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Kantar Indonesia
April 14, 2020
Your KANTAR team today
Nadya Ardianti Adisti Bramanti Plaban Mohanty Karthik Narayan Adji Saputro
Chief Client Officer Client Leader Client Partner Executive Director Brand Guidance Lead
2
How we have built the story
The leading syndicated study on how COVID-19 is Using our shopper behaviour expert and our
Weekly update on how COVID-19 impacting
influencing consumer behaviour, attitudes and Worldpanel data to understand the effects on
Indonesian behavior and attitudes, covering 2183
expectations, covering over 50 markets. purchase behaviour
consumers across Rural & Urban Indonesia
3
What we are going to talk you through over the next hour
1. 2. 3. 4.
What we can learn How are Indonesians How are Indonesians How should brands
from China ? shopping ? feeling? react?
What similarity and What are the myths and What differentiates
difference we can expect what are the facts? And what Indonesians from other
in Indonesia? likely to change? neighboring countries?
4
What you will hear today – key theme across
Constant CHANGING on attitude A “NEW NORMAL” is steadily Find the ‘NEW WAY’
and behaviour is unrelenting forming…
Redefine your strategy and tactic to
Pay attention and adapt to the React to the short-term change but adapt to the new normal, be agile and
changes ASAP don’t lose sight of the long term creative.
5
WHAT WE
CAN LEARN
FROM CHINA?
Nadya Ardianti
Chief Client Officer
The Context Matters – China: Digital First Economy
7
The Context Matters – China: Sophisticated Omni Channel Landscape
8
The Context Matters – China: Agility To Respond Rapidly Toward Emergency
9
The impact on certain sectors was profound during the pandemic in China
10
Across categories, safety first is the first consideration for channel choice
13
Many China consumers tried new things
14
After the pandemic, huge potential for rebound and some behaviour will stay
Still buy masks and Turn wearing masks Pay more attention to
disinfectant for storage into a daily habit the sterilization and
at home disinfection
16
Lesson from China and
Implication for Indonesia
18
How are we
shopping
Adisti Bramanti
Client Leader
1 Is FMCG growth negatively impacted by COVID-19?
THE MYTHS 3
What does panic buying mean? Are people expanding
their basket size?
20
Identifying changes in purchase behavior on a week-by-week period
1 Big week
(bought more in a single week than at any
point during last 8 weeks in comparison to
average of 4 weeks Pre COVID-19)
21
Is FMCG growth negatively impacted COVID-19?
1 FMCG is still growing among Upper SES and Middle SES, but slow-down is expected to hit
Lower SES if quarantine continues to limit activity of consumers relying on daily income.
110
108
106
104
102
100
98
96
94
92
90
88
Avg 4-weeks Feb 2-Feb-20 9-Feb-20 16-Feb-20 23-Feb-20 1-Mar-20 8-Mar-20 15-Mar-20 22-Mar-20
2020
Total Households Upper SES (AB) Middle SES © Lower SES (DE)
22
China went through a more extreme lockdown situation, where FMCG
experienced a decline for 6 weeks before bouncing back to normal.
23
Are Indonesians are panic buying?
2 An extended uplift after pay-week is seen in the 1st week after the outbreak only in Jakarta
Greater. We can expect similar pattern rolling out in other regions as they apply quarantine.
103 104
101 101
99 99
96 97
99
97 97
94
1 w/e 2-Feb-20 1 w/e 9-Feb-20 1 w/e 16-Feb-20 1 w/e 23-Feb-20 1 w/e 1-Mar-20 1 w/e 8-Mar-20 1 w/e 15-Mar-20 1 w/e 22-Mar-20
Pay week Pre COVID-19 Pay week COVID-19 Outbreak
Indonesia Urban+Rural, Jakarta Greater, SES AB | Total FMCG | Weekly Value Spend Indexed to Average 4-weeks Pre COVID-19 24
What does panic buying mean? Are people expanding their basket size?
3 Higher spend of Jakarta Greater in the week of Mar 8th is driven by bigger basket size.
Total FMCG
Week Ending Mar 8th
vs. Pre COVID Unit/Trip Index Spend/Trip Index Trip Index # of Categories Bought
Indonesia Urban+Rural vs. Jakarta Greater | Total FMCG | Weekly Mar 8th Indexed to Average 4-weeks Pre COVID-19 25
Are germ-killing categories the only ones benefiting from COVID-19?
4 An uplift is also seen across categories to accompany consumers to spend time #dirumahaja.
Value Index
110 109
107 108 107 106
Total FMCG PERSONAL CARE DAIRY HOME CARE BEVERAGES PACKAGED FOOD
Unit/Trip Index
Vol/Trip Index
Trip Index
1. Liq. Soap+Sanitizer 1. Cheese 1. Detergent 1. RTD Tea 1. Canned Food
Top 3
2. Baby Wipes 2. Growing Up Milk 2. Floor Cleaner 2. Isotonic Drink 2. Breakfast Cereal
Growing Categories
3. Tissue 3. Margarine 3. Dishwash 3. Powder Beverage 3. Snacks
Jakarta Greater | Total FMCG by Category Sector | Weekly Mar 8th Indexed to Average 4-weeks Pre COVID-19 26
Is category growth only temporary?
5 If quarantine continues as we enter Ramadhan, we can expect to see selected categories growing
in the next month to accompany daily activities centralized at home.
Predictions for
Upcoming 1 Month
PERSONAL CARE Stocking Up on next
Short Term Stockpiling April Pay Day only
DAIRY
In-Home Occasion Permanent as we
Increased Demand approach Ramadhan
PACKAGED FOOD
Permanent as we
In-Home Occasion
approach Ramadhan
Increased Demand
Jakarta Greater | Total FMCG by Category Sector | Weekly Value Mar 8th Indexed to Average 4-weeks Pre COVID-19 27
Looking ahead and learning from China, if Indonesia government enforces
stricter quarantine, we can expect to see different impact to FMCG categories
28
Is Online the only channel that is growing?
6 Despite fastest growth coming from Online, a majority of consumers still shop in Traditional
Trade and Modern Trade.
106
105 Online
104
102
Gifting
101
Specialty Store
100
99
98 Traditional Trade
97
96
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
Value Index
Indonesia Urban+Rural | Total FMCG | Weekly Mar 8th Indexed to Average 4-weeks Pre COVID-19 29
Looking ahead, creativity kicks in for retailers and manufacturers to
experiment alternative ways to reach their shoppers
Direct Manufacturer Selling Food Hall (MT Supermarket) PD Pasar Jaya (Wet Market)
Order via whatsapp directly to Whatsapp number of store manager Order via phone, delivered via ojek
manufacturer’s sales representative shared to consumers for quicker order
with direct access on product availability
30
BUSTING THE MYTHS + Implications
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
Is FMCG growth Are Indonesians panic What does panic Are germ-killing Is category growth only Is Online the only
negatively impacted by buying? buying mean? Are categories the only temporary? channel that is
COVID-19? people expanding their ones benefiting from growing?
basket size? COVID-19?
Myth / Fact?
Fact (Partial) Fact (Partial) Fact Myth Myth (to be Myth
proven)
FMCG growth is still So far only Jakarta Shoppers are opting for Personal Care is not the Online is the fastest
seen for Upper-Mid Greater shows different bigger volume and only sector growing! Some categories see a growing channel but
SES, but slowing down behavior, with additional expanding their category Consumers are also bounce back entering not the only one
for Lower SES uplift after pay day. repertoire. stocking up other April, but too soon to growing! MT and
categories to accompany conclude as pandemic Gifting
more activities at home. has not reached its peak.
What’s Next?
Lower SES will be most Expect to see similar Ensure availability of big Less Out of Home, more Dairy, Packaged Food Be creative in
impacted in the long run pattern in other regions packs in store to cater In Home with positive and Beverages expanding different
if quarantine continues to as and when they apply needs of shoppers outlook for categories expected to grow as we types of distribution
limit daily income. quarantine seeking to upsize catering specific purpose: enter Ramadhan with channels that give a
Protect (germ-kill), more time spent at solution to barriers for
Prevent (nutrition), home, though possibly consumers to have
Comfort Eating (ready to at a slower rate than access to your product.
eat / easy to cook). last year
31
How are
Indonesians
feeling?
Plaban Mohanty
Client Partner
Indonesia is the fastest to reach 100 cases – and Govt actions has been aimed at controlling
the pandemic. Despite all the measures, it has already reported 300+ deaths
1. 2. 3.
12th March 13th March
2nd March
Numbers boomed after 10 days And now cases have reached >100 two
First official case
weeks after first detection*
Indonesia Worldwide
8
Total Deaths 327 108,837
Total Recover 286 404,448
Active Cases 3229 1.2 Mio
33
Despite the stark numbers… we see Indonesians to be concerned but assured
13%
68%
61%
49% 49%
45% 43%
39% 41% 39% 40% 39% 40%
30%
13th March 14th March 15th March 16th March 17th March 18th March 19th March 20th March 21st March 22nd March 23rd March 24th March 25th March
The current situation is not This situation has had no It will take a long time for the I am confident that I will stay I do not see the need to stock
impacting my day-to-day life impact on how I think about economy to recover and there safe by taking precautions up and have not adjusted my
that much financial planning will be a long term impact and looking after my hygiene shopping behavior
5% 6% 9% Low concern
7% 8% 15% 15%
7% 9% 17%
18% 19%
32% 10%
35% 13% 14%
25%
30%
33%
49% 43% 39%
25% 19%
High concern
The current situation is This situation demands us to I believe the economy will I am worried about falling
I have bought a lot of
impacting my be even more proactive about recover quickly once coronavirus sick no matter how much
extra items to be prepared
day-to-day life financial planning situation has died down I take care of myself
Q1: People concern towards COVID-19 (Overall concern, Overall Impact, Impact on Health, Financial Security, Economic Recession, and Scarcity) 36
People find that sense of security, and freedom for socializing and leaving the
house are the most difficult thing to give up in their daily lives.
47 46
39
36
30 29 29
15
13
Social interaction Sense of safety Leaving the Freedom Convenience Routine Big plans Children going to Flexibility Practice sport
house school
Q23. Which of the following have been the hardest to give up because of the effects of the coronavirus? Please select 3 things you have found the hardest to give up 37
Staying connected socially is now moving Online…
47 46
39
36
30 29 29
15
13
Social interaction Sense of safety Leaving the Freedom Convenience Routine Big plans Children going to Flexibility Practice sport
house school
Q23. Which of the following have been the hardest to give up because of the effects of the coronavirus? Please select 3 things you have found the hardest to give up 38
Indonesians feel that information would help them stay prepared and positive
through this period
54 19 14 6 6 1
Being prepared and well I am ready; in these I am sure I will come out I am worried about We have to do it There is too much fear;
informed is most moments you have to stronger myself and loves ones together it will not become
important now react serious
54 19 14 6 6 1
Being prepared and well I am ready; in these I am sure I will come out I am worried about We have to do it There is too much fear;
informed is most moments you have to stronger myself and loves ones together it will not become
important now react serious
45
33 32 31 30
25
23
18
16
Government National International Digital Digital Social media My friends My doctor Social media Healthcare My Pharmacist Other
agency media advisory Healthcare Healthcare - people I and family - influencers phoneline healthcare
websites channels body platforms platforms know provider
websites (free) (paid)
Q14. What are your most trusted sources of information about Coronavirus? 41
Claims of search gets validated – symptoms high on search in Indonesia
The peak in the later part might be impacted by more at-home population
Trigger:
Authorities Address to the 3 4
Nation Surakarta Lockdown
Trigger:
More news
Trigger: New Cases & Death Rate
First 2 confirmed Cases in Indo 2 Companies Adopting WFH Polices Coronavirus
Trigger:
26th Jan: General Outbreak News 1 Lockdown
Rumah sakit:
Hand sanitizer
Symptom
06/01/2020
08/01/2020
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Behavioral & Attitudinal Changes Owing to COVID-19
% who have changed following behaviors because of COVID
79%
Spend most of my time at Home
56%
Lifestyle choices Nutrition Consuming more Vitamins/ Jamu
43
Behavioral & Attitudinal Changes – Tracking the Trend
% who have changed following behaviors because of COVID
86%
Spend most of my time at Home
More Indonesians are Staying
“in-home” than those at at Home 36%
Watch a lot more TV
the start of the outbreak Impact
65%
Nutrition Consuming more Vitamins/ Jamu
Personal Finance has
been a concern from the Started worrying about Job/ 36%
onset of the outbreak Income
Financial
Concerns 26%
Reduced spending to save more
100
90
% saying COVID will resolve in less than 3 months
80
70
60 63
57
50
40
30
20
10
0
28th March 30th March 1st April 3rd April 6th April 9-10th April
45
So, How Are Indonesians Feeling?
1. 2. 3.
Adjusting Adopting Aligning
People take time to Adjust to the With the COVID-19 situation With the acceptance of the new normal
new normal that they have been prolonging, people worry about people will move towards more long
presented with, which saw sudden finances more. They prepare to plan term alignment, find new ways to
impact on day-to-day behaviors… long term and let go off heavy spend manage life
occasions
46
How Brands
can respond?
Karthik Narayan
Executive Director
Stages of consumer’s emotional journey
• Lifestyle changes • Mental fatigue – prolonged lockdown • Long term behavioural shifts
• Loss of freedom • Economic impact • New outlook to life
• Quarantined living • Life vs Livelihood
48
Role of Brand in each stage
49
1
DISRUPTION
54% Positive
58%
19%
14%
Negative
Being prepared I am ready; in I am sure I will 42%
& well informed these moments come out
is important you have to stronger Base: 604,270 posts
react
They expect the same from brands, create positivity and play its part in
supporting consumers
97%
want brands to continue
56% 53% 52%
advertising
Offer a positive Talk about how they Inform about their efforts
perspective could be helpful in the to face the situation
new everyday life
52
Brands need to respond to the changing circumstances of the consumer by
playing a responsible role
53
Be responsible and make a difference to your consumers everyday life
31%
attack the crisis and
20%
be practical, realistic, and
demonstrate that it help consumers in their
can be fought everyday life
Korean BBQ
experience at home
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 54
Demonstrate the corporate social responsibility
76%
66%
41%
CottonInk providing
protective equipment
Protect Donate to Support
employees hospitals government
health where possible
55
Be authentic…
Consumers don’t want brands just to be creative & exploit this opportunity
56
Be agile in innovating to deliver to the consumers immediate needs as a result
of the lifestyle changes
Tuku launched Tukucur, a 1-litre SKU to cater to Martha Tilaar & NIVEA responding to
Contactless delivery by Gojek & Grab in-home consumption. Available online the high demand for hand sanitizers
57
Quarantined living offers new opportunities; creating new in-home occasions
58
More time at home leading to over-exposure to media
Brands should plan their media to avoid over exposure & optimize spends
TV
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Social network
Online video
Internet surfing
Instant messaging systems / apps
Strongest synergy
Online videos Social Media
Strong synergy
TV
TV on demand/streaming
Listening to podcasts /streaming music Online display
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 59
Disruption
Reassure & support consumers to adapt to the changing lifestyle
Bring out the positive Demonstrate Be agile in Pay attention to Avoid over-exposure
spirit in tone of corporate innovating home occasion due to rise in TV &
communication responsibility & marketing Digital consumption
. contribute actively
Resonate with the positive Consumers expect brands Innovate to cater to the Create new in-home rituals Adapt your media plan to
outlook demonstrated by to play a responsible role. consumers immediate & experiences as in-home an in-home audience’s
consumers in their needs due to a changing occasions have increased. higher consumption of
response to the crisis Ease consumers everyday lifestyle e.g. in-home media.
lives through your products occasions, heightened
& services. sensitivity to health & Re-look at frequency of
hygiene, delivering the exposure & monitor
Showcase the soul of brand experience at home, big inefficiencies due to over-
by contributing tangibly packs. exposure
60
2
UNCERTAINTY
56%
expect advertising should
Many say that in a constant news cycle
about coronavirus, advertising provides
Help your consumers see the future,
give them the confidence to overcome
a sense of normality, or even distraction the crisis and look forward to a brighter
offer a positive perspective
and escape future.
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 13
62
Tickle & treat through tone of communication to create cheer
Use appropriate humour as it adds positivity & cheer to lives as they struggle with uncertainty
120
100
80 GOOGLE SEARCH
60 RESULTS
40
59%
HUMOUR - Memes, Comic
20
strips, funny pictures, photos.
0
3/1/2020
3/2/2020
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Don’t want advertising to avoid
humorous tones during COVID
63
True to its affiliative culture, Indonesians find the constraints on social
interaction as the most difficult lifestyle change
47%
47% 46% 17% 35%
39%
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 64
Brands should seek to be enablers of social interaction & help people bond
Google Chrome extension ‘Netflix Party’ allows friends to simultaneously Guinness on St. Patrick’s Day supports
stream. It has a group chat allowing people to talk at the same time & the festive celebration in a safe manner
play/pauses for everyone in the group so you stay synced and evoking the spirit of togetherness.
65
Tough times are bringing out the survival spirit as people are taking up-
to pursuing interests and skilling up
Brands should partner consumers through its platforms to create content & not just consume
AI image analytics using Instagram posts Indonesia Google Search trends in March
Kantar Image Analytics using Instagram posts in UK/US/Italy in w/c 9th March 66
Address the paradox of DESIRE vs SCARCITY
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 67
Uncertainty
Offer hope through advertising and partner with consumers to celebrate their survival spirit
Entertain & engage Tickle & treat Enable consumers Partner consumers Address Desire vs
through advertising through tone of to bond & socialize in creating content, Scarcity tensions
communication not just consume
Use creative channels to Use of appropriate humour Through communication & Consumers are looking to Prolonged lock down will
offer distraction & escape is acceptable as it adds leveraging its digital learn new skills as they give rise to consumer
from the crisis. cheer & positivity to lives as channels brands should have more time. desires/ urges. Prevailing
they struggle with uncertain enable consumers to short supply, lockdown &
Content doesn’t need to times interact with others; the Provide a platform to shrinking income will pose
specifically reference affiliative spirit of encourage and take part in constraints to fulfill this
coronavirus as people are Indonesians this wave of creativity for desire.
all too aware of the your consumers
situation. Address this tensions, with
pricing, format innovations
(small affordable
indulgence)
68
3
ACCEPTANCE
Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 70
We can expect long term orientation gaining importance with the consumer
becoming more discerning towards brand choices
In the near-term consumer brand choice drivers can expect some shifts
71
Consumers would have learnt & evolved through the experience; need to adapt
Laptop Living – AI image analytics using Instagram posts Online Shopping – New buyers of…
Kantar Image Analytics using Instagram posts in UK/US/Italy in w/c 9th March Kantar COVID 19 Barometer Online study in Indonesia – FW period last week March 2020 72
Acceptance Stage
Enable & adapt to the changing consumer needs
Look out for Keep finger on the Embrace shift Adapt to an evolved Be digitally prepared
irreversible changing pulse of towards safety, consumer – experiment – make online
behavioural shifts consumers towards health, hygiene & with new delivery & shopping immersive to
long termism sustainable products media channels mirror offline shopping
Understand shifts in Be prepared to serve a These themes should be Brands will need to Proactively adopt new tools
consumer decision criteria more discerning and considered for future accelerate their learning on such as e-commerce,
leading to a new normal in selective customer product development how to market to a more immersive experience to
consumer behaviour. digitally savvy consumer. restore the physical store
shopping experience for
online shopping.
73
How Brands Can Respond
• Communicate your contribution • Communicate to be catalyst of • Evolve with the consumer and
& responsible action hope help adapt to the new normal
• Innovate to support consumers • Innovate to address tensions of • Experiment with the new delivery
adapt with the disruption Desire vs Scarcity and media channels.
74
Stay close to your consumers in these tough times
Communicate to them & be a Renovate your offer to adapt to Reach out to them efficiently with
companion their changing needs change in media consumption
75
How Brands
Should React?
What signals about brands
should we be monitoring even
closely now?
Adji Saputro
Brand Guidance Lead
What do we know about brands in Indonesia?
In times of crisis, stronger brands will ..and understanding the elements that ..but marketers need to know, when
prevail.. build strong brands in Indonesia is to balance the pursuit of building
critical.. brand strength and justifying price
Source: BrandZ Indonesia 2019 Source: Kantar equity framework Source: BrandZ Indonesia 2019 : 18 tracked categories
77
Dettol, which saw its brand building efforts in the past being justified in these recent periods,
is likely to get through these tough times
115
113
111
2015 2017 2019 Even with a higher price index, Dettol is able to justify
its price through the strength of its brand.
61% Overtime, the brand building effort of Dettol has
40% resulted in the growing communications and Thus with the added relevance of the situation, pull
purpose perceptions of Dettol. through this crisis
COVID is increasingly looking like the ‘trend breaker’ that Brands need to lock-in on the important brand signals
spans across categories during these critical moments
What this means: consumer brand metrics and perceptions might not
behave as it was before!
Source: COVID 19 Barometer – March 2020 - Indonesia
79
Kantar recommends brands to focus on these signals and metrics, during
each phase of brand adjustment, assessment, & recovery
Short Term (now – 3 months) Medium Term (now – 6 months) Long Term (3 –12 months)
Manage expectations of impact and adjusting Assessing extent of change and minimizing Navigating recovery and activating growth
brand disruption
Key Question & Metric to focus on
What’s the competitive pressure like now? What has been disrupted in your category? Are you justifying what you charge?
• Awareness, Trials, Usage • Category importance (relevance) • Premium Index
• Consideration • Needs based salience • Price Perception
• Media communications • Category penetration* • Actual Price Index*
• In-market volume flow
• Purchase channels*
Is your brand helping your consumers? Is your equity strong enough to recover? How well does equity translate to sales?
• Imageries on purpose • Brand Power • Equity to volume flow
• Affinity/Meet Needs • Meaningful Difference Salience • Volume share*
• Perceived authenticity
1. 2. 3. 4.
Play the long game, do not Know when to trade on Change is eminent, and the Change can be temporary
negate investment in your brand and when to trade competition doesn’t stand or permanent
brand on price still
Your brand health is If it’s time to make a tough Now, more than ever, you Arm your brand with both a
important and can get you call and justify price, focus on need to tune into competitor short-term and long-term plan,
through tough times. Know the levers that we know will actions and performances to consumers’ attitudes and
your brand strength levers help your brand. Be unique keep a finger on the pulse of behaviors are changing and
and understand how you and purposeful, keeping in fluctuating category some of these changes will
can maintain or dial up mind your perceived price dynamics, so you can stay endure – understand how to
these levers. and actual price in the market. ahead of the game through mitigate temporary changes and
the crisis and upon recovery course-correct to respond to
permanent changes.
Invest in your brand health Embrace the winning plays of Be in the know Be prepared
balancing brand and price
81
Finally, let’s remember where we started
82
We are here to help – additional resources and further content
83
See you soon..
In the meantime, stay safe
Kantar Indonesia
April 14, 2020