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AÑO Xi MES

1 2000 39.7
2 2001 56.5
3 2002 46
4 2003 33.6
5 2004 28
6 2005 29.9
7 2006 31.7
8 2007 45.2
9 2008 36.8
10 2009 41
11 2010 40.2
12 2011 33.7
13 2012 33.4
14 2013 36.9
15 2014 34.5
16 2015 26.4
17 2016 25
18 2017 27.6
19 2018 51.8
20 2019 38.6
MAX 56.5 Suma
Promedio 36.825
Desv. Stand (S) 8.36325767553341 S=

𝑆=√((∑(𝑋𝑖−𝑋)^2)/(𝑛−1))

𝛽=√6/𝜋∗𝑠
6.52080525750639 mm

33.0611912053673 mm
𝑢=𝑥−0,5772∗𝛽

Periodo de Retorno Yt Xt F(x)


2 0.366512920581664 35.4511505848402 0.5
5 1.49993998675952 42.8420077569728 0.8
10 2.25036732731244 47.7353983046269 0.9
25 3.19853426144538 53.9182102337147 0.96
50 3.90193865793583 58.5049733205027 0.98
75 4.31078411075375 61.1709748987453 0.98666667
100 4.60014922677657 63.0578684686459 0.99
500 6.21360726408752 73.5789141211091 0.998

P.M.P (mm/24horas) para diferentes tiempos de duracion S


DURACION FACTOR DE REDUCCION
2 5 10
24 1 40.0598001608695 48.4114687653793 53.9410001
18 0.91 36.4544181463912 44.0544365764952 49.0863101
12 0.8 32.0478401286956 38.7291750123034 43.1528001
8 0.68 27.2406641093912 32.9197987604579 36.6798801
6 0.61 24.4364780981304 29.5309959468814 32.9040101
5 0.67 26.8400661077825 32.4356840728041 36.1404701
4 0.62 24.8370760997391 30.0151106345352 33.4434201
3 0.48 19.2287040772173 23.2375050073821 25.89168
2 0.39 15.6233220627391 18.8804728184979 21.03699
1 0.3 12.0179400482608 14.5234406296138 16.1823

𝐼=(𝑃(𝑚𝑚))/(𝑇𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛(𝐻𝑟))

TIEMPO DE DURACION Intensidad de la lluvia (mm/hr= según el Periodo


Hr min 2 años 5 años 10 años
24 1440 1.66915834003623 2.0171445318908 2.24754167
18 1080 2.02524545257729 2.44746869869418 2.72701723
12 720 2.67065334405796 3.22743125102529 3.59606667
8 480 3.40508301367391 4.11497484505724 4.58498501
6 360 4.0727463496884 4.92183265781356 5.48400168
5 300 5.36801322155651 6.48713681456082 7.22809401
4 240 6.20926902493477 7.50377765863379 8.36085501
3 180 6.40956802573912 7.74583500246068 8.63056001
2 120 7.81166103136955 9.44023640924896 10.518495
1 60 12.0179400482608 14.5234406296138 16.1823

Y=∝∗𝑋^𝛽

2 años
14

12 f(x) = 168.529792324829 x^-0.628227981668368


R² = 0.985089386554071
10

2
10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

10 años
18

16 f(x) = 226.927381202175 x^-0.628227981668368


R² = 0.985089386554072
14

12

10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

50 años
25

20 f(x) = 278.124428714318 x^-0.628227981668368


R² = 0.985089386554071

15

10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

100 años
25

f(x) = 299.768252994634 x^-0.628227981668368


20 R² = 0.985089386554071

15

10
f(x) = 299.768252994634 x^-0.628227981668368
20 R² = 0.985089386554071

15

10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Resumen de aplicación de regresion potencial


Resumen
Periodo de retorno Coef. de regresión Exp. De regresion
400
2 168.53 -0.628
350 f(x) = 163.47637
5 203.66 -0.628 R² = 0.97801722
10 226.93 -0.628 300
25 256.32 -0.628 250
50 278.12 -0.628
200
75 290.8 -0.628
100 299.77 -0.628 150
500 349.78 -0.628
100
PROMEDIO 259.23875 -0.628
50

0
0 100

Finalmente se tiene la ecuacion de intensidad validada para la cuenca

𝐼= 〖∝𝑇〗 ^𝛽/𝑇^𝛽 I= 163.48 *


0.628
t

Donde: I Intensidad de precipitacion (mm


T Periodo de retorno (años)
t Tiempo de duracion de precipita

TABLA DE INTENSIDAD - TIEMPO DE DURACION- PERIODO DE RETOR


Frecuencia (T años)
Duracion (t in)
2 5 10
10 42.1394475291209 47.4832482437592 51.9714255
20 27.26729145106 30.7251196876958 33.6292972
30 21.1376493668643 23.8181635267703 26.0694868
40 17.6439233704534 19.8813900636485 21.7606044
50 15.3368325093031 17.2817316792997 18.915223
60 13.6775985370549 15.4120864129659 16.8688565
70 12.415587309885 13.9900366258939 15.3123928
80 11.4169033789504 12.8647072779747 14.0806958
90 10.6028969755176 11.9474748415623 13.0767654
100 9.92404757272297 11.1825389773522 12.2395268
110 9.34747325437553 10.5328479373795 11.5284262
120 8.85040235524529 9.97274232892702 10.9153787
130 8.41651714072412 9.48383512775482 10.3802593
150 7.69313806869308 8.66872268405576 9.48810142
160 7.38756794775961 8.32440250999243 9.11123566
170 7.11159334493365 8.01343093007548 8.77087065
180 6.86084652289777 7.73088632412555 8.46161957
190 6.63180237712553 7.47279656096557 8.17913483
200 6.42158152056027 7.23591711181272 7.91986524
210 6.22780664266373 7.01756919388599 7.68087879
220 6.04849594627239 6.81551969374418 7.45973132
230 5.88198288450758 6.62789072584794 7.25436742
240 5.72685487423275 6.45309057412906 7.06304494

100

90

80

70

60
INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

50

40

30
50

INTENSIDA
40

30

20

10

0
0 50

FRECUENCIA (años)
(Xi-prom)^2
8.265625
387.105625
84.180625
10.400625
77.880625
47.955625
26.265625
70.140625
0.000625
17.430625
11.390625
9.765625
11.730625
0.005625
5.405625
108.680625
139.830625
85.100625
224.250625
3.150625
1328.9375

8.36325768

Xt corregido
40.0598002
48.4114688
53.9410001
60.9275776
66.1106199
69.1232016
71.2553914
83.144173

iferentes tiempos de duracion Sg. Periodo de Retorno


25 50 75 100 500
60.9275776 66.1106199 69.1232016 71.2553914 83.144173
55.4440956 60.1606641 62.9021135 64.8424061 75.6611974
48.7420621 52.8884959 55.2985613 57.0043131 66.5153384
41.4307527 44.9552215 47.0037771 48.4536661 56.5380376
37.1658223 40.3274781 42.165153 43.4657887 50.7179455
40.821477 44.2941153 46.3125451 47.7411122 55.7065959
37.7750981 40.9885843 42.856385 44.1783426 51.5493872
29.2452372 31.7330975 33.1791368 34.2025879 39.909203
23.7617552 25.7831417 26.9580486 27.7896026 32.4262275
18.2782733 19.833186 20.7369605 21.3766174 24.9432519

luvia (mm/hr= según el Periodo de Retorno


25 años 50 años 75 años 100 años 500 años
2.53864907 2.75460916 2.8801334 2.96897464 3.46434054
3.08022753 3.34225911 3.49456186 3.6023559 4.20339986
4.0618385 4.40737466 4.60821344 4.75035942 5.54294486
5.17884409 5.61940269 5.87547214 6.05670827 7.0672547
6.19430372 6.72124635 7.0275255 7.24429812 8.45299092
8.16429539 8.85882306 9.26250902 9.54822244 11.1413192
9.44377452 10.2471461 10.7140963 11.0445857 12.8873468
9.74841241 10.5776992 11.0597123 11.4008626 13.3030677
11.8808776 12.8915709 13.4790243 13.8948013 16.2131137
18.2782733 19.833186 20.7369605 21.3766174 24.9432519

168.53
5 años
203.66
16
f(x) = 203.664889600194 x^-0.628227981668368
14 R² = 0.985089386554071

12

10

2
10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

226.93
25 años 256.32
20
f(x) = 256.319601008948 x^-0.628227981668368
18 R² = 0.985089386554071
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1600 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

75 años 278.12
290.8
25

f(x) = 290.798225894572 x^-0.628227981668368


20 R² = 0.985089386554071

15

10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

500 años
299.77
30
349.78
25 f(x) = 349.783826808136 x^-0.628227981668368
R² = 0.985089386554071

20

15

10
25 f(x) = 349.783826808136 x^-0.628227981668368
R² = 0.985089386554071

20

15

10

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Resumen de aplicación de regresión potencial


400

350 f(x) = 163.476374163043 x^0.130326005587153


R² = 0.978017220783693
300

250

200

150

100

50

0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600

0.1303
T

ntensidad de precipitacion (mm/hr)


eriodo de retorno (años)
empo de duracion de precipitacion (min)

DURACION- PERIODO DE RETORNO


Frecuencia (T años)
25 50 75 100 500
58.5620421 64.0974011 67.5748533 70.1559692 86.5247634
37.8939061 41.4756865 43.7258514 45.3960214 55.9878233
29.3754186 32.1520207 33.8963522 35.1910707 43.4018531
24.520117 26.8377897 28.2938103 29.3745319 36.2281991
21.3139062 23.3285238 24.5941574 25.5335656 31.4910584
19.0080352 20.8046989 21.9334085 22.7711856 28.0841598
17.2541927 18.885081 19.9096462 20.670123 25.4928771
15.8663014 17.3660045 18.3081558 19.0074614 23.4422832
14.7350603 16.127837 17.0028145 17.6522607 21.7708871
13.7916495 15.0952538 15.914211 16.5220765 20.3770082
12.9903725 14.2182391 14.9896159 15.5621653 19.1931304
12.2995831 13.4621554 14.1925126 14.7346155 18.1724967
11.696604 12.802182 13.4967339 14.0122605 17.2816019
10.6913095 11.7018657 12.3367226 12.807941 15.7962904
10.2666525 11.2370696 11.8467101 12.2992118 15.1688645
9.88312503 10.8172906 11.404157 11.8397547 14.6022069
9.5346571 10.4358851 11.0020592 11.4222982 14.0873494
9.21634982 10.087491 10.6347638 11.0409735 13.617054
8.92420165 9.76772858 10.2976535 10.6909868 13.1854083
8.65490878 9.47298181 9.98691594 10.3683801 12.7875311
8.40571708 9.2002362 9.69937316 10.0698543 12.4193532
8.17431052 8.94695678 9.43235268 9.79263456 12.0774525
7.95872598 8.71099493 9.18358927 9.53436929 11.7589288

CURVA INTESIDAD-DURACION-FRECUENCIA
50 100 150 200

DURACI[ON (minutos)

FRECUENCIA (años)
2 5 10 25 50 75 100 500
CIA
200 250 300

0 500
DURACION (m) 30 m (x-xmedia) (x-xmedia)^2 60 m (x-xmedia) (x-xmedia)^2
1 65 -10.5 110.25 50 -6.7 44.89
2 70 -5.5 30.25 52 -4.7 22.09
3 80 4.5 20.25 55 -1.7 2.89
4 95 19.5 380.25 57 0.3 0.09
5 65 -10.5 110.25 63 6.3 39.69
6 130 54.5 2970.25 61 4.3 18.49
7 75 -0.5 0.25 68 11.3 127.69
8 69 -6.5 42.25 55 -1.7 2.89
9 56 -19.5 380.25 52 -4.7 22.09
10 50 -25.5 650.25 54 -2.7 7.29
suma 4694.5 288.1
PROMEDIO 75.5 56.7

DESVIACION ESTANDAR 21.666794871 5.36749476 DESVIACION ESTAN


Distribucion Normal
periodo de retorno (años) 25 50 100
f(x) 0.96 0.98 0.99
Z por tablas 1.76 2.06 2.33
30 113.63355897 120.1335974351 125.9836320504
60 66.146790778 67.75703920586 69.2062627911
90 57.846309344 60.24397570941 62.40187543831
120 34.549422462 35.85330129059 37.02679223644
240 15.272551791 17.87582766477 20.21877595093

Curva IDF distribucion normal


240

210

180
240

210

180

150

120

90

60

30

00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

tr 25 años tr 50 años tr 100 años


90 m (x-xmedia) (x-xmedia)^2 120 m (x-xmedia) (x-xmedia)^2
1 30.2 -13.58 184.4164 20 -6.9 47.61
2 34.2 -9.58 91.7764 22 -4.9 24.01
3 36.4 -7.38 54.4644 25 -1.9 3.60999999999999
4 45 1.22 1.4884 24 -2.9 8.40999999999999
5 44 0.22 0.0484 25 -1.9 3.60999999999999
6 47 3.22 10.3684 27 0.1 0.01
7 56 12.22 149.3284 28 1.1 1.21
8 55 11.22 125.8884 33 6.1 37.21
9 48 4.22 17.8084 32 5.1 26.01
10 42 -1.78 3.1684 33 6.1 37.21
suma 638.756 188.9
PROMEDIO 43.78 26.9

DESVIACION ESTANDAR 7.992221218 4.346262762


240 m (x-xmedia) (x-xmedia)^2
1 3 -2.04 4.1616
2 7 1.96 3.8416
3 5 -0.04 0.0016
4 6 0.96 0.9216
5 2 -3.04 9.2416
6 6.5 1.46 2.1316
7 7 1.96 3.8416
8 2.9 -2.14 4.5796
9 5 -0.04 0.0016
10 6 0.96 0.9216
suma 29.644
PROMEDIO 5.04

DESVIACION ESTANDAR 1.72174330258607

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