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1, 2002
FLORIAN BIEBER
Introduction
When riots erupted over the reconstruction of the Ferhadija Mosque in Banja Luka in
May 2001 and at the same time the dominant Croat party, the Croatian Democratic
Community (HDZ), continued its policy of boycotting Bosnian institutions, it seemed
as if the fragile interethnic peace, established by the Dayton Peace Accord (DPA) of
November 1995, might disintegrate. In reality, these crises merely re ect the continu-
ing dominance of ethnicity in post-war Bosnia. These events can also be viewed as a
response of nationalist political parties to a recent trend away from ethnic separation
and suspicion to a more integrated Bosnia. A key decision by the Constitutional Court
and the establishment of new governments at the level of entities and joint institutions
without nationalist parties for the rst time since 1990 seem to point towards a more
multinational Bosnia.
Throughout the past decade, Bosnia has experienced broad range of interethnic
relations, from peace and co-existence to war and separation. After the brief unsuccess-
ful attempt of power-sharing from 1990/1991, the reminder of the rst half of the
decade was shaped by attempts to dismantle power-sharing structures and destroy
co-existence through mass murder, expulsions and separation. The years following the
Dayton Peace Accords (DPA) have brought peace, but only limited success in funda-
mentally improving interethnic relations and establishing a functioning system of joint
decision-making between the three predominant national groups of the country.
The current institutional structure of Bosnia draws from a variety of different
institutions and systems of power-sharing. It includes elements from pre-war institu-
tions (such as the collective Presidency), incorporates layers of governance that
emerged during the war (such as the two entities), and borrows from other cases and
theoretical models of power-sharing. As a consequence, the argument can be made that
the system of power-sharing in Bosnia does not constitute any new type of arranging
interethnic relations.
This paper will argue, however, that the novelty of post-Dayton Bosnia lies in the
complexity of the existing institutional structure regulating interethnic relations. The
complexity is conditioned both by the multiple layers of governance instituted by the
Dayton Peace Accords and also the additional network of international organizations
directly engaged—be it in an ad hoc or an institutionalized form—in the administration
and decision-making process in Bosnia.
ISSN 1360-2004 print/ISSN 1469-9591 online/02/010205-14 Ó 2002 Institute of Muslim Minority Affairs
DOI: 10.1080/13602000220124917
206 Florian Bieber
a result of the will of the polity, or at least of the political representatives of national
groups.2 Past practices in power-sharing arrangements do suggest that mechanisms that
are perceived as ‘indigenous’ rather than externally imposed, have a higher likelihood
of success.3
The two predominant features of the current institutional set-up are (a) a consocia-
tional arrangement at the level of the joint state institutions, mixed with (b) an
asymmetric multinational federation.
inclusiveness of democratic representation, but it also stands in con ict with the
principle of refugee return, which, if carried out, would transform both entities into
multinational territories again.
The rigidity of the institutions has been remarked upon by the Constitutional Court
in regard to the Federation. Its observations do, however, also apply to the level of joint
institutions:
… there is at least one striking difference in the electoral mechanisms of
Belgium on the one hand, and the federation of BiH on the other, in particular
as far as the right to stand as a candidate is concerned. The Belgian system
does not preclude per se the right to stand as a candidate solely on the ground
of language. Every citizen can stand as a candidate, but has—upon his
election—to decide whether he will take the oath in French or in Flemish. It
is therefore the subjective choice of the individual candidate whether to take
the oath in French or in Flemish and thereby to ‘represent’ a speci c language
group, whereas provision of the Constitution of the Federation of BiH provide
for a priori ethnically de ned Bosniac and Croat delegates, caucus and veto
powers for them.10
Besides the rigidity of ethnicity in the Presidency, a number of problems can be
identi ed with a presidential system as part of power-sharing in general.11 A presidential
system, even if exercised in the moderated form of a Presidency, personi es ethnicity
more than a cabinet-based system, and renders the distribution of power more dif cult.
The degree of institutionalization of power-sharing is not as strong in the joint
government, although formal regulatory mechanisms to ensure broad representation
exist. The Council of Ministers is formed by up to two-thirds representation from the
Federation and one-third from the Republika Srpska. In addition, every minister has a
deputy from a different national group. As the Chair of the Council of Ministers must
be nominated by the Presidency, and the House of Representatives must approve
him/her and his/her government, there are additional built-in mechanisms ensuring the
inclusion of the different national groups in the government.12 Like the Presidency, the
competences of the government are limited, re ected in the small size of the govern-
ment.
The overall emphasis of ethnic belonging in the executive and legislature of Bosnia
does ensure a permanent grand coalition of the three national groups. At the same time,
the over-institutionalization provides little exibility in the executive power-sharing.
Among a number of additional dif culties associated with the particular institutional
set-up in Bosnia is the near total exclusion of ‘others’ or ‘citizens’, from the power-
sharing arrangement. The constitution recognizes ‘citizens’ as a quasi-separate group
from the three national groups, while the institutional—just as the political and
social—reality ignores the existence of other minorities, citizens of mixed marriages,
and those not willing or able to identify with the national groups. This group—‘citi-
zens’—whose strength is near to impossible to determine, is not guaranteed representa-
tion.13 A legal scholar recently posed the rhetorical question: ‘Who defends the vital
interests of the Citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina?’14 Until early 2001, the answer to
this question would have to be ‘nobody’. The High Representative did, however,
establish two constitutional commissions for both entities in January 2001, which are
charged with safeguarding the interests of the three constituent nations, and the
‘others’.15 Both commissions contain four members from each of the four groups and
the majority of each group can object to a proposed regulation, law or decision of the
Bosnia–Herzegovina 209
entities, if it determines that to be against their group. The commission is charged with
resolving the claim, and, if it cannot agree, refers it to the High Representative. The
commission, a provisional institution, pending the incorporation of the Constitutional
Court decision on the constituent people in the entities (see above), provides for
protection of citizens who are not members of the three national groups.
particular problems to Bosnia that do not apply to other federations, whether based on
national or territorial criteria.
In addition, some further questions arise with regard to multinational federations in
general. A number of factors seem to put into question the adequacy of a federal system
for a multinational setting. The existence of territorialized national groups in the form
of federal units frequently creates a fear of secession. In the regional context the
demand for a republican status, i.e. being a federal unit, by some Albanians in Kosovo
within Yugoslavia in the 1980s was widely perceived as a demand for gradual secession
from the state. Similarly the demands of some Albanian politicians in Macedonia for
territorial autonomy and/or federalization of Macedonia have caused such fears among
the majority. This fear can be found equally in other interethnic disputes around the
world, especially when the demand for federalization is raised at times of high tensions.
Even if the possible danger of separation in Bosnia has been reduced by excluding
any reference to self-determination of either the nations or the entities in the consti-
tution, and politically by the international presence, the concept of a multinational
federation does not fully address this fear.
Decentralized territorial units that are de ned primarily in ethnic terms tend to
accelerate the homogenization of these units or, in the case of Bosnia, delay the
‘re-mixing’ of the population. The territorializatio n of ethnic identity follows the
( awed) assumption that ‘good fences make good neighbors’.25 The resulting segre-
gation and minimal contact between the nations does reduce the political and
emotional investment of the nations constituting the state and preclude a reconstruc-
tion of trust through interaction on an everyday basis. It furthermore reinforces the
division of the state’s polity. Will Kymlicka has argued that multinational federations
encourage centripetal tendencies, which result in a weaker institutional reality than
intended in the constitution.26 As result of this and other de ciencies, Kymlicka has
challenged the desirability of multinational federations: ‘For all these reasons, it seems
likely that multinational federalism will be plagued with instability, and may eventually
devolve into a confederation or simply break up’.27
rather have to do with institutions and mechanisms which either precede or have
followed the Dayton Peace Accords.
Thus, an assessment of the power-sharing structure in Bosnia cannot be limited to
the institutional arrangement of the Dayton Peace Accords alone. Rather, one has to
examine two additional aspects: the functioning of the entities, and the role of the
international community.
thus has only brought to light and exacerbated a pre-existing de ciency of the Feder-
ation.
Stranka za BiH (Party for Bosnia–Herzegovina), SDP and the Croat parties—gained
nearly 20% of the vote.40 While the share of non-Serb population on the territory of the
RS before the war amounted to nearly 50%, the representation of Bosniacs and Croats
in parliament exceeds (the current) demographic distribution. Nevertheless, in the
absence of effective decentralization (which would empower more non-Serb or mixed
administrations in areas of refugee return), and without any power-sharing mechanisms
beyond the coalition between moderate Serb, Bosniac and Croat parties in the Repub-
lika Srpska, it would be misleading to describe the status quo as power-sharing.
The Constitutional Court decision of July 2000 could be considered an important
step in improving power-sharing on the level of entities. The court declared as
unconstitutional under the constitution of Bosnia–Herzegovina parts of the entity
constitutions that declared the respective nations to be the constituent nations of the
entities.41 As a result, the entities are forced to change their constitution so to include
all three nations as constituent nations. While the court decision does not directly affect
the institutional set-up of both entities, changes in the nature of governance in both are
to be expected once the court decision is incorporated into the entities’ constitutions.
The provisional constitutional commissions, as outlined above, are a direct result of the
court ruling and symbolize the most signi cant institutional change in Bosnia since the
Dayton Peace Accords, leaving the augmented role of the High Representative aside.
Alternatives to Dayton
Both international observers and domestic politicians and intellectuals have argued for
a change of the current system of governance in Bosnia. Members of the international
community engaged in implementing the DPA have, however, been rm in arguing
against changes in the ways the country is governed.
The most fundamental changes were proposed by the Stranka za BiH, led by the
wartime Bosnian Prime Minister Haris SilajdzÏ ić. He and his party, now as part of the
Alliance for Change participating in the Federation and joint governments, have
advocated a ‘Dayton 2’ which would change the institutional structure of the country.
Most importantly, the party proposed the abolition of the entities or alternatively the
Bosnia–Herzegovina 215
introduction of a House of Peoples in the Republika Srpska that would also represent
the other constituent people (and others).51 A similar proposal was raised by DrazÏ en
BudisÏ a, president of the Croatian Social–Liberal alliance, a partner in the Croatian
government. BudisÏ a suggested in the light of the establishment of the Croat self-govern-
ment in Herzegovina to transform Bosnia into a Federal State consisting of 12–14
cantons. His suggestion would de facto extend the institutional arrangement of the
Federation to the whole country.52 The cantonization of all of Bosnia, as rst proposed
in the Vance–Owen peace plan in 1993,53 could provide for a degree of decentralization
while decreasing the asymmetry of the state and increase the need for cooperation. The
proposal was met by criticisms from the High Representative Wolfgang Petritsch,
however. Besides the unwillingness to change the Dayton Accords, his criticism related
to the origin of the proposal. It was seen as implicit support for the Croat self-govern-
ment in Bosnia.54 An additional key problem of such a proposal, despite some obvious
merits, is the fact that the Republika Srpska and the Serb political elite vehemently
oppose any such change.
On the other end of the political debate the argument is made that changes in the
structures are not required, but rather in the practices. This case has been made
primarily by the international community that has advocated a more robust implemen-
tation of the existing power-sharing structures and actively promoted moderate political
forces into public of ces through informal means (e.g. nancial and logistical aid,
media publicity). This has created a curious situation where multi-ethnic parties and
candidates promoting a more inclusive conception of political processes are discour-
aged by the structures of the political institutions, but promoted by those who designed
and defended them. The reality of these practices has produced mixed results. The
open support of the International Community for Biljana PlavsÏ ić and Milorad Dodik
was probably counterproductive both in terms of insuring public support and also in
glossing over fundamental problems of both politicians’ records—one as an indicted
war criminal, the other as a politician overseeing economic stagnation and corruption.
In other cases, such as the Alliance for Change and its partners emerging in the
post-election negotiations in the winter of 2000/2001, there is the potential of changing
the functioning of institutions through a change of power-holders.
Conclusion
To tie the functioning of power-sharing to the elected of cials holding positions in this
system cannot provide answers for the problems of the system, as a return of less
cooperative political elites remains possible. It also neglects the basic premises of
power-sharing institutions, which are intended to provide an incentive structure for the
inclusion of those political actors whose main interest may not be cooperation.
The aforementioned decision of the Constitutional Court has raised some fundamen-
tal questions, not only regarding the entities, but also the joint state. Many of the
arguments of the Constitutional Court discussed not only the constitutionality of the
institutionalization of ethnic dominance, but also their impact on the quality of democ-
racy in Bosnia.55 The criticism of the exclusion of ‘others’ in the Federation by the
Constitutional Court, mentioned above, can be applied similarly to the joint state,
where the only difference to the Federation lies in the inclusion of Serbs. ‘Others’, be
they minorities or persons from ethnically mixed marriages, remain excluded from
many layers of the power-sharing structure. It is not only the exclusion of segments of
the population that needs to be addressed on a state-wide level—it is also the over-in-
216 Florian Bieber
NOTES
1. Extensive bombings of military positions of the Republika Srpska did take place in August 1995.
These were the exception rather than the rule in the policy of the West. Despite the confrontational
negotiating style of Richard Holbrooke, the countries attempting to end the war in Bosnia were
unwilling to enforce a peace settlement with the use of force, as, for example, they did in Kosovo
in 1999.
2. Schneider raises the issue of the rati cation of the accords and points to the de facto exclusion of
legislative bodies in the DPA. See Heinrich Schneider, ‘Friede für Bosnien–Herzegowina? Das
Vertragswerk von Dayton als Herausforderung für Europa’ (‘Peace for Bosnia–Herzegovina? The
Dayton Treaty as a Challenge for Europe’), Integration, Vol. 19, No. 1, 1996, pp. 1–2.
3. Ulrich Schneckener, ‘Making Power-Sharing Work: Lessons from Successes and Failures in Ethnic
Con ict Regulation’, InIIS-Arbeitspapier, Vol. 19, 2000.
4. This is likely to change with the adoption of a permanent electoral law. The OSCE-OHR proposed
law still foresees the same double-delimitation, but the Bosnian Council of Ministers has advocated
the possibility for Serbs from outside the RS and Bosniacs and Croats outside the Federation to
run for Presidency. The draft election law, as proposed by the OSCE-OHR, based on the
recommendations of international and domestic legal scholars, is available at: , http://
www.oscebih.org/documents/draftelectionlaw/eng/del-eng.htm . .
5. The constitutions of Bosnia–Herzegovina or the DPA at large do not attempt at de ning the
membership in the different national communities, allowing—hypothetically—for a Croat, Bosniac
or a candidate of mixed descent to run as a self-declared Serb in the elections for representation
of the Republika Srpska in the Presidency.
6. In the absence of a post-war population census only rough estimates exist of the population
distribution in both entities. According to some estimates, over 110,000 non-Serbs lived in the
Republika Srpska in 1998, which constitutes approximately 12%. In the Federation some 450,000
Serbs and ‘others’ lived in 1998, i.e. approx. 17%. These numbers did increase substantially in
1999 and 2000. International Forum Bosnia, ‘The Return of Refugees and Displaced People as a
Precondition for the Survival of Bosnia and Herzegovina’, Sarajevo, March 1999.
7. Arend Lijphart, ‘The Power-Sharing Approach’, in Con ict and Peacemaking in Multiethnic Societies,
ed. Joseph V. Montville, New York: Lexington Books, 1991, pp. 497–498.
8. Donald L. Horowitz, Ethnic Groups in Con ict, Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985.
9. This also applies to other minorities that do not belong to any of the three nations.
10. Constitutional Court of Bosnia–Herzegovina, Partial Decision, Case No. U5/98-III (1.7.2000),
para. 120.
11. See Lijphart, ‘The Power-Sharing Approach’, op. cit.
12. Art. V/4, Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina (1995).
13. Such a representation is dif cult to achieve, as illustrated by the rst election in Bosnia in 1990.
A seat in the Presidency was reserved for ‘Yugoslavs’. The seat was, however, won by a member
of the SDA (Ejup Ganić), while representatives of multiethnic parties lost. The absence of a clear
identity marker poses the danger that such representation might be ‘hijacked’ by representatives of
one national group and used to enhance their strength in relation to others.
14. Ćazim Sadiković, ‘Ko sÏ titi vitalne interese gradjana BiH?’ (‘Who Protects the Vital Interests of the
Citizens of BiH?’), Ljudska Prava (Human Rights), Vol. 1, No. 3–4, 2000, pp. 85–88.
15. OHR Press Release, ‘High Representative Issues Decision Establishing Interim Procedures to
Protect Vital Interests of Constituent Peoples and Others, Including Freedom From Discrimi-
Bosnia–Herzegovina 217
nation’, 11 January 2001; OHR Press Release, ‘High Representatives Names Members of the
Constitutional Commissions of the Entity Parliaments’, 7 February 2001.
16. Constitutional Court of Bosnia–Herzegovina, Partial Decision, Case No. U5/98-I (29./30.1.2000),
para. 32.
17. Dwight Herpreger, Distribution of Powers and Functions in Federal Systems, Ottawa: Government of
Canada, Privy Council Of ce, 1991; available online at: , 198.103.111.55/aia/doc/english/per-
spective/constitutional/powers1.html . (19 March 2001).
18. Art. I/1, Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina (1995).
19. Marcus Cox, State-Building and Post-War Reconstruction : Lessons from Bosnia, the Rehabilitation of
War-Torn Societies, Geneva: CASIN, January 2001, p. 6.
20. Schneider has compared Bosnia with the European Union, referring to the German Constitutional
Court describing the EU as a ‘Staatenverbund’ (Association of States). Heinrich Schneider,
‘Friede für Bosnien–Herzegowina?’ op. cit., p. 4.
21. Although defense is not enumerate as competence of the state (Art. III/1, Constitution of Bosnia
and Herzegovina, 1995), ‘… each member of the Presidency shall, by virtue of the of ce, have
civilian command authority over armed forces’. Art V/5(a) Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina
(1995).
22. This is enshrined in the constitution and has been reiterated by the Supreme Court of Bosnia
(Case No. U5/98-I (29/30.1.2000), para. 10), see also Omer Ibrahimagić, Supremacija Bosne i
Hercegovine nad Entitetama (Supremacy of Bosnia and Herzegovina over its Entities), Sarajevo: Vijeće
Kongresa BosÏ njacÏ kih Inteletualaca and Kult B, 1999. This interpretation is not undisputed,
especially from politicians and legal scholars from the Republika Srpska.
23. This position is, for example, also taken by Cvetan Cvetkovski in his analysis of the Dayton
Accords. Cvetan Cvetkovski, ‘The Constitutional Status of Bosnia and Herzegovina in Accordance
with the Dayton Accords’, Balkan Forum, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1996, pp. 115–116.
24. BrcÏ ko Arbitration Tribunal for Dispute over Inter-Entity Boundary in BrcÏ ko Area, Final Award
(5.3.1999), para. 10 and 11. The status of BrcÏ ko resembles the role of the District of Columbia
within the USA.
25. As argued more radically by John Mearsheimer and Chaim Kaufman, see, for example, Chaim D.
Kaufman, ‘When All Else Fails: Ethnic Population Transfers and Partitions in the Twentieth
Century’, International Security, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1998, pp. 120–156.
26. Will Kymlicka, ‘Is Federalism a Viable Alternative to Secession?’, in Theories of Secession, ed. Percy
B. Lehnig, London and New York: Routledge, 1998, pp. 139–140.
27. Ibid., p. 141.
28. See, for example, the reports of the International Crisis Group.
29. See, for example, International Crisis Group, ‘Is Dayton Failing? Bosnia Four Years after the
Peace Agreement’, Sarajevo/Brussels, 28 October 1999, p. 53.
30. Art. III/3 (a), Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina (1995).
31. The complete list of the joint institutions’ responsibilities is listed in Art. III/1, Constitution of
Bosnia and Herzegovina (1995).
32. Quoted from Steven L. Burg and Paul S. Shoup, The War in Bosnia–Herzegovina. Ethnic Con ict
and International Intervention, Armonk, NY: M. E. Sharpe, 1999, p. 377.
33. For details, see European Stability Initiative, ‘Reshaping International Priorities in Bosnia and
Herzegovina, Part Three: The End of the Nationalist Regimes and the Future of the Bosnian
State’, Berlin, Brussels, Sarajevo, 22 March 2001.
34. He was dismissed by the High Representative in March 2001 after declaring the Croat self-govern-
ment.
35. Dnevni Avaz (Daily Voice), Sarajevo, 16 February 2001; also see International Crisis Group,
‘Turning Strife to Advantage: A Blueprint to Integrate the Croats in Bosnia and Herzegovina’,
Sarajevo/Brussels, 15 March 2001.
36. See Richard Holbrooke, To End a War, New York: Random House, 1999.
37. See International Crisis Group, ‘Republika Srpska—PoplasÏ en, BrcÏ ko and Kosovo: Three Crises
and Out’, Sarajevo, 6 April 1999.
38. Despite the dismal situation in most of the Federation, the economic situation in the RS has been
signi cantly worse. See, for example, Reporter (Banja Luka), 28 June 2000.
39. For example, the RS constitution in its preamble referred to the struggle for freedom and
independence of the Serb people and Art. 1 declared the state to be of the ‘Serb people and of all
its citizens’.
218 Florian Bieber