Академический Документы
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Zoubir Lounis
Outline
• Introduction
• Network & project management models
• Life cycle performance models
• Life cycle cost analysis models
• Conclusions
Introduction
• Consequences of deterioration/failure
– reduced safety, serviceability and service life
– reduced level of service
– increased risk of fatalities/injuries
– increased maintenance and user costs
– increased environmental impact
Introduction
Maintenance Inspection
Demolition/ Deterioration
Failure
Disposal
Introduction
• Maintenance options:
– no maintenance/do nothing
– do nothing + bridge posting
– inspection (visual, NDE, destructive)
– repair
– rehabilitation/strengthening
– improvement
– replacement
– closure of lane(s) or bridge
Introduction
Limit state
Service life 1 Service life 2
Life cycle
Time (years)
Maintenance 2 & 3
Management Strategy #2
Performance
Limit state
Network-Level Analysis
Project-Level Analysis
Output:
• Estimates of life cycle performance Service Life Prediction
• Required maintenance budgets
• Project prioritization
Life Cycle Performance
Assessment
• Bridge performance
– resistance/condition degrade with time
– load increases with time
– considerable scatter/uncertainty in load and resistance
– performance (safety, serviceability, rating): time-dependent
and highly uncertain
• Sources of uncertainty
– environmental exposure
– material properties (concrete, reinforcing steel)
– loading (magnitude, time of occurrence)
– structure design (quality control)
– physical models of structural response
– acceptable damage/failure criteria
Qualitative Deterioration
Models
6 Excellent Condition
5 Good Condition
4 Fair Condition
3 Poor Condition
2 Urgent Condition
1 Critical Condition
Qualitative Deterioration
Models
6
5
4
3 Probability mass
2 functions of
condition rating
1
0 t1 t2 t3 Time
Qualitative Deterioration
Models
6 5 4 3 2 1
6 0.65 0.32 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
5 0.00 0.88 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.00
4 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.10 0.03 0.01
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.08 0.04
2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.07
1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
6
Benign
Environment
5
MTQ Condition Rating
4 Low
Environment
MTQ Data
3
Moderate
Environment
2
Severe
Environment
1
0 20 40 60 80 100
Age (years)
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
Load
Resistance
Resistance
Initial resistance
fRo(r)
Failure
fS(s)
Load
Time
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
Load Resistance
Relative frequency
Probability of
failure
Limit state
Pfmax
Pf(0)
Failure
Delamination/
spalling
Damage
Surface
Internal cracking
cracking
Corrosion
Service Life
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
Internal Cracking
Surface Cracking
Spalling
Delamination
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
• SLAB-D: Decision
support software for
service life analysis of
RC bridge decks
• 2 modules in SLAB-D:
– Service Life Prediction
(SLP) module
– Life Cycle Cost Analysis
(LCCA) module
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
0.7
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0 10 20 30 40 50
Time (years)
Quantitative Deterioration
Models
Life Cycle Cost Analysis
F
• Present value life cycle cost
0 1 2 3 4 (n-1)
(n)
F
P P equivalent to F
P =
(1 + r ) n
$231/m2