Polling Survey PDF 9-8

Survey of Likely November Voters in
Miami-Dade County
September 2020
METHODOLOGY
500 Likely November 2020 Election
Sample Size Voters in Miami-Dade County
Dates of Interview September 1st – September 4th, 2020
Languages of Interview English, Spanish
Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points
Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 2

VOTING ISSUES
Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County

When participating in the November 3rd, 2020 Election, which
method of voting do you intend to use – voting by mail, in person
early voting, or voting at your precinct on election day?
37% 69% of people will have voted

32% before election day
26%
5%
Vote by mail In person early voting Voting at precinct on election day Don’t know/No answer

BY AGE
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Vote by mail 53% 29% 33% 45%
In person early voting 29% 38% 36% 22%

Voting at precinct on
election day
18% 31% 21% 29%
Don’t know/No
answer
- 2% 10% 4%

BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Vote by mail 42% 31% 36%
In person early voting 34% 28% 32%

election day
19% 37% 28%
Don’t know/No answer 5% 4% 4%

BY RACE
White Black Hispanic
Vote by mail 42% 29% 39%
In person early voting 39% 41% 25%

election day
16% 22% 33%
Don’t know/No answer 3% 8% 3%

Given the current coronavirus pandemic how concerned are you with
the safety of participating in this November’s election – Very
concerned, somewhat concerned, somewhat unconcerned, or not
concerned at all?
Very / Somewhat concerned 33% 19% 52%
Somewhat unconcerned 4%
Not concerned at all 44%

concerned at all?
BY PARTY
Very/Somewhat concerned 61% 34% 57%
Somewhat unconcerned 7% 2% 1%
Not concerned at all 32% 64% 42%

concerned at all?
BY RACE
Very/Somewhat concerned 57% 68% 44%
Somewhat unconcerned 3% 9% 3%
Not concerned at all 40% 23% 53%

IMAGE RATINGS

Donald Trump
Very / Somewhat Favorable 33% 10% 43%

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 7% 45% 52%
Do not recognize
No answer 5%

Donald Trump
BY PARTY
Favorable 14% 85% 45%
Unfavorable 77% 12% 50%

Do not recognize/
No answer
9% 3% 5%

Donald Trump
BY RACE

Do not recognize/
No answer
3% 17% 3%

Donald Trump
BY HERITAGE
Non-Cuban
Cuban
Hispanic
Favorable 73% 40%
Unfavorable 27% 57%

Do not recognize/
No answer
- 3%

Joe Biden
Very / Somewhat Favorable 37% 18% 55%

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 8% 28% 36%
Do not recognize 3%
No answer 6%

Joe Biden
BY PARTY

Do not recognize/
No answer
6% 9% 14%

Joe Biden
BY RACE

Do not recognize/
No answer
7% 11% 9%

Joe Biden
BY HERITAGE
Non-Cuban
Cuban
Hispanic
Favorable 32% 57%
Unfavorable 63% 31%

Do not recognize/
No answer
5% 12%

PRESIDENTIAL
HORSERACE

2012 Presidential Election Results in Miami-Dade County
62% OBAMA +24%
38%
OBAMA/BIDEN ROMNEY/RYAN

2016 Presidential Election Results in Miami-Dade County
63% CLINTON +29%
34%
3%
CLINTON/KAINE TRUMP/PENCE Others

If the election for President and Vice President of the United States
were being held today and the candidates on the ballot were the
Republican ticket of Donald Trump and Mike Pence or the Democratic
ticket of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris – whom would you vote for?
55% BIDEN +17%

38%
2% 4%
1%
BIDEN/HARRIS TRUMP/PENCE Not voting for President Someone else Don't know/No answer

BY GENDER
Male Female
Biden/Harris 53% 56%
Trump/Pence 38% 37%
Other/Don’t know/No answer 9% 7%

BY PARTY
Biden/Harris 81% 16% 51%
Trump/Pence 12% 80% 33%
Other/Don’t know/No answer 7% 4% 16%

BY METHOD OF VOTING
In Person At Precinct on
Vote By Mail
Early Voting Election Day

BY RACE

BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
English Spanish
Trump/Pence 27% 60%

BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
US-Born Foreign-Born
Trump/Pence 24% 56%

BY HERITAGE
Non-Cuban
Cuban
Hispanic
Trump/Pence 68% 32%

2016 Presidential Exit Poll Results
BY CUBAN VOTERS IN FLORIDA
Cuban Voters
Clinton/Kaine 41%
Trump/Pence 54%
SOURCE: NBC NEWS 2016 FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL EXIT POLL

2012 Presidential Exit Poll Results
BY CUBAN VOTERS IN FLORIDA
Cuban Voters
Obama/Biden 49%
Romney/Ryan 47%
SOURCE: NBC NEWS 2012 FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL EXIT POLL

DEMOGRAPHICS

COUNTRY OF BIRTH
48%
23%
9%
6%
3% 4%
2% 2% 2% 1%
United States Cuba South America Central America Dominican Republic Puerto Rico Haiti Jamaica/Bahamas Mexico Other

PARENT/GRANDPARENT
COUNTRY OF BIRTH
59%
14%
11%
6% 4%
1% 2% 2% 1%
United States Cuba Central America South America Puerto Rico Haiti Mexico Other No answer

GENDER
Male
53% 47%
Female

LANGUAGE
33%
English
67% Spanish

REGION
36%
32% 32%
South Northeast Northwest

PARTY
Democrat
24%
Republican 46%
Independent 30%

The media generally classifies most people as Black, White,
Hispanic, Asian or Native American, which do you consider
yourself to be?
57%
22%
18%
3%
Hispanic White Black Asian/Other

AGE
31% 30% 29%
10%
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+

Survey of Likely November Voters in Miami-Dade County
September 2020
ABOUT BENDIXEN & AMANDI INTERNATIONAL

Bendixen & Amandi International (B&A) is a full-service public opinion research and communications consulting firm headquartered in Miami, Florida. B&A’s research capabilities include
conducting live operator telephone polling, focus groups, executive interviews, door-to-door interviewing, economic impact studies, hard to reach populations and multilingual research in more
than 30 languages. Utilizing research as the core of our work, the firm specializes in providing sound strategic recommendations and developing impactful multi-media communications
campaigns through the creation of TV/Radio commercials, digital advertising, direct mail and traditional print advertising.
Since our founding in 1984, B&A has had the honor of conducting numerous complex and large scale projects for corporations, NGO’s, governmental agencies, and political candidates across the
United States and around the world. Clients have included The White House, The United Nations, World Bank, InterAmerican Development Bank, The John. S. & James L. Knight Foundation, The
Miami Herald, the University of Miami, Barack Obama, and Univision Communications, among others.
For additional information about the firm please visit www.BendixenandAmandi.com or call us at 305.529.9916

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Survey of Likely November Voters in

Dates of Interview September 1st – September 4th, 2020

Languages of Interview English, Spanish

Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 2

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County

37% 69% of people will have voted

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 4

18-29 30-49 50-64 65+

Vote by mail 53% 29% 33% 45%

In person early voting 29% 38% 36% 22%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 5

Democrat Republican Independent

Vote by mail 42% 31% 36%

In person early voting 34% 28% 32%

Don’t know/No answer 5% 4% 4%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 6

White Black Hispanic

Vote by mail 42% 29% 39%

In person early voting 39% 41% 25%

Don’t know/No answer 3% 8% 3%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 7

Very / Somewhat concerned 33% 19% 52%

Not concerned at all 44%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 8

Democrat Republican Independent

Very/Somewhat concerned 61% 34% 57%

Not concerned at all 32% 64% 42%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 9

White Black Hispanic

Very/Somewhat concerned 57% 68% 44%

Not concerned at all 40% 23% 53%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 10

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County

Very / Somewhat Favorable 33% 10% 43%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 12

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 14% 85% 45%

Unfavorable 77% 12% 50%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 13

White Black Hispanic

Favorable 46% 12% 53%

Unfavorable 51% 71% 44%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 14

Favorable 73% 40%

Unfavorable 27% 57%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 15

Very / Somewhat Favorable 37% 18% 55%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 16

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 82% 17% 51%

Unfavorable 12% 74% 35%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 17

White Black Hispanic

Favorable 49% 83% 47%

Unfavorable 44% 6% 44%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 18

Favorable 32% 57%

Unfavorable 63% 31%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 19

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County

62% OBAMA +24%

Survey of Likely November 2020 Voters in Miami-Dade County 21

63% CLINTON +29%