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Summary Due Diligence Report Rating: Above average Price target: 47.484 Recommendation: Strong buy
Prospect
Puregold Price Club Inc has a fair prospect, with an overall
score of 84/100. Its business rating is good due to a good
revenue stream, good asset conversion and the right
leverage. Puregold Price Club Inc's management is rated
as efficient and has improved in the last quarter. Its
average quality financials are the result of an average
financial position, satisfactory performance and strong
cash generation efficiency. Puregold Price Club Inc's
relatively attractive valuation is due to high price
attractiveness and low market multiples.
Overall, the company is rated as very safe. With low
operational risk, it has little information risk and small
market risk. The current sentiment in relation to Puregold
Price Club Inc is bullish with a negative outlook. The
company's business forecast is positive based on an
Quality Safety Sentiment improving trend in our estimates. To conclude, we believe
Puregold Price Club Inc to be an above average long-term
SMQ SMD SMC investment that is not sure to deliver long-term returns.
0.37 - 2.03
- 4.62% -
Contents
1. Business and Management ...................................... 2
Earnings Market Valuation 2. Benchmarking and Parities ...................................... 4
SMI SMD3 SMW 3. Financials and Valuation .......................................... 6
4. Safety and Sentiment ............................................... 8
5. Estimates and Recommendations ........................... 10
The gauge's thin indicator represents the values in the previous report.
Summary StockMarks Ratings for Puregold Price Club Inc were calculated in relation to the entire population of 230 Philippines-listed companies rated
today, using a scale from 0 (worst) to 100 (best). For an explanation of each rating, see page 12. Readers should check for the latest news and events
not yet reflected in the company financials.
Ownership
In terms of ownership, Puregold Price Club
Inc is in the capitalist sector category,
because it operates in an unregulated
sector, has a float of 33.30% and its top 5
shareholders own 65.52%.The major
shareholder, Cosco Capital Inc, owns
48.92% of the company. Comparing the management efficiency of Puregold Price Club Inc with that
Among its top 10 investors, BlackRock of its closest competitor, Robinsons Retail Holdings Inc, shows that Puregold
Institutional Trust Company, N.A. bought Price Club Inc's rating is 49.3% higher.
10.139 million shares and Samsung Asset
Management (Hong Kong) Limited sold In general, the assessment of the management efficiency trend needs to be
qualified by taking into account how long the incumbent management has
770000 shares in the past half year.
been in place as it takes a few quarters before the impact is shown in the
As shown in chart C3, in the last quarter,
company financials. Sometimes, a small temporary decline or rise may not
institutional investors increased their
be attributed to a change in efficiency but is instead the result of large shifts
ownership to 11.6%, while insiders
in investment / disinvestment. Despite the importance of management
reduced their holdings at 66.7%.
efficiency, investors should not neglect other more subjective factors such as
management integrity and business savvy, which are beyond the scope of
Governance this report.
Due to lack of data it is not possible to C4. The trend in the Management StockMarks Determinants
present a complete rating for governance.
However, a partial assessment can be
made through Puregold Price Club Inc's
earnings quality rating (SMI = 58/100).
With an earnings quality in the mid range,
the company may be relatively safe in
relation to governance risk with a positive
trend in the last quarter.
Management
Puregold Price Club Inc currently has an
efficient management with a Management
StockMark (SMM) of 75/100, the lowest of
its quality sub-ratings.
Chart C4 shows that its recent rise was
driven by a matching change in the
earnings per employee.
For a descriptive classification of management efficiency, we use the following five categories:
Category First Class Efficient Passable Mediocre Inefficient
However, convergence itself may only happen if the two companies are not
diverging in a fundamental way. Investors can evaluate this possibility by
comparing the StockMarks sentiment ratings shown in the table T3. It shows
that Puregold Price Club Inc's sentiment is significantly above that of Globe
Telecom Inc, mostly due to a difference in the technicals rating (SMS).
Financials C9. The trend in the Financial rating and its determinants
The company's average quality financials
are the result of an average financial
position, satisfactory performance and
strong cash generation efficiency. The
recent trend shows a declining evolution
mainly due to a deterioration in the rating
of their financial performance. The table
below shows some of Puregold Price
Club Inc's key ratios.
Revenue
Revenue Growth (Quarterly) 4.23% 4.54% 5.08% 1.92%
Revenue Volatility (Quarterly) 2.55 3.06 2.51 4.58
Sales Elasticity Relative to Industry 1.03 1.22 1.50 0.73
Margins
EBITDA Margin 9.87% 10.14% 11.68% 4.57%
Operating Margin 7.36% 6.04% 3.37% 2.42%
Asset Turnover 1.53 1.24 1.58 1.90
Cash Conversion
Operating Cycle (Days) 109 64.77 63.33 67
Net Operating Cycle (Days) 80 28.45 9.15 14
Average Days Receivables & Other * 13.19 14.29 18.80 22.94
Leverage
Breakeven Revenue 0.22 0.80 0.93 0.87
Degree of Operational Leverage 1.06 2.66 5.94 3.11
Degree of Financial Leverage 1.21 1.87 2.49 1.00
Efficiency
ROA 5.89% 3.10% 4.84% 2.23%
ROE 9.92% 5.52% 17.64% 6.69%
Equity Growth 3.31% 0.85% 1.29% 0.84%
Liquidity and Solvency
Cash Ratio 1.25 0.58 0.41 0.22
Current Ratio 2.94 1.35 0.85 0.88
Interest Service Coverage 6.30 3.27 5.57 10.30
Capitalization 0.59 0.56 0.27 0.34
Earnings and Distributions
Earnings Yield 4.62% 3.44% 1.40% 3.76%
Dividend Payout 17.60% 32.26% 22.61% 38.65%
Buyback Payout 0.00% 1.03% 0.00% 0.00%
Valuations per Share
Price to book value 2.03 1.39 11.69 1.39
Price to sales 0.85 0.61 1.93 0.32
Enterprise value/EBITDA 29.53 24.77 74.78 24.58
Chart C12 shows the overall valuation rating (SMW = 76/100) and its
determinants. Overall, we observe that Puregold Price Club Inc has an
attractive valuation with a tendency towards reinforcement.
C12. The trend in valuation (SMW) and its determinants
Price Attractiveness
Despite the recent steep rise in Puregold In terms of the SMW determinants it is worth noting that the company's main
Price Club Inc share price, the possibilitydriver is price attractiveness (SMP) and its weakest is the synthetic multiple
of the company's shares being overbought (SMK).
remains low. The nominal stock exchange rate between two stocks as given by current
market prices (shown previously in page 5, chart C7) may be misleading if
Puregold Price Club Inc currently has a markets, as they often do, over-estimate or underestimate the
Price StockMark (SMP) of 91/100, premium/discount relative to intrinsic value.
indicating that the market is undervaluing The valuation of stock-for-stock offers in M&A transactions is quite complex
the company's long-term fundamentals. when shareholders of the acquirer and the target company hold significantly
different views on the intrinsic value of their companies. So, since the
divergence in relation to the nominal rate is significant, the fair value
exchange rate is a good aide in such discussions.
Market Safety
The market risk (see box on the right) has Market Volatility
three components: volatility risk, delisting
risk and takeover exposure. When
compared to its closest competitor in terms
of similarity, Puregold Price Club Inc is 1.13
Operational Safety times less riskier than Robinsons Retail Continuatio Takeover
The determinants of the sales and Holdings Inc. The main difference is a
operational risk depicted in the box below, higher takeover rating. Puregold Price Club
are the result of high revenue performance Inc's volatity compared to the market index
combined with adequate leverage in a ETF, shown below, is high with a
company with ordinary financial strength. cumulative frequency of negative returns
Puregold Price Club Inc's strong revenue 6.1 % points above the ETF.
performance is due to a combination of C15. Volatility compared to market ETF
moderate revenue growth, large volatility
and average competitiveness in relation to
its industry.
Operational Revenue
Leverage Financial
Estimates C19. SADIF and Sell Side consensus estimates vs historical EPS
The company's business outlook is
positive and, based on an improving trend
in our estimates, is likely to improve.
Earnings per share is strengthening,
while its book value per share is rising.
The impact on market multiples is
favorable. Our target price has an implicit
annual CAGR of 5.5%, well below that of
the analyst consensus.
Overall, our rating for business outlook Book Value
(SMA = 91/100) has improved in the last
The stock is trading at 2.0 times book value, with a rising trend.
quarter due mostly to an improvement in
The trend in Puregold Price Club Inc's market and book values, allow
the financial estimates (see chart C16,
investors to gauge how the market values the company's growth. Comparing
page 9).
the two most recent quarters with the previous two, we see that book values
Revenue have increased by 4.7% while the company's market value has decreased
Puregold Price Club Inc is currently by 4.83%. Moreover, the gap between the two narrowed in the last month.
earning 4.3% on revenue of 40,997.7
million. T7. Quarterly BVS
T5. Quarterly Revenue Per Share Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020 22.185 22.939f 23.425f -
2019 14.872 12.304 12.751 13.470 2018 16.856 17.859 17.895 18.838
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2020 0.614 0.724f 0.801f -
2019 0.688 0.533 0.462 0.600
2018 0.682 0.488 0.569 0.520
SMR
SMD2
SMB SMA
SMD1 SMS
SMG
SMD3 SMW
SMF
SMR
SMR
A SADIF recommendation based on equal weighting of company ratings for quality (SMQ), safety (SMD) and
investor sentiment (SMC). Investors with different strategies (e.g. growth or safety) should reweight accordingly.
SMB
Recommendation (SMR)
SMF
A company's overall safety rating based on its A company's financial quality based on its ratings
ratings for operational, information and market risk. for financial strength, efficiency and performance.
A company's operational safety based on its ratings A company's valuation attractiveness based on the
SMD1
SMW
for revenue growth, leverage adequacy and ratings for its current price multiples,
Sentiment (SMC)
A company's informational safety based on its A company's current estimates based on the ratings
SMD2
SMA
rating for earnings quality, data availability and for its current outlook, estimates forecasts and
reliability. consensus recommendations.
A company's market safety based on its ratings for A company's technical indicators rating based on
SMD3
SMS
its continuation as a listed company, its exposure to the current values for Bollinger Bands, rates of
takeover bids and its stock price volatility. change and relative strength indexes.
© 2007-2020 Marques Mendes & Associados Lda (MM&A). All Rights Reserved. This report is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation or
advice to buy or sell any security. The data contained within this report is not warranted to be accurate or complete. This report is only intended as a
summary of SADIF's stock ratings and not a recommendation for stock purchase or sale. Redistribution of this report without explicit permission is strictly
prohibited. All logos are the copyright property of their respective companies and are used here only to aid the reader in identification of the subject of
the article. The author of this article does not hold a position in any of the companies featured within this report. Frequency: Quarterly; Director: António
José Marques Mendes; NIPC: 504284444; ERC Registration No.: 125265; Editor and Owner: Marques Mendes & Associados, Lda Editorial
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