Parametros

N1 N2 R1
Puntos finales K1
N1=0 → 0 1200 ← N2=K2 a12
N1=K2/a21 → 2000 0← N2=0 R2
N1=K1 → 1400 0← N2=0 K2
N1=0 → 0 1750 ← N2=K1/a12 a21

Tiempo (t) N1 N2
0 180 90
1 342.36 172.665
2 589.705025 302.755257
3 852.92401 453.568727
4 976.380563 551.140641
5 963.114074 582.984685
6 940.789087 603.904876
7 923.112812 621.409984
8 908.432101 635.492461
9 896.422189 646.821759 Modelo de competencia de Lotka-Volte
10 886.646349 655.908214
1200
11 878.723396 663.18572
12 872.32179 669.009743 1000
13 867.161045 673.668784 800
14 863.007542 677.395322
N1,N2

600
15 859.668825 680.375956
16 856.987549 682.76012 400
17 854.83577 684.667345 200
18 853.10985 686.19319
19 851.72608 687.414037 0
0 10 20 30 40 5
20 850.616987 688.390936
21 849.728269 689.172695 Tiempo (t)
22 849.016277 689.798337
23 848.445956 690.299065
N1 N2
24 847.989171 690.69984
25 847.623356 691.020626 2000
26 847.330416 691.277395
27 847.095847 691.48293 1800
28 846.908028 691.647455 1600
29 846.757646 691.779157
30 846.637244 691.884585 1400
31 846.540847 691.968981 1200
32 846.46367 692.036541
33 846.401882 692.090625 1000
34 846.352416 692.133921 800
35 846.312814 692.168581
36 846.281109 692.196328 600
37 846.255728 692.21854 400
38 846.235408 692.236322
39 846.219141 692.250557 200
40 846.206118 692.261953 0
41 846.195693 692.271076 0 500 1000 1500
42 846.187347 692.278379
43 846.180665 692.284225
44 846.175316 692.288906
45 846.171034 692.292653
46 846.167606 692.295653
47 846.164861 692.298054
48 846.162664 692.299976
49 846.160906 692.301515
50 846.159498 692.302747
 Parametros
→ 1.1
→ 1400
→ 0.8
→ 1.1
→ 1200
→ 0.6

encia de Lotka-Volterra

30 40 50 60

Tiempo (t)

N1 N2

1000 1500 2000 2500

Constantes b 1.2500 bprima -0.010
Total
tiempo Nt Tasa de Nacimientos Nacimientos
0 3 1.22 3.66
1 5.115 1.19885 6.13211775
2 8.558801625 1.16441198375 9.965971178689
3 13.87910656491 1.11120893435092 15.42258721573
4 21.39899250299 1.03601007497011 22.16957182731
5 30.57948367809 0.944205163219145 28.87330637742
6 39.48752410638 0.855124758936248 33.76675953245
7 45.71419878538 0.792858012146168 36.24486877583
8 48.65302831558 0.763469716844224 37.14511375171
9 49.63604208811 0.753639579118851 37.40768586841
10 49.9070235416 0.750929764583956 37.47666943918
11 49.97662621607 0.750233737839262 37.49415109068
12 49.99414835901 0.750058516409882 37.49853674734
13 49.99853657613 0.750014634238726 37.49963412262
14 49.99963411191 0.750003658880923 37.49990852664
15 49.99990852597 0.750000914740312 37.49997713141
16 49.99997713137 0.750000228686333 37.49999428284
17 49.99999428283 0.750000057171662 37.49999857071
18 49.99999857071 0.75000001429292 37.49999964268
19 49.99999964268 0.75000000357323 37.49999991067
20 49.99999991067 0.750000000893308 37.49999997767

Modelo Logístico, b & d Explícito

1.4
TASAS DE NACIMIENTOS Y MUERTES PER CÁPITA

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 10 20 30 40 5

TAMAÑO DE LA POBLACIÓN ( N T)

Tasa de Nacimientos Tasa de Muerte

tiempo Nt Tasa de Nacimientos Nacimientos
0 3 0.12 0.36
1 2.55 3.12 7.956
2 9.296 6.12 56.89152
3 56.57752 9.12 515.9869824
4 546.5545024 12.12 6624.240569088
5 7120.385071488 15.12 107660.2222809
6 114697.7973524 18.12 2078324.088025
7 2192898.675378 21.12 46314020.02398
8 48506747.08935 24.12 1169982739.795
9 1218489258.875 27.12 33045428700.68
10 34263917667.14 30.12 1032029200134
11 1066293117437 33.12 35315628049502
12 36381921166494 36.12 1.31411499E+15
13 1.35049691E+15 39.12 5.28314393E+16
14 5.41819362E+16 42.12 2.28214315E+18
15 2.33632509E+18 45.12 1.05414988E+20
16 1.07751313E+20 48.12 5.18499318E+21
17 5.2927445E+21 51.12 2.70565099E+23
18 2.75857843E+23 54.12 1.49294265E+25
19 1.52052843E+25 57.12 8.6852584E+26
20 8.83731125E+26 60.12 5.31299152E+28
 d 0.50 dprima 0.005 R 0.75 K 50
Total
Tasa de Muerte Muertes delta Nt delta Nt/Nt
0.515 1.545 2.115 0.71 Mode
0.525575 2.688316125 3.443801625 0.67 60
0.542794008125 4.645666238781 5.320304939908 0.62
0.569395532825 7.902701277655 7.51988593808 0.54
0.606994962515 12.98908065221 9.180491175097 0.43 50
0.65289741839 19.96526594913 8.90804042829 0.29

Tamaño de la polaciòn (Nt)

0.697437620532 27.54008485345 6.226674679008 0.16 40
0.728570993927 33.30603924564 2.938829530194 0.06
0.743265141578 36.16209997917 0.983013772537 0.02
0.748180210441 37.13670441492 0.27098145349 0.01 30
0.749535117708 37.40706676471 0.069602674469 0.00
0.74988313108 37.47662894774 0.017522142938 0.00 20
0.749970741795 37.49414853022 0.004388217116 0.00
0.749992682881 37.49853658684 0.00109753578 0.00
0.74999817056 37.49963411258 0.000274414061 0.00 10
0.74999954263 37.49990852601 6.86053979E-05 0.00
0.749999885657 37.49997713137 1.71514671E-05 0.00
0
0.749999971414 37.49999428283 4.28787413E-06 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0.749999992854 37.49999857071 1.071969E-06 0.00
0.749999998213 37.49999964268 2.67992277E-07 0.00
0.749999999553 37.49999991067 6.6998071E-08 0.00

Modelo Logístico, b
CAMBIO EN LA POBLACIÓN PER CÁPITA (DELTA NT/NT)

b & d Explícito 10

0
0 10 20 30

TAMAÑO DE LA POBLA

30 40 50 60 delta Nt d

OBLACIÓN ( N T)

Tasa de Muerte
Tasa de Muerte Muertes delta Nt delta Nt/Nt
0.9 0.81 2.115 0.705
-1.1 1.21 3.443801625 0.6733
-3.1 9.61 5.320304939908 0.6216
-5.1 26.01 7.51988593808 0.5418
-7.1 50.41 9.180491175097 0.429
-9.1 82.81 8.90804042829 0.2913
-11.1 123.21 6.226674679008 0.1577
-13.1 171.61 2.938829530194 0.0643
-15.1 228.01 0.983013772537 0.0202
-17.1 292.41 0.27098145349 0.0055
-19.1 364.81 0.069602674469 0.0014
-21.1 445.21 0.017522142938 0.0004
-23.1 533.61 0.004388217116 9E-05
-25.1 630.01 0.00109753578 2E-05
-27.1 734.41 0.000274414061 5E-06
-29.1 846.81 6.86053979E-05 1E-06
-31.1 967.21 1.71514671E-05 3E-07
-33.1 1095.61 4.28787413E-06 9E-08
-35.1 1232.01 1.071969E-06 2E-08
-37.1 1376.41 2.67992277E-07 5E-09
-39.1 1528.81 6.6998071E-08 1E-09
 Modelo Logístico, b & d Explícito
60

50

40

30
Nt

20

10

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Tiempo ( t )

odelo Logístico, b & d Explícito

0.80
CAMBIO EN LA POBLACIÓN (DELTA NT)

0.70

0.60

0.50

0.40

0.30

0.20

0.10

0.00
20 30 40 50 60

TAMAÑO DE LA POBLACIÓN (NT )

delta Nt delta Nt/Nt

tiempo Nt delta Nt delta Nt/Nt
0 3 2.115 0.705
1 5.115 3.443801625 0.673275
2 8.558801625 5.32030493990846 0.621617975625
3 13.87910656491 7.51988593808007 0.541813401526
4 21.39899250299 9.18049117509701 0.429015112455
5 30.57948367809 8.90804042828966 0.291307744829
6 39.48752410638 6.22667467900797 0.157687138404
7 45.71419878538 2.93882953019447 0.064287018219
8 48.65302831558 0.983013772537249 0.020204575266
9 49.63604208811 0.270981453489491 0.005459368678
10 49.9070235416 0.069602674469493 0.001394646876
11 49.97662621607 0.017522142937985 0.000350606759
12 49.99414835901 0.004388217115588 8.77746148E-05
13 49.99853657613 0.001097535780287 2.19513581E-05
14 49.99963411191 0.000274414061101 5.48832138E-06
15 49.99990852597 6.86053978724702E-05 1.37211047E-06
16 49.99997713137 1.71514671369868E-05 3.430295E-07
17 49.99999428283 4.28787414106921E-06 8.57574926E-08
18 49.99999857071 1.07196899490249E-06 2.14393805E-08
19 49.99999964268 2.6799227711976E-07 5.35984558E-09
20 49.99999991067 6.6998070971307E-08 1.33996139E-09
21 49.99999997767 1.67495190975381E-08 3.34990347E-10
22 49.99999999442 4.18738110805488E-09 -1
 R K
0.75 50

Modelo Logístico, R & K Explícitos

60

TAMAÑO DE LA POBLACIÓN (NT)

50

40

30

20

10

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Tiempo (t)
CAMBIO PER CÁPITA EN LA POBLACIÓN (DELTA NT/NT)

Modelo logístico, R & K explícitos

10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0 10 20 30 40 50

Título TAMAÑO DE LA POBLACIÓN ( N T)eje

delta Nt delta Nt/Nt

 K Explícitos

Nt

12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

& K explícitos
CAMBIO EN LA POBLACIÓN (DELTA NT)

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0
40 50 60

BLACIÓN ( N T)eje

delta Nt/Nt
tiempo Nt dN/dt dN/dt/N
0 3 1.41 0.47
1 4.760855710146 2.153770384145 0.45239144289854
2 7.392682740394 3.149823789196 0.426073172596058
3 11.12172409709 4.323934579626 0.388782759029142
4 16.02434279344 5.444375777104 0.339756572065564
5 21.87228211957 6.152173808605 0.281277178804259
6 28.08992860078 6.154523412421 0.219100713992249
7 33.94220350803 5.45036996421 0.160577964919737
8 38.85169889961 4.331304375946 0.111483011003918
9 42.58795247332 3.156639277964 0.074120475266846
10 45.22590099264 2.159129290361 0.047740990073636
11 46.99132912625 1.413814432609 0.030086708737485
12 48.13089520694 0.899616869255 0.018691047930593
13 48.84940689814 0.562057906067 0.011505931018553
14 49.29575343297 0.347163651244 0.007042465670318
15 49.57047242817 0.212918846564 0.004295275718269
16 49.73859477784 0.130019284178 0.002614052221602
17 49.84112289224 0.079186134525 0.001588771077578
18 49.90351553182 0.048149141562 0.000964844681753
19 49.94143474481 0.029248328702 0.000585652551866
20 49.96446199864 0.017756371183 0.000355380013573
 r K
0.50 50

^
Modelo logístico, tiempo continuo
60
Tamaño de la población (Nt)
50

40

30

20

10

0
0 5 10 15 20 25

Tiempo (t))

Chart Title
TASA PER CAPITA DE CAMBIO EN N [ (DN /Dt ) / N ]

7 0.5

0.45

TASA DE CAMBIO EN N ( DN / Dt )
6
0.4
5 0.35

0.3
4
0.25
3
0.2

2 0.15

0.1
1
0.05

0 0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60

TAMAÑO DE LA POBLACIÓN ( N t)

dN/dt dN/dt/N
20 25

0.5

0.45
TASA DE CAMBIO EN N ( DN / Dt )

0.4

0.35

0.3

0.25

0.2

0.15

0.1

0.05

0
60