ANALISIS DE DISTRIBUCIÓN – SMADA

ESTACIÓN – CERRO DE PASCO

First Moment 35.590

Second Moment 104.836
Third Moment 244.682
Skew 0.2279
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 54.30
Minimum 20.70
Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 20.7 20.8341
0.0833 22.6 22.9893
0.125 23 24.5496
0.1667 24.5 25.854
0.2083 25.1 27.019
0.25 26.8 28.1013
0.2917 27 29.1339
0.3333 28.6 30.1387
0.375 29.4 31.1321
0.4167 30.5 32.1275
0.4583 33.2 33.1371
Values and Prediction
0.5 35.9 34.173
0.5417 36 35.2478
0.5833 38 36.3763
0.625 38.2 37.5761
0.6667 40 38.8699
0.7083 44.6 40.2886
0.75 45.8 41.876
0.7917 46.7 43.6996
0.8333 47.23 45.8711
0.875 50.1 48.5991
0.9167 50.33 52.3508
0.9583 54.3 58.6151
Return Periods Return Period Probability Prediction
 500 0.998 85.3909
200 0.995 77.3514
100 0.99 71.2577
50 0.98 65.1417
25 0.96 58.9802
10 0.9 50.6747
5 0.8 44.1013
2 0.5 34.173

ESTACIÓN – YANAHUANCA

First Moment 82.987

Second Moment 87.783
Third Moment -622.991
Skew -0.7575
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 100.00
Minimum 55.10
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 55.1 69.4848
0.0833 68.9 71.4569
0.125 75.1 72.8847
0.1667 76.6 74.0783
0.2083 78.5 75.1444
0.25 80.9 76.1348
0.2917 81.1 77.0796
0.3333 81.2 77.9991
0.375 82.1 78.9081
0.4167 82.2 79.8189
0.4583 82.2 80.7428
0.5 82.4 81.6907
0.5417 83.3 82.6743
0.5833 83.3 83.7069
0.625 83.5 84.8047
0.6667 84.2 85.9887
 0.7083 84.2 87.2868
0.75 88.6 88.7394
0.7917 91.3 90.4081
0.8333 92 92.3952
0.875 94.4 94.8915
0.9167 97.6 98.3245
0.9583 100 104.0567
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 128.5582
200 0.995 121.2016
100 0.99 115.6255
Return Periods 50 0.98 110.029
25 0.96 104.3908
10 0.9 96.7908
5 0.8 90.7757
2 0.5 81.6907

ESTACIÓN – SAN RAFAEL

First Moment 28.614

Second Moment 48.726
Third Moment 169.869
Skew 0.4994
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 43.86
Minimum 16.40
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 16.4 18.5548
0.0833 21.1 20.0241
0.125 21.1 21.0879
0.1667 22.05 21.9771
0.2083 22.69 22.7714
0.25 22.69 23.5093
0.2917 23.96 24.2132
0.3333 24.43 24.8982
 0.375 24.75 25.5754
0.4167 26.34 26.2541
0.4583 26.5 26.9424
0.5 27.77 27.6486
0.5417 28.2 28.3814
0.5833 29.6 29.1507
0.625 29.67 29.9687
0.6667 31.26 30.8507
0.7083 32.5 31.8179
0.75 33 32.9001
0.7917 34.27 34.1433
0.8333 34.91 35.6238
0.875 40.46 37.4836
0.9167 40.62 40.0413
0.9583 43.86 44.3119
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 62.5663
200 0.995 57.0854
100 0.99 52.9311
Return Periods 50 0.98 48.7615
25 0.96 44.5609
10 0.9 38.8986
5 0.8 34.4172
2 0.5 27.6486

ESTACIÓN – AMBO

First Moment 26.300

Second Moment 74.148
Third Moment 205.856
Skew 0.3224
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 43.60
Minimum 13.00
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
 0.0417 13 13.8903
0.0833 15.3 15.7027
0.125 16.5 17.015
0.1667 17.5 18.1119
0.2083 17.5 19.0918
0.25 17.8 20.002
0.2917 20 20.8704
0.3333 20.1 21.7154
0.375 20.2 22.5508
0.4167 25.2 23.388
0.4583 27 24.2371
0.5 27 25.1082
0.5417 27 26.0122
0.5833 27.8 26.9612
0.625 28.6 27.9702
0.6667 29.6 29.0583
0.7083 30 30.2514
0.75 30 31.5864
0.7917 35.7 33.1201
0.8333 35.79 34.9463
0.875 39 37.2406
0.9167 40.7 40.3957
0.9583 43.6 45.6639
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 68.1823
200 0.995 61.4211
100 0.99 56.2964
Return Periods 50 0.98 51.1528
25 0.96 45.971
10 0.9 38.9861
5 0.8 33.4579
2 0.5 25.1082

ESTACIÓN – HUÁNUCO

First Moment 32.445

Second Moment 65.150
Third Moment 325.681
Skew 0.6193
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 50.52
Minimum 18.00
Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 18 20.8127
0.0833 24.31 22.5117
0.125 24.31 23.7418
0.1667 25.4 24.77
0.2083 26.13 25.6884
0.25 26.13 26.5417
0.2917 27.6 27.3556
0.3333 28.14 28.1477
0.375 28.51 28.9308
0.4167 29.8 29.7156
0.4583 30.34 30.5115
Values and Prediction
0.5 30.52 31.3281
0.5417 31.6 32.1754
0.5833 31.7 33.065
0.625 31.98 34.0108
0.6667 34.17 35.0308
0.7083 36 36.1491
0.75 38.01 37.4005
0.7917 39.47 38.8381
0.8333 40.21 40.5499
0.875 46.6 42.7005
0.9167 46.78 45.658
0.9583 50.52 50.5963
Return Periods Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 71.7042
200 0.995 65.3665
100 0.99 60.5627
50 0.98 55.7414
25 0.96 50.8841
10 0.9 44.3367
 5 0.8 39.1548
2 0.5 31.3281

ESTACIÓN – CANCHAN

First Moment 26.326

Second Moment 33.214
Third Moment 51.293
Skew 0.2680
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 38.00
Minimum 16.70
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 16.7 18.0207
0.0833 17.7 19.2338
0.125 18 20.1121
0.1667 20.3 20.8462
0.2083 21.7 21.502
0.25 22.7 22.1112
0.2917 23.7 22.6924
0.3333 24.4 23.258
0.375 24.5 23.8171
0.4167 24.7 24.3774
0.4583 24.8 24.9457
0.5 25.1 25.5287
0.5417 25.4 26.1337
0.5833 27 26.7689
0.625 28.1 27.4442
0.6667 28.6 28.1725
0.7083 29.6 28.971
0.75 29.6 29.8645
0.7917 31.6 30.8909
0.8333 33 32.1132
0.875 33.2 33.6487
0.9167 37.1 35.7604
 0.9583 38 39.2864
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 54.3575
200 0.995 49.8324
100 0.99 46.4025
Return Periods 50 0.98 42.96
25 0.96 39.4919
10 0.9 34.817
5 0.8 31.117
2 0.5 25.5287

ESTACIÓN – DOS DE MAYO

First Moment 28.073

Second Moment 22.295
Third Moment -0.906
Skew -0.0086
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 36.40
Minimum 18.50
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 18.5 21.2681
0.0833 21.1 22.2619
0.125 22.5 22.9815
0.1667 23.1 23.583
0.2083 24.1 24.1203
0.25 24.6 24.6194
0.2917 25.1 25.0955
0.3333 25.5 25.5589
0.375 26.1 26.017
0.4167 26.8 26.4761
0.4583 28 26.9417
 0.5 28.5 27.4193
0.5417 28.8 27.915
0.5833 29.1 28.4354
0.625 29.84 28.9887
0.6667 30.03 29.5854
0.7083 30.1 30.2396
0.75 30.5 30.9716
0.7917 33 31.8126
0.8333 33.3 32.814
0.875 35.2 34.072
0.9167 35.5 35.8021
0.9583 36.4 38.6909
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 51.0387
200 0.995 47.3313
100 0.99 44.5212
Return Periods 50 0.98 41.7007
25 0.96 38.8593
10 0.9 35.0292
5 0.8 31.9978
2 0.5 27.4193

ESTACIÓN – MOLINO

First Moment 57.323

Second Moment 90.436
Third Moment -7.829
Skew -0.0091
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 74.50
Minimum 38.50
Values and Prediction Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 38.5 43.6188
0.0833 44.8 45.6205
0.125 45.1 47.0697
 0.1667 45.4 48.2812
0.2083 49 49.3633
0.25 50.4 50.3685
0.2917 51.8 51.3275
0.3333 52.7 52.2608
0.375 53.8 53.1834
0.4167 55.5 54.1079
0.4583 56.3 55.0457
0.5 56.6 56.0078
0.5417 57.7 57.0061
0.5833 58.2 58.0542
0.625 62.1 59.1685
0.6667 62.4 60.3702
0.7083 63.3 61.6878
0.75 64.6 63.1623
0.7917 66.3 64.856
0.8333 67.47 66.8728
0.875 68.7 69.4066
0.9167 73.27 72.8911
0.9583 74.5 78.7093
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 103.5783
200 0.995 96.1114
100 0.99 90.4516
Return Periods 50 0.98 84.7711
25 0.96 79.0484
10 0.9 71.3344
5 0.8 65.2291
2 0.5 56.0078

ESTACIÓN – CARPISH

First Moment 121.096

Second Moment 937.492
Third Moment 37,080.974
Skew 1.2918
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 217.80
Minimum 71.70
Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 71.7 76.971
0.0833 85.2 83.4157
0.125 93.1 88.0819
0.1667 97.6 91.9823
0.2083 102.7 95.4663
0.25 104.3 98.7029
0.2917 106.1 101.7906
0.3333 108.6 104.7953
0.375 109.1 107.7659
0.4167 110.4 110.7426
0.4583 110.6 113.7619
Values and Prediction
0.5 112 116.8595
0.5417 112.8 120.0738
0.5833 119.3 123.4483
0.625 125.3 127.0361
0.6667 126.4 130.9052
0.7083 128.3 135.1475
0.75 134.8 139.8946
0.7917 137.8 145.3479
0.8333 145.3 151.8415
0.875 159.7 159.9994
0.9167 166.3 171.2185
0.9583 217.8 189.9511
Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 270.0214
200 0.995 245.9802
100 0.99 227.7577
Return Periods 50 0.98 209.4684
25 0.96 191.043
10 0.9 166.2062
5 0.8 146.5491
2 0.5 116.8595
 ESTACIÓN – TINGO MARÍA

First Moment 103.404

Second Moment 573.543
Third Moment 10,078.206
Skew 0.7337
Distribution Method Gumbel
Number of Points 23
Maximum 156.00
Minimum 69.90
Plot Position Actual Data Predicted Data
0.0417 69.9 68.8915
0.0833 70.5 73.9324
0.125 78 77.5821
0.1667 78.2 80.6328
0.2083 80 83.3579
0.25 88.5 85.8895
0.2917 89.3 88.3046
0.3333 95.8 90.6548
0.375 95.9 92.9783
0.4167 97.5 95.3066
0.4583 98.4 97.6681
Values and Prediction
0.5 98.8 100.091
0.5417 99.8 102.6051
0.5833 103.7 105.2445
0.625 104 108.0508
0.6667 105 111.0771
0.7083 108 114.3952
0.75 116.5 118.1083
0.7917 122.5 122.3736
0.8333 123.1 127.4528
0.875 149.2 133.8336
0.9167 149.7 142.6088
0.9583 156 157.2608
 Return Period Probability Prediction
500 0.998 219.8891
200 0.995 201.0849
100 0.99 186.8318
Return Periods 50 0.98 172.5265
25 0.96 158.1148
10 0.9 138.6883
5 0.8 123.3132
2 0.5 100.091
 EJUSTES DE DISTRIBUCIÓN GUMBEL
ESTACIÓN CERRO DE PASCO
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 40.0
2 27.0
3 23.0
4 36.0
5 28.6
6 25.1
7 24.5
8 30.5
9 38.0
10 22.6
11 29.4
12 26.8
13 20.7
14 33.2
15 46.7
16 54.3
17 47.2
18 35.9
19 50.3
20 44.6
21 50.1
22 45.8
23 38.2
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 20.7 0.0417 0.0266 0.0431 0.0151
2 22.6 0.0833 0.0574 0.0801 0.0259
3 23.0 0.1250 0.0660 0.0898 0.0590
4 24.5 0.1667 0.1051 0.1319 0.0615
5 25.1 0.2083 0.1238 0.1511 0.0846
6 26.8 0.2500 0.1848 0.2117 0.0652
7 27.0 0.2917 0.1927 0.2194 0.0990
8 28.6 0.3333 0.2599 0.2835 0.0735
9 29.4 0.3750 0.2955 0.3170 0.0795
10 30.5 0.4167 0.3457 0.3636 0.0709
 11 33.2 0.4583 0.4690 0.4771 0.0106
12 35.9 0.5000 0.5828 0.5819 0.0828
13 36.0 0.5417 0.5868 0.5855 0.0451
14 38.0 0.5833 0.6604 0.6540 0.0770
15 38.2 0.6250 0.6672 0.6604 0.0422
16 40.0 0.6667 0.7240 0.7140 0.0573
17 44.6 0.7083 0.8340 0.8205 0.1257
18 45.8 0.7500 0.8554 0.8418 0.1054
19 46.7 0.7917 0.8698 0.8563 0.0781
20 47.2 0.8333 0.8772 0.8638 0.0439
21 50.1 0.8750 0.9129 0.9006 0.0379
22 50.3 0.9167 0.9150 0.9028 0.0017
23 54.3 0.9583 0.9476 0.9377 0.0107
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.1257, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 30.9805
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 7.9805

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 30.6
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 8.6396
 ESTACIÓN – YANAHUANCA
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 94.4
2 92.0
3 100.0
4 97.6
5 82.1
6 83.3
7 82.2
8 82.2
9 80.9
10 84.2
11 83.5
 12 83.3
13 81.1
14 84.2
15 78.5
16 88.6
17 81.2
18 91.3
19 76.6
20 82.4
21 75.1
22 68.9
23 55.1
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 55.1 0.0417 0.0000 0.0000 0.0417
2 68.9 0.0833 0.0210 0.0172 0.0623
3 75.1 0.1250 0.1915 0.1827 0.0665
4 76.6 0.1667 0.2603 0.2524 0.0936
5 78.5 0.2083 0.3543 0.3484 0.1459
6 80.9 0.2500 0.4737 0.4711 0.2237
7 81.1 0.2917 0.4834 0.4810 0.1917
8 81.2 0.3333 0.4882 0.4860 0.1549
9 82.1 0.3750 0.5305 0.5294 0.1555
10 82.2 0.4167 0.5351 0.5342 0.1184
11 82.2 0.4583 0.5351 0.5342 0.0768
12 82.4 0.5000 0.5442 0.5435 0.0442
13 83.3 0.5417 0.5840 0.5843 0.0423
14 83.3 0.5833 0.5840 0.5843 0.0006
15 83.5 0.6250 0.5925 0.5931 0.0325
16 84.2 0.6667 0.6215 0.6228 0.0451
17 84.2 0.7083 0.6215 0.6228 0.0868
18 88.6 0.7500 0.7708 0.7747 0.0208
19 91.3 0.7917 0.8353 0.8397 0.0437
20 92.0 0.8333 0.8492 0.8536 0.0158
21 94.4 0.8750 0.8890 0.8931 0.0140
22 97.6 0.9167 0.9269 0.9304 0.0102
23 100.0 0.9583 0.9468 0.9498 0.0116
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.2237, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
 Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 78.7703
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 7.3052

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 78.8772
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 7.12

ESTACIÓN – SAN RAFAEL

 Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 23.9
2 43.9
3 27.8
4 40.6
5 31.3
6 29.7
7 26.5
8 22.1
9 24.8
10 24.4
11 21.1
12 26.3
13 22.7
14 21.1
15 22.7
16 33.0
17 40.5
18 34.9
19 34.3
20 32.5
21 29.6
22 16.4
23 28.2
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 16.4 0.0417 0.0050 0.0093 0.0366
2 21.1 0.0833 0.1071 0.1262 0.0238
3 21.1 0.1250 0.1071 0.1262 0.0179
4 22.1 0.1667 0.1558 0.1755 0.0108
5 22.7 0.2083 0.1892 0.2084 0.0192
6 22.7 0.2500 0.1892 0.2084 0.0608
7 23.9 0.2917 0.2629 0.2799 0.0287
8 24.4 0.3333 0.2956 0.3111 0.0377
9 24.8 0.3750 0.3222 0.3364 0.0528
10 26.3 0.4167 0.4232 0.4318 0.0066
11 26.5 0.4583 0.4365 0.4443 0.0218
12 27.8 0.5000 0.5205 0.5234 0.0205
13 28.2 0.5417 0.5452 0.5466 0.0035
14 29.6 0.5833 0.6255 0.6226 0.0422
 15 29.7 0.6250 0.6309 0.6277 0.0059
16 31.3 0.6667 0.7094 0.7027 0.0427
17 32.5 0.7083 0.7592 0.7509 0.0509
18 33.0 0.7500 0.7778 0.7689 0.0278
19 34.3 0.7917 0.8204 0.8108 0.0287
20 34.9 0.8333 0.8375 0.8278 0.0042
21 40.5 0.8750 0.9385 0.9310 0.0635
22 40.6 0.9167 0.9396 0.9321 0.0230
23 43.9 0.9583 0.9666 0.9611 0.0083
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.0635, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 25.4775
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 5.4473

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 25.2937
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 5.7656
 ESTACIÓN – AMBO
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 17.5
2 20.2
3 15.3
4 20.0
5 25.2
6 16.5
7 13.0
8 17.8
9 40.7
10 39.0
11 35.7
12 17.5
13 27.0
14 27.0
15 27.0
16 43.6
17 30.0
18 29.6
19 30.0
20 35.8
21 28.6
22 20.1
23 27.8
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 13.0 0.0417 0.0171 0.0278 0.0246
2 15.3 0.0833 0.0556 0.0743 0.0277
3 16.5 0.1250 0.0892 0.1108 0.0358
4 17.5 0.1667 0.1247 0.1475 0.0420
5 17.5 0.2083 0.1247 0.1475 0.0837
6 17.8 0.2500 0.1365 0.1596 0.1135
7 20.0 0.2917 0.2381 0.2590 0.0535
8 20.1 0.3333 0.2432 0.2639 0.0901
 9 20.2 0.3750 0.2484 0.2688 0.1266
10 25.2 0.4167 0.5161 0.5197 0.0995
11 27.0 0.4583 0.6030 0.6009 0.1446
12 27.0 0.5000 0.6030 0.6009 0.1030
13 27.0 0.5417 0.6030 0.6009 0.0613
14 27.8 0.5833 0.6382 0.6341 0.0549
15 28.6 0.6250 0.6713 0.6653 0.0463
16 29.6 0.6667 0.7093 0.7015 0.0427
17 30.0 0.7083 0.7235 0.7151 0.0152
18 30.0 0.7500 0.7235 0.7151 0.0265
19 35.7 0.7917 0.8707 0.8594 0.0790
20 35.8 0.8333 0.8725 0.8612 0.0392
21 39.0 0.8750 0.9188 0.9088 0.0438
22 40.7 0.9167 0.9364 0.9273 0.0197
23 43.6 0.9583 0.9582 0.9509 0.0001
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.1446, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 22.4244
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 6.7143

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 22.1577
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 7.1764
 ESTACIÓN – HUÁNUCO
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 27.6
2 50.5
3 31.9
 4 46.8
5 36.0
6 34.2
7 30.5
8 25.4
9 28.5
10 28.1
11 24.3
12 30.3
13 26.1
14 24.3
15 26.1
16 38.0
17 46.6
18 40.2
19 39.5
20 29.8
21 31.6
22 31.7
23 18.0
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 18.0 0.0417 0.0039 0.0062 0.0378
2 24.3 0.0833 0.1296 0.1431 0.0463
3 24.3 0.1250 0.1296 0.1431 0.0046
4 25.4 0.1667 0.1798 0.1933 0.0132
5 26.1 0.2083 0.2154 0.2283 0.0071
6 26.1 0.2500 0.2154 0.2283 0.0346
7 27.6 0.2917 0.2982 0.3089 0.0066
8 28.1 0.3333 0.3271 0.3368 0.0062
9 28.5 0.3750 0.3504 0.3592 0.0246
10 29.8 0.4167 0.4261 0.4319 0.0094
11 30.3 0.4583 0.4547 0.4594 0.0036
12 30.5 0.5000 0.4661 0.4703 0.0339
13 31.6 0.5417 0.5267 0.5285 0.0149
14 31.7 0.5833 0.5321 0.5336 0.0512
15 31.9 0.6250 0.5427 0.5438 0.0823
16 34.2 0.6667 0.6543 0.6513 0.0124
17 36.0 0.7083 0.7271 0.7220 0.0187
18 38.0 0.7500 0.7929 0.7866 0.0429
19 39.5 0.7917 0.8329 0.8262 0.0412
20 40.2 0.8333 0.8491 0.8424 0.0157
21 46.6 0.8750 0.9425 0.9375 0.0675
22 46.8 0.9167 0.9442 0.9393 0.0276
23 50.5 0.9583 0.9686 0.9650 0.0103
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
 -------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.0823, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 28.7997
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 6.2976

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 28.6545
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 6.5492
 ESTACIÓN – CANCHAN
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 18.0
2 16.7
3 17.7
4 22.7
5 24.8
6 25.1
7 28.1
8 24.7
9 29.6
10 38.0
11 33.2
12 33.0
13 31.6
14 37.1
15 29.6
16 27.0
17 28.6
18 24.4
19 23.7
20 21.7
21 25.4
22 24.5
23 20.3
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 16.7 0.0417 0.0084 0.0151 0.0333
2 17.7 0.0833 0.0217 0.0333 0.0616
3 18.0 0.1250 0.0278 0.0410 0.0972
4 20.3 0.1667 0.1169 0.1386 0.0498
5 21.7 0.2083 0.2076 0.2287 0.0007
6 22.7 0.2500 0.2841 0.3020 0.0341
7 23.7 0.2917 0.3652 0.3785 0.0736
8 24.4 0.3333 0.4223 0.4319 0.0890
9 24.5 0.3750 0.4304 0.4395 0.0554
10 24.7 0.4167 0.4465 0.4545 0.0299
11 24.8 0.4583 0.4545 0.4620 0.0038
12 25.1 0.5000 0.4783 0.4842 0.0217
 13 25.4 0.5417 0.5016 0.5060 0.0401
14 27.0 0.5833 0.6168 0.6140 0.0334
15 28.1 0.6250 0.6850 0.6787 0.0600
16 28.6 0.6667 0.7128 0.7053 0.0462
17 29.6 0.7083 0.7627 0.7532 0.0543
18 29.6 0.7500 0.7627 0.7532 0.0127
19 31.6 0.7917 0.8406 0.8298 0.0490
20 33.0 0.8333 0.8806 0.8700 0.0473
21 33.2 0.8750 0.8855 0.8749 0.0105
22 37.1 0.9167 0.9502 0.9425 0.0336
23 38.0 0.9583 0.9591 0.9521 0.0007
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.0972, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 23.7324
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 4.4935

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 23.5622
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 4.7883
 ESTACIÓN – DOS DE MAYO
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 30.0
2 29.8
 3 25.1
4 33.0
5 28.8
6 35.5
7 36.4
8 30.1
9 22.5
10 24.1
11 28.0
12 24.6
13 30.5
14 21.1
15 18.5
16 26.1
17 33.3
18 23.1
19 29.1
20 26.8
21 28.5
22 35.2
23 25.5
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 18.5 0.0417 0.0005 0.0018 0.0411
2 21.1 0.0833 0.0240 0.0381 0.0593
3 22.5 0.1250 0.0781 0.1009 0.0469
4 23.1 0.1667 0.1146 0.1393 0.0521
5 24.1 0.2083 0.1919 0.2163 0.0165
6 24.6 0.2500 0.2366 0.2594 0.0134
7 25.1 0.2917 0.2842 0.3045 0.0075
8 25.5 0.3333 0.3235 0.3414 0.0098
9 26.1 0.3750 0.3834 0.3971 0.0084
10 26.8 0.4167 0.4526 0.4612 0.0359
11 28.0 0.4583 0.5643 0.5647 0.1060
12 28.5 0.5000 0.6068 0.6044 0.1068
13 28.8 0.5417 0.6310 0.6270 0.0894
14 29.1 0.5833 0.6542 0.6487 0.0709
15 29.8 0.6250 0.7041 0.6959 0.0791
16 30.0 0.6667 0.7173 0.7084 0.0506
17 30.1 0.7083 0.7237 0.7145 0.0154
18 30.5 0.7500 0.7482 0.7380 0.0018
19 33.0 0.7917 0.8632 0.8508 0.0716
20 33.3 0.8333 0.8732 0.8609 0.0399
21 35.2 0.8750 0.9223 0.9115 0.0473
22 35.5 0.9167 0.9281 0.9177 0.0115
23 36.4 0.9583 0.9433 0.9339 0.0151
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.1068, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 25.9451
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 3.6806

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 25.7853
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 3.9574
 ESTACIÓN – MOLINO
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 56.6
2 44.8
3 52.7
4 49.0
5 62.4
6 55.5
7 57.7
8 45.1
9 63.3
10 50.4
11 64.6
12 74.5
13 68.7
14 67.5
15 53.8
16 56.3
17 45.4
18 73.3
19 58.2
20 62.1
21 66.3
22 51.8
23 38.5
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 38.5 0.0417 0.0008 0.0028 0.0408
2 44.8 0.0833 0.0479 0.0684 0.0354
3 45.1 0.1250 0.0540 0.0755 0.0710
4 45.4 0.1667 0.0606 0.0830 0.1060
5 49.0 0.2083 0.1782 0.2044 0.0302
6 50.4 0.2500 0.2397 0.2636 0.0103
7 51.8 0.2917 0.3065 0.3265 0.0148
8 52.7 0.3333 0.3508 0.3677 0.0175
9 53.8 0.3750 0.4053 0.4181 0.0303
10 55.5 0.4167 0.4876 0.4940 0.0710
11 56.3 0.4583 0.5248 0.5282 0.0665
12 56.6 0.5000 0.5384 0.5408 0.0384
13 57.7 0.5417 0.5863 0.5852 0.0447
14 58.2 0.5833 0.6071 0.6045 0.0238
15 62.1 0.6250 0.7445 0.7339 0.1195
16 62.4 0.6667 0.7533 0.7423 0.0866
17 63.3 0.7083 0.7781 0.7662 0.0697
18 64.6 0.7500 0.8101 0.7974 0.0601
19 66.3 0.7917 0.8458 0.8327 0.0541
20 67.5 0.8333 0.8672 0.8542 0.0339
21 68.7 0.8750 0.8859 0.8731 0.0109
22 73.3 0.9167 0.9369 0.9264 0.0202
23 74.5 0.9583 0.9461 0.9363 0.0123
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.1195, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 53.0445
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 7.4177

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 52.7032
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 8.009
 ESTACIÓN – CARPISH
Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 108.6
2 217.8
3 85.2
4 112.0
5 125.3
6 137.8
7 166.3
8 159.7
9 110.4
10 145.3
11 134.8
12 93.1
13 119.3
 14 110.6
15 104.3
16 126.4
17 106.1
18 102.7
19 109.1
20 128.3
21 112.8
22 71.7
23 97.6
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 71.7 0.0417 0.0117 0.0091 0.0299
2 85.2 0.0833 0.0800 0.0722 0.0033
3 93.1 0.1250 0.1630 0.1540 0.0380
4 97.6 0.1667 0.2226 0.2140 0.0560
5 102.7 0.2083 0.2972 0.2899 0.0889
6 104.3 0.2500 0.3215 0.3148 0.0715
7 106.1 0.2917 0.3492 0.3430 0.0575
8 108.6 0.3333 0.3877 0.3826 0.0543
9 109.1 0.3750 0.3953 0.3905 0.0203
10 110.4 0.4167 0.4153 0.4109 0.0014
11 110.6 0.4583 0.4183 0.4141 0.0400
12 112.0 0.5000 0.4396 0.4360 0.0604
13 112.8 0.5417 0.4517 0.4484 0.0900
14 119.3 0.5833 0.5459 0.5452 0.0374
15 125.3 0.6250 0.6245 0.6259 0.0005
16 126.4 0.6667 0.6379 0.6396 0.0288
17 128.3 0.7083 0.6602 0.6624 0.0481
18 134.8 0.7500 0.7289 0.7324 0.0211
19 137.8 0.7917 0.7566 0.7605 0.0350
20 145.3 0.8333 0.8157 0.8201 0.0176
21 159.7 0.8750 0.8945 0.8987 0.0195
22 166.3 0.9167 0.9190 0.9228 0.0023
23 217.8 0.9583 0.9903 0.9913 0.0319
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.0900, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
 Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 107.3157
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 23.8731

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 107.671
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 23.2576

ESTACIÓN – TINGO MARÍA

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribución Gumbel

Serie de datos X:

----------------------------------------
N° X
----------------------------------------
1 104.0
2 149.2
3 98.4
4 78.0
5 99.8
6 156.0
7 116.5
 8 88.5
9 95.9
10 123.1
11 149.7
12 80.0
13 97.5
14 108.0
15 70.5
16 95.8
17 78.2
18 69.9
19 105.0
20 103.7
21 98.8
22 122.5
23 89.3
----------------------------------------

Cálculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
m X P(X) G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
1 69.9 0.0417 0.0341 0.0406 0.0075
2 70.5 0.0833 0.0380 0.0448 0.0453
3 78.0 0.1250 0.1121 0.1220 0.0129
4 78.2 0.1667 0.1147 0.1247 0.0520
5 80.0 0.2083 0.1400 0.1502 0.0684
6 88.5 0.2500 0.2873 0.2957 0.0373
7 89.3 0.2917 0.3027 0.3107 0.0110
8 95.8 0.3333 0.4301 0.4344 0.0968
9 95.9 0.3750 0.4321 0.4363 0.0571
10 97.5 0.4167 0.4629 0.4662 0.0462
11 98.4 0.4583 0.4800 0.4827 0.0216
12 98.8 0.5000 0.4875 0.4900 0.0125
13 99.8 0.5417 0.5061 0.5080 0.0356
14 103.7 0.5833 0.5754 0.5753 0.0079
15 104.0 0.6250 0.5805 0.5802 0.0445
16 105.0 0.6667 0.5972 0.5964 0.0694
17 108.0 0.7083 0.6447 0.6427 0.0636
18 116.5 0.7500 0.7570 0.7526 0.0070
19 122.5 0.7917 0.8172 0.8122 0.0255
20 123.1 0.8333 0.8224 0.8174 0.0109
21 149.2 0.8750 0.9528 0.9494 0.0778
22 149.7 0.9167 0.9540 0.9507 0.0374
23 156.0 0.9583 0.9670 0.9642 0.0086
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

-------------------------------------------------------
Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
-------------------------------------------------------
Como el delta teórico 0.0968, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2836. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribución Gumbel, con un nivel de significación del 5%

-------------------------------------------------------
Parámetros de la distribución Gumbel:
-------------------------------------------------------
Con momentos ordinarios:
Parámetro de posición (µ)= 92.6261
Parámetro de escala (alfa)= 18.6728

Con momentos lineales:

Parámetro de posición (µl)= 92.3022
Parámetro de escala (alfal)= 19.234