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UNIT
IV
III
2020-21
In today’s globalised world, where geographical
boundaries are slowly becoming meaningless, it
is important for neighbouring countries in the
developing world to understand the development
strategies being pursued by their neighbours. This
is more so because they share the relatively limited
economic space in world markets. In this unit, we
will compare India’s developmental experiences
with two of its important and strategic neighbours
— Pakistan and China.
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10
COMPARATIVE
DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA
AND ITS NEIGHBOURS
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Geography has made us neighbours. History has made us friends. Economics
has made us partners, and necessity has made us allies. Those whom God has
so joined together, let no man put asunder.
John F. Kennedy
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Jawaharlal Nehru had said, “These The Great Leap Forward (GLF)
new and revolutionary changes in campaign initiated in 1958 aimed at
China and India, even though they industrialising the country on a
differ in content, symbolise the new massive scale. People were encouraged
spirit of Asia and new vitality which is to set up industries in their backyards.
finding expression in the countries in In rural areas, communes were
Asia.” started. Under the Commune system,
All three countries had started people collectively cultivated lands. In
planning their development strategies 1958, there were 26,000 communes
in similar ways. While India covering almost all the farm
announced its first Five Year Plan for population.
1951–56, Pakistan announced its first GLF campaign met with many
five year plan, now called the Medium problems. A severe drought caused
Term Development Plan, in 1956. havoc in China killing about 30 million
China announced its First Five Year people. When Russia had conflicts with
Plan in 1953. Since 2013, Pakistan is China, it withdrew its professionals
working on the basis of 11th Five Year who had earlier been sent to China to
Development Plan (2013–18), whereas,
help in the industrialisation process.
China is now working on 13th Five Year
In 1965, Mao introduced the Great
Plan (2016–20). Until March 2017,
Proletarian Cultural Revolution
India has been following Five Year
(1966–76) under which students and
Plan- based development model. India
professionals were sent to work and
and Pakistan adopted similar
learn from the countryside.
strategies, such as creating a large
public sector and raising public The present day fast industrial
expenditure on social development. growth in China can be traced back to
Till the 1980s, all the three countries the reforms introduced in 1978. China
had similar growth rates and per capita introduced reforms in phases. In the
incomes. Where do they stand today initial phase, reforms were initiated in
in comparison to one another? Before agriculture, foreign trade and
we answer this question, let us trace investment sectors. In agriculture, for
the historical path of developmental instance, commune lands were divided
policies in China and Pakistan. After into small plots, which were allocated
studying the last three units, we (for use not ownership) to individual
already know what policies India has households. They were allowed to keep
been adopting since its Independence. all income from the land after paying
stipulated taxes. In the later phase,
China: After the establishment of reforms were initiated in the industrial
People’s Republic of China under one- sector. Private sector firms, in general,
party rule, all critical sectors of the and township and village enterprises,
economy, enterprises and lands owned i.e., those enterprises which were
and operated by individuals were owned and operated by local collectives,
brought under government control. in particular, were allowed to produce
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Fig. 10.1 Wagah Border is not only a tourist place but also used for
trade between India and Pakistan
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continuously increasing outflow of the population growth as being the
emigrants to the Middle-east. This highest in Pakistan, followed by India
helped the country in stimulating and China. Scholars point out the one-
economic growth. The then government child norm introduced in China in the
also offered incentives to the private late 1970s as the major reason for low
sector. All this created a conducive population growth. They also state that
climate for new investments. In 1988, this measure led to a decline in the sex
reforms were initiated in the country. ratio, the proportion of females per
Having studied a brief outline of 1000 males. However, from the table,
the developmental strategies of China you will notice that the sex ratio is low
and Pakistan, let us now compare and biased against females in all three
some of the developmental indicators countries. Scholars cite son preference
of India, China and Pakistan. prevailing in all these countries as the
reason. In recent times, all three
10.3 DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS countries are adopting various
If we look at the global population, out measures to improve the situation. One-
of every six persons living in this child norm and the resultant arrest in
world, one is an Indian and another a the growth of population also have other
Chinese. We shall compare some implications. For instance, after a few
demographic indicators of India, decades, in China, there will be more
China and Pakistan. The population elderly people in proportion to young
of Pakistan is very small and accounts people. This led China to allow couples
for roughly about one-tenth of China to have two children.
or India. The fertility rate is also low in
Though China is the largest nation China and very high in Pakistan.
and geographically occupies the largest Urbanisation is high in China with
area among the three nations, its India having 34 per cent of its people
density is the lowest. Table 10.1 shows living in urban areas.
TABLE 10.1
Select Demographic Indicators, 2017-18
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10.4 GROSS DOMESTIC (Not to scale)
PRODUCT AND
SECTORS
One of the much-talked
issues around the world
about China is its growth
of Gross Domestic
Product. China has the
second largest GDP (PPP)
of $22.5 trillion in the
world, whereas, India’s
GDP (PPP) is $9.03
trillion and Pakistan’s
GDP is $ 0.94 trillion,
roughly about 11 per
cent of India’s GDP.
India’s GDP is about 41
per cent of China’s GDP. Fig. 10.2 Land use and agriculture in India, China and Pakistan
When many developed countries
were finding it difficult to maintain a TABLE 10.2
growth rate of even 5 per cent, China Annual Growth of Gross Domestic
Product (%), 1980–2017
was able to maintain near double-digit
growth during 1980s as can be seen Country 1980–90 2015–2017
from Table 10.2. Also, notice that in the India 5.7 7.3
1980s, Pakistan was ahead of India; China 10.3 6.8
China was having double-digit growth Pakistan 6.3 5.3
and India was at the bottom. In 2015–17, Source: Key Indicators for Asia and Pacific 2016,
there has been a decline in Pakistan Asian Development Bank, Philippines; World
Development Indicators 2018
Ø Does India follow any population stabilisation measures? If so, collect the
details and discuss in the classroom. You may refer to the latest Economic
Survey, annual reports or website of the Ministry of Health and Family
Welfare (http://mohfw.nic.in).
Ø Scholars find son preference as a common phenomenon in many developing
countries, including India, China and Pakistan. Do you find this phenomenon
in your family or neighbourhood? Why do people practise discrimination
between male and female children? What do you think about it? Discuss it
in the classroom.
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Pakistan have more
(Not to scale)
proportion of
urban population than
India. In China, due to
topographic and climatic
conditions, the area
suitable for cultivation is
relatively small — only
about 10 per cent of its
total land area. The total
cultivable area in China
accounts for 40 per cent
of the cultivable area in
India. Until the 1980s,
more than 80 per cent of
the people in China were
dependent on farming
as their sole source
of livelihood. Since
then, the government
encouraged people
to leave their fields
and pursue other
Fig. 10.3 Industry in India, China and Pakistan activities such as
handicrafts, commerce
and transport. In 2018–
and China’s growth rates, whereas, 19, with 26 per cent of its workforce
India met with moderate increase in engaged in agriculture, its contribution
growth rates. Some scholars hold the to the GVA in China is 7 per cent (see
reform processes introduced in Table 10.3).
Pakistan and political instability over In both India and Pakistan, the
a long period as reasons behind the contribution of agriculture to GVA were
declining growth rate in Pakistan. We 16 and 24 per cent, respectively, but
will study in a later section which the proportion of workforce that works
sector contributed to different growth in this sector is more in India. In
rates in these countries. Pakistan, about 41 per cent of people
First, look at how people engaged in work in agriculture, whereas, in India,
different sectors contribute to the Gross it is 43 per cent. Twenty four per cent
Domestic Product now called as Gross of Pakistan workforce is engaged in
Value Added. It was pointed out in the industry but it produces 19 per cent
previous section that China and of GVA. In India, industry workforce
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TABLE 10.3
Sectoral Share of Employment GVA and GDP (%) in 2018–2019
account for 25 per cent but produces India, China and Pakistan employed
goods worth 30 per cent of GVA. In 17, 12 and 27 per cent of its workforce
China, industries contribute to GVA at in the service sector respectively. In
41, and employ 28 per cent of 2019, it has reached the level of 32,
workforce. In all the three countries, 46 and 35 per cent, respectively.
service sector contributes highest share In the last five decades, the
of GVA. growth of agriculture sector, which
In the normal course of employs the largest proportion of
development, countries first shift their workforce in all the three countries, has
employment and output from declined. In the industrial sector, China
agriculture to Industry and then to has maintained a near double-digit
services. This is what is happening in growth rate in 1980s but began
China as can be seen from Table 10.3. showing decline in recent years,
The proportion of workforce engaged
in industry in India and Pakistan were
low at 25 per cent and 24 per cent Work These Out
respectively. The contribution of
industries to GVA is at 30 per cent in Ø Do you think it is necessary
India and 19 per cent in Pakistan. In for India and Pakistan to
concentrate on t h e manu-
these countries, the shift is taking place
facturing sector as China
directly to the service sector. does? Why?
Thus, in all the three countries the
service sector is emerging as a major Ø Scholars argue that the
player of development. It contributes service sector should not be
considered as an engine of
more to GVA and, at the same time,
growth whereas India and
emerges as a prospective employer. If Pakistan have raised their
we look at the proportion of workforce share of output mainly in
in the1980s, Pakistan was faster in this sector only. What do
shifting its workforce to service sector you think?
than India and China. In the 1980s,
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TABLE 10.4
Trends in Output Growth in Different Sectors, 1980–2015
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Table 10.5 shows that China is decision-making’ but it has not been
moving ahead of India and Pakistan. given any extra weight. Some obvious
This is true for many indicators — ‘liberty indicators’ like measures of ‘the
income indicator such as GDP per extent of Constitutional protection
capita, or proportion of population given to rights of citizens’ or ‘the extent
below poverty line or health of constitutional protection of
indicators such as mortality rates, the Independence of the Judiciary and
access to sanitation, literacy, life the Rule of Law’ have not even
expectancy or malnourishment. been introduced so far. Without
Pakistan is ahead of India in including these (and perhaps some
reducing proportion of people below more) and giving them overriding
the poverty line and also its importance in the list, the construction
performance in sanitation. But of a human development index may
neither of these two countries have be said to be incomplete and its
been able to save women from maternal usefulness limited.
mortality. In China, for one lakh births,
only 27 women die whereas in India 10.6 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES — AN
and Pakistan, about 178 and 174 APPRAISAL
women die respectively. Surprisingly all
the three countries report providing It is common to find developmental
improved drinking water sources for strategies of a country as a model to
most of its population. You will notice others for lessons and guidance for
that for the proportion of people below their own development. It is particularly
the international poverty rate of $ 3.20 evident after the introduction of the
a day, India has the largest share of reform process in different parts of the
poor among the three countries. Find world. In order to learn from economic
out for yourself how these differences performance of our neighbouring
occur. countries, it is necessary to have an
In dealing with or making understanding of the roots of their
judgements on such questions, successes and failures. It is also
however, we should also note a problem necessary to distinguish between, and
while using the human development contrast, the different phases of their
indicators given above with conviction. strategies. Though countries go
This occurs because these are all through their development phases
extremely important indicators; but differently, let us take the initiation of
these are not sufficient. Along with reforms as a point of reference. We
these, we also need what may be called know that reforms were initiated in
‘liberty indicators’. One such indicator China in 1978, Pakistan in 1988 and
has actually been added as a measure India in 1991. Let us briefly assess their
of ‘the extent of democratic achievements and failures in pre- and
participation in social and political post-reform periods.
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Why did China introduce in agriculture, as pointed out earlier
structural reforms in 1978? China did by handing over plots of land to
not have any compulsion to introduce individuals for cultivation, it brought
reforms as dictated by the World Bank prosperity to a vast number of poor
and International Monetary Fund to people. It created conditions for the
India and Pakistan. The new subsequent phenomenal growth in
leadership at that time in China was rural industries and built up a strong
not happy with the slow pace of growth support base for more reforms.
and lack of modernisation in the Scholars quote many such examples
Chinese economy under the Maoist on how reform measures led to rapid
rule. They felt that Maoist vision of growth in China.
economic development based on Scholars argue that in Pakistan
decentralisation, self sufficiency and the reform process led to worsening of
shunning of foreign technology, goods all the economic indicators. We have
and capital had failed. Despite seen in an earlier section that
extensive land reforms, collectivisation, compared to 1980s, the growth rate
the Great Leap Forward and other of GDP and its sectoral constituents
initiatives, the per capita grain output have fallen in the 1990s.
in 1978 was the same as it was in the Though the data on international
mid-1950s. poverty line for Pakistan is quite
It was found that establishment of healthy, scholars using the official
infrastructure in the areas of data of Pakistan indicate rising
education and health, land reforms, poverty there. The proportion of poor
long existence of decentralised in 1960s was more than 40 per cent
planning and existence of small which declined to 25 per cent in 1980s
enterprises had helped positively in and started rising again in the recent
improving the social and income decades. The reasons for the slow-
indicators in the post reform period. down of growth and re-emergence of
Before the introduction of reforms, poverty in Pakistan’s economy, as
there had already been massive scholars put it, are agricultural growth
extension of basic health services in and food supply situation were based
rural areas. Through the commune not on an institutionalised process of
system, there was more equitable technical change but on good harvest.
distribution of food grains. Experts When there was a good harvest, the
also point out that each reform economy was in good condition, when
measure was first implemented at a it was not, the economic indicators
smaller level and then extended on a showed stagnation or negative trends.
massive scale. The experimentation You will recall that India had to borrow
under decentralised government from the IMF and World Bank to
enabled to assess the economic, social set right its balance of payments
and political costs of success or failure. crisis; foreign exchange is an essential
For instance, when reforms were made component for any country and it is
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Work These Out
Ø Calculate exports as a % of imports for both the years and discuss the
probable reasons for the trend in the class.
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important to know how it can be levels. India, with democratic
earned. If a country is able to build up institutions, performed moderately,
its foreign exchange earnings by but a majority of its people still depend
sustainable export of manufactured on agriculture. Infrastructure is lacking
goods, it need not worry. In Pakistan in many parts of the country. It is yet
most foreign exchange earnings came to raise the level of living of more than
from remittances from Pakistani one-fourth of its population that lives
workers in the Middle-east and the below the poverty line. Scholars are of
exports of highly volatile agricultural the opinion that political instability,
products; there was also growing over-dependence on remittances and
dependence on foreign loans on the one foreign aid along with volatile
hand and increasing difficulty in paying performance of agriculture sector are
back the loans on the other. the reasons for the slowdown of the
Pakistan economy. Yet, last three years,
However, during the last few years,
many macroeconomic indicators began
Pakistan has recovered its economic
showing positive and higher growth
growth and has been sustaining. In
rates reflecting the economic recovery.
2017-18, the Annual Plan 2019-20
In China, the lack of political freedom
reports that, the GDP registered a
and its implications for human rights
growth of 5.5 per cent, highest when
are major concerns; yet, in the last four
compared to the previous decade. While
decades, it used the ‘market system
agriculture recorded growth rate far without losing political commitment’
from satisfactory level, industrial and and succeeded in raising the level of
service sectors grew at 4.9 and 6.2 per growth alongwith alleviation of poverty.
cent respectively. Many macroeconomic You will also notice that unlike India
indicators also began to show stable and Pakistan, which are attempting to
and positive trends. privatise their public sector enterprises,
China has used the market mechanism
10.7 CONCLUSION
to ‘create additional social and
What are we learning from the economic opportunities’. By retaining
developmental experiences of our collective ownership of land and
neighbours? India, China and Pakistan allowing individuals to cultivate lands,
have travelled about seven decades of China has ensured social security in
developmental path with varied results. rural areas. Public intervention in
Till the late 1970s, all of them were providing social infrastructure even
maintaining the same level of low prior to reforms has brought about
development. The last three decades positive results in human development
have taken these countries to different indicators in China.
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Recap
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EXERCISES
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14. Give reasons for the slow growth and re-emergence of poverty in
Pakistan.
15. Compare and contrast the development of India, China and Pakistan
with respect to some salient human development indicators.
16. Comment on the growth rate trends witnessed in China and India
in the last two decades.
17. Fill in the blanks
(a) First Five Year Plan of ________________ commenced in the
year 1956. (Pakistan/China)
(b) Maternal mortality rate is high in _____________. (China/
Pakistan)
(c) Proportion of people below poverty line is more in __________.
(India/Pakistan)
(d) Reforms in ______________ were introduced in 1978. (China/
Pakistan)
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REFERENCES
Books
DREZE, JEAN AND AMARTYA SEN. 1996. India: Economic Development and Social
Opportunity. Oxford University Press, New Delhi.
Articles
Government Reports
Annual Plan 2016-17, Ministry of Planning, Development & Reform, Gov-
ernment of Pakistan accessed from http://pc.gov.pk on 02 January 2017.
Economic Survey, Ministry of Finance, Government of India (for various years).
Human Development Report 2005, United Nations Development Programme,
Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Labour Market Indicators, 3rd Edition, International Labour Organisation,
Geneva.
Pakistan: National Human Development Report 2003, United Nations
Development Programme, Second Impression 2004.
World Development Report 2005, The World Bank, Oxford University Press,
New York.
World Development Indicators for various years, World Bank Washington.
Human Development Report for various years, United Nations Development
Programme Geneva.
Key Indicators of Asia and Pacific 2016, Asian Development Bank, Philippines.
Websites
www.stats.gov.cn
www.statpak.gov.pk
www.un.org
www.ilo.org
www.planningcommission.nic.in
www.dgft.delhi.nic.in
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