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While the concept of AI has been around for over 50 years, we are at a pivotal Global Technology
point for its adoption today due to the availability of big data, high-powered AC
Stacy Pollard
computing and advances in algorithms – which all make AI cheaper and faster to
(44-20) 7134-5420
implement. This report is intended to serve as both an educational primer on AI as stacy.pollard@jpmorgan.com
well as an investment framework highlighting JPM-covered companies currently Bloomberg JPMA POLLARD <GO>
offering AI solutions (43 companies profiled). J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Varun Rajwanshi
What is AI? In simple terms, artificial intelligence is the simulation of human
(44-20) 7742-2814
intelligence by machines. AI is different from traditional software programs in varun.rajwanshi@jpmorgan.com
that it extracts knowledge from data and can alter its behavior (or learns) J.P. Morgan Securities plc
without being specifically programmed. Traditional software pre-defines the
Mark R Murphy
logic, whereas AI discovers the patterns and logic. These ‘self-learning’
(1-415) 315-6736
systems are impacting nearly every industry vertical from manufacturing to mark.r.murphy@jpmorgan.com
financial services, giving rise to new business models while making some J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
legacy models obsolete.
Sterling Auty, CFA
The scope of AI applications is huge and growing. AI can be used by (1-212) 622-6389
enterprises to: 1) Drive sales and customer engagement – AI can improve the sterling.auty@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
overall customer experience in a multi-channel world with the use of
recommendation systems, virtual assistants, chatbots and AI-managed Tien-tsin Huang, CFA
marketing platforms. 2) Improve operational efficiencies – AI functions are (1-212) 622-6632
tien-tsin.huang@jpmorgan.com
enhancing quality control, predictive maintenance and prescriptive responses, 3)
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Enhancing products with embedded AI, and 4) generate new insights and enable
new business models. AI tools will be intimately linked with the overall digital Doug Anmuth
transformation going on now within businesses, and AI is likely to be (1-212) 622-6571
douglas.anmuth@jpmorgan.com
embedded in numerous technology applications within a few years.
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
AI will continue to take share within the IT budget. IDC forecasts spending Alex Yao
on AI-focused hardware, software, and services to reach $58bn by 2021, up (852) 2800-8535
from ~$12bn in 2017, making this one of the fastest-growing technology alex.yao@jpmorgan.com
segments (growing at nearly 50% 2017-2021 CAGR). We believe AI J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited
functionality (direct or embedded) will take market share within the IT budget, Gokul Hariharan
and therefore vendors that are ahead of the curve in embedding AI will benefit. (852) 2800-8564
The AI platform vendors have taken an early competitive lead; however, we gokul.hariharan@jpmorgan.com
believe there is ample opportunity both for established traditional IT enterprise J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited
vendors to embed AI into their core offerings and for a variety of new, Andreas Willi
emerging players to offer creative solutions (from niche and vertical-specific to (44-20) 7134-4569
even broad-scope industry-disrupting ideas). andreas.p.willi@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Within our global software/internet stock coverage, we highlight the
Paul Coster, CFA
following companies as well positioned to benefit from AI adoption. (1-212) 622-6425
J.P. Morgan coverage companies which stand to benefit from the move to AI paul.coster@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Sector Companies
Internet Google, Amazon, Facebook, Baidu, Tencent, Alibaba
AI PaaS Amazon, Microsoft, Google, IBM, Alibaba, Baidu Further contributing analysts:
Enterprise Software Vendors SAP, Salesforce, Microsoft, Oracle, Adobe and others Alexander Mees
Specialist AI functions Dassault Systèmes, Hexagon, NICE, Siemens, Software AG Sandeep Deshpande
IT Services Accenture, Capgemini, Atos, Cognizant
Toby Ogg
Source: J.P. Morgan.
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
See page 109 for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures.
J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the
firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in
making their investment decision.
www.jpmorganmarkets.com
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Given that data (large amounts of reliable and diverse data sets) is the fuel powering
current mainstream AI technologies (such as deep learning), we see platform
vendors with well-established ecosystems as better positioned against the
competition to take advantage of AI-driven innovation. Furthermore, large
incumbent enterprise software vendors should have a role to play, given that they
generate the current system of record and intimately understand the IT systems and
needs of the enterprise.
Figure 1: J.P. Morgan coverage companies which stand to benefit from the shift to AI
Companies best prepared for the
Region Technology Sector AI function / use Analyst
shift to AI
AI platforms, AI-based analytics, object/pattern
European Software SAP, Dassault Systèmes, Hexagon Stacy Pollard
recognition, predictive maintenance, smart cities.
Advisory & education, creation and solution design,
Europe European IT Services Capgemini, Atos Stacy Pollard
deployment and integration.
MindSphere cloud IoT, digital factory, robotics, industrial
European Industrial Tech Siemens Andreas Willi
optimization.
AI platform, predictive analytics, automation bots, Mark Murphy /
US Enterprise Software Salesforce, Microsoft, Adobe
speech recognition and NLP, image recognition. Sterling Auty
AI platform, analytics/data discovery, chatbots, natural
US IT Services IBM, Accenture, Cognizant Tien-Tsin Huang
language, computer vision, advisory & implementation.
America
Robots as digital assistants, utilizing real-time customer
US Applied & Emerging Tech NICE, Cognex Paul Coster
data in chatbots, machine vision.
Search, cloud, home assistants, autonomous vehicles,
US Internet Google, Amazon, Facebook Doug Anmuth
photos, news feed…many others.
AI Platforms, autonomous driving, conversational (NLG, Alex Yao / Gokul
Asia Asian Internet / software Baidu, Tencent, Alibaba
voice), computer vision, customer analytics, etc. Hariharan
Source: J.P. Morgan.
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Internet The internet companies (like Google, Amazon, Facebook, Baidu, Tencent, Alibaba,
etc), as pure digital entities, have taken the lead in both generating big data and
utilizing AI to analyze big data.
AI PaaS However, many companies are also offering AI PaaS (AI Platform-as-a-Service – a
combined package of big data, cloud computing power and AI/ML toolkits) to
companies that may not have their own existing capabilities. Key AI PaaS vendors
include Amazon, Microsoft, Google, IBM, Alibaba, Oracle, and Baidu.
Enterprise software vendors Since digital transformation is necessary to take full advantage of AI, we believe
there is an opportunity for the many technology vendors that are facilitating the
digital transformation – including enterprise software vendors like SAP, Salesforce,
Microsoft, Adobe and others.
Specialist AI functions Many companies have focused on one of several aspects of AI – such as computer
vision, natural language (text and speech), chatbots, geolocation, predictive design
and pattern recognition, etc. Several coverage companies offering these AI functions
include: Dassault Systèmes, Hexagon, and NICE. Other companies are specializing
in IoT, industrial optimization, predictive maintenance or robotics (like Siemens and
Software AG).
IT Services Consultants and IT services vendors play a key role in designing, implementing, and
integrating digitization, automation, and AI applications for enterprises. Top picks
amongst our coverage include: Accenture, Capgemini, Atos and Cognizant.
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Table of Contents
The AI Software Investment Framework ................................2
10 FAQs on AI ...........................................................................7
1. What is AI? .........................................................................................................7
2. Is the current hype around AI justifiable?.............................................................7
3. Why now?...........................................................................................................7
4. What are some of the top AI use-cases (by industry)?...........................................8
5. What is the market size for AI?............................................................................9
6. Is AI a competitive advantage? ..........................................................................10
7. What does AI bring to the enterprise? ................................................................11
8. Who are some key AI vendors? .........................................................................11
9. Jobs and social disruption? ................................................................................11
10. Will AI make humanity obsolete? ....................................................................12
AI will be a disruptive force ...................................................13
Why Now?............................................................................................................15
AI in Enterprise Software.......................................................16
Layers of the AI ecosystem ...................................................18
Data is the New Oil .................................................................19
AI Brings Life to IoT ...............................................................20
The Five Senses of AI ............................................................22
3 – ‘See’: Computer Vision enabling a host of next-gen applications......................24
4 - ‘Analyze and Act’: Ushering in a golden age for data science ...........................25
5 - Remember (Knowledge): Data Discovery and Integration.................................26
The AI application ecosystem ...............................................28
What does AI bring to the Enterprise? .................................30
Is AI a competitive advantage? ..............................................................................30
How are enterprises thinking about AI? Build, buy or outsource?...........................31
Enterprise AI adoption still in its infancy; growing digitization and awareness to spur
growth ..................................................................................................................31
Leading Enterprise AI Use Cases by Industry ........................................................33
The AI-spending opportunity.................................................34
AI-focused spending to witness sharp growth in the coming years; Software /
Services to take the biggest slice............................................................................34
AI-focused spending still a small portion of overall enterprise IT spending.............36
Will AI boost overall IT spending?........................................................................36
Mapping the Vendor Landscape ...........................................38
AI: Is this a winner-takes-all market?.....................................................................38
Categorizing AI vendors........................................................................................40
AI Platform-as-a-Service.......................................................................................41
AI Platforms and deep learning frameworks/libraries .............................................41
Traditional enterprise software vendors .................................................................42
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10 FAQs on AI
1. What is AI?
In simple terms, artificial intelligence is the simulation of human intelligence by
machines. For example, the development of computer systems with the ability to
learn, reason, discover meaning, perceive environment, learn from experience, and
interact.
3. Why now?
If Artificial Intelligence has been around since the 1950s, then why is interest gaining
momentum now? In short, it’s the availability of big data, computing power, the
cloud and advances in algorithms – which make AI easier, cheaper and faster to
implement. 1) Massive sets of data are now available to train and validate the AI
algorithms, and IoT will provide an even greater explosion of data. 2) Computing
power has improved exponentially, and the use of GPUs has greatly accelerated
computations required for AI workloads. 3) The cloud makes aggregated large data
sets and cheap computing power available to data scientists who want to build and
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train AI algorithms. 4) And finally the virtuous feedback loop enabled by massive
computing power and big data gives data scientists the opportunity to hone, refine
and perfect their algorithms.
The table below presents a snapshot of different use cases by industry verticals. An
important point to note here is that machine learning algorithms are only as good as
the data that is used for its training. Hence, biases / errors inherent in the datasets will
more often than not lead to broken machine learning algorithms that yield incorrect
results.
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To put this spending size into perspective, AI growth projections of ~50% CAGR
through 2020/21 are more than twice the growth rate of other high-growth tech sub-
sectors (such as Big Data 23% and Cloud 20%). By 2020, AI-focused spending could
be about the same size as the security software market.
150
100
AI-focused spending,
Big data, 23% 50%
50 Security, 8%
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
6. Is AI a competitive advantage?
Yes, we believe that early adopters of AI functionality will see significant benefits,
which also speaks to the current urgency in the market for enterprises and
governments to consider their approach and strategy around AI.
Whereas last year most organizations were testing proof of concepts in AI, 2017 has
seen more AI applications moving into production. It is still early stage, though, and
we expect to see continued enhancements and fine tuning for these applications to
find their full value. Today many AI applications are automating existing repetitive
tasks, but we see the future as very much about whole new processes or even
business models being created because of the capabilities of AI.
Netflix, etc.), and the faster other industries digitize, the faster they can take
advantage of the insights and efficiencies of AI.
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McKinsey notes that companies invested between $26bn and $39bn in AI-related
technologies in 2016, with large technology and digitally mature manufacturing
firms comprising roughly $20-30bn of these investments (private financing
comprised the remaining $6-9bn). The US government invested around $2bn in AI
technologies last year (Source: White House paper: Artificial Intelligence,
Automation and the Economy) and the Chinese government has made AI a national
priority – estimating that by 2020 the scale of core industries of AI will exceed
150bn yuan ($23bn).
Despite the scale of AI investments (which continues to grow), AI is far from being
pervasive across the consumer and enterprise landscape. AI adoption has just begun
and its disruptive potential can already be seen by instances where organizations
have deployed AI – we highlight three sample examples below:
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Source: Adapted from DeepMind blog titled: DeepMind AI reduces Google datacenter cooling bill. ML = Machine Learning. PUE =
Power Usage Effectiveness overhead.
The broader enterprise complex is just starting to realize the potential benefits
available from deploying AI solutions. Indeed, we believe that enterprise AI
adoption is set to gain rapid pace over the coming years as the benefits derived
from AI become more tangible, awareness improves, and enterprises become
more digital. This is likely to drive a shift in enterprise spending, away from
traditional ‘run-the-business’ applications toward more ‘transform-the-business’
solutions. This creates both opportunities and risks for enterprise software vendors.
We will discuss these dynamics in the subsequent sections.
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Figure 5: Survey: technologies having the greatest impact on the firm in the next decade
Cloud computing 8%
Blockchain 5%
Why Now?
If Artificial Intelligence has been around since the 1950s, then why is interest
peaking now? In short, it is the availability of big data, computing power, the cloud,
and advances in algorithms – which make AI easier, cheaper and faster to obtain.
1. Big data and Internet of Things (IoT). Massive sets of data are now available
to train and validate the AI algorithms. Image analysis is being perfected through
the large and growing numbers of digital images being stored on the Internet and
various clouds (viewed as testing grounds for AI models). The wide variety of
text, documentation, and audio is useful for training natural language generators
as well as speech recognition. IoT will also provide an explosion of data with
multiple purposes, from predictive maintenance to Smart Cities.
2. Computing power: Improvements in computing power have more or less
followed Moore's Law (an observation which states that the transistor count of an
integrated circuit will double every 18 -24 months). This has enabled tremendous
innovation in the electronics industry, from the room-sized computers in the
1950s to the point that we can now carry a much more powerful computer in our
pocket. However, analyzing troves of datasets to make computers learn still
proved to be a daunting task for many cutting-edge microprocessors until
researchers found that the use of Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), traditionally
used for computer game graphics, greatly accelerated the computations required
for AI workloads. Advancements in AI research and increased sophistication of
algorithms have paved the way for new alternative computing architectures (such
as Google’s TPU) specially designed for AI-related computations. The diversity
and power of computing elements available today are enabling rapid advances in
the field of AI. Indeed, as Shane Legg of Google’s DeepMind notes, training an
AI algorithm that would take one day on a Google TPU would have taken a
quarter of a million years using a cutting-edge 1990s microprocessor.
3. The Cloud makes big data more widely accessible. Aggregating more and
more data into the Cloud makes big data more accessible to a wider set of users,
which boosts opportunities for AI as well. The same goes for cheap compute and
data engineering in the cloud.
4. Algorithmic sophistication. The virtuous feedback loop enabled by massive
computing power and big data gives data scientists the opportunity to hone, refine
and perfect their algorithms. It also widens the opportunity for many more
potential applications.
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AI in Enterprise Software
In time, AI is likely to exert a profound impact across the enterprise software landscape.
AI is expected to drive the next leg of automation in Enterprise software, spanning
across Intelligent Bots acting as the first point contact for Customer Service use cases,
to cataloguing huge volumes of data (text/images) to Robotic Process Automation
(Robotic Process Automation is the use of software robots, created using Machine
Learning and AI, to imitate humans to handle high volume, repeatable tasks). However,
the true impact of AI in software stretches beyond automation, into revenue
generating/cost saving functions by predicting actions based on historical patterns, thus
enabling customers to do things like increasing customer retention (by predicting churn)
or preventing downtime (via predictive maintenance on machines/infrastructure).
Incorporating AI directly into the application layer delivers value to customers much
faster, as they do not have to invest in infrastructure/resources to build Machine
Learning models. For example, SAP’s Leonardo Machine Learning tools embed AI
into existing enterprise applications – like Service Ticket Intelligence which
processes inbound social media posts and emails, or the Customer Retention
application which can anticipate customer behavior. Salesforce also provides a great
example: it has incorporated AI (called Einstein) into the application layer to drive
higher value to customers across its stack of clouds in Sales, Service, Marketing,
Commerce and Platform. Based on the data that salesforce already stores in its
platform, Salesforce Einstein can predict the likelihood of a deal closure, can allow
its customers to build a marketing campaign to engage with the customers at the right
time to have the maximum impact, or provide product recommendations to end-
customers using AI built into the salesforce Commerce Cloud. Other SaaS
companies such as HubSpot are also using AI to offer such capabilities as Predictive
Lead Scoring or allowing customers to create intelligent bots, while companies like
Workday or Cornerstone are using AI to improve employee retention and
recommend learning content.
While incorporating AI into the application layer drives a faster time to value, it will
likely provide a narrower set of use cases, relatively restricted to pre-defined models.
Allowing customers to use AI/Machine learning as a platform broadens the
opportunity set and enables customers to apply AI to use cases of their choosing
based on their own Machine Learning/Deep Learning models. However, one
important point to consider in using an AI platform is the infrastructure investment,
since Machine Learning or Deep Learning algorithms are very iterative and compute-
heavy processes thus requiring a very powerful infrastructure environment. As such,
an AI platform offered as a PaaS layer on a pay-as-you-go licensing model could
have its advantages, as customers wouldn’t have to invest in the infrastructure
environment and could focus on the algorithms/models they want to build. Microsoft
is one of the very few companies that is offering an AI platform as a service as part
of Microsoft Azure. Microsoft not only offers a set of Machine Learning services
including an ML studio, workbench (free), data prep and model management
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capabilities, it also offers a set of cognitive services such as Image recognition and
Speech recognition, which can be incorporated by developers into their applications.
Other companies such as Cloudera are also making strides in this area by offering
Spark as a platform for AI along with a new Data Science Workbench.
The application of AI can also be seen on the infrastructure side, led by companies
such as Nutanix which recently introduced Nutanix X-fit (Cross-fit) which can not
only predict problems with hardware before they occur but can also offer
suggestions, for instance suggest if a workload should be hosted on-premises or in
the cloud based on SLA requirements and cost.
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INTELLIGENCE
Process Middleware - software
that acts as a bridge between
applications, networks, etc.
Process
Middleware
AI - algorithms, automation
processes, machine learning,
neural networks.
DATA
Data & Metadata from other sources - IoT Infrastructure - sensors, cameras,
Systems of Record - ERP, SCM, etc.
social media, web search, geo-location, etc and connectivity.
INFRASTRUCTURE
Source: Adopted from Cognizant and "What to Do When Machines Do Everything", Frank, Roehrig, and Pring.
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We are in the early days of the Fourth Industrial Revolution where big data, analytics
and AI are becoming increasingly relevant and useful. But we see the potential as
every bit as large as the transformation that refined oil has brought to the global
economy over the last 100 years (impacts on energy, transport, and creating whole
new industries based on plastics, petrochemicals, etc.).
AI in our view will also transform nearly every industry and create new ones.
Already, Netflix, Amazon and Uber are using AI and automation to enhance
customer experience (e.g. recommendations, mapping/routing/scheduling) in ways
that have allowed them to take market share from incumbents.
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traditional companies also own and regularly create valuable information (on their
customers, products, processes, supply chain, etc.). At the very least, these
companies need to make sure their information assets are digitized, and then utilize
AI and other analytics or operational efficiency tools to maximize the value of the
data. To repeat a theme we’ve mentioned several times in this report: digital
transformation and AI will go hand-in-hand.
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Sensors
Audio Video
IoT AI
Decision Apps
making
Analytics
Source: Gartner.
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Any conversational agent (be it a chatbot or a VPA) has the following key
components: a user interface to accept inputs (voice commands or text), NLP
(Natural Language Processing)/speech recognition element (to understand user-
provided inputs), dialogue management (which helps provide context for the
conversation), and back-end infrastructure (which connects the bots/VPAs to
different applications/services).
Source: Adapted from Gartner, J.P. Morgan. API = Application Programming Interface.
Messaging services and VPA providers are opening their platforms to third-party
developers to expand the diversity of services / applications that can be provided. As
an example, Messenger is now host to more than 50,000 chatbots since Facebook
opened the platform to bot developers. Similarly, Alexa boasts of over 25,000 skills,
thanks to Alexa Skills Kit which enables developers to build new skills (or
applications) for Alexa. For product/service providers, conversational platforms
provide an opportunity to maintain a deeper level of engagement with customers (via
personalized conversations), helping drive loyalty and mind-share. This point is
corroborated by a recent survey from Nuance (VPA provider), which shows that a
majority of customers (89%) prefer a conversational interaction with a virtual agent
when it comes to customer service / interacting with a business (vs. searching
through Web pages or a mobile app on their own).
As per Gartner, by 2021, >50% of enterprises will spend more per annum on bots
and chatbot creation than traditional mobile app development, signaling the high
growth nature of conversational platforms.
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Figure 9: Identification and classification of static/dynamic objects Figure 10: Tally – Retail shelf auditing and analytics robot
using machine learning
Figure 11: Urban mapping solutions - for Smart Cities Figure 12: LiDAR read for terrain, construction, flood analysis, etc.
Computer Vision technologies are also driving a wave of innovation in the field of
robotics, extending its use-cases across several industry verticals. Examples of some
industry use-cases of Computer Vision include: healthcare (image analytics for early
disease detection & classification), retail (automated stock checks, facial recognition
to enhance shopping experience/personalized advertising), automotive (advanced
driver assistance systems), banking and insurance (ATM fraud control, identity
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Table 3: Representation computer vision software vendors across different industry verticals
Industry vertical Representative Computer Vision software vendors
Catchoom, Clarifai, Syte.ai, ViSenze, VisionLabs, FLIR, ShopperTrak,
Retail
Johnson Controls, Amazon Go, Trax technologies, Vispera
Manufacturing Cognex, Siemens, SmartFactory, Isra Vision
Media Clarifai, IBM, Metaliquid, VuDigital
Healthcare Arterys, Google DeepMind, IBM
Security / Surveillance Bosch, Qognify, CrowdVision
Source: Gartner, J.P. Morgan.
Figure 13: Types of AI applications that organizations have deployed or are planning to deploy
Solutions for decision making / recommendation 74%
Other 11%
Source: Adapted from Gartner. Results reflect response to the question: What type of artificial intelligence initiatives is your
organization investigating or developing, or has your organization deployed or is planning to deploy?
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Figure 14: Market size comparison: Traditional BI platforms vs. Data science platforms
$ (bn)
8.0 7.3
6.6
6.3 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7
6.0 5.4
4.8
4.4
3.9
4.0 3.4
3.0
2.2 2.4
2.0
2.0
-
2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
Traditional BI platforms Data Science Platforms
Source: Gartner.
Some of the leading data science platform vendors include players such as IBM,
SAS, SAP, Knime, RapidMiner, Microsoft, Dataiku, Domino Data Lab, Alteryx,
Fico, and Teradata. Gartner estimates data science platform market to grow from
$2bn in 2016 to $5bn by 2021, growing at 15% CAGR over this period.
Data discovery tools can be split into four categories: Visual Data Discovery, Smart
Data Discovery, Search-Based Data Discovery and Self-Service Data Preparation.
Visual Data Discovery is based on an architectural structure that blends data from
a range of sources into an in-memory store, which is linked to an interactive
visualization layer.
Smart Data Discovery enables the user to automatically locate, project and curate
findings which are relevant to them (e.g. anomalies, correlations, patterns,
clusters and forecasts), without the need to write algorithms or build models.
Smart data discovery essentially encapsulates interactive data visualization,
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Source: Gartner
The multiple styles of data discovery should soon converge as their unique features
become requirements for all data discovery, as per Gartner. IBM’s Watson embeds
smart data discovery into its analytics capability. Cambridge Semantics solution,
Anzo Smart Data Discovery, offers dynamic access to both structured and
unstructured data, and visualizes this through an in-memory Graph Query Engine.
2,500
2,000 1,858
1,465 1,498
1,500
1,000
677 642
451
500 277
0
Visual Data Discovery Smart Data Discovery Search-Based Data Discovery Self-Service Data Preparation
2016 2021
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The segmentation provided here Broadly speaking, AI applications can be categorized into three key segments –
is based on a Deloitte study of Product, Process, and Insight.
100+ organizations across 17
industry sectors that
Figure 17: Simplified AI application ecosystem
implemented / piloted
applications enabled by AI
Further, traditional hardware-focused companies are now facing stiff margin pressure
driven by the rise of low-cost companies based in EMs such as China, the high cost
of innovation (such as investments in truly flexible display), and uncertainty around
end-demand. Against this backdrop, conventional hardware companies are racing
ahead with investments in AI-related applications (either driven by in-house
development or acquisitions of tech start-ups – Samsung’s Viv acquisition is one
such recent example).
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Is AI a competitive advantage?
AI is being quickly embedded We believe that earlier adopters of AI functionality will see significant benefits,
into numerous applications and which also speaks to the current urgency in the market for enterprises and
computer functions. Early
adopters should see competitive governments to consider their approach and strategy around AI.
advantages.
Whereas last year most organizations were testing proof of concepts in AI, 2017 has
AI will lead to whole new seen more AI applications moving into production. It is still early stage though, and
business models. we expect to see continued enhancements and fine tuning for these applications to
find their full value. Today many AI applications are automating existing repetitive
tasks, but we see the future as very much about whole new processes or even
business models being created because of the capabilities of AI.
Not only does more automation free up time/effort for businesses to spend on the
more creative aspects of its business, but the insights gleaned from AI can also help
identify new opportunities, new products, new customers and new channels to
market. Over the longer term, AI will be embedded into numerous applications and
computer functions and nearly all enterprises will see some benefits, but we would
argue that the early adopters and fast followers will take more market share, while
the late adopters will implement AI just to keep up and non-adopters become far less
competitive.
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Source: Gartner survey. Responses: What is the current stage of artificial intelligence solutions adoption within your organization?
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Some of the key challenges impeding the adoption of AI across enterprises include a
shortage of available ‘AI-talent’ (data scientists, machine learning experts, etc.),
difficulty in porting existing infrastructure to AI-ready infrastructure, challenges in
quantifying value derived from deploying AI solutions, and lack of a strategic
directive from top management (C-level management, business unit heads, etc.). In
addition, there are concerns surrounding the ‘black-box’ nature of AI algorithms (the
way ML algorithms interpret data to produce an outcome or a set of outcomes is
often not known), which hinder its adoption (especially in highly regulated
industries, such as financial services).
Defining AI strategy 37
Governance issues 13
Understanding what AI is 11
Other 5
- 10 20 30 40 50 60
Source: Gartner survey results, November 2017. Survey results in response to the question: What are the top three challenges to the
adoption of artificial intelligence within your organization?
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It is important to note that this spending figure excludes internal enterprise R&D
investments & AI deployments, capital spent on talent acquisition, M&A, and private
financing. These excluded components are meaningful in size. As noted, McKinsey
highlighted that roughly $26-39bn was spent on AI-related technologies in 2016.
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150
100
AI-focused spending,
Big data, 23% 50%
50 Security, 8%
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
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1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.5% 0.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2015 2016 2017E 2021E
AI-focused spending as % of total enterprise IT spending
Source: AI-spending estimates adapted IDC. *Includes AI-focused spending on hardware, software, and services. **Enterprise IT
spend data sourced from Gartner.
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IT spend comes from the central Furthermore, we believe that the traditional enterprise IT budget (from the CIO's
IT budget as well as from Lines office) does not capture the entire portion of corporate spend on IT. Increasingly the
of Business.
lines of business are directly purchasing IT in the form of vertical applications. The
marketing department and huge budgets around digital marketing are probably the
most obvious example, but payments, customer service and areas of automation are
other examples. In fact, one could argue that nearly all companies are becoming IT
companies at their core.
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Figure 24: J.P. Morgan coverage companies which stand to benefit from the shift to AI
Companies best prepared for the
Region Technology Sector AI function / use Analyst
shift to AI
AI platforms, AI-based analytics, object/pattern
European Software SAP, Dassault Systèmes, Hexagon Stacy Pollard
recognition, predictive maintenance, smart cities.
Advisory & education, creation and solution design,
Europe European IT Services Capgemini, Atos Stacy Pollard
deployment and integration.
MindSphere cloud IoT, digital factory, robotics, industrial
European Industrial Tech Siemens Andreas Willi
optimization.
AI platform, predictive analytics, automation bots, Mark Murphy /
US Enterprise Software Salesforce, Microsoft, Adobe
speech recognition and NLP, image recognition. Sterling Auty
AI platform, analytics/data discovery, chatbots, natural
US IT Services IBM, Accenture, Cognizant Tien-Tsin Huang
language, computer vision, advisory & implementation.
America
Robots as digital assistants, real-time customer data to
US Applied & Emerging Tech NICE, Cognex Paul Coster
chatbots, machine vision.
Search, cloud, home assistants, autonomous vehicles,
US Internet Google, Amazon, Facebook Doug Anmuth
photos, news feed…many others.
AI Platforms, autonomous driving, conversational (NLG, Alex Yao / Gokul
Asia Asian Internet / software Baidu, Tencent, Alibaba
voice), computer vision, customer analytics, etc. Hariharan
Source: J.P. Morgan.
Also see Appendix 2, page 68 for more company profiles.
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Traditional CRM vendors are at risk if they are not evolving with AI (and
advanced customer understanding and engagement). The same goes for nearly
every category of enterprise software, from BI and CRM to supply chain and
ERP (for example, automated expense matching).
AI platforms (including AI PaaS) have around 20% (Figure 22) of AI spending
share today and are frequently the building blocks for companies designing their
own AI applications.
Industry-specific and function-specific AI are likely to be of great interest to
clients looking for productized or nearly out-of-the box solutions. The early days
of most technology cycles are characterized by broad innovation and
fragmentation – which is where we are today (as opposed to consolidation and
vendor dominance by a small number of players, which happens later cycle).
4500 700
4000
600
3500
3000 500
2500 400
2000
300
1500
200
1000
100
500
0 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Disclosed Funding ($m) Number of Deals
Source: Adapted from CBInsights.
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Categorizing AI vendors
We have tried to categorize vendors into several functional areas of AI (while noting
that many vendors cross functions and thus may fit into multiple categories). We also
acknowledge that this is not a comprehensive list, but rather a substantial sampling to
make investors aware of the many vendors and types of function and application that
are involved in the AI arena.
AI Platform-as-a Service Still in early adoption phase; with top three vendors dominating - Amazon Web Services (c.40% mkt share), Microsoft Azure
tough to challenge the hegemony. Machine Learning, and Google, clear public cloud leaders. Others
include IBM, Alibaba Aliyun, Oracle, Baidu, etc.
AI Platforms and deep learning AI platforms provide users with a toolkit to build intelligent TensorFlow from Google, IBM PowerAI IBM Watson Platform,
frameworks/libraries applications. The platforms may combine decision-making Google Cloud Prediction API, AWS/MS Gluon, Microsoft CNTK,
algorithms with data. Amazon ML, Infosys Mana, Wipro HOLMES, Rainbird, Ayasdi
Traditional enterprise software These vendors seem likely to embed AI into multiple aspects of SAP (with Leonardo), Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce (and Einstein)
vendors their software offerings. Adobe Sensei and Cloak.
Data Analytics Vendors Business intelligence and analytics vendors are creating AI/ML BI vendors: SAS, SAP, Oracle, IBM, Microsoft, Tableau,
tools to modernize their analytics solutions, especially on areas MathWorks, Qlik, Palantir, Fico, MicroStrategy, etc.
such as predictive / prescriptive analytics. Data integration is Data integrators: Informatica (data integration, quality, and
also an important component. management), IBM InfoSphere, SAP, Talen, Oracle, SAS,
Microsoft, Cisco, Denodo, etc.
Specialist AI / Vertical-focused / Vertical-specific expertise will be a clear differentiator. We Clarifai (automated photo tagging), Creative Virtual and many
Niche players believe that significant numbers of niche and vertical-focused other virtual customer assistants, Ravel Law (legal assistant), x.ai
will come to market in coming years, and will attract relatively (bots that negotiate via email to find a time/place for a meeting),
smaller, but loyal user groups. Clients will choose these Dassault Systèmes (in CAD and also fleet mgmt.), Sage’s Pegg
vendors/products for their best-of-breed functionality, and likely accounting bot, and numerous others.
off-the-shelf availability and quick implementation and ROI. Uber and Waze for real-time traffic and routing.
Industrial applications, IoT+AI, AI and IoT are symbiotic, because IoT provides the large ThingWorx from PTC, Siemens MindSphere, SAP Leonardo,
IT/OT integration and robots volumes of data that AI technologies require, and without AI Oracle IoT Cloud Service, Mosaic from LTI, ABB Industrial IoT,
apps, IoT data is far less useful. These applications typically GE Predix, Honeywell Industrial IoT, Schneider Electric, Hexagon,
focus on operational optimization (quality control, predictive Software AG (Cumulocity IoT platform), Amazon IoT, MS Azure
maintenance - leading to prescriptive responses from AI). IoT Suite.
AI-enhanced customer-facing These applications are focused on improving the overall Kore.ai (all-in-one chatbot PaaS), Openstream, NextIT, Aspect,
channels, Conversational customer experience – in a multichannel world, they aim to be Amelia from IPsoft,
platforms and Chatbots the gateway to the customer (potentially disintermediating
others).
IT Services IT Service vendors design and implement AI functions for Accenture, IBM, Capgemini, Atos, Cognizant, Tata, etc.
enterprises, especially custom projects. Ultimately, IT Services
vendors will democratize and facilitate the proliferation of AI
knowledge and best practices.
Hardware AI specialized compute / networking / storage Key AI chip vendors include Nvidia (GPUs), Intel (x86 platforms
with accelerators), AMD (CPUs/GPUs), Xilinx (FPGAs), Broadcom
(ASIC), etc. Some of the prominent AI chip startups include
Graphcore, Cambricon, Wave Computing, Mythic, and Cerebras.
Apart from compute, AI applications are also impacting the
networking and storage elements of the datacenter, with the focus
on high performance and low latency.
Source: J.P. Morgan; company data from many various sources.
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AI Platform-as-a-Service
AIPaaS is still in the early adoption phase, but progressing quickly. The top three
vendors (Amazon, Google and Microsoft) dominate today, and it may be tough to
challenge the hegemony.
AI Platform-as-a-Service Vendors
Amazon Web Services (c.40% mkt share), Microsoft Azure Machine Learning,
and Google are the clear public cloud leaders.
Others include IBM, Alibaba Aliyun, Oracle, Baidu, etc.
Figure 26: Cognitive/AI Software Platforms market share, 2016 (mkt size $1.6bn)
IBM
10% Palantir Google
4% 2% Digital
Reasoning
1%
IPsoft
1%
Nuance Comms
1%
CognitiveScale
1%
Expert System
1%
Other
78% CustomerMatrix
1%
Source: IDC.
Deep learning frameworks are symbolic math libraries, systems for building and
training neural networks to identify patterns and correlations. These frameworks are
mainly open source, and there are many iterations and layers.
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Python, Java, Lisp, Prolog, C++, MATLAB, Scala, Julia, R, Haskell, AIML, among others.
SAP (Leonardo)
Microsoft
IBM (Watson)
Oracle
Salesforce (Einstein)
Adobe Sensei and Cloak
AI-based features already include virtual assistants, bots, advanced analytics and
numerous other specialist features. See individual vendor profiles for details.
Oracle
9%
Others IBM
55% 8%
SAP
6%
Salesforce
2%
Adobe Vmware
2% 2%
Source: Gartner.
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Oracle
MicroStrategy 12%
2%
Fico
2% Palantir
3%
Qlik SAS
4% MathWorks 11%
4%
Tableau
5% Microsoft IBM
9% 9%
Source: Gartner.
Within the BI & Analytics Software Market, Data Science Platforms are set to grow
around 13% CAGR through 2021, while the overall BI Software Market should grow
8% (see Figure 29 below).
Figure 29: Data Science Platforms are growing faster than overall BI & Analytics SW
Source: Gartner.
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Data storage (database) vendors are benefitting from the massive increase in data
generation – in parallel to AI. Several top DB vendors include:
Oracle 12c and MySQL
Microsoft SQL Server
IBM DB2 and Informix
SAP HANA and Sybase
Teradata
Amazon SimpleDB and Dynamo DB
The Hadoop and Spark frameworks for big data analytics are also worth a
mention. A few top vendors include: Cloudera, Hortonworks, Pivotal, and numerous
others.
For a longer list and description of technology tools used in Big Data Analytics, we
recommend a read of our colleagues' report: Big Data and AI Strategies by Marko
Kolanovic and Rajesh Krishnamachari. This report dedicates around 80 pages to
explaining the granularity of Machine Learning Methods, 20 pages to data
technology solution vendors (including databases, ETL, Hadoop, infrastructure,
management, security, and ML tools, and another 50 pages listing various big data
sources by industry.
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Behind the scenes, Hadoop (open-source software) supports the processing and
storage of large data sets in distributed computing environments. Cloudera and
HortonWorks are the main big data vendors, as well as AWS Elastic MapReduce
Hadoop Distribution, Microsoft Hadoop Distribution, MapR Hadoop Distribution
and IBM InfoSphere Insights.
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Sample vendors:
ThingWorx from PTC
Siemens MindSphere
SAP Leonardo
Oracle IoT Cloud Service
Mosaic from LTI
ABB Industrial IoT
GE Predix
Honeywell Industrial IoT
Schneider Electric
Hexagon
Software AG (Cumulocity IoT platform)
Amazon IoT
MS Azure IoT Suite
The IoT Platform vendor landscape is crowded, and as yet, there appears to be no
clear – differentiated – market leader. The market is indeed still emergent and its
evolution and leadership will depend on the ability vendors have to provide clear
differentiation through a complete horizontal solution, specialist vertical market
knowledge, and a clear ecosystem of partners. We have outlined below a non-
exhaustive table of IoT platform providers.
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IoT Platform Vendor Description/Components Vertical Markets Areas of Application Go-To-Market Partners (Examples)
Builds on its IaaS capability and extensive
cloud infrastructure. Services in the stack:
Asset Management,
AWS message broker (or Device Gateway), Automotive, Intel, Samsung – Hardware
Predictive Maintenance,
Amazon - AWS IoT AWS IoT rules engine, Device Shadows Healthcare, Twilio, Splunk – Software
Personal Device
(digital twin implementer), Device Registry Smart City Accenture, Deloitte – Services
Integration
and IoT Console Services.
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Customer facing AI systems allow people to more naturally interact with the digital
world, and this is progressing even further with augmented reality, virtual reality and
digital twins – frequently linked to AI computer vision (for example, to help guide
mechanics fixing machines or stroke patients to perform their physiotherapy
exercises).
IT Services
IT Service vendors assess, select, design and implement AI functions for enterprises,
especially custom projects. The consulting and SI spending for AI, including Smart
RPA (robotic process automation), is today valued at around $2-3bn, but growing
quickly to an estimated $29bn by 2021 (source: Gartner). Consulting is the largest
component of spend today (approx. 2/3 of spend), due to the early stage of
technology, and typical need to create bespoke solutions. However, as the industry
grows and matures, Implementation should be around 2/3 of spend by 2021, while
Consulting drops to just 1/3 – although still probably 4x larger in absolute terms.
Accenture
Capgemini
Atos
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Infosys
Wipro
IBM
TCS - Tata Consulting Services
Cognizant
Intelligent things/devices
We believe that broad-based diffusion of AI applications will result in the migration
of ‘intelligence’ from the datacenters to end-devices (such as smartphones, PCs, cars,
home appliances, speakers, or IoT end-points in general) as not every AI-enabled
decision will be computed in the datacenter. For example, an autonomous car needs
capabilities of instantaneous decision making based on real-time feedback of sensory
inputs (cameras, radars, etc.); or smart surveillance via a network of cameras will
need capabilities of facial recognition / video analytics for near-real-time decisions.
We expect this migration of intelligence from the ‘core’ of the network to the ‘edge’
to create meaningful opportunities for hardware vendors. Some examples of such
intelligent devices include security cameras from HikVision, smart cameras for
industrial applications (from vendors such as Basler, Cognex, etc.), cars equipped
with autonomous driving capabilities, smart speakers, smartphones, consumer and
industrial robots, etc.
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Figure 30: Softbank's Pepper Figure 31: Sawyer from Rethink Robotics
Figure 32: Relay – A hotel butler robot from Savioke Figure 33: Amazon Echo with Alexa imbedded
Source: Savioke
Source: Amazon
We estimate the demand for IoT semiconductors to grow at 20% CAGR during
2017-25E, reaching ~$72bn in 2025E, up from ~$17bn in 2017E.
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Figure 35: CPU vs. GPU - Number of processing cores Figure 36: CPU vs. GPU: Training time for AlexNet (ML algorithm)
Source: Nvidia Source: Nvidia. Note: Titan is the brand name for Nvidia's GPUs.
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50% 10%
-13% -8%
0%
-50%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17
Nvidia datacenter / HPC Cloud revenue growth YoY
Source: Company data.
While GPUs have been the mainstream industry choice for training ML algorithms,
alternative heterogeneous computing architectures have emerged which use
semiconductors such as FPGAs (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) or customized
chip designs such as Google's Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) to handle the
inference side of the workload. Intel (a traditional CPU vendor) has also accelerated
its investments in heterogeneous computing via acquisitions (Altera in 2015,
Nervana and Movidius in 2016) – The recently announced Intel Nervana Neural
Network Processor is an example of Intel’s AI-focused processor offering. In
addition, there are also new chip architectures that are being trialed for future AI-
focused applications. Some of the prominent names here include: IBM (True North
chip), Qualcomm (Zeroth), BrainChip, etc.
Every one of our cyber security companies under coverage has numerous open
positions looking to hire machine learning and AI professionals, showing the level of
interest and investment being targeted to the segment. See profiles of our covered
companies in Appendix 2.
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The Antikythera mechanism (dated from around 70 BC) used mechanical gears to
program and predict astronomical positions, and we see such technology used by
clockmakers again in the 16th century. Along the same time period, Leonardo
DaVinci invented numerous mechanical devices – many weapons, but also a famous
walking lion (or robot, so to speak, although the word robot didn’t appear in English
until 1921). In 1642, Blaise Pascal invented the first digital calculator – to help with
tax accounting, of all things. Thirty years later, Gottfried Leibniz improved on
Pascal’s calculator to execute all four arithmetic operations with a device called the
stepped reckoner; and he followed this with a cipher machine and then the Integraph
to solve differential equations. Meanwhile, Samuel Moreland invented a machine
that made trigonometric calculations.
Renaissance philosophers also expanded upon the ideas of machines and intelligence,
with Descartes' "Cogito; ergo sum" (I think, therefore I am), and his idea that the
"bodies of humans and brutes were complex machines made by the hands of God".
Interestingly, Descartes proposed that a perfect machine that resembled the organs
and outward form of any “irrational animal" would be indistinguishable from the real
animal. However, humans could be distinguished by two tests to prove they were
really human: 1) humans could use words/language comprehensibly, and 2) that
humans would act from knowledge and reason and some sense of morality. Descartes
was differentiating humans from animals (obviously our knowledge of animals,
evolution and ourselves is more sophisticated today) but, nonetheless, his
machine/human test remains relevant even today when it comes to identifying a
human vs. a machine.
By the 18th century, mechanical devices were more commonplace, from music boxes
(with the musical code carved on a metal disk) to toys and automata (human-like
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machines). There were even AI hoaxes – one of the more infamous being the
Mechanical Turk. This chess-playing machine was exhibited as an intelligent
automaton (beating many chess players in the Austro-Hungarian court and
throughout Europe – including Bonaparte and Benjamin Franklin), but was later
revealed actually to be worked by humans hiding inside. Today Amazon’s
Mechanical Turk is a marketplace for humans to perform tasks that computers can’t
currently perform (but their work is also helping to train the machine).
Finally turning to the 20th century, Alan Turing was a pioneer of modern computing
and artificial intelligence (he also contributed to the computer that decoded the
Enigma in WWII). The Turing Test (or imitation game) was designed to determine
whether a computer could demonstrate intelligent behavior (via typed words on a
computer screen) that was indistinguishable from that of a human. Fresh medical
research at the time had shown that the human brain was an electrical network of
neurons, and computer scientists were contemplating ways to replicate neural
networks. Meanwhile, in the realm of science fiction, writer Isaac Asimov wrote the
Three Laws of Robotics: 1) a robot may not injure a human, 2) a robot must obey
humans, unless it conflicts with law one, and 3) a robot must protect its own
existence, unless it conflicts with laws 1 or 2.
In 1956 the Dartmouth Conference brought together a dozen leading scientists from
academia and industry over a 6- to 8-week brainstorming period in Hanover, New
Hampshire, to discuss the idea that “every aspect of learning or any other feature of
intelligence can in principle be so precisely described that a machine can be made to
simulate it.” Artificial intelligence was born!
Numerous projects and funding (from MIT, DARPA, US National Research Council,
and others) optimistically flowed into the field of AI for the next decade, only to hit a
wall in the 1970s, largely due to limited computing power and a general lack of
progress.
A rejuvenation of interest occurred in the late 1990s, and many advances were made
in machine learning, multi-agent planning, scheduling, data mining, natural language
understanding and translation, imagery, virtual reality, and games. Famously, the
Deep Blue chess machine from IBM beat the world chess champion, and by the
2000s there was a new proliferation of “smart” machines, games and toys (from
robopets and autonomous vacuums to NASA’s Opportunity Mars Rover and
Google's self-driving car). By the end of the decade, Xbox 360 was using 3D
cameras and infra-red detection to capture human motion to activate game figures on
screen. Nevertheless, HAL9000-type AI autonomy certainly did NOT exist by 2001,
or even today (reference to 2001: A Space Odyssey).
In 2011, IBM’s Watson beat two Jeopardy champions in the complex TV-quiz show,
and that same year Apple's Siri was launched, the first of several intelligent personal
assistants utilizing a natural-language user interface to answer questions, make
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While the success of such self-learning computers in games like Jeopardy, Go, and
poker captures headlines, we often overlook their presence in our everyday lives:
customized Facebook feed, recommendations on Netflix / Amazon, spam filter in
Gmail, Google search results, and Apple's Siri are all in some way or another driven
by machine learning.
More often than not, terms such as machine learning, deep learning, and artificial
intelligence are used interchangeably to describe the mechanism driving such self-
learning computers. The popularity of these terms has moved in-sync over the past
several years.
Figure 38: Search hits for machine learning, deep learning, and artificial intelligence over the past 5 years
Source: Google Trends. Search hits for machine learning, artificial intelligence, and deep learning indicated by blue, yellow, and red lines respectively. Updated as of 20 Nov 2017.
Although linked to each other in some form, these terms are not equivalent and differ
from one another in several key aspects.
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General AI (AGI), also known as The common theme underlining the different AI applications that we see around us
“strong AI” is the pursuit (still many (be it a Netflix recommendation engine or a computer playing Go) is that they are
years away) of a machine that can narrow in scope – meaning, these AI-driven systems can perform one (or a few) tasks
emulate human or higher-level very well, but the AI cannot be applied to other tasks in general. A Netflix
general reasoning across nearly recommendation engine, for example, will not be able to drive a car or recommend
unlimited functions.
an investment opportunity. A Netflix recommendation engine will do what it is
designed / trained to do – give movie recommendations.
The AI that we encounter today can be clubbed into a category termed Artificial
Narrow Intelligence (ANI). The AI that can emulate human-level reasoning and
thinking is termed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). As it stands, we are still a
couple of decades away (most optimistic scenario) from realizing computers capable
of AGI.
Source: Nvidia.
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The process involved in arriving at the best possible model is referred to as training
the ML algorithm. Once trained, the ML algorithm can then be run on a test dataset
to gauge its effectiveness (a process referred to as testing). Post testing, the ML
algorithm is ready for implementation (also referred to as the inference step) to be
applied on “unseen” data.
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Source: Figure adapted from Google presentation, J.P. Morgan. *A sample case of supervised learning presented here.
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purchase. This forms the basis of purchase recommendations (the same principle
applies to movie recommendations on Netflix).
Figure 43: ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge (ILSVRC) error rates
30% 28%
26%
Classification Error Rate
25%
20%
16%
15% 12%
10% 7%
5%
5% 3.6% 3.0% 2.3%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Human 2015 2016 2017
Source: ImageNet. Other factors beyond classification were tested: Localization, Object Detection (still & video).
Deep learning algorithms have enabled rapid progress in the areas of Natural
Language Processing (NLP), Pattern Recognition, Autonomous Driving, Fraud
detection, among other areas. Deep learning employs the use of large (or deep)
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Artificial Neural Networks or ANNs (this is the ‘Model’ for Deep learning, as
highlighted in Figure 42).
Input data is fed to the network via the input layer, with the processing (feature
extraction) taking place in the ‘hidden layers’ of the ANN. A Deep Neural Network
(DNN) is simply an ANN with several hidden layers. DNNs can capture several
kinds of complex relationships (on multiple levels of abstraction) and hence it allows
users to model complex phenomenon relatively easily (which otherwise would have
been very difficult to code using conventional rules-based programs).
Figure 44: An artificial neuron (also called perceptron) Figure 45: Basic representation of an artificial neural network
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Figure 47: Examples of deep learning process flows (highlighting feature representation /
extraction) in object detection, speech recognition, and Natural Language Processing
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DNNs learn by extracting features from the training dataset (be it patterns in the
image pixels or audio / video content). Consider the sample process involved in
training a DNN for facial recognition presented in the figure below. Essentially, the
DNN breaks down the input images and collects features from the individual pixels.
The relationships between these features (connection weights) are then optimized
during the training process to arrive at the model with the lowest possible
discrepancy with the actual output.
Figure 48: Feature extraction / representation in a DNN to be used for facial recognition
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An important point to note here is that ML algorithms are only as good as the data
that is used for its training. Hence, biases / errors inherent in the datasets will more
often than not lead to broken ML algorithms that yield incorrect (and often
embarrassing) results.
Roadmap to AGI
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) – the capability to demonstrate human-level
reasoning / thinking / learning to perform any task – is considered the holy grail of
AI research. While there is no agreed upon roadmap to solve the problem of general-
purpose intelligence, there are two key approaches worth mentioning:
1. Players in the revolutionary camp believe that AGI can be realized by using a
radically different approach (rather than using existing ML techniques) – a few
examples here include Sentient, Numenta and Vicarious. Sentient is employing
concepts of evolution (survival of the fittest) to develop algorithms capable of
general-purpose intelligence, while Numenta and Vicarious are reinventing the
way information is processed.
2. Players in the evolutionary camp believe that AGI can be approached by building
on the basic ML blocks (such as NLP / computer vision / speech recognition /
etc.) already in place (stitching these basic blocks together by something known
as transfer learning). There is also heightened interest in applying reinforcement
learning techniques. Google’s DeepMind is one key player that is currently using
reinforcement-learning-based techniques to further the progress toward AGI.
How soon AGI can be achieved is still a widely debated topic; however, most seem
to agree that AGI, or a machine capable of human-level thinking and reasoning, will
be achieved some time over the next couple of decades.
The Singularity
The Singularity is typically defined as the tipping point when artificial intelligence is
exponentially smarter than humans, to the point that it could trigger the end of
humanity. The theory goes that a super-intelligent entity might continue to upgrade
itself at such a great pace that humans would seem utterly insignificant – calling into
question the necessity or continued existence of humanity. Many argue over
if/how/when we get there, and whether humanity can survive or transcend (through
genetic engineering, molecular nanotechnology and mechanical/electronic/neural
enhancements) or be linked to the singularity. Interesting as it may be, this is beyond
the scope of our investment report.
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Source: Adapted from McKinsey, J.P. Morgan. *Technical feasibility of automation is defined as the % of time spent on tasks that can
be automated using currently available technologies.
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It is worth noting that predictable physical work features prominently in sectors such
as manufacturing, logistics (esp. warehousing), retailing, and food /
accommodation services. Data processing and collection comprises a meaningful
portion of tasks performed by workers in the financial services / insurance /
healthcare sectors. As we highlighted previously, these are the same sectors that are
leading the adoption of AI (in terms of both investments and deployment).
*As highlighted by McKinsey, there are Further, U.S. workers spend more than 50% of time on tasks that are highly
several factors that determine whether susceptible to automation. This signals a massive potential* for AI-led automation in
a particular task will eventually be current jobs (what applies to the U.S. broadly applies to other developed economies).
automated. These factors include: a.)
Technical feasibility, b.) Cost of
developing / deploying both hardware Figure 50: % time spent in all U.S. occupations
and software for automation, c.) Labor Managing others,
costs and relative scarcity of skills, d.) 7%
Predictable
Benefits beyond labor cost savings physical work, 18%
such as better productivity and Applying expertise,
quality, and e.) Regulatory 14%
environment and social-acceptance
issues.
Data processing,
16% Stakeholder
interactions, 16%
A ‘routine’ task is one that can be The findings from McKinsey are in-sync with the work done by Osborne and Frey
coded into algorithms that can be (who estimate that ~47% of U.S. employment is at risk from computerization). To be
executed by machines. On the other clear, the impact of automation on employment is not a new phenomenon (and
hand, a cognitive task is one that
requires mental skills and adaptability
discussions on this topic date back to the Industrial Revolution). In fact, a closer look
to the task at hand. at the mix of U.S. employment over the last couple of decades demonstrates how
employment in non-routine jobs (cognitive and manual) has grown, while
employment in routine jobs has stagnated / declined (of note, Figure 51 also includes
Examples: the impact from offshoring). With the proliferation of AI across several industries,
we expect this trend to continue.
Non-routine cognitive: Managing
people, education/tutoring, writing
algos for autonomous driving, etc. Figure 51: The changing composition of U.S. employment
Thousands of persons, not seasonally adjusted
Routine cognitive: bookkeeping, 60000
clerical work, interpreting x-rays,
aspects of nursing, repetitive 50000
customer service, etc.
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While the current wave of AI adoption may lead to new job opportunities in the
future, a short-term disruption in the labor markets seems inevitable (especially in
DMs, where the adoption of AI will be more prominent. EMs may continue to chug
along with traditional jobs as low labor costs may not justify deploying AI). This is
where governments and regulatory agencies are likely to step in – to smooth the
transition to a new information age. Acquisition of new skills via continued
education and overhauling the existing educational system to ensure a robust pipeline
of workers ready for the jobs-of-the-future are likely to garner increased focus from
the concerned authorities, in our view.
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Alibaba
Secret recipe to success in AI: CUBA. Alibaba identifies four key elements of
Alex YaoAC
AI(the concept of “CUBA”) which includes cloud computing, use case, big data and
(852) 2800-8535
alex.yao@jpmorgan.com
algorithm. We think the company has competitive edges in all these areas by
J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific)
leveraging its strong cloud infrastructure (No.1 cloud service provider in China),
Limited extensive use case (from ecommerce, local service to digital content), rich data
resource generated from various use cases and seasoned technology team.
Areas of AI application
Ecommerce
Personalized recommendation. By leveraging its rich data resources and
enhanced data analytic capability, Alibaba made a major algorithm upgrade in Sep
2016 and is able to push more relevant personalized recommendations to
customers. It essentially expands the presenting inventories, which generates more
product exposure and improves traffic distribution efficiency. Meanwhile, the
enhanced matching accuracy of recommended products with customer
demographics translates to increased click-through and conversion rates, which
drives both monetization improvement and GMV growth. Since the algorithm
upgrade, the revenue growth rate of China retail business has accelerated from
40% in Sep Q 2016 to 64% in Sep Q 2017. In 2017 Single Day event, Alibaba
achieved 100% personalization for content feeds and search result page
Figure 54: Personalized recommendation drivers revenue acceleration
70% 64%
57%
60% 49%
50% 39% 41% 40% 42% 41%
35% 35%
40%
30% 24%
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New Retail. Hema is able to fulfill online orders within 30 minutes (during non-
rush hour) in a 3km radius range. This strong fulfillment capability is powered by
AI algorithm that enables quick in-store preparation (product sorting and
packaging are generally done within 10 mins with the help of automated
equipment) and fast delivery (the system provides optimized route). On the B2B
side, Alibaba’s merchandise sourcing initiative Lingshoutong (零售通) leverages
its data analytics capability to help mon-and-pop stores analyze nearby residents’
attributes and therefore source potentially fast-selling products.
Financial services
“Pay with Face”. Leveraging its facial recognition technology, Ant Financial
launched "Pay with Face" service at one KFC restaurant in Hangzhou this
September. Alipay users can make the payment through facial recognition, which
uses a 3D camera and live detection algorithm to verify users’ identity. The
company offers compensation in the event of account stolen. It plans to expand
this service to more use cases when the technology becomes more mature.
Logistic services
Route optimization. Cainiao leverages its data analytic capability to help delivery
partners to optimize routes therefore increasing deliver speed and lowering cost.
As of Sep 2016, Cainiao’s fulfillment network provides same-day delivery in 37
cities/128 districts and counties and next-day delivery in 162 cities/959districts and
counties.
Others
Voice assistant. Alibaba launched its first AI powered voice assistant “Tmall
Genie” (similar to Amazon Echo) in July 2017. It's able to identify users’ voice
and assist them in a number of areas such as controlling smart appliance, shopping,
ordering local services and searching for information.
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Translate, Waymo, and more. We believe Google will continue to attract and
retain talent in the field of AI/ML—which is increasingly challenging—driven
by Google’s broader scope and scale.
Search. Since early 2015, Google has incorporated RankBrain, a deep learning
technology that helps refine queries & rank web pages, into its Search engine.
Since then, RankBrain has become one of the most important ranking factors for
Google Search. Separately, Google Brain improved video recommendations for
YouTube users, leading to increases in watch time.
Google Hardware. Google is using AI/ML based enhancements incl. Google
Assistant in Google Home, Google Lens in Pixel Phones, and translate in Pixel
Buds to differentiate its hardware products. We believe voice and image search,
with real world application in Google Assistant & Google Lens, will be
incremental to the search experience over time, and while we believe these
technologies are still early in adoption, Google’s hardware puts them in
consumers' hand.
Google Cloud. Some of the AI/ML technology available in Google Cloud
include:
TensorFlow. Google’s open-source ML framework originally developed by
Google Brain team for conducting ML and deep neural networks research. It is
widely used companies like Airbnb, Uber, Sap, eBay, Intel and more.
Conversational API uses ML to recognize intent & context, and helps in
building conversational interfaces like messaging platforms, chatbots, etc.
Google Cloud Video API makes videos searchable and discoverable by
extracting metadata.
Google Cloud Vision API uses machine learning models to understand the
content of an image, detects individual objects incl. printed words and faces
within the image, and classifies image into categories.
Google Cloud Speech API uses neural network models to convert audio to text
and recognize 80+ languages and variants.
Any Many Others including Natural Language API, Translation API.
Waymo. This autonomous vehicle division within Alphabet has been testing its
vehicles on the road since 2009. While the details around commercialization of
this division is still unclear and far off, we believe it has the potential to become
one of Alphabet's next big driver of growth, and its recent spin within Alphabet
and rebranding to Waymo is a clear indication of progress.
AlphaGo. DeepMind’s Go-playing general-purpose AI program AlphaGo’s
accomplishment includes its victory over the world champion Lee Sedol.
AlphaGo utilizes technology like advance tree search, deep neural networks, and
reinforcement learning, and the DeepMind team believes their approach behind
AlphaGo can be commercialized and applied broadly to solve general problems
in the world.
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The Travel Intelligence division has a TAM of around €1.3bn pa, but with the
expanding capabilities of AI, the TAM could also be increasing. Current products
and solutions from Amadeus include:
Chatbots can be useful in helping travel agencies deal with travelers disrupted by
weather or other travel delays - when things need to be rescheduled or rebooked.
Finally, virtual assistants could scan its user’s calendar to identify events which
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require travel and offer to book flights/hotels proactively, while taking into
account the traveler’s preferences and past booking behavior.
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though there is potential the technology could roll-out across Amazon’s other
physical locations (such as Whole Foods Market) over time.
Atos Security Operations Center (SOC), for example, based on Big Data analytics
and Machine Learning technology and powered by Bullion servers, continuously
learns from previous threats and orchestrates responses in real-time. Detection
and total response/recovery time can be significantly reduced. By analysing and
correlating high volumes of structured and unstructured data, the SOC monitors the
internal customer network, social networks, deep web and the dark web for full scale
screening. Through deep packet analysis, pattern recognition and weak signal
detection Atos’ SOC transforms the data into intelligence.
Atos Virtual Assistant (AVA), newly launched through a strategic partnership with
CogniCor (Barcelona based AI company with Machine Learning, Cognitive Methods
& Natural Language Processing capability), is able to provide support to and expand
Atos’ IT Service Desk offerings. AVA delivers machine learning capabilities in
the cloud and is able to automatically answer IT service desk and data center
requests through a virtual agent. As well as answering and responding to
problems, AVA is able to anticipate future issues based on collected trend data such
as IT tickets, FAQs and user-generated content. AVA is integrated within Atos
Digital Transformation Factory, and also a key part of Atos’ help and interaction
Source: Atos. center.
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Overall, our view is that full AI is still in the development phase at Aveva, and not
yet a routine advanced feature of its CAD or products. However, we hope/expect to
see much more with the integration of Schneider Software.
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Capgemini’s Insights and Data team (I&D), with know-how in AI, ML and
predictive analytics, are working with vendors and customers looking to implement
these technologies. Recent projects include using cognitive technologies (IBM
Watson Explorer) at Akershus Hospital, University of Oslo, to understand the
cumulative impact of radiation on cancer in children as well as leveraging Big Data
and predictive analytics to produce a 360 view of customer profiles for French
retailer Kiabi.
Capgemini announced (in February last year) it will be partnering with Celaton,
and using its inSTREAM software, a cognitive learning platform. Celaton’s
technology is able to process structured, semi-structured and unstructured
information, and learn from the data. The platform can minimise the need for manual
processing and aims to ensure that only accurate, relevant and structured data enters
line of business systems. Through processing and monitoring the actions and
decisions of human operators and referring ‘exceptions’ to them, inSTREAM is able
to continually improve. The solution is able to capture, extract and verify data, as
well as determine outcomes (using previous experience, knowledge and business
rules), archive and monitor.
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Additionally, CTSH has opened global ‘Collaboratories’ across NY, London and
Amsterdam to deploy AI (and other digital) applications.
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then be used to alert a company’s internal auditors or finance department for further
review and action.
As we look across Dassault’s solution portfolio, more than 80% of products run on
the 3DEXPERIENCE platform; a collaborative and unified platform with
embedded machine learning (ML) & artificial intelligence (AI). The company is
at a stage now where re-programming and optimizing algorithms is part of the
regular routine. Arguably, ML & AI is built into the way the company imagines and
codes its products, indeed, into the very fabric of its business model. The company’s
tag line “If We” even alludes to AI, in a sense.
The edge for Dassault lies in its deep industry knowledge. The company has
extensive expertise in Transport, Aerospace, Industrial Equipment (and other
sectors), as well as the associated characteristics/specifications of the digital format.
Last year Google X (subsidiary of Alphabet Inc.) chose to partner with Dassault,
taking the EXALEAD product, which specialises in big data search of structured and
unstructured data. Dassault was able to offer unique contextual understanding of
engineering, components and material physics – which Google could not do.
Below we show how Dassault is using ML & AI in its current product set:
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Quintiq – offers supply chain planning and optimization to help customers adapt
to the constant technological, regulatory and environmental changes. The supply
chain of the future will be connected, intelligent and sophisticated. Quintiq's
solution combines predictive analytics, optimization and cloud-based services on
a single system to enable an end-to-end planning experience. The software helps
plan and optimize workforces, logistics and production. For example, Quintiq
software was used by DHL to develop a dynamic route planning solution that
helped the company reduce tour duration by 8% and mileage by 15%. Quintiq
also helped Brussels Airport reduce the number of complaints from airlines by
90%.
Information Intelligence Apps - EXALEAD has the capability to apply
advanced semantic processing to web-scale data. The solution relies heavily on
machine learning and AI. EXALEAD OnePart, a sourcing and standardization
intelligence application within the suite, indexes product part information from
different sources, sites and projects, and then reconciles, analyses and interprets
this information (with advanced semantic technology) in order to generate
insights used for prototyping, developing and testing.
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Face++ has more exposure to financial industry, compared to other players. Its
face recognition solution has been incorporated into Alipay, the largest online
payment platform in China, for account login and password resetting. Unlike Apple's
FaceID, the solutions from Face++ and other competitors are 2D-based by using
selfie camera to capture the facial information without mesh modeling. Therefore,
they are not qualified to replace password, and have to work with other
authentication methods, e.g. input the registered phone number, to complete the
online payment. Face++ is actively working with its partners on 3D solutions.
Face++ also developed vision systems for robotics. The service robots equipped
with Face++'s solution have been adopted by Bank of China to perform some
preliminary client services such as VIP recognition and client guidance.
Face++ has over 250+ R&D employees with a self-developed database of 120mn
images of faces and other objects to train the algorithm. Total revenue was above
RMB100mn in 2016, up 500% yoy.
Figure 57: Face recognition in Alipay Figure 58: Vivo Face Access with Face++ solution
several areas, including infrastructure, algorithms, and applications built on top of the
platform. In 2015, FB acquired Wit.ai, a company that builds developer tools for
NLP, to integrate NLP tools into front-end of the Messenger Platform.
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In addition, Hexagon has developed its own IoT platform (Connectivity, Advanced
Analytics, Mobility and Visualisation). Hexagon has application-tuned advanced
analytics modules using ML and DL techniques that:
Run on the edge, cloud and/or on-premises (e.g. For Public Safety devices and
Control Rooms, Autonomous trucks, Scanning and Metrology devices, etc).
Can be embedded into Hexagon’s middleware Edge Frontier (e.g. anomaly
detection, predictive models, etc).
Enable cloud and edge analytics (e.g. for condition monitoring, predictive
maintenance, fleet management, etc.).
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products. HubSpot acquired Kemvi (July 2017) for sales research, and Motion AI
(Sept 2017) a visual chat bot builder.
In addition to vertical specific solutions, IBM also established AI solutions for public
sector clients, notably including defense logistics solution and law enforcement
solutions (for public safety and policing).
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Separately, IBM Watson has specific horizontal applications solutions like Customer
Engagement, Recruitment & Talent acquisition, Employee engagement etc.
Notable Current R&D projects in AI. 1) Include Watson Beat - Machine Learning
algorithm that learns to create music. IBM researchers are teaching a complex neural
network to understand music theory, structure (pitch, time signature, and key
signature), and emotional intent and co-create music with a human partner). 2)
Gesture and Visual Recognition (for applications across Medical Image Analysis). 3)
AI-based supercomputing system in collaboration with U.S. Air Force Research
Laboratory (AFRL). 4) AI-based Cognitive Assistant for visually impaired 4) AI for
Cancer detection - to analyze large amounts of imaging and text in electronic health
records (EHR). 5) Block-chain applications.
Education is the key sector to monetize the AI technology, with current revenue
contribution of 30%. iFlytek offers a comprehensive smart campus solution which
could 1) customize study plans for each student based on the data analysis of their
historical performance; 2) evaluate the test by machines through the recognition of
handwriting; 3) improve the efficiency of English and Chinese teaching through
interactions between students and machines.
Other verticals include healthcare (voice health record) and court (convert speech to
text to replace court clerk).
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Education
30%
Big data and
services
9%
Public security and
smart city Internet applications
6% 12%
Source: iFlytek
Source: iFlytek
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The solution will help policy makers and traffic monitors identify patterns and
administer strategies (such as access restrictions dependent on number of passengers,
vehicle type, license plate number etc.) aimed at reducing traffic congestion and
incentivising the use of public transport where warranted. The solution leverages
computer vision technology, deep learning & multispectral analysis (used in
detecting human skin), as well as combining a big data engine to identify and predict
traffic situations by utilising data in real-time. We view this solution as the type of
application that could be used in digital cities of the future.
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IDOL – acquired by HPE software, but originally from Autonomy, the IDOL
platform is capable of supporting and analysing approximately over 1,000
formats of data. Built on machine learning & deep neural network algorithms,
IDOL is aimed at searching through and rendering insights from audio, visual,
video and text based data to deliver predictive information.
Vertica - Micro Focus has recently released Vertica 9 (Vertica was formerly HPE
Software), the latest version of its enterprise level, big data analytics platform with
embedded in-database machine learning capabilities. Vertica supports the entire
predictive analytics process with massively parallel processing architecture and
end-to-end machine learning management functions. Vertica 9 is able to analyse
large volumes of unstructured data and generate insights. The platform is also
intended to simplify the creation and deployment of machine learning models.
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In addition, NICE is also introducing robotic process automation (RPA) into low-
value, high-volume (back office) workflows, typically found in the financial services
industry. Attended robots are digital assistants that collaborate with analysts in
completion of evidence gathering in case management. Unattended robots are used to
gather data from legacy systems and update enterprise systems. We believe NICE’s
differentiation will hinge upon combining analysis of unstructured speech data with
traditional structured data to address more difficult process challenges, ultimately in
support of cognitive decision management (using data mining, pattern recognition
and cognitive computing).
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Source: Sage.
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house. For example, SAP uses Google open-source project TensorFlow for some of
its machine learning algorithms and NVIDIA for the hardware to train these
algorithms.
SAP Cash Application software (introduced with version 1709) learns matching
criteria from a company’s historical financial clearing data to automatically pair
invoices with incoming payments.
SAP Fiori apps for contract consumption (also introduced with version 1709)
predict contract expiration or goods consumption ahead of time, which enables
more effective supplier negotiations and relationships.
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renewals), through the use of transactional data and digital interaction points. The
Leonardo Conversational AI Foundation can help customers build conversational
applications using natural language processing and machine learning algorithms.
Big Data – collecting, processing and storing a wide range of data from both
structured and unstructured sources, at scale.
Data Intelligence – connecting, aggregating and anonymising data to prepare it
for commercial consumption. Data can be used on its own; it can be
supplemented with partner, customer or industry data, and then offered out as
Data-as-a-Service (DaaS), offering a new revenue stream. Alternatively, the data
can be used to develop data-driven apps, or algorithms can be applied to provide
insights.
Analytics – this area includes business intelligence, predictive analytics and
performance management capability. SAP’s BusinessObjects BI platform, which
enables clients to tailor predictive models to their specific business requirements,
characteristics and functionality, is able to enhance insights and decision making.
IoT – Connecting devices, people and processes with back end systems in real-
time. For example, SAP’s Vehicle Insights application allows the user to monitor
live vehicle conditions and run, connected car analytics.
1. IoT Foundation - this component will typically exist in the cloud and will
encompass big data applications, integration capabilities, as well as libraries
of machine learning and AI models.
2. IoT Applications - all applications related to IoT, for example, in the
connected products space, there would be supply network applications,
inventory management applications, logistics safety apps and so on.
Edge Computing - an area of Leonardo entailing data capture at the edge.
Through sensors and other communication pathways, data will be collated,
aggregated and analysed in real-time. SAP’s acquisition of edge computing
system, Plat.One, has enhanced SAP’s capabilities in processing IoT data.
Blockchain – early stage blockchain technology is embedded in the SAP Cloud
Platform, and SAP’s blockchain-as-a-service (BaaS) pilot provides registered
customers with a way to pilot the technology. It is important to note this
technology is still very much in its early stages, though offering a channel to
interact with it is important, particularly as adoption begins to pick up. To give a
sense of blockchain potential, the World Economic Forum is forecasting that 10%
of global GDP will be stored in blockchain by 2027.
Leonardo will also act as a bridge, interlinking SAP’s six categories: Connected
Products (insights, supply networks), Connected Assets (predictive maintenance,
distributed manufacturing), Connected Fleet (logistics), Connected Infrastructure
(networks and grids), Connected Markets (agriculture, smart traffic, cities, etc.), and
Connected People (healthcare, sports, connected home), to create a truly holistic
view of the enterprise.
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Open Innovation Edition - aimed at finding new solutions for clients, moving
from an initial concept to a workable prototype within nine weeks. Currently,
SAP’s Build.me accelerator set can be used to create a closed loop circle across
the application mockup and prototyping process.
Enterprise Level - designed for existing customers already utilizing premium
SAP support packages. This is an extension of the open edition, and involves
developing multiple solutions in parallel with the customer. Solutions will be
tailored to each business problem, and customers can either host SAP on site or
visit a global design centre for a day of brainstorming, resulting in a working
prototype using SAP's build tool.
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Figure 66: SenseTime's pedestrian and vehicle detection solution Figure 67: Portrait beautification/makeup solution for smartphone
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Source: Siemens.
Siemens works with technology providers IBM Watson, Amazon, SAP, Microsoft
Azure and Accenture for AI/Digitalization.
What does artificial intelligence mean for Siemens? Siemens has been active in
this field for decades. Today, the company implements this technology in industrial
applications:
Complex image recognition as used, above all, for interpreting the results of
computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).
Autonomously learning, self-optimizing industrial systems such as those used in
gas turbines and wind farms
Accurate forecasts of copper prices and expected power grid capacity utilization.
In addition, intensive work is being carried out on physical, autonomous systems
for use in collaborative, adaptive, flexible manufacturing as part of Industrie 4.0.
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Sophos is also using its deep learning capability in the development of malware
protection within its next-generation firewall, and ultimately aims to facilitate a
self-learning, interactive, autonomous two-way flow of information from both its
network security and endpoint security platforms.
Game AI: the most well-known application of AI in gaming is Fine Art, the Go-
playing AI product of Tencent.
Content AI: AI is widely adopted in content generation, search, recommendation
and distribution. For example, Dreamwriter, a machine writing platform of
Tencent, is able to report news in sports, finance, securities and technology
sectors, with average time to generate an article below 0.5 second. In addition,
QQ Music has also adopted AI modules to personalize content push for different
users.
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Social AI, which is largely integrated into WeChat and QQ, killer social apps of
Tencent. For example, Fan Yi Jun, a simultaneous translation app, is based on
multiple technologies such as Neural Machine Translation (NMT), Optical
Character Recognition (OCR), etc.
Finance AI. Typical examples in this area include Li Cai Tong, a wealth
management product of Tencent, adopts chatbot which is based on natural
language processing (NLP).
Healthcare AI. Tencent has recently launched Mi Ying, a medical imaging AI
product which helps to identify potential disease at an early stage.
Figure 69: Use cases of Tencent AI technologies
Game AI
Healthcare Content
AI AI
Tencent
AI
Finance AI Social AI
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Yitu’s solution has been adopted as one of the verification methods for ATM by
Agricultural Bank of China and China Merchant Bank. Under the this new solution,
customers don't need to insert the debit card into the ATM for cash withdrawal, while
the ATM uses a camera to capture the information of their faces, then analyzes the
data and links to corresponding accounts. However, customers still have to input the
registered phone number for verification to meet the security requirements.
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Table 9: (Cont.)
TSMC: Computing – Next growth engine or a bridge too far? by Gokul Hariharan.
Big Data and AI Strategies: Machine Learning and Alternative Data Approach to
Investing, by Marko Kolanovic.
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