Estudiante
JIMMY ARLEY QUINTERO CAMARGO
C.C. 1065871593
TUTOR
RICHARD LEON TORO
Curso
104561A_28
condicion de
No. estado
1 0.00013283
2 0.0002411
3 0.00103969
4 0.0009246
5 0.0028516
6 0.00300622
7 0.00319951
8 0.00389971
9 0.00513031
10 0.00515062
11 0.00638253
12 0.00625422
13 0.00647914
14 0.00689496
15 0.00649557
16 0.0068728
17 0.00634177
18 0.00723
19 0.0085603
20 0.00937511
21 0.01080901
22 0.01035437
23 0.01033612
24 0.01060263
25 0.0105189
26 0.01022307
27 0.01092338
28 0.01128872
29 0.01132098
30 0.01156905
31 0.01209804
32 0.01219744
33 0.01297123
34 0.01209264
35 0.01046816
36 0.01043345
37 0.01031657
38 0.01021303
39 0.00982856
40 0.01049925
41 0.01082554
42 0.01104101
43 0.01105214
44 0.0115812
45 0.0120937
46 0.0121607
47 0.01251632
48 0.01253104
49 0.01251101
50 0.01265384
51 0.01254213
52 0.01237421
53 0.01262971
54 0.01276534
55 0.01285675
56 0.01276899
57 0.01303244 z
58 0.01351478
59 0.01332751
60 0.01372434
Modelo de lineas de espera con un solo servidor
Punto a
DG Disciplina
p λ u 1
General
si p<1
Cola
Abrimos servidor
Medidas de desempeño
∞ ∞
salidas
Probabilidades de estado
a. Probabilidd
c. Probabilidad d. Probabilidad de
condicion de inactividad en la b. Probabilidad de
de actividad que un cliente
estado p instalacion de actividad 40%
70% tenga que esperar
servicio
1-(P1+P2+. 1-(P1+P2+.
+.Pn<0,40) +.Pn<0,70)
P0=(1-p) p1=(1-p)*p1
0.00013283 0.99986717001521 0.00000 0.00000 0.000132812341
0.0002411 0.99975889819043 0.0002410436795
0.00103969 0.99896031016702 0.001038608878
0.0009246 0.99907539861416 0.0009237464981
0.0028516 0.99714840146941 0.0028434669164
0.00300622 0.99699378065726 0.002997181988
0.00319951 0.99680048535089 0.0031892777551
0.00389971 0.9961002933739 0.0038844989143
0.00513031 0.9948696864876 0.0051039933957
0.00515062 0.99484938224571 0.005124088891
0.00638253 0.99361747168281 0.0063417916495
0.00625422 0.99374577538312 0.0062151092913
0.00647914 0.99352085956265 0.0064371611765
0.00689496 0.99310504334364 0.0068474162291
0.00649557 0.99350443071132 0.0064533768683
0.0068728 0.99312719884017 0.0068255657641
0.00634177 0.99365822753596 0.0063015543861
0.00723 0.99277000110169 0.0071777260142
0.0085603 0.9914397030085 0.0084870183069
0.00937511 0.99062488887632 0.0092872184151
0.01080901 0.98919098606354 0.0106921791542
0.01035437 0.98964563185274 0.0102471552075
0.01033612 0.98966388382547 0.010229280877
0.01060263 0.98939737467781 0.0104902096585
0.0105189 0.98948110228535 0.0104082505055
0.01022307 0.9897769257901 0.0101185629636
0.01092338 0.98907662372865 0.0108040561222
0.01128872 0.98871128132602 0.0111612835047
0.01132098 0.98867902020864 0.0111928152079
0.01156905 0.98843094630423 0.0114352106924
0.01209804 0.98790196398298 0.0119516735416
0.01219744 0.98780255727257 0.0120486651183
0.01297123 0.98702876935097 0.0128029778245
0.01209264 0.98790736100798 0.0119464070742
0.01046816 0.98953183844998 0.0103585791438
0.01043345 0.98956654658818 0.0103245964617
0.01031657 0.9896834346068 0.0102101338717
0.01021303 0.98978697465448 0.0101087194588
0.00982856 0.99017143780873 0.0097319615565
0.01049925 0.9895007534026 0.0103890124183
0.01082554 0.98917446137036 0.010708346343
0.01104101 0.98895899178654 0.0109191043511
0.01105214 0.98894786362688 0.0109299866547
0.0115812 0.98841880275845 0.011447073112
0.0120937 0.98790629889412 0.0119474434994
0.0121607 0.98783930442111 0.0120128130619
0.01251632 0.98748367529986 0.0123596663161
0.01253104 0.98746895721682 0.01237401575
0.01251101 0.98748899481077 0.0123544799384
0.01265384 0.9873461632648 0.0124937171511
0.01254213 0.98745786718973 0.0123848277148
0.01237421 0.98762578907139 0.0122210898325
0.01262971 0.98737028810372 0.0124702022737
0.01276534 0.98723465833977 0.0126023877125
0.01285675 0.98714325142979 0.0126914525864
0.01276899 0.98723101199135 0.0126059409539
0.01303244 0.98696756193652 0.0128625936216
0.01351478 0.98648522389121 0.0133321269355
0.01332751 0.98667248589163 0.0131498914761
0.01372434 0.98627566073319 0.0135359817785
suma 0 0
40% 1
e.
c. Probabilidad
Probabilidad
de estar d. Probabilidad
sean
desocupado el del 50%
atendidos 10
servidor
clientes
1-(P1+P2+. 1-(P1+P2+.
+.Pn<0,50) +.Pn<0,10)
(1-p)
0.99986717 0.00000 0.00000
0.9997588982
0.9989603102
0.9990753986
0.9971484015
0.9969937807
0.9968004854
0.9961002934
0.9948696865
0.9948493822
0.9936174717
0.9937457754
0.9935208596
0.9931050433
0.9935044307
0.9931271988
0.9936582275
0.9927700011
0.991439703
0.9906248889
0.9891909861
0.9896456319
0.9896638838
0.9893973747
0.9894811023
0.9897769258
0.9890766237
0.9887112813
0.9886790202
0.9884309463
0.987901964
0.9878025573
0.9870287694
0.987907361
0.9895318384
0.9895665466
0.9896834346
0.9897869747
0.9901714378
0.9895007534
0.9891744614
0.9889589918
0.9889478636
0.9884188028
0.9879062989
0.9878393044
0.9874836753
0.9874689572
0.9874889948
0.9873461633
0.9874578672
0.9876257891
0.9873702881
0.9872346583
0.9871432514
0.987231012
0.9869675619
0.9864852239
0.9866724859
0.9862756607
Punto b.
DG
p λ u 1 Disciplina 50
General
sistema total
Entrada
Ls=N/2, si
Lq=Ls-λef/u Ws=Ls/λef Wq=Lq/λef
p=1
Pn=1/N+1
1 30 29.99986717 69.57634614434 69.5760381 2 0.00013283
2 30 29.9997588982 70.06608548553 70.0655224 1.5 0.0002411
3 30 29.9989603102 70.35580004672 70.3533618 1.33333333 0.00103969
4 30 29.9990753986 81.31688547203 81.3143793 1.25 0.0009246
5 30 29.9971484015 87.28904939786 87.2807523 1.2 0.0028516
6 30 29.9969937807 88.84482120217 88.8359183 1.16666667 0.00300622
7 30 29.9968004854 89.17679126089 89.1672805 1.14285714 0.00319951
8 30 29.9961002934 90.55341051462 90.5416395 1.125 0.00389971
9 30 29.9948696865 91.93150065001 91.9157794 1.11111111 0.00513031
10 30 29.9948493822 99.83716313862 99.8200224 1.1 0.00515062
11 30 29.9936174717 102.9703805982 102.948474 1.09090909 0.00638253
12 30 29.9937457754 106.5026067663 106.480404 1.08333333 0.00625422
13 30 29.9935208596 106.7429293572 106.719876 1.07692308 0.00647914
14 30 29.9931050433 115.5173853436 115.490836 1.07142857 0.00689496
15 30 29.9935044307 123.5563365321 123.529584 1.06666667 0.00649557
16 30 29.9931271988 123.6175665848 123.589247 1.0625 0.0068728
17 30 29.9936582275 137.9695802649 137.940415 1.05882353 0.00634177
18 30 29.9927700011 144.3382315374 144.303446 1.05555556 0.00723
19 30 29.991439703 145.320250131 145.278784 1.05263158 0.0085603
20 30 29.9906248889 147.3023686634 147.256336 1.05 0.00937511
21 30 29.9891909861 156.2443373585 156.188042 1.04761905 0.01080901
22 30 29.9896456319 164.0694473907 164.01282 1.04545455 0.01035437
23 30 29.9896638838 165.9804834845 165.923297 1.04347826 0.01033612
24 30 29.9893973747 167.6011488665 167.541915 1.04166667 0.01060263
25 30 29.9894811023 170.1078519385 170.048207 1.04 0.0105189
26 30 29.9897769258 176.5936207575 176.533443 1.03846154 0.01022307
27 30 29.9890766237 176.6051564167 176.540852 1.03703704 0.01092338
28 30 29.9887112813 177.7254051537 177.658529 1.03571429 0.01128872
29 30 29.9886790202 181.1163170316 181.04797 1.03448276 0.01132098
30 30 29.9884309463 186.4747231478 186.402812 1.03333333 0.01156905
31 30 29.987901964 187.2039835072 187.12849 1.03225806 0.01209804
32 30 29.9878025573 188.9312634211 188.854447 1.03125 0.01219744
33 30 29.9870287694 195.6550360308 195.57044 1.03030303 0.01297123
34 30 29.987907361 213.593679734 213.507583 1.02941176 0.01209264
35 30 29.9895318385 248.9175728278 248.830716 1.02857143 0.01046816
36 30 29.9895665466 249.8022018334 249.715325 1.02777778 0.01043345
37 30 29.9896834346 256.4128228899 256.324646 1.02702703 0.01031657
38 30 29.9897869747 262.6321309557 262.542722 1.02631579 0.01021303
39 30 29.9901714378 274.2906843885 274.200822 1.02564103 0.00982856
40 30 29.9895007534 287.8537323572 287.752991 1.025 0.01049925
41 30 29.9891744614 290.4855280261 290.380706 1.02439024 0.01082554
42 30 29.9889589918 290.5885846627 290.481638 1.02380952 0.01104101
43 30 29.9889478636 293.4851856234 293.377064 1.02325581 0.01105214
44 30 29.9884188028 297.4686492379 297.353814 1.02272727 0.0115812
45 30 29.9879062989 298.1354300419 298.015245 1.02222222 0.0120937
46 30 29.9878393044 301.8230241182 301.700678 1.02173913 0.0121607
47 30 29.9874836753 306.7973088743 306.66931 1.0212766 0.01251632
48 30 29.9874689572 307.5743437068 307.445869 1.02083333 0.01253104
49 30 29.9874889948 317.9595583915 317.826959 1.02040816 0.01251101
50 30 29.9873461633 319.501411675 319.366648 1.02 0.01265384
51 30 29.9874578672 323.8338061349 323.698421 1.01960784 0.01254213
52 30 29.9876257891 333.2014383613 333.064002 1.01923077 0.01237421
53 30 29.9873702881 333.7650525695 333.624541 1.01886792 0.01262971
54 30 29.9872346583 337.9457146408 337.801915 1.01851852 0.01276534
55 30 29.9871432514 339.2761043883 339.130705 1.01818182 0.01285675
56 30 29.987231012 350.562838415 350.413627 1.01785714 0.01276899
57 30 29.9869675619 353.0231571093 352.869799 1.01754386 0.01303244
58 30 29.9864852239 353.2467561113 353.087621 1.01724138 0.01351478
59 30 29.9866724859 358.3495373681 358.19034 1.01694915 0.01332751
60 30 29.9862756607 358.4809461028 358.316949 1.01666667 0.01372434
Tamaño de
la fuente
salida
Probabilidad de estado
a. b. c. d. e.
Probabilidd Probabilida c. Probabilidad
Probabilida Probabilida d. Probabilida
inactividad d de que un de estar
d de d de Probabilida d sean
en la cliente desocupado el d del 50% atendidos
actividad actividad
instalacion tenga que servidor
40% 70% 10 clientes
de servicio esperar
-1 2 2 -0.00013283 -1 2 2
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Modelo de linea con varios servidores
Punto a
tasa de tasa de
condicio
llegada servicio numero de Disciplina Limite del
n de
(exponencia (exponencia servidores en la cola sistema
estado
l) l)
DG
p λ u 1 Disciplina 50
General
sistema de colas
servidor salidas
servidor salidas
probabilidd de estado
No. Pn=pn/n Po
1 =
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
Tamaño de
la fuente
∞
Relacion del comportamiento de la demanda
VARIANZA
DE LA
DEMANDA DEMANDA
PERIODICA PERIODICA
DISPOSITIV NORMALME NORMALME
O NTE NTE
ELECTRONIC DISTRIBUID DISTRIBUID
O PARAMETRO b2 A A
NIVEL DE NIVEL DE
DISPOSITIV UNIDADES SIGNIFICAN SIGNIFICAN
O DEL CIA 1 CIA 2
ELECTRONIC DISPOSITIV
O O α1 α2
DISPOSITIV DEMANDA
O PERIODICA
ELECTRONIC
O Periodo (Unidades)
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Nota: Para generar y actualizar los datos oprima f9, fn+f9 o ctrl+alt+f9
+alt+f9