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INTRODUCTION
FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES
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Singapore continues to be the single largest investor in India amongst the ASEAN
countries and the second largest amongst all countries with foreign direct investment
(FDI) inflows into India, totaling US$ 2.4 billion in 2009-10.
The cumulative FDI inflows from Singapore during April 2000 and March 2010 were
US$ 10.2 billion, according to data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and
Promotion (DIPP).
The total bilateral trade during 2008-09 was US$ 16.1 billion, an increase of 3.86 per
cent over US$ 15.5 billion in 2007-08, according to data released by the Ministry of
Commerce and Industry.
During 2008-09, India exported goods worth US$ 8.45 billion to Singapore. During
April-December 2009-10, Indian merchandise exports to Singapore totaled US$ 5.12
billion, comprising mainly of mineral fuels and oils, ships, boats and floating structures
and natural pearls, gems and jewellery, according to data released by the Ministry of
Commerce and Industry.
According to a press release issued by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, in May
2010, Mr Anand Sharma, the Union Minister of Commerce and Mr Lim Hng Kiang,
Minister for Trade and Industry, Singapore, agreed on a bilateral economic roadmap to
take the India-Singapore Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA)
forward in the coming five years. As per the roadmap the two countries will work
towards doubling the annual bilateral trade by 2015. Moreover, they will promote greater
business and investment flows by identifying ways in which Indian businesses can
leverage on Singapore as a business hub in the Asia Pacific to support their international
expansion.
The two countries will also explore and develop co-operation, in science and technology,
intellectual property rights, and media.
Moreover, according to Standard Chartered Bank, the business between India and
Singapore is set to double in the next five years. The number of Singapore-based
companies setting up operations in India, 350 at present, is expected to double in the next
five years. Similarly, India-based business community in Singapore is likely to increase
to 5,500 companies from the present 4,000 in the next two and a half years.
India’s trade with ASEAN countries has increased from US$ 30.7 billion in 2006-07 to
US$ 39.08 billion in 2007-08 and to US$ 45.34 billion in 2008-09. During April –
September 2009-10, India’s trade with ASEAN was US$ 20.19 billion, according to data
released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
In 2008-09, India's exports to ASEAN totalled US$ 19.14 billion. During April-
December 2009-10, India exported goods worth US$ 12.8 billion to ASEAN, according
to data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
India imported goods worth US$ 26.3 billion in 2008-09 from ASEAN. During the
period April-December 2009-10, India's imports from ASEAN totalled US$ 18.09
billion, according to data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
INDIA-ASEAN trade in 2003-04 was about US$ 13.25 billion, over 5 times the 1993-94
trade figure of US$ 2.5billion. India’s exports to ASEAN were US$ 5.8 billion while
imports about US$ 7.4 billion in this period; balance of trade was in favour of ASEAN.
Compared to other regional groupings, ASEAN is the fifth most important market in the
world in terms of Indian exports and fourth in terms of imports.
Indian exports to ASEAN–major commodity groups: India’s exports to ASEAN
include oil meals, gems and jewellery, meat and meat preparations, cotton yarn, fabrics,
made-ups, engineering goods, transport equipment, machinery and instruments,
electronic goods, marine products, fruits and vegetables, rice, drugs and pharmaceuticals,
chemicals, etc.
Indian imports from ASEAN – major commodity groups: India’s imports mainly
consist of artificial resins, plastic material, natural rubber, wood and wood products,
electronic goods, non-ferrous metals, metaliferous ores and metal scrap, organic
chemicals, edible oils, coal, fertilizers, etc.
ASEAN as a region has displayed great economic dynamism. ASEAN’s share in
worldwide exports doubled between 1980 and 2000. Further, both India and
ASEAN as a whole have attained growth in exports, at rates higher than the global
average in last two decades. Growth in India’s exports to ASEAN in recent years
has been much higher in comparison with other important destinations.
Although in case of imports, those from other regions have achieved faster growth
than ASEAN’s imports into India.
Observations:
■ India’s trade with the world in 2004 stood at US$ 142 billion, ASEAN accounting for
9.34 per cent of India’s global trade, up from 8.56 per cent last year.
■ However, based on the availability of data for ASEAN’s global import, India’s exports
to ASEAN in different product groups are much below the potential. The table indicates
the top ten commodity groups that are of maximum importance in ASEAN’s import
basket.
■ Percentage share of India in ASEAN’s import is small. India must focus on the
commodity groups that are of maximum importance to ASEAN so that Indian exports to
the region may reach the targeted level of USD 30 billion by 2007.
Potential sectors for investment and trade with India (markedly from the
manufacturing basket) are –
■ Drugs and pharmaceuticals ■ Leather
■ Gems and jewelry ■ Engineering goods
■ Processed food items
■ Healthcare
TREND ANALYSIS- GROWTH IN INDIA-ASEAN TRADE
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of India-ASEAN total trade for the period 1991-
2001 has been a robust 11.1 per cent, which is more than the CAGR recorded by India’s
total trade in the same period.
CAGR calculated for the years 2001 to 2004 at 17.05 per cent shows a promising
increase that needs to be further accelerated. The potential to accelerate trade
exists, but there is need to apply greater thrust to trade in focus sectors.