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WESFARMERS LTD.

WES- AU NOVEMBER 2009

Overview & Investment Thesis: Business Description:


• Given the much diversified nature of Wesfarmers businesses and the defensive nature of some Founded in 1914, Wesfarmers’ initial scope and purpose was the provision of services and merchandise
of its largest divisions, in our view, the stock has good downside protection; while preserving to Western Australia’s rural community, specifically: wool and wheat merchandising, grain and
excellent exposure to critical growth sectors of the Australian economy, as well as to growth in fruit exporting, oil distribution and a public radio station. Now with over 200,000 employees and
China and North Asia. a shareholder base of more than 450,000, Wesfarmers is one of Australia’s largest companies. The
acquisition of Coles in the fall of 2007 delivered a retail footprint unmatched by any other competitor
• Wesfarmers’ business prowess has been proven throughout time through a history of acquisitions on the continent. Wesfarmers Limited engages in the food and beverage, convenience and fuel
and successful turn-arounds: retailing, department store and discount department store retailing, hardware and officeware
• In 1984, while the farmers’ cooperative was still the largest shareholder, Wesfarmers Ltd. retailing, insurance, coal mining, gas processing and distribution, industrial and safety product
went public and in the same year acquired CSBP & Farmer, a fertilizer manufacturer and distribution and chemicals and fertilizers manufacturing. While it was initially meant to be one of the
distributor - the largest corporate takeover at the time; leading businesses of Western Australia, with the addition of Coles, its scope became truly national.
• In 1989 Wesfarmers acquired Western Collieries (now Premier), a coal mining business. In In addition, its coal production is mainly exported to North Asian countries, as well as some other
the 1990s, the Company added Bengalla mine in New South Wales to its coal portfolio and in Asian and European countries, and the Company maintains a significant presence in New Zealand
2000 acquired Curragh mine in Queensland and further expanded it, in 2003; through Lumley New Zealand (insurance) and through its hardware, industrial and safety businesses.
• In 1994 Wesfarmers acquired Bunnings to initiate a presence in the hardware and forest The Company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
products business. It has since been expanded and is now Australia’s leading supplier of home
improvements and building supplies, following the acquisition of Howard Smith’s BBC and
Hardwarehouse as well as an expansion into New Zealand.
Industry Growth Drivers/Trends:
• The insurance business grew through the merger of Wesfarmers and Federation Insurance in • The fate of the retail divisions - whether it is the turn-around grocery giant Coles or the well
1991 to form Wesfarmers Federation Insurance (recently re-branded WFI), one of the largest performing hardware leader Bunnings - are tightly linked to the Australian consumer and to
rural insurers in Australia. The business was further strengthened by the addition of Lumley the fate of the Australian economy as a whole. Australia experienced 17 solid years of economic
Insurance Australian and NZ business, as well as the insurance broking business of OAMPS expansion, being one of the last countries to be affected by the global recession; the first negative
(orginally Oil Agents Mutual Provident Society) and Crombie Lockwood Holdings. growth numbers were reported in Q4 of 2008 and were followed by positive growth in the first
two quarters of 2009 (technically Australia has not suffered a recession). Sustained reforms, low
• The recent acquisition of Coles Group added a number of previously underperforming businesses inflation, a housing boom and increasingly strong ties with China have been the main drivers of
- Coles (food, beverage and convenience), Kmart (discount department stores) and Officeworks growth. While the credit crisis has negatively impacted the funding capabilities of the growth
(officeware) - to the list of Wesfarmers’ turnaround challenges and bought a dominant market projects, the more recent lending thaw is likely to ease the impact. Wesfarmers’ cyclical businesses
share of the Australian retail space. In addition, Target (department stores) came to strengthen have exhibited resilience in front of the adverse economic conditions and show signs of recovery as
Wesfarmers’operations with robust growth and a 9.4% EBIT margin for 2009. New management has the Australian and other Asian economies are recovering.
been brought in at Coles (Ian McLeod, former CEO of Halfords in U.K.) and at Kmart and significant • The industrial divisions have been particularly hard hit by the economic down-turn, with the price
changes have been made at all levels of management in the newly acquired divisions, with a focus of coal down 40-50%, and demand for chemical inputs, fertilizers and LNG dwindling. Nevertheless
on the decentralization of the operations. In less than two years since the acquisition, significant Wesfarmers’ mining operations are amongst the most cost efficient in the country and its strong
improvements have been achieved at Coles in terms of top line growth (7.3% in Q1 of FY2010) operational practices resulted in the scaling back of production to eliminate the marginally
and operational efficiency with latest guidance pointing to an expansion of the EBIT margin from. inefficient quantities of coal, given the decline in price. On the basis of a conservatively assumed
Given Coles’ operating margin was at about half the level of its major competitor, Woolworth, at long-run coking coal price of USD 150/ton, below today’s relatively low levels of USD 170/to, the
the time of the acquisition, we believe there is tremendous up-side for the division. mining operations of Wesfarmers remain profitable, and so are potentially responsible for 10-15%
of the group EBIT going forward. The chemicals, fertilizers and energy businesses, currently priced
at very low levels today, hold the potential of increased earnings in a stronger trading environment.
• Most of the existing divisions exhibit operational strength and resilience in the face of adverse The specialty chemicals division has already seen firming up of demand driven by increased activity
economic conditions, with Bunnings (hardware) posting an exceptional 15% like-for-like cash in the mining of copper, iron and gold, which is the main end-use of its products.
sales growth for the lastest quarter and Curragh being one of the lowest cost metallurgical coal
producers in Australia.
Competitive Advantages:
• While preserving a solid balance sheet, the Company has achieved a progressive dividend policy • The largest retail footprint in Australia, with dominant positions in the hardware/home improvement
over most of the last decade (with the exception of the last couple of years when dividend has been retail and department store retail markets.
reduced with the purpose of enhancing financial flexibility in a tough environment); the current • A strong managerial team with demonstrated capabilities in a variety of turn-around and other
announced AUD1.10 dividend is yielding almost 4%. commercial projects.
• One of the lowest cost coal producers in Australia and worldwide, strategically positioned to take
advantage of the pick-up in demand in Asian markets.

Competitors:
• Food and Beverage: Woolworth, Metcash, Aldi.
• Department Stores: Woolworth, specialty stores.
• Hardware: Danks Group, Mitre10, Woolworth.
• Coal: BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, Felix Resources.
• Insurance: Insurance Australia Group, QBE Insurance Group, Suncorp-Metway.
• Industrial/Energy: Emeco Holdings, Bradken, Nufarm, Incitec Pivot, Austral Pacific Energy, AGL
Energy.

Barriers to Entry:
• Economies of scale: The size of the retail business and power of distribution, allows it to obtain
significant economies of scale and optimize distribution operations which could deter new entrants/
competitors in prime retail locations.
• Initial capital outlays: Most of the industrial operations involving Wesfarmers require significant
initial capital outlays which could be difficult to muster by a new entrant; in addition overcapacity
and the prospect of reduced demand would act as a strong deterrent.

Customers:
• Wesfarmers’ businesses cater to a varied array of customers, from a single governmental utility in
the case of Premier coal mines to millions of consumers walking in their stores.
• Given the widely diversified character of the Wesfarmers portfolio business there is no significant
exposure to any single customer at the group level.
WESFARMERS LTD. WES- AU NOVEMBER 2009

Officers and Directors: Business Segments:


Leadership team: Non-Executive Independent Chairman of the Board, Robert Every (63); Group Revenues (%) Operating Profit (%)
Managing Director, Richard Goyder (48); Finance Director, Terry Bowen (41); Director-Industrial Business Mix 2008 2009 2008 2009
Coles 50.3 56.5 20.3 27.0
Divisions, Keith Gordon; Managing Director-Coles Division, Ian McLeod (49). Home Improvement & Office Supplies 18.3 14.0 26.8 23.5
Kmart 7.3 7.8 4.9 3.5
Corporate Governance: Target
Insurance
6.5
4.9
7.4
3.4
9.6
5.7
11.6
3.0
• 10 member board – of which 8 are independent and the functions of chairman and managing Resources 3.9 4.7 18.1 29.7
director are separated. Industrial & Safety 3.9 2.5 5.6 3.7
• The Company scores at the top of the scale (8.5) in the Governance Metrics International (GMI) Chemical & Fertilizers 3.0 2.3 5.3 1.7
Overall Global rating and also well above average in the Institutional Shareholder Services Energy 1.7 1.2 3.9 2.4
Corporate Governance Quotient (ISS CGQ) Index (89.7) and ISS CGQ Industry (90.2).
• Wesfarmers accounts for about 1% of Australia’s total greenhouse emissions. Each division has
emission reduction targets, with the Insurance group aiming at becoming carbon neutral by Financial Statement Summary: (AUD MM, years ended June 30)
2009/2010 and Bunnings sooner than 2015 through energy efficiency measures and the use of Income Statement 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
offsets. The Resources division managed to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions, water and energy Total Revenue 8,026 8,818 9,666 33,301 50,641
used in a record production year. The Company as a group reduced its energy usage in 2009 over Operating Income 807 1,264 1,094 1,824 2,517
2010 and reported flat growth in water usage. Net Income, continuing ops 618 1,048 786 1,050 1,535
• Wesfarmers is one of the 19 Australian companies member of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index Fully Diluted EPS, continuing ops 1.51 2.59 1.92 1.70 1.64
ROE 19.28% 33.55% 23.58% 9.09% 7.00%
(DJSI) World.
Balance Sheet
• The Company as a group has issued a sustainability report since 1998 and the reports are audited Net Debt 1,713 1,409 3,998 7,783 4,435
by independent consulting firms. Common Equity 3,083 3,166 3,503 19,590 24,252
Net Debt: Common Equity 55.56% 44.51% 114.13% 39.73% 18.29%
Ownership:
Insiders own 0.56% of outstanding shares. Institutions own 24.06% of outstanding shares. Notable
Key Profitability Ratios and Figures:
holders include: Colonial First State Asset Management 4.31%, Capital World Investors 3.87%, Y/E June 30 2007 2008 2009
Barclays Global Investors North America 2.10%, QIC Ltd. 1.22%, Barclays Global Investors Australia Operating Margin 11.3% 5.5% 5.0%
0.85%. Interest Coverage 2.7x 2.8x 3.5x
Return on Equity, continuing ops 23.58% 9.09% 7.00%
S&P Credit Rating A- BBB+ BBB+
Capital Allocation/Uses:
Wesfarmers’ main objective of achieving a satisfactory return to the shareholders, shapes its capital Sourced from FactSet, Company Filings, PIC.
allocation policy:
• An AUD1.10 fully franked dividend announced for 2009, is yielding 3.92% as of October 27, 2009.
• In recognition of the harsher economy, the Company has tempered a step-up in capital expenditure
for 2009, from the previously announced AUD1.8B to AUD1.5B. For 2010 the Company estimates
1.7B to 1.9B worth of capital expenditure, funneled towards Coles renewal program and towards
freeing up significant reserves of metallurgical coal at Curragh.
• Wesfarmers enjoys a continuous improvement in its operating cash flow (CFO), reaching the level
of AUD3,044MM in 2009. CFO’s last 5 year CAGR is 33.7%.
• For the last couple of years, the Company’s main use of cash was to pay for the acquisition of Coles
(AUD6.6B paid to the shareholders of Coles in 2007 and 2008).
• A 10B syndicated facility was arranged in the fall of 2007 with the purpose of financing the cash
component of the acquisition of Coles primarily. AUD6B of the syndicated loan has already been
repaid.
• Wesfarmers raised AUD4.5B of share capital in early 2009 through a very successful entitlement/
rights offer. The proceeds was mainly used to pay down debt and enhance liquidity.

This research and information, including any opinion, is based on various sources believed to be reliable but it cannot be guaranteed to be current accurate or complete. It is for information
only, and is subject to change without notice. The financial highlights reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of the analysts who prepared them. This Business Brief is
not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the security. The security discussed in the Business Brief may not be eligible for sale in some jurisdictions. If you are not a Canadian resident,
this material should not have been delivered to you. The information presented in the Business Brief should not be considered personal investment advice. As each individual’s situation is
different, you should consult with your own professional investment, accounting, legal and/or tax advisers prior to acting on the basis of the material in the Business Brief. Mutual funds are
not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with
mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. PORTLAND INVESTMENT COUNSEL and the Clock Tower Design are trademarks of Portland Holdings Inc.
Certain statements included in this document constitute forward-looking statements, including those identified by the expressions “anticipate,”“believe,”“plan,”“estimate,”“expect,”“intend”
and similar expressions to the extent they relate to the Fund. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts, but reflect the Portfolio Management team’s current expectations
regarding future results or events. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from current
expectations. The Portfolio Management team has no specific intention of updating any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Portland Investment Counsel Inc.


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PIC2409-E(11/09)

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