Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Systems Engineering and Evaluation Centre, University of South Australia, The Levels Campus, Mawson Lakes, South
Australia, 5095
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS
ABSTRACT
Although Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) are referred to in systems engineering docu-
ments such as EIA/IS-632, there is no universally accepted meaning for the term. This paper
provides an overview of this important topic by suggesting a definition of MOEs. The role of
MOEs as the standards for identifying successful solutions is examined. They are shown to be
mission or purpose oriented and not concerned with the internal details of the solutions
per se. A clear distinction is drawn between the MOEs as established by the stakeholder and
the quantified MOE, or figure of merit, established as a result of the analysis and evaluation
of particular solutions. MOEs are seen to be the precursor to, hence the engines of, test and
evaluation and of criteria. A study of the roles of other forms of measures enables a clearer
understanding of the role and nature of MOEs to be established. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons,
Inc. Syst Eng 3: 5058, 2000
50
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS 51
2. REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE mainly devoted to the topic of objectives, although there
is some sound discussion of MOEs supported by clear
Roche and Watts [1991: 198] trace the origin of the examples. However, the discussion is of a general na-
acronym MOE to Morse and Kimball who used the term ture and, as Keeney et al. have noted, it represents a brief
measures of effectiveness in 1946. Morse and Kim- set of guidelines only. Stevens [1986] devotes just two
ball are regarded as the founders of operations research pages to MOEs in his text on Test and Evaluation
for their work with the U.S. Navy (USN) during WWII.
(T&E). It too is a valuable source, albeit brief and
They carried out extensive studies of the effectiveness
without much supporting explanation. The emphasis
of weapons systems and strategies during that period
placed by Stevens [1986] on the use of MOEs is in the
using data gained from actual operations. Given this
long history, it is surprising that so little scholarly work particular case of developing T&E programs for items
has been written regarding MOEs. While there are of military equipment. Broader issues and uses for
numerous mentions of MOEs in various documents and MOEs are not addressed. The largely procedural docu-
even attempts at defining MOEs, there is not what could ments on equipment acquisition for the U.S. Depart-
be called a body of literature on the topic. In most ment of Defense (DoD) also refer to MOEs, particularly
instances, MOEs are referred to in the context of pro- in relation to the higher levels of the process of acquir-
cedures and legislation peculiar to a particular organi- ing major items, without explaining how MOEs are to
zation. In some cases, MOEs are even referred to by be formulated. The U.S. Federal Transit Administration
different names. [FTA, 1996] applies MOEs in a study of urban transit
It would be expected that the management literature systems and provides a useful demonstration into the
would address this topic because MOEs are an element use of MOEs but does not explain what they are. The
of planning and control, which are two of the functions U.S. Navy provides a definition for MOEs as …those
of management [Dale, 1969]. Authors in business man- indicators of how well process objectives are being
agement do refer to MOEs, although they do not call met [COMNAVSURFLANT, 1994]. This definition
them by this name. Instead they use terms such as
refers to the role of MOEs in telling how well a
customer satisfaction or customer value [Nau-
solution meets the stakeholders requirements or in
mann, 1995]. Recognition is given to the necessity of
getting close to the customer, of knowing customer telling if success has been achieved or not, but does not
requirements, and even of knowing the relative impor- make it clear as to what exactly constitutes indica-
tance of the customers decision criteria. However, the tors. The U.S. Defense Systems Management Col-
business management literature does not address how lege [DSMC, 1996] also provides a definition of
the customer arrives at these values or criteria (MOEs) MOEs, but it is quite specifically directed at the
in the first place. Other business writers, such as Dem- capabilities of military items and is not appropriate
ing [1982], concentrate on quality control and take for a generic definition. Linas and Waltz (in Hall
customer value criteria as a given. Given this accep- [1992: 278]), when discussing data fusion systems,
tance of the importance of customer values to manage- provide a useful definition of MOEs as does Lei-
ment and the exhortation to move close to the bowitz [1988: 127130].
customer in order to ascertain these values, the lack In the absence of a body of literature, information
of scholarly works on how to arrive at them repre- relevant to MOEs must be sought by reference to
sents a significant gap in the literature. A formal authors in a disparate group of disciplines. These do
process of establishing customer values (MOEs) not, however, represent a body of work on the topic
would seem to be a logical step in a process of of MOEs per se. Extended reading of works in a
improved communications between the customer and
range of disciplines is necessary in order to develop
the management of providing a solution meeting
a model for the formulation and use of MOEs, for
those values.
example, into cognitive psychology for the manner
In what may loosely be termed the engineering
in which humans resolve problems or into decision
literature, several authors were found who referred to
MOEs, although their references were brief and made analysis for the resolution of subjective issues. In the
in the context of other topics. Keeney and Raiffa process of completing these readings, it becomes appar-
[1976] in writing on decision analysis do devote a ent that MOEs are not the exclusive domain of just the
chapter to Objectives and Attributes. The attrib- engineering disciplines. MOEs are equally applicable
utes in this instance are MOEs, although such a to all disciplines and are a manifestation of good man-
connection between attributes and MOEs, as op- agement practices. As such, MOEs may owe more to
posed to properties, is disputed. The chapter is management than to any other discipline.
52 SPROLES
3.3. Measure
In English, measure has many meanings and nuances
to those meanings as well as being both a noun and a
transitive verb. It is only as a noun that it is used in the
situations of interest, for example, …the measure of
effectiveness is... or ...to establish a measure of effec-
tiveness for this situation, etc. The various definitions
of MOEs show that, when associated with MOEs, the
term measure tends to be given two separate mean-
ings. The more common meaning is that of measure as
Figure 1. Stages of the design processafter Finkelstein a standard; the other meaning is that of measure as a
and Finkelstein (1983). quantity.
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS 53
its operational role and testing it in that role. If it is not that they are able to form the basis of a test and evalu-
feasible to test it in its operational role, then it will be ation program for a number of candidate solutions.
necessary to test it using alternative means such as by
the use of probable scenarios or in simulations. Such
testing is not needed for boundary conditions or com- 5. QUANTIFIED OR NOT?
mercial requirements.
As already noted in the discussion of the term meas-
ure, it is undecided whether MOEs are a quantified
4.2. MOEs Should Not Dictate a Solution
entity or not. This question can be a major source of
The user requirements refer to the function of a solution confusion, especially to the novice practitioner. For
able to meet the stakeholders need. Ideally, they should example, when the statements probability of success
be stated so as not to constrain the solution provider to and the probability of success is 58% are used, which
any particular course of action. By specifying require- is the MOE? Is it probability of success or is it
ments based solely on the need rather than a solution, 58%? Is it a statement or is it a number? Instances can
the stakeholder leaves open the possibility of creative be found in the literature where both are called MOEs.
solutions or solutions which the stakeholder may not This confusion arises due to the use of the term MOEs
have previously considered. Even when a stakeholder for each of what Pinker, Samuel, and Batcher [1995: 8]
decides the nature of a solution, for example, it will be refer to as the four activities usually associated with
an aircraft as opposed to a ship, the user requirements MOEs:
should still be based on the need to be met and not the
performance requirements of the solution. The former • the selection of an MOE;
enable MOEs to be formulated; the latter enable Meas- • the quantification of the MOE;
ures of Performance (MOPs) to be formulated. • the evaluation of the MOE;
• the combining of MOE values as the basis of an
4.3. A Definition overall decision.
A definition of MOEs incorporating these concepts
Of these four activities, the selection of MOEs is the
may be formulated as:
stakeholders responsibility, as has been noted, and
Measures of Effectiveness are standards against
forms part of the process input to the SE model: It is in
which the capability of a solution to meet the needs of
effect one of the givens from which the SE will
a problem may be judged. The standards are specific
develop a solution. The remaining three activities result
properties which any potential solution must exhibit to
from the implementation of the SE process model
some extent. MOEs are independent of any solution and
through the T&E procedures carried out for validation
specify neither performance nor criteria.
and verification during the System Life Cycle and are
largely out of the stakeholders control. They are a result
4.4. Examples of Measures of Effectiveness of the SE process.
Rich and Janos [1998: 108] provide a graphic example The unquantified statement, which expresses the
of an MOE with the use of the F-117 stealth fighter in stakeholders views of the properties which any success-
Desert Storm. The stakeholders need was the classical ful solution to the need must possess, is a concept; it is
military requirement to achieve surprise, and stealth associated only with the stakeholders; and it gives a
technology applied to an aircraft was a possible solu- direction for the verification and validation phase on
tion. The crews made the observation that, after the which tests can be planned. It is the unquantified state-
initial raid over Baghdad, No one had suffered as much ment that leads to the establishment of criteria and the
as a hit or even a near miss. The MOE which they had tests to establish the existence of the properties. When
applied for the effectiveness of stealth technology could quantified, it is no longer a concept but fact. It is the
be interpreted as the probability of being hit by hostile resultant of the tests dictated by the MOEs; it is peculiar
fire. Their reasoning was that if stealth worked, the to only one solution; it becomes the purview of the likes
aircraft could not be seen and so could not be hit. of mathematicians and operational analysts using tech-
niques and processes such as multiattribute analysis and
4.5. Statements Not Questions Saatys Analytic Hierarchy Process [Saaty, 1980]. The
quantity obtained as a result of MOEs and T&E is now
Each MOE is presented as a statement and not a ques- something to be evaluated against a set of criteria. While
tion, for they represent a standard, or yardstick, against both the unquantified and quantified entities still refer
which a solution may be judged. From this it follows to effectiveness, they are using measure in a different
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS 55
Table I. Rank Order of Sites Based on the MOE for Displacement of Residents
Site Bringelly Badgerys Creek Holsworthy Goulbourn
FOM 4250 1350 1230 20
56 SPROLES
for stealth technology aircraft has already been pro- 8. MEASURES OF PERFORMANCE
vided. Yet another MOE for this project could have
related to the probability of bats being able to detect the 8.1. A Common Term
aircraft. Rich and Janos [1998: 106] noted the large
number of dead bats in the F-117 hangars each morning The term Measure of Performance (MOP) is one
as a result of the bats flying into the parked F-117s after which is often found in the literature and is repeatedly
their sonar failed to detect the aircraft! It is therefore associated with MOEs. Like much of the terminology
possible that a range of MOEs could be formulated for allied with this subject, there is no universally accepted
any project and the only limit is the human imagination. meaning for the term leading to confusion about its use.
Cases can be found where the terms MOE and MOP are
interchanged and even indiscriminately interchanged
7. THE ENGINE OF TEST AND within the text of the same article! There are important
EVALUATION AND CRITERIA distinctions between the two terms which need to be
recognized and maintained. A study of these distinc-
7.1. Test and EvaluationAnalyzing tions will serve not only to illustrate the source of
Possible Solutions confusion but will also serve to enhance an under-
standing of the roles of MOEs.
T&E, or what Finkelstein and Finkelstein (1983) refer
to as analysis of candidate designs, is the central
8.2. Performance
element of the iterative process of finding a satisfactory
solution to a problem. The Georgia Institute of Technol- Like effectiveness, performance is a noun but is the
ogy [ACTE, 1996] defines T&E as: A scientific and name of an action. The Oxford English Dictionary
systematic process to support the assessment of the [1989] defines performance as the action of perform-
quality or goodness of a product with known confi- ing, or something performed. The carrying out of a
dence. command, duty, purpose, promise, etc.; execution, dis-
While T&E may be used to assess the quality and charge, fulfilment and notes that it applies to the
goodness of an entity, that which constitutes quality ...capabilities of a machine or device, now esp. those
and goodness needs to be established before T&E can of a motor vehicle or aircraft measured under test and
commence. It would be pointless to hand an item to the expressed in a specification. The Chambers English
test agency and say Test and evaluate this for me to see Dictionary [1988] has a similar definition and states
how well it meets my needs without also providing that performance is a noun and is ...the act of perform-
some indication as to the goal of the test. MOEs enable ing; a carrying out of something; something done...an
the stakeholders to provide the T&E agency with the act or action: the power or capability of a machine (esp.
information necessary to establish what is quality or a motor vehicle) to perform. Cambridge [1995] de-
what is the goodness of a choice: MOEs enable the fines performance as the performance of a person or
test agency to plan the test program and so they may be machine is how well they do a piece of work or activity.
considered the engines of T&E. These cars have a reputation for poor performance.
In defining the verb to perform, Cambridge (1995)
7.2. Criteria states: If something such as a machine performs well
or badly, it operates satisfactorily or does not operate
Criteria bind the properties specified in MOEs. They satisfactorily. The equipment performed well during
provide the limits within which the figures of merit for the tests.
a successful solution must lie. The MOEs identify the
properties to be tested: Criteria identify the limits within
8.3. Relationship between Measures of
which a successful solution will lay. An orderly process
Effectiveness and of Performance
will demand that MOEs be formulated before criteria, and
so, in this sense, MOEs are also the engine of criteria. The distinction between effectiveness and perform-
While criteria are needed for the evaluation process, ance shows that MOEs and MOPs are formulated from
they are specified separately from the MOEs. By sepa- different viewpoints. An MOE refers to the effective-
rating criteria from MOEs, it is possible to reuse MOEs ness of a solution and is independent of any particular
when technology changes, for it is possible for MOEs solution; an MOP refers to the actual performance of an
to have a long life and even for libraries of proven entity. The relationship between the two types of meas-
MOEs to be established. Keeping criteria separate from ures can be described using the analogy of the relation-
MOEs ensures that they are not tied to any particular set ship between effectiveness and efficiency.
of solutions or level of technology. Effectiveness is how well something does its job. Effi-
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS 57
ciency is how well something does what it is doing. Measures such as amount of suspended solids re-
Therefore, efficiency can be high while effectiveness is moved, percentage reduction in heavy metals, reduction
low or even zero. Something can be done well even in volume of industrial liquid waste, etc., are MOPs as
though it is the wrong job which is being done. An MOE they relate to what is achieved in fact. These may be of
will indicate a property which a potential solution must use to those involved in the process of cleaning the river,
possess in order to meet a need: An MOP will tell what but, for those instigating the clean-up, the ability of
something is capable of doing, even if this is not neces- wildlife to survive in the river is seen as a better indica-
sarily what the stakeholders want it to do. tor and better represents their objective. Telling the
The difference between effectiveness and per- stakeholders that Y tons of rubbish has been removed
formance as applied to a solution to a need is that will not necessarily achieve the same result. The re-
effectiveness is a quality of fitness for service or of moval of rubbish alone may not clean the river and, in
producing the results for which it was intended. Per- any event, how much rubbish would it be necessary to
formance is the quality of doing something, and remove? The actions of the fish (the MOEs) are the
doing something does not necessarily indicate fitness proof of the pudding and tell how well the project
for service. Cambridge [1995] says that performance is succeeded. The amount of rubbish removed, etc. (the
how well a person or machine does a piece of work or MOPs) only tells what work was done and is not nec-
activity. It does not require that this piece of work or essarily relevant to the purpose of the project. It may
activity be anyway connected with the quality of have been necessary, but it was incidental to the mission.
something being fit for service or of it achieving the
results for which it was intended. An MOE is a standard
against which we judge how well we achieved what we 9. METRICS
intended or wanted to achieve; an MOP is a measure of
what was achieved. The qualities of effectiveness and The term metrics is another term which is sometimes
of performance are two separate entities in that the found in the literature. Various definitions of metrics
MOE refers to the stakeholders intention whereas the have been made by professional organizations such as
MOP is concerned with actual performance which may by the IEEE (IEEE Std 1220 [IEEE, 1994]) which
be quite divorced from the stakeholders intentions. defines metric as: A measure of the extent or degree
Another view is expressed by Simon [1984], who to which a product possesses and exhibits a quality, a
proposes the division of the environment into an outer property or an attribute. However, there does not seem
and an inner environment, an idea shared by Champy to be equivalent definitions in main-stream dictionaries.
[1995]. Essentially they suggest that the stakeholders It appears that accepted usage for the term metrics in
view an artifact from the outside and are not necessarily the wider world is reserved for standards of measures
aware or concerned with what is inside the artifact. This as defined by the SI system of weights and measures,
is akin to the notion that the stakeholders, hence the i.e., pertaining to the metre or to the system of measures
MOEs, are concerned with the mission or purpose of and weights originally based upon it [Macquarie, 1985].
the solutions and not necessarily the solutions per se. Metrics is commonly associated with software
This justifies the view that stakeholders should avoid engineering, where it seems to be used most often as an
dictating the solution and leave it to those responsible MOP. Instances can, however, be found where it is also
for providing the solution. MOEs relate to how well any used as an MOE. The use of the term metrics illus-
from a range of solutions may meet a need; MOPs are trates the confusion which can be caused when there is
concerned with what a particular solution does regard- no agreed terminology and method of usage, leading in
less of its intended purpose. turn to a proliferation of terms. Lewis [1996] states the
To further illustrate the difference between an MOE case succinctly when he says that many consultants use
and an MOP, consider a project involving the cleaning the term metrics rather that measures and that:
of a river system. It may be decided to base the MOE
They probably do so for the same reason that we call
on the property of the presence of wildlife, for example,
records rows or tuples when they are in a relational
...furthest distance upstream fish of type X have been database. That is to say, for no good reason.
positively identified, such as was used for the cleaning
of the River Thames in England. It is not dependent on
any one solution. It is predicated on the basis that there 10. CONCLUSION
will be fish in the river if the river is clean. It does not
define clean in terms of the amount of rubbish re- MOEs are a management tool by which stakeholders
moved, etc., yet it provides a definitive standard for can determine if a solution will meet their needs. They
cleanliness of a waterway. present a guide to the systems engineer as to the essen-
58 SPROLES
tial properties which any solution must possess. Be- Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE), Std
cause of a lack of agreed definitions, it is possible to 1220-1994, IEEE Trial-Use Standard for Application and
confuse MOEs with other measures unless it is realized Management of the Systems Engineering Process, IEEE,
that MOEs are mission or purpose oriented and are a New York, 1994.
reflection of the stakeholders standards for success. R.L. Keeney and H. Raiffa, Decisions with multiple objectives:
Preferences and value tradeoffs, Wiley, New York, 1976.
Kinhill Stearns, Second Sydney Airport Site Selection Pro-
REFERENCES gramme: draft environmental impact statement, prepared
for the Department of Aviation, Kinhill Stearns, Sydney,
ACTE, Course Notes for Principles of Test and Evaluation, April 1985.
Australian Centre for Test and Evaluation, University of M.L. Leibowitz, Metaphysical considerations involved in
South Australia, Adelaide, 1996. choosing a measure of effectiveness, Oper Res J Oper Res
E.W. Aslasken, The changing nature of engineering, Soc Am 6(1) (1988), 127130.
McGraw-Hill, Sydney, Australia, 1996. B. Lewis, Measure for measure: For better performance re-
Cambridge International Dictionary of English, Cambridge sults, call it what it is, IS Survival Guide, http://www.in-
University Press, Cambridge, 1995. foworld.com/pageone/opinions/lewis/rl021996.htm,
Chambers English Dictionary, Cambridge University Press, February 19, 1996.
Cambridge, 1988 (reprint). Macquarie, Macquarie Library Pty. Ltd., Sydney, Australia,
J. Champy, Reengineering management, HarperCollins, Lon- 1985.
don, 1995. E. Naumann, Creating customer value: The path to sustain-
COMNAVSURFLANT, COMNAVSURFLANT NOTICE able competitive advantage, International Thomson Pub-
9080 MAINTENANCE RESOURCE MANAGEMENT lishing, 1995.
SYSTEM (MRMS), http://www.spear.navy.mil/
Oxford English Dictionary, 2nd ed., Vol. V, Clarendon Press,
MRMS/mrms_i.htm, 1994.
Oxford, 1989.
E. Dale, Management: Theory and practice, McGraw-Hill,
A. Pinker, A.H. Samuel, and R. Batcher, On measures of
New York, 1969.
effectiveness, Phalanx J Military Oper Res Soc, 28 (De-
W.E. Deming, Quality, productivity and competitive position,
cember 1995), 812.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Ad-
vanced Engineering Study, Cambridge, MA, 1982. J. Preece, Y. Rogers, H. Sharp, D. Benyon, S. Holland, and T.
J.T. Dockery, Why not fuzzy measures of effectiveness? ITEA Carey, Humancomputer interaction, The Open Univer-
J VIII(2) (1987), 2427. sity, Addison-Wesley, UK, 1994.
DSMC, 1996, http://137.244.38.241/library/glossary/app- B.R. Rich and L. Janos, Skunk works, Warner Books, Lon-
b/m.txt don, 1998 (reprint).
Electronic Industries Association, EIA/IS-632, EIA Interim J.G. Roche and B.D. Watts, Choosing analytic measures, J
Standard, Engineering Department, Washington, DC, De- Strategic Stud 14 (June 1991), 165209.
cember 1994. T.L. Saaty, The analytic hierarchy process, McGraw-Hill,
L. Finkelstein and A.C.W. Finkelstein, Review of design Singapore, 1980.
methodology, IEEE Proc 130(Pt. A, No. 4) (1983), 216. H.A. Simon, The sciences of the artificial, 2nd ed., 3rd reprint,
FTA, Revised measures for assessing major investments: A The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1984.
discussion draft, http://www.fta.dot.gov/fta/library/pol- R. Stevens, P. Brook, K. Jackson, and S. Arnold, Systems
icy/draft/INTRO.HTM, 1996. engineering, Prentice Hall Europe, 1998.
D.L. Hall, Mathematical techniques in multi-sensor data fu- R. T. Stevens, Operational test & evaluation, Krieger, Florida,
sion, Artech House, Dedham, MA, 1992. 1986.
Noel Sproles is a former Australian Army officer and graduate surveyor who served for 23 years in
Australia, Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, and South Vietnam in map-making and precision surveys. He
studied the British acquisition process for military equipment at the Royal Military College of Science in
the United Kingdom and spent five years with the Department of Defence in Canberra preparing
requirements documents. He left the Army to follow a new career in warehousing and distribution before
satisfying an old ambition to return to University. He gained a First Class Honours degree in Information
Management and a scholarship to complete a Ph.D. at the Systems Engineering and Evaluation Centre
(SEEC), a research group of the University of South Australia in Adelaide. He successfully completed his
Ph.D. in 1999 with his thesis titled Measures of Effectiveness: The Standards for Success. He has had
several articles published on the topic of MOEs both in Australia and the USA and has made presentations
based on his Ph.D. thesis in Australia as well as the UK and USA. He is currently applying his work to a
project at the Defence Science and Technology Oroganisation (DSTO) in Adelaide.