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LDA – LIFE DATA ANALYSIS
Management Dilemmas
QUESTIONS?
o Why and How the things fail?
o How much a failure cost?
o How many failures will occur next year?
o How many spare parts will I need next year to supply the warranty?
o How can I more quickly solve the problem caused by a failure?
o What could I have done to avoid failures?
ANSWERS!
✓ You need to know the causes of failures!
✓ You need to know the probability of occurrence of failures!
✓ You need to know the consequences of failures!
✓ You need to know the behavior of failures!
✓ You need to know how to conduct a financial analysis of the failure!
✓ You need to know how to implement effective action plans!
Probability Model
Parameter Estimation
In order to fit a statistical model to a life data set, the estimation of the
parameters of the life distribution that will make the function most closely
fit the data. The parameters control the scale, shape and location of
the pdf function.
The Weibull distribution has the scale parameter, eta that defines where
the bulk of the distribution lies. The shape parameter, beta defines the
shape of the distribution and the location parameter, gamma defines the
location of the distribution in time.
In life data analysis and reliability engineering, the output of the analysis is
always an estimate. The true value of the probability of failure, the
probability of success (or reliability ), the mean life, the parameters of a
distribution or any other applicable parameter is never known, and will
almost certainly remain unknown to us for all practical purposes. The
objective of reliability engineering and life data analysis is to accurately
estimate an interval that the true values are inside.
• LDA Goals
• What is Reliability Engineer
• Reliability versus Cost Analysis
• Failure Rate Behavior and Bathtube chart
• LDA Data Mining
• System Hierarchy Tree
• FMEA Definition
• Design and Process FMEA
• Identification of Function, Failure, Effects and Failure
Modes
• Modeling Reliability Data
• Goodness of Fit (gof) tests
• Probability Models
• Reliability Data types
• Statistical Distributions
• Exponential, Normal, Lognormal and Weibull Distribution
• Estimation Methods (Probability Plotting, Linear Regression
and MLE)
• Confidence Interval and Limits
• Bayesian Analysis
• Degradation Analysis
• Maintenance Planning
• Stress versus Strength Analysis
• Recurrent Data Analysis
• Warranty Analysis