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Aff Update 1
The correlation between public disapproval of some military adventure and congressional action restricting or
prohibiting such an exercise of power, suggests that sufficient time for public opinion to digest the relevant facts
is, often necessary before Congress takes effective action. Thus, in many nuclear war scenarios, this safeguard
will simply not have time to operate. Admittedly, in the post-Vietnam era, Congress has moved to limit the Executive's exercise of
military power in the absence of major grass-roots movements. For example, Congress passed the Clark Amendment, n157 prohibiting American involvement in Angola, and the Boland
Amendment, n158 preventing the American overthrow of the Nicaraguan government, without the tremendous support that the peace movement enjoyed during the latter part of the
Vietnam War. The reasons these later amendments did pass are complex, but include the heightened cautiousness which still exists in the national consciousness regarding foreign
entanglements after the Vietnam debacle. n159 To the degree such laws were successful, they illustrate the importance of Congress undertaking preventive action as opposed to the greater
difficulty of altering faits accomplis.
Griswold ‘2 – associated Director of the Center for Trade Policy Studies @ CATO Institute (Daniel, , The
Insider, “Seven Moral Arguments for Free Trade”, May 1, http://www.insideronline.org/feature.cfm?id=106)
In an 1845 speech in the British House of Commons, Richard Cobden called free trade “that advance which is calculated
to knit nations more together in the bonds of peace by means of commercial intercourse.” Free trade does not
guarantee peace, but it does strengthen peace by raising the cost of war to governments and their citizens. As nations
become more integrated through expanding markets, they have more to lose should trade be disrupted. In recent years, the
twin trends of globalization and democratization have produced their own “peace dividend”: since 1987, real
spending on armaments throughout the world has dropped by more than one-third. Since the end of the Cold War, the threat of major
international wars has receded. Those nations most closely associated with international terrorism – Libya,
Sudan, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, and North Korea – are among the least globalized countries in the world
in terms of non-oil trade and foreign investment. Not one of them belongs to the World Trade Organization.
During the 1930s, the industrialized nations waged trade wars against each other. They raised tariffs and imposed quotas in
order to protect domestic industry. The result, however, was that other nations only raised their barriers even
further, choking off global trade and deepening and prolonging the global economic depression. Those dark
economic times contributed to the conflict that became World War II. America’s post-war policy of
encouraging free trade through multilateral trade agreements was aimed at promoting peace as much as it was
prosperity.
The Menace
OPRF Debate ‘10 Cramer
Aff Update 3
What would be the consequences of a nuclear attack by terrorists? Even if it fails, it would
further exacerbate the negative features of the new and frightening world in which we are now
living. Societies would close in on themselves, police measures would be stepped up at the
expense of human rights, tensions between civilisations and religions would rise and ethnic
conflicts would proliferate. It would also speed up the arms race and develop the awareness
that a different type of world order is imperative if humankind is to survive. But the still
more critical scenario is if the attack succeeds. This could lead to a third world war, from
which no one will emerge victorious. Unlike a conventional war which ends when one side
triumphs over another, this war will be without winners and losers. When nuclear pollution
infects the whole planet, we will all be losers.
A weak president with an unclear mandate is bad news for the rest of the world. For better or worse, the
person who rules the United States influences events far beyond the shores of his own country. Both the
global economy and international politics will feel the effect of political instability in the US. The first
impact will be on American financial markets, which will have a ripple effect on markets and growth across
the world. A weakened US presidency will also be felt in global hotspots across the world. The Middle
East, the conflict between India and Pakistan, peace on the Korean peninsula, and even the way relations
between China and Taiwan play out, will be influenced by the authority the next US president brings to his
job. There are those who would welcome a weakening of US global influence. Many Palestinians, for
example, feel they would benefit from a less interventionist American policy in the Middle East. Even within
the Western alliance, there are those who would probably see opportunities in a weakened US presidency.
France, for example, might feel that a less assertive US might force the European Union to be more outward
looking. But the dangers of having a weak, insecure US presidency outweigh any benefits that it might
bring. US global economic and military power cannot be wished away. A president with a shaky mandate
will still command great power and influence, only he will be constrained by his domestic weakness and
less certain about how to use his authority. This brings with it the risks of miscalculation and the use of
US power in a way that heightens conflict. There are very few conflicts in the world today which can
be solved without US influence. The rest of the world needs the United States to use its power deftly
and decisively.
President and the structure of the Constitution, which conceives of a power-sharing regime between Congress
and the President. n93 Moreover, the Treaty Clause, as outlined above, establishes a structure in which the two
branches must work out a solution politically. Some unilateral implied constitutional right for Congress to
deauthorize a war, therefore, would violate [*467] structural constitutional principles on multiple fronts.
And then he threw it all away. He outsourced chunks of his job to a left-wing congressional
leadership that has learned nothing and forgotten nothing for the past 35 years.
What came next was one appalling legislative blob after another: the stimulus package that
hasn’t stimulated, the cap-and-trade monster, the health care power-grab.
When Obama assumed office, he was still something of an enigma. Many asked: Who is this
guy?
Well, now we know a lot more. The bottom line: He isn’t a good politician. Politics is an art, and
Obama’s basic competence is highly suspect. He lacks the personal radar an effective politician
must have — the instinct to know when you’re on solid ground and when you’re tilting at
windmills. Obama has spent a year tilting at windmills.
The “art of the possible” isn’t static. With steady accomplishments, an effective leader can
expand the zone of the possible. A winner draws new adherents, builds coalitions, acquires new
strength for the next challenge.
For a weak leader, the opposite applies: His credibility shrinks, and so do the ranks of his
followers. His ability to accomplish anything becomes doubtful.
This is the vicious circle that now ensnares Obama. He has succeeded mainly in uniting his
opposition and dividing his own camp. House and Senate Democrats are openly sniping at one
another. The hard left — Obama’s base — is writing him off as inept.
The sense of disarray was only reinforced by his State of the Union speech.
Let’s give a cheer or two for the proposed cut in the capital gains tax for small businesses and the
spending freeze plan — while noting that the latter applies to only a small part of the budget,
doesn’t begin until next year and comes only after spending was recklessly accelerated. Obama
wants to “freeze” outlays at stratospheric, stimulus-package levels.
If Obama is serious about two of his main points — a second stimulus package and his renewed
call for Congress to pass health care reform — then he has learned nothing from the last year and
the political earthquake in Massachusetts.
Despite its enormous cost, last year’s stimulus package has failed to live up to expectations. So,
his response is: Do it again?
The Menace
OPRF Debate ‘10 Cramer
Aff Update 5
On health care, he offered no suggestions to deadlocked Democrats as to how they should pass a
bill disliked by most Americans. The House can’t pass the Senate bill and the Senate couldn’t
pass the House bill. Obama’s advice: Keep trying what isn’t working.
Like Jimmy Carter, Obama squandered much of his political capital in his first year. Before last
week’s speech, it was possible to argue that it wasn’t too late for him to adopt a new approach
and move toward the center. Now it’s clear he has no such intention.
A big clue to Obama appeared long before his election, when he was still a senator.
He’s stubborn. With the tide indisputably turning in Iraq, he remained opposed to the troop surge
and claimed it was bound to fail. When he took office, the economic landscape was completely
transformed. But he refused to put off health care and cap-and-trade, even though voters thought
the economy was a much higher priority.
He sold out the Czechs and Poles on missile defense to appease Russia — and got nothing in
return. He stuck with “engagement” on Iran, missing an opportunity to voice full-throated
support for the Iranian opposition. In dealing with China, he shrank from the topic of human
rights.
The question raised by French President Nicolas Sarkozy — “Is he weak?” — must be answered
in the affirmative.
The media portrait of Obama during the campaign made much of his cool, unflappable
temperament. But that ignored his most telling qualities. Stubborn and weak is not what you
want in a president. No wonder he’s already talking about the prospect of a single term.
9. CP can’t solve net benefit, one action can’t reverse pres powers.
The Menace
OPRF Debate ‘10 Cramer
Aff Update 6
Congressional diplomacy weakens the ability of the U.S. to carry out a consistent and
effective foreign policy. The Constitution, which gives Congress as an institution
important roles in foreign policy-making, does not give individual Members of
Congress any authority to engage in diplomacy with foreign countries or their agents.
As the success of the Nicaraguan government in exploiting divisions between the White
House and Congress showed, the practice of maverick diplomacy by members of
Congress encourages foreign regimes to try to take advantage of America's uniquely
open and decentralized government. Speaking with a Single Voice. Countries that
attempt to play one branch of the U.S. government against another, whether dramatically
as in the case of the Wright-Ortega affair, or quietly through influence over domestic
pressure groups, need to be firmly discouraged by the Executive. So do Congressmen
who abuse the powers of the legislative branch. The President should use all the means
at his disposal and request additional, new measures, to ensure that the U.S.
government speaks in the diplomatic arena with a single voice.
The Menace
OPRF Debate ‘10 Cramer
Aff Update 7
The Menace