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As our first three lessons have shown, cultural, political, and legal systems
influence a company’s decisions on where, when, and how to do business.
Completing our profile of the key dimensions of the macro-business environment,
this lesson presents the general perspectives and specific tools managers use to
analyze economic systems. Managers must be also aware of the country’s
economic environment to assess its development, explain its performance, and
estimate its potential.
The World Bank identifies 214 discrete economic environments in the world today
— 188 countries and 26 economies with populations of more than 30,000.22 Few
MNEs can fund and run operations in all 214 markets. Resource constraints mean
managers must prioritize their options, operating in countries that offer the greatest
return with the least risk. Improving the odds of success depends on assessing the
development, performance, and potential of an economy.
The study of economics has identified a host of objective measures that help
systematize evaluation. However, although economics champions many scientific
principles, it still relies on various behavioral assumptions to interpret activity.23As
a result, the assessment of economic environments is often more conditional than
universal because:
• System Complexity. The complexity of even the simplest economic
system defies straightforward classification. Stipulating indicators that
definitively represent a country’s economic performance and potential is
difficult. Certainly, managers consult an ever-expanding set of indicators.
The challenge is identifying those that matter, mapping them onto a market,
and monitoring their performance.
• Market Dynamism. Often, market changes make today’s valid measures
invalid tomorrow. In the wake of the global financial crisis, some indicators
that worked in 2007 were flawed by 2009 and remained dubious in 2013.
On a larger scale, analysis anchored in the market fundamentalism of the
West poorly fits the state-sponsored capitalism at play in the East.
Challenges arise in determining how to adjust trusted market analytics for
new circumstances.
• Market Interdependence. Just as no one is an island, no country is
isolated. The consequence of connections is an integrated system in which
actions in one market influence outcomes in others. Interdependencies
complicate interpretations. Adjusting analysis for actions and reactions
across a broad scope of markets is difficult.
• Data Overload. Managers are flooded with more information, raw
knowledge, and clever insights than ever before. Rather than improving
market analysis, increasing data streams from workplace chats, mail, email,
websites, voicemails, instant messaging, telephone and cellphone calls,
memos, and onward complicates interpretation. If unchecked, analysis
paralysis confounds decision-making.
Figure 2.3.1. shows how managers approach these issues. It identifies the macro-
economic conditions that shape a country’s development, performance, and
potential. Although economic environments vary from country to country, they
share telltale principles. Managers often focus on universal characteristics,
tors, notably the matters of economic freedom, type of economic system, and
leading economic indicators, to organize analysis.
Economic freedom holds that one has the right to work, produce, consume, save,
and invest in the way that one prefers. Economic freedom is the “absolute right of
property ownership, fully realized freedoms of movement for labor, capital, and
goods, and an absolute absence of coercion or constraint of economic liberty
beyond the extent necessary for citizens to protect and maintain liberty itself.
The Index of Economic Freedom classifies a country as either: free, mostly free,
moderately free, mostly unfree, and repressed given the degree to which its
government regulates individual’s economic choices. The greater the regulation,
as indicated by a lower score, the less choice an individual commands.
The relationship between economic freedom and population indicates that the vast
majority of the world, approximately 5.5 billion people, lives in countries whose
governments constrain their choices on how they wish to work, produce, consume,
save, and invest.
Economic freedom has powerful relationships with a variety of market, social, and
political measures. Here, we see a strong positive correlation between economic
freedom and a broad indicator of the standard of living.
Market Economy
An economic system whereby individuals, rather than the government, make most
decisions is a market economy. It is anchored in the doctrine of capitalism and the
principle that private ownership confers inalienable property rights that legitimize
the profits earned by one’s initiative, investment, and risk. Optimal resource
allocation follows from consumers exercising their freedom of choice and
producers responding accordingly.
Command Economy
In theory, communism champions state ownership of resources and control of all
economic activity. Nominally a political ideology, communism calls for an
egalitarian, classless, and ultimately stateless society based on the government’s
command of the economy. Implementing this socioeconomic structure imposes a
command economy in which the government owns and controls resources, taking
on the authority to decide what products to make, in what quantity, at what price,
and in what way.
Mixed Economy
Most economies, broadly labeled mixed economies, fall between the market and
command types. A mixed economy is a system in which economic decisions are
principally market driven and ownership is largely private, but the government
intervenes, from a little to a lot, in allocating resources.
Adjusting Analytics
GNI and its offshoots estimate an economy’s absolute performance. Despite their
strengths, they can mislead managers when comparing countries.
• Rate of Economic Growth. Gross aggregates give a static snapshot. They
do not measure the rate of change in an indicator.
• Population Size. Managers adjust GNI, like many other economic
indicators, by the number of people who live in a country.
• Purchasing Power. Parity GNI per capita does not account for the cost of
living from one country to another.
Sustainability
Concern for the ecological welfare of the world spurs calls for green
Measures of growth that expands analysis beyond narrow measures of
monetary aggregates.
Measuring the monetary quantity of market activity through GNI, GNP, and
GDP— without accounting for the associated social and ecological costs
that result from the activity that generated economic growth—misrepresents
performance and misinterprets potential. Instead, sustainable development
proponents encourage interpreting economic activity in terms of its capacity
to “meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future
generations to meet their own needs. As such, it endorses a broader
accounting of the gains and costs of growth to better gauge an economy.
Presently, there is no consensus on how to greenify GNI, GNP, or GDP.
Current candidates include:
• Net National Product (NNP): Measures the depletion of natural
resources and degradation of the environment that result from
generating GNI. As a company must depreciate its tangible and
intangible assets when making a product, goes this reasoning, so too
should countries. NNP does so by depreciating the country’s assets
commensurate with their use to generate growth.
Stability
Policymakers have long puzzled over a paradox that questions the validity
of monetary aggregates as performance measures.77 Namely, people in
rich countries do not appear to be any happier than people in poor countries.
No matter how high income rose, little evidence indicated that it improved
people’s reported happiness.
• Happy Planet Index (HPI). Utilitarian views hold that people aspire to
live long, healthy, happy lives. Therefore, a country’s economic
performance and potential is represented by how well it helps its
citizens do so while not infringing on the opportunity of future
generations, and people in other countries, to do the same. HPI
advocates measuring the environmental costs of growth while
emphasizing that maximizing happiness and health, not monetary
wealth, is the objective.
Narrow (e.g., GNI, GDP, and GNP) and broad (e.g., HDI, HPI, NPP) estimators
profile absolute and relative economic conditions. They meaningfully indicate a
country’s performance and potential. Managers study other features to refine
analyses and elaborate interpretation. Popular indicators include inflation,
unemployment, debt, income distribution, poverty, and the balance of payments.
Inflation
Inflation is the sustained rise in prices measured against a standard level of
purchasing power. We estimate it by comparing two sets of products at two points
in time and then computing the increase in cost that is not due to quality
improvement.
Indicators:
• Inflation and the Cost of Living
• Measuring Inflation
• If Not Inflation, Then Deflation
Unemployment
Unemployment measures the number of workers who want to work but do not have
paid jobs. The unemployment rate is the share of out-of-work citizens seeking
employment for pay relative to the total civilian labor force. Countries that cannot
create jobs suffer sluggish growth, social pressures, and political instability. The
proportion of employed workers in a country shows how well it productively uses
its human resources.
Indicator:
• Measuring Unemployment
Debt
Debt, the total of a government’s financial obligations, measures what the state
borrows from its citizens, foreign organizations, foreign governments, and
international institutions. The larger the total debt, the more uncertain an
economy’s performance and potential are. Interest expenses divert resources from
more productive uses. More insidiously, future worries about the ability of coming
generations to repay the debt saps consumer confidence and constrains
government flexibility.
Income Distribution
Income distribution often defines a market’s performance and potential. GNI, even
when adjusted for population size or purchasing power, can misestimate the
relative wealth of a nation’s citizens. That is, GNI per capita reports how much
income the average person earns.
Indicators:
• Benefits and Costs
• Gini Coefficient
Poverty
Poverty prevails throughout the world. Managers fine-tune their study of income
and wealth by considering its conditions and consequences. Poverty is a
multidimensional condition whereby a person or community lacks the essentials
for a minimum standard of well-being and life. These essentials can be life-
sustaining resources such as food, clean water, and shelter; they may be social
resources such as access to information, education, and healthcare; they may be
the opportunity to sustain extended families or connect with people to build
communities.
Indicators:
• Prevalence of Poverty
• The Potential of the Poor
• Success Standards
Activity 2.3.
Watch online video on “Where Does the U.S. Rank in World Economic
Freedom?” by 2020 Index of Economic Freedom
Study Questions
References