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To cite this article: Robert L. Hardgrave Jr. , Peter John Brobst , Mstapha
Kamal Pasha , Sumit Ganguly & Prem shankar Jha (1998) Kashmir 1947: Burdens
of the past, options for the future ‐ four perspectives, Commonwealth &
Comparative Politics, 36:1, 92-123, DOI: 10.1080/14662049808447762
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1. Introduction
2. Sir Olaf Caroe and the Question of British 'Grand Design', by
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'It is convenient', Sir Olaf Caroe once wrote, 'to see all Central Asia in the
focus of Kashmir. It is the focal point at which China, the U.S.S.R., India,
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the Silk Road, and into Tibet. The dawning of air power only heightened the
British sense of urgency about the creep of Russia in Central Asia.
The importance of the Indian frontier in British air strategy emerges as
a key issue in Jha's discussion of imperial policy on Kashmir. As Jha points
out, the development of aerial warfare led to a 'revival of the Palmerstonian
Forward Policy with a vigour that no one could have predicted'.7 Not only
did the British plan air bases along the Indian frontier, but in Caroe's circle
they speculated about developing landing grounds in Central Asia itself.8
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Bases in Sinkiang or Tibet would place British air power in reach of Soviet
industrial targets behind the Urals that seemed otherwise untouchable.
Caroe and his wartime interlocutors conversely worried that Russia might
herself gain air access to Sinkiang and Tibet, putting the very heartland of
India at risk. 'Looked at from the enemy's point of view', a senior military
officer closely associated with Caroe wrote, 'the Tibetan plateaux are the
airfield areas from which to cover eastern India; the bombardment group
areas from which the further stepping forward of these groups can be
undertaken to clear the way for the airborne assault and occupation of the
U.P., Bihar, and Bengal.'9 Caroe argued that, if anything, modern
technology had increased the importance of buffer states.
As late as 1945 and 1946, there was still talk in British circles of using
direct force to maintain Tibet, if not Sinkiang, as a buffer state. Caroe
thought that imperial troops for trans-Himalayan operations might suitably
be based in Kashmir. 'Circumstances may well arise', he wrote, 'in which
Kashmir could become a training ground and point d'appui for the forces of
the future.'10 But although Whitehall took seriously Caroe's proposal for
such a base in Baluchistan (to cover the approaches to India through eastern
Persia and southern Afghanistan), there is no evidence to suggest that the
extension of the idea to Kashmir and Chinese Central Asia ever amounted
to anything more than fanciful speculation. In terms of potential combat,
British planners tended to look west rather than north from India. As Jha
observes, 'Britain's interest in Sinkiang was but a pale shadow of its
obsession with Afghanistan'."
Jha notes, however, that British strategists did at least maintain a lively
interest in keeping a 'close weather eye' on Chinese Central Asia.12 Indeed,
the primary interest that British strategists had in Kashmir was the state's
tremendous value as a listening post. In the nineteenth century, Lord
Salisbury had complained that if the Himalayas and Karakoram formed a
great rampart for India's protection, they also represented a 'thick covert,
behind which any amount of hostile intrigue and conspiracy may be
masked'.13 A forward policy was necessary if only for purposes of
observation and early warning. In the bazaars of Gilgit and Leh, for
example, the British could keep their ears attuned to Chinese Central Asia.
96 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
Here was the fabled 'Great Game' of Kipling's Kim. It was also through
Kashmir that the British maintained a consulate in Kashgar, which Caroe
believed was essential to the flow of intelligence on innermost Asia.
Looking to Indian independence, Caroe took various steps as Foreign
Secretary to secure British interests in Kashmir and Chinese Central Asia
after a post-war transfer of power. He worked to perpetuate a coalescence
of strategic thinking between Britain and the hypothetical Indian Dominion.
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the Chinese as they probe forward in Ladakh, and another on the cease-fire
line with Pakistan.'26 On the other hand, Kashmir's accession to Pakistan
would not have been inconsistent with Caroe's concept of post-war strategy.
As Prem Shankar Jha notes in his book, the post-war 'grand design' of
imperial strategists envisaged a 'military crescent' of Islamic states. Caroe
was a leading proponent of this idea. His thinking was certainly consistent
with Wavell's 'Break Down Plan' of 1945 (by which the Viceroy proposed
that in a crunch the British could abandon the Congress-dominated
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Cold War era. Although his principal concern was Russia, Caroe also
contemplated, as Foreign Secretary during the Second World War, the
possibility of an awakened and revanchist China a quarter to a half century
down the road. He suspected that the Chinese would eventually seek outlets
to the Indian Ocean - possibly by contesting control of the South China Sea
but more likely by way of an overland approach through Burma.31 In light
of recent reports that the Chinese have secured some vague form of naval
access to Rangoon and put electronic intelligence stations on Burmese
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Modern South Asian history, despite its generally porous and heterodox
character, continues to revolve around the axis of the Partition - its dramatic
events and principal actors, its heroes and villains. Fifty years after
independence, the boundaries of political imagination remain constricted by
rival versions of the Great Divide. Discussions of the Kashmir dispute are
interwoven into narratives of the Partition. Any allusion to Kashmir - the
issue that has given relations between India and Pakistan their raison d'etre
- prompts recitations of the entire historical script, a re-enactment of the
whole painful saga. Almost without exception, debates over the Kashmir
dispute rekindle old wounds, only to reproduce mutually contradictory
historical narratives.
Against the stubborn legacy of communalist historiography in South
Asia, and its dominant proclivity towards recycling familiar partisan
themes, the promise of an impartial account of the genesis of the Kashmir
conflict is bound to invite serious attention. Prem Shankar Jha's bold pledge
to seek fresh avenues of inquiry and unearth new evidence of some details
of the origins of the Kashmir dispute, therefore, merits careful scrutiny.33
KASHMIR 1947 101
A Quasi-Official Story
Set as a counterpoint to Alastair Lamb's indictment of the Indian claim over
Kashmir,34 Jha's unofficial account ends up echoing India's official version
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hour by hour account of events and actions in 1946 and 1947',3i Jha seeks
to dispel any reservations about the dubious nature of the Accession. Jha
accords Mountbatten a pivotal role as a credible source of information in his
narrative. Mountbatten's close relationship to Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru, and
his 'interventions', pose no problems of objectivity for Jha, yet Jinnah's
dealings with Sir Francis Mudie (the first governor of post-Partition Punjab
in Pakistan) provoke the charge of a pro-Pakistan bias. Jha's chief claim is
that if Kashmir's accession to India was hustled by Pakistan's invasion and
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agents from 'across the border' in domestic affairs. In short, civil society
has provided the arena for the state to cast its intransmutable imprint.
National identity is a co-construction of the state and civil society. This
alternative view suggests the difficulties of providing easy pathways to
rethink the future.
On the other hand, the emergence of new political identities in the region
also suggests a general erosion of liberal-secular modalities of discourse. In
this context, the Partition Syndrome of liberal-secularists is giving way to
an even more exelusivist and rigid perspective for recovering and rethinking
the past. The implications of the declining fortunes of secularism for the
resolution of the Kashmir issue are, indeed, far-reaching. Tied to a robust
religious nationalism, claims over the disputed territory can assume a totally
uncompromising sensibility. Yet such a determinist forecast must also be
resisted. One alternative for rethinking the future originates in the enduring
presence of anomalies within the dominant mode of thought. Another,
perhaps more plausible option lies with the people of Kashmir, a course of
action no one can fully anticipate. The recognition of the right of the
Kashmiri people even to surprise us may offer the only viable alternative to
release the two nations from the straitjacket of the past.
Independence
One possible option involves granting Jammu and Kashmir independence.
This option would entail a consolidation of both Pakistani-occupied
Kashmir ('Azad Kashmir') and Indian-held Kashmir and allowing the one-
time princely state to obtain an international legal personality. It is the
preferred option of one of the principal (and oldest) insurgent groups, the
Jammu and Kashmir Liberation Front (JKLF). At one level, granting
independence to Kashmir would satisfy a significant number of Kashmiris
who are disenchanted with both Indian and Pakistani rule. This option,
however, has a number of important drawbacks. At an international level,
the People's Republic of China (PRC) remains opposed to the creation of an
independent Kashmir." The regime in Beijing fears that the emergence of an
independent Kashmir would have a demonstration effect on its own restive
Tibetan minority. Worse still, the creation of a Muslim-majority state
abutting China could also encourage incipient discontent and even
separatist tendencies amongst Muslim minorities in Xinjiang province.58 It
is highly unlikely that any future Chinese regime will adopt a markedly
different position on this issue, given the long-term internal vulnerabilities
of the Chinese state.
At a regional level, no Indian government can countenance the
possibility of an independent Kashmir. India has fought two wars with
Pakistan over the Kashmir issue and has expended considerable blood and
treasure to hold on to its portion of Kashmir. More to the point, and contrary
to the views of many observers, the Indian state has already evinced an
extraordinary willingness to sustain both human and moral costs to quell the
insurgency. As the ham-handed tactics of the Indian state have successfully
contained the insurgency, it is even more unlikely that a future regime will
grant the state independence.
108 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
government in New Delhi will pay a high price to ensure that Kashmir does
not obtain independence.
A handful of lone voices in Pakistan have supported the independence
option. However, it is also quite clear that no Pakistani government
seriously entertains this 'third option'.5' Pakistan can ill afford to lose a
significant portion of its already truncated state.
Plebiscite
The United Nations resolutions on Kashmir sought to resolve the dispute by
means of a plebiscite. The formal Pakistani position still calls for a
plebiscite to determine the future of Kashmir. India, although it was the
original proponent of a plebiscite, has long since backed away from its
initial commitment.60 Moreover, Indian apologists contend that the Simla
Accord has superseded the earlier commitment to a plebiscite.
Would a plebiscite solve the Kashmir problem? The answer is far from
certain. If a plebiscite were held today a section of the Muslim population
of the Kashmir valley would, no doubt, opt for Pakistan. But a significant
number of others would not. Even if a majority of the population of Jammu
and Kashmir were to vote in favour of a merger with Pakistan, the important
issue of the rights of the Buddhists and the Hindus within the state would
remain unaddressed.
Shared Sovereignty
Another proposal, that of shared sovereignty, has generated considerable
discussion in some circles." This proposal, which has a number of variants,
suggests that India and Pakistan could exercise joint sovereignty over the
entire former princely state of Jammu and Kashmir. Although this is an
interesting intellectual exercise and is superficially attractive, the proposal
is deeply flawed. As has been argued elsewhere, this option in all its various
incarnations leaves a number of questions unanswered. For example, if
India and Pakistan were to exercise joint sovereignty over Kashmir, which
state would be responsible for revenue collection and distribution? What
social and cultural policies would be pursued within the state? Who would
guarantee minority rights? Who would be responsible for maintaining
internal order and securing external defence? Finally, what would be the
KASHMIR 1947 109
Pakistan while retaining Leh, Kargil, Ladakh and Jammu. This option has a
certain appeal because the insurgency draws its support from the Muslim
majority of the state, most of which is centred in the Kashmir valley. After
conceding the valley, India could effectively seal off the routes of
infiltration into Jammu and Ladakh. Even today, apart from sporadic
incidents, neither Ladakh and Jammu have been deeply implicated in the
insurgency. Consequently, conceding the valley to Pakistan may well rid
India of a never-ending thorn.
Despite its seeming attractiveness, however, this option is also fraught
with problems. First, would conceding the valley satisfy Pakistan? A future
Pakistani regime may insist that legally the entire former princely state of
Jammu and Kashmir belongs to Pakistan. Most Indian analysts of the
Kashmir issue, in fact, explicitly assign such motivations to Pakistan."
Second, conceding the valley would make it exceedingly difficult for India
to maintain its road links to Ladakh. It would also leave Jammu strategically
vulnerable to a Pakistani attack." Third, it would entail sacrificing the
interests of the minority Hindu population of the valley.
Protectorate
Some commentators on Kashmir have suggested that a portion of the state
be turned into an Indian protectorate. Under these terms, the government of
India would turn the Kashmir valley, the locus of the insurgency, into an
Indian protectorate. (The districts of Leh, Kargil, Ladakh and Jammu would
be made into union territories.) The government in Srinagar, under the terms
of a new treaty with the government of India, would be responsible for all
domestic and foreign policy issues except defence. In return for this
dramatically expanded form of autonomy, the government in the valley
would agree to five critical terms: protection of minority rights, the
continued secular status of the region, the maintenance of democratic
representative institutions, the safe return of the Kashmiri Pandits to the
valley and a restoration of their property and a demobilisation of all militant
groups in the valley.65
This option may address, at least notionally, the misgivings and
grievances of many Kashmiris who have long chafed under the heavy hand
of the Indian state. Yet a number of political and administrative problems
110 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
dog this option. First, the question of Kashmir's external defence can hardly
be separated from issues of internal security. As long as India remains
responsible for Kashmir's external defence, unrequited outside powers,
particularly Pakistan, will be tempted to intervene in Kashmir's domestic
affairs. Under such circumstances, the Indian armed forces would inevitably
be called in to quell unrest. Second, granting Kashmir the status of a
protectorate may well engage a 'slippery slope'. Both domestic and foreign
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Ethnic Flooding
India could, of course, adopt harsher strategies than the ones already
discussed. A segment of the Indian political spectrum has suggested that
India alter the demographic composition of the valley in an effort to curb the
insurgency. This strategy can be referred to as 'ethnic flooding'.66 In pursuit
of this goal, as a first step India would abrogate Article 370 of the Indian
Constitution. Once this article were abrogated, no legal barriers would
remain to settling the valley with Hindu migrants from other parts of India.
After populating the valley with nationalist Hindus, and thereby altering its
demographic profile, the government could proceed with a referendum
about Kashmir's future within the Indian Union. There would be little doubt
about the likely outcome.
It is extremely doubtful whether such a strategy could be implemented
under the present conditions. Even if it could be carried out, the option
courts disaster. Abrogating Article 370 for this purpose would violate a
long-standing compact, however attenuated, between New Delhi and the
Kashmiris. Furthermore, the tactic of 'ethnic flooding' is corrosive to the
spirit of Indian democracy. Adopting such a strategy would show complete
institutional and legislative disregard for the rights of India's largest
minority.
The 'MailedFist'Strategy
The Indian state could also pursue what may be referred to as a 'mailed fist'
strategy. From economic as well as strategic standpoints, in the absence of
another conflict with the PRC, India could well afford to deploy indefinitely
close to 400,000 regular troops and paramilitary personnel in Kashmir.
Furthermore, the Indian state has demonstrated considerable staying power
when dealing with insurgencies in other parts of the country. However, other
important issues are at stake if India continues to view the problem in
KASHMIR 1947 111
insurgent groups. Already the Indian Army has successfully co-opted some
of the insurgents through the lure of arms and cash. The scope of this effort
needs to be simultaneously widened and constricted. It needs to be widened
to include insurgents of all political and ideological persuasions. But at the
same time, the practice of arming former insurgents needs to be curbed now
that an elected government has assumed office. Other measures, including
the provisions of relocation and employment, can be instituted to provide
security to former insurgents.
Apart from taking these steps to restore the fractured rule of law within
Kashmir, India will need to continue its negotiations with Pakistan. In these
negotiations, India can offer to turn the Line of Control (LoC) into a
permanent, international border with minor territorial concessions. Such a
division of Kashmir would be consistent with the logic of India's decision
to accept a cease-fire in 1948 which left a third of Kashmir in Pakistani
hands. As Prem Shankar Jha correctly argues, the Indian leadership chose
not to prosecute the war beyond a sociocultural and geographic divide. The
cultural ethos of the Kashmir valley, where Sheikh Mohammed Abdullah's
Kashmir National Conference held sway, differed markedly from that of
Poonch, Mirpur, Muzaffarabad and Gilgit.68
In this context, India can also offer to make unilateral concessions to
Pakistan on the issue of the Siachen Glacier. Furthermore, to assuage
Pakistan's insecurity, stemming from its conventional military weakness,
India can also offer to start mutually balanced force reductions and various
other confidence-building measures."
A Pakistani regime may consider these negotiating provisions rather
meagre. However, after having fought three wars with India and after
supporting an insurgency for the better part of a decade, Pakistan needs to
reassess its own options.70 Support for the insurgency will continue to bleed
India, but the wound will never be deep enough to paralyse the Indian
polity. Instead it will only drain Pakistan's scanty resources dry. Settling this
seemingly intractable dispute will enable both states to concentrate their
precious life-blood towards more productive ends.
KASHMIR 1947 113
RESPONSE
by Prem Shankar Jha
Mountbatten
I was aware of the gathering criticism among historians of Mountbatten's
role in the dismantling of the Raj. The earlier impression that he
accomplished an extremely distasteful and difficult job with speed and
dispatch, in a manner that preserved for Britain its good relations with both
the new dominions, has given place to an image of him as a playboy, a poor
naval commander during the war - and a naive Viceroy of India, who, by
his hasty and ill considered decision to advance the date of partition,
plunged the subcontinent into a bloodbath, and, by his ill-considered
intervention in the Kashmir issue, laid the foundation for the bitter
animosity that has plagued relations between India and Pakistan for half a
century. What I had not realised is the extent to which this view seems to
have gained a general acceptance. This is not the occasion, nor am I
qualified to discuss, Mountbatten's performance as a fleet commander in the
Second World War. My concern is with his actions as Viceroy, and later
Governor-General of India. Here I firmly believe that none of the criticisms
that have been heaped on him are justified.
Was Mountbatten wrong in advancing the date of partition and
independence? In his own final report to London, written on 16 August
1947, he says that it was the best of a series of bad alternatives, because
India was rapidly becoming ungovernable and another year's delay could
114 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
What I thought I had done was to dispense once more with the benefit of
hindsight and look at the decisions he faced alongside the information he
had at the time. Hari Singh has been depicted as a self-indulgent, weak fool,
sufficiently out of touch with the real world to imagine that he could remain
independent with British support. In fact, his personality hardly enters into
the decision he took, for almost anyone else in his place would have tried to
do the same thing. He knew, as well as Sheikh Abdullah, the heterogeneity
of the Muslims of Kashmir, not to mention its non-Muslim population. He
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believed that this was an excellent reason for his state to stay out of the
turmoil of an India that was being divided on the basis of religion. As
subsequent history has shown, this might well have been the best solution
to the problem if India and Pakistan - especially Pakistan - could have been
persuaded to leave Kashmir in peace.
When independence was ruled out and partition became inevitable, Hari
Singh prepared a fall-back plan as early as the beginning of April 1947, and
this was to accede to India. One of the reasons may well have been that he
was a Hindu, but, once again, there were good reasons why even a Christian
might have taken the same decision. These have been dwelt on at length in
my book, so I will not tarry on them here. Suffice it to say that what he and
the Maharani saw of the pogroms in neighbouring NWFP and what they
heard from the survivors from Hazara who streamed into Muzaffarabad in
December 1946 could well have made them fear that the far larger Kashmiri
minorities could become pawns to be sacrificed in a similar struggle
between the Kashmir Muslim Conference, which was trying to merge with
the Muslim League, and Sheikh Abdullah's National Conference.
Given his April attempt to replace Ram Chandra Kak with Mehar Chand
Mahajan as the Dewan of Kashmir, the Maharaja's refusal to meet
Mountbatten formally for talks on the future of Kashmir when the latter
visited Kashmir in June takes on an entirely different meaning. The most
plausible explanation is that he knew that Mountbatten was going to urge
him to join Pakistan, not India, and he did not wish to be pushed so when
he had already made up his mind to join India if he could not remain
independent. Mountbatten's note of his talks with Kak, in which he asks the
Maharaja (through Kak) to bear the composition of his population and the
geographical location in mind, assumes a different meaning. Far from
leaning on him to join India, he was gently urging him to accede to Pakistan.
The assurance he carried up from Patel that the future government of India
would not take it as an unfriendly act if he joined Pakistan, which has been
made to look like either naive altruism or a piece of theatre designed to
conceal India's Machiavellian designs, gains a more prosaic meaning.
Mountbatten's desire to see Kashmir go to Pakistan is also the only
explanation of Krishna Menon's 'strange' (according to Alastair Lamb)
116 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
India, he must attempt at almost any cost to keep the armed forces unified
and manned by a large number of British officers, so that it could continue
to serve Britain's strategic interests in the region. This was, of course, the
best alternative, and one that was discussed repeatedly by Attlee with the
service chiefs in London. But, if this proved impossible, it was understood
in Whitehall that West Pakistan would have to be the sheet anchor of British
interests to the west, while Chittagong in East Pakistan would be pivotal in
guarding British interest in the east.
In short, Pakistan would have to have priority over India. Mountbatten
served both strategies faithfully. What is more, he continued to do so even
after he became Governor-General of independent India and should have
owed his first loyalty to India. His advice to the Maharaja to accede to
Pakistan was intended to make Pakistan viable - a point driven home by the
UK High Commissioner in Karachi, Graftey Smith, on 28 October 1947,
when he telegraphed London that Kashmir's accession to India would make
Pakistan unviable as it would make the NWFP contiguous to India. His
insistence that India first accept Kashmir's accession before sending troops,
but that the accession itself should be conditional, and his subsequent
encouragement of Nehru to take the matter to the UN, were intended to find
an agreed basis for resolving the dispute amicably and thus preserve the
joint command of the armed forces on the subcontinent.
The above analysis explains so many events and so much behaviour that
had previously appeared anomalous that it makes it virtually unnecessary to
defend Mountbatten on the Gurdaspur issue, the charge that he somehow
gerrymandered the award. Christopher Beaumont, in a testimonial
deposited at All Souls College, expressly states that while he believes (for
reasons that I have shown in my book to be entirely wrong) that the award
of Ferozepur and Zira tehsils in Ferozepur district to India was influenced
by Mountbatten (who acted on the urging of Nehru, who was being fed
information from inside the Radcliffe boundary commission by a 'Hindu'
secretary, one Iyer), at no point did Mountbatten try to influence Radcliffe
on Gurdaspur. Mountbatten himself singled Pathankot out as an example of
where the final boundary might not follow the interim boundary established
for administrative convenience till the boundary commission had done its
KASHMIR 1947 117
work. The reason was fairly straightforward: the administrative unit in India
was the district. Thus the interim boundary had to follow the demarcation
of districts. It therefore drew its authority from nothing more than
administrative convenience. There was no such requirement for the final
boundary. As a result, the final boundary in both the east and the west
departed from the interim on any number of occasions, sometimes to the
benefit of Pakistan and at others to that of India. There was no question of
'gerrymandering' the border because the border did not exist.
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But what about the Ferozepur award? Did Mountbatten not disgrace
himself by interfering to have that changed? My assessment is that,
whatever Radcliffe did, he did on his own. However, I cannot agree with
those who believe that Mountbatten should not have attempted to talk to or
influence Radcliffe. The award was changed at the last minute to avert a
Sikh uprising. Like Sheikh Abdullah in Kashmir, the importance of the Sikh
factor in partition remains the least acknowledged. Yet the Sikhs' loss of a
homeland was undoubtedly the single greatest tragedy of partition. The
Sikhs may have been only 18 per cent of undivided Punjab, but they had
ruled the state till barely a century earlier. The imprint of their dominance
was to be found in the fact that they owned fully 50 per cent of the land and
paid 70 per cent of the land revenues in Punjab. As an appalled Evan
Jenkins, Governor of Punjab, was to write to Mountbatten on receiving the
interim boundary, the decision to partition Punjab on the Ravi river would
split the Sikhs in half and destroy their identity as a nation. This would lead
to terrible turmoil. Were Punjab to be partitioned along the Chenab, Jenkins
had pointed out, 95 per cent of the Sikhs would have fallen within India. But
the principle adopted by the British, a bare head count, denied the Sikhs
both their identity and their history. If the original boundary intimated to
Jenkins on 8 August had been adhered to, the Sikhs would also have been
virtually denied their religion as well. A general uprising by the largest,
most highly trained, ex-soldiers' cadre in the entire country would very
likely have followed. If Mountbatten did press Radcliffe to change the
award so as not to encircle Amritsar with Pakistan, he did what any
responsible head of government should have done. There are times when
the spirit of the law must prevail over its letter, and this was one of them.
Caroe
I greatly enjoyed John Brobst's analysis, and rehabilitation, of Sir Olaf
Caroe. To say that Caroe is viewed with mixed feelings in India by those
who have taken an interest in the origins of the Kashmir dispute would be
an understatement. Caroe must thus enjoy the unique distinction of being
disliked on both sides of the Indo-Pakistan border. Let me agree straight
away with Brobst that no one understood the nuances of the Great Game
118 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
and the strategic importance of Kashmir better than Caroe. But, precisely
for that reason, no one had a stronger reason for wanting to avoid the
partition of India. Caroe, for his part, never made a particular secret of his
belief in the essential unity of India and the artificiality of the partition. He
made this point in almost poetic terms two decades later, in 1968, in a
review of Hodson's The Great Divide. Yet Caroe, too, understood only too
well that, if partition did take place, there was a very good chance that the
two dominions would fall out with each other and that Britain would have
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understand that if Britain was to fall back on Pakistan as its principal ally in
the subcontinent, then Kashmir had to go to Pakistan. To have it go to India,
and bring India next to the NWFP, would have invalidated the fall-back
strategy. The suggestion that Sir Olaf Caroe was somehow the mastermind
behind a conspiracy to hand Kashmir over to India is, therefore, quite
simply, absurd.
happened, but why the main actors, individuals as well as countries, acted
as they did. From the unfolding narrative one irrefutable fact gradually
emerged: that in the Kashmir saga, contrary to what most others have
written, there are no heroes and no villains. Not Mountbatten, not Hari
Singh, not Jinnah, not Liaquat Ali Khan, not Nehru and not Sheikh
Abdullah. Not the Pakistan government, nor the Indian; not even the British
Commonwealth Relations Office. At each stage, all of the actors did what
they considered to be in the best interests of the people they were trying to
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serve.
Had all of Kashmir really gone to India, Pakistan's continued existence
would genuinely have been jeopardised. Pakistan cannot, therefore, be
blamed for sending in the raiders on 22 October 1947. But if its reasons for
invading Kashmir then were understandable, then by the same yardstick it
has no rational reason left for coveting the Indian part of Kashmir now. For,
probably on the advice of Sheikh Abdullah, Pandit Nehru accepted the
cease-fire on 1 January 1949, when the Indian troops were poised to invade
Muzaffarabad. By doing so he not only stopped on an ethnic fault-line in
Kashmir, on the other side of which there were orthodox Sunni Muslims
who were overwhelmingly supporters of the Muslim Conference, but the
new de facto border left a large part of Kashmir adjoining the NWFP in
Pakistan's hands, and thereby ended the threat that had made Pakistan go to
war in the first place.
Pakistan's strident hunger for Kashmir over the last half-century has
obscured the fact, moreover, that it emerged from the 1948 war at least
partly if not wholly the winner, inasmuch as it added to its territory and
protected its political viability. For both reasons, the right place to end the
50-year-long dispute is precisely where it is today, on the present Line of
Control. What both India and Pakistan need to do is concentrate on meeting
the demands of the Kashmiris. They have been demanding freedom for the
past seven years with violence and longer by other means. Freedom does
not necessarily mean independence. North Korea is independent but it can
be argued that North Koreans are not free. A Tamil Eelam under the LITE
would similarly be independent but not free. Two Kashmirs, with
governments of their choice, free to build trans-border links, might not be
independent, but they would be free.
NOTES
1. O. Caroe, Soviet Empire: The Turks of Central Asia and Stalinism (London, 1967), xviii.
2. See A. Lamb, Kashmir: A Disputed Legacy, 1846-1990 (Hertfordshire, 1991).
3. This essay relies largely on Peter John Brobst, 'The Official Mind of the Great Game: Sir
Olaf Caroe, Indian Independence, and World Power, 1939-1954', unpublished Ph.D.
KASHMIR 1947 121
9. 'India's Mongol Frontier', memorandum by Tuker, 1946, in F. Tuker, While Memory Serves
(London, 1950). At the time he wrote the memorandum, Lieutenant-General Sir Francis
Tuker was General Officer Commanding, Eastern India.
10. 'Some political and constitutional reflections on the landward security of the India of the
future', memorandum by Caroe, 18 Aug. 1944, IO L/P&S/12/727.
11. Jha, Kashmir 1947, 84.
12. Ibid., 83.
13. Salisbury quoted in G. Cecil, Life of Robert, Marquis of Salisbury (London, 1922), 72.
14. See K. Menon, Delhi-Chungking: A Travel Diary (Bombay, 1947).
15. Note by Rolfe, 10 May 1944, IO L/P&S/12/3295.
16. See K. Menon, Many Worlds: An Autobiography (London, 1965).
17. Jha, Kashmir 1947, 91, n. 12.
18. W. Khan, Facts are Facts: The Untold Story of India's Partition (New Delhi, 1987), 112.
19. Note by Caroe, 13 March 1945, IO L/P&S/12/3115A.
20. O. Caroe, 'First Steps to Responsible Government in India', unpublished manuscript,
December 1917, MSS Eur F.203/61 [Caroe Papers, India Office Library],
21. For Caroe's views on Africa see, Olaf Caroe, 'Land Tenure and the Franchise: A Basis for
Partnership in African Plural Societies', Journal of African Administration, 7, 4 (1954).
22. O. Caroe, 'Report on Lecture Tour [of the United States]', 10 June 1952, MSS Eur. F.203/64
[Caroe Papers, India Office Library].
23. [O. Caroe], 'India and Pakistan: Pressures External and Internal', The Round Table, 215
(1964), 236-7.
24. See 'Some political and constitutional reflections on the landward security of the India of the
future', memorandum by Caroe, 18 Aug. 1944, IO L/P&S/12/727.
25. See [O. Caroe], 'The Beam in the Eye: Communist Imperialism in Asia', The Round Table,
203 (1961).
26. [Caroe], 'India and Pakistan', 238.
27. O. Caroe, Wells of Power: The Oil Fields of South-Western Asia: A Regional and Global
Study (London, 1951), 185.
28. [O. Caroe], 'Pakistan and the Tribes', The Round Table, 156 (1949), 336.
29. O. Caroe, 'The North-West Frontier', lecture, 6 April 1949, MSS Eur. F.203/47 [Caroe
Papers, India Office Library].
30. See O. Caroe, 'The Strategic After-Effects of India's Partition', The Round Table, 280 (April
1980).
31. See Brobst, 'The Official Mind of the Great Game', ch. 5.
32. Prem Shankar Jha, Kashmir, 1947: Rival Versions of History (Delhi: Oxford University
Press, 1996), 91.
33. Jha, Kashmir 1947.
34. Alastair Lamb, The Birth of a Tragedy: Kashmir 1947 (Hertfordshire: Roxford Books, 1994)
and Kashmir: A Disputed Legacy, 1946-1990 (Herfordshire: Roxford Books, 1991).
35. Ibid., vii.
36. Jha, Kashmir, 1947, 58
37. Ibid., 87.
38. See Lamb, Kashmir: A Disputed Legacy, especially Chapter VII.
39. Jha often makes statements such as 'all evidence points to', without specifically stating the
source of the evidence. For instance, see pages 12, lines 24 and 37 and page 37, line 18. Jha
122 COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
also omits sources, such as a reference to a newspaper report that was published in Pakistan
but is not cited (see page 48). The author speculates that the source of information could have
been Jinnah's secretary, K.H. Khurshid. While discussing the British government's
disapproval towards Indian actions in Kashmir, Jha relies on two telegrams sent to the High
Commissions in both countries. However, no further details are given on these telegrams (see
page 111).
40. In this regard, Jha's reliance on Akbar Khan's testimony is particularly questionable.
41. For a collection of various viewpoints on the Kashmir dispute, see Raju G.C. Thomas (ed.),
Perspectives on Kashmir: The Roots of Conflict in South Asia (Boulder, CO: Westview Press,
1992).
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42. Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru's classic statement on this view is to be found in The
Discovery of India (Calcutta: Signet Press, 1946).
43. Ashis Nandy, 'The Politics of Secularism and the Recovery of Religious Tolerance',
Alternatives, 13, 3 (1988), 177-94.
44. This view is also shared by Hindu nationalists. For a compelling analysis of Hindu nationalism,
see Amrita Basu, 'Mass Movement or Elite Conspiracy? The Puzzle of Hindu Nationalism', in
David Ludden (ed.), Contesting the Nation: Religion, Community, and the Politics of
Democracy in India (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1996), 55-80.
45. On this view, the emergence of Bangladesh as a separate Muslim homeland in 1971 is
interpreted as the final blow to the communalist idea.
46. The failure to analyse the dynamic role of religion is not limited to an analysis of Pakistan.
By the same token, secularists have erred in understanding the rise of Hindu nationalism
within India. Space considerations do not permit elaboration of this point.
47. Jha states the question quite explicitly: 'Assuming that Muslim interests, and the position of
Muslims in Indian society did need safeguards, at least for psychological reasons, was
Partition the only way of providing them?' (Jha, Kashmir, 1947, ix).
48. Prem Shankar Jha shares this perspective (see Preface).
49. Jha, Kashmir, 1947, ix.
50. For an elaboration of this theme, see Mustapha Kamal Pasha, 'Security as Hegemony',
Alternatives, 21, 3 (July-Sept. 1996), 285-302.
51. See, for instance, the latest Indian movie, Border, which recycles the Partition syndrome.
52. For a comparative study of the three Indo-Pakistani wars, see S. Ganguly, The Origins of War
in South Asia: The Indo-Pakistani Conflicts Since 1947 (2nd edn. Boulder, CO, 1994).
53. D. Hagerty, 'Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia: The 1990 Indo-Pakistani Crisis',
International Security, 20, 3 (Winter 1995-96), 79-114.
54. The most compelling legal and historical argument in support of the Indian position is made
by Jha, Kashmir, 1947. For an account that is largely sympathetic to the Indian position, see
H. Hodson, The Great Divide: Britain-India-Pakistan (Karachi, 1985). The two most pro-
Pakistani accounts are provided by Lamb, Kashmir: A Disputed Legacy and Birth of
Tragedy.
55. For a discussion of the origins of the Kashmir insurgency, see S. Ganguly, The Crisis in
Kashmir: Portents of War, Hopes of Peace (Cambridge and Washington DC, 1997); also see
V. Hewitt, Reclaiming the Past: The Search for Political and Cultural Unity in
Contemporary Kashmir (London, 1995).
56. Obviously, I am not suggesting that all political structures are immutable. Nevertheless, in
the foreseeable future certain configurations of political geography, demography and military
power place distinct (if not insuperable) barriers to the adoption of particular strategies of
conflict resolution. There is a lively debate in the literature on international politics between
the persistence of certain enduring structures of the international system and the possibilities
of systemic transformation. On this subject see A. Wendt, 'Constructing International
Politics', and J. Mearshimer, 'A Realist Reply', International Security, 20, 1 (1995), 71-93.
57. A. Rashid, 'The China Factor', Far Eastern Economic Review, 13 Jan. 1994, 12-13.
58. For a discussion of unrest amongst China's Muslim minorities see J. Dreyer, 'Ethnic Politics
and Policies in the People's Republic of China', in M. Brown and S. Ganguly (eds.),
Government Policies and Ethnic Relations in Asia and the Pacific (Cambridge, MA, 1997),
351-91.
KASHMIR 1947 123
59. On this point, see H. Rizvi, 'Peaceful Resolution of the Kashmir Dispute', Strategic Studies
(Islamabad), 17 (1994), 109-32.
60. The key United Nations resolutions are discussed in Jha, Kashmir 1947, 4-5.
61. See, for example, A. Jalal, 'Kashmir Scars', New Republic, 23 July 1993; H. McDonald,
'Forced into a Comer', Far Eastern Economic Review, 23 Dec. 1993, 18-20; B. Verghese,
'The Fourth Option', Hindustan Times, 25 March 1993, 4; and J. Schwartzberg, 'An
American Perspective IV, Asian Affairs, 22, 1 (1995), 71-87.
62. K. Bajpai and S. Ganguly, 'India and the Crisis in Kashmir', Asian Survey, 34, 5 (May 1994),
401-16.
63. See Jha, Kashmir 1947, 129.
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64. Jha points out that this consideration played an important role in shaping India's military
strategy in the 1947-48 war. See Jha, Kashmir 1947, 126.
65. Personal communication with Professor Amitabh Mattoo of the School of International
Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.
66. See Ganguly, The Crisis in Kashmir, 131.
67. The depth of sentiment on this subject can be gauged from the largely hostile reception that
met Chief Minister Farooq Abdullah's public statement that the Line of Control should be
turned into an international border. See News Dispatches, 'State Government Eyes
Referendum on Border', India Abroad, 7 March 1997, 15; and B. Joshi, 'Lukewarm
Response to Border Proposal', India Abroad, 14 March 1997, 8.
68. Jha, Kashmir 1947, 16-17.
69. S. Ganguly and T. Greenwood (eds.), Mending Fences: Confidence-and Security-Building
Measures in South Asia (Boulder, CO, 1996).
70. For an early discussion of Pakistani involvement in the insurgency see E. Desmond,
'Pakistan's Hidden Hand', Time, 22 July 1991, 23.