Survey of Likely General Election Voters

Florida Statewide
Conducted May 18 - 30, 2020
n=881 | ±3.3%
 1. How likely are you to vote in the November 2020 elections for President, Congress and state
legislature out of the following options?

Freq. %
Definitely voting 795 90.3%
Probably voting 74 8.4%
Probably not voting 11 1.3%
Total 881 100.0%

2. Generally speaking, would you say things in the United States are headed in the right
direction or off on the wrong track?

Freq. %
Right direction 381 43.2%
Definitely the right direction 161 18.2%
Mostly the right direction 220 25.0%

Wrong track 472 53.6%

Mostly the wrong track 186 21.1%
Definitely the wrong track 286 32.5%

Unsure 28 3.1%
Total 881 100.0%

3. If the elections were held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the
Republican or Democratic candidate for Congress?

Freq. %
Republican candidate 403 45.7%
Definitely the Republican candidate 312 35.4%
Probably the Republican candidate 91 10.3%

Democratic candidate 407 46.2%

Probably the Democratic candidate 89 10.1%
Definitely the Democratic candidate 318 36.1%

Unsure 71 8.1%
Total 881 100.0%

4 - 7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of:

Very Very No NET

Fav Unfav NHO
Fav Unfav opinion Fav
46.1% 30.2% 52.1% 40.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Donald Trump -6.0%
407 267 459 356 13 2
48.5% 25.6% 48.3% 34.5% 3.1% 0.2%
Joe Biden 0.2%
427 226 425 304 27 1

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 56.6% 25.7% 36.2% 19.2% 5.5% 1.7%
Ron DeSantis 20.4%
499 226 319 169 48 15
7.5% 2.5% 77.3% 58.4% 13.4% 1.9%
The Chinese Government -69.8%
66 22 681 514 118 16

Now thinking about the upcoming elections in November...

8. If the general election for President was held today, would you vote for Donald Trump, the
Republican; Joe Biden, the Democrat; or a third-party candidate?

Freq. %
Republican Donald Trump 386 43.8%
Definitely Republican Donald Trump 319 36.2%
Probably Republican Donald Trump 67 7.6%

Democrat Joe Biden 414 47.0%

Definitely Democrat Joe Biden 337 38.3%
Probably Democrat Joe Biden 77 8.7%

Third-party candidate 29 3.3%

Definitely a third-party candidate 15 1.7%
Probably a third-party candidate 14 1.6%

Undecided 52 5.9%
Total 881 100.0%

Thinking about the current coronavirus outbreak…

9. In your opinion, who is most responsible for the spread of COVID-19 to the United States?

Freq. %
The Chinese government 375 42.5%
President Donald Trump and his administration 240 27.2%
Individuals who ignored social distancing policies 59 6.7%
Natural causes 49 5.6%
The World Health Organization (the W.H.O.) 42 4.7%
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (the CDC) 21 2.4%
Someone else 13 1.5%
State and local leaders 9 1.0%
Congress 5 0.5%
Unsure 69 7.8%
Total 881 100.0%

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing handling the
coronavirus pandemic?

Freq. %
Approve 405 46.0%
Strongly approve 246 28.0%
Somewhat approve 159 18.0%

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 Neither approve nor disapprove 51 5.8%

Disapprove 420 47.7%

Somewhat disapprove 103 11.7%
Strongly disapprove 317 36.0%

Unsure / Refused 5 0.5%

Total 881 100.0%

11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Governor Ron DeSantis is doing handling the
coronavirus pandemic?
Freq. %
Approve 482 54.8%
Strongly approve 240 27.2%
Somewhat approve 243 27.5%

Neither approve nor disapprove 94 10.7%

Disapprove 286 32.5%

Somewhat disapprove 136 15.4%
Strongly disapprove 150 17.0%

Unsure / Refused 19 2.1%

Total 881 100.0%

12 - 18. Issue Tests

Strongly Strongly No
Agree Disagree Unsure Total
agree disagree opinion
I trust the Chinese government to 18.0% 8.3% 70.9% 56.2% 6.3% 4.8% 100.0%
publicly release factual information
on how many of its citizens were
infected with and died from COVID- 158 73 625 495 56 42 881
19.
The spread of COVID-19 could have 75.1% 43.8% 17.1% 5.8% 3.0% 4.8% 100.0%
been prevented had the Chinese
government been truthful about the
real data and deaths from at the 662 386 151 51 26 42 881
start of the outbreak.
The Chinese government covered 81.7% 53.9% 7.4% 3.1% 3.8% 7.1% 100.0%
up information related to the impact
and breadth of the pandemic in their 720 475 65 27 33 62 881
country.
12. The Chinese government could 57.4% 26.7% 17.1% 7.1% 9.3% 16.2% 100.0%
have prevented the COVID-19
pandemic if they had eliminated the
open-air animal “wet markets” that 506 235 151 62 82 143 881
are prevalent in China.
The Chinese government should be 74.8% 44.9% 12.6% 6.0% 6.6% 6.0% 100.0%
held accountable for this global
pandemic because they allowed
travel to continue in and out of their 659 396 111 53 58 53 881
country after infections were
widespread in China.

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Leaders should promote American 80.7% 53.7% 8.6% 3.3% 7.2% 3.5% 100.0%
businesses in order to reduce our
reliance on trade with China in 711 473 76 29 64 31 881
response to its role in the pandemic.
The Chinese government’s negligent 62.9% 34.3% 24.4% 11.2% 6.3% 6.3% 100.0%
response to the coronavirus is
responsible for local businesses in
my area that are now struggling or 554 302 215 99 56 56 881
going out of business.

19. Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s hard-line stance against the Chinese
government?

Freq. %
Approve 499 56.6%
Strongly approve 326 37.0%
Somewhat approve 173 19.6%

Neither approve nor disapprove 143 16.2%

Disapprove 205 23.2%

Somewhat disapprove 95 10.8%
Strongly disapprove 109 12.4%

Unsure 35 4.0%
Total 881 100.0%

20. Who do you trust more to protect American interests against China, Donald Trump or Joe
Biden?

Freq. %
Donald Trump 412 46.7%
Definitely Donald Trump 334 37.9%
Probably Donald Trump 78 8.8%

Joe Biden 342 38.8%

Probably Joe Biden 108 12.3%
Definitely Joe Biden 234 26.5%

I don’t trust either candidate 86 9.8%

Unsure 41 4.7%
Total 881 100.0%

21. Would you support or oppose the United States government demanding the Chinese
government pay for their role in the spread of the pandemic and the vast economic damage
caused by it, even though it may result in disruptions to financial markets and additional
tariffs between the two countries?

Freq. %
Support 461 52.3%
Strongly support 262 29.7%
Somewhat support 199 22.6%

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 Neither support nor oppose 141 15.9%

Oppose 157 17.9%

Somewhat oppose 91 10.3%
Strongly oppose 67 7.6%

Unsure 122 13.8%

Total 881 100.0%

22. If the Chinese government refused to compensate the United States for coronavirus
damages, would you support or oppose the United States government canceling debt owed
to the Chinese government as payment for their role in the spread of Coronavirus?

Freq. %
Support 433 49.1%
Strongly support 239 27.1%
Somewhat support 194 22.0%

Neither support nor oppose 140 15.9%

Oppose 165 18.7%

Somewhat oppose 69 7.9%
Strongly oppose 95 10.8%

Unsure 144 16.3%

Total 881 100.0%

23. Are you female or male?

Freq. %
Female 486 55.1%
Male 395 44.9%
Total 881 100.0%

24. What age range do you fall within?

Freq. %
Under 50 332 37.7%
18 - 34 155 17.6%
35 - 49 177 20.1%

50 and over 549 62.3%

50 - 64 249 28.2%
65 or older 300 34.1%
Total 881 100.0%

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25. In the state of Florida, are you registered as a Democrat, a Republican, a member of a third
party, or are you unaffiliated with any political party?

Freq. %
Democrat 338 38.3%
Republican 340 38.6%
Third Party 24 2.7%
Unaffiliated 170 19.3%
Unsure 10 1.1%
Total 881 100.0%

26. And thinking about your views toward politics and government, would you say you are…

Freq. %
Conservative 352 39.9%
Very conservative 168 19.1%
Somewhat conservative 184 20.9%

Moderate 299 33.9%

Liberal 224 25.4%

Somewhat liberal 137 15.5%
Very liberal 87 9.9%

Unsure 6 0.7%
Total 881 100.0%

27. What annual income range do you fall within out of the following options?

Freq. %
Less than $50,000 259 29.4%
$50,000 - $100,000 412 46.8%
More than $100,000 209 23.8%
Total 881 100.0%

28. Geo - DMAs

Freq. %
Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota) 211 24.0%
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn 186 21.2%
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale 184 20.9%
West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce 91 10.3%
Jacksonville 87 9.9%
Ft. Myers-Naples 52 5.9%
Mobile-Pensacola (Ft Walt) 33 3.7%
Tallahassee-Thomasville 18 2.1%
Panama City 8 0.9%
Gainesville 9 1.1%
Total 881 100.0%

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29. Age + Gender

Freq. %
F 18 - 34 103 11.7%
F 35 - 49 82 9.3%
F 50 - 64 151 17.1%
F 65+ 149 16.9%
M 18 - 34 52 5.8%
M 35 - 49 95 10.8%
M 50 - 64 98 11.1%
M 65+ 151 17.1%
Total 881 100.0%

30. Race

Freq. %
White 678 76.9%
Black 128 14.5%
Asian 15 1.7%
Other 43 4.8%
Prefer not to answer 18 2.1%
Total 881 100.0%

31. Hispanic

Freq. %
Hispanic 167 19.0%
Not Hispanic 698 79.2%
Prefer not to answer 16 1.8%
Total 881 100.0%

32. Education

Freq. %
Bachelor’s degree or higher 384 43.6%
Some College 309 35.1%
High school or less 135 15.3%
Prefer not to answer 53 6.0%
Total 881 100.0%

33. Education + Gender

Freq. %
Female College Degree 175 19.8%
Female No Degree 265 30.1%
Female Unknown 46 5.2%
Male College Degree 209 23.7%
Male No Degree 179 20.4%
Male Unknown 7 0.8%
Total 881 100.0%

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METHODOLOGY
This probabilistic survey was conducted May 18 - 30, 2020, with likely general election voters. It has a margin
of error of ±3.3%. Known registered voters were interviewed via online. This survey was weighted to likely
general election voter universe.

ABOUT THE FIRM

Cygnal is an award-winning national public opinion and predictive analytics firm that pioneered multi-mode
polling, peer-to-peer text collection, and Political Emotive Analysis. Cyngal was recently named the #1
Republican private pollster by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, as well as the #1 most accurate polling and research
firm in the country for 2018 by The New York Times. Its team members have worked in 47 states and countries
on more than 1,100 corporate, public affairs, and political campaigns.

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