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The economics of print media

Dr An Nguyen
Media Economics – MMAP02 (HCMC)
M.Sc. in Media & Communications Management
HO Chi Minh City, 21 January, 2010

Outline
1. The economics of the newspaper publishing
industry
 Most major economics concepts covered in first lecture to the
newspaper industry

2. Key economic characteristics of the magazine


publishing industry

3. Print media in the Internet age

1. The economics of the newspaper


publishing industry

1
Revenue streams
 A dual-product market (except free newspapers)
 Content priced and sold to readers
 Access to audience priced and sold to advertisers via
advertising space

 Contribution of each to total revenue varies across


types of newspapers and across titles
 depending on market position and readership
 e.g. British quality press rely more on circulation income
while popular press more on advertising

Classification of advertisements
 Classified ads = ads published by categories in limited
in size and content in newspapers and other media
 Purchased by business and non-business people
 e.g. recruitment, housing, second-hand goods, personal ads

 Display advertising = large advertisements frequently


illustrated with graphics
 Key source of ad income for the media, usually purchased by
retail stores, manufacturers, service firms
 Dependent on consumers’ expenditure and firms’ profits

 Advertorials = advertisements with the appearance of


an editorial piece (news or feature stories)
 Must be clearly displayed as advertising, not editorial content

Classified ads & the newspaper


 A crucial source of income, esp. for regional and local
papers
 20%-35% of income for US dailies
 Half of UK’s regional newspapers

 A source of valuable information for many readers

 Less vulnerable to TV than display ads


 Internet now the new threat: searchable and free

 But highly sensitive to cyclical upturns and downturns


 Falls faster than display ads in recession as employment,
housing and car sales stagnate

2
Key indicators for advertisers
 Readership versus circulation
 Circulation = the number of copies printed and distributed
 Readership = number of people reading the newspaper

 Readership penetration (into a group)


 The percentage of people in a particular group who read a
magazine or newspaper
 E.g. 25% of women aged 25-54 read newspaper X.

 Readership profile
 The percentage of a magazine or newspaper readers who
belong to a particular group
 E.g. 50% of X's readers are women aged 25-54.

Typical characteristics of newspaper


readers
 Higher socio-economic status (SES)
 More wealthy
 More educated
 More advantaged living environments (esp. urban areas)

 Because with their resources, they have a greater


ability to read, comprehend and store the intensive
information on newspapers than lower SES people

 Often special tax on newspapers to encourage lower-


SES people
 UK: no VAT (17.5%) on newspapers
 Other European countries: discounted or preferential VAT on
newspapers and other products conveying knowledge

What does that mean to market


supply?
 Higher SES profile most attractive to advertisers
 Advertising rates charged much higher among those with
higher SES readership
 Thus more newspapers aim at them than lower SES
groups, often with quality content

 There are still popular titles aiming at less affluent


segments
 because the market is large enough for them to survive by
serving different segments of the whole spectrum of
consumer interest
 more on circulation than on advertising

3
Audit Bureau of Circulation
 An industry watchdog owned by the media industries
 Auditing and providing accurate circulation and readership
data to ensure advertisers and their agencies are not misled

 Data based on formal audit and inspection rules and


procedures
 devised and frequently revised by specialist committees of
media owners, advertisers and advertising agencies

 Without an ABC certificate, a media outlet cannot


demonstrate its integrity
 because they show a lack of willingness to be audited and to
conform to industry standards.

Costs in broad categories


 Content costs
 Cost of gathering information/materials and packaging the
product for printing; about 10% of total cost of US dailies

 Printing costs
 Cost for reproducing the first copy (inc. ink, newsprint)
 Newsprint: about 20% of total cost in the UK and 15%-30% in
the US

 Distribution costs
 Largest contribution (about 40%) to total cost

 Other costs (transaction, R&D, advertising etc.)

The distribution process


 Three channels
 Independent distributors (those buying the paper at
wholesale price and selling it at retail price) – most popular;
 Contracted distributors (delivering the paper for a fee)
 Employees who receive hourly wages or salaries

 Distance and density


 The further the distribution area, the more expensive
 The denser the distribution area, the cheaper

 Distance and density combine to create unwillingness


to serve potential readers in certain areas
 E.g. Vietnam’s print media mostly serve urban readers

4
Economies of scale
 High initial costs
 Esp. costs for editorial and administration activities; thus
first-copy cost very high

 But relatively low marginal cost


 Thus basic cost per copy decreases along with increase in
circulation (the more, the cheaper)

 Example
 The basic cost of a newspaper copy is £25,000, regardless of
quantity of printed and circulated copies
 If 5,000 copies are produced, the basic cost per copy is £5;
if 50,000 copies: 50 pence each

Economies of scope
 Overall cost can be reduced if one publisher has
several titles

 Methods to create economies of scope


 Combining back-office activities such as administration,
finance and personnel
 Sharing editorial content between titles
 Centralised advertising sales (reducing transaction costs
etc.)
 Centralised sub-editing offices

Market structure
 Markets tend to be geographically defined
 UK, Ireland, Australia, Japan: national newspapers dominate
 US and other large European countries: regional and local
dailies much more popular than national publications

 Competition between newspapers depend on


 size and wealth of the geographic market they serve;
 the number of rival titles that the market can support

 In general
 Local and regional titles operate as monopolies (due to small
markets)
 National titles face more competition in an oligopoly

5
Factors influencing pricing strategies
 Costs (obviously!)

 Targeted markets

 Objectives
 If profit maximisation: the cost-plus approach (adding
some percentage points on top of the cost)
 If non-commercial objectives: sustenance and continuation
of the paper, not profit, is the key concern

 Market structure
 How many competitors? How similar are they? What
pricing strategies do they use? How would they react to
our price? Should we compete or cooperate?

Competitive strategies
 Acquiring rival titles (not always legally possible)

 Launching new titles


 Many differentiated products prevent new entrants
 but too risky

 Promotion
 e.g. special offers, competitions, discounts for collected tokens
 effective but short-lived

 Product improvement

 Price adjustment (including predatory pricing)

Product improvement
 Maintaining consistent news coverage and editorial
content so that they
 reflect the social values of readership (e.g. their preferences,
attitudes, opinions);
 build and maintain a strong identity for the title (to generate
loyalty)

 Adjustments to design, layout and organisation of


content (e.g. introducing separate sections)

 Providing free extras


 extra supplements, magazines within the newspaper etc.

6
Price change
 Brand loyalty is the king?
 Price reduction can either raise or sustain market share
 But is brand loyalty to newspapers so strong that price
reduction does not work as a competitive advantage?

 The “price war” in the UK in the early 1990s tells a


different story
 a one-third price cut by The Times led to a vast increase in
its circulation at the expense of its major competitors’
losses.

2. Key economic characteristics of


the magazine publishing industry

Types of magazines (1)


 Consumer magazines
 Magazines addressing the general interest to the market or a
segment of the market
 E.g. Reader’s Digest, Kien Thuc Ngay Nay, The Gioi Moi, PC
World, Elle, Marie-Claire, My Pham, Nguoi Dep etc.

 Trade/business/business-to-business magazines
 Magazines publishing “must have” or “need to know”
information that professionals require to perform their job
 E.g. Nguoi Lam Bao, Nghe bao for journalists in Vietnam

 Customer magazines
 Specialist magazines produced for large companies to
distribute to their customers (e.g. Heritage for Vietnam
Airlines)

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Types of magazines (2)
 Newspaper supplements
 Special magazines covering less time-critical topics, given as
gifts to those buying daily or Sunday newspapers

 Partworks
 Series of magazine-format publications on a particular topic
over a pre-determined period (to build up an “encyclopaedia
on the topic)
 Often cover-mounted with relevant gifts (e.g. DVD on the
topic of the series)

 Academic journals
 Those published to serve academics and scholars in different
fields and disciplines
 Articles go through rigorous peer review process before
being accepted for publication

A flourishing industry
 In the US
 11,045 new magazine titles launched between 1985 and
2000 – i.e. an average of 690 a year or nearly two a day.
 Nearly 17,000 titles in existence as of April 2009

 In the UK
 Number of trade/business and consumer titles grew from
6,725 in 1990 to 8474 in 2005
 i.e. on average 117 new titles entering and surviving the
market per year (or nearly half a title a day!)

Business model
 Revenues: similar to newspapers
 Advertising more important for professional/business
magazines
 Copy sales = major source for consumer magazines (those
concerned with leisure, lifestyle etc.)

 Cost structure: similar to newspapers but total cost


much lower
 thanks to desktop publishing technologies, cheap external
printing services

 Strong effect of economies of scale


 although magazines’ print runs tend to be smaller

8
Breakdown of revenue streams
 Paid circulation (subscription)
 Newsstand circulation
 Classified and display advertisements
 Mail-list rentals
 Reprints
 Book spin-offs of articles
 Advertorial sections (advertisements with the feel
and look of regular editorial material)
 Special issues
 Trade shows
 Exports
 Franchising (to foreign publishers)

International character
 Not expected to be socially responsible for addressing
local or national concerns like other media

 More able to cope with language barriers through


 a heavy reliance on visual imagery that is not tied to specific
national or regional audiences
 editorial adaptation in local editions

 Less subject to local legislative barriers

 Able to segment markets into transnational niches

Segmentation of demand
 Dividing the whole market into groups of customers
with similar needs or preferences

 More and more titles serving small niches with


specialised interests
 E.g. sports, yachting, golf, motor, cars, home, gardens

 Traditional categories (e.g. women, men or teenagers)


now subdivided into different groups
 according to age, income, lifestyle, and attitudes

9
Advantages of segmentation
 An efficient strategy to respond to market demand
 Increased demand for higher quality entertainment, features,
hobby and other specialist topics (resulting from increased
leisure time and disposable income)

 Allowing publishers to target cross-border groups of


specialist interests with relatively low cost
 Cross-border economies of scale

 Creating synergies with other commercial activities


 E.g. masthead television (programmes based on particular
magazines) and other complementary products (exhibitions,
trade fairs, databases)

3. Print media in the Internet age

A heralded death (1)


 Newspapers “somewhere between beleaguered and
dying” (Steve Case, in Black, 2000).

 “If you mix the ink and chop the trees, you’ll
probably be put out of business” (Michael Bloomberg,
1998)

 In short, “in their worst nightmare, … newspapers


may be to the communications business what the
horse and cart were to transport” (The Economist,
1999).

10
A heralded death (2)

Reasons: the intensified threat by


the Internet (1)
 Print media survive radio and TV partly because
 Portability
 Depth of information
 Wide range of content
 Random access to content

 All traditional strengths now offset by the Internet


 use convenience (any time and almost anywhere)
 immediacy
 desirable depth
 multimedia content/format
 news-on-demand capacities (customisation)
 interactivity (esp. participation opportunities)

Reasons: the intensified threat by


the Internet (2)
 Also, low production and distribution costs
 Low entry barriers: more competitors
 Do-it-yourself advertising by firms

 Traditional revenue streams threatened


 Little paid content on the Internet
 Classified advertising more efficient on the web (thanks to
searchability)

 All amidst a decade-long trend of declining newspaper


readership
 Since the 1970s

11
Some initial signs
 High debt and declining advertising sales

 Massive cost-cutting measures by newspapers


 Layoff, imposing temporary unpaid leave

 Seeking bankruptcy
 Tribune Co. (the Los Angeles Times and Chicago Tribute)
 The Minneapolis Star Tribune

 Others now up for sales or facing an online-only


future (e.g. the Seattle Post-Intelligencer)

Could this happen in Vietnam?


 In developed countries: print media are ubiquitous
 accessible to and read by the majority of the population

 In Vietnam: print media still a luxury to the majority


 proportions having access to and reading newspapers and
magazines are still small
 thus still big potential market for print media, especially
along with urbanisation and rural development

 Probably the same in other developing countries

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