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Key Highlights
• 7,323 flights yesterday 10 June (+9.2% against Wednesday 3 June)
• Trend is up with a large pick-up expected from 22 June. By mid-July, we expect 12,400
flights, which is expected to rise as more flights are lodged (mainly intra-European).
• Chinese domestic now at 88% of 2019 levels with load factors averaging at 65.2%.
International volumes remain low.
• July schedules for Europe are now clearer for many intra-Schengen operations.
• The EASA/ECDC guidelines have been helpful but the temptation to locally modify them
is not helpful.
• The traffic scenarios we projected on 24 April remain valid for a coordinated opening
and EUROCONTROL is becoming more optimistic.
1. Summary points on the network situation:
• NM Network flights Wed 10 June: 7,232 flights -79.5% (28,038 fewer flights)
o Increase of +622 movements on the previous Wednesday (3 June).
o More than 7,000 flights for the first time since Sunday 22 March.
o Turkish Airlines was the busiest operator with 310 movements, followed by DHL Express
(255), Widerøe (250), Lufthansa (176) and SAS (143).
o Istanbul (Ataturk, New Istanbul airport and Sabiha Gökçen) was the busiest TMA with
437 movements, followed by CDG (306), Frankfurt (292), Schiphol (263) and Heathrow
(254).
• Mid Week #24 (08-10 June): 6,839 flights (daily avg) -80.4% (83,967 fewer flights)
o Increase of +935 per day on the previous week (01-03 June) (i.e. +16%).
o Turkish Airlines was the busiest operator over these 3 days with an average of 299
movements per day, followed by Widerøe (245), Lufthansa (164), SAS (146), Air France
(138) KLM (127) and Wizz Air (120).
o Over these 3 days, Paris/CDG was the busiest airport with an average of 298 movements
per day followed by Istanbul (286), Frankfurt (277), Amsterdam (254) London Heathrow
(241) and Oslo (221).
EUROCONTROL Network
Daily Variation (Flights) compared with equivalent days in 2019
40 000
35 000 35 270
-5%
-10%
-14%
-14%
-16%
-17%
-20%
-24%
30 000
-34%
-44%
25 000
-51%
-56%
20 000
-60%
-66%
-72%
15 000
-76%
-77%
-79%
-79%
-80%
-80%
-81%
-81%
-81%
-81%
-81%
-82%
-82%
-82%
-82%
-82%
-83%
-83%
-84%
-84%
-84%
-84%
-84%
-84%
-85%
-85%
-85%
-85%
-85%
-85%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-86%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-87%
-88%
-88%
-88%
-88%
-88%
-88%
-89%
-89%
-89%
-89%
10 000
-90%
-90%
-90%
-90%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-91%
-81,9%
-92%
-93%
7 232
5 000
0
02 Jun 2020
04 Jun 2020
06 Jun 2020
08 Jun 2020
10 Jun 2020
01 Apr 2020
03 Apr 2020
05 Apr 2020
07 Apr 2020
09 Apr 2020
11 Apr 2020
13 Apr 2020
15 Apr 2020
17 Apr 2020
19 Apr 2020
21 Apr 2020
23 Apr 2020
25 Apr 2020
27 Apr 2020
29 Apr 2020
01 May 2020
03 May 2020
05 May 2020
07 May 2020
09 May 2020
11 May 2020
13 May 2020
15 May 2020
17 May 2020
19 May 2020
21 May 2020
23 May 2020
25 May 2020
27 May 2020
29 May 2020
31 May 2020
08 Mar 2020
10 Mar 2020
12 Mar 2020
14 Mar 2020
16 Mar 2020
18 Mar 2020
20 Mar 2020
22 Mar 2020
24 Mar 2020
26 Mar 2020
28 Mar 2020
30 Mar 2020
% Daily variation Flights 2019 Flights 2020 7-day moving avg of variation vs. 2019
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
01 Apr 2020 -84,6% 4450
02 Apr 2020 -85,7% 4191
•
Turkey 242 03 Apr 2020 -86,6% 3968
04 Apr 2020 -87,2% 3823
France 206 05 Apr 2020 -87,6% 3726
06 Apr 2020 -87,7% 3667
Germany 193 07 Apr 2020 -87,9% 3621
Italy 124 08 Apr 2020 -88,1% 3573
09 Apr 2020 -88,2% 3541
Norway 63 10 Apr 2020 -88,8% 3390
11 Apr 2020 -89,0% 3341
Denmark 42 12 Apr 2020 -89,3% 3259
Switzerland 32 13 Apr 2020 -89,8% 3114
14 Apr 2020 -89,9% 3091
Netherlands 29 15 Apr 2020 -89,9% 3085
16 Apr 2020 -89,8% 3127
Portugal 25 17 Apr 2020 -89,2% 3255
18 Apr 2020 -89,1% 3266
Greece 21 19 Apr 2020 -88,9% 3317
Hungary 21 20 Apr 2020 -88,3% 3484
21 Apr 2020 -88,2% 3528
Austria 18 22 Apr 2020 -88,0% 3579
23 Apr 2020 -87,9% 3628
Spain 17 24 Apr 2020 -87,8% 3675
Poland 15 25 Apr 2020 -87,8% 3700
26 Apr 2020 -87,8% 3734
Canarias 14 27 Apr 2020 -87,7% 3779
28 Apr 2020 -87,6% 3814
moving average for both indicators).
•
•
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
55
Turkey - Turkey Norway - Norway
126
87
Turkey - Turkey
22
Spain Canarias - Spain Canarias
71
Germany - Germany
12
Norway - Norway
63
Spain Canarias - Spain Canarias
6
Denmark - Denmark Italy - Italy
France - France
6
Greece - Greece
Spain Continental - Spain Continental
4
40 39 38 36
Spain Canarias - Spain Continental Greece - Greece
United Kingdom - United States
4
Spain Continental - France
25 22
Sweden - Sweden
3
Finland - Sweden United Kingdom - United Kingdom
Germany - Switzerland
3
France - France
Germany - United Kingdom
3
Germany - Germany Denmark - Denmark
Cyprus - Greece
3
Netherlands - France
15 14 13 12 11 11
3
United Kingdom - Netherlands Finland - Sweden
2
France - Italy France - Italy
Germany - Austria
2
Germany - Austria
Spain Canarias - Spain Continental
10 10 10 10 9
2
Israel - Turkey Germany - Netherlands
9
Netherlands - France
2
Netherlands - Denmark
9
Wednesday 10 June 2020
2
8
Israel - Turkey
2
Netherlands - Switzerland
8
2
7
Estonia - Finland
2
United Kingdom - Switzerland
Germany - France
2
United Kingdom - United States
7
Poland - Poland
6
1
Turkey - Iran Israel - Israel
6
Netherlands - Switzerland
1
United Kingdom - Portugal
6
Norway - Sweden
6
0
Armenia - Russian Federation United Kingdom - United Arab…
5
Netherlands - Italy
0
Belgium - Spain Continental
4
0
4
Denmark - France
4
Denmark - Norway
0
Denmark - France
4
Finland - Denmark
0
4
flights within Turkey (+55 dep/arr flights per day on average), followed by the flows between
When considering departing and arriving flights per country-pairs on Wednesday 10 June, the
2. Return to Operations
Southwest Airlines
o Rremains the largest carrier in North America by capacity, offering 1.55 million seats
last week. This is equivalent to 39% of its weekly capacity a year ago.
United Airlines
o As of July 06, United will add flights to London, Munich, Amsterdam, Brussels, Dublin,
Tel Aviv and Zurich.
o 14 additional daily flights will be added in August to those same destinations. The rest
of their international European schedule has been pushed for an October 24 decision.
Delta Airlines
o June schedule will include flights to Amsterdam, London and Tel Aviv
o July schedule will add 8 additional daily flights
o August schedule will add approximately 30 daily flights
o Delta will double its domestic capacity in July from May, after adding back 100 flights
in June.
American Airlines
o On June 4 resumed service to Amsterdam, Frankfurt Paris and London.
o American Airlines will operate 55% of its original domestic schedule in July, citing
consistent improvement in summer leisure travel demand.
o For the three weeks beginning May 11, scheduled domestic capacity was 80% as much
as a year earlier or just below, compared with an average of 63% for most of March and
April. This has since increased to 88% and the schedules for next week show 96% of last
year’s equivalent domestic capacity is planned
o Domestic passenger load factors have been weak. For May, the average was 65.2% with
only a faint upward trend, according to Chinese data firm Variflight. This is not a result
of regulation: there is no limit in China on passenger load factors or spacing on domestic
flights to minimize infection, though international flights cannot be more than 75% full.
Source: https://aviationweek.com/air-transport/airlines-lessors/daily-memo-chinese-
domestic-capacity-near-90-2019-level
•
•
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Istanbul 317 (5%)
Paris Ch De Gaulle 306 (4%)
3. Airports:
Frankfurt Main 292 (4%)
Amsterdam/Schiphol 263 (4%)
London/Heathrow 254 (4%)
CDG (+57).
Oslo/Gardermoen 233 (3%)
Koeln-Bonn 194 (3%)
Athinai/Eleftherios… 188 (3%)
Bergen/Flesland 188 (3%)
Leipzig/Halle 187 (3%)
Stavanger/Sola 134 (2%)
Muenchen 130 (2%)
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 120 (2%)
Milano Malpensa 118 (2%)
East Midlands 118 (2%)
Roma/Fiumicino 109 (2%)
Zurich 104 (1%)
Stockholm-Arlanda 104 (1%)
Helsinki-Vantaa 99 (1%)
Brussels National 98 (1%)
Wien Schwechat 97 (1%)
Adolfo Suarez Madrid-… 96 (1%)
Paris Le Bourget 96 (1%)
Tromso/Langnes 94 (1%)
Sofia 89 (1%)
Schoenefeld-Berlin 74 (1%)
Gran Canaria 73 (1%)
Dublin 72 (1%)
Budapest Liszt Ferenc… 72 (1%)
Stuttgart 69 (1%)
London/Luton 65 (1%)
Paris/CDG (306), Frankfurt (292), Amsterdam (263), London/Heathrow (254) and Oslo (233).
Luxembourg 64 (1%)
The largest variation of average daily flights between Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of week
23 and week 24 was for Istanbul with 105 additional flight on average per day, followed by Paris
On Wednesday 10 June, Istanbul was the busiest airport with 317 movements, followed by
Averge number of flight per day
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
28
Oslo/Gardermoen - Trondheim/Vaernes
Istanbul (Grand + Ataturk) 105
24
Bergen/Flesland - Stavanger/Sola
23
Oslo/Gardermoen - Stavanger/Sola Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 57
22
Las Palmas - Tenerife Norte
Oslo/Gardermoen 31
21
Bergen/Flesland - Oslo/Gardermoen
Copenhagen/Kastrup 25
17
Marseille/Provence - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
Amsterdam 21
14
Las Palmas - Arrecife Lanzarote
13
Oslo/Gardermoen - Tromso/Langnes
a day on average.
Athens 19
Copenhagen/Kastrup - Aalborg
Stockholm/Arlanda 16
Athens - Iraklion/Nikos/Kazantzakis
Munich 15
London/Heathrow - New York
Vienna
12 12 12 12
Toulouse/Blagnac - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 13
Fuerteventura - Las Palmas Zurich 13
Larnaca - Athens
Rome/Fiumicino 11
11 11 11
Bodo - Oslo/Gardermoen
Milan/Malpensa 10
Nice - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
Athens - Makedonia Frankfurt 10
La Palma - Tenerife Norte London/Heathrow 9
Catania Fontanarossa - Rome/Fiumicino
Palma De Mallorca 8
Milan/Malpensa - Rome/Fiumicino
Ibiza - Palma De Mallorca Dusseldorf 6
10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Helsinki-Vantaa - Stockholm/Arlanda Paris/Orly 6
9
Izmir-Adnan-Menderes - Istanbul/Sabiha…
9
Amsterdam - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
Barcelona 4
9
Frankfurt - Hamburg
Mon, Tue, Wed of Week 24 vs. Week 23
9
Frankfurt - London/Heathrow Geneva 4
Average Daily Variation (IFR Dep/Arr Flights)
Airports in EUROCONTROL Network
8
Hamburg - Munich Manchester 4
8
Trabzon - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen Madrid/Barajas 3
8
Frankfurt - Berlin-Tegel
Tel Aviv/Ben Gurion 3
8
Cagliari Elmas - Rome/Fiumicino
8
Mugla-Dalaman - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen Lisbon 2
8
Ankara-Esenboga - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen London/Gatwick 2
8
Adana-Sakirpasa - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
Helsinki-Vantaa 2
8
Palermo Punta Raisi - Rome/Fiumicino
London/Stansted 2
8
Izmir-Adnan-Menderes - Istanbul Grand
8
London/Heathrow - Chicago O Hare Intl Dublin 0
8
Tel Aviv/Ben Gurion - Istanbul Grand Liege/Liege -4
8
Frankfurt - Munich
Brussels -7
Athens - Santorini 8
Warsaw/Okecie
-12
8
Gotenborg/Landvetter - Stockholm/Arlanda
between Norwegian airports which accounts for more than 23 dep/arr flights a day on average
Marseille/Paris CDG was 6th with 17. All other top 40 airport pairs are around 8-10 dep/arr flights
This analysis can be extended to airport pairs on Wednesday 10 June. Apart from the flows
(reaching 28 between Oslo and Trondheim), Las Palmas/Tenerife was 4th with 22,
Averge number of flight per day Variation of number of avg dep/arr flights per day
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
28
Oslo/Gardermoen - Trondheim/Vaernes
55
Turkey - Turkey
•
24
Bergen/Flesland - Stavanger/Sola
22
Spain Canarias - Spain Canarias
23
Oslo/Gardermoen - Stavanger/Sola
22
Las Palmas - Tenerife Norte
12
Norway - Norway
21
Bergen/Flesland - Oslo/Gardermoen
6
Denmark - Denmark
17
Marseille/Provence - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
14
Las Palmas - Arrecife Lanzarote
6
Greece - Greece
13
Oslo/Gardermoen - Tromso/Langnes
4
Copenhagen/Kastrup - Aalborg Spain Canarias - Spain Continental
a day on average.
Athens - Iraklion/Nikos/Kazantzakis
4
Spain Continental - France
London/Heathrow - New York
3
Finland - Sweden
12 12 12 12
Toulouse/Blagnac - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
Fuerteventura - Las Palmas
3
France - France
Larnaca - Athens
3
Germany - Germany
11 11 11
Bodo - Oslo/Gardermoen
Spain (+22) and Norway (+12).
Nice - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
3
Netherlands - France
Athens - Makedonia
3
La Palma - Tenerife Norte United Kingdom - Netherlands
Catania Fontanarossa - Rome/Fiumicino
2
France - Italy
Milan/Malpensa - Rome/Fiumicino
2
10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Helsinki-Vantaa - Stockholm/Arlanda
2
Israel - Turkey
9
Izmir-Adnan-Menderes - Istanbul/Sabiha…
9
Amsterdam - Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle Netherlands - Denmark
9
Frankfurt - Hamburg
2
Netherlands - Portugal
9
Top Airport-pairs variation
Frankfurt - London/Heathrow
2
Netherlands - Switzerland
8
Hamburg - Munich
8
Trabzon - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
2
Norway - Sweden
(Number of average dep/arr flights per day)
8
Frankfurt - Berlin-Tegel
2
8
Cagliari Elmas - Rome/Fiumicino
between Wednesday 3 June and Wednesday 10 June
8
Mugla-Dalaman - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
2
8
Ankara-Esenboga - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
1
Turkey - Iran
8
Adana-Sakirpasa - Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
8
1
8
Izmir-Adnan-Menderes - Istanbul Grand
0
8
London/Heathrow - Chicago O Hare Intl
8
0
8
Frankfurt - Munich
0
8
Athens - Santorini
8
0
This analysis can be extended to airport pairs on Wednesday 10 June. Apart from the flows
flights within Turkey (+55 dep/arr flights per day on average), followed by the flows between
(reaching 28 between Oslo and Trondheim), Las Palmas/Tenerife was 4th with 22,
0
Denmark - Norway
4. Airlines
• For the largest Air Operator Groups, the reductions on Wednesday 10 June were: easyJet
-99.0%, Ryanair Group -98.0%, IAG Airlines -94.5%, Lufthansa Group -91.9% and Air-France-KLM
-87.5%.
• On Wednesday 10 June, Austrian Airlines had no flights at all, TUI jet and Brussels only 2, easyJet
was -99%, Ryanair -98%, TAP -98%, Iberia -97%, British Airways -92%, Lufthansa -89%, Air France
-88%, SAS -86%, KLM -82%, Turkish airlines -78% and Widerøe -39%.
• Turkish Airlines was the busiest airline with 310 movements, followed by DHL Express (255),
Widerøe (250), Lufthansa (176), SAS (143), Bristow Norway (139), Air France (139) and KLM
(132).
Air Operator Group | Daily Network Traffic
10/06/2020 compared to the same operational day last year
-80,0%
-82,0% 284 18 145 294 52
-84,0%
-86,0%
-88,0%
-90,0% -87,5%
-92,0%
-94,0% -91,9%
-96,0% -94,5%
-98,0%
-100,0% -98,0%
-99,0%
AIR FRANCE-KLM EASYJET GROUP IAG AIRLINES LUFTHANSA GROUP RYANAIR GROUP
350
255 (4%)
250 (3%)
300
176 (2%)
250
143 (2%)
139 (2%)
139 (2%)
132 (2%)
117 (2%)
200
104 (1%)
96 (1%)
92 (1%)
85 (1%)
84 (1%)
82 (1%)
79 (1%)
150
73 (1%)
68 (1%)
63 (1%)
62 (1%)
53 (1%)
52 (1%)
51 (1%)
48 (1%)
48 (1%)
48 (1%)
44 (1%)
43 (1%)
42 (1%)
42 (1%)
39 (1%)
37 (1%)
37 (1%)
37 (1%)
36 (0%)
34 (0%)
34 (0%)
34 (0%)
32 (0%)
30 (0%)
100
50
0
Air Contractors…
Scandinavian Airlines…
Commandement…
British Airways
Lot-Polish Airlines
Jetfly Aviation Sa
Tnt International
Sunexpress Airlines
Deutsche Lufthansa
Wizz Air
Klm Royal Dutch Airl
Loganair
Canarias Airlines
Enac
Turkish Airlines
Dhl Express
Atlantic Airlines
Ryanair
Air Hamburg
Wideroe
Air France
Alitalia
Federal Express Corp
Olympic
Finnair O/Y
Emirates
Star Air
Netjets
• The largest variation of average daily flights between Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of week
23 and week 24 was for Turkish airlines with 115 additional flight on average per day followed
by Pegasus (+86).
Aircraft operators in EUROCONTROL Network
Average Daily Variation (IFR Flights)
Mon, Tue, Wed of Week 24 vs. Week 23
140
115
120
100 86
80
60
39
36
33
29
40
15
15
12
11
20
0
0
Tap/Air Portugal -1
Finnair O/Y -1
-20
Lot-Polish Airlines -5
El Al-Israel Airl. -5
British Airways
Pegasus Hava Tasi.
Wizz Air
Deutsche Lufthansa
Air Nostrum
Brussels Airlines
Eurowings Ag
Air Europa
Austrian Airlines
Turkish Airlines
Ryanair
Easyjet
Vueling Airlines Sa
Iberia
Air France
Wideroe
Alitalia
Swiss International
Tui Jet
• In March, all bi-directional traffic flows between ECAC and other regions in the world decreased
with various dynamics and amplitude. The flow with Asia/Pacific is now the largest share of
traffic to/from ECAC at 6%, followed by North Atlantic and Middle East after having reached a
minimum early April.
%2%2%
00%
2%
5%
5% 1%4%
1%
0%
3%
5% ECAC
6% 4% AsiaPacific
2% 'North-Atlantic'
'Middle-East'
'North-Africa'
'Mid-Atlantic'
'South-Atlantic'
80%
'Southern Africa'
78% 'Other Europe'
• Over the first 8 days of June, the intra-ECAC flows represented 4415 flights on average per day.
Yesterday, on 8 June, the largest increase compared to the same day of the previous week was
also the intra ECAC flow with 1432 additional flights.
• This time last year, all-cargo flights accounted for about 2% of total Departure / Arrival flights,
whereas now, it accounted for 12% on 8 June 2020. The share of scheduled traffic, which
accounted for 84% reduced to 38% only.
966
13%
1 045
711
3 811 2%3%
900 11% 2 814
12% 38%
27 982
84%
2 725
37%
• During the crisis, all-cargo flights remained stable at the 2019 level with a variation around the
Easter period (both 2019 and 2020) while scheduled and low-cost traffic reduced by 88%
(respectively 96%) during the crisis.
Market segments in EUROCONTROL Network
(compared with equivalent days in 2019)
Daily Variation (Flights)
20%
0% 4%
-20%
-40%
-60%
-80%
-88%
-100% -96%
-120%
02 Jun 2020
04 Jun 2020
06 Jun 2020
08 Jun 2020
01 Apr 2020
03 Apr 2020
05 Apr 2020
07 Apr 2020
09 Apr 2020
11 Apr 2020
13 Apr 2020
15 Apr 2020
17 Apr 2020
19 Apr 2020
21 Apr 2020
23 Apr 2020
25 Apr 2020
27 Apr 2020
29 Apr 2020
01 May 2020
03 May 2020
05 May 2020
07 May 2020
09 May 2020
11 May 2020
13 May 2020
15 May 2020
17 May 2020
19 May 2020
21 May 2020
23 May 2020
25 May 2020
27 May 2020
29 May 2020
31 May 2020
04 Mar 2020
06 Mar 2020
08 Mar 2020
10 Mar 2020
12 Mar 2020
14 Mar 2020
16 Mar 2020
18 Mar 2020
20 Mar 2020
22 Mar 2020
24 Mar 2020
26 Mar 2020
28 Mar 2020
30 Mar 2020
All Cargo (7-day avg) Low Cost (7-day avg) Traditional (7-day avg)
• As shown below, the traffic per market segment is steadily increasing since week 16 and all
cargo flights, despite increasing in absolute terms, see their share slightly reducing as they
increased less than other market segment flights.
To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information
on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 12:00 CET):