Discuss the load curves of the Philippines from 2016 to 2020.

Attach the graph to your

assessment.

2016 Load Curve.

Luzon has the highest load demand and has a slightly course curve. There was a noticeable
increase in demand from February to April then from April to May it has a slight increase in
demand before showing a decrease in demand until July then had a flat slope to August then the
demand decreased toward December. The change in the demand can be concluded that it was
caused by the weather. The energy consumption was higher during the hotter months and the
demand was lower during the cooler month. The demand in both Visayas and Mindanao didn’t
show much changes throughout the year.
The image above shows the demand curves for 2017 and 2018 of Luzon. Comparing from the
load curve of 2016 in Luzon, we can see that the peak demand was higher in both 2017 and 2018
compared to 2016. The highest load in 2016 is 9726MW where as in 2017 and 2018 were
10054MW and 10876MW respectively. The load curve for 2017 also shows that the highest
demand was also in April to May similar to 2016 curve and the demand decreases as the year
ends. This is also true for the load curve of 2018. The highest peak demand is found in the month
of June for 2018. This implies that the summer season lasted until the said month and the
demand once again decreased by the end of the year.
The figure above shows the load curves for 2017 and 2018 in Visayas. It can be seen that there
are irregularities in the both of the curves unlike in the 2016 curve that it was almost consistent.
The highest demand in 2017 is 1975MW in the month of November. For 2018 the highest
demand is 2053MW in the month of May. Unlike in Luzon, the demand in Visayas does not
change that much.
The figure above shows the load curves for 2017 and 2018 in Mindanao. It can be seen that there
are irregularities in the both of the curves unlike in the 2016 curve that it was almost consistent.
The highest demand in 2017 is 1760MW in the month of December. For 2018 the highest
demand is 1847MW in the month of May. Similar to Visayas, the demand in Mindanao does not
change that much.
The demand load of Luzon in 2019 is higher than 2018. The curve shows a huge positive slope
from February to June which indicates increase in energy consumption which can be caused by
the hot weather since it is considered summer season during these months. The slope becomes
negative from June to September then it rose again until October before going down until the
month of December. The highest demand was 11344 MW in June. And the lowest demand is
9123MW in January. Comparing the load curve from 2016, they show a similar pattern, the
demand increases during the summer season then decreases by the rainy season. The load also
grows from 9726MW to 11344MW in 3 years.
The demand load for Visayas in 2019 shows a different behavior compared from the previous
years. The changes in the peak load in each month is very noticeable like the load curve of
Luzon. There is a positive slope from January to May then a negative slope from June to July
then the demand increase again from July to October then decreases again until December. The
peak demand is 2224MW in the month of May and October. The lowest is 1873 in the month of
January. Similar to the load curve of Luzon, the load in 2019 for Visayas is significantly larger
than the 2016 curve.
The load curve for Mindanao in 2019 also shows a slightly different behavior than its previous
years. The changes are somewhat noticeable but not irregular unlike the changes in load curves
of Luzon and Visayas for 2019. The demand increased form February to May then the load
almost stayed constant. Only few fluctuations in the demand can be noticed. The highest demand
is 2013MW in the month of May. Similar to Luzon and Visayas, the demand was higher than the
previous years. This implies that the load increases as the time progresses. The load grows
together with the population and with the society. There is also changes that can be seen by
trends, this is noticeable specially in the Luzon curve. It shows a trend that the load increases by
February to May or June (summer season) then decreases until the end of the year (cold season).
This is important in forecasting loads.