𝑃 (𝑥)=

(■8(𝑛@𝑥))∗𝑃^𝑥∗𝑄^((𝑛−
𝑥))
TABLA D
P éxito= 0.95 x
Q fracaso= 0.05 0
muestra= 80 1
x= 0 2
3
a) No haya reaccion positiva en ningun paciente 4
5
P(x=0)= 8.27180612553087E-105 6
7
8
c) Al menos haya reaccion positiva en dos de ellas 0% 9
10
c) Como mucho la haya en 5 reacciones positivas 0.00% 11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
 BONIMINAL

TABLA DE DISTRIBUCIÓN
P(X) %
8.27180612553087E-105 0%
1.25731453108069E-101 0%
9.43614555576057E-99 0%
4.66145590454572E-96 0%
1.7049274970876E-93 0%
4.92383061158897E-91 0%
1.16940977025238E-88 0%
2.34884305282121E-86 0%
4.07230664282876E-84 0%
6.18990609709972E-82 0%
8.35018332498751E-80 0%
1.00961307474849E-77 0%
1.10300228416272E-75 0%
1.09621457779864E-73 0%
9.96772255384052E-72 0%
8.33301605501067E-70 0%
6.43204676746135E-68 0%
4.60080521719588E-66 0%
3.05953546943526E-64 0%
1.89691199104986E-62 0%
1.09926049881339E-60 0%
5.96741413641556E-59 0%
3.04066874860083E-57 0%
1.45687693954701E-55 0%
6.57415718970586E-54 0%
2.79796129993881E-52 0%
1.1245652147831E-50 0%
4.27334781617577E-49 0%
1.53687901817464E-47 0%
5.23598782743636E-46 0%
1.69122406826194E-44 0%
5.18278343499627E-43 0%
1.50786605561923E-41 0%
4.16719346280223E-40 0%
1.09450110655364E-38 0%
2.73312562036538E-37 0%
6.49117334836778E-36 0%
1.46665430249607E-34 0%
3.15330675036654E-33 0%
6.45215073536538E-32 0%
1.25655635571241E-30 0%
2.3292264154669E-29 0%
4.10942089014517E-28 0%
6.90000437833676E-27 0%
1.10243251772062E-25 0%
1.67569742693535E-24 0%
2.42247562806957E-23 0%
3.32961543772967E-22 0%
4.34931016553438E-21 0%
5.39669506254061E-20 0%
6.35730678367283E-19 0%
7.1052252288108E-18 0%
7.52880596360529E-17 0%
7.55721655214719E-16 0%
7.17935572453983E-15 0%
6.44836677804122E-14 0%
5.46959682065996E-13 0%
4.37567745652796E-12 0%
3.29684663534952E-11 0%
2.33573202301033E-10 0%
1.55326179530187E-09 0%
9.67605708548705E-09 0%
5.63396227074326E-08 0%
3.05843666126062E-07 0%
1.54355475247997E-06 0%
7.21908684236785E-06 0%
3.11733295465885E-05 0%
0.000123762771036 0%
0.00044955006538 0%
0.001485469781255 0%
0.004435188346889 0%
0.011868813886041 1%
0.028188432979347 3%
0.058693723463846 6%
0.105490070549886 11%
0.160344907235826 16%
0.200431134044782 20%
0.197828132303941 20%
0.144566712068264 14%
0.069538418463216 7%
0.016515374385014 2%
𝑃 (𝑥)=
(■8(𝑛@𝑥))∗𝑃^𝑥∗𝑄^((𝑛−
𝑥)) P éxito=
Q fracaso=
muestra=
0.05
0.95
80
x= 0

1.NO HAYA REACCION POSITIVA EN NINGUN PACIENTE

P(X=0)= 2%

2 Al menos haya reaccion positiva en dos de ellas

21%

3.Como mucho la haya en 5 reacciones positivas

77%
((𝑛−
TABLA DE DISTRIBUCIÓN
x P(X) %
0 0.016515374385014 2%
1 0.069538418463216 7%
2 0.144566712068264 14%
PROBABILIDAD DE RE
3 0.25
0.197828132303941 20%
4 0.200431134044782 20%
5 0.160344907235825 16%
6 0.2
0.105490070549885 11%
7 0.058693723463846 6%
8 0.028188432979347 3%
0.15
9 0.011868813886041 1%
10 0.004435188346889 0%
11 0.001485469781255 0%
0.1
12 0.00044955006538 0%
13 0.000123762771036 0%
14 3.11733295465881E-05
0.05 0%
15 7.21908684236777E-06 0%
16 1.54355475247995E-06 0%
17 3.05843666126058E-07
0 0%
0 10 20 30 40
18 5.63396227074318E-08 0%
19 9.67605708548689E-09 0%
20 1.55326179530184E-09 0%
21 2.33573202301029E-10 0%
22 3.29684663534945E-11 0%
23 4.37567745652788E-12 0%
24 5.46959682065985E-13 0%
25 6.44836677804109E-14 0%
26 7.17935572453967E-15 0%
27 7.55721655214702E-16 0%
28 7.52880596360512E-17 0%
29 7.10522522881064E-18 0%
30 6.35730678367267E-19 0%
31 5.39669506254047E-20 0%
32 4.34931016553426E-21 0%
33 3.32961543772958E-22 0%
34 2.4224756280695E-23 0%
35 1.6756974269353E-24 0%
36 1.10243251772059E-25 0%
37 6.90000437833655E-27 0%
38 4.10942089014504E-28 0%
39 2.32922641546682E-29 0%
40 1.25655635571237E-30 0%
41 6.45215073536516E-32 0%
42 3.15330675036643E-33 0%
43 1.46665430249602E-34 0%
44 6.49117334836753E-36 0%
45 2.73312562036527E-37 0%
46 1.0945011065536E-38 0%
47 4.16719346280206E-40 0%
48 1.50786605561917E-41 0%
49 5.18278343499607E-43 0%
50 1.69122406826187E-44 0%
51 5.23598782743614E-46 0%
52 1.53687901817458E-47 0%
53 4.27334781617558E-49 0%
54 1.12456521478305E-50 0%
55 2.79796129993868E-52 0%
56 6.57415718970556E-54 0%
57 1.45687693954694E-55 0%
58 3.04066874860069E-57 0%
59 5.96741413641526E-59 0%
60 1.09926049881334E-60 0%
61 1.89691199104976E-62 0%
62 3.0595354694351E-64 0%
63 4.60080521719564E-66 0%
64 6.43204676746101E-68 0%
65 8.33301605501021E-70 0%
66 9.96772255383998E-72 0%
67 1.09621457779858E-73 0%
68 1.10300228416266E-75 0%
69 1.00961307474843E-77 0%
70 8.35018332498702E-80 0%
71 6.18990609709934E-82 0%
72 4.07230664282852E-84 0%
73 2.34884305282106E-86 0%
74 1.16940977025231E-88 0%
75 4.92383061158866E-91 0%
76 1.70492749708749E-93 0%
77 4.66145590454542E-96 0%
78 9.43614555575996E-99 0%
79 1.25731453108061E-101 0%
80 8.27180612553031E-105 0%
BABILIDAD DE REACCION NEGATIVA

30 40 50 60 70 80 90
 DISTRIBUCION DE POISSON 𝑃(𝑋)=(𝜖^(

N= 80 X P(POISSON) P(BINOMIAL)
P= 0.05 0 0.01831563889 0.01651537439
Q= 0.95 1 0.07326255555 0.06953841846
LAMBDA= 4 2 0.14652511111 0.14456671207
3 0.19536681481 0.1978281323
4 0.19536681481 0.20043113404
5 0.15629345185 0.16034490724
𝑃(𝑋)=(𝜖^(−𝜆)∗𝜆^𝑋)/𝑋! 6 0.10419563457 0.10549007055
7 0.05954036261 0.05869372346
8 0.0297701813 0.02818843298
9 0.01323119169 0.01186881389
10 0.00529247668 0.00443518835
11 0.00192453697 0.00148546978
12 0.00064151232 0.00044955007
13 0.00019738841 0.00012376277
14 5.6396688E-05 3.117333E-05
15 1.5039117E-05 7.2190868E-06
16 3.7597792E-06 1.5435548E-06
17 8.8465393E-07 3.0584367E-07
18 1.9658976E-07 5.6339623E-08
19 4.1387318E-08 9.6760571E-09
20 8.2774636E-09 1.5532618E-09
21 1.5766597E-09 2.335732E-10
22 2.8666541E-10 3.2968466E-11
23 4.9854854E-11 4.3756775E-12
24 8.3091423E-12 5.4695968E-13
25 1.3294628E-12 6.4483668E-14
26 2.0453273E-13 7.1793557E-15
27 3.0301146E-14 7.5572166E-16
28 4.3287351E-15 7.528806E-17
29 5.9706691E-16 7.1052252E-18
30 7.9608921E-17 6.3573068E-19
31 1.0272119E-17 5.3966951E-20
32 1.2840149E-18 4.3493102E-21
33 1.5563816E-19 3.3296154E-22
34 1.8310372E-20 2.4224756E-23
35 2.092614E-21 1.6756974E-24
36 2.3251266E-22 1.1024325E-25
37 2.5136504E-23 6.9000044E-27
38 2.6459478E-24 4.1094209E-28
39 2.7137926E-25 2.3292264E-29
40 2.7137926E-26 1.2565564E-30
41 2.6476026E-27 6.4521507E-32
42 2.5215262E-28 3.1533068E-33
43 2.3456058E-29 1.4666543E-34
44 2.1323689E-30 6.4911733E-36
45 1.895439E-31 2.7331256E-37
46 1.6482079E-32 1.0945011E-38
47 1.4027301E-33 4.1671935E-40
48 1.1689417E-34 1.5078661E-41
49 9.5423816E-36 5.1827834E-43
50 7.6339053E-37 1.6912241E-44
51 5.9873767E-38 5.2359878E-46
52 4.6056744E-39 1.536879E-47
53 3.4759807E-40 4.2733478E-49
54 2.5748005E-41 1.1245652E-50
55 1.8725822E-42 2.7979613E-52
56 1.3375587E-43 6.5741572E-54
57 9.3863768E-45 1.4568769E-55
58 6.4733633E-46 3.0406687E-57
59 4.3887209E-47 5.9674141E-59
60 2.9258139E-48 1.0992605E-60
61 1.9185665E-49 1.896912E-62
62 1.2377848E-50 3.0595355E-64
63 7.8589514E-52 4.6008052E-66
64 4.9118446E-53 6.4320468E-68
65 3.0226736E-54 8.3330161E-70
66 1.8319234E-55 9.9677226E-72
67 1.0936856E-56 1.0962146E-73
68 6.4334448E-58 1.1030023E-75
69 3.7295332E-59 1.0096131E-77
70 2.1311618E-60 8.3501833E-80
71 1.2006546E-61 6.1899061E-82
72 6.6703031E-63 4.0723066E-84
73 3.6549606E-64 2.3488431E-86
74 1.9756544E-65 1.1694098E-88
75 1.0536823E-66 4.9238306E-91
76 5.5456965E-68 1.7049275E-93
77 2.8808813E-69 4.6614559E-96
78 1.477375E-70 9.4361456E-99
79 7.4803799E-72 1.257315E-101
80 3.7401899E-73 8.271806E-105
𝑃(𝑋)=(𝜖^(−𝜆)∗𝜆^𝑋)/𝑋!

0.25

0.2

0.15

0.1

0.05

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 2

0.25

0.2

0.15

0.1

0.05
0.15

0.1

0.05

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31