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Management Participants
2010 In Review
Corporate Highlights
Q4 2010 Actuals Full Year 2010 Actuals
(in thousands, except per share and production) Amount Per Share(5) Amount Per Share(5)
Oil and natural gas revenues $ 134,898 $ 515,226
Cash settlements of derivatives $ 50,795 $ 217,455
Oil and natural gas revenues including derivatives $ 185,693 $ 732,681
Adjusted net income(1) $ 24,279 $ 0.11 $ 137,359 $ 0.64
• Fourth quarter 2010 production of 350 Mmcfe/d represents a 70% increase over pro forma Q4 2009
• Direct all-in F&D of $0.54 per Mcfe includes the benefit of $351 million of BG carry; direct all-in
F&D cost of $1.03 per Mcfe excluding the carry
(1) Non-GAAP measure, please see the Investor Relations section of our website (www.excoresources.com) under the tab Non-GAAP reconciliations
(2) Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital and including settlements of derivative financial instruments with a financing element
(3) Direct F&D cost excludes revisions
Rating Agency Standing
Pro Forma Corporate Rating S&P Moody's
$ in thousands 12/31/2010 12/31/2010(4) November 2010 BB- B1
(1) Bond Rating S&P Moody's
Cash $ 205,946 $ 205,946
November 2010 B B3
700 $3,500
600 $3,000
400 $2,000
300 $1,500
200 $1,000
100 $500
- $-
Net production Projected net production Net debt outstanding Projected net debt
Production:
Oil - Mbbls 180 188 183
Gas - Mmcf 32,498 34,292 31,094
Mmcfe 33,580 35,420 32,192
Mmcfe/d 365 385 350 Impacted by 21 Mmcfe/d of shut ins primarily due to offset completions
Differentials to NYMEX:
Oil per Bbl $ (4.00) $ (3.40) $ (3.34)
Gas per Mcf 95.0% 97.0% 101.5% BTU impact from the Permian area
Equity income in TGGT Holdings, LLC $ 8,000 $ 10,000 $ 3,968 Impacted primarily by right of way and other maintenance
(1)
(2)
Excludes $4.3 million of certain non-cash, non-recurring legal expense and $4.8 million of expenses associated with the potential going private transaction
Non-GAAP measure, please see the Investor Relations section of our website (www.excoresources.com) under the tab Non-GAAP reconciliations EXCO Resources, Inc. 9
PPT – 193 – 2010 Full Year Review
Production:
Oil - Mbbls 203 211 203 211 206 214 206 214 818 850
Gas - Mmcf 34,332 35,184 46,102 49,694 50,284 58,516 53,964 63,116 184,682 206,510
Mmcfe 35,550 36,450 47,320 50,960 51,520 59,800 55,200 64,400 189,590 211,610
Mmcfe/d 395 405 520 560 560 650 600 700 519 580
Differentials to NYMEX:
Oil per Bbl $ (4.00) $ (3.40) $ (4.00) $ (3.40) $ (4.00) $ (3.40) $ (4.00) $ (3.40) $ (4.00) $ (3.40)
Gas per Mcf 96.0% 98.0% 96.0% 98.0% 96.0% 98.0% 96.0% 98.0% 96.0% 98.0%
Lease operating expense $ 19,000 $ 22,000 $ 19,500 $ 22,500 $ 20,000 $ 23,000 $ 20,500 $ 23,500 $ 79,000 $ 91,000
Non-cash stock based compensation - LOE $ 150 $ 350 $ 150 $ 350 $ 150 $ 350 $ 150 $ 350 $ 600 $ 1,400
Gathering expense - per Mcfe $ 0.45 $ 0.55 $ 0.45 $ 0.55 $ 0.45 $ 0.55 $ 0.45 $ 0.55 $ 0.45 $ 0.55
Production tax rate 3.5% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5%
Other income $ 250 $ 500 $ 250 $ 500 $ 250 $ 500 $ 250 $ 500 $ 1,000 $ 2,000
DD&A rate per Mcfe $ 1.85 $ 1.95 $ 1.85 $ 1.95 $ 1.85 $ 1.95 $ 1.85 $ 1.95 $ 1.85 $ 1.95
Asset retirement obligation $ 800 $ 1,100 $ 800 $ 1,100 $ 800 $ 1,100 $ 800 $ 1,100 $ 3,200 $ 4,400
Cash G&A $ 21,500 $ 23,500 $ 22,000 $ 24,000 $ 23,000 $ 25,000 $ 23,000 $ 25,000 $ 89,500 $ 97,500
Non-cash stock based compensation - G&A $ 3,500 $ 4,500 $ 3,500 $ 4,500 $ 3,000 $ 4,000 $ 5,500 $ 6,500 $ 15,500 $ 19,500
Interest expense - cash $ 11,500 $ 13,500 $ 11,500 $ 13,500 $ 12,000 $ 15,000 $ 12,000 $ 16,000 $ 47,000 $ 58,000
Interest expense - non-cash $ 1,800 $ 2,100 $ 1,800 $ 2,100 $ 1,800 $ 2,100 $ 1,800 $ 2,100 $ 7,200 $ 8,400
Equity income in TGGT Holdings, LLC $ 6,500 $ 8,500 $ 12,000 $ 15,000 $ 13,000 $ 18,000 $ 16,000 $ 23,000 $ 47,500 $ 64,500
Income tax rate 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Income tax deferred 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
CAPEX $ 233,500 $ 253,500 $ 246,500 $ 266,500 $ 231,500 $ 251,500 $ 223,000 $ 243,000 $ 934,500 $ 1,014,500
Fully diluted shares outstanding 215,500 217,500 215,500 217,500 215,500 217,500 215,500 217,500 215,500 217,500
(1) 2011 estimates based on natural gas and oil NYMEX prices of $4.25 for Q1 and Q2, $4.50 for Q3 and Q4, and $90.00 for Q1 – Q4, respectively
EXCO Resources, Inc. 10
PPT – 193 – 2010 Full Year Review
(1) Year end 2010 SEC reserve estimate pricing of $4.38 per Mcf for natural gas and $79.43 per Bbl for crude oil
(2) Haynesville adjusted for the benefit of $351 million of BG carry associated with our Haynesville shale total proved reserve additions
(3) Excludes $42.5 million of costs primarily associated with future proved developed reserve additions
(4)
(5)
Excludes $9.9 million of costs associated with future proved developed reserve additions
Haynesville adjusted for the benefit of $253 million of BG carry associated with our Haynesville shale proved developed reserve additions EXCO Resources, Inc. 11
PPT – 193 – 2010 Full Year Review
• Tables include the following natural gas trades added since YE 2010
Mmcf Strike
2011 30,060 $ 4.69
2012 25,620 $ 5.06
(1) As of 12/31/2010 pro forma for trades entered into during January 2011; Q4 2011 guidance midpoint held flat beyond 2011 EXCO Resources, Inc. 12
Operational Review
Hal Hickey
(1) The reserve and acreage estimates are pro forma for 50% of the Chief acquisition and other pending Appalachian acquisition, both effective as of 12/31/10 using the management price deck,
adjusted for differentials and excluding hedge effects NYMEX 2011 2012 2013 2014 After
NG $ 4.50 $ 5.00 $ 5.25 $ 5.50 $ 6.00
Oil $ 90.00 $ 90.00 $ 90.00 $ 90.00 $ 90.00
(2)
(3)
Average production for the week ended 1/5/11, pro forma for 50% of the Chief acquisition and other pending Appalachian acquisition
Haynesville and Marcellus acreage is net to EXCO’s interest in the JVs; assumes BG Group exercises their option to purchase 50% of recently acquired acreage EXCO Resources, Inc. 14
PPT – 193 – 2010 Full Year Review
Reserves (Bcfe)
1,200
800
– Increased operated rigs to 22 from 11 at YE 2009
600 643 822
and moved to manufacturing mode
400
Total Proved Developed
– Established second core position in 200
Legacy TGGT
• Optimize System
• Emphasis on 3rd party
Shelby
• Early Cycle
• Building header
• Building facilities
• Formulate takeaway plans
• Appalachia has a limited amount of
infrastructure in place relative to the size of
the play but we are initiating construction to
match development
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, as defined in Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or the Exchange Act. These forward-looking statements relate to, among
other things, the following:
We have based these forward-looking statements on our current assumptions, expectations and projections about future events.
We use the words "may," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "believe," "continue," "intend," "plan," "budget" and other similar words to identify forward-looking statements. You should read statements that contain these words carefully
because they discuss future expectations, contain projections of results of operations or of our financial condition and/or state other "forward-looking" information. We do not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly any
forward-looking statements, except as required by law. These statements also involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results or financial condition to materially differ from our expectations in this presentation, including,
but not limited to:
We believe that it is important to communicate our expectations of future performance to our investors. However, events may occur in the future that we are unable to accurately predict, or over which we have no
control. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on a forward-looking statement. When considering our forward-looking statements, keep in mind the risk factors and other cautionary statements in this
presentation, and the risk factors included in our Annual Reports on Form 10-K and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Our revenues, operating results, financial condition and ability to borrow funds or obtain additional capital depend substantially on prevailing prices for oil and natural gas, the availability of capital from our revolving
credit facilities and liquidity from capital markets. Declines in oil or natural gas prices may materially adversely affect our financial condition, liquidity, ability to obtain financing and operating results. Lower oil or
natural gas prices also may reduce the amount of oil or natural gas that we can produce economically. A decline in oil and/or natural gas prices could have a material adverse effect on the estimated value and
estimated quantities of our oil and natural gas reserves, our ability to fund our operations and our financial condition, cash flow, results of operations and access to capital. Historically, oil and natural gas prices
and markets have been volatile, with prices fluctuating widely, and they are likely to continue to be volatile.
Effective January 1, 2010, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose not only "proved" reserves (i.e., quantities of oil
and gas that are estimated to be recoverable with a high degree of confidence), but also "probable" reserves (i.e., quantities of oil and gas that are as likely as not to be recovered) as well as "possible" reserves
(i.e., additional quantities of oil and gas that might be recovered, but with a lower probability than probable reserves). As noted above, statements of reserves are only estimates and may not correspond to the
ultimate quantities of oil and gas recovered. Any reserve estimates provided in this presentation that are not specifically designated as being estimates of proved reserves may include estimated reserves not
necessarily calculated in accordance with, or contemplated by, the SEC's latest reserve reporting guidelines. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal
year ended December 31, 2009, as amended, and after February 24, 2011, our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010, which are, or will be, available on our website at
www.excoresources.com under the Investor Relations tab or by calling us at 214-368-2084.