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Pennsylvania Polling

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870


Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,006 registered, likely voters in Pennsylvania. The poll was conducted on July
22nd through the 24th and has a margin of error of 3.1%. The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell
phone users. The results are weighted by relevant voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing Institute.
1) If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?

Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q1: Joe Donald Trump 19.8% 24.4% 37.7% 49.9% 48.5% 32.5% 47.0% 47.0% 45.7% 38.2% 51.5%
BidenVSTRUMP Joe Biden 61.3% 75.6% 43.4% 41.4% 46.1% 47.1% 47.3% 45.4% 51.4% 52.2% 43.1%

Uncertain 19.0% 0.0% 18.9% 8.7% 5.4% 20.3% 5.7% 7.6% 2.9% 9.5% 5.5%
2) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male

Q2: Somewhat Approve 3.1% 24.4% 13.7% 3.0% 13.2% 16.9% 15.0% 10.8% 7.7% 9.6% 14.7%
TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat
8.9% 15.3% 11.3% 7.0% 5.5% 3.0% 10.6% 3.1% 7.0% 6.9% 5.6%
Disapprove

Strongly Approve 25.2% 0.0% 33.1% 47.7% 37.1% 22.0% 32.1% 40.0% 41.0% 32.7% 38.4%

Strongly Disapprove 55.1% 60.3% 41.9% 42.4% 42.3% 50.5% 39.6% 45.2% 43.6% 48.5% 38.9%

Uncertain 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 7.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.7% 2.3% 2.3%
3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Tom Wolf’s job performance?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male

Q3: Somewhat Approve 26.7% 24.4% 25.6% 20.6% 25.6% 41.1% 25.2% 20.2% 24.1% 28.6% 22.5%
WOLFPERFORMANCE Somewhat
10.0% 15.3% 18.1% 13.3% 14.2% 12.8% 16.9% 9.4% 16.5% 11.3% 16.8%
Disapprove

Strongly Approve 45.9% 60.3% 27.1% 27.0% 31.1% 23.1% 32.9% 35.2% 34.8% 33.1% 32.4%

Strongly Disapprove 5.9% 0.0% 21.0% 38.0% 27.8% 15.8% 22.1% 34.6% 22.1% 23.0% 27.1%

Uncertain 11.4% 0.0% 8.3% 1.0% 1.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 2.5% 4.0% 1.3%
4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Bob Casey’s job performance?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male

Q4: Somewhat Approve 38.9% 0.0% 26.2% 12.8% 30.4% 33.2% 29.7% 29.7% 30.7% 29.3% 31.8%
CASEYPERFORMANCE Somewhat
16.9% 15.3% 15.6% 7.5% 15.7% 16.0% 17.2% 16.1% 13.4% 17.2% 14.0%
Disapprove

Strongly Approve 21.8% 24.4% 23.8% 15.0% 22.2% 16.6% 17.7% 23.7% 27.8% 20.7% 23.6%

Strongly Disapprove 4.7% 60.3% 16.0% 44.9% 19.2% 8.8% 12.1% 25.6% 22.1% 14.4% 22.6%

Uncertain 17.7% 0.0% 18.4% 19.8% 12.5% 25.3% 23.3% 5.0% 6.1% 18.4% 8.0%
5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey’s job performance?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 older Female Male

Q5: Somewhat Approve 38.6% 38.7% 22.3% 33.3% 26.3% 25.2% 23.8% 30.3% 30.5% 26.1% 29.5%
TOOMEYPERFORMANCE Somewhat
19.7% 0.0% 19.5% 23.5% 25.7% 29.8% 19.8% 26.2% 24.7% 21.2% 27.9%
Disapprove

Strongly Approve 17.8% 24.4% 21.4% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.9% 11.4% 13.1% 11.8% 11.1%

Strongly Disapprove 6.1% 36.8% 10.3% 15.8% 25.9% 16.9% 22.1% 24.8% 24.4% 20.2% 25.7%

Uncertain 17.8% 0.0% 26.6% 18.4% 12.2% 18.2% 23.5% 7.4% 7.3% 20.7% 5.8%
6) Do you support or oppose reopening schools for in-person instruction this fall?

Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q6: Oppose 54.5% 38.7% 45.1% 28.3% 32.9% 42.8% 37.9% 34.8% 31.2% 38.5% 33.0%
SCHOOLOPENING Support 30.6% 0.0% 46.7% 63.2% 43.5% 40.0% 42.3% 42.5% 42.8% 37.3% 47.5%

Uncertain 14.9% 61.3% 8.2% 8.4% 23.6% 17.2% 19.7% 22.7% 26.0% 24.2% 19.5%

7) Do you believe that reopening schools for in-person instruction will lead to an increase in Coronavirus-related deaths?
Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q7: No 32.2% 0.0% 27.9% 44.1% 33.6% 26.1% 33.9% 33.9% 34.9% 30.0% 36.4%
SCHOOLCOVID Uncertain 17.2% 24.4% 7.5% 14.3% 18.4% 13.1% 14.5% 19.3% 21.7% 19.9% 15.2%

Yes 50.5% 75.6% 64.6% 41.6% 48.0% 60.8% 51.6% 46.9% 43.3% 50.1% 48.3%
8) Who do you feel has the mental capacity to serve as President?

Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q8: Both 1.5% 0.0% 8.2% 0.0% 2.5% 5.3% 2.9% 2.4% 1.1% 1.5% 3.7%
MENTALPERFORMANCE Donald
14.3% 0.0% 34.9% 61.5% 43.2% 24.3% 37.7% 44.4% 44.1% 36.4% 43.0%
Trump

Joe Biden 58.2% 75.6% 32.7% 31.4% 41.0% 35.1% 36.9% 45.4% 49.4% 46.4% 38.4%

Neither 19.3% 24.4% 20.1% 3.8% 10.2% 28.0% 18.4% 5.1% 3.3% 9.4% 14.2%

Uncertain 6.7% 0.0% 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% 7.3% 4.1% 2.7% 2.1% 6.3% 0.7%
9) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?

Race Age group Gender

African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q9: Didn't vote 20.5% 0.0% 21.8% 0.0% 8.3% 37.3% 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 9.9% 10.2%
2016ELECTIONVOTE Donald Trump 11.7% 24.4% 31.4% 58.6% 47.8% 23.1% 41.5% 48.5% 48.8% 38.1% 48.2%

Gary Johnson 10.3% 0.0% 6.2% 0.0% 3.4% 4.3% 8.2% 3.0% 1.1% 4.0% 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 57.5% 75.6% 35.1% 41.4% 38.8% 30.9% 43.7% 40.4% 44.4% 45.7% 36.1%

Jill Stein 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 0.0% 1.8% 4.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 1.1%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:


10) Are you registered to vote in Pennsylvania?
11) How likely are you to vote in the general election this November?

12) What is your party affiliation?

13) What is your political ideology?


14) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

15) What race do you identify yourself as?

16) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?


17) What is the highest level of education have you completed?

18) How old are you?

19) What is your gender?