoted with the
aim of expanding the market for securities listed on their exchanges by fourteen regional stock
exchanges. It is a national stock exchange and provides support to its traders and dealers for
trading, clearing, settlement, risk management and surveillance. ICSE strives to create a single
integrated national-level solution with access to multiple markets to deliver cost-effective service
to millions of investors across the country.
In another attempt to consolidate regional stock exchanges, BSE Indonext is set up as a separate
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trading platform under the BSE BOLT system. It is a joint venture between BSE and the
Federation of Indian Stock Exchanges (FISE), of which eighteen regional stock exchanges are
members. It introduced a single order book for a security. BSE Indo next is intended as a specific
market for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). New SMEs that may not be eligible for
BSE or NSE listing may be eligible for BSE Indo next listing.
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the floor. This has changed since the introduction of the NSE (National Exchange for Automated
Trading, NEAT) screen-based trading system in 1995.BSE and a number of other regional stock
exchanges later introduced their own online trading mechanisms. The BSE and most other
regional exchanges followed suit and created the Inter Connected Stock Exchange (ICSE) to
facilitate online trading. This has resulted in a considerable reduction in the time spent, costs and
risk of error, resulting in improved operational efficiency. The new environment of screen-based
trading has greatly enhanced the country's price formation process and market prices today more
closely reflect fundamental values than before (Jha and Nagarajan, 1999).
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now determine the market behavior of both major stock exchanges. Although this has helped to
increase the liquidity and depth of the stock market, relying heavily on FII funds can lead to
adversities if interest rate differentials even out in the future. Therefore, domestic capabilities in
terms of increased participation of domestic financial institutions should be built to sustain the
Indian stock market's current growth rate.
• Based on geographical concentration, Western region has maximum of 52%, around 24%
are situated in the North, 13% in South, and 10% in the East.
• 3% of firms began broking operations before 1950, 65% between 1950-1995, and 32%
post 1995.
• It was found from the study that 36% of firms trade in cash, 27% in derivatives, and 20%
in cash, derivatives and commodities.
• In the cash market, 14% in BSE, 34% trade in NSE, 45% in both. Whereas in debt
market, 26% trades in BSE, 14% in BSE and 43% in both.
• 40% branches are located in North, 31% in West, 24% in South, and 5% in East.
• In terms of sub-brokers, around 55% are situated in South, 29% in West, 11% in North,
and 4% in East.
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• The top three products offered are Trading, IPOs and Mutual Funds. 90% of firms offer
trading, 67% IPOs, and 53% offering Mutual Fund transaction.
• As far as development, 84% firms have shown their interest in expanding their
institutional clients, 66% firms intend to increase FIIs, and 34% are interested in setting
up Joint Ventures in India and abroad.
• In terms of IT penetration 62% firms provide their website, and 90% firms have email
facility
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PESTEL ANALYSIS OF BROKERAGE INDUSTRY
PESTEL analysis stands for "Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental and
Legal analysis" and describes a framework of macro-environmental factors used in the
environmental scanning component of strategic management. It is a part of the external analysis
when conducting a strategic analysis or doing market research, and gives an overview of the
different macro environmental factors that the company has to take into consideration. It is a
useful strategic tool for understanding market growth or decline, business position, potential and
direction for operations.
Political factors are how and to what degree a government intervenes in the economy.
Specifically, political factors include areas such as tax policy, labour law, environmental
law, trade restrictions, tariffs, and political stability.
Economic factors include economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates and the
inflation rate. These factors have major impacts on how businesses operate and make
decisions. For example, interest rates affect a firm's cost of capital and therefore to what
extent a business grows and expands.
Social factors include the cultural aspects and include health consciousness, population
growth rate, age distribution, career attitudes and emphasis on safety. Trends in social
factors affect the demand for a company's products and how that company operates.
21
Legal factors include discrimination law, consumer law, antitrust law, employment law,
and health and safety law. These factors can affect how a company operates, its costs, and
the demand for its products.
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Micheal Porter’s Five Force of Share Broking Industry
• Competitors
The industry is now in a fairly high development stage. However the brokerage industry is very
cyclical and is impacted by activity levels in the markets. During the downturns such as 2008-
2009 periods, the smaller players were pressed out of the business. As a result there is a contrast
consolidation happening in the industry. The current competitors in the market are Angel
Broking, Motilal Oswal, Karvy Stock Broking Ltd., Sharekhan, Kotak Securities Ltd., etc. The
threats from competitors lies between moderate to high as every firm has its own strategies to
lead the industry.
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• Threat of new entrants
A new entrant needs a reasonable level of capital to fund the working requirements of the
business (finance to customers, deposits with exchanges, etc).The requirements are increasing
constantly and to enter the business a new entrant will require higher levels of investments in the
future. As pointed out, it is likely to see many entrants in the industry. Conversely, it is likely that
the smaller players will exit by selling out or closing. The new trend poses for new threats also;
this may be either the entry of local players who can provide lower rates or a very big player who
can enter into a price war. The threat on new entrants is high in this industry.
Less significant in most segments except investment banking, where employees control client
relationships and consequently have to be highly compensated. Bargaining Power of supplier
shows how strong is the position of a seller. Exchanging cost, from one suppliers to another, is
high. The Bargaining power of suppliers is low in this industry.
This is important in the institutional brokerage business which involves high volume and low
brokerage charges. They get income from the amount that customers trade in the market. They
have many options while planning to purchase products. Product is not much differentiated.
Hence it can be said that bargaining power of customers is extremely high in this industry.
The products offered by firms in this industry are more or less differentiated. Investing rather
saving in the bank rather than putting resources in a brokerage firm can be one option. This
industry poses great threat of substitutes like people of low risk appetite would like to invest in
bank rather than in share market, real estate, commodities, etc. Its products can be substituted by
substitutes offered by competitors. Hence threat of substitute goods is high.
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Chapter 3
Introduction to
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Shah Investor’s Home Ltd.
Shah Investors Home Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 certified company, was established in the year
1994 and which expertises in diversified financial services. The company promoted by Mr.
Upendra Shah and Mrs. Purnima Shah. SIHL was the first broking house in Gujarat to be a
member of National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL) and the first broking name to render
services in NSE F&O in Ahmedabad. Today, it has emerged as a premium house in stock-
broking by focusing its services on the retail network. It is a trusted financial service provider for
more than 100,000 clients, It operates at major business locations with more than 350 franchisees
and 45 branches. The group has transitioned through many important milestones to reach this
level.
SIHL has always believed in keeping the interest of customers at the forefront. It centers around
client first mentality with customized benefits and straightforward dealings in business practices.
It means to keep building enhanced business stages by recognizing business openings with
healthy long-team perspective for growth and profitability and offering products and services
across a board spectrum of financial services.
SIHL has fulfilled Social responsibilities also. It has been associated with Blind People’s
Association, Apang Manav Mandal and Various other institutions. It has provided fund to
encourage all physically and mentally challenged people. In addition, Director of the Company
has set up trust "Vimal jyot Charitable Trust" in 1992 with a vision of upliftment of individuals
who are less fortunate to avail medical treatment, pursue careers in the various fields like provide
medical treatment to stray animals and to renovate Schools and Deharasar. This trust gives hope
and economic opportunity to the needy families of each community. Trust provides Food,
Medicines, money related help to students with monitoring, guidance and encouragement.
SIHL's Vision
Their vision is to simplify investment tasks for all clients by utilizing their knowledge of the
financial markets and technical expertise. They envision seamless integration of various financial
services and products to create educated and satisfied class of investors.
26
SIHL's Mission
Shah investor's home ltd was established with a mission to provide trustworthy financial services
under one roof. SIHL strives to provide customized solutions for wealth creation to its clients
which results in high level of client satisfaction with uncompromised integrity. Managing one's
financial future can be easy, worry-free and more exciting with their help.
Core Values
• CUSTOMER SATISFACTION - Understand client requirements and do things right the
first time. Provide innovative products and services with the latest technology.
Milestones
Aug 1995 - Membership of Capital Market Segment of National Stock Exchange Ltd (NSE)
Jul 1997 - Membership of Capital Market Segment of National Stock Exchange Ltd (NSE)
Jan 1999 - CTCL facilities to sub-brokers
Sep 2000 - Trading and Clearing Membership of F & O segment of NSE; again the first one in
city of Ahmedabad
Jan 2003 - Membership of Central Depository Services (I) Ltd. (CDSL)
Oct 2004 - Membership of Capital Market Segment of Mumbai Stock Exchange (BSE)
Mar 2006 - Launched website www.shahinvestors.com now www.sihl.in
Apr 2006 - Started Internet Trading, NRI Services in NSE, BSE
Feb 2007 - Trading and Clearing Membership of F & O segment of Mumbai Stock Exchange
(BSE)
Feb 2007 - Gujarat's first Brokerage House to achieve ISO9001:2000 Certification, now
ISO9001:2008 Certification
Aug 2007 - Started Mutual Fund, Fixed Deposit and Insurance Services
Aug 2008 - Trading and Clearing Membership of NSE Currency Derivatives Segment (NSE-CD)
Sep 2008 - Trading and Clearing Membership of MCX Currency Derivatives Segment (MCX-
27
SX)
Aug 2009 - Membership of National Spot Exchange Ltd. (NSEL)
Jul 2010 - PMS Services started. SEBI Registered Portfolio Manager
Sep 2010 - Operations started in Mumbai focusing Institutional clients
Apr 2011 - In-house ERP developed and released for all branches & franchises with online
module for clients
Jan 2012 - VMWare based virtualized environment setup for trading and back-office operations
Jun 2012 - Market Maker of BSE SME
Jul 2012 -General Insurance business started
Dec 2012 - Membership in Capital Market and Future & Option Segment of MCX Stock
Exchange Ltd.
Apr 2015 - Real estate investment advisory services launched
Nov 2015 - Registered with SEBI as an Investment Advisor
Apr 2016 - Launch of Global Investment Advisory enabling clients to invest in overseas
investment opportunities.
Oct 2018 - SIHL Consultancy Ltd received Category 1 Merchant Banking License from SEBI
• Stock Trading - Stock market trading comprises the buying and selling of various
company scrip’s through authorized persons, called stock brokers. When the market
presents an upward trend (i.e. shares are normally being bought in anticipation of price-
rises in the future), we call it a bullish market. However, when the market shows a
negative trend (i.e. shares are sold in anticipation of a fall in price), it is termed as bearish
market. This basically comprises the core of stock market trading.
• DEMAT - Demat stands for Dematerialization that helps an investor hold the securities
in Electronic Form, works similar to a bank account. It is safe, secure and convenient.
SIHL provides demat facility for two major depositories in the country – Central
Depository Services Ltd (CDSL) and National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL).
28
• Mutual Fund - Pool of money received from the investors with a common objective is
called Mutual Fund. Mutual Funds collect, invest and manage the collected funds
professionally using its experience & expertise in equity, debt and other instruments as
pre-defined objective to generate maximum return.
• NRI Corner - India is one of the fastest growing large economy of the world. Many
global investors eye to take part in India’s growth story by investing in the Indian Capital
Markets. The Government of India has allowed NRIs to directly invest in the Indian
markets.
• Fixed Income Plans - Following services are provided under Fixed Income Plan
NCDs/ Bonds - These are Debt instruments floated by NBFCs & Banks.
Corporate Fixed Deposits - Many companies raise deposits directly from the public.
Debt Mutual Funds - Funds is invested in various corporate debt instruments like
commercial paper, perpetual bond, NCDs, Government Securities, etc and try to generate
better yield than the benchmark.
FMPs - Fixed Maturity Plans are Mutual Fund investments where funds are locked in
for a fixed tenure. The fund aims to generate the best possible post tax return.
Government Securities - Government Securities are the most secured form of debt
instruments as they are backed by the sovereign assurance. Hence, they have one of the
lowest yields as well.
• Currency Derivatives -It is simply the trading of one currency against another. Pricing
based on exchange rates currencies are traded in the form of currency pairs.
• Commodity - In India, there are many spot commodity markets for various classes of
commodities, like agriculture, metals, energy. The organized futures trading is also
permitted on various commodities like agriculture, metal and energy and it is regulated
by SEBI just like the equity and currency futures markets.
29
• Institutional Broking - Shah Investor's Home Ltd provide research, based on Solid
Fundamentals and Technical picks on regular basis. With Derivatives and Delivery based
Data examined and investigated to arrive at long term investment ideas.
SIHL Fincap Ltd - Registered with the RBI as a Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC)
SIHL Consultancy Ltd - Registration received from SEBI for Category 1 Merchant Banker in
Oct 2018.
SIHL Commodities Ltd - Registered with SEBI as a Commodities Broker, Member of Multi
Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX)
SIHL Global Investments (IFSC) Pvt Ltd - SIHL Global Investments (IFSC) Pvt. Ltd. at GIFT
City. This company is among the first members of the international exchanges setup at the
International Financial Services Center (IFSC) setup at the GIFT City SEZ. SIHL Global has
taken up memberships of India International Exchange Ltd. (setup by BSE) and NSE IFSC
Limited (setup by NSE).
SIHL Properties
Stock Book LLP
30
SWOT Analysis of SIHL
Strengths
i. Innovative range of financial products
ii. Trusted financial service provider for more than 100,000 clients
iii. SIHL operates at major business locations with more than 350 franchisees and 45
branches
Weaknesses
i. Less penetration in rural areas
iii. Indians are mostly conservative and prefer investing in Gold and land
Opportunities
i. People are looking to more investment opportunities
Threats
i. Aggressive promotional strategies by close competitors like Motilal Oswal, Angel
Broking, Sharekhan etc.
ii. More and more players are venturing into this domain which can further reduce the
earning of SIHL
31
Chapter 4
Introduction to Role of
Risk & Return in
Investment Selection and
Portfolio Management
32
Role Of Risk and Return
Risk and return in the financial world are opposing concepts. Depending on factors such as age,
income, and investment goals, investors may be willing to take substantial investment financial
risks, or investors may prefer to keep things much safer. A company which has a higher market
price is not necessarily the best stock to buy. It may have no growth prospects or it may be
overpriced. Similarly, it may not be the best to buy a company that performs well in any one
year. On the contrary, a company which has been badly for some time might turn the corner and
it may be the best to buy, as its shares may be underpriced and it has good prospects of growth,
hence an analysis of risk or return guides an investor in proper profitable investment.
Any rational investor, before investing his or her investible wealth in the stock, analyses the risk
associated with the particular stock. The actual return that an investor receives from a stock may
differ from expected return, and the risk is expressed in terms of return variability.
The fundamental definition of "risk" is the likelihood that the actual return of an investment will
differ from what was expected. Standard deviation can be used to measure risk in statistics.
Because of risk, investors have the possibility of losing a portion (or even all) of a potential
investment. On the other hand, "Return" is the gain or loss that an investment brings in. Potential
returns also tend to be low at low risk levels. Typically, high risk levels are associated with high
potential returns. A risky investment means that an investor is more likely to lose everything; but,
on the other hand, the amount an investor could bring in is higher. A visual representation of
this association is in the chart below, in which a higher standard deviation means a higher level
of risk, as well as a higher potential return.
33
The risk/return tradeoff only indicates that higher risk levels are associated with the possibility of
higher returns, but nothing is guaranteed. At the same time, higher risk also means higher
potential losses on an investment. The risk and return relationship is a fundamental concept in
not only financial analysis, but in every aspect of life. If a decision is to lead to maximization of
benefits, it is necessary for individuals / institutions to consider the combined impact on expected
(future) return or benefit as well as risk / cost. The requirement that expected return/benefit is
commensurate with risk/ cost is known as the ―risk return trade-off‖ in finance.
On the safe side of the spectrum, the risk-free rate of return is represented by the return on
Government Securities, as their chance of default is essentially zero. So, if at any given time, for
example, the risk-free rate is 6 percent, this means investors can earn 6 percent per year on their
assets, essentially without risking anything.
While a 6% return might sound good, it pales compared to returns of many popular investment
vehicles. If index funds average about 12% per year over the long run, why would someone
prefer to invest in Government Securities? While index funds are safe compared to most
investment vehicles, they are still associated with a certain level of risk, and thus, the return for
any given index fund may be -5 percent for one year, 25% for the following year, etc. The risk to
the investor, particularly on a shorter timescale, is higher, as is volatility. Comparing index funds
to government securities, we call the addition return the risk premium, which is 6% (12%-6%).in
the above example.
(Source: Investopedia.com)
34
Types Of Risk
• Systematic Risk
The risk inherent in the entire market or market segment is systematic risk. Systematic risk,
known as undiversifiable risk, market risk or volatility, affects not just a specific stock or sector,
but the entire market. It's both unpredictable and impossible to control this type of risk. It can not
be mitigated by diversification, only by hedging or using the correct allocation strategy for
assets.
Other investment risks, such as industrial risk, are underlying systematic risk. For example, if an
investor has placed too much emphasis on cyber security stocks, by investing in a range of stocks
in other sectors, such as health care and infrastructure, it is possible to diversify. However,
systematic risk includes, among other major changes, interest rate changes, inflation, recessions
and wars. Shifts in these areas can affect the market as a whole and can not be alleviated by
changing positions within a public equity portfolio.
In order manage systematic risk, investors should ensure that their portfolios include a variety of
asset classes, such as cash and real estate,fixed income each reacting differently in the event of a
major systemic change. For example, an increase in interest rates will make some new issue
bonds more valuable, while causing some corporate stocks to fall in price as investors perceive
executive teams to cut spending. In the event of an interest rate rise, ensuring that a portfolio
incorporates ample income-generating securities will mitigate the loss of value in some equities.
The Great Recession is also a systematic risk example. Anyone who was invested in the market
in 2008 saw from this economic event that the values of their investments changed dramatically.
The Great Recession affected asset classes in various ways as simpler assets, such as Treasury
bonds, became more precious ,while riskier securities (e.g., more leveraged ones) were sold off
in large quantities.
In order to know how much systematic risk a specific security, fund or portfolio has, you can
look at its beta, which measures how volatile this investment is compared to the overall market.
A beta of more than 1 means that the investment has more systematic risk than the market,
whereas less than 1 means less systematic risk than the market. A beta equal to one means that
the investment has the same systematic risk as the market.
35
Figure 4. 2
Types of risk
• Unsystematic Risk
Unsystematic risk is unique to a particular business or industry. Also known in the context of an
investment portfolio as "non-systematic risk," "specific risk," "diversifiable risk" or "residual
risk," unsystematic risk can be reduced by diversification.
Unsystematic risk can be described as the inherent uncertainty of an investment in a business or
industry. Types of unsystematic risk include a new market competitor with the potential to take
significant market share from the investment company, a regulatory change, and a product recall
and/or a management shift.
While some sources of unsystematic risk may be anticipated by investors, it is impossible to be
aware of all or when / how these could occur. For example, an investor in healthcare stocks may
know that a major shift in health policy is on the horizon, yet he / she is unable to know the
specifics of the new laws in advance and how businesses and consumers will respond. The
gradual adoption and then potential repeal of the Affordable Care Act, first written into law in
2010, has made it very challenging for some investors in healthcare stocks to anticipate and place
confident bets on industry direction and/or specific businesses.
By owning a variety of company stocks across different industries, as well as by owning other
types of securities in a variety of asset classes, such as Treasuries and municipal securities,
investors will not be more affected by single events. For example, an investor would face a high
level of unsystematic risk who owned nothing but airline stocks. For example if airline industry
36
employees decided to go on strike an investor would be vulnerable. This event could, even
temporarily, lower airline stock prices. Simply the anticipation of this news could be disastrous
for her portfolio.
By adding uncorrelated holdings to portfolio, such as stocks outside of the transportation
industry, this investor would spread out air-travel-specific concerns. In this case, unsystematic
risk affects not only specific airlines, but also several industries, such as large food businesses,
which many airlines are doing business with. In this regard, by adding US Treasury Bonds as an
additional protection from stock price fluctuations, an investor could completely diversify away
from public equities.
INVESTMENT AVENUES
Definition
Developing countries such as India are facing the enormous task of finding enough capital in
their efforts for development. Most of these countries find it hard to emerge from the vicious
circle of low income poverty, low savings, low investment, low employment, etc. India needs
very high investment rates with a high capital output ratio to make a leap forward in its efforts to
achieve high growth levels. Since the start of planning, the focus has been on investment as the
primary tools of economic growth and national income growth. Investment was considered the
crucial determinant in order to have production as per target and capital formation had to be
supported by adequate savings volume. Investment is the sacrifice for the uncertain future reward
of some present value. Investments are always interesting, rewarding and challenging. More
return rates are generally assured where there is a high risk. Risk and reward go hand in hand.
Safety of the principal amount, liquidity, income stability, appreciation and easy transferability
are the major characteristics of an investment. There are a variety of investment avenues, such as
shares, banks, businesses, gold and silver, real estate, life insurance, postal savings, etc. Based on
37
their risk-taking attitude, all investors invest their surplus money in the avenues mentioned
above.
Investment options:
• Non-convertible Debentures
A bond for public purposes is a type of debt security used by municipalities to fund facilities
and improvements for public works. A public bond must fund a project that benefits the general
public rather than private individuals. Public bonds are predominantly tax-exempt. At the
federal level, their income is tax-free, and often at the state level when the individual resides in
the bond issuance state.
• Preference shares:
Preference shares, more commonly referred to as preferred stock, are shares of the stock of a
company with dividends paid out to shareholders before the issuance of common stock
dividends. If the company enters bankruptcy, preferred stock holders are entitled to be paid from
company assets before common stockholders. Most preferred shares have a fixed dividend,
whereas generally common stocks do not. Typically, preferred stock shareholders also have no
voting rights, but usually common shareholders do.
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• Equity Shares:
Equity is typically referred to as shareholder equity which is the amount of money that would be
returned to the shareholders of a company if all the assets were liquidated and all the company's
debt was paid off. Equity is found on the balance sheet of a company and is one of the most
common financial metrics that analysts use to evaluate a company's financial health.
• Debt
Debt is a path that most people will know and experience. There is a wide range of debt
instruments that are present from bank fixed deposits to company fixed deposits. Debt is simple
as the investor ill earn at a fixed percentage of the investment, which will then be returned to the
investor at the time of maturity or redemption of the investment.
• Mutual Funds
This is an emerging investment area and the market has a wide variety of schemes to suit a large
number of people's requirements. In finance in general, after all the debts associated with that
asset are paid off, you can think of equity as ownership in any asset.For example, the owner's
equity is considered to be a car or house with no outstanding debt because he or she can easily
sell the item for cash. Stocks are equity because they represent a company's ownership.
• Company Fixed Deposit
Fixed deposit of the company is the deposit placed for a fixed term by investors with companies
carrying a prescribed interest rate. Company FDs are intended primarily for conservative
investors who do not want to take the risk of stock market vagaries. But the 2013 IBEA,
International Business, Economics and Accounting Conference 20 – 23 March 2013, Bangkok –
Thailand experts say an investor's due diligence is similar to that before buying shares. It is not
advisable to be lured by the high interest rate alone.
• Fixed Deposit
Also referred to as term deposits are fixed deposits with banks. For bank FDs, the minimum
investment period is 30 days. Deposits in banks are very safe due to RBI's regulations and the
deposit insurance company's guarantee. The rate of interest on fixed deposits varies with term
of the deposits Bank deposits enjoy exceptionally high liquidity.Loans against bank deposits can
be raised.
39
• Post Office savings
Post Office Monthly Income Scheme is a low risk saving instrument, which can be availed
through any Post Office The interest rate on deposits is slightly higher than banks. The interest
is calculated semi-annually and paid annually for life insurance policies: many investment
schemes are offered to investors by insurance companies. These schemes promote savings and
also provide cover for insurance. LIC is India's largest life insurance firm. Insurance policies,
while catering to the risk compensation to be faced in the future by investor, also have the
advantage of earning a reasonable interest on their investment insurance premiums.
• Public Provident Fund
A long-term saving tool with a 15-year maturity. A PPF account can be opened at any time
during the year through a nationalized bank and is open to depositing money throughout the
year. Tax benefits can be availed for the amount invested and interest accrued is tax-free. Every
year from the seventh financial year of the account opening date, a withdrawal is permitted.
• Real Estate
Investment in real estate also made at very attractive expected returns. Buying property is an
equally strenuous investment decisions. Investment in real estate is often linked to the location's
future development plans. Currently, investment in real assets is booming, there are different
sources of investment available for investment that invest real estate directly or indirectly. In
addition to this, the more affluent investors are likely to be interested in other type of real estate,
like commercial property, agricultural land, semi urban land, and resorts. The bullion offers
investment opportunity in the form of gold, silver, art objects (paintings ,antiques), precious
stones and other metals (precious objects), specific categories of metals are traded in the metal
exchange. (Patil & Nandawar, 2014)
40
Portfolio Management
Individual investors approach the markets from a very different perspective than institutions. Due
to the size of an individual investor’s asset pool, investor may not be able to tolerate short-term
fluctuations in the stock market. One way to address this issue is through diversification.
Diversification is a means of risk management and is accomplished by mixing a variety of
financial instruments within a single portfolio. The diversification objective is to minimize the
impact that any security performance will have on the overall performance of the entire portfolio.
As such, diversification lowers the risk associated with the portfolio.
Imagine you live on an island and the economy is made up of just two companies. One company
sells sunscreen and one sells umbrellas. If you were to invest your entire portfolio in the
company selling sunscreen, you would see strong performance during the sunny parts of the
year, but poor performance when it rains. If you also placed all of your assets in the other
company, the reverse would occur. Most investors would prefer a steady and constant return. In
this case, the solution could be to invest 50% in one company and 50% in the other.The result of
this diversification is that throughout the year you would have decent performance as opposed to
excellent performance at one time and awful at another.
Here are the three main practices which can help to ensure optimal diversification of a portfolio:
1. Divide your portfolio among multiple investment vehicles, such as cash, stocks, bonds, mutual
funds, and more.
2. Vary the risk level of the securities you invest in. Pick investments with varied risk levels. This
will help to ensure that large losses are offset by gains in other areas.
3. Vary your securities according to industry. This helps to reduce the impact of risks that are
industry-specific.
―Diversify across securities, across asset classes, across markets—and across time.‖ –
Charley Ellis
Most investors are familiar with the concept of diversification, which can be broadly described
as "not putting all your eggs in one basket." There is more than one way to diversify after all. An
investor should include six forms of diversification in your portfolio.
41
1. Individual Company Diversification
Getting a diversified allocation of stocks through a bevy of different index funds is easier now
than ever before. This has not always been the case. Nobel laureate Harry Markowitz showed a
significant drop in the risk of a portfolio in the 1950s as additional stocks were added to the
portfolio — even if the individual stocks were all of equal risk. Research revealed that nearly
two out of five stocks actually lost money (39 percent) from 1983 to 2006, nearly one out of five
lost at least 75 percent of their value (18.5 percent) and two out of three lost money. In addition,
nearly all the gains were accounted for by the best 25 percent of all stocks over this period.
2. Industry Diversification
Just as getting a mix of individual businesses is an important way to diversify your portfolio, it is
also important to have a balance across the economy's multiple industries. It is particularly
important to remember to distance yourself from the industry you are most familiar with. Like
the home-country bias, for example, people tend to overweight their home industry as well.
According to "JP Morgan's Markets Guide for December 31, 2015," those living in the West tend
to overweight technology as many are familiar with the tech based companies or are working
directly in the industry. The Northeast favors finance, the Midwest, industry, and energy from the
South. As with individual company stocks, the point is that it is not healthy to overweight an
industry that you also count on for your paycheck or regional economic health.
4. Strategy Diversification
There are different approaches for exposure within asset classes — many of these different
42
strategies (also called risk factors, smart beta, etc.) have been shown to deliver superior returns
over time in academic research versus a market-cap weighted index. But this outperformance
does not occur every year, and long periods of underperformance may occur. For most, the best
approach is a mix of these factors (value, small-cap, momentum, high quality, etc.) with the
realization that you're not going to be allocated 100 percent to the hot strategy, but you're not
going to be committed 100 percent to a lagging strategy as well.
5. Geographic Diversification
Again, most investors have a home-country bias, preferring business-based stocks at home. The
research, however, also shows an advantage in diversifying internationally. For example, think
about the Japanese stock market's performance since its peak in 1989. As author Jonathan
Clements wrote:
What if the U.S. turns out to be the next Japan? It strikes me as improbable. But the subsequent
bear market would also have been considered wildly unlikely in the late 1980s, when Japan's
economy was the world's envy.
My contention: If you’re going to invest heavily in stocks, you should consider allocating as
much as 40% to foreign shares, so you aren’t betting too heavily on a single country’s stock
market. I don't know if it's going to help or hurt returns. But it will reduce risk — and save an
investor from financial disaster.
No economic region will consistently outperform as with asset classes or strategies. Best of all,
having a mix.
6. Time Diversification
Also called dollar-cost averaging, if you’re still contributing to your investment accounts, it can
reduce the impact of poor investment behavior (a lack of discipline) or unlucky timing. While
research shows that around 70 percent of the time a lump sum is invested is better than investing
it over time, averaging dollar-cost or any rules-based approach can lead to better investor
behavior and thus better investment results. As author Ben Carlson wrote, ―Dollar cost averaging
takes the responsibility of poor timing decisions out of your hands. It's not the perfect solution,
but it helps move you from short-term forecasts to long-term planning.
43
FMCG Sector
Favorable demographics and rise in income level to boost FMCG market. FMCG market in India
is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27.86 per cent and is expected to reach US$ 103.70 billion by
2020 from US$ 52.75 billion in FY18. FMCG is the 4th largest sector in the Indian economy.
Final consumption expenditure is set to increase at a CAGR of 25.44 per cent from 2017-2021.
Final consumption expenditure is expected to reach nearly US$ 3.6 trillion by 2020 from US$
1.82 trillion in 2017. Rise in rural consumption to drive the FMCG market. In FY18, Rural
consumption rose by 9.7 per cent. The rural FMCG market in India is expected to grow to US$
220.00 billion by 2025 from US$ 23.63 billion in FY18.
44
ITC
Name Designation
Sanjiv Puri Managing Director
Nakul Anand Executive Director
Shilabhadra Banerjee Non Executive Director
Sunil Behari Mathur Non Executive Director
Meera Shankar Non Executive Director
John Pulinthanam Non Executive Director
Rajiv Tandon Executive Director & CFO
David Robert Simpson Non Executive Director
Arun Duggal Non Executive Director
Sahibzada Syed Habib-ur-Rehman Non Executive Director
Nirupama Rao Non Executive Director
Hemant Bhargava Non Executive Director
45
Marico
Name Designation
Harsh Mariwala Chairman & Non-Exe.Director
Rajen Mariwala Non Executive Director
B S Nagesh Independent Director
Rajeev Bakshi Independent Director
Ananth Sankaranarayanan Independent Director
Saugata Gupta Managing Director & CEO
Rishabh Mariwala Non Executive Director
Hema Ravichandar Independent Director
Nikhil Khattau Independent Director
46
Dabur
Name Designation
Anand C Burman Chairman
Sunil Duggal Whole Time Director
Mohit Burman Director
P N Vijay Director
S Narayan Director
Sanjay Kumar Bhattacharyya Director
Amit Burman Vice Chairman
P D Narang Whole Time Director
Saket Burman Director
R C Bhargava Director
Ajay Dua Director
Falguni Sanjay Nayar Director
Mohit Malhotra WholeTime Director & CEO
47
HUL
Name Designation
Sanjiv Mehta Managing Director & CEO
Dev Bajpai Executive Director
S Ramadorai Independent Director
Sanjiv Misra Independent Director
Aditya Narayan Independent Director
Pradeep Banerjee Executive Director
Srinivas Phatak Executive Director & CFO
O P Bhatt Independent Director
Kalpana Morparia Independent Director
Leo Puri Independent Director
48
P&G
Name Designation
Rajendra A Shah Chairman
Bansidhar S Mehta Director
Pramod Agarwal Director
Sonali Dhawan Director
Meena Ganesh Ind. Non-Executive Director
Madhusudan Gopalan Managing Director
Anil Kumar Gupta Director
Karthik Natarajan Director
Gagan Sawhney Non Executive Director
Ghanashyam Hegde Non Executive Director
49
Nestle
Name Designation
Suresh Narayanan Chairman & Managing Director
Martin Roemkens Director - Technical
Swati A Piramal Ind. Non-Executive Director
Rama Bijapurkar Ind. Non-Executive Director
Shobinder Duggal Director & CFO
Rajya Vardhan Kanoria Ind. Non-Executive Director
Rakesh Mohan Ind. Non-Executive Director
Roopa Kudva Ind. Non-Executive Director
50
Britannia
Name Designation
Nusli N Wadia Chairman
A K Hirjee Director
Nimesh N Kampani Director
Keki Dadiseth Director
Ness N Wadia Director
Y S P Thorat Director
Keki Elavia Director
Varun Berry Managing Director
Avijit Deb Director
Jeh N Wadia Director
Ranjana Kumar Director
Ajay Shah Director
51
Colgate Palmolive
Name Designation
Mukul Deoras Chairman
P K Ghosh Deputy Chairman, Non Exe. & Ind.Director
M S Jacob WholeTime Director & CFO
Indu Shahani Ind. Non-Executive Director
Vikram Mehta Ind. Non-Executive Director
R A Shah Vice Chairman, Non Exe. & Ind.Director
Issam Bachaalani Managing Director
M Chandrasekar Whole Time Director
Shyamala Gopinath Ind. Non-Executive Director
Sukanya Kripalu Independent Director
52
Banking Sector
Value of public sector bank assets increased to US$ 1.56 trillion in FY18 from US$ 1.52 trillion
in FY17. Total lending has increased at a CAGR of 10.94 per cent during FY07-18 and total
deposits have increased at a CAGR of 11.66 per cent, during FY07-18 and are further poised for
growth, backed by demand for housing and personal finance. As of September 2018, total
number of ATMs in India increased to 205,866 and is further expected to increase to 407,000 by
2021. As of December 2018, 56 regional rural banks are functioning in the country. RBI has
allowed, regional rural banks with net worth of at least US$ 15.28 million to launch internet
banking facilities. As of September 2018, the Government of India has launched India Post
Payments Bank (IPPB) and has opened branches across 650 districts to achieve the objective of
financial inclusion.
Figure 4. 4 Banking Sector
53
HDFC Bank
Name Designation
Shyamala Gopinath Chairperson
Kaizad Bharucha Executive Director
Malay Patel Director
Srikanth Nadhamuni Director
Srikanth Nadhamuni Director
Aditya Puri Managing Director
Keki Mistry Director
Umesh Chandra Sarangi Director
MD Ranganath Addnl. & Ind.Director
Srikanth Nadhamuni Director
54
ICICI Bank
Table 4. 10 Mangement
Name Designation
Girish Chandra Chaturvedi Non Exe.Part Time Chairman
Vijay Chandok Executive Director
Sandeep Bakhshi Managing Director & CEO
Hari L Mundra Independent Director
B Sriram Independent Director
Subramanian Madhavan Independent Director
Vishakha Mulye Executive Director
Anup Bagchi Executive Director
Neelam Dhawan Non Executive Director
Radhakrishnan Nair Independent Director
Lalit Kumar Chandel Government Nominee Director
Rama Bijapurkar Independent Director
Rama Bijapurkar Independent Director
55
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Table 4. 11 Management
Name Designation
Shankar Acharya Chairman
Dipak Gupta Joint Managing Director
Uday Khanna Director
S Mahendra Dev Director
Uday Shankar Independent Director
Uday Kotak Managing Director & CEO
Farida Khambata Director
C Jayaram Director
Prakash Apte Director
56
State Bank of India
State Bank of India offers a variety of products and services to
private, commercial, large corporate, public and institutional
clients. Its segments include Treasury, which includes the entire
portfolio of investments and derivative contract and foreign
exchange trading ; Corporate / Wholesale Banking, which
includes the lending activities of the Corporate Accounts Group,
Mid Corporate Accounts Group and Stressed Assets Management Group ; Retail Banking,
Comprising branches within the National Banking Group, which include primarily Personal
Banking activities, including lending to corporate clients with branches within the National
Banking Group, and Other Banking Business, This includes all non-bank subsidiary / joint
ventures other than SBI Life Insurance Co operations. General Insurance Co. Ltd. and SBI. Ltd.
Domestic operations and foreign operations are part of its geographical segments.
Name Designation
Rajnish Kumar Chairman
Dinesh Kumar Khara Managing Director
Bhaskar Pramanik Shareholder Director
Rajiv Kumar Nominee Director
Pushpendra Rai Nominee Director
Purnima Gupta Nominee Director
B Venugopal Shareholder Director
P K Gupta Managing Director
Girish K Ahuja Nominee Director
Chandan Sinha Nominee Director
Arijit Basu Managing Director
Anshula Kant Managing Director
57
Axis Bank
Table 4. 13 Management
Name Designation
Sanjiv Misra Chairman
B Babu Rao Director
Som Mittal Director
Usha Sangwan Director
Rakesh Makhija Director
Amitabh Chaudhry Managing Director
Ketaki Bhagwati Director
Samir K Barua Director
Rohit Bhagat Director
S Vishvanathan Director
Stephen Pagliuca Director
Amitabh Chaudhry Managing Director & CEO
58
Bank of Baroda
Table 4. 14 Management
Name Designation
59
Punjab National Bank
Table 4. 15 Management
Name Designation
60
Yes Bank
Name Designation
Brahm Dutt Part Time Chairman
Uttam Prakash Agarwal Independent Director
Maheswar Sahu Independent Director
Pratima Sheorey Independent Director
R Gandhi Additional Director
Subhash Chander Kalia Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Ravneet Gill Managing Director & CEO
T S Vijayan Independent Director
Anil Jaggia Independent Director
Ajai Kumar Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Subhash Chander Kali Ind. Non-Executive Director
61
Automobile Sector
62
TATA Motors
Tata Motors Limited is an automobile company. The Company is
engaged in motor vehicle manufacturing. The Company is mainly
engaged in the automobile product business consisting of all types
of commercial and passenger vehicles, including vehicle financing
sold by the Company. The segments of the company include
automotive operations as well as all other operations. The Company's automotive segment
operations include all activities relating to the development, design, manufacture, assembly and
sale of vehicles, including vehicle financing, as well as sale of related parts and accessories. The
Company manufactures and sells passenger vehicles, utility vehicles, light commercial vehicles,
and medium and heavy commercial vehicles in the automotive segment. The Company's other
segment of operations mainly comprises information technology (IT) services, and machine tools
and factory automation services. The Company operates in over 160 countries across the world.
Table 4. 17 Management
Name Designation
63
Mahindra & Mahindra
Name Designation
64
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd.
Maruti Suzuki India Limited is a holding company. The company manufactures, buys and sells
motor vehicles, components and spare parts (automobiles). The Company's other activities
include facilitating pre-owned car sales, managing the fleet and financing the car. Geographic
segments include the domestic segment, which includes sales to Indian-based customers, and the
overseas segment, which includes sales to outside India customers. The product portfolio of the
company is comprised of Alto 800, Alto K10, Wagon R, Celerio, Ritz, Swift, DZire, Ertiga,
Omni, Eeco, Gypsy and Ciaz. Maruti Finance, True Value, Maruti Genuine Parts, Maruti
Genuine Accessories, Maruti Suzuki Auto Card and Maruti Driving School are among its service
offerings. It has about five plants in Palam Gurgaon Road, Gurgaon, Haryana, and Manesar
Industrial Town, Gurgaon, Haryana, with an installed capacity of more than 1.5 million vehicles
per year.
Table 4. 19 Management
Name Designation
R C Bhargava Chairman
T Hasuike Director
K Saito Director
K Ayabe Director
T Suzuki Director
O Suzuki Director
65
Hero MotoCorp Ltd
Name Designation
Name Designation
66
Bajaj Auto
Name Designation
67
Pradeep Shrivastava Executive Director
68
TVS Motors
Name Designation
Venu Srinivasan Chairman & Managing Director
Rajesh Narasimhan Director
T Kannan Director
Lakshmi Venu Director
Prince Asirvatham Director
Lalita D Gupte Independent Director
Sudarshan Venu Joint Managing Director
H Lakshmanan Director
C R Dua Director
R Ramakrishnan Director
K N Radhakrishnan Whole Time Director
R Gopalan Independent Director
69
Eicher Motors
Name Designation
S Sandilya Chairman
70
Ashok Leyland
Name Designation
71
IT Sector
India’s IT industry contributed around 7.7 per cent to the country’s GDP and is expected to
contribute 10 per cent of India’s GDP by 2025. IT industry employs nearly 3.97 million people in
India of which 105,000 were added in FY18. The industry added around 105,000 jobs in FY18
and is expected to add over 250,000 new jobs in 2019.
IT industry is fueling the growth of start-ups in India, with the presence of around 5,300 tech
start-ups in India. The IT-BPM sector in India expanded at a CAGR of 10.71 per cent to US$
167 billion in FY18 from US$ 74 billion in FY10, which is 3–4 times higher than the global IT-
BPM growth. It is estimated that the size of the industry will grow to US$ 350 billion by 2025.
India is the leading sourcing destination across the world, accounting for approximately 55 per
cent market share of the US$ 185-190 billion global services sourcing business in 2017-18.
The computer software and hardware sector in India attracted cumulative Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) inflows worth US$ 35.82 billion between April 2000 and December 2018 and
ranks second in inflow of FDI, as per data released by the Department for Promotion of Industry
and Internal Trade (DPIIT).
Total export revenue of the industry is expected to grow 7-9 per cent year-on-year to US$ 135-
137 billion in FY19. IT-BPM sector accounts for largest share in total Indian services export,
which is 45 per cent.The contribution of the IT sector to India’s GDP stood at 7.9 per cent in
2017-18.
Figure 4. 6
IT Sector
72
Tata Consultancy Services
Name Designation
N Chandrasekaran Chairman
N G Subramaniam Exe.Director & COO
A Mehta Independent Director
O P Bhatt Independent Director
Hanne Birgitte Breinbjerg Sorensen Independent Director
Daniel Hughes Callahan Independent Director
Rajesh Gopinathan Managing Director & CEO
Aarthi Subramanian Director
R Sommer Independent Director
P K Khosla Independent Director
73
Infosys
Name Designation
Nandan M Nilekani Chairman
U B Pravin Rao Whole Time Director & COO
Punita Kumar Sinha Independent Director
D Sundaram Independent Director
Salil Parekh Managing Director & CEO
Roopa Kudva Independent Director
D N Prahlad Independent Director
Kiran Mazumdar Shaw Independent Director
74
Wipro
Name Designation
Azim H Premji Executive Chairman
Rishad Premji Executive Director
Ashok S Ganguly Independent Director
M K Sharma Independent Director
Patrick J Ennis Independent Director
Arundhati Bhattacharya Independent Director
Abidali Z Neemuchwala Executive Director & CEO
Narayanan Vaghul Independent Director
William Arthur Owens Independent Director
Ireena Vittal Independent Director
Patrick Dupuis Independent Director
75
Tech Mahindra
Name Designation
Anand G Mahindra Chairman
Anupam Puri Director
M Rajyalakshmi Rao Director
T N Manoharan Director
V S Parthasarathy Director
C P Gurnani Managing Director & CEO
M Damodaran Director
Ravindra Kulkarni Director
Ulhas N Yargop Director
Mukti Khaire Additional Director
76
Tata Elxsi Limited
Name Designation
N Ganapathy Subramaniam Chairman
M S Ananth Independent Director
S Gopinath Independent Director
Ankur Verma Additional Director
Name Designation
Madhukar Dev Managing Director & CEO
Sudhakar Rao Independent Director
P McGoldrick Independent Director
77
Oracle
Name Designation
S Venkatachalam Chairman
Harinderjit Singh Director
Robert K Weiler Director
Kimberly Woolley Director
Vincent Secondo Grelli Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Makarand Padalkar Whole Time Director
Chaitanya Kamat Managing Director & CEO
Richard Jackson Director
Sridhar Srinivasan Director
Yong Meng Kau Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Jane Murphy Ind. Non-Executive Director
78
Mindtree
Name Designation
Krishnakumar Natarajan Executive Chairman
Rostow Ravanan Managing Director & CEO
Bijou Kurien Independent Director
Akshaya Bhargava Independent Director
N S Parthasarathy Executive Vice Chairman
Subroto Bagchi Non Executive Director
Apurva Purohit Independent Director
Milind Sarwate Independent Director
79
HCL Technologies
Name Designation
Shiv Nadar Chairman & Chief Strategy Officer
Ramanathan Srinivasan Ind. Non-Executive Director
Sosale Shankara Sastry Ind. Non-Executive Director
Thomas Sieber Ind. Non-Executive Director
Deepak Kapoor Ind. Non-Executive Director
Roshni Nadar Malhotra Non Executive Director
Robin Abrams Ind. Non-Executive Director
Subramanian Madhavan Ind. Non-Executive Director
Nishi Vasudeva Ind. Non-Executive Director
James Philip Adamczyk Ind. Non-Executive Director
80
Consumer Durables
Indian consumer durables market is broadly segregated into urban and rural markets, and is
attracting marketers from across the world. The sector comprises of a huge middle class,
relatively large affluent class and a small economically disadvantaged class. Global corporations
view India as one of the key markets from where future growth is likely to emerge. The growth
in India’s consumer market would be primarily driven by a favorable population composition
and increasing disposable incomes. Per capita GDP of India is expected to reach US$ 3,273.85 in
2023 from US$ 1,983 in 2012. The maximum consumer spending is likely to occur in food,
housing, consumer durables, and transport and communication sectors. The growing purchasing
power and rising influence of the social media have enabled Indian consumers to splurge on
good things. Import of electronic goods reached US$ 53 billion in FY18.Indian appliance and
consumer electronics (ACE) market reached Rs 2.05 trillion (US$ 31.48 billion) in 2017. India is
one of the largest growing electronics market in the world. Indian electronics market is expected
to grow at 41 per cent CAGR between 2017-20 to reach US$ 400 billion. As of FY18, washing
machine, refrigerator and air conditioner market in India were estimated around Rs 7,000 crore
(US$ 1.09 billion), Rs 19,500 crore (US$ 3.03 billion) and Rs 20,000 crore (US$ 3.1 billion),
respectively. India’s smartphone market in 2018 grew by 14.5 per cent with a shipment of 142.3
million units. India is expected to have 829 million smartphone users by 2022. Consumer
durables index under the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) has grown 7.5 per cent year-on-
year between Apr-Dec 2018.
Figure 4. 7
Consumer
Durables
81
Titan
Titan Company Limited offers watches, jewelry and other
products. The Company's segments include Watches,
Jewellery, Eyewear and Others. The Company offers plain
and studded brands of gold jewelry, such as Tanishq,
GoldPlus, Zoya, Mia, retailed through Tanishq, GoldPlus,
Zoya & Mia stores. The Company provides watches and accessories such as bags, brand
sunglasses, including Titan, Sonata, Fastrack, and sub-brands such as Raga, Xylys, and Edge.
The watches and accessories of the company are retailed through the stores of World of Titan,
Helios and Fastrack. The company offers in brands such as Eye+ frames, contact lenses, and
sunglasses. Titan Eye Plus stores retail the company's eyewear brands. It also offers solutions for
component and subassembly precision engineering (PECSA) and machine building and
automation (MBA). The Company's subsidiaries include Titan TimeProducts Limited, Favre
Leuba AG and Titan Engineering and Automation Limited.
Table 4. 33 Management
Name Designation
N N Tata Vice Chairman
Ramesh Chand Meena Director
Hema Ravichandar Director
Harish Bhat Director
B Santhanam Director
N Muruganandam Chairman & Director
Bhaskar Bhat Managing Director
T K Balaji Director
Ireena Vittal Director
Ashwani Puri Director
Arun Roy Additional Director
Pradyumna Rameshchandra Vyas Independent Director
82
Voltas
Table 4. 34 Management
Name Designation
Noel N Tata Chairman
Anil George Deputy Managing Director
V Deshpande Director
Bahram N Vakil Director
Hemant Bhargava Director
Pradeep Bakshi Managing Director
Nani Javeri Director
D Sarangi Director
Anjali Bansal Director
Arun Kumar Adhikari Director
83
Whirlpool
Table 4. 35 Management
Name Designation
Arvind Uppal Non Executive Chairman
Anil Berera Executive Director
Anand Narain Bhatia Independent Director
Sonu Halan Bhasin Independent Director
Sunil D’Souza Managing Director
Arumalla Hari Bhavanarayana Reddy Executive Director
Sanjiv Verma Independent Director
84
IFB
Table 4. 36 Management
Name Designation
Bijon Nag Executive Chairman
Sudam Maitra Deputy Managing Director
Sudip Banerjee Non Executive Director
Rathindra Nath Mitra Independent Director
Rahul Choudhuri Independent Director
Bikram Nag Jt.Exe.Chairman & M.D
Prabir Chatterjee Director & CFO
Ashok Bhandari Independent Director
Sangeeta Shankaran Sumesh Independent Director
85
Bajaj Electricals
Table 4. 37 Management
Name Designation
Shekhar Bajaj Chairman & Managing Director
Ashok Jalan Director
Indu Shahani Director
Anuj Poddar Executive Director
Munish Khetrapal Ind. Non-Executive Director
Harsh Vardhan Goenka Director
Madhur Bajaj Director
Rajendra Prasad Singh Director
Siddharth Mehta Director
Pooja Bajaj Non Executive Director
86
Havells
Name Designation
Anil Rai Gupta Chairman & Managing Director
Ameet Kumar Gupta Whole Time Director
Puneet Bhatia Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Vijay Kumar Chopra Independent Director
Surender Kumar Tuteja Independent Director
Vellayan Subbiah Independent Director
Upendra Kumar Sinha Independent Director
Rajesh Kumar Gupta Whole-time Director (Finance) and Group CFO
Surjit Kumar Gupta Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
T V Mohandas Pai Non Exe.Non Ind.Director
Pratima Ram Independent Director
Adarsh Kishore Independent Director
Jalaj Ashwin Dani Independent Director
87
Symphony
Table 4. 39 Management
Name Designation
Ashish Deshpande Independent Director
Nrupesh Shah Executive Director
Naishadh Parikh Independent Director
Reena Bhagwati Independent Woman Director
Achal Bakeri Chairman & Managing Director
Jonaki Bakeri Non Executive Director
Dipak Palkar Independent Director
88
V-Guard
Table 4. 40Management
Name Designation
Kochouseph Chittilappilly Chairman
Mithun K Chittilappilly Managing Director
A K Nair Director
Ullas K Kamath Director
Radha Unni Independent Director
Cherian N Punnoose Vice Chairman
V Ramachandran Director & COO
Joshna Johnson Thomas Director
C J George Director
89
Chapter 5
Analysis and
interpretation
90
Tools and Techniques used in the analysis
2) RISK=√ΣD2/(n-1)
D2 =Difference*Difference
Monthly price of the selected companies was analyzed from April 2015 to March 2019
to find risk, return and beta of the companies.
91
Table 5. 1 Risk, Return & Beta of FMCG Sector
13.28034 13.67544
7.586454
6.437345
5.813651
4.961815 4.943792
4.362928
3.81
3.05
1.5
0.96 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.37
Return Risk
92
Interpretation
From the above graph and table it can be concluded that Britannia has the highest
risk(13.67544) and gives highest return(3.81%).
Colgate provides the lowest return(0.37%) and hence has the lowest risk(0.5659).
ITC has the highest beta(0.9693) which shows that the company is highly volatile to the
market indice Nifty FMCG.
Marico has a negative beta(-0.016) through which we can conclude that the company does
not perform along with the market.
The second highest company providing return(3.05%) is Marico and similarly it has
risk(13.28034).
93
Table 5.2 Risk, Return & Beta of Auto Sector
12
10.89596
10 9.520022
8.124842 8.294871
7.797662
8
6.780145 6.527818 6.280103
6
2 1.61
1.26
0.85
0.24 0.21 0.37 0.47
0 -1.37
Tata Motors Maruti Mahindra & Hero Baja Auto TVS Ashok Eicher
Suzuki Mahindra Motorcop Leyland Motors
-2
Return Risk
94
Interpretation
Tata Motors has the highest risk(10.8959) among the 8 companies. But it provides the
negative returns(-1.37%).
So it can be said that investing in Tata Motors involves high risk but does not provide returns
to the shareholder.
Ashok Leyland also has high risk(9.52) but does not provide returns(0.37%) accordingly.
TVS is the 3rd company if risk(8.294871) is taken into consideration and it provides the
highest return(1.61%) among the companies.
Maruti Suzuki also provides good return(1.26%) if compared to risk(8.1248) associated with
the company.
Tata Motors has high beta(1.4174) so it is highly volatile in nature and as Bajaj Auto is
having lowest Beta(0.7063) it is not much volatile to market index.
Average return of the 8 companies in Auto sector is 0.46% and average risk is 8.027.
95
Table 5.3 Risk, Return & Beta of IT Sector
10.88112 10.7289
8.11503
6.95878
6.232523
5.829648 5.573201 5.404864
Return Risk
96
Interpretation
The company having highest risk(10.88) is Tata Elxsi and also it provides return(1.41%)
accordingly as highest.
Mindtree has second highest risk(6.95) but TCS provides more return(1.39%) than
mindtree(1.24%).
Wipro, Infosys & HCL can also be considered as good investment options because they
provide better return as compared to the risk their stocks hold.
97
Table 5.4 Risk, Return & Beta of Banking Sector
46.70583
16.75148
12.48354
8.981331 7.935958
7.047046 7.5
4.764655 5.574787
1.8 0.65 1.76 1.13
0.33
Retrun Risk
98
Interpretation
Yes bank has a very high risk(46.705) and hence it is able to provide good returns(7.50%)
to the stock holders but this huge standard is highly risky to the investors and also its
fundamentals are not quite strong.
BOB and PNB stocks also involve high risk but provide returns in negative.
HDFC, Kotak and ICICI as compared to others companies involve low risk and provide
good returns.
99
Table 5.5 Risk, Return & Beta of Consumer Durables Sector
175.3691
28.65
24.70737
8.30781 9.811336 8.464095 13.76623 10.34568 7.949284
2.44 1.88 2.3 3.52
1.31 1.74 2.04
Titan Voltas Whirlpool IFB Bajaj Havells Symphony V-Guard
Return Risk
100
Interpretation
V-Guard has the highest risk(175.36) and it is too much for a investor as the prices fluctuated
highly in only one month and it can be considered to be very risky. The returns(28.65%) also
resulted to be very high as a result of that month. Hence investing in this stock is very risky.
Havells has a lowest risk (7.94) and provides a return of 2.30% which can be considered as a
good option for a investor.
V-Guard has high beta(4.87) and hence it can be said that it is highly volatile to market index
Nifty Cons.
Voltas has negative beta(-0.06) and hence it is not volatile to the market.
101
Suggested Portfolios
1. Portfolio A
The below mentioned stocks are suggested on the basis of companies which have high risk
and provide high return among the companies of each sector.
Companies Sector
Britannia FMCG
TVS Auto
Tata Elxsi IT
Yes Banking
2. Porfolio B
The below mentioned companies are suggested with the parameter of stocks having moderate
risk and giving moderate return.
Companies Sector
HUL FMCG
Infosys IT
Kotak Banking
102
3. Portfolio C
The below mentioned companies are the one which provide low risk and low return among
the 8 companies.
Companies Sector
P&G FMCG
HCL IT
SBI Banking
4. Portfolio D
The following companies have been selected on the basis of low risk and high return.
Companies Sector
HUL FMCG
HCL IT
HDFC Banking
103
5. Portfolio E
Net profit ratio, Debt ratio, P/E Ratio, EPS, Return on assets, Return on equity were studied
to suggest below portfolio.
(Source : Annexure)
Companies Sector
HUL FMCG
Oracle IT
HDFC Banking
104
Calculation of Certain ratios of Suggested Portfolios
1) Treynor Ratio
The Treynor ratio, also known as the reward-to-volatility ratio, is a performance metric to
determine how much exess return has been produced by a portfolio for each risk unit.
In this sense, excess return refers to the return earned above the return that a risk-free investment
could have earned. Risk in the Treynor ratio refers to systematic risk as measured by a
portfolio's beta. Beta measures the tendency of a portfolio's return to change in response to
changes in return for the overall market.
Treynor:Ratio=rp−rf÷βp
Where,rp=portfolio return
rf=risk-free rate
βp=beta of the portfolio
Treynor Rank
Portfolio A 0.022127 2
Portfolio B -0.22628 8
Portfolio C -1.24875 10
Portfolio D -0.32288 9
Portfolio E -0.18202 7
Portfolio F -0.05757 5
Portfolio G -0.04538 4
Portfolio H -0.05964 6
Portfolio I -0.03305 3
Portfolio J 0.03588 1
Table 5.12 Treynor ratio
105
Interpretation
The Treynor ratio calculates how much an investment earned for the assumed risk unit above
the risk-free market rate. Although similar to the Sharpe ratio, its risk measurement is
different. While the Sharpe ratio considers the investment's total risk, the Treynor ratio only
considers the systematic risk, assuming that the portfolio's development of non-systematic
risk is completely diversified. Risk is the systematic risk or non-diversifiable risk in the
Treynor ratio, represented by beta. The Treynor measure represents the excess return per risk
unit. As the Treynor measure implicitly assumes the portfolio is well diverse.
According to the above table, Portfolio J is having the highest Treynor Ratio. This shows that
the portfolio is well diversified than others. As per above table Portfolio C is having lowest
treynor ratio and the portfolio is not well diversified.
106
2) Jensen Ratio
The Jensen measure is a risk-adjusted performance measure that reflects the average return on a
portfolio or investment above or below the capital asset pricing model(CAPM) forecast,
considering the beta of the portfolio or investment and the average market return. This metric
also frequently referred to as the alpha of Jensen, or merely alpha.
Jensen's measure is one of the ways to determine if a portfolio is earning the proper return for its
level of risk. If the value is positive, then the portfolio is earning excess returns.
B = the beta of the portfolio of investment with respect to the chosen market index
Jensen Rank
Portfolio A 0.092193 2
Portfolio B -0.03423 8
Portfolio C -0.05343 10
Portfolio D -0.03831 9
Portfolio E -0.02994 7
Portfolio F 0.011856 5
Portfolio G 0.029315 4
107
Portfolio H 0.008617 6
Portfolio I 0.039484 3
Portfolio J 0.287872 1
Interpretation
Jensen’s measure is one of the ways to determine if a portfolio is earning the proper return
for its level of risk. If the value is positive, then the portfolio is earning excess returns. In
other words, a positive value for Jensen’s alpha means a fund manager has ―beat the market‖
with his stock
Jensen measure is used in comparison of fund’s performance with its benchmark. The
negative ratio shows the underperformed fund and positive ratio shows the outer performance
of the fund.
108
3) Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe and is used to help
investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average
return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk.
where:Rp=return of portfolio
Rf=risk-free rate
Sharpe Rank
Portfolio A 0.187212 2
Portfolio B -0.88612 7
Portfolio C -0.89197 8
Portfolio D -1.53793 10
Portfolio E -0.86998 6
Portfolio F -0.70628 4
Portfolio G -1.4124 9
Portfolio H -0.7075 5
Portfolio I -0.42981 3
Portfolio J 0.431595 1
109
Interpretation
Modern portfolio theory states that adding Assets to a diversified portfolio that have
correlations of less than one with each other can decrease portfolio risk without sacrificing
return. Such diversification will serve to increase the Sharpe ratio of a portfolio.
The Sharpe ratio is often used to compare the change in a portfolio’s overall risk-return
characteristics when a new asset or asset class is added to it. Also, Sharpe ratio can help in
explaining whether a portfolio’s excess returns are due to smart investment decisions or a
result of too much risk.
According to the above table, as portfolio J’s Sharpe ratio is highest, it has the ability to give
the highest return.
110
4) Fama Measure
The Fama and French Three-Factor Model (or the Fama French Model for short) is an asset
pricing model developed in 1992 that expands on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by
adding size risk and value risk factors to the market risk factor in CAPM. This model considers
the fact that value and small-cap stocks outperform markets on a regular basis. By including
these two additional factors, the model adjusts for this outperforming tendency, which is thought
to make it a better tool for evaluating manager performance.
Fama Rank
Portfolio A 0.237804 2
Portfolio B 0.053614 8
Portfolio C 0.060207 6
Portfolio D 0.009639 10
Portfolio E 0.054618 7
Portfolio F 0.082996 4
Portfolio G 0.015868 9
Portfolio H 0.073959 5
Portfolio I 0.113528 3
Portfolio J 0.509769 1
Interpretation
According to the above concept of Fama measure, highest ratio shows the best situation of
the fund.
As per the above table, portfolio J shows the highest Fama measure, which is good for the
investment. Fama measure compares the Rp with market securities. Portfolio D shows the
lowest ratio which is quite risky to invest in.
111
5) Sortino Ratio
The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total
overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative portfolio returns,
called downside deviation, instead of the total standard deviation of portfolio returns.
Sortino Ratio=Rp−rf÷σd
where,
Rp=Actual or expected portfolio return
rf=Risk-free rate
σd=Standard deviation of the downside
Just like the Sharpe ratio, a higher Sortino ratio result is better. When looking at two similar
investments, a rational investor would prefer the one with the higher Sortino ratio because it
means that the investment is earning more return per unit of the bad risk that it takes on.
Sortino Rank
Portfolio A 3.3988547 2
Portfolio B -7.707785 7
Portfolio C -8.766445 10
Portfolio D -7.593252 6
Portfolio E -7.58087 5
Portfolio F -8.001857 8
Portfolio G -8.1102 9
Portfolio H -7.150596 4
Portfolio I -5.355208 3
Portfolio J 14.98994 1
112
Interpretation
According to the above concept of Sortino Ratio, highest ratio shows the best situation of the
fund.
As per the above table, portfolio J shows the highest Sortino Ratio, which is good for the
investment. Portfolio D shows the lowest ratio which is quite risky to invest in.
113
Chapter 6
Findings
114
In FMCG sector Britannia has highest risk(13.67544) and gives highest
return(3.81%).Colgate provides the lowest return(0.37%) and hence has the lowest
risk(0.5659).
Tata Motors has the highest risk(10.8959) among the 8 companies. But it provides the
negative returns(-1.37%). Maruti Suzuki also provides good return(1.26%) if compared to
risk(8.1248) associated with the company. Average return of the 8 companies in Auto sector
is 0.46% and average risk is 8.027.
The company having highest risk(10.88) is Tata Elxsi and also it provides return(1.41%)
accordingly as highest. Mindtree has second highest risk(6.95) but TCS provides more
return(1.39%) than mindtree(1.24%). TCS involves low risk (6.95) and good returns(1.39%).
Yes bank has a very high risk(46.705) and hence it is able to provide good returns(7.50%) to
the stock holders but this huge standard is highly risky to the investors and also its
fundamentals are not quite strong. HDFC, Kotak and ICICI as compared to others companies
involve low risk and provide good returns.
V-Guard has the highest risk(175.36) and it is too much for a investor as the prices fluctuated
highly in only one month and it can be considered to be very risky. The returns(28.65%) also
resulted to be very high as a result of that month. Hence investing in this stock is very risky.
Havells has a lowest risk (7.94) and provides a return of 2.30% which can be considered as a
good option for a investor.
115
Chapter 7
Recommendations
116
The researcher has done analysis through various measures to evaluate the performance of
different portfolios. According to the figures the rank has also been given to the particular
portfolio. Here are the top five portfolios according to each measure.
Treynor Ratio
Portfolio J Sector Wise Companies(Consumer Durables)
Jensen Ratio
Portfolio J Sector Wise Companies(Consumer Durables)
Sharpe Ratio
Portfolio J Sector Wise Companies(Consumer Durables)
117
Fama Measure
Portfolio J Sector Wise Companies(Consumer Durables)
Sortino Ratio
Portfolio J Sector Wise Companies(Consumer Durables)
Portfolio A High Risk High Return
Portfolio I Sector Wise Companies(Auto)
Portfolio H Sector Wise Companies(Banking)
Portfolio E Based on fundamentals
118
Chapter 8
Conclusion
119
Analysis of Risk-return relationship on Indian Stock Market showed that risk and return has
positive relationship. So we can say that risk-return can be used in Indian Stock Market to
evaluate security/portfolio. Which also suggest that excess return of market and the portfolios
risk are the most significant determinants of the on any portfolio.
The study risk return investigation helps the investor to pick up the securities based on his
choice. The study of this kind provides information about the performance of various stocks in
the market in terms of risk and return. This project report emphasizes on the market fluctuations
relations to the prices of Scrip’s though it is difficult to observe a pattern for the price
movements. Using parameters such as risk and return some stocks and portfolios are suggested
to the investors. However, we cannot say that any one method is sufficient to analyze and
interpret the fluctuations but they help the investor to define the trends to some extent.
From our study we can conclude that there is a strong positive relation between risk and return of
equity stocks. This helps in planning one’s investment corresponding to his/her expected rate of
return and the risk appetite.
120
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122
Annexure
TCS
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 24.4 25.92 25.51 26.87
Return on Equity 38.1 33.27 30.31 35.49
Retrun on Assets 30.21 27.72 26.35 29.8
Debt ratio 0 0 0 0
P/E 27.01
EPS 79.34 131.15 120.04 117.11
Wipro
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 15.82 17.27 17.72 18.35
Return on Equity 15.41 18.27 17.47 19.89
Retrun on Assets 11.36 13.16 12.92 13.91
Debt ratio 0.1 0.11 0.13 0.16
P/E 19.98
EPS 12.67 16.26 33.61 33.38
Infosys
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 20.11 26.08 23.3 23.51
Return on Equity 23.44 25.44 20.31 20.78
Retrun on Assets 18.62 21.29 17.29 17.45
Debt ratio
P/E 21.58
EPS 33.66 71.28 60.16 55.26
Tech Mahindra
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 16.09 16.9 13.15 15.35
Return on Equity 21.21 20.46 18.04 23.75
Retrun on Assets 14.43 14.92 12.84 15.59
Debt ratio 0 0.01 0.01 0.01
P/E 16.78
EPS 44.58 40.84 31.37 33.4
HCL
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
123
Net Margin 31.46 33.35 35.57 35.12
Return on Equity 26.88 26.7 26.46 21.95
Retrun on Assets 21.85 22.43 21.23 17.74
Debt ratio
P/E 14.85
EPS 59.69 52.54 48.18 33.52
Oracle
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 35.81 26.05 34.47 23.98
Return on Equity 33.05 26.42 48.13 22.68
Retrun on Assets 28.84 21.63 25.24 17.87
Debt ratio
P/E 20.51
EPS 149.77 117.91 151.57 105.95
Tata Elxsi
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 18.15 17.31 14.12 14.39
Return on Equity 30.75 32.5 31.34 40.13
Retrun on Assets 25.36 25.3 24.43 25.81
Debt ratio
P/E 18.38
EPS 46.56 38.54 56.13 49.72
HUL
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 15.41 14.7 13.53 12.92
Return on Equity 76.95 71.61 66.37 62.96
Retrun on Assets 32.49 29.19 28.49 27.97
Debt ratio 0.01 0 0.04 0.03
P/E 64.58
EPS 27.97 24.09 20.68 19.1
ITC
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 26.52 26.43 24.47 24.22
Return on Equity 21.29 21.46 22.16 21.89
Retrun on Assets 17.53 17.53 18.39 18.07
124
Debt ratio 0 0 0 0
P/E 27.53
EPS 10.3 9.26 8.5 7.75
P&G
Jun-18 Jun-17 Jun-16 Jun-15
Net Margin 15.25 18.64 17.03 14.83
Return on Equity 46.5 82.24 28 28.17
Retrun on Assets 26.28 37.3 19.55 17.77
Debt ratio
P/E 89.42
EPS 115.4 133.31 130.37 106.63
Marico
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 15.48 13.08 13.72 12.02
Return on Equity 37.27 32.03 34.33 35.26
Retrun on Assets 23.57 19.95 21.98 21.04
Debt ratio 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.08
P/E 43.05
EPS 8.67 6.32 6.21 5.53
Britannia
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 10.46 10.12 9.76 9.81
Return on Equity 27.25 29.48 32.8 39.41
Retrun on Assets 18.57 19.35 21.52 23.59
Debt ratio 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.06
P/E 62.13
EPS 48.25 83.65 73.71 68.73
Nestle
Dec-18 Dec-17 Dec-16 Dec-15
Net Margin 14.23 12.24 10.04 6.88
Return on Equity 43.74 35.81 30.74 19.98
Retrun on Assets 19.86 16.64 13.61 9.26
Debt ratio 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
P/E 68.5
EPS 166.67 127.07 96.1 58.42
125
Dabur
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 16.93 17.57 16.81 16.11
Return on Equity 25.61 23.73 26.34 29.99
Retrun on Assets 17.09 15.56 16.51 18.04
Debt ratio 0.09 0.15 0.19 0.19
P/E 48.52
EPS 8.17 7.69 7.25 7.12
Colgate
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 17.37 16.07 14.5 13.85
Return on Equity 53.6 44.16 45.33 56.55
Retrun on Assets 29.52 26.26 24.99 29.66
Debt ratio 0.05 0 0 0
P/E 42.27
EPS 28.51 24.76 21.23 21.2
Tata Motors
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 2.91 -1.75 -5.48 -0.14
Return on Equity 9.11 -5.13 -11.48 -0.26
Retrun on Assets 3.31 -1.74 -4.12 -0.1
Debt ratio 0.79 0.81 0.89 0.61
P/E
EPS 6.04 -3.05 -7.15 -0.18
Maruti Suzuki
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 8.71 9.68 10.8 9.32
Return on Equity 16.25 18.49 20.17 17.95
126
Retrun on Assets 11.91 13 14.34 12.79
Debt ratio 0 0 0.01 0
P/E 27.6
EPS 248.3 255.62 243.32 177.58
TVS
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 3.68 4.37 4.59 4.4
Return on Equity 20.02 23 23.17 24.98
Retrun on Assets 8 9.22 9.45 9.88
Debt ratio 0.41 0.36 0.45 0.39
P/E 33.6
EPS 14.11 13.95 11.75 10.3
Hero Motorcop
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 10.05 11.47 11.84 10.95
Return on Equity 26.32 31.41 33.39 39.42
Retrun on Assets 19.18 22.08 22.98 25.38
Debt ratio
P/E 16.1
EPS 169.48 185.14 169.12 156.86
Bajaj Auto
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 15.45 16.16 17.58 17.39
Return on Equity 21.46 21.29 22.46 29.62
Retrun on Assets 17.07 17.07 18.38 23.83
Debt ratio 0 0.01 0.01 0
P/E 18.19
EPS 161.6 140.6 132.3 135.8
Ashok Leyland
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 6.82 5.95 6.07 2.05
Return on Equity 23.8 21.8 19.96 7.2
Retrun on Assets 10.88 9.42 8.71 3.04
Debt ratio 0.05 0.07 0.22 0.34
P/E 13.29
EPS 6.76 5.34 4.24 1.37
127
Eicher Motors
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 20.97 19.12 22.16 21.16
Return on Equity 28.82 31.88 39.77 56.03
Retrun on Assets 21.67 21.97 28.15 36.12
Debt ratio 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01
P/E 24.91
EPS 753.37 629.07 573.75 482.45
SBI
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 0.35 -2.96 5.97 6.06
Return on Equity 0.39 -3.37 6.69 6.89
Retrun on Assets 0.02 -0.18 0.38 0.42
Debt ratio
P/E 132.66
EPS 0.97 -7.67 13.43 12.98
PNB
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin -25.59 2.8 -8.38 6.61
Return on Equity -32.85 3.47 -11.2 8.12
Retrun on Assets -1.6 0.18 -0.59 0.5
Debt ratio
P/E
EPS -55.39 6.45 -20.82 16.91
BOB
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 0.86 -5.57 3.27 -12.24
Return on Equity 0.94 -5.6 3.43 -13.42
Retrun on Assets 0.05 -0.33 0.19 -0.8
Debt ratio
P/E 38.23
EPS 1.64 -10.53 6 -23.89
HDFC
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 21.29 21.79 20.99 20.41
Return on Equity 14.12 16.45 16.26 16.91
128
Retrun on Assets 1.69 1.64 1.68 1.73
Debt ratio
P/E 31.42
EPS 78.65 67.76 57.18 48.84
Kotak
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 20.32 20.68 19.27 12.75
Return on Equity 11.47 10.89 12.35 8.72
Retrun on Assets 1.55 1.54 1.58 1.08
Debt ratio
P/E 41.98
EPS 25.52 21.54 18.57 11.42
ICICI
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 5.3 12.33 18.09 18.44
Return on Equity 3.1 6.63 10.11 11.19
Retrun on Assets 0.34 0.77 1.26 1.34
Debt ratio
P/E 63.38
EPS 5.23 10.56 15.31 16.75
Yes
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 5.8 20.84 20.27 18.76
Return on Equity 6.39 16.4 15.09 18.41
Retrun on Assets 0.45 1.35 1.54 1.53
Debt ratio
P/E 18.15
EPS 7.45 18.43 15.78 60.62
Axis
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 8.5 0.6 8.26 20.06
Return on Equity 7.01 0.43 6.59 15.46
Retrun on Assets 0.58 0.03 0.61 1.56
Debt ratio
P/E 513.4
EPS 18.2 1.13 15.4 34.59
129
Titan
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 7.2 7.44 5.9 6.26
Return on Equity 22.23 22.38 17.66 20.08
Retrun on Assets 11.98 12.37 9.15 11.06
Debt ratio 0.37 0.31 0.43 0.03
P/E 81.49
EPS 15.48 13.1 8.58 7.95
Havells
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 7.86 8.75 8.78 13.15
Return on Equity 18.65 19.05 16.46 27.05
Retrun on Assets 11.02 10.89 10.86 17.9
Debt ratio 0.01 0.03 0.06 0
P/E 61.79
EPS 12.66 11.4 8.63 11.45
Voltas
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 6.93 8.62 8.98 6.41
Return on Equity 12.4 14.26 16.28 16.01
Retrun on Assets 6.81 7.74 8.68 7.44
Debt ratio 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.06
P/E 38.86
EPS 14.04 15.15 14.69 10.06
Whirlpool
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 7.25 7.87 6.97 6.39
Return on Equity 19.52 20.93 20.59 23.31
Retrun on Assets 10.87 10.79 10.66 11.38
Debt ratio
P/E 47.55
EPS 27.64 24.47 18.92 16.59
IFB
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
130
Net Margin 2.91 3.87 3.16 2.08
Return on Equity 11.91 15.12 11.69 7.52
Retrun on Assets 6.14 7.69 6.25 3.96
Debt ratio 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04
P/E 54.09
EPS 18.25 20.55 13.61 7.74
Bajaj
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 2.5 1.77 2.52 2.07
Return on Equity 15.5 8.85 12.35 12.85
Retrun on Assets 3.23 2.4 3.48 3.32
Debt ratio 1.46 0.76 0.63 0.26
P/E 31.13
EPS 16.34 8.23 10.65 9.48
Symphony
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 19.27 26.63 26.3 29.65
Return on Equity 15.09 30.32 37.61 39.94
Retrun on Assets 13.13 26.7 31.88 33.78
Debt ratio
P/E 87.02
EPS 14.44 26.15 24.96 35.17
V-Guard
2018-19 2018-17 2017-16 2016-15
Net Margin 6.44 5.75 6.93 5.99
Return on Equity 18.39 17.7 22.79 23.72
Retrun on Assets 12.17 11.52 15.47 15.58
Debt ratio 0.01 0 0 0.02
P/E 61.9
EPS 3.88 3.13 3.42 37.22
131