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116 Pak Vet J, 2010, 30(2): 115-117.
production function, a log-log model was employed models were estimated, among all estimated models log-
(Gujrati, 1995). The ordinary least square regression log form of the regression model was found to be the best
method was used for data analysis. Detailed information for the current data analysis. The functional form of the
of all the variables used in the model is given in Table 1. estimated model is given as under:
The estimated elasticity coefficients of regression model
are presented in Table 2. Log Y = a + β1 logX1+ β2 logX2 + β3 logX3 + β4 logX4 +
β5 log X5+ε
Table 1: Description of the variables used in the milk
production model Where: a = constant term and β’s = unknown
Variables Description regression coefficients to be estimated of the independent
Dependent variable variables and ε is random error term.
Y = Milk production Value of average milk yield
per animal per day (Rupees) RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Independent variables
X1 = Dry fodder Value of dry fodder used per The descriptive statistics for the variables which were
animal per day (Rupees) used in the estimated log-log regression model are
X2 = Green fodder Value of green fodder used presented in Table 3. This table provides the basic
per animal per day (Rupees) information on all the variables viz. minimum value,
X3 = Concentrate Value of concentrate used per maximum value, mean value and their standard
animal per day (Rupees) deviations. The factors selected for the milk production
X4 = Lactation number Number of lactation(s) were the value of dry fodder, the value of green fodder,
completed (including current the value of concentrate, number of lactations and the
lactation) value of labour hours.
X5 = Labour hours Value of labour hours used Out of five estimated elasticity coefficients (Table 2),
per animal per day (Rupees) three elasticity coefficients were significant (P<0.05). The
estimated elasticity coefficient for green fodder shows that
Table 2: The coefficients of the estimated milk increasing green fodder value by 1 percent the value of
production regression model milk production increases by 2.64 percent (P<0.05). In
Variables Estimated Standard Probability Pakistan, generally fodders like rice straw, wheat straw,
elasticity error level
maize, sorghum and millet are provided to the buffaloes.
coefficients
As the population in the country is increasing fast, it is
Constant 19.21
very difficult to allocate additional land for fodder
LnX1 0.42 0.63 0.506 NS
production (Ahmad et al., 1990) but at the same time
LnX2 2.64 1.27 0.042*
LnX3 2.04 1.46 0.169 NS investment in producing balanced and adequate feed is
LnX4 -0.76 0.16 0.000** essential for improving milk yield in the country (Afzal,
LnX5 2.15 0.58 0.001** 2010).
NS = Non-significant, * = Significant (P< 0.05), The variable of lactation number showed negative
** = Significant (P<0.01). sign with milk production and was found highly
significant. The coefficient of this variable shows that for
Table 3: Descriptive statistics of the variables used in every one percent increase in lactation number, there will
the milk production model be 0.76 percent decrease in milk production, keeping
Variable Minimum Maximum Mean Standard other factors constant. The behavior of this variable may
deviation be due to decreasing potential of milk production
Y = Milk 60.00 440.00 221.07 96.97 attributed to increasing age of buffaloes. Similarly, the
production estimated elasticity coefficient for labour hours used
X1 = Dry 3.00 4.00 3.30 0.36
reveals that by increasing labour hours value by 1 percent,
fodder
X2 = Green 24.00 28.00 26.66 1.07 the value of milk production increases by 2.15 percent
fodder (P<0.01).
X3 = 29.00 35.00 31.55 1.89 The computed F-value of the model was 14.16
Concentrate (P<0.01), indicating that a definite statistical relationship
X4 = 2.00 7.00 4.05 1.38 exists between the dependent variable and the independent
Lactation variables. Above findings conclude feed and labor as
number
X5 = Labour 2.50 3.50 2.94 0.33 important determinants of milk production in the study
hours area. Similar findings were found by Razzaque et al.
(2009), who concluded that feed and labour costs affected
The characteristics and related variable assumed to be significantly net income of dairy farms in Kuwait. The
affecting the milk production included dry fodder, green Durbin-Watson test value was 1.79, suggesting that there
fodder, concentrate and labour hours, as all these is no problem of autocorrelation in the data set. The
independent variables were expected to be positively coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.58 which indicates
related with the milk production. In the model building that all the explanatory variables explained 58 percent of
process, various forms of ordinary least squares regression the variation in milk production.
117 Pak Vet J, 2010, 30(2): 115-117.