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STUDY ON
“RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BOOK VALUE AND MARKET VALUE OF
SHARES IN BANKING AND CEMENT SECTOR”
BY
VARUN ARUR
Registration No. 06XQCM6083
DATE: (Principal)
GUIDE’S CERTIFICATE
has been prepared by Mr. Varun Arur bearing the registration no.
06XQCM6083 is a bonafide work done, carried under my guidance and
supervision during the academic year 2007-08 in partial requirement for the award
of MBA degree by Bangalore University. To the best of my knowledge
this report has not formed the basis for the award of any other degree or diploma.
PLACE: Bangalore
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Finally, I express my sincere gratitude to all my friends, family and well wishers who
helped me in doing this report.
Thank You.
VARUN ARUR
CONTENTS
Chapter No Contents Page No
METHODOLOGY
4.1 Type of Research
4.2 Sampling Technique
4.3 Sample Size
SECTOR ANALYSIS
Chapter 5 25
5.1 Banking Sector
5.2 Cement Sector
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF CHARTS
1. ABSTRACT
The literature on fundamental analysis on valuing stocks is perhaps one of the earliest
developments in the literature on security analysis. It perhaps sought to find an answer to the age
old adage - ‘What explains stock prices?’ However, various limitations of the models used in
fundamental analysis led to the development of various alternative valuation models.
Share price is the most important factor readily available to the investors for their
decision to invest or not in a particular share. Theories suggest that share price changes are
associated with changes in fundamental variables with changes in valuation like payout ratio,
dividend yield, capital structure, earnings, size of the firm and its growth. Investigations of share
However the actual fundamental factors found to be relevant may vary from market to
market. The changes in asset growth of firms are significant in case of Japanese shares while
earnings appear to be universally a relevant factor. However, it is widely agreed that a set of
fundamental variables as, suggested by individual theories is no doubt relevant as possible
factors affecting share prices changes in the short and the long run. Knowledge of relative
influence of fundamental factors on equity share prices is helpful to corporate, management,
government and investors.
The topic, “A study on relationship between Book Value and Market value of shares in
Banking and Cement sector” is chosen to understand the role played by book value towards the
market value and to study the relation between the same. The initial assumption that was made to
compare market value with book value of various companies is grouped into sectors.
The study was made for Ten companies, which are grouped into Two sectors. These
sectors are Banking sector and Cement sector.
Basically the topic was primarily chosen because, it would help me to comprehend in
depth one of my most fascinating investment concept-market price to book value which I feel is
The study conducted on the market price to book value is analyzed by comparing the
market value and book value dependency. In the suggestion part the suggestions are made in
which companies to invest and where not to invest.
2. INTRODUCTION
The relationship between price and book value has always attracted the attention of
investors. Stocks selling for well below the book value of equity have generally been considered
good candidates for undervalued portfolios, while those selling for more than book value have
been targets for overvalued portfolios. This study aims at examining the relation between book
value and market value as an investment tool to identify the undervalued stocks.
The market value of the equity of a firm reflects the market’s expectation of the firm’s
earning power and cash flows. The book value of equity is the difference between the book value
of assets and the book value of liabilities, a number that is largely determined by accounting
conventions. The book value of assets is the original price paid for the assets reduced by any
allowable depreciation on the assets. Consequently, the book value of an asset decreases as it
ages. The book value of liabilities similarly reflects the "at-issue" values of the liabilities. Since
the book value of an asset reflects its original cost, it might deviate significantly from market
value if the earning power of the asset has increased or declined significantly since its
acquisition.
There are several reasons why investors find the price-book value ratio useful in
investment analysis. The first is that the book value provides a relatively stable, intuitive measure
of value that can be compared to the market price. For investors who instinctively mistrust
discounted cash flow estimates of value, the book value is a much simpler benchmark for
comparison. The second is that, given reasonably consistent accounting standards across firms,
price-book value ratios can be compared across similar firms for signs of under or over
valuation. Finally, even firms with negative earnings, which cannot be valued, using price-
earnings ratios, can be evaluated using price-book value ratios; there are far fewer firms with
negative book value than there are firms with negative earnings.
There are several disadvantages associated with measuring and using price-book value
ratios. First, book values, like earnings, are affected by accounting decisions on depreciation and
other variables. Second, book value may not carry much meaning for service and technology
firms which do not have significant tangible assets.
Neither the actual book value of any company vis-à-vis its market value does not take
into account the “going-concern” value, nor the value of its “goodwill” and all that it entails.
Nevertheless, the chart below shows what has happened to market values, when Market to Book
rose to an unrealistic ratio.
2.1.3 Uses:
1. Book value is used in the financial ratio price/book. It is a valuation metric that sets the
floor for stock prices under a worst-case scenario. When a business is liquidated, the book value
is what may be left over for the owners after all the debts are paid. Paying only a price/book = 1
means the investor will get all his investment back. Share of capital intensive industries trade at
lower price/book ratios because they generate lower earnings per dollar of assets. Business
depending on human capital will generate higher earnings per dollar of assets, so will trade at
higher price/book ratios.
2. Book value per share can be used to generate a measure of comprehensive earnings,
when the opening and closing values are reconciled.
Yes, the market value can be more than the book value. Market value is determined by
the combination of all players in the market. This includes financial institutions, mutual funds,
foreign institutional investors, securities operators and the common investor. Since the market
price is the culmination of the demand and supply position in the market, one can conclude that
the expectations of the various players will get reflected in it. So much so, the market t value is
the net result of the perception regarding current earnings, future earnings, industrial growth,
competitive advantage, and so on. The book value of the shares would also be a factor that is
taken into account by the market in arriving at the price, but it is just another factor.
Therefore, it is possible for the market price to be more than the book value if the net
perception in the market is that the company has growth potential and that it is likely to perform
better than it is doing at present.
Can book value exceed the market value? Why not? Sometimes, a company may be
performing steadily and having a fair book value. However, because of the stagnation of growth
possibilities or the imminent force of competition or other factors affecting its future chances, the
market might have viewed the share in poor light. If so, we can have instances where the market
value is less than the book value.
Value investors search for companies that have been overlooked by the market. This
means that they are not in the general attention of the other investors, but still provide
opportunities for high returns. The key to the success of value investors is that they manage to
find companies that are in their beginning of development and nobody else has yet noticed them.
Value investors make a long-term investment in the company and patiently wait until the
company develops to its full potential. This is the time when the other analysts also notice the
potential of the company and the big bidding begins. As a result of his/her perspicacity the value
investor collects his/her fat profits.
• That the assets are overstated on the balance sheet. In this case, we should avoid the
company because it may be destroying shareholder value. Ford (NYSE: F) is a good
example of this. According to MSN Money Central, Ford's P/B was 0.72 in 1997, and its
book value per share was $25.54. Today, Ford's P/B is 1.30, and its book value per share
is down to $7.66. During that time, the share price has fallen from nearly $50 to less than
• That the company will generally have a poor return on equity (ROE) and poor
return on assets (ROA). If earnings are negative, there will be a negative ROE and
ROA. Of course, if there is a solid management team that is turning around the
company's fortunes, then we may have an interesting value proposition.
• That the industry at large has a low P/B. Certain industries have low P/B ratios,
generally because they are cyclical or because the companies generate relatively low
ROE. Hurricane Katrina reminds us that insurance companies typically have low P/B
ratios because of the cyclicality of that industry. "Hard insurance markets" (i.e., those
with higher premiums) form after a major disaster. This attracts new capital in the short
term, when investment returns can be very good. After a while, however, competition
increases and the market softens. It's important to find insurance companies that maintain
discipline in a soft market. Otherwise, they'll take on risks that are not adequately
covered in the premiums. Eventually, claims will roll in, along with underwriting losses,
and the book value will be reduced.
So what makes the P/B ratio so wonderful? For starters, it's easy to calculate. The price-
to-book ratio is simply a stock's market capitalization (stock price times shares outstanding)
divided by the book value of equity on its balance sheet. This provides investors with an easy
means of comparing the value the market has assigned to a stock with the accounting value of
the firm's equity. Stocks that trade at a P/B ratio of less than 1 are considered undervalued.
Proponents of the P/B ratio would argue that this conservative accounting approach to
assessing value (book value) is a better measuring stick than the market price (market
capitalization), which can often be irrational and volatile. Along these lines, it's commonly
believed that a stock's book value equals its liquidation value. If a private equity firm or wealthy
investor were to swoop in and buy out a company, they could then turn around and liquidate it by
paying off the debt and selling all the assets.
Price to book ratios is a popular method for gauging a stocks relative value. Just like
price to earnings ratios, P/B multiples that are relatively high usually signify that the stock is
overvalued. Investing in low P/B companies has forever been a staple strategy among value
investors. Yet, stocks trading at higher P/B ratios can still be good investments and actually be
undervalued.
Understanding the drivers of the P/B ratio helps determine whether the stock deserves a
high multiple. Often, the P/B multiples published are not forward looking. The share price is
forward looking, yet the book value (denominator) is a historical figure taken from the balance
sheet.
2.1.11 Price/book Ratio Disadvantages:
On the other hand, price/book value fails to reflect intangible assets such as intellectual
assets, which represent the basis of the functions of high-tech companies (e.g. Microsoft). As a
result, the balance sheets of such companies fail to reflect the intellectual assets of such
companies. In turn, this leads to low book values and artificially high price/book ratios.
You probably think that you have never heard of the term “market capitalization” before.
You have! When you are talking about “mid-cap”, “small-cap” and “large-cap” stocks, you are
talking about market capitalization!
Market cap or market capitalization is simply the worth of a company in terms of its
shares! To put it in a simple way, if you were to buy all the shares of a particular company, what
is the amount you would have to pay? That amount is called the “market capitalization”. When
you decide on the investment in a particular stock you should consider the size of the company
that issues it. Additionally, you should decide on the amount of the money you would allocate.
This is required since companies of different sizes react in a different way to market conditions
and changes.
1. by revenue
The first classification, namely by revenue, is rarely used. This is so since the differences
observed from one industry to another usually distort the size of the company.
On the other hand, the most commonly used measure is the second one - market
capitalization.
By applying this formula to any other real company you will be able to measure its
market cap to other companies' market cap.
Market capitalization can be easily found in the online resources by simply entering the
symbol. The market cap should appear somewhere among the reported data.
Companies can be included in one of the following categories depending on their market
capitalization:
The categories listed above don't represent an obligatory classification. Many sources
prefer the usage of just three categories: small, medium and large.
Stocks from companies with micro and small market capitalization are most volatile.
They are also most susceptible to failure.
On the other hand, the high risk goes hand in hand with high potential reward. Finally,
the size of the company doesn't determine its potential for success. Small companies bring both
high risks and high returns. On the other hand, being a large company has its advantages in the
huge stock market.
If you are to apply a fundamental analysis in evaluating a stock you consider purchasing,
per-share price is almost of no use.
The uselessness of a per-share price in fundamental analysis stems from the fact that
stock prices are very dynamic in their nature. Additionally, every company holds a different
number of shares outstanding. As a result our ability to gain an understanding of the real value of
a company is much hampered.
In order to determine the value of a company, we should identify its market capitalization
(also known as market cap).
The market cap represents the money you will need in order to buy the whole company
on the open market.
Many times a stock that costs $40 is stated to be cheaper than a stock priced $15.
Consider the following example to see why this is so.
Stock A Stock B
As you can see, even though the price of stock B is lower than the price of stock A, its
market cap is higher. Therefore, the stock price alone doesn't tell you anything about the value of
the company in itself.
However, the market capitalization does convey a meaning. When deciding on the
investment in a particular stock it should not be evaluated out of the context. You should also
When you attempt to put in balance your investment portfolio, market cap is applied in
the stock screens. Market Capitalization represents a better choice when evaluating a stock. Per-
share price many times is useless because it may be misleading in assessing the real value of a
company.
The model incorporates distinct valuation roles for the two summary accounting
numbers, earnings and book value. In setting price, one starts with book value-the stock of (net)
assets-and adjusts it upward if one expects those assets to exceed average profitability levels and
downward if one expects them to fall short of average profitability. To estimate future
profitability, one starts with current profitability, or earnings divided by book value (ROE).
Earnings and book values are complementary, not competing, indicators of value. It
follows that Price/Earnings ratios (P/E) and Price/Book (P/B) should provide complementary
information about expected future profitability, and P/B is a function of the expected level of
future profitability. The P/E-P/B combination jointly reveals the market’s expectations regarding
future profitability relative to current profitability.
The empirical evidence supports the validity of the valuation model. The results also
indicate, paradoxically, that eliminating dividends from the empirical tests can actually validate
the role of dividends in valuation. Most importantly, the evidence confirms the primary role of
earnings prediction in determining firm value.
Yt = yt-1 + xt – dt
Where,
Yt = book value at time t,
Xt = earnings for period t and
dt = dividends for period t.
The model requires one additional concept – abnormal earnings, defined as Earnings
adjusted for normal (risk – adjusted) rate of return on book value. Formally:
Xat = xt – kyt-1
The evolution of abnormal earnings is restricted in the following way:
Where, 0 less than 1, and et is the surprise in abnormal earnings in period t. whatever the
firm’s current earnings, competitive forces are assumed to reduce the firm’s abnormal earnings
over time. At some point, the firm will have only zero net present value opportunities and zero
abnormal earnings. Because of this convergence property, abnormal earnings play a central role
in the valuation function.
By replacing dividends in the Dividend Discount Model formula with the clean surplus
formula and abnormal earnings, on restates price in terms of current book value and future
abnormal earnings. Iterative substitution of
dt = xat + (1 + k) yt-1 - yt
Into Equation 1 for r = t, t+1,……., yields:
2.1.17 The P/B Ratio
Dividing the above equation by book value, yt, gives an expression for the price-to-book
ratio:
Market price: The prevailing price at which merchandise, securities, or commodities are
sold.
3. LITERATURE REVIEW
Traditionally, the Price to Earning ratio has been more popular as a valuation tool than
price to book value ratio, and is widely used in making investment decisions by both laymen and
analysts. Basu (1977) showed how the price-earnings ratio that is computed from reported
Another valuation indicator for analysts is the ratio of Market value to Book value since
under theoretically ideal conditions the Market value of a firm should reflect its share has some
relationship to the stock’s economic worth. Example: if company is liquidated and its assets sold
for their book value, the book value per share will provide the floor on the stock’s price. But this
is not so in reality because the liquidation value of assets are generally much lower than their
values. The higher a company’s price to book ratio, the more likely it is overvalued whereas
lower the ratio the chances are that it is undervalued. Companies with a market to book ratio of
less than 1 are serious candidates for undervaluation and represent possibly good buys.
The P/B ratio has been used in the valuation of stocks because the assets of a bank have
similar book values and market values. Generally the assets of a bank include investments in
government securities, corporate bonds along with commercial or personal loans, which are
considered to be collectible. Under such conditions the P/B ratio should be close to 1.And the
banking industry is satisfying this level. In case of an industrial company P/B ratio can be
expected to be more than 1.Since the book value of assets based on historical records will almost
always be less than either their current replacement value or the firm’s break-up value.
Some have suggested that stocks with low P/B ratio should outperform high P/B ratios.
Marakon Associates (1980) suggested the following regarding the behavior of P/B ratio over a
time period. “One of the lesser known, but most interesting, principles of economics is that
whenever a company consistently earns a rate of Return on Equity(ROE) which exceeds its Cost
Wilcox (1984) showed that the P/B model appears to be a better valuation model than the
P/E model. A study by Rosenberg (1985) examined this aspect and found that stocks with low
P/B ratios experienced significantly higher risk adjusted returns than the average stocks.
A study by Fama & French (1992) provided even greater support for this ratio as a useful
measure of relative value. The purpose of the study was to examine alternative variables that
would explain the cross section rate of return on common stocks .One of the explanatory
variables was the well-known beta coefficient. Their results did not provide much support for
Beta as an explanatory variable but their results did reveal that both the size of firms and the ratio
of book value to market value of equity were significant explanatory variables .They also
contended that the Book value to Market value ratio was the single best variable.
Fairfield (1994) establishes that the Price/Earnings ratio is a function of expected changes
in future profitability, while the Price/Book value ratio is a function of expected levels of future
profitability.
Penman (1996) in his study explains that the P/E ratio indicates future growth in
earnings, which is positively related to expected future return on equity and negatively related
current return on equity. The P/B ratio indicates expected future return on equity. So, the two are
reconciled by a comparison of current and expected future return on equity. Empirical evidence
indicates that return on equity indicates differential P/B ratios but not P/E ratios except in the
4. METHODOLOGY
4.1 Type of Research:
The type of research adopted is Analytical Research as this type of research says that the
researcher has to use facts or information already available and analyze these to make a critical
evaluation.
4.5.1 Data: Historical daily share prices and information of 20 companies are collected for the
study.
4.5.2 Data Type: Secondary data.
4.5.3 Data source: Historical share prices of the sample companies and the index points for the
period has been taken from the database of Capital Market Publishers (India) Ltd., Capitaline.
Financial statements of the sample companies have also been taken from the same source.
4.6 Hypothesis
H0: There is no significant relationship between Book Value and Market Value.
H1: There is significant relationship between Book Value and Market Value.
H1: There will be difference between population slope and sample slope.
5. SECTOR ANALYSIS
5.1 Banking Sector
With the Indian economy moving on to a high growth trajectory, consumption levels
soaring and investment riding high, the Indian banking sector is at a watershed. Further, as
Growth
Potential
While this growth has been very impressive, the potential banking market waiting to be
tapped in India is still fairly huge. Out of the 203 million Indian households, three-fourths, or
Road Ahead
Banks aspiring to become global must have a presence in India and other merging
markets, says a report of consultancy major Ernst & Young, as they are set to become a major
source of financial sector revenue and profit growth.
As the Indian banking industry continues its rapid growth along with rise in financial
services penetration in the Indian economy, the industry's profit is likely to simultaneously surge
ahead. According to a report by Boston Consultancy Group, the profit pool of the Indian banking
industry is estimated to increase from US$ 4.8 billion in 2005 to US$ 20 billion in 2010 and
further to US$ 40 billion by 2015.
Concerns
Cement industry going through a consolidation phase in the last few years
• Transportation costs high - freight accounts for 17% of the production cost
• Road preferred mode for transportation for distances less than 250kms.
• Industry is heavily dependant on roads as the railway infrastructure is not adequate
• Shortage of wagons.
Capacity additions
Table 6.1
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.2
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 85.48% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 73%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 73% and 27% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -8.83, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.78, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
120
100
80
60 BV
40 MV
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.1
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value
of the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value.
Table 6.3
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.4
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 58.50% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 34%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 34% and 66% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 4.27, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.519, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
2008
2007
2006 MV
BV
2005
2004
0 50 100
Chart 6.2
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value
of the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value, how ever there has been an
abnormal increase in the market value in the year 2005.
Table 6.5
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.6
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 95.88% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 91.9%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 91.9% and 8.1% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 64.79, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.492, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is lesser than 5%, null hypothesis is
rejected.
400
300
200 BV
MV
100
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.3
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value
of the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value, how ever there has been an
abnormal increase in the market value in the year 2008.
Table 6.7
Interpretation:
Since value of P is greater than 5% Level of significance; there is no significant relationship
between Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is accepted.
Alternative Hypothesis is rejected.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.8
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 99.04% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 98%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 98% and 2% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 60.67, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.167, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is lesser than 5%, null hypothesis is
rejected.
2008
2007
2006 MV
BV
2005
2004
0 50 100
Chart 6.4
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value
of the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value for the periods 2004 and 2005,
how ever there has been an abnormal increase in the book value in the year 2006, which is
not reflected in the market value.
Table 6.9
Interpretation:
Since value of P is greater than 5% Level of significance; there is no significant relationship
between Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is accepted.
Alternative Hypothesis is rejected.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.10
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 28.98% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 8.39%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 8.39% and 91.61% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 67.53, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.501, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
100
80
60
BV
40 MV
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.5
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value of
the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value for the periods 2004 and 2005, how ever
there has been an abnormal increase in the book value in the year 2006, which is not reflected in
the market value.
Table 6.11
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.12
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 94.16% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 88%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 88% and 12% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -13.54, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.702, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is lesser than 5%, null hypothesis is
rejected.
300
250
200
150 BV
100 MV
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.6
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value
of the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value.
Table 6.13
Interpretation:
Since value of P is greater than 5% Level of significance; there is no significant relationship
between Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is accepted.
Alternative Hypothesis is rejected.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.14
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 89.13% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 79%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 79% and 21% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 14.27, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.44, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is lesser than 5%, null hypothesis is
rejected.
2008
2007
2006 MV
BV
2005
2004
0 20 40 60 80
Chart 6.7
Interpretation:
From the above chart it can be seen that, there has been a constant rise in the book value of
the share, which in turn is reflected in the market value for the periods 2004 and 2005, how ever
there has been an abnormal increase in the book value in the year 2006, which is not reflected in
the market value.
Table 6.15
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.16
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 86.64% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 75%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 75% and 25% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -3.63, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.140, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
1600
1400
1200
1000
800 BV
600 MV
400
200
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.8
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that the market values are constantly increasing irrespective
of the book values.
Table 6.17
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.18
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 98.05% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 96%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 96% and 4% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -20.40, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.276, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is lesser than 5%, null hypothesis is
rejected.
2008
2007
2006 MV
BV
2005
2004
Chart 6.9
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value, the market value have been
increasing.
Table 6.19
Interpretation:
Since value of P is greater than 5% Level of significance; there is no significant relationship
between Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is accepted.
Alternative Hypothesis is rejected.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.20
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 86.58% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 74%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 75% and 25% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 377.32, then the market value is 0.
If the book value decreases by 0.872, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
350
300
250
200
BV
150 MV
100
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 5.10
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that there exits no relationship between the book value and the
market value.
Table 6.21
Interpretation:
Since value of P is greater than 5% Level of significance; there is no significant relationship
between Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is accepted.
Alternative Hypothesis is rejected.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.22
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 73.6% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 54%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 54% and 46% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 38.09, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.144, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
140
120
100
80
BV
60 MV
40
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.11
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase book value the market value market value
is increasing, how ever for the years 2004 and 2005 the book value is greater than the market
value.
Table 6.23
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.24
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 73.6% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 38%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 38% and 62% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 38.09, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.1844, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
1000
900
800
700
600
500 BV
400 MV
300
200
100
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.12
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been an
increase in the market value. How ever for the year 2008 in spite of increase in book value there
has been a drop in market value.
Table 6.25
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.26
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 62.02% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 38%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 38% and 62% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -135, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 1.044, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
200
180
160
140
120
BV
100
MV
80
60
40
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.13
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with the increase in the book value there has been
increase in the market value.
Table 6.27
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.28
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 80.28% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 64%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 64% and 36% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -69.25, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.649, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
2008
2007
MV
2006
BV
2005
2004
Chart 6.14
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been increase
in the market value, how ever in the year 2008 there has been a decrease in the market value in
spite of an increase in the book value.
Table 6.29
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.30
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 68.08% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 46%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 46% and 54% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is -13.133, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.744, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
60
50
40
30 BV
20 MV
10
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-10
Chart 6.15
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been increase
in the market value, how ever in the year 2008 there has been a decrease in the market value in
spite of an increase in the book value.
Table 6.31
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.32
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 70.72% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 50%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 50% and 50% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 7.50, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.115, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
1000
900
800
700
600
500 BV
400 MV
300
200
100
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.16
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been increase
in the market value, how ever in the year 2008 there has been a decrease in the market value
in spite of an increase in the book value.
Table 6.33
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.34
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 71.42% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 51%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 51% and 49% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 57.60, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.037, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
2008
2007
2006 MV
BV
2005
2004
Chart 6.17
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been increase
in the market value, how ever in the year 2008 there has been a decrease in the market value in
spite of an increase in the book value.
Table 6.35
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.36
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 79.91% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 63%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 63% and 37% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 2.50, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.167, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
50
40
30
BV
20 MV
10
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.18
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with the increase in the book value there has been an
increase in the market value.
Table 6.37
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.38
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 83.56% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
highly positively Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 69%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 69% and 31% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 8.05, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.360, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
160
140
120
100
80 BV
60 MV
40
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.19
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been an increase in
market value. How ever for the year 2004 the book value is more than the market value.
Table 6.39
Interpretation:
Since value of P is lesser than 5% Level of significance; there is significant relationship between
Book Value and Market value.
Therefore, Null Hypothesis is rejected.
Alternative Hypothesis is accepted.
Regression Statistics:
Table 6.40
Interpretation:
Since the Multiple R is 31.41% for Book value and Market Value. It shows that there is a
positive Correlation between Book Value and Market Value.
Since the Value of R square is 46%, this shows that the market value is dependent on
book value by 46% and 54% due to other factors.
If the book value of the share is 26.50, then the market value is 0.
If the book value increases by 0.091, then the market value increases by 1.
Since the probability of getting t – stat for slope is higher than 5%, null hypothesis is
accepted.
300
250
200
150 BV
MV
100
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chart 6.20
Interpretation:
From the chart it can be seen that with increase in the book value there has been an
increase in the market value for the years 2004, 2005 and 2006. How ever for the years 2007 and
2008 there has been a drop in the market value in spite of growth in the book value.
¾ Allahabad Bank: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market
value of the share. Market Value of the share depends 73% on book value and 27% on other
factors.
¾ Andhra Bank: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market value
of the share. Market Value of the share depends 34% on book value and 66% on other
factors.
¾ Bank of Baroda: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market
value of the share. Market Value of the share depends 91.9% on book value and 8.1% on
other factors.
¾ Bank of India: There is no significant relationship between book value and market value of
the share. Market Value of the share depends 98% on book value and 2% on other factors.
¾ Bank of Maharashtra: There is no significant relationship between book value and market
value of the share. Market Value of the share depends 8.39% on book value and 91.61% on
other factors.
¾ Canara Bank: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market value
of the share. Market Value of the share depends 88% on book value and 12% on other
factors.
¾ Dena Bank: There is no significant relationship between book value and market value of the
share. Market Value of the share depends 79% on book value and 21% on other factors.
¾ HDFC Bank: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market value of
the share. Market Value of the share depends 75% on book value and 25% on other factors.
¾ ICICI Bank: There exists a significant relationship between book value and market value of
the share. Market Value of the share depends 96% on book value and 4% on other factors.
¾ ING Vysya Bank: There is no significant relationship between book value and market value
of the share. Market Value of the share depends 75% on book value and 25% on other
factors.
Database:
• Capitaline
• NSE India
Websites:
• www.moneycontrol.com
• www.jstor.com