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, Suite 200
St. Petersburg, FL 33702
Phone: (727) 245-1962
Fax: (727) 577-7470
Email: info@stpetepolls.org
Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President
Executive Summary:
This poll of 3,018 likely Florida voters was conducted from July 13 to July 14, 2020. This poll
used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of June 9th 2020. The sample of
voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of
the state of Florida.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the 2020 General Election in Florida.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics
used were: political party, race, age, gender and media market.
Respondents who stated they were not likely to vote in the election were excluded from the
results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 3,018 and a 1.8%
Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.
Here is a summary of the demographic breakdown of the Registered voters who responded to this
survey:
Political Party:
Democratic 1171 = 38.8%
Republican 1166 = 38.6%
Independent 681 = 22.6%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 = 64.6%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 = 13.9%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83= 2.8%
Hispanic 354 = 11.7%
Other or Unknown 212 = 7.0%
Gender Breakdown:
Female 1641 = 54.4%
Male 1336 = 44.3%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 = 8.6%
30 to 49 730 = 24.2%
50 to 69 1178 = 39.0%
70 and up 849 = 28.1%
How likely would you say you are to vote in the November General
Election?
Absolutely certain: 95.6%
Very likely: 3.1%
Somewhat likely: 1.3%
If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were
Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump: 44.4%
Joe Biden: 50.4%
Third party: 2.0%
Undecided: 3.2%
In the past, when you voted, which was your preferred method of voting?
Voting by mail, voting in-person at an early voting location, or voting in-
person at your precinct on election day?
Vote by mail: 35.1%
Early vote: 31.9%
Election day vote: 32.9%
This year, how do you plan to vote? Voting by mail, voting in-person at an
early voting location, or voting in-person at your precinct on election day?
Vote by mail: 49.3%
Early vote: 26.6%
Election day vote: 24.1%
The first is vote by mail. When voting by mail how secure do you feel your
ballot is?
Very secure: 43.8%
Somewhat secure: 21.4%
Somewhat not secure: 13.3%
Very much not secure: 21.5%
The next is voting at an early voting location. When voting early how
secure do you feel your ballot is?
Very secure: 58.2%
Somewhat secure: 29.4%
Somewhat not secure: 7.6%
Very much not secure: 4.7%
The last is voting at your precinct on election day. When voting at your
precinct on election day how secure do you feel your ballot is?
Very secure: 70.1%
Somewhat secure: 23.1%
Somewhat not secure: 5.0%
Very much not secure: 1.8%
Next I’d like to read you a few statements about how people vote, for each
please tell me if you agree or disagree with each.
President Trump said voting by mail leads to voter fraud and this gives me
concerns about voting by mail.
Agree: 43.1%
Disagree: 56.9%
I like the fact that Florida offers voters the choice of how they can vote and
allows voters to choose either vote-by-mail, early voting or election day
voting.
Agree: 85.7%
Disagree: 14.3%
I am less likely to vote this year because I have lost trust in Americas
voting systems.
Agree: 6.6%
Disagree: 93.4%
I worry that if I vote by mail, my ballot will be lost or not counted and I
won’t know.
Agree: 45.7%
Disagree: 54.3%
The first is vote by mail. When voting by mail how secure do you feel your ballot is?
Very secure: 43.8%
Somewhat secure: 21.4%
Somewhat not secure: 13.3%
Very much not secure: 21.5%
Very secure: 43.9% Somewhat secure: 21.4% Somewhat not secure: 13.3% Very much not secure: 21.5%
Very secure: 58.2% Somewhat secure: 29.4% Somewhat not secure: 7.6% Very much not secure: 4.8%
Very secure: 70.1% Somewhat secure: 23.2% Somewhat not secure: 5.0% Very much not secure: 1.8%
Agree: 43.2%
Disagree: 56.8%
Agree: 49.0%
Disagree: 51.0%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 responses
Agree: 45.1% Disagree: 54.9%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 responses
Agree: 58.4% Disagree: 41.6%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83 responses
Agree: 53.0% Disagree: 47.0%
Hispanic 354 responses
Agree: 59.3% Disagree: 40.7%
Other or Unknown 212 responses
Agree: 48.1% Disagree: 51.9%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1336 responses
Agree: 48.2% Disagree: 51.8%
Female 1641 responses
Agree: 49.6% Disagree: 50.4%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 responses
Agree: 48.7% Disagree: 51.3%
30 to 49 730 responses
Agree: 51.2% Disagree: 48.8%
50 to 69 1178 responses
Agree: 48.0% Disagree: 52.0%
70 and up 849 responses
Agree: 48.5% Disagree: 51.5%
Agree: 85.7%
Disagree: 14.3%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 responses
Agree: 84.1% Disagree: 15.9%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 responses
Agree: 92.3% Disagree: 7.7%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83 responses
Agree: 79.5% Disagree: 20.5%
Hispanic 354 responses
Agree: 87.9% Disagree: 12.1%
Other or Unknown 212 responses
Agree: 85.8% Disagree: 14.2%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1336 responses
Agree: 86.2% Disagree: 13.8%
Female 1641 responses
Agree: 85.3% Disagree: 14.7%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 responses
Agree: 85.4% Disagree: 14.6%
30 to 49 730 responses
Agree: 84.8% Disagree: 15.2%
50 to 69 1178 responses
Agree: 85.2% Disagree: 14.8%
70 and up 849 responses
Agree: 87.2% Disagree: 12.8%
Agree: 6.6%
Disagree: 93.4%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 responses
Agree: 5.4% Disagree: 94.6%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 responses
Agree: 8.9% Disagree: 91.1%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83 responses
Agree: 9.6% Disagree: 90.4%
Hispanic 354 responses
Agree: 9.9% Disagree: 90.1%
Other or Unknown 212 responses
Agree: 6.1% Disagree: 93.9%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1336 responses
Agree: 6.0% Disagree: 94.0%
Female 1641 responses
Agree: 7.1% Disagree: 92.9%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 responses
Agree: 7.3% Disagree: 92.7%
30 to 49 730 responses
Agree: 7.1% Disagree: 92.9%
50 to 69 1178 responses
Agree: 6.5% Disagree: 93.5%
70 and up 849 responses
Agree: 6.0% Disagree: 94.0%
Agree: 45.7%
Disagree: 54.3%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 responses
Agree: 48.2% Disagree: 51.8%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 responses
Agree: 34.0% Disagree: 66.0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83 responses
Agree: 48.2% Disagree: 51.8%
Hispanic 354 responses
Agree: 44.4% Disagree: 55.6%
Other or Unknown 212 responses
Agree: 47.6% Disagree: 52.4%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1336 responses
Agree: 46.9% Disagree: 53.1%
Female 1641 responses
Agree: 44.9% Disagree: 55.1%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 responses
Agree: 47.5% Disagree: 52.5%
30 to 49 730 responses
Agree: 44.8% Disagree: 55.2%
50 to 69 1178 responses
Agree: 48.5% Disagree: 51.5%
70 and up 849 responses
Agree: 42.2% Disagree: 57.8%
Agree: 83.6%
Disagree: 16.4%
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1951 responses
Agree: 85.0% Disagree: 15.0%
Black, Not Hispanic 418 responses
Agree: 83.3% Disagree: 16.7%
Asian or Pacific Islander 83 responses
Agree: 85.5% Disagree: 14.5%
Hispanic 354 responses
Agree: 79.1% Disagree: 20.9%
Other or Unknown 212 responses
Agree: 77.8% Disagree: 22.2%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1336 responses
Agree: 83.3% Disagree: 16.7%
Female 1641 responses
Agree: 83.9% Disagree: 16.1%
Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 261 responses
Agree: 85.1% Disagree: 14.9%
30 to 49 730 responses
Agree: 81.6% Disagree: 18.4%
50 to 69 1178 responses
Agree: 81.9% Disagree: 18.1%
70 and up 849 responses
Agree: 87.0% Disagree: 13.0%