HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C.
from October 12 through October 14, 2020. A total of 625 registered voters in
Honolulu County, Hawaii were interviewed live by telephone statewide. All
indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected randomly from a telephone-matched Honolulu

County voter registration list that included both land line and cell phone numbers.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no

more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability
that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The
margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping.

1
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 election for president were held today, would you vote for Joe Biden,
the Democrat, or Donald Trump, the Republican or one of the other candidates?

BIDEN TRUMP OTHER UNDECIDED

COUNTY 58% 29% 5% 8%

GENDER ID BIDEN TRUMP OTHER UNDECIDED

Men 52% 34% 7% 7%

Women 64% 24% 3% 9%

AGE BIDEN TRUMP OTHER UNDECIDED

<50 61% 27% 7% 5%

50+ 56% 31% 3% 10%

RACE/ETHNICITY BIDEN TRUMP OTHER UNDECIDED

White 49% 38% 3% 10%

Japanese 62% 24% 5% 9%
Hawaiian 59% 25% 9% 7%
Mixed/Other 61% 27% 5% 7%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION BIDEN TRUMP OTHER UNDECIDED

Democrat 92% 2% - 6%
Republican 3% 85% 6% 6%
Independent 47% 28% 12% 13%

2
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 election for Honolulu Mayor were held today, would you vote for Keith
Amemiya or Rick Blangiardi?

AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

COUNTY 36% 49% 15%

GENDER ID AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

Men 36% 51% 13%

Women 36% 47% 17%

AGE AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

<50 35% 47% 18%

50+ 37% 51% 12%

RACE/ETHNICITY AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

White 35% 53% 12%

Japanese 42% 45% 13%
Hawaiian 39% 45% 16%
Mixed/Other 34% 49% 17%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

Democrat 47% 38% 15%

Republican 21% 65% 14%
Independent 30% 54% 16%

3
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 election for Honolulu City Prosecutor were held today, would you vote
for Steve Alm or Megan Kau?

ALM KAU UNDECIDED

COUNTY 41% 33% 26%

GENDER ID ALM KAU UNDECIDED

Men 38% 37% 25%

Women 43% 30% 27%

AGE ALM KAU UNDECIDED

<50 43% 30% 27%

50+ 39% 36% 25%

RACE/ETHNICITY ALM KAU UNDECIDED

White 39% 43% 18%

Japanese 54% 25% 21%
Hawaiian 46% 23% 31%
Mixed/Other 35% 33% 32%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION ALM KAU UNDECIDED

Democrat 49% 31% 20%

Republican 28% 41% 31%
Independent 40% 29% 31%

4
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Senator Brian Schatz?

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

COUNTY 57% 17% 26%

GENDER ID FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Men 54% 22% 24%

Women 60% 13% 27%

AGE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

<50 60% 14% 26%

50+ 54% 20% 26%

RACE/ETHNICITY FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

White 50% 23% 27%

Japanese 68% 12% 20%
Hawaiian 57% 24% 19%
Mixed/Other 56% 14% 30%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Democrat 83% 3% 14%

Republican 20% 51% 29%
Independent 46% 13% 41%

5
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Senator Mazie Hirono?

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

COUNTY 56% 31% 13%

GENDER ID FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Men 46% 39% 15%

Women 66% 23% 11%

AGE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

<50 59% 27% 14%

50+ 53% 35% 12%

RACE/ETHNICITY FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

White 47% 38% 15%

Japanese 71% 19% 10%
Hawaiian 67% 23% 10%
Mixed/Other 52% 34% 14%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Democrat 92% 5% 3%
Republican 13% 72% 15%
Independent 33% 40% 27%

6
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Representative Tulsi Gabbard?

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

COUNTY 44% 41% 15%

GENDER ID FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Men 49% 37% 14%

Women 39% 45% 16%

AGE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

<50 40% 42% 18%

50+ 48% 40% 12%

RACE/ETHNICITY FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

White 48% 39% 13%

Japanese 37% 45% 18%
Hawaiian 46% 41% 13%
Mixed/Other 44% 41% 15%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Democrat 34% 55% 11%

Republican 58% 27% 15%
Independent 49% 30% 21%

7
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Representative Ed Case?

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

COUNTY 69% 17% 14%

GENDER ID FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Men 68% 21% 11%

Women 69% 14% 17%

AGE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

<50 71% 14% 15%

50+ 67% 20% 13%

RACE/ETHNICITY FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

White 60% 23% 17%

Japanese 80% 10% 10%
Hawaiian 73% 17% 10%
Mixed/Other 69% 16% 15%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION

Democrat 83% 9% 8%
Republican 45% 31% 24%
Independent 71% 19% 10%

8
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s handling of the
coronavirus?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

COUNTY 35% 59% 6%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 41% 55% 4%

Women 29% 63% 8%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 33% 61% 6%

50+ 37% 57% 6%

RACE/ETHNICITY APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 43% 52% 5%

Japanese 27% 68% 5%
Hawaiian 27% 66% 7%
Mixed/Other 36% 57% 7%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 5% 91% 4%
Republican 83% 13% 4%
Independent 45% 44% 11%

9
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Governor David Ige’s handling of the coronavirus?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

COUNTY 30% 57% 13%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 21% 68% 11%

Women 38% 47% 15%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 24% 67% 9%

50+ 36% 48% 16%

RACE/ETHNICITY APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 23% 64% 13%

Japanese 37% 48% 15%
Hawaiian 39% 51% 10%
Mixed/Other 29% 58% 13%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 44% 41% 15%

Republican 13% 73% 14%
Independent 21% 70% 9%

10
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Kirk Caldwell’s handling of the coronavirus?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

COUNTY 38% 49% 13%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 33% 62% 5%

Women 45% 35% 20%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 34% 57% 9%

50+ 42% 42% 16%

RACE/ETHNICITY APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 33% 59% 8%

Japanese 58% 28% 14%
Hawaiian 36% 53% 11%
Mixed/Other 33% 51% 16%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 52% 36% 12%

Republican 25% 68% 7%
Independent 26% 55% 19%

11
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you agree or disagree with Mayor Caldwell's four-tiered strategy to gradually
reopen Oahu's economy?

AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

COUNTY 51% 37% 12%

GENDER ID AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Men 45% 47% 8%

Women 57% 27% 16%

AGE AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

<50 46% 43% 11%

50+ 55% 32% 13%

RACE/ETHNICITY AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

White 48% 45% 7%

Japanese 64% 26% 10%
Hawaiian 41% 46% 13%
Mixed/Other 52% 32% 16%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Democrat 59% 30% 11%

Republican 46% 46% 8%
Independent 42% 41% 17%

12
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: As you may know, bars and nightclubs on Oahu have not been allowed to reopen
under the city's four-tiered strategy. Do you agree or disagree with this decision?

AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

COUNTY 57% 36% 7%

GENDER ID AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Men 47% 50% 3%

Women 67% 22% 11%

AGE AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

<50 53% 41% 6%

50+ 61% 31% 8%

RACE/ETHNICITY AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

White 50% 47% 3%

Japanese 64% 26% 10%
Hawaiian 54% 33% 13%
Mixed/Other 58% 35% 7%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Democrat 78% 19% 3%

Republican 24% 66% 10%
Independent 49% 40% 11%

13
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you agree or disagree with Gov. Ige's strategy to allow tourists to skip a14-day
quarantine if they test negative for the coronavirus just before traveling?

AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

COUNTY 55% 34% 11%

GENDER ID AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Men 58% 34% 8%

Women 53% 34% 13%

AGE AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

<50 56% 37% 7%

50+ 55% 31% 14%

RACE/ETHNICITY AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

White 57% 33% 10%

Japanese 62% 28% 10%
Hawaiian 51% 36% 13%
Mixed/Other 52% 36% 12%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Democrat 58% 31% 11%

Republican 53% 35% 12%
Independent 52% 38% 10%

14
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you think schools in Hawaii should be: (ORDER ROTATED)

- Online classes only

- A mix of on-campus and online instruction
- All in-person classes

ON-LINE MIX IN-PERSON NOT SURE

COUNTY 17% 47% 20% 16%

GENDER ID ON-LINE MIX IN-PERSON NOT SURE

Men 22% 42% 24% 12%

Women 12% 52% 17% 19%

AGE ON-LINE MIX IN-PERSON NOT SURE

<50 23% 51% 13% 13%

50+ 12% 43% 27% 18%

RACE/ETHNICITY ON-LINE MIX IN-PERSON NOT SURE

White 13% 41% 29% 17%

Japanese 22% 48% 12% 18%
Hawaiian 13% 54% 19% 14%
Mixed/Other 19% 48% 18% 15%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION ON-LINE MIX IN-PERSON NOT SURE

Democrat 19% 59% 6% 16%

Republican 14% 29% 41% 16%
Independent 16% 43% 26% 15%

15
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: As a result of the pandemic, have you or anyone in your household been laid off or
furloughed from their job?

YES NO

COUNTY 35% 65%

GENDER ID YES NO

Men 38% 62%

Women 33% 67%

AGE YES NO

<50 44% 56%

50+ 27% 73%

RACE/ETHNICITY YES NO

White 40% 60%

Japanese 27% 73%
Hawaiian 36% 64%
Mixed/Other 35% 65%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION YES NO

Democrat 36% 64%

Republican 43% 57%
Independent 27% 73%

16
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: How long do you believe it will take Hawaii’s economy to return to what you
consider normal – less than one year, one year, two years or more than two years?

< 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEARS > 2 YEARS NOT SURE

COUNTY 7% 20% 17% 43% 13%

GENDER ID < 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEARS > 2 YEARS NOT SURE

Men 9% 25% 19% 39% 8%

Women 6% 16% 15% 46% 17%

AGE < 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEARS > 2 YEARS NOT SURE

<50 10% 23% 11% 46% 10%

50+ 5% 17% 22% 40% 16%

RACE/ETHNICITY < 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEARS > 2 YEARS NOT SURE

White 9% 18% 17% 41% 15%

Japanese 4% 14% 20% 53% 9%
Hawaiian 7% 24% 11% 44% 14%
Mixed/Other 7% 23% 17% 40% 13%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION < 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEARS > 2 YEARS NOT SURE

Democrat 7% 16% 14% 51% 12%

Republican 11% 28% 18% 33% 10%
Independent 4% 20% 21% 38% 17%

17
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
 DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY IDENTIFICATION: Democrat 294 (47%)

Republican 144 (23%)
Independent/Other 187 (30%)

RACE/ETHNICITY: White 160 (26%)

Japanese 120 (19%)
Native Hawaiian 70 (11%)
Filipino 54 (9%)
Other Asian 52 (8%)
Mixed Race 119 (19%)
Other 46 (7%)
Refused 4 (1%)

AGE: 18-34 112 (18%)

35-49 176 (28%)
50-64 170 (27%)
65+ 160 (26%)
Refused 7 (1%)

SEX: Male 305 (49%)

Female 319 (51%)
Other 1

INTERVIEWS: Land-line 183 (29%)

Mobile 442 (71%)

18
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll