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Financial Markets
MBAIB 2020
University of Colombo
2
Today’s Topic:
Central Banking
• Secure Cash
• Stable Money
Objectives, Functions
& Organization
Functions of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka
• Banker to Banks
• Clearing Agent
Monetary Policy
• Definition :
• Focus of the Monetary Policy : either on the volume of money, the liquidity,
or the interest rate (cost of funds)
>> Maintain price stability = Maintain a low and stable inflation rate. 8
Monetary Policy
• Monetary Targeting :
Influencing the overall price level by controlling the level of money supply
(Intermediate target).
P% = M% - Y%
where;
• P% = the rate of change the general price level, the inflation rate
• M% =the rate of change of money supply, monetary growth (AD)
• Y% = the rate of change of the real output level, real GDP growth (AS)
• Ex: It the economy experiences a real GDP growth of 5% and monetary growth 20%, that economy should
experience an inflation rate of 15%
• Monetary Policy has an immediate impact on the monetary Growth
Monetary Policy and Aggregate Demand
• Money represents the power of purchasing goods and services
• The act of purchasing represents the demand side of the market and not
the supply side
• If people have more money > higher purchasing power > demand for
more goods and services > push the prices up
• By reducing the availability of money or liquidity> lower the purchasing
power> less demand >push the prices down
• Monetary policy focuses on changes in prices driven by the aggregate
demand which is associated with money
• Therefore, it is directed to manage the aggregate demand to maintain
price stability
Monetary Policy
• Monetary Targeting :
• Since changes in money supply lead to changes in Aggregate Demand, the
monetary policy is considered as a Demand Management Policy
• How the monetary policy can influence the price level through change
in money supply?
Contractionary
P2 = 115
Monetary Policy
P3 = 105
P1 = 100
AD2 with M% =20%
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Monetary Policy
Monetary Targeting :
•Assumption: all those factors remain constant and change in money supply
have immediate impact on inflation
•So many other factors affect the rate of inflation
✦ Demand for money
Ex: when demand for money goes down, when the Central Bank takes
contractionary measures to curtail aggregate demand, in could nullify the
effectiveness of monetary policy fully or partially, because it induces aggregate
demand
So, it is assumed that demand for money remains fairly constant, at least in
the short-term
•Monetary Policy does not deliver immediate results, but with time lags
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Monetary Policy
• Inflation Targeting :
• Monetary Targeting : level of money supply as an intermediate target to achieve price
stability
• Inflation Targeting: A model base framework, which targets a specific rate of inflation
announced in advanced.
• Monetary policy stance is driven by the target inflation rate rather than the target rate of
monetary growth
• The Flexible Inflation Targeting framework is concerned about both inflation and output
compared to strict inflation targeting framework.
• It focuses on minimizing deviations of projected inflation rate ( from a target inflation
rate) and aggregate output ( level from the potential (sustainable)) level of output
Monetary Policy Instruments
Conventionally, monetary policy instruments fall into two main categories,
Quantitative Instruments
• Monetary Base
✦
Open Market Operations (OMO)
✦
Policy Interest Rates
• Money Multiplier
✦ Statutory Reserve Ratio
Qualitative Instruments
• Overall Operations of the banking system
✦
Moral suasion
Open Market Operations (OMOs)
• The Central Bank (CB) conducts OMO either by buying or selling securities (Government
Debt securities :T Bills and T Bonds or Central Bank Securities) in the money market
• The time span for most of the OMOs is overnight. Transactions take place between the CB
and commercial banks and primary dealers.
• If the CB purchases securities, the domestic assets in the CB balance sheet increases with
corresponding increase in its liabilities in the form of currency in circulation. It adds to the
market liquidity.
• When the volume of liquidity in the market is increased >the interest rate decreases , unless
the demand for liquidity increases to match the increased supply.
• The reversal happens when the CB sells securities to absorb the market liquidity.
Impact of OMO on the Money Market
S0
D1 (CB sells Securities)
i1
i0
i2
D0
0
Volume of Liquidity
Policy Interest Rates
• Two types of interest rates;
• OMO is used to influence the market interest rates by influencing the liquidity situation in the
market
• Policy interest rates are directly set by the CB to influence the market interest rates
• The two facilities are maintained by the CBSL to facilitate short term liquidity management of commercial banks
• They provide alternative access for commercial banks to manage short term liquidity
• To borrow through SLF, deficit bank has to have short term securities acceptable to the CBSL at its disposal to use as
collateral to the funds
Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR)
• These two rates are associated with the two facilities discussed above
• SDFR: Policy interest rate the CBSL pays on deposits of commercial banks
• SLFR: Policy interest rate the CBSL charges from borrowing commercial banks
• These two rates form a corridor of interest rates that helps the CBSL to stabilise the fluctuations of the short-term
market interest rates and implement its monetary policy stance
• How these two rates can stabilise fluctuations of short term interest rates?
• How they can be used to influence aggregate demand to achieve and maintain price stability?
Interest Rate Corridor and Interest Rate Stability
How SDFR and SLFR can stabilise fluctuations of short term interest rates?
DL1
SL0
Mkt. ii
Within the
i0
SL11
SDFR = 4.5%
Out of the Corridor
i2
DL0
0 0
Volume of Liquidity Time
SL = Supply of Liquidity
• It is not rational for the Central Bank to lend money at the normal rate of SLFR, because it has to
lend without security against the money it lends
• The applicable lending rate is relatively higher than the SLFR. This rate is identified as the Bank
Rate/Penal Rate
• The difference between the SLFR and the Bank Rate represents a risk premium from the
borrowing bank (8.5% - 5.5% = 3%)
• It is an extra cost in the form of a penalty for losing financial discipline of commercial banks
Statutory Reserve Ratio (SRR)
• The SRR is the ratio of deposits that commercial banks are required by statute to maintain
with the CB
• This is a prudential requirement to preserve the solvency of a bank to face contingent
liquidity requirement
• The SRR is a cushion to absorb contingent liquidity shocks. Commercial banks can use the
balance of deposits after making reservations to meet reserve requirements
• The ability of commercial banks to offer checking accounts/demand deposits and extend
credit for borrowers with check writing facilities allow commercial banks to create credit/
liquidity
• The SRR allows the CB to influence the credit creation capacity of commercial banks, as it
reduces the money available for the bank to support its credit creation process
• The CB can raise the SRR to tighten the monetary policy and lower it for the policy to be
easing
Moral Suasion (MS)
• The time period taken for this process is identified as “Lags in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism”
✦ Wealth channel
• The degree of effectiveness depends on the degree of development of the banking and financial systems and their
sophistication
• The degree of sensitivity of economic agents to changes in policy environment also affect the efficacy of the
monetary policy to tame inflation to maintain price stability
Interest Rate Channel
• This channel is considered as the traditional channel, which focuses on the cost of funds, the
interest rate
• Market interest (i) falls > Increase the expenditure (sensitive to changes in i), investment (I)
(fixed and inventory investment, residential housing and consumer durables)
• As I is a component of Aggregate Expenditure, “AE” associated with Aggregate Demand
(AD)> AD increases
i I AD
Expansionary Monetary Policy :
• The monetary policy can influence the interest rate directly by adjusting the policy rate
based on the recommendations of the monetary policy committee
• Alternatively, it can conduct open market operations which impact the interest rate
indirectly
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Wealth Channel
• One of the main functions of money is store of value
• Expansionary monetary policy > Expansion of money supply> Demand for assets > Asset
prices tend to rise > Increase the wealth of asset holders > Spend more on Consumption (C)
• As C, is a part of Aggregate Demand (AD), both output and prices tend to rise
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Exchange Rate Channel
• In a freely floating exchange rate regime exchange rate responds to differences in interest
rates
• Expansionary monetary policy> When the interest rate ( i) goes down > returns from assets
denominated in domestic currency tend to fall and foreign assets become relatively
attractive > FX outflow >(EUSD/LKR) rises /LKR tends to depreciate
• Shift in demand for domestic goods and services by way of discouraging imports (M) and
encouraging exports (X) > BothAggregate Demand (AD) and prices to rise
X
Expansionary Monetary Policy i FX Out EUSD/LKR AD
M
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Bank Lending or Credit Channel
• Expansionary monetary policy> Expands money supply (M) > Banks receive more deposits
(D) > Increase lending/Credit expansion (L) > Expand both consumption (C) and
Investment (I) > Push the Aggregate Demand (AD) to rise
• The degree of sensitivity of economic agents to changes in policy environment also affect the
efficiency of the monetary policy to tame inflation to maintain price stability
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Lecture 5 - Outline
• Interest Rate
• Definition of Interest Rate
• Distinction between Policy Interest Rates and Market Interest Rates
• Term Structure of Term Interest Rates/ Yield Curve
• Channels of Policy interest rates influencing Market of interest rates
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