a 1-a

0.324144 0.67586

Year Quarter Black Plastic Demand Forecast(Year 2010) Error Error^2

2005 1 2250
2 1737 2250 513 263169
3 2412 2083.71399201525 328.28600798 107771.70304
4 7269 2190.12601880869 5078.8739812 25794960.917
2006 1 3514 3836.41389286313 322.41389286 103950.71831
2 2143 3731.90527851024 1588.9052785 2524619.9841
3 3459 3216.87074472979 242.12925527 58626.576258
4 7056 3295.35555423311 3760.6444458 14142446.647
2007 1 4120 4514.34688432396 394.34688432 155509.46518
2 2766 4386.52160331917 1620.5216033 2626090.2668
3 2556 3861.23881916909 1305.2388192 1703648.3751
4 8253 3438.15314137891 4814.8468586 23182750.272
2008 1 5491 4998.8581378273 492.14186217 242203.6125
2 4382 5158.38310005514 776.38310006 602770.71805
3 4315 4906.72297066918 591.72297067 350136.07402
4 12035 4714.91936321215 7320.0806368 53583580.529
2009 1 5648 7087.68152153171 1439.6815215 2072682.8834
2 3696 6621.01701278917 2925.0170128 8555724.5251
3 4843 5672.88952283947 829.88952284 688716.62012
4 13097 5403.88559336316 7693.1144066 59184009.274
7897.56450885951 2212.4862137 10312808.851
MAD MSE

Year Quarter Clear Plastic Demand Forecast(Year 2010) Error Error^2

2005 1 3200
2 7658 3200 4458 19873764
3 4420 4645.03513371545 225.03513372 50640.811406
4 2384 4572.09128568064 2188.0912857 4787743.4745
2006 1 3654 3862.83404396123 208.83404396 43611.657917
2 8680 3795.14168625826 4884.8583137 23861840.745
3 5695 5378.54049437374 316.45950563 100146.6187
4 1953 5481.11902825175 3528.1190283 12447623.878
2007 1 4742 4337.49947873318 404.50052127 163620.67171
2 13673 4468.61600292267 9204.3839971 84720684.766
3 6640 7452.16428914631 812.16428915 659610.83256
 4 2737 7188.9058925188 4451.9058925 19819466.076
2008 1 3486 5745.84612879415 2259.8461288 5106904.5258
2 13186 5013.32996618796 8172.6700338 66792535.482
3 5448 7662.45408801878 2214.454088 4903806.9079
4 3485 6944.65149511009 3459.6514951 11969188.468
2009 1 7728 5823.22530380339 1904.7746962 3628166.6433
2 16591 6440.64709784024 10150.352902 103029664
3 8236 9730.82577958798 1494.8257796 2234504.1113
4 3316 9246.28657584455 5930.2865758 35168298.872
7324.01819201852 3487.8533532 21019043.294
MAD MSE
APE Forecast 2011 Forecast 2012

29.533678756 729.32459642 236.406385310908

13.610531011 1168.3421517 538.488019402283
69.870325783 1499.5475324 850.009948926707
9.1751250103 2257.0293614 1306.08722232345
74.143970066 2735.1019316 1769.29414505106
6.9999784698 2891.2645295 2132.97441074985
53.297115161 3022.2483177 2421.22744777782
9.5715263185 3505.903511 2772.81897314336
58.587187394 3791.3508154 3102.97022859658
51.065681501 3814.004611 3333.44794592303
58.340565353 3692.1745126 3449.72710524105
8.9627000942 4115.728516 3665.60764306737
17.717551348 4453.6990199 3921.06294321444
13.713162704 4600.5441355 4141.3128749099
60.823270767 4637.6182096 4302.18740287867
25.490111925 5431.7921812 4668.34231358953
79.140070692 5817.2725903 5040.76147375143
17.135856346 5770.471647 5277.29284157618
58.73951597 5651.6448801 5398.63690796788
37.679890772 6379.6468476 5716.62565386882
MAPE

APE Forecast 2011 Forecast 2012

58.213632802 1037.2616482 336.222414664402

5.091292618 1402.0784672 681.713541481292
91.782352587 1421.4041593 921.480013168932
5.7152174045 1280.8855369 1037.97925252782
56.277169513 1082.1172949 1052.28634582726
5.5567955334 877.62621552 995.671266251213
180.65125593 692.00682936 897.240180524587
8.5301670449 534.51061055 779.663470642008
67.317955073 406.4085692 658.675034928737
12.231389897 305.19284691 544.095810875066
 162.6564082 226.89296942 441.276328952673
64.826337602 167.2875432 352.464435355165
61.979903184 122.48409924 277.917628322848
40.647101469 89.149394824 216.729488005453
99.272639745 64.555853311 167.403277023206
24.647705696 46.539139928 128.225860130416
61.179874041 33.419603658 97.4949558013277
18.149900189 23.915467896 73.644586769561
178.83855778 17.061373138 55.3034625713403
63.345560858 12.137923033 41.3116004809562
MAPE