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Phone: (727) 245-1962
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Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President

Subject: Florida Congressional District 19 survey conducted for


FloridaPolitics.com

Date: August 3, 2020

Executive Summary:

This poll of 525 likely Republican Florida Congressional District 19 Primary voters was conducted
on August 3rd, 2020. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of
June 9th, 2020. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered
voters within the boundaries of Florida’s 19th Congressional District.

The issues surveyed included questions related to the Republican primary election in Florida’s 19th
Congressional District.

Methodology:

The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Republican Primary voter population for Florida’s 19th Congressional
District. The weighting demographics used were: race, age and gender.

Only voters who had stated that they were likely to vote in the August 2020 primary election were
included in the results.

The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 525 and a 4.3% Margin of
Error at a 95% confidence level.

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org


Summary of Scientific Results:

If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District
19 were held today, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar,
Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson,
Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote
for?
TOTAL VOTED PLAN TO VOTE
Darren Aquino: 2.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Casey Askar: 16.0% 15.2% 16.5%
Byron Donalds: 21.5% 16.7% 24.3%
Dane Eagle: 19.6% 24.5% 15.6%
William “Fig” Figlesthaler: 21.0% 23.0% 20.9%
Randy Henderson: 7.5% 10.3% 5.6%
Daniel Kowal: 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
Christy McLaughlin: 0.8% 0.5% 0.9%
Dan Severson: 2.3% 0.5% 3.4%
Undecided: 8.0% 4.4% 10.6%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dane Eagle?


Favorable: 35.2%
Unfavorable: 26.9%
Unsure: 37.9%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Askar?


Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 31.5%
Unsure: 37.1%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of William ‘Fig’ Figlesthaler?


Favorable: 38.8%
Unfavorable: 22.0%
Unsure: 39.2%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Byron Donalds?


Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 28.6%
Unsure: 39.9%

Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the Primary Election this
month?
Already voted: 38.6%
Plan to vote in person: 36.3%
Plan to vote by mail: 25.0%
Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:

If the Republican primary election for the open congressional seat in District
19 were held today, and the candidates were Darren Aquino, Casey Askar,
Byron Donalds, Dane Eagle, William “Fig” Figlesthaler, Randy Henderson,
Daniel Kowal, Christy McLaughlin and Dan Severson, who would you vote
for?
TOTAL VOTED PLAN TO VOTE
Darren Aquino: 2.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Casey Askar: 16.0% 15.2% 16.5%
Byron Donalds: 21.5% 16.7% 24.3%
Dane Eagle: 19.6% 24.5% 15.6%
William “Fig” Figlesthaler: 21.0% 23.0% 20.9%
Randy Henderson: 7.5% 10.3% 5.6%
Daniel Kowal: 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
Christy McLaughlin: 0.8% 0.5% 0.9%
Dan Severson: 2.3% 0.5% 3.4%
Undecided: 8.0% 4.4% 10.6%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Aquino: 2.7%
Askar: 16.0%
Donalds: 21.3%
Eagle: 19.0%
Figlesthaler: 21.7%
Henderson: 7.4%
Kowal: 0.6%
McLaughlin: 0.8%
Severson: 2.3%
Undecided: 8.2%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Aquino: 2.8% Askar: 15.8% Donalds: 21.6% Eagle: 18.6% Figlesthaler: 21.6% Henderson: 7.5%
Kowal: 0.6% McLaughlin: 0.8% Severson: 2.4% Undecided: 8.3%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 0% Eagle: 0% Figlesthaler: 0% Henderson: 0%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 0% Donalds: 25.0% Eagle: 25.0% Figlesthaler: 50.0% Henderson: 0%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 20.0% Donalds: 20.0% Eagle: 40.0% Figlesthaler: 20.0% Henderson: 0%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 27.3% Donalds: 9.1% Eagle: 27.3% Figlesthaler: 18.2% Henderson: 9.1%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 9.1%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Aquino: 2.7% Askar: 12.9% Donalds: 21.8% Eagle: 20.4% Figlesthaler: 23.1% Henderson: 10.2%
Kowal: 0.9% McLaughlin: 0.4% Severson: 2.2% Undecided: 5.3%
Female 296 responses
Aquino: 2.7% Askar: 18.2% Donalds: 21.3% Eagle: 17.6% Figlesthaler: 20.9% Henderson: 5.4%
Kowal: 0.3% McLaughlin: 1.0% Severson: 2.4% Undecided: 10.1%

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org


Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 40.0% Donalds: 0% Eagle: 20.0% Figlesthaler: 40.0% Henderson: 0%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Aquino: 0% Askar: 33.3% Donalds: 14.3% Eagle: 19.0% Figlesthaler: 9.5% Henderson: 9.5%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 0% Severson: 0% Undecided: 14.3%
50 to 69 91 responses
Aquino: 4.4% Askar: 12.1% Donalds: 25.3% Eagle: 24.2% Figlesthaler: 15.4% Henderson: 7.7%
Kowal: 0% McLaughlin: 1.1% Severson: 3.3% Undecided: 6.6%
70 and up 408 responses
Aquino: 2.5% Askar: 15.7% Donalds: 21.1% Eagle: 17.9% Figlesthaler: 23.5% Henderson: 7.4%
Kowal: 0.7% McLaughlin: 0.7% Severson: 2.2% Undecided: 8.3%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dane Eagle?
Favorable: 35.2%
Unfavorable: 26.9%
Unsure: 37.9%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Favorable: 35.0%
Unfavorable: 26.9%
Unsure: 38.1%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Favorable: 34.9% Unfavorable: 26.9% Unsure: 38.2%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Favorable: 0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 25.0% Unsure: 25.0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Favorable: 40.0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 60.0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Favorable: 36.4% Unfavorable: 36.4% Unsure: 27.3%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Favorable: 37.8% Unfavorable: 24.4% Unsure: 37.8%
Female 296 responses
Favorable: 33.4% Unfavorable: 28.7% Unsure: 37.8%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Favorable: 60.0% Unfavorable: 40.0% Unsure: 0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Favorable: 38.1% Unfavorable: 23.8% Unsure: 38.1%
50 to 69 91 responses
Favorable: 34.1% Unfavorable: 29.7% Unsure: 36.3%
70 and up 408 responses
Favorable: 34.8% Unfavorable: 26.2% Unsure: 39.0%

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org


Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Askar?
Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 31.5%
Unsure: 37.1%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 30.9%
Unsure: 37.7%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Favorable: 31.7% Unfavorable: 30.9% Unsure: 37.4%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Favorable: 0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 50.0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Favorable: 40.0% Unfavorable: 40.0% Unsure: 20.0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Favorable: 9.1% Unfavorable: 36.4% Unsure: 54.5%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Favorable: 30.7% Unfavorable: 32.0% Unsure: 37.3%
Female 296 responses
Favorable: 32.1% Unfavorable: 30.4% Unsure: 37.5%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Favorable: 20.0% Unfavorable: 20.0% Unsure: 60.0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Favorable: 47.6% Unfavorable: 38.1% Unsure: 14.3%
50 to 69 91 responses
Favorable: 27.5% Unfavorable: 36.3% Unsure: 36.3%
70 and up 408 responses
Favorable: 31.6% Unfavorable: 29.4% Unsure: 39.0%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of William ‘Fig’ Figlesthaler?
Favorable: 38.8%
Unfavorable: 22.0%
Unsure: 39.2%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Favorable: 39.0%
Unfavorable: 21.7%
Unsure: 39.2%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Favorable: 39.0% Unfavorable: 22.2% Unsure: 38.8%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Favorable: 0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 50.0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Favorable: 40.0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 60.0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Favorable: 36.4% Unfavorable: 18.2% Unsure: 45.5%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Favorable: 38.2% Unfavorable: 21.8% Unsure: 40.0%
Female 296 responses
Favorable: 39.5% Unfavorable: 22.0% Unsure: 38.5%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Favorable: 40.0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 60.0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Favorable: 23.8% Unfavorable: 47.6% Unsure: 28.6%
50 to 69 91 responses
Favorable: 39.6% Unfavorable: 22.0% Unsure: 38.5%
70 and up 408 responses
Favorable: 39.7% Unfavorable: 20.6% Unsure: 39.7%

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org


Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Byron Donalds?
Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 28.6%
Unsure: 39.9%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Favorable: 31.4%
Unfavorable: 28.4%
Unsure: 40.2%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Favorable: 31.9% Unfavorable: 28.5% Unsure: 39.6%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Favorable: 0% Unfavorable: 0% Unsure: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 25.0% Unsure: 25.0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Favorable: 20.0% Unfavorable: 20.0% Unsure: 60.0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Favorable: 9.1% Unfavorable: 27.3% Unsure: 63.6%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Favorable: 30.2% Unfavorable: 29.3% Unsure: 40.4%
Female 296 responses
Favorable: 32.4% Unfavorable: 27.7% Unsure: 39.9%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Favorable: 20.0% Unfavorable: 40.0% Unsure: 40.0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Favorable: 47.6% Unfavorable: 38.1% Unsure: 14.3%
50 to 69 91 responses
Favorable: 29.7% Unfavorable: 28.6% Unsure: 41.8%
70 and up 408 responses
Favorable: 31.1% Unfavorable: 27.7% Unsure: 41.2%
Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the Primary Election this
month?
Already voted: 38.6%
Plan to vote in person: 36.3%
Plan to vote by mail: 25.0%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Already voted: 38.9%


Vote in person: 35.0%
Vote by mail: 26.1%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 505 responses
Already voted: 39.4% Vote in person: 35.0% Vote by mail: 25.5%
Black, Not Hispanic 0 responses
Already voted: 0% Vote in person: 0% Vote by mail: 0%
Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses
Already voted: 0% Vote in person: 25.0% Vote by mail: 75.0%
Hispanic 5 responses
Already voted: 40.0% Vote in person: 60.0% Vote by mail: 0%
Other or Unknown 11 responses
Already voted: 27.3% Vote in person: 27.3% Vote by mail: 45.5%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 225 responses
Already voted: 39.1% Vote in person: 36.4% Vote by mail: 24.4%
Female 296 responses
Already voted: 38.2% Vote in person: 34.1% Vote by mail: 27.7%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 5 responses
Already voted: 60.0% Vote in person: 20.0% Vote by mail: 20.0%
30 to 49 21 responses
Already voted: 52.4% Vote in person: 42.9% Vote by mail: 4.8%
50 to 69 91 responses
Already voted: 30.8% Vote in person: 47.3% Vote by mail: 22.0%
70 and up 408 responses
Already voted: 39.7% Vote in person: 32.1% Vote by mail: 28.2%

© 2020 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

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