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Analysis of Joe Biden's victory over Donald Trump in U.

S presidential election
a. Joe Biden was projected as the winner of the 2020 presidential election largely because he was
able to convince enough voters that he could better handle the coronavirus pandemic and that he
had the right temperament for the job. Independent voters nationwide had an unfavorable view of
the president and most said U.S. efforts to contain the coronavirus are going badly.
b. The president-elected had the support of some groups that traditionally vote Democratic and made
some inroads with some not-so-traditional Democratic groups, like men and seniors.
c. More voters held a favorable impression of Biden. Mr. Trump's favorability did improve some
from four years ago, but more voters overall had a negative view of him than a positive one. 
d. Biden also outscored Mr. Trump on having the right temperament to serve as president. The
president has improved on this measure since 2016, but more than half of voters felt he did not
have the right temperament to serve effectively.
e. Character mattered. Those who were looking for someone to unite the country and for someone
with good judgment went big for Biden.
f. Independents went narrowly for Mr. Trump in 2016 but swung to Biden this year. He won with a
14-point lead among them nationally, the largest margin recorded among this group since Bill
Clinton won independents in his reelection bid in 1996. Biden won among independents in
Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas, and
Wisconsin — all states where independents voted for Mr. Trump in 2016 — and often by double
digit margins.
g. Roughly four in ten independents voting for Biden report that they did not vote for Hillary
Clinton in 2016, including just over one in 10 who say they voted for Mr. Trump four years ago. 
h. About one in 10 voters nationwide didn't vote in the 2016 presidential election, and six in 10 of
these voters backed Biden. Four in 10 of these voters are under age 25, but nearly half are older,
so they were old enough to cast a ballot in 2016. Most of these voters said they were unhappy
about the way the government is working. 
i. So far, seniors have swung from Republican to Democrat in the battlegrounds of Michigan and
Pennsylvania. In both of these states, older voters were more likely than younger voters to pick
the coronavirus as their top issue.
j. And in Arizona, where seniors make up three in 10 voters, they split their votes between Biden
and the president. In 2016, Mr. Trump won this group by 13 points, and he also won the state.
k. It wasn't just seniors but young voters who helped boost Biden too. Voters under 30 are making
up about 17% of the electorate, similar to their share in 2016, but they supported Biden in bigger
numbers than they did Clinton: a 27-point advantage for Biden, compared to a 19-point margin
for Clinton. 
l. Thirteen percent of the national electorate said they had never voted in an election before this
year, and these new voters went for Biden (66%) over Mr. Trump (32%) by a margin of about
two to one. About half of those new voters are under the age of thirty, and they are more diverse
racially than voters overall. 
m. Women: Continued strong support- As they have since 1984, women made up a higher
percentage of the national electorate than men. They voted for the Democratic candidate for
president since 1992 and they did so again this year. 
n. Biden beat Mr. Trump by 13 points among women, matching Clinton's margin in 2016, and Biden
extended the margin among women slightly in some of the key states that mattered most, namely
in the upper Midwest. White women with college degrees helped Biden in states like Michigan.
They went for Biden by about 20 points, expanding on Clinton's 6-point margin.
o. Black and Latino voters: Support for Biden, as they have in all recent elections, Black voters went
heavily for the Democratic candidate. Nationally, exit polling data so far shows Biden has not
improved on Clinton's performance with Black voters from four years ago. Eighty-seven percent
of Black voters are supporting Biden, compared to 89% for Clinton four years ago. Mr. Trump
won 12% — an improvement from 8% in 2016. Mr. Trump's improvement comes from a slight
boost among Black men. He won 18% of their support this year, up from 13% in 2016. Black men
nationwide who cast a vote for president mostly identify as Republican and conservative. 
p. But in some key battleground states notably Florida and Nevada — fewer Latinos voted
Democratic this year than four years ago. In Florida in particular, where Latinos made up one in
five voters, Biden beat Mr. Trump by just about five percentage points, a far smaller margin than
the 27-point margin Clinton had with this group in 2016. Most Cuban voters — a third of all
Latino voters in Florida — voted for Mr. Trump. Florida Latinos said Mr. Trump would do a
better job than Biden handling the economy. 

What kind of changes is likely to be done by biden?

a. The veteran Democratic politician, who will take office in January 2021, has promised to be a
safe pair of hands for the world.
b. He vows to be friendlier to America's allies than Trump, tougher on autocrats, and better for the
planet. 
c. Biden promises to be different, to reverse some of Trump's more controversial policies including
on climate change, and to work more closely with America's allies.
d. On China, he says he'll continue Trump's tough line on trade, theft of intellectual property and
coercive trade practices by co-opting rather than bullying allies as Trump did.
e. On Iran, he promises Tehran will have a way out of sanctions if it comes into compliance with the
multinational nuclear deal he oversaw with Obama, but which Trump ditched.
f. And with NATO, he is already trying to rebuild confidence by vowing to strike fear in the
Kremlin.
g. Trump isn't the only one to blame for the power vacuum that made this possible -- the outgoing
president only accelerated the disengagement drift of the Obama-Biden era. For the next four
years, Obama's own isolationist legacy will haunt Biden's relations with allies, too, particularly in
the Mideast.
h. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will also be a new challenge for Biden. Erdogan is
stoking conflicts in Syria, Libya and Armenia -- and even spiking tensions with Greece and
France -- to distract from his failings at home. Trump's desire to disengage from the region had
signaled to Erdogan that America would not lead allies to constrain him; the Turkish leader has
since damaged the NATO alliance by buying Russian weapons, and backing attacks on America's
Middle East and European allies' interests in a way unlikely to have been tolerated by previous
US administrations.
i. His plan to contain Iran in a new multinational nuclear deal to replace the Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action, which Trump junked. How will Biden convince the UK, Germany and France --
which invested boundless energy into supporting the US to create the original deal -- to join him
in starting again? And that's before he considers the complication of getting Russia and China on
his side again, as he and Obama did in 2015. China, for one, is unlikely to go along with a new
Iran deal until the US makes concessions in the South China Sea and over trade.
j. After a few weeks in office, the road to White House may appear in retrospect to have been the
easiest part of his journey as president.
k. Biden will work will allies to help solve the Venenzuala and Migrant crisis.
l. Victory of Biden can appear to cast new uncertainty over the US Turkey relationship.
m. Donald Trump stated to rejoin WHO on his first day of presidency.
n. Try to be strict with the rules and regulations regarding to that of Covid.
o. USA to rejoin NATO back again which was cut off by Trump. Also to join back the Paris Climate
accord, restore transgender students' rights, end of Muslim ban.

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