Producto Bruto Interno: Y

Rezagos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Y(0) Y(-1) Y(-2) Y(-3) Y(-4) Y(-5)
1 40920.0
2 44711.0 40920
3 47347.0 44711 40920
4 50085.0 47347 44711 40920
5 52762.0 50085 47347 44711 40920
6 55858.0 52762 50085 47347 44711 40920
7 58484.0 55858 52762 50085 47347 44711
8 62371.0 58484 55858 52762 50085 47347
9 61706.0 62371 58484 55858 52762 50085
10 63653.0 61706 62371 58484 55858 52762
11 69946.0 63653 61706 62371 58484 55858
12 75085.0 69946 63653 61706 62371 58484
13 82620.0 75085 69946 63653 61706 62371
14 86196.0 82620 75085 69946 63653 61706
15 91840.0 86196 82620 75085 69946 63653
16 97003.0 91840 86196 82620 75085 69946
17 104995.0 97003 91840 86196 82620 75085
18 109040.0 104995 97003 91840 86196 82620
19 109206.0 109040 104995 97003 91840 86196
20 113044.0 109206 109040 104995 97003 91840
21 116849.0 113044 109206 109040 104995 97003
22 122213.0 116849 113044 109206 109040 104995
23 126463.0 122213 116849 113044 109206 109040
24 134401.0 126463 122213 116849 113044 109206
25 147017.0 134401 126463 122213 116849 113044
26 153340.0 147017 134401 126463 122213 116849
27 155559.0 153340 147017 134401 126463 122213
28 156102.0 155559 153340 147017 134401 126463
29 151977.0 156102 155559 153340 147017 134401
30 158194.0 151977 156102 155559 153340 147017
31 167596.0 158194 151977 156102 155559 153340
32 176901.0 167596 158194 151977 156102 155559
33 176507.0 176901 167596 158194 151977 156102
34 158136.0 176507 176901 167596 158194 151977
35 163842.0 158136 176507 176901 167596 158194
36 167219.0 163842 158136 176507 176901 167596
37 182981.0 167219 163842 158136 176507 176901
38 200778.0 182981 167219 163842 158136 176507
39 181822.0 200778 182981 167219 163842 158136
40 159436.0 181822 200778 182981 167219 163842
 41 151492.0 159436 181822 200778 182981 167219
42 154854.0 151492 159436 181822 200778 182981
43 154017.0 154854 151492 159436 181822 200778
44 162093.0 154017 154854 151492 159436 181822
45 182043.7 162093 154017 154854 151492 159436
46 195536.0 182043.6713 162093 154017 154854 151492
47 201009.3 195535.9914 182043.6713 162093 154017 154854
48 214028.3 201009.2897 195535.9914 182043.6713 162093 154017
49 213190.0 214028.2914 201009.2897 195535.9914 182043.6713 162093
50 216376.7 213189.9934 214028.2914 201009.2897 195535.9914 182043.6713
51 222206.7 216376.7406 213189.9934 214028.2914 201009.2897 195535.9914
52 223579.6 222206.7073 216376.7406 213189.9934 214028.2914 201009.2897
53 235772.9 223579.5758 222206.7073 216376.7406 213189.9934 214028.2914
54 245592.6 235772.9471 223579.5758 222206.7073 216376.7406 213189.9934
55 257769.8 245592.6138 235772.9471 223579.5758 222206.7073 216376.7406
56 273971.2 257769.7862 245592.6138 235772.9471 223579.5758 222206.7073
57 294597.8 273971.1539 257769.7862 245592.6138 235772.9471 223579.5758
58 319693.0 294597.8308 273971.1539 257769.7862 245592.6138 235772.9471
59 348923.0 319692.999 294597.8308 273971.1539 257769.7862 245592.6138
60 352584.0 348923.0037 319692.999 294597.8308 273971.1539 257769.7862
61 382380.0 352584.0168 348923.0037 319692.999 294597.8308 273971.1539
62 407052.0 382380 352584.0168 348923.0037 319692.999 294597.8308
63 431273.0 407051.9831 382380 352584.0168 348923.0037 319692.999
64 456448.7 431272.9859 407051.9831 382380 352584.0168 348923.0037
65 467376.4 456448.7179 431272.9859 407051.9831 382380 352584.0168
66 482676.4 467376.4488 456448.7179 431272.9859 407051.9831 382380
67 503737.1 482676.3782 467376.4488 456448.7179 431272.9859 407051.9831
68 514437.6 503737.0986 482676.3782 467376.4488 456448.7179 431272.9859
69 534823.1 514437.6189 503737.0986 482676.3782 467376.4488 456448.7179
70 546730.8 534823.1051 514437.6189 503737.0986 482676.3782 467376.4488
71 485961.3 546730.8164 534823.1051 514437.6189 503737.0986 482676.3782
Suma 14466432.07 13980470.76 13433739.95 12898916.84 12384479.22 11880742.13
Promedio 203752.5643 196908.0389 189207.6049 181674.8851 174429.2849 167334.3961
 Desviaciones respecto del promedio
6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Y-6) y(0) y(-1) y(-2) y(-3) y(-4) y(-5) y-6)
-162832.5643
-159041.5643 -162832.56
-156405.5643 -159041.56 -162833
-153667.5643 -156405.56 -159042 -162833
-150990.5643 -153667.56 -156406 -159042 -162833
-147894.5643 -150990.56 -153668 -156406 -159042 -162833
40920 -145268.5643 -147894.56 -150991 -153668 -156406 -159042 -162833
44711 -141381.5643 -145268.56 -147895 -150991 -153668 -156406 -159042
47347 -142046.5643 -141381.56 -145269 -147895 -150991 -153668 -156406
50085 -140099.5643 -142046.56 -141382 -145269 -147895 -150991 -153668
52762 -133806.5643 -140099.56 -142047 -141382 -145269 -147895 -150991
55858 -128667.5643 -133806.56 -140100 -142047 -141382 -145269 -147895
58484 -121132.5643 -128667.56 -133807 -140100 -142047 -141382 -145269
62371 -117556.5643 -121132.56 -128668 -133807 -140100 -142047 -141382
61706 -111912.5643 -117556.56 -121133 -128668 -133807 -140100 -142047
63653 -106749.5643 -111912.56 -117557 -121133 -128668 -133807 -140100
69946 -98757.5643 -106749.56 -111913 -117557 -121133 -128668 -133807
75085 -94712.5643 -98757.564 -106750 -111913 -117557 -121133 -128668
82620 -94546.5643 -94712.564 -98757.56 -106750 -111913 -117557 -121133
86196 -90708.5643 -94546.564 -94712.56 -98757.56 -106750 -111913 -117557
91840 -86903.5643 -90708.564 -94546.56 -94712.56 -98757.56 -106750 -111913
97003 -81539.5643 -86903.564 -90708.56 -94546.56 -94712.56 -98757.56 -106750
104995 -77289.5643 -81539.564 -86903.56 -90708.56 -94546.56 -94712.56 -98757.56
109040 -69351.5643 -77289.564 -81539.56 -86903.56 -90708.56 -94546.56 -94712.56
109206 -56735.5643 -69351.564 -77289.56 -81539.56 -86903.56 -90708.56 -94546.56
113044 -50412.5643 -56735.564 -69351.56 -77289.56 -81539.56 -86903.56 -90708.56
116849 -48193.5643 -50412.564 -56735.56 -69351.56 -77289.56 -81539.56 -86903.56
122213 -47650.5643 -48193.564 -50412.56 -56735.56 -69351.56 -77289.56 -81539.56
126463 -51775.5643 -47650.564 -48193.56 -50412.56 -56735.56 -69351.56 -77289.56
134401 -45558.5643 -51775.564 -47650.56 -48193.56 -50412.56 -56735.56 -69351.56
147017 -36156.5643 -45558.564 -51775.56 -47650.56 -48193.56 -50412.56 -56735.56
153340 -26851.5643 -36156.564 -45558.56 -51775.56 -47650.56 -48193.56 -50412.56
155559 -27245.5643 -26851.564 -36156.56 -45558.56 -51775.56 -47650.56 -48193.56
156102 -45616.5643 -27245.564 -26851.56 -36156.56 -45558.56 -51775.56 -47650.56
151977 -39910.5643 -45616.564 -27245.56 -26851.56 -36156.56 -45558.56 -51775.56
158194 -36533.5643 -39910.564 -45616.56 -27245.56 -26851.56 -36156.56 -45558.56
167596 -20771.5643 -36533.564 -39910.56 -45616.56 -27245.56 -26851.56 -36156.56
176901 -2974.564304 -20771.564 -36533.56 -39910.56 -45616.56 -27245.56 -26851.56
176507 -21930.5643 -2974.5643 -20771.56 -36533.56 -39910.56 -45616.56 -27245.56
158136 -44316.5643 -21930.564 -2974.564 -20771.56 -36533.56 -39910.56 -45616.56
 163842 -52260.5643 -44316.564 -21930.56 -2974.564 -20771.56 -36533.56 -39910.56
167219 -48898.5643 -52260.564 -44316.56 -21930.56 -2974.564 -20771.56 -36533.56
182981 -49735.5643 -48898.564 -52260.56 -44316.56 -21930.56 -2974.564 -20771.56
200778 -41659.5643 -49735.564 -48898.56 -52260.56 -44316.56 -21930.56 -2974.564
181822 -21708.89298 -41659.564 -49735.56 -48898.56 -52260.56 -44316.56 -21930.56
159436 -8216.572868 -21708.893 -41659.56 -49735.56 -48898.56 -52260.56 -44316.56
151492 -2743.27458 -8216.5729 -21708.89 -41659.56 -49735.56 -48898.56 -52260.56
154854 10275.727085 -2743.2746 -8216.573 -21708.89 -41659.56 -49735.56 -48898.56
154017 9437.4290881 10275.727 -2743.275 -8216.573 -21708.89 -41659.56 -49735.56
162093 12624.176326 9437.4291 10275.727 -2743.275 -8216.573 -21708.89 -41659.56
182043.6713 18454.143044 12624.176 9437.4291 10275.727 -2743.275 -8216.573 -21708.89
195535.9914 19827.011446 18454.143 12624.176 9437.4291 10275.727 -2743.275 -8216.573
201009.2897 32020.382825 19827.011 18454.143 12624.176 9437.4291 10275.727 -2743.275
214028.2914 41840.049449 32020.383 19827.011 18454.143 12624.176 9437.4291 10275.727
213189.9934 54017.221929 41840.049 32020.383 19827.011 18454.143 12624.176 9437.4291
216376.7406 70218.589582 54017.222 41840.049 32020.383 19827.011 18454.143 12624.176
222206.7073 90845.266506 70218.59 54017.222 41840.049 32020.383 19827.011 18454.143
223579.5758 115940.4347 90845.267 70218.59 54017.222 41840.049 32020.383 19827.011
235772.9471 145170.43937 115940.43 90845.267 70218.59 54017.222 41840.049 32020.383
245592.6138 148831.45251 145170.44 115940.43 90845.267 70218.59 54017.222 41840.049
257769.7862 178627.4353 148831.45 145170.44 115940.43 90845.267 70218.59 54017.222
273971.1539 203299.41882 178627.44 148831.45 145170.44 115940.43 90845.267 70218.59
294597.8308 227520.4216 203299.42 178627.44 148831.45 145170.44 115940.43 90845.267
319692.999 252696.15363 227520.42 203299.42 178627.44 148831.45 145170.44 115940.43
348923.0037 263623.88449 252696.15 227520.42 203299.42 178627.44 148831.45 145170.44
352584.0168 278923.81391 263623.88 252696.15 227520.42 203299.42 178627.44 148831.45
382380 299984.53432 278923.81 263623.88 252696.15 227520.42 203299.42 178627.44
407051.9831 310685.05463 299984.53 278923.81 263623.88 252696.15 227520.42 203299.42
431272.9859 331070.54076 310685.05 299984.53 278923.81 263623.88 252696.15 227520.42
456448.7179 342978.25211 331070.54 310685.05 299984.53 278923.81 263623.88 252696.15
467376.4488 282208.7364 342978.25 331070.54 310685.05 299984.53 278923.81 263623.88
11398065.75 -3.11411E-09 -282208.74 -625187 -956258 -1266943 -1566927 -1845851
160536.1373 -4.38607E-11 -3974.7709 -8805.451 -13468.42 -17844.26 -22069.4 -25997.9
 Productos cruzados

y(0)*y(0) y(0)*y(-1) y(0)*y(-2) y(0)*y(-3) y(0)*y(-4) y(0)*y(-5)

26514443997.972
25294219176.415 25897145747
24462700545.402 24874985613 25467919107
23613720319.271 24034462110 24439529810 25022083546
22798150508.984 23202352250 23615764415 24013775542 24586180771
21872802150.811 22330683722 22726597471 23131532788 23521382859 24082051152
21102955775.084 21484431025 21934182500 22323066447 22720811776 23103739711
19988746725.181 20538296866 20909564853 21347282177 21725760624 22112863347
20177226430.706 20082765465 20634900461 21007914739 21447690902 21827949554
19627887918.304 19900661770 19807495560 20352062566 20719964022 21153712273
17904196650.968 18746241360 19006762741 18917781376 19437887491 19789263529
16555342104.047 17216564717 18026269699 18276785447 18191221517 18691352339
14673098134.978 15585832007 16208332255 16970619482 17206464585 17125911430
13819545811.073 14239928085 15125716797 15729839981 16469623440 16698506071
12524422049.204 13156056562 13556255892 14399517064 14974635732 15678901499
11395469479.196 11946617480 12549112021 12930848463 13735206430 14283792441
9753056507.3529 10542326961 11052212266 11609599959 11962757009 12706895256
8970469837.1296 9353582159.74 10110524974 10599525943 11134083656 11472775786
8939052821.7806 8954747551.46 9337188404.1 10092804546 10580948457 11114569266
8228043638.1794 8576183108 8591240729.7 8958156872.3 9683099718.19 10151428036
7552229488.8223 7882897551 8216433430.8 8230859422.5 8582384340.09 9276917626
6648700546.9639 7086078769.89 7396336812.1 7709285659.9 7722821227.55 8052648765
5973676750.3758 6302157398.67 6716738621.6 7010825413.8 7307462761.58 7320292829
4809639471.478 5360152188.93 5654896337.2 6026898128.2 6290780830.33 6556952134
3218924256.9474 3934700136.21 4385067045.7 4626193194 4930522760.88 5146401583
2541426639.753 2860185283.85 3496190195.1 3896365130.6 4110618528.86 4381031524
2322619640.3697 2429561159.56 2734289066.7 3342299073.9 3724859587.37 3929682236
2270576278.5351 2296450535 2402187137.1 2703481655.2 3304641174.51 3682891354
2680709059.047 2467134856.29 2495248987.7 2610138964.9 2937515858 3590716377
2075582781.4851 2358820375.77 2170891298 2195629598.4 2296724052.62 2584790855
1307297142.3038 1647241159.89 1872026520.2 1722880692.4 1742513706.84 1822745123
721006505.59745 970860311.451 1223318719 1390254894.3 1279492191.57 1294072591
742320774.26938 731586021.933 985105997.79 1241268793.4 1410654466.66 1298266514
2080870938.9445 1242849036.11 1224876109.8 1649338240.6 2078225178.21 2361823358
1592853143.1018 1820582823 1087385846.2 1071661083.8 1443028884.7 1818268010
1334701320.7893 1458075167.45 1666535685.4 995377575.53 980983351.193 1320928167
431457883.65501 758859280.222 829004852.88 947527398.8 565932990.962 557748994.6
8848032.8014669 61786353.7282 108671436.3 118716539.95 135689403.873 81043683.04
480949650.71279 65233873.7571 455532126.68 801201681.25 875261196.907 1000396997
1963957871.7528 971887263.233 131822470.28 920524365.2 1619042051.77 1768699089
2731166581.4224 2316008658.59 1146103666.1 155452409.11 1085533672 1909264687
2391069591.0391 2555466564.23 2167016369.4 1072373108.9 145451923.92 1015699673
2473626356.6847 2431997689.36 2599208656.6 2204109333.7 1090728991.2 147941634.2
1735519298.0388 2071961939.36 2037092884 2177152339.2 1846208760.4 913617753.9
471276034.60247 904383023.257 1079704043 1061533699.6 1134518997.78 962063551.9
67512069.68754 178372701.079 342298845.74 408655888.22 401778616.726 429402734.7
7525555.4238017 22540315.486 59553454.294 114283623.79 136438309.301 134142188.5
105590567.11678 -28189140.907 -84431260.357 -223074659.61 -428082313.26 -511069085
89065067.793149 96976445.6895 -25889459.322 -77543323.785 -204876138.12 -393159184
159369827.91088 119139768.873 129722590.59 -34631582.014 -103727464.68 -274056893
340555395.49644 232968355.736 174159666.36 189629737.5 -50624781.517 -151629811
393110382.88542 365890505.366 250299688.51 187116014.55 203736958.523 -54390936.51
1025304916.2277 634868496.771 590908724.97 404230958.8 302190092.28 329032715
1750589737.854 1339734400.74 829563139.32 772122257.5 528196161.728 394862499.7
2917860264.8832 2260083236.56 1729652125.3 1071000077.5 996841540.322 681922934.3
4930650322.9295 3793013137 2937949260.3 2248426119.8 1392224779.38 1295823897
8252862446.5375 6379026484.28 4907208922 3800970442.8 2908900211.31 1801190139
13442184397.387 10532639689 8141173799.9 6262780191.4 4850953520.74 3712457104
21074456467.229 16831123846 13188047253 10193663502 7841703841 6073938362
22150801257.177 21605927354 17255583301 13520632968 10450734681 8039461600
31907760640.798 26585380654 25931423266 20710142497 16227456965 12542966567
41330653692.983 36314853781 30257347798 29513065954 23570622991 18468789883
51765542246.272 46254769482 40641389389 33862194824 33029239570 26378816583
63855346059.135 57493535411 51372981171 45138465832 37609135589 36684011650
69497552475.405 66616741616 59979817344 53594582505 47090458370 39235525646
77798493968.736 73530979302 70482974932 63460863737 56705049264 49823445523
89990720828.63 83672830427 79083088224 75804937970 68252607722 60986681482
96525203169.024 93200711431 86657460363 81904000955 78508918295 70687194615
109607702960.17 102858669042 99316041996 92343457904 87278101997 83660252230
117634081420.66 113549995396 106558216993 102888171240 95664802168 90417259118
79641770898.551 96791459140 93430998966 87678036684 84658256368 78714737076
1315038823658.4 1254884823256 1.171519E+12 1.087301E+12 1004560353193 9.21896E+11
18521673572.654 17674434130 16500264715 15314094756 14148737369 12984453879
Varianza Covarianzas
 Función de autocorrelación
Rezago Covarianza Varianza
0 18521673573 18521673573
y(0)*y-6) 1 17674434130 18521673573
2 16500264715 18521673573
3 15314094756 18521673573
4 14148737369 18521673573
5 12984453879 18521673573
6 11844146060 18521673573

23654452838.5
22485545150.8
22216873047.6
21528758806.8
20203528652
19029233362.9
17596753707
16620330955.6
15896795262
14955567448.7
13214410378.7
12186434958.1
11452667780.4
10663387172.6
9725600728.51
8704312963.08
7632929116.86
6568464493.8
5364152678.86
4572851330.97 Autocorrelación Auto*2 Sumatoria
4188192514.6 1 0.954 0.911 0.911
3885406252.25 2 0.891 0.794 1.704
4001710806.71 3 0.827 0.684 2.388
3159557701.98 4 0.764 0.584 2.971
2051363079.13 5 0.701 0.491 3.463
1353656212.18 6 0.639 0.409 3.872
1313060855.32
2173655030.74
2066391988.57
1664416738.64
751028400.479
79871704.6995
597510599.991
2021569405.35
 2085748612.26
1786438843.41
1033085472.17
123919052.92
476088273.571
364130279.847
143365077.617
-502468301.621
-469375861.281
-525917685.446
-400619016.463
-162910084.293
-87840702.2591
429936929.338
509783701.488
886451856.253
1676471542.99
2298752325.78
4648413043.47
6227115332.64
9648957814.98
14275398452.5
20669153336
29297701897.7
38270395140.7
41512636365.4
53585467993.6
63162091042.2
75325309014.3
86669285086.8
74396963326.8
840934370288
11844146060.4 0 0 0
Autocorrelación Z-95% Varianza Desviación Inferior Superior
1.000 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.767390794994 1.23260921
0.954 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.7216476585026 1.18686607
0.891 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.6582533107527 1.12347172
0.827 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.5942110440161 1.05942945
0.764 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.5312924647549 0.99651087
0.701 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.4684318660652 0.93365028
0.639 1.96 0.01408450704 0.1186781658194 0.4068657330407 0.87208414

n Q-Statistic Chi-Cuadrado P.Valor Conclusión

71 64.653 3.84 8.931850172E-16 Se rechaza 1
71 121.001 5.99 5.3079197373E-27 Se rechaza 2
71 169.539 7.81 1.6002132982E-36 Se rechaza 3
71 210.971 9.49 1.6427205175E-44 Se rechaza 4
71 245.864 11.07 4.2401768068E-51 Se rechaza 5
71 274.898 12.59 1.9416675958E-56 Se rechaza 6
 Hipótesis Nula Conclusión
No Autocorrelación Rechazo
Rechazo
Rechazo
Rechazo
Rechazo
Rechazo
Rechazo

Autocorrelación Auto*2 Sumatoria n-k Sumatoria/n-k

0.954 0.911 0.911 70 0.013
0.891 0.794 1.704 69 0.025
0.827 0.684 2.388 68 0.035
0.764 0.584 2.971 67 0.044
0.701 0.491 3.463 66 0.052
0.639 0.409 3.872 65 0.060
n(n+2) Ljung-BoxChi-Cuadrado P.Valor Conclusión
5183 67.424 3.84 2.1898E-16 Se rechaza
5183 128.016 5.99 1.59122E-28 Se rechaza
5183 182.005 7.81 3.25411E-39 Se rechaza
5183 229.864 9.49 1.41232E-48 Se rechaza
5183 271.941 11.07 1.07177E-56 Se rechaza
5183 308.732 12.59 1.10007E-63 Se rechaza