Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Keywords
agriculture; demographic profile; economic reforms; external sector;
Indian economy, natural resources; poverty; unemployment
Contents
Preface...................................................................................................ix
Acknowledgments....................................................................................xi
References............................................................................................191
About the Author.................................................................................205
Index..................................................................................................207
Preface
This book is the second volume in the series of eight such volumes and
provides a summary of and highlights the changes that development
thinking has undergone over the years. The book consists of 13 chapters.
It is designed to provide a glimpse of the sparks that have ignited the
development of the Indian economy. Each chapter of the book combines
narrative, development, and analysis of the Indian economy. These chap-
ters offer a guide to and an interpretation of the growth of the Indian
economy. At the heart of the book is a series of ideas developed by econo-
mists. India began its process of development in environments marked by
sharp shortages, institutional failures, and imbalances of various kinds.
As such, the institutional environment that a country finds itself in is en-
dogenous to its state of economic development, and as a result, artificially
implanting institutions is only likely to cause severe dislocations and
adjustment costs. It is important to note that economic transformation
can be engineered even in countries like India that have a suboptimal
institutional environment and weak overall physical and human capital.
What is needed in a globalized world is a state that proactively promotes
only those sectors that are in consonance with a country’s comparative
advantage.
Successful development requires the state to correct market failures
and play a proactive, facilitating role in the economy. It also provides a
strong case for thinking about political economy writ large. Given the fact
that India adopted a deep commitment to democracy, economics needed
to work its way explicitly through the political process. What becomes
clear in this is the extent to which plans and policies reflect the pulls and
pushes of political and economic imperatives. Indeed, what is remarkable
about postindependence India was that the degree of experimentation
in combining state planning with democracy, in attempting structural
transformation, and in maintaining independence and coherence as a na-
tion state, all came about, at least at the outset, through planning. And,
certainly, the growth turnaround in the postindependence period was
substantial.
Acknowledgments
In writing a book one draws upon the contributions of so many other
scholars. All efforts have been made to acknowledge the contribution of
the authors the book has drawn upon but separate acknowledgment of
each of them, apart from some references, is a formidable task. Detailed
textual references are given in the endnotes and bibliographical references.
I gratefully acknowledge the debt of all such authors whose theories and
views provided me with ample wisdom and enlightenment. There is little
that is original in this book, and much that is owed to the pioneering
contributions of various scholars. None of them are, however, responsible
for the views that are expressed in this book and the errors that it might
contain. I alone am responsible for errors and omissions, if any.
A special word of appreciation is due to my old friend Professor
D.P.S. Verma (retired professor of commerce, Delhi School of Econom-
ics, University of Delhi), who helped me in improving the presentation
and bringing it to its present format. Several friends, colleagues, and stu-
dents had prompted me from time to time to write a book on the Indian
economy. Several others have helped me in the actual writing of it.
The writing of any book causes a certain amount of domestic up-
heaval. My family rode out the occasional pockets of turbulence with
admirable fortitude. My younger brother Prithwi Raj Singh (Satyawati
College, University of Delhi) has provided his unstinted cooperation and
support at all stages of my academic career. In the preparation of this
book, right from the very beginning, Manish Kumar Sharma has been
a great source of strength in providing all the necessary secretarial assis-
tance, and I express my special thanks to him. There is always scope for
improvement, and the author welcomes comments, corrections, or sug-
gestions from readers, which will be gratefully acknowledged and incor-
porated in the next edition. I eagerly look forward to receiving feedback
at sksingheco71@gmail.com, for which I would be very grateful.
This chapter first explains the nature and anatomy, or structure, of the
Indian economy to provide readers with an overview and then moves
on to the concept of economic reforms to help understand the nature of
changes that accompany economic development.
In 2017, agriculture, with its allied sectors, was the largest source of
livelihood in India. Seventy percent of the country’s rural households still
depend primarily on agriculture for their livelihood, with 82 percent of
farmers being small and marginal.2 But with time the share of agriculture
is decreasing and the share of the service sector is increasing. India’s diverse
economy encompasses traditional village farming, modern agriculture,
handicrafts, a wide range of modern industries, and a multitude of services.
Services are the major source of economic growth, accounting for more
than half of India’s output with less than one-third of its labor force. The
sector that carries out all activity through a system and follows the law of
the land is called the organized sector. The informal, or unorganized, econ-
omy is largely rural and encompasses farming, fishing, forestry, and cottage
industries. It also includes petty vendors and some small-scale mechanized
industries in both rural and urban areas. The sectors that evade most of the
laws and don’t follow the system come under the unorganized sector. Com-
pared with developed countries like United States, Japan, Germany, France,
United Kingdom, Canada which were having higher rates of both savings
and investment ranging from 20 to 28% on an average during 1960s,3 the
Indian economy has a lower level of both the investment and the savings
rate ranging from 10 to 14% on an average during the same period.4
five-year plans agreed that strong economic growth and measures to increase
incomes and consumption among the poorest groups were necessary goals
for the new nation. The planners wanted domination of the public sector in
the growth of the economy. The private sector would play a complementary
role. This thinking dominated the planning process from 1950 to 1990.
This thinking had several positive aspects as well as negative. Government
was assigned an important role in this process, and since 1951 a series of five-
year plans have guided the country’s economic development. In the period
right after independence the Indian entrepreneur was not cash rich, so the
government had to start creating big public sector enterprises. Companies
that are run and financed by private individuals constitute the private sector.
Although there was considerable growth, the long-term rates of growth were
less positive than desired. Such a rate of growth, of around 3.5 percent, was
termed the “Hindu rate of growth.”
During the early phase of economic planning, in 1950s, a large num-
ber of basic industries that produced capital equipment (machine tools,
industrial machinery, process plant equipment, construction and mining
equipment, electrical equipment, textile machinery, printing and packag-
ing machinery, etc.) and useful raw materials were set up, making the
country’s industrial structure quite strong. Social overhead capital, which
broadly includes transport facilities, irrigation systems, energy produc-
tion, educational system and organization, and health facilities, has regis-
tered promising development and created favorable conditions for growth
and also for better living. The infrastructure sector has grown in terms
of both capacity and modernization. The railways route length and road
network in 2019 constitutes one of the largest in the world. India has also
seen growth in life expectancy and literacy rates up to 2019, but educa-
tion and health services have not expanded at the desired rate.
Significant progressive changes have taken place in the banking and
financial structure of India, and as a result of these, the importance of
indigenous bankers and moneylenders has declined. With the national-
ization of 14 banks in 1969, public sector banks (PSBs) radically changed
their credit policy and made more funds available to priority sectors such
as agriculture; micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs); and
transportation. The economy has progressed structurally in terms of the
growth of capital goods industries, expansion of infrastructure, perfor-
mance of the public sector, and so on. These factors, over the years, are
4 UNDERSTANDING THE INDIAN ECONOMY – POST-REFORMS OF 1991
The bulk of the poor work, but low productivity and intermittent
employment keep incomes low.
Economic development going well beyond growth has been the prin-
cipal agenda of each and all of the governments in India since it became
independent. Many factors, including, in particular, the fact that India
chose to follow a democratic political system and that the state was des-
tined to play a vital role in the social, political, and economic develop-
ment of the country, have been critical in shaping the state of the nation
6 UNDERSTANDING THE INDIAN ECONOMY – POST-REFORMS OF 1991
private sector and the foreign sector. Greater participation was ensured,
and today, barring the nuclear sector and railway operations, all areas
are open to private and foreign investment and companies. This has also
changed the government’s approach to the development of various sec-
tors. The government has recognized the efficiency of the private sector
in execution by partnering with it on various development projects in the
infrastructure sector. This has been done through public private partner-
ship (PPP).
The trade policy too complemented the industrial policy, and the first
seven five-year plans (1951 to 1985) wanted import substitution. The
planners, however, never seriously considered providing an impetus to
exports. But, since the mid-80s, economists have been in favor of privati-
zation of nonstrategic public enterprises and fully opening the economy
to private and foreign industries. Owning to this, it was felt that there is a
need for a new economic policy, and this policy was introduced in 1991.
With this overview of changes that took place between 1947 and
1990, one would have an understanding of the progress that led to the
strengthening of the Indian economy. Apart from the growth in quantita-
tive terms, there have been significant changes in India’s economic struc-
ture since independence. The structural change has been very slow, but it
has virtually given a fillip to the traditional and stagnant economy. After
the economic reforms of 1991, the Indian economy became one of the
most promising developing economies of the world. The strategy paper of
the National Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog) says that
India is on the cusp of a major transformation and change has been in the
making (NITI Aayog 2018b)
The economy is moving out of the negative legacies of the past. To
meet the rising aspirations of the young population, however, India needs
to achieve and sustain a high rate of GDP growth for the next three
decades, ending 2050. There will be several milestones in this long and
arduous journey. The direct implication of ensuring rapid growth with in-
clusion is that policymaking will have to be rooted in Indian ground reali-
ties and emphasize the welfare of all in both design and implementation.
moving toward more accommodation. The triggers are both political and
economic. Social welfare commitments—health care, pension for the un-
organized sector—will likely incur higher expenses in the coming years.
Accommodative macro policies do not necessarily imply imprudence. If
growth is weak, then countercyclical macro policies are essential (Varma
and Nandi 2019).
The more funds are diverted to subsidy, the less investment in pro-
ductivity enhancing social and physical infrastructure. Of course, there
is a need for subsidy, to help the poor break out of poverty, but it must
be sparingly used, and intelligently. India must prioritize growth and
marshal resources to that end. India must shun a political economy of
competitive populism that sees redistribution as the way out of poverty.9
Within the economic sphere, what India still needs is careful rethinking
of the balances and boundaries between public and private; centralized
and decentralized; economics and politics; and rich, poor, and middle
(Singh 2019b). “Three decades after the unveiling of economic reforms
of 1991, India’s mainstream political parties are increasingly speaking
the same language on welfare. The new political positioning in contrast
to the earlier belief was that growth is the best antidote to poverty.” The
kind of competing welfarism that was reflected during the 2019 general
election is certain to dismay sections of economic policymakers, indus-
try, and investors. “But it is also a signpost of India’s political economy
at work and a reflection of the sobering fact that irrespective of the color
and stability of the regime, the direction of reform hinges on political
will” yet, it is also true that in the postreforms period, no government
has reversed any major policy pursued by a previous regime, thus pro-
viding a measure of comfort to business and industry. “Well-meaning
policies aimed at welfare maximization or redistribution are bound to
succeed only when the state has both fiscal and implementation cap-
acity. It is all very well to say that growth will lift all boats, but ultim-
ately, politics is the art of the possible.”10
Endnotes
1. Structure of the Economy: Independence to 1979 http://country
studies.us/india/93.htm (accessed January 25, 2020)
10 UNDERSTANDING THE INDIAN ECONOMY – POST-REFORMS OF 1991
EEZ. See Exclusive Economic Zone GST. See Goods and services tax
(EEZ) (GST)
Election plank, 90
Employability problem, 99 HDI. See Human Development Index
Employment indicators, 93–94 (HDI)
Employment opportunities, 15 Health, 55–58
Employment scenario, 95–99 Health and wellness centers
Energy/power, 27–28 (HWCs), 57
Ethnic diversity, 72 Higher education, 61–62
Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), 25 Hindu rate of growth, 3
External sector, 103 Housing, 65–66
Human Development Index (HDI),
Fast moving consumer goods 37, 55, 63–64
(FMCG), 41 HWCs. See Health and wellness
FDI. See Foreign direct investment centers (HWCs)
(FDI)
Federal form of government, 160 IATA. See International Air Transport
Ferrous and metallic minerals, 23 Association (IATA)
FMCG. See Fast moving consumer ICT. See Information and
goods (FMCG) communications technology
Foreign direct investment (FDI), 153 (ICT)
Forest resources, 22–23 IDI. See Inclusive Development Index
Forest Survey of India (FSI), 22 (IDI)
FSI. See Forest Survey of India (FSI) Import exports datasets, 182
IMR. See Infant mortality rate (IMR)
GDP. See Gross domestic product Inclusive Development Index
(GDP) (IDI), 135
Geographical information system India
(GIS), 46 EEZ of, 25
GERs. See Gross enrolment ratios jobs policy, 102
(GERs) employment problem, 94–95
GIS. See Geographical information industrial economy, 4
system (GIS) laws governing business in, 168
GNP. See Gross national product leaders, 2–3
(GNP) literacy rate in, 71
Goods and services tax (GST), national income, 136–144
17, 177 characteristics of, 129–130
Google Public Data Explorer, 186 composition of, 140–144
Gross domestic product (GDP), 4, composition/distribution of, 144
8, 11, 44, 56, 60, 76, 86, concept, of, 129
93, 130–133, 135–140, 142, GDP measurement, 131
143, 147, 150, 151, 152, 187 IDI, 135
Gross domestic savings/gross capital importance of, 130–131
formation, 149 measurement of, 138
Gross enrolment ratios (GERs), 59 national income/economic
Gross national income/net national well-being, 131–136
income, 141 trends in, 138–139
Gross national product (GNP), 11 WEF, 135
Growth, 151–154 national portal, 181
INDEX
209
NITI Aayog. See National Institution Poverty alleviation, 11, 15, 63, 83, 84,
for Transforming India (NITI 88, 126
Aayog) Poverty estimates, 80–85
Noncontractual labor, 97, 98 Poverty line, 83
Nonferrous metallic minerals, 23 Power, 37–39
Nonmetallic minerals, 23 PPP. See Public private partnership
Northern Ganga River Basin, 31 (PPP)
NSC. See National Statistical Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana
Commission (NSC) (PMJAY), 57, 58
NWP. See National Water Policy Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas
(NWP) Yojana, 99
Pradhan Mantri Rojgar Protsahan
Occupational structure, 70–71 Yojana, 99
OGD. See Open Government Data Pressure groups, 161
(OGD) Prima facie, 117
One-size-fits-all strategy, 18 PSBs. See Public sector banks (PSBs)
Open Government Data (OGD), PSU. See Public sector undertaking
182–183 (PSU)
Organic minerals, 23 PSU telcos, 48–50
Organized sectors, 15–16 Public interest litigation (PIL),
169–170
PFI. See Population Foundation of Public opinion, 161
India (PFI) Public private partnership (PPP), 8
PIL. See Public interest litigation (PIL) Public sector banks (PSBs), 3
PMJAY. See Pradhan Mantri Jan Public sector undertaking (PSU), 46
Arogya Yojana (PMJAY) Public–private partnership (PPP),
Policy implications, 16–17 51–52
Policy response, 85–91
Policymaking, 8–9 Railways, 40–42
Political environment, 161–162 Rangarajan Committee, 80, 82
Political forces, 159–166 RBI. See Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Political parties, 160 RE. See Renewable energy (RE)
Political stability, 160 Real estate infrastructure, 64–65
Poor work, 5 Relative poverty, 82
Population, 67–72 Religion, 157
Population Foundation of India Renewable energy (RE), 28–29
(PFI), 77 Reservation/political parties,
Population policy, 74–77 162–164
Population/India’s economic Reserve Bank of India (RBI), 148
development, 73–74 database, 180–181
Ports and shipping, 43–44 Rhetoric, 88
Post reform of 1991, 169–170 Right to Education (RTE), 60
Poverty, 5, 9, 35–36, 45, 69, 111, Road, 42–43
112–113, 115, 116, 118, Role of opposition, 160
119, 123, 126 RTE. See Right to Education (RTE)
concept of, 111–112 Rural-led strategy, 18
concept of, 79 Rural–urban composition, 71
vicious circle of, 74 Rural–urban inequality, 115
212 INDEX
• a one-time purchase,
• that is owned forever,
• allows for simultaneous readers,
• has no restrictions on printing, and
• can be downloaded as PDFs from within the library community.
Our digital library collections are a great solution to beat the rising cost of textbooks. E-books can be
loaded into their course management systems or onto students’ e-book readers.
The Business Expert Press digital libraries are very affordable, with no obligation to buy in future
years. For more information, please visit www.businessexpertpress.com/librarians.
To set up a trial in the United States, please email sales@businessexpertpress.com.