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are strong determinants of happiness (20),
Reductions in suicide rates due to cash transfers rams in other settings with similar approaches
have found similar effects (39, 40). Longer-run
1 ***
Reduction in suicides per 100,000
| | effects of such programs, when measured,
appear to be even larger for both economic
0.8 outcomes and mental health. In India, for ex-
ample, an index of psychological well-being
was 0.24 SD higher in the treatment group
0.6 7 years after the completion of a graduation
program (41).
Hence, across a wide range of populations
0.4
and study designs, positive economic shocks
to individuals are shown to improve mental
0.2 health, whereas negative economic shocks
undermine mental health. This robust evi-
0
dence, on the effects of changes in economic
Average effect Effect for districts Effect for districts circumstances, indicates that poverty does
for all districts not in drought in drought cause mental illness. However, with two ex-
Treatment effect of cash transfers ceptions (35, 41), the above studies consider
the consequences of changes in economic
Fig. 3. Cash transfers, suicide rates, and droughts. The estimated effect of the cash transfer roll-out on status for a few years at most. An important
Cash transfers
Heath et al. (2020) Mali PSS 3 − 649 1468
Fig. 4. The impacts of antipoverty programs on mental health. The detect common mental illnesses [Short General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12)]
estimated treatment effects of RCTs that evaluated antipoverty programs in low- and symptoms of depression [Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression
or middle-income countries on indices of mental health (37–41, 56, 119, 131–149). Scale (CES-D) and Acholi Psychosocial Assessment (APAI-R)], indices of
Positive treatment effects imply better mental health. “Cash Transfers” refers psychological well-being (PWB), and a perceived stress scale (PSS). “Intervention
to studies of unconditional cash transfers to low-income households, with the cost” refers to the total cost of implementing the intervention, when this is
exception of Baird et al. and Kilburn et al., who examined conditional cash available. When implementation costs are unavailable (as with most of the cash
transfer programs (135, 150). “Multifaceted antipoverty programs” refers to transfer studies), it refers to the total undiscounted value of the transfer. MER,
interventions that aimed to lift people out of poverty by providing a range of market exchange rates; PPP, purchasing power parity (which adjusts exchange
elements, typically including asset transfers, skills training, cash support, and access rates to reflect the true cost of living). A missing value of years elapsed since
to savings and health care opportunities. Treatment effects are expressed in SD program end means that the transfer was still ongoing when outcomes were
units. If multiple follow-up measures were available, this figure shows the final measured. A complete description of the methodology of this analysis and details
measure. The outcomes vary across studies and include screening instruments to on each of the studies is provided in the supplementary materials.
uncertainty and income volatility and jug- within a few months (45). This effect did not countries with generous and comprehensive
gle what are, in effect, complex financial appear to be explained by increased mental systems of social insurance, such as Sweden
portfolios, often without access to formal health care or changes in physical health. Al- (34, 35).
insurance (43). Sustained long-run exposure though the increase in recipients’ effective
to stress from managing this volatility may income may have played a role, it represented Environmental factors
threaten mental health (44). Consistent with a much smaller relative increase than the cash Those living in poverty are generally more
this hypothesis, a large-scale randomized ex- transfer programs described above and yet exposed to environmental irritants posed by
periment among low-income individuals in generated a similar effect size on depression. pollution, temperature extremes, and chal-
Oregon found that receiving largely free health Further suggestive evidence for uncertainty as lenging sleep environments (46). Many of
insurance worth $550 to $750 per year re- a mechanism comes from the small or zero these factors have been linked directly to men-
duced rates of depression by about a quarter effect of wealth shocks on mental health in tal illness. Days with extreme heat see worse
self-reported mental health and increased a decrease in crop prices by 1 SD at an indi- depression or anxiety to incomes. A study
rates of self-harm and suicide (47, 48). Sim- vidual’s time of birth was found to increase showed that the approval of lithium for treat-
ilarly, sleep deprivation is widespread among incidence of anxiety or depression in adult- ment of bipolar disorder reduced the earn-
the urban poor in developing countries (49), hood by 50%, associating with maternal nutri- ings penalty associated with bipolar illness
and sleep is thought to be a mechanism af- tion, breastfeeding duration, vaccination rates, by a third in Denmark, from 38 to 26%, with
fecting mental health (50, 51). Some evi- and improved adult health (60). These results larger effects in the lower half of the earn-
dence exists that clinical interventions to imply that programs that provide financial ings distribution (72). Studying similar natural
improve sleep reduce depression (49, 52). support for households with pregnant women experiments for depression and anxiety would
Exposure to air pollution is associated with or young children may have high long-run be valuable.
living in poverty and may influence mental mental health and economic returns. There is, however, a substantial body of
health through multiple channels, through re- experiments that show a causal effect of treat-
striction of physical activity or directly owing Trauma, violence, and crime ing mental illness on employment. A meta-
to neurotoxicity (53). Changes in air pollution Living in poverty disproportionately exposes analysis that aggregated results across 31 RCTs
in China have been associated with changes in individuals to crime, including violent offenses in developing countries showed a positive
mental health (54). In the United States, ran- (61). People living in poverty are also more average effect of various interventions to
domly selected low-income households that likely to suffer traumatic events such as the treat mental illness on labor supply (73).
were paid to move to more affluent neighbor- early deaths of loved ones (62). Likewise, with- Among these interventions, pharmacological
hoods saw reductions in depression and anxi- in the household, women and children in poor and psychological treatments had similar po-
ety despite little effect on income (55). However, households are disproportionately affected sitive effects on labor supply (0.1 to 0.15 SD),
it is not clear whether environmental factors by intimate partner violence (63). The rela- and combining both types of treatments had
Depression (PHQ-9 score > 10) Days unable to work Health costs
1 10 100
| *** | | *** | | * |
$ over 3 months
Days per month
0.8 8 80
Fraction
0.6 6 60
0.4 4 40
0.2 2 20
0 0 0
Control Treatment Control Treatment Control Treatment
Fig. 5. Impacts of behavioral activation on depression, labor supply, and health costs. The mean values for the treatment and control groups of depression
[measured with a Patient Health Questionnaire–9 (PHQ-9) score greater than 10], days unable to work, and health costs (excluding the intervention cost) at 3 months.
Error bars denote ±1 SEM. Asterisks denote a significant difference between treatment and control after adjusting for covariates: *P < 0.1; ***P < 0.01.
Health expenditures acquisition (98). This suggests the possibility be more pronounced in low-income countries
Mental illnesses may deepen poverty through of particularly high economic returns from (104). Extreme temperatures during the ag-
its impacts on health and health expenditures. improving mental health among adolescents ricultural growing season that damage crops
In developing countries, people living in pov- and young adults. Although longitudinal stud- and thus economic well-being have been re-
erty usually pay most of their health costs out ies show a substantial correlation between ported to increase suicides in agricultural
of pocket (92). Globally, 150 million people are mental illness among students and subsequent regions in India (107). Predicted increases in
estimated to have catastrophic health expen- educational outcomes, there is little experimen- water scarcity and droughts are also likely to
ditures each year, which are defined as health tal evidence to date that treatment of depres- worsen economic and in turn psychological
care payments totaling more than 40% of a sion or anxiety among adolescents leads to well-being. Climate change is also expected to
household’s nonsubsistence expenditures (93). improved educational outcomes (99). lead to increased violence and political conflict
Costs associated with treatment of mental over the next century through increased pres-
illness rarely account for large shares of in- Outlook sure on resources, such as productive land
dividuals’ budgets because most affected Having discussed some of the mechanisms and, possibly, psychological effects of heat on
individuals remain untreated. However, de- that influence the relationship between pov- aggression (108). This combination of econo-
pression and anxiety frequently co-occur with erty and mental health, we can speculate more mic and political consequences of climate
other health conditions (15), and such comor- broadly on how the relationship between po- change may increase the flow of refugees and
bidity with depression is associated with verty and mental illness may evolve, what this economic migrants, with concomitant chal-
substantially higher health expenditures for means for policy, and what directions may be lenges to mental health (109).
a range of health conditions (16, 17). Indeed, fruitful for research.
treatment of depression has been found to Technological change and globalization
Depression Anxiety
8 8
6 6
2 2
Fig. 6. Prevalence of common mental illnesses by country. For each country, the percentage of the population estimated to have a (left) depressive disorder or
(right) anxiety disorder is shown at a given point in time against that country’s log gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. Each scatter point represents one
country. The line shown is an ordinary least squares regression line of country prevalence rates on a constant and log GDP per capita. Prevalence rate data come
from the Global Burden of Disease Study, 2017 (http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool). GDP per capita data are for 2017, measured in constant 2017
international $, and come from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators dataset (https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators).
insect-borne diseases—will provide a counter- and vice versa. An example of such work is Recently, innovative studies have compared
vailing force likely to improve mental health Bhat et al., in which a team of psychiatrists the effects of providing psychotherapy, cash
among the poor. The COVID-19 pandemic has and economists followed up on psychotherapy support, or both among low-income popula-
the potential to set back progress in reducing clinical trials in India and deployed the tools of tions. An RCT measured the effect of 8 weeks
the enormous burden of these diseases. behavioral economics and psychiatry to study of CBT and/or $200 in cash support to 999
long-run effects of psychotherapy on mental criminally engaged men in Liberia (119). Al-
Social media health, economic well-being, and decision- though the psychotherapy targeted antisocial
The spread of mobile phones and the internet making (118). behavior rather than mental illness per se, the
opens up opportunities for poverty alleviation study found that the combination of cash trans-
(112) and new ways to deliver mental health Policy tools fer and psychotherapy improved an index of
care. However, some of these technologies There is a strong economic case for investing self-regard and mental health by 0.2 SD a year
may pose new threats to mental health. Al- in the mental health of people in poverty. A later (P = 0.024), accompanied by a modest
though more causal evidence is needed, some recent meta-analysis showed that mental health reduction in depression and psychological dis-
studies have found that depression is corre- interventions in low- and middle-income coun- tress (–0.11 SD, P = 0.24). The combined treat-
lated with internet addiction and with the in- tries, including psychotherapy and pharma- ment not only reduced antisocial behavior but
tensity of use of social media among young cotherapy, had similar or larger effects on also increased patience and self-control, whereas
adults and adolescents (113, 114). Recent ran- employment than economic interventions neither cash nor therapy alone had detectable
domized interventions show that deactivat- such as cash transfers, job training programs, effects. However, none of the treatments ap-
ing social media accounts for 4 weeks led to and multifaceted antipoverty programs (73). parently influenced consumption or income a
0.1 SD reductions in depression and anxiety Yet, they were an order of magnitude less ex- year later. More studies along these lines would
scores (115, 116). Increased access to the inter- pensive to deliver. Such treatments could there- be valuable.
net and social media among the global poor, fore be the most cost-effective antipoverty
although presenting enormously valuable be- intervention, at least among the subset of Treatment gaps
nefits, may therefore also pose some threat to people who are mentally ill. However, we know In poor countries, the fraction of individuals
mental health among the poor (117). little about how to optimally combine, dose, se- diagnosed with depression and anxiety who
quence, and target economic and mental health do not receive treatment often exceeds 90%
Implications for research and policy interventions. For example, combining psycho- (11–14). Such treatment gaps likely result from
Because mental health and poverty are inti- logical and economic interventions may lead to a combination of poor supply and low demand
mately linked, interdisciplinary collaborations treatment effects that are greater than the sum for mental health services.
between mental-health researchers and social of their parts. In particular, improved mental
scientists studying poverty are essential (Box 4). health could increase the economic returns of Increasing supply
Evaluations of economic interventions should receiving cash or asset transfers by improving Resources for mental health care are extreme-
carefully measure impacts on mental health, decision-making and productivity. ly limited in low-income countries (Fig. 7), and
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